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At least 163 records · Page 9

Temporal studies of compact galactic X-ray sources

Advances in X-ray astronomy due to temporal studies are discussed. Attention is given to X-ray temporal variability categorized into periodic, quasi-periodic, and chaotic. Approximately 95% of all known X-ray sources exhibit chaotic variability, in which there is no apparent pattern or periodicities. The orbits of seven binary X-ray sources are presented, along with empirical findings of neutron star masses. In addition, the interior structure of a supergiant star, HD 77581, is investigated by attempting to measure its apsidal motion. Graphs are provided for the power density spectrum of 4U 1626-67, GX301-2 Doppler delay data, and empirically determined error contours for the mass and radius of four companions stars in X-ray binary systems.

Rappaport, S.↗

Graph Analytics and Optimization Methods for Insights from the Uber Movement Data

In this work we leverage the Uber movement dataset for the Los Angeles (LA) area where partial TAZ to TAZ (Traffic Analysis Zone) trip time data is available. We first create a TAZ-TAZ network based on nearest neighbors and propose a model that allows us to complete the $(O-D)$ (Origin-Destination) travel time matrix, using optimization methods such as non-negative least squares. We apply these algorithms for several communities in the TAZ-TAZ network and present insights in the form of completed $(O-D)$ matrices and associated temporal trends. We qualify the error performance and scalability of our flows. We conclude by pointing out the directions in our ongoing work to improve the quality and scale of travel time estimation.

Visweswara Sathanur, Arun↗

Groundwater Variability Across Temporal and Spatial Scales in the Central and Northeastern U.S.

Depth-to-water measurements from 181 monitoring wells in unconfined or semi-confined aquifers in nine regions of the central and northeastern U.S. were analyzed. Groundwater storage exhibited strong seasonal variations in all regions, with peaks in spring and lows in autumn, and its interannual variability was nearly unbounded, such that the impacts of droughts, floods, and excessive pumping could persist for many years. We found that the spatial variability of groundwater storage anomalies (deviations from the long term mean) increases as a power function of extent scale (square root of area). That relationship, which is linear on a log-log graph, is common to other hydrological variables but had never before been shown with groundwater data. We describe how the derived power function can be used to determine the number of wells needed to estimate regional mean groundwater storage anomalies with a desired level of accuracy, or to assess uncertainty in regional mean estimates from a set number of observations. We found that the spatial variability of groundwater storage anomalies within a region often increases with the absolute value of the regional mean anomaly, the opposite of the relationship between soil moisture spatial variability and mean. Recharge (drainage from the lowest model soil layer) simulated by the Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) model was compatible with observed monthly groundwater storage anomalies and month-to-month changes in groundwater storage.

Groundwater↗

Groundwater Variability Across Temporal and Spatial Scales in the Central and Northeastern U.S.

Depth-to-water measurements from 181 monitoring wells in unconfined or semi-confined aquifers in nine regions of the central and northeastern U.S. were analyzed. Groundwater storage exhibited strong seasonal variations in all regions, with peaks in spring and lows in autumn, and its interannual variability was nearly unbounded, such that the impacts of droughts, floods, and excessive pumping could persist for many years. We found that the spatial variability of groundwater storage anomalies (deviations from the long term mean) increases as a power function of extent scale (square root of area). That relationship, which is linear on a log-log graph, is common to other hydrological variables but had never before been shown with groundwater data. We describe how the derived power function can be used to determine the number of wells needed to estimate regional mean groundwater storage anomalies with a desired level of accuracy, or to assess uncertainty in regional mean estimates from a set number of observations. We found that the spatial variability of groundwater storage anomalies within a region often increases with the absolute value of the regional mean anomaly, the opposite of the relationship between soil moisture spatial variability and mean. Recharge (drainage from the lowest model soil layer) simulated by the Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) model was compatible with observed monthly groundwater storage anomalies and month-to-month changes in groundwater storage.

