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At least 163 records · Page 9

Interseasonal Connections between the Timing of the Stratospheric Final Warming and Arctic Sea Ice

Connections across seasons in atmospheric circulation and sea ice have long been sought to advance seasonal prediction. This study presents a link between the springtime stratosphere and Arctic sea ice in summer through autumn. The polar stratospheric vortex dominates the winter stratosphere before breaking down each spring, which is called the stratospheric final warming, as solar radiation returns to the pole. Interannual variability of this breakdown is dynamically driven, leading to different springtime tropospheric and surface circulation patterns. To examine the different impacts of delayed and early final warmings, a multimodel composite was generated from selected CMIP5 models. Additionally, regressions were performed on JRA-55 against an index of springtime polar vortex strength. In both the multimodel composites and reanalysis regressions, significant anomalies in sea ice thickness persist several months following an anomalous timing of the final warming. A later final warming or stronger springtime polar stratospheric vortex leads to negative sea ice thickness anomalies in the East Siberian Sea and positive anomalies in the Beaufort Sea in comparison with an earlier final warming or weaker polar vortex. The spring polar stratospheric vortex is related to spring polar surface circulation patterns. The winds associated with this pattern induce anomalous sea ice motion, moving ice from the East Siberian Sea toward the Beaufort Sea. Reduced sea ice in the East Siberian Sea is linked to anomalous warmth over this region in autumn. Our results suggest that the timing of the stratospheric final warming exerts an influence on the tropospheric circulation and sea ice through autumn, which has implications for seasonal climate prediction.

Kelleher, Michael↗

A Climatology of Clear-Air Turbulence and Mountain Wave Turbulence Throughout the Stratosphere Using MERRA-2 Data

Forty years of MERRA-2 reanalysis data is used to calculate twenty-nine unique indices for both clear-air turbulence (CAT) and mountain wave turbulence (MWT) throughout the stratosphere. The indices are combined into a single estimate of turbulence intensity for both CAT and MWT for five latitudinal domains. These indices have previously been applied at commercial flight levels, but this work is the first time such indices have been evaluated for estimating turbulence throughout the entire stratosphere. The results indicate that turbulence throughout the stratosphere is generally around four-times more intense in the winter season and increases in intensity with altitude. The data suggests the strongest source of CAT in each hemisphere is the polar vortex in the winter stratosphere above 50 hPa. The strongest sources of MWT are the Himalayas and the Andes in the lower stratosphere. The relationship between CAT and the quasi-biennial oscillation is also examined and indicates that easterly tropical winds are associated with the most intense turbulence. The trends in the climatology of CAT over forty years were compared indicating a significant increase in turbulence intensity in the upper stratosphere, and a weaker but still significant decrease in turbulence intensity in the lower stratosphere.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A three-D circulation model study of the radiative-dynamic coupling within the stratosphere

The role of radiative transfer processes in the general circulation of the stratosphere was studied by comparing the thermal and dynamical structure of the stratosphere as simulated by two controlled numerical experiments performed with the aid of a spectral 3-dimensional quasi-geostrophic circulation model. In the first experiment, a detailed radiative transfer model is employed to treat the longwave radiative transfer in the stratosphere. In the second experiment, longwave radiative transfer is accounted for by employing the Newtonian cooling approximation. It is found that the exchange of longwave radiation between the troposphere and lower stratosphere has a net heating effect on the lower stratosphere. It is shown that this heating effect contributes partly to the maintenance of the warm high-latitude belt in the lower stratosphere during winter and spring seasons. The strong temperature dependence of the Newtonian cooling coefficient plays an important role in determining the zonal temperatures and has a significant influence on the transmissivity of stratosphere to propagating planetary scale waves.

Ramanathan, V.↗

A numerical simulation of seasonal stratospheric climate. I - Zonal temperatures and winds

Two numerical experiments were designed to isolate the effects of seasonal and latitudinal variations in longwave radiative transfer processes. The first experiment aimed at computing the rate of temperature change in the stratosphere due to longwave radiative transfer by CO2, H2O and O3 from Ramanathan's (1976) radiative-convective model applied to the troposphere-stratosphere circulation. The second experiment employs the Newtonian cooling approximation in which the rate of temperature change in the stratosphere by longwave radiative transfer is set equal to the product of the Newtonian cooling coefficient 'h' and the departure of the local temperature from a reference temperature. It is shown that the latitudinal temperature distribution of the lower stratosphere is maintained by the combined effects of dynamics, O3 solar heating and the longwave radiative coupling between troposphere and stratosphere. The latitudinal gradient in the troposphere-stratosphere longwave radiative coupling is maximum during winter and spring. The radiative response time (1/h) of the middle and upper stratosphere undergoes significant latitudinal and seasonal variations, largely due to the temperature dependence of h.