water cycle↗

Temporal Analysis and Scene Change Detection in Multispectral Overhead Imagery

Scene change detection can be a tedious and time consuming process especially when concerning large geographical areas, and the process can be even more cumbersome when analyzing changes in an area over large spans of time. Developing a useful way to help analysts recognize at what points in time significant changes to a scene have occurred can allow them to better focus their efforts in characterizing events. Applications include: Facility monitoring, Construction chronology, Monitoring of vehicle/aircraft activity, Characterization of larger sequences of events. In large areas exceeding hundreds to thousands of square kilometers in size, it can be difficult localizing when scene changes have occurred. Analysts can spend hours going through imagery to try to identify new construction, monitor facility activities, monitor vehicle movement, etc. where the object of interest may only be a few square meters. Our goal is to help cut down this time by giving analysts change maps with hot spots of change, allowing them to focus on regions that have experienced actual change in time frames they're interested in. Additionally, by combining these change maps into layers within a data cube, analysts can examine the change maps from a temporal perspective, allowing events to be characterized over spans of time. By opening the data cube in an imaging software capable of separating the layers, we can analyze the change maps sequentially, allowing us to examine scene changes occurring over time. As an example, we examined overhead imagery from Planet Labs of what appears to be a parking lot on Fort Irwin over the course of a year using ENVI, a geospatial satellite imagery analysis software. Using ENVI, we generate a graph of changes over time, and notice a particular segment near the end of our analysis window where no changes are detected. Examination of the actual satellite imagery reveals that during this time span, the parking lot was empty. This could be due to facility shutdown for maintenance or upgrades, or possibly even total workforce/vehicle fleet movement. Information like this could help analysts better characterize events, as well as to help create clearer timelines in larger sequences of events. Workflow steps: - Collect multiple maps of the same AOI (Area of Interest) during a time span of interest; - Generate change maps from AOI maps; - Generate data cube from change maps. An analyst can use the data cube to help inspect an AOI for activities within a time span of interest. If an event of interest is discovered, the analyst can then refer to the maps corresponding to the appropriate dates and times in the data cube to see precisely what is transpiring. The biggest objective being worked on is improving the change detection methodology employed. We currently use PCA-EM (Principal Component Analysis with Expectation Maximization), but we are currently focusing on implementing IR-MAD (Iteratively Reweighted Multivariate Alteration Detection) to be used in conjunction with PCA-EM in an effort to decrease false positivity and noise in the change maps we generate.

42 ENGINEERING↗

The Mathematics of Dispatchability, Revisited

Dispatchability is an important property for the efficient execution of temporal plans where the temporal constraints are represented as a Simple Temporal Network (STN). It has been shown that every STN may be reformulated as a dispatchable STN, and dispatchability ensures that the temporal constraints need only be satisfied locally during execution. Recently, it has also been shown that Simple Temporal Networks with Uncertainty, augmented with wait edges, are Dynamically Controllable provided every projection is dispatchable. Thus, dispatchability has considerable theoretical as well as practical significance. One thing that hampers further work in this area is the underdeveloped theory. Moreover, the existing foundation is inadequate in certain respects. In this paper, we develop a new mathematical theory of dispatchability and its relationship to execution. We also provide several characterizations of dispatchability, including characterizations in terms of the structural properties of the STN graph. This facilitates the potential application of the theory to other areas.

mathematical models↗

Data Quality Monitoring for the Hadron Calorimeters Using Transfer Learning for Anomaly Detection

The proliferation of sensors brings an immense volume of spatio-temporal (ST) data in many domains, including monitoring, diagnostics, and prognostics applications. Data curation is a time-consuming process for a large volume of data, making it challenging and expensive to deploy data analytics platforms in new environments. Transfer learning (TL) mechanisms promise to mitigate data sparsity and model complexity by utilizing pre-trained models for a new task. Despite the triumph of TL in fields like computer vision and natural language processing, efforts on complex ST models for anomaly detection (AD) applications are limited. In this study, we present the potential of TL within the context of high-dimensional ST AD with a hybrid autoencoder architecture, incorporating convolutional, graph, and recurrent neural networks. Motivated by the need for improved model accuracy and robustness, particularly in scenarios with limited training data on systems with thousands of sensors, this research investigates the transferability of models trained on different sections of the Hadron Calorimeter of the Compact Muon Solenoid experiment at CERN. The key contributions of the study include exploring TL’s potential and limitations within the context of encoder and decoder networks, revealing insights into model initialization and training configurations that enhance performance while substantially reducing trainable parameters and mitigating data contamination effects.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

COMPASS-FME Synoptic Sites Level 2 Sensor Data v2-1

This is the version 2-1 Level 2 (L2) data release for COMPASS-FME environmental sensors located at our synoptic field sites. COMPASS-FME is studying sites in two distinct regions, the Chesapeake Bay and the Western Lake Erie Basin. We established the network at seven "synoptic" (observational) sites along the Chesapeake Bay and Lake Erie coastlines, collectively generating over three million observations per month, to track and comprehend environmental changes where land and water intersect. Additionally, the two regions provide an interesting contrast of saltwater and freshwater coasts that allow us to differentiate the impacts of inundation and coastal water chemistries in two nationally important coastal systems. Level 2 (L2) data consist of sensor observations from the COMPASS-FME synoptic sites, TEMPEST, and DELUGE. Compared to the L1 data, these are more consistent (always 15-minute timestamps for the entire year); better QA/QC’d (out of bounds, out of service, and extreme outlier values are removed); and more complete, with a gap-filled time series available alongside the main observations, and additional derived (calculated) variables. L2 data are intended to be rapidly and easily usable in analyses and simulations. However, algorithmic outlier identification always carries the risk of removing valid data, and Level 1 data may be more suitable for analyses that focus on variability or extreme events. This dataset includes: - An overall dataset README file that describes the current version, gives citation and contact information, etc. - Site- and year-specific folders, each holding variable-specific Parquet (a high performance, space efficient format; see https://parquet.apache.org) data files for each site and plot in that year. - Metadata files within each site-year folder provide full information on data units, expected ranges, contact information, detailed flood times, as well as a general description of the site. - Environmental sensor types that appear in the data files include weather (ClimaVUE50, CS, RM Young, and LI instruments in the graphs below); soil conditions (TEROS12); soil redox state (Redox); groundwater variables (AquaTROLL200 and AquaTROLL600); open water sondes (Exo); tree sap velocity (Sapflow); and system voltage and state (Datalogger). Data are reported every 15 minutes. Data files are in Apache Parquet, a high performance, space efficient format for tabular data. These files can be read using R's `arrow` package (https://arrow.apache.org/docs/r/), with similar tools available in other languages. Please see v2-1 L2 Sensor Package QStart.pdf for detailed information on data package structure, temporal coverage, and versioning.

EARTH SCIENCE > ATMOSPHERE > ATMOSPHERIC TEMPERATU↗

Studying Earth's Environment From Space: Classroom and Laboratory Activities with Instructor Resources

Standard, text-book based learning for earth, ocean, and atmospheric sciences has been limited by the unavailability of quantitative teaching materials. While a descriptive presentation, in a lecture format, of discrete satellite images is often adequate for high school classrooms, this is seldom the case at the undergraduate level. In order to address these concerns, a series of numerical exercises for the Macintosh was developed for use with satellite-derived Sea Surface Temperature, pigment and sea ice concentration data. Using a modified version of NIH Image, to analyze actual satellite data, students are able to better understand ocean processes, such as circulation, upwelling, primary production, and ocean/atmosphere coupling. Graphical plots, image math, and numerical comparisons are utilized to substantiate temporal and spatial trends in sea surface temperature and ocean color. Particularly for institutions that do not offer a program in remote sensing, the subject matter is presented as modular units, each of which can be readily incorporated into existing curricula. These materials have been produced in both CD-ROM and WWW format, making them useful for classroom or lab setting. Depending upon the level of available computer support, graphics can be displayed directly from the CD-ROM, or as a series of color view graphs for standard overhead projection.

Smith, Elizabeth A.↗

The Mathematics of Dispatchability Revisited

Dispatchability is an important property for the efficient execution of temporal plans where the temporal constraints are represented as a Simple Temporal Network (STN). It has been shown that every STN may be reformulated as a dispatchable STN, and dispatchability ensures that the temporal constraints need only be satisfied locally during execution. Recently it has also been shown that Simple Temporal Networks with Uncertainty, augmented with wait edges, are Dynamically Controllable provided every projection is dispatchable. Thus, the dispatchability property has both theoretical and practical interest. One thing that hampers further work in this area is the underdeveloped theory. The existing definitions are expressed in terms of algorithms, and are less suitable for mathematical proofs. In this paper, we develop a new formal theory of dispatchability in terms of execution sequences. We exploit this to prove a characterization of dispatchability involving the structural properties of the STN graph. This facilitates the potential application of the theory to uncertainty reasoning.

control↗

A spatial superstructure approach to the optimal design of modular processes and supply chains

Modularity is a design principle that aims to provide flexibility for spatio-temporal assembly/disassembly and reconfiguration of systems. This design principle can be applied to multiscale (hierarchical) manufacturing systems that connect units, processes, facilities, and entire supply chains. Designing modular systems is challenging because of the need to capture spatial interdependencies that arise between system components due to product exchange/transport between components and due to product transformation in such components. In this work, we propose an optimization framework to facilitate the design of modular manufacturing systems. Central to our approach is the concept of a spatial superstructure, which is a graph that captures all possible system configurations and interdependencies between components. The spatial superstructure is a generalization of the notion of a superstructure and of a p-graph used in process design, in that it encodes spatial (geographical) context of the system components. Here, we show that this generalization facilitates the simultaneous design and analysis of processes, facilities, and of supply chains. Our framework aims to select the system topology from the spatial superstructure that minimizes design cost and that maximizes design modularity. We show that this design problem can be cast as a mixed-integer, multi-objective optimization formulation. We demonstrate these capabilities using a case study arising in the design of a plastic waste upcycling supply chain.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Data-Driven Unit Commitment Refinement - a Scalable Approach for Complex Modern Power Grids

Integration of renewable generation, which is often intermittent and decentralized, substantially increases the stochasticity and complexity of power grid operations. Future power systems planning will require significant computational capability to evaluate balance between demand and supply under varying conditions, both temporally and spatially. The standard approach for generation unit commitment is to use mixed-integer linear programming to find the optimal generation schedule considering ramping and generator constraints. In the future grid this poses computational scalability challenges because generation and demand are not known with certainty due to stochasticity in weather and complexity of the grid. To address this challenge, we present a data-driven unit commitment approach that can efficiently include stochastic weather impacts and contingency considerations to improve unit commitment. Our approach uses graph-based data analytics techniques on solutions to the security constrained (and possibly stochastic) economic dispatch problem to identify potential improvements to a given unit commitment. Recent breakthroughs in fully-parallel stochastic economic dispatch software allow this approach to be scalably deployed. Simulations on synthetic South Carolina and Texas grids show this method can improve grid reliability with security constraints over a set of contingencies, while also meaningfully lowering total generation cost.

Holt, Timothy↗

Development of Ambient Mass Spectrometry Rapid Analysis Methods for Trace Inorganics

Ambient mass spectrometry is being investigated as a new method for rapidly characterizing trace inorganic species, including nuclear materials. SRNL is currently developing electrospray ionization (ESI) and paper spray ionization (PSI) methods for mass spectrometry for the detection of trace inorganic compounds JEOL AccuTOF™-DART ® LP 4G mass spectrometer. Sample analysis generates a complex three-dimensional data set with 10 2 -10 3 individual mass spectra spread temporally. To improve the quality and ease of data extraction from this amount of information, a simple data analysis pipeline written in R/R Studio has been improved and expanded upon. Specifically, the software now has header inputs to set base input/output filenames, isotopes of interest, and a list of concentrations analyzed on the instrument. Using list-based structures to enable batch processing of many concentrations at once, it then loads each file, extracts the relevant intensities for masses of interest from each spectrum, and iterates through each concentration to generate graphs of internal standard & analyte correlations, measured isotope ratios, and total ion chromatograms. It then filters the data to remove points at background levels or at the detector saturation limit. Using this filtered data, the pipeline re-creates the graphs to reveal high-quality information from a low-quality raw dataset. All graphs of the R software then output to PowerPoint format. Additionally, faster 3D visualization functionality was added to the pipeline for viewing the entire data file produced by the instrument as an intensity map. With these data analysis tools ready, samples of strontium nitrate/yttrium nitrate as an analyte/internal standard combination were measured on the AccuTOF. From the filtered data, calibration curves were prepared and limits of detection (LOD) of 1 ppb for ESI-MS and 20 ppb for PSI-MS were obtained. The quality available from the calibration curves and the low limits of detection demonstrate the value of the instrument/analysis pipeline system in characterizing trace inorganics.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

TLife-LSTM: Forecasting Future COVID-19 Progression with Topological Signatures of Atmospheric Conditions

Understanding the impact of atmospheric conditions on SARS-CoV2 is critical to model COVID-19 dynamics and sheds a light on the future spread around the world. Furthermore, geographic distri- butions of expected clinical severity of COVID-19 may be closely linked to prior history of respiratory diseases and changes in humidity, tem- perature, and air quality. In this context, we postulate that by tracking topological features of atmospheric conditions over time, we can provide a quanti?able structural distribution of atmospheric changes that are likely to be related to COVID-19 dynamics. As such, we apply the machinery of persistence homology on time series of graphs to extract topological signatures and to follow geographical changes in relative humidity and temperature. We develop an integrative machine learning framework named Topological Lifespan LSTM (TLife-LSTM) and test its predictive capabilities on forecasting the dynamics of SARS-CoV2 cases. We validate our framework using the number of con?rmed cases and hospitalization rates recorded in the states of Washington and California in the USA. Our results demonstrate the predictive potential of TLife-LSTM in forecasting the dynamics of COVID-19 and modeling its complex spatio-temporal spread dynamics.

Gel, Yulia R.↗

Low-Resolution Fault Localization Using Phasor Measurement Units with Community Detection

A significant portion of the literature on fault localization assumes (more or less explicitly) that there are sufficient reliable measurements to guarantee that the system is observable. While several heuristics exist to break the observability barrier, they mostly rely on recognizing spatio-temporal patterns, without giving insights on how the performance are tied with the system features and the sensor deployment. In this paper, we try to fill this gap and investigate the limitations and performance limits of fault localization using Phasor Measurement Units (PMUs), in the low measurements regime, i.e., when the system is unobservable with the measurements available. Our main contribution is to show how one can leverage the scarce measurements to localize different type of distribution line faults (three-phase, single-phase to ground,..) at the level of sub-graph, rather than with the resolution of a line. Here, we show that the resolution we obtain is strongly tied with the graph clustering notion in network science.

Community Detection↗

A reusable knowledge acquisition shell: KASH

KASH (Knowledge Acquisition SHell) is proposed to assist a knowledge engineer by providing a set of utilities for constructing knowledge acquisition sessions based on interviewing techniques. The information elicited from domain experts during the sessions is guided by a question dependency graph (QDG). The QDG defined by the knowledge engineer, consists of a series of control questions about the domain that are used to organize the knowledge of an expert. The content information supplies by the expert, in response to the questions, is represented in the form of a concept map. These maps can be constructed in a top-down or bottom-up manner by the QDG and used by KASH to generate the rules for a large class of expert system domains. Additionally, the concept maps can support the representation of temporal knowledge. The high degree of reusability encountered in the QDG and concept maps can vastly reduce the development times and costs associated with producing intelligent decision aids, training programs, and process control functions.

Westphal, Christopher↗

Quantifying disorder one atom at a time using an interpretable graph neural network paradigm

Abstract Quantifying the level of atomic disorder within materials is critical to understanding how evolving local structural environments dictate performance and durability. Here, we leverage graph neural networks to define a physically interpretable metric for local disorder, called SODAS. This metric encodes the diversity of the local atomic configurations as a continuous spectrum between the solid and liquid phases, quantified against a distribution of thermal perturbations. We apply this methodology to four prototypical examples with varying levels of disorder: (1) grain boundaries, (2) solid-liquid interfaces, (3) polycrystalline microstructures, and (4) tensile failure/fracture. We also compare SODAS to several commonly used methods. Using elemental aluminum as a case study, we show how our paradigm can track the spatio-temporal evolution of interfaces, incorporating a mathematically defined description of the spatial boundary between order and disorder. We further show how to extract physics-preserved gradients from our continuous disorder fields, which may be used to understand and predict materials performance and failure. Overall, our framework provides a simple and generalizable pathway to quantify the relationship between complex local atomic structure and coarse-grained materials phenomena.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

A Confidence-Guided Technique for Tracking Time-Varying Features

Application scientists often employ feature tracking algorithms to capture the temporal evolution of various features in their simulation data. However, as the complexity of the scientific features is increasing with the advanced simulation modeling techniques, quantification of reliability of the feature tracking algorithms is becoming important. One of the desired requirements for any robust feature tracking algorithm is to estimate its confidence during each tracking step so that the results obtained can be interpreted without any ambiguity. To address this, we develop a confidence-guided feature tracking algorithm that allows reliable tracking of user-selected features and presents the tracking dynamics using a graph-based visualization along with the spatial visualization of the tracked feature. Here, the efficacy of the proposed method is demonstrated by applying it to two scientific datasets containing different types of time-varying features.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