Ramanathan, V.↗

Seasonal variation of radiance variances from satellite observations Implication of seasonal variation of available potential energy in the stratosphere

Nimbus 5 satellite radiances for the period 1973-74 are used to examine the seasonal variation of available potential energy in the stratosphere in order to provide a further observational basis for a long-term numerical simulation of stratospheric circulation. The maximum value of stratospheric zonal available potential energy, A(Z), in the upper and middle stratosphere shows pronounced variations between winter and summer, while little variation occurs in the lower stratospheric A(Z). The aperiodic occurrence of sudden warmings complicates the seasonal variation of A(Z) and A(E) (eddy available potential energy) in the stratosphere, making the energetics irregular. Time-Fourier analysis reveals that the primary variation of A(Z) and A(E) in the stratosphere is annual and semiannual, respectively.

Chen, T.-C.↗

High-latitude stratospheric aerosols measured by the SAM II satellite system in 1978 and 1979

Results of the first year of data collection by the SAM (Stratospheric Aerosol Measurement) II satellite system are presented. Almost 10,000 profiles of stratospheric aerosol extinction in the Arctic and Antarctic regions are used to construct plots of weekly averaged aerosol extinction versus altitude and time and stratospheric optical depth versus time. Corresponding temperature fields are presented. These data show striking similarities in the aerosol behavior for corresponding seasons. Wintertime polar stratospheric clouds that are strongly correlated with temperature are documented. They are much more prevalent in the Antarctic stratosphere during the cold austral winter and increase the stratospheric optical depths by as much as an order of magnitude for a period of about 2 months. These clouds might represent a sink for stratospheric water vapor and must be considered in the radiative budget for this region and time.

Mccormick, M. P.↗

21 Layer troposphere-stratosphere climate model

The global climate model is extended through the stratosphere by increasing the vertical resolution and raising the rigid model top to the 0.01 mb (75 km) level. The inclusion of a realistic stratosphere is necessary for the investigation of the climate effects of stratospheric perturbations, such as changes of ozone, aerosols or solar ultraviolet irradiance, as well as for studying the effect on the stratosphere of tropospheric climate changes. The observed temperature and wind patterns throughout the troposphere and stratosphere are simulated. In addition to the excess planetary wave amplitude in the upper stratosphere, other model deficiences include the Northern Hemisphere lower stratospheric temperatures being 5 to 10 C too cold in winter at high latitudes and the temperature at 50 to 60 km altitude near the equator are too cold. Methods of correcting these deficiencies are discussed.

Rind, D.↗

Tropospheric-stratospheric exchange, part 1.1A

Much of the observational evidence of large scale tropospheric-stratospheric exchange has been obtained by radiosonde and satellite radiane data. So far mesosphere-stratosphere-troposphere (MST) radars have made mininal contributions, in part due to their recent use as a meteorological tool, intermittent operation at some facilities and sparse geographic distribution. However, as more MST facilities come on-line in more locations, the good time and height resolution data throughtout the troposphere and much of the stratosphere obtainable by MST radars will enhance the detail of stratospheric and tropospheric circulations and interactions. On smaller scales MST radars have already been used to examine convective forcing from the troposphere into the stratosphere and subsequent launching of gravity waves (LARSEN et al., 1982). Observations of persistent turbulent layers in the stratosphere over Arecibo, attributable to inertial oscillations, appear to propagate away from a source region near the tropopause (SATO and WOODMAN, 1982). MST radars offer the availability of high resolution wind data in height and time needed to observe interactions between the troposphere and stratosphere. The lack of geographic coverage (e.g., equatorial regions) and insufficient data bases at many MST facilities presently inhibit studies of large-scale interactions. At present MST radars can be used to examine smaller scale interactions.

Cornish, C. R.↗

Stratospheric dust collections: Valuable resources for space and atmospheric scientists

The stratospheric collection at the Johnson Space Center Curatorial Facility offers a unique opportunity to study well-documented, individual particles (or groups of particles) from a wide variety of sources. The nature of the collection and curation process, as well as the timeliness of some sampling periods, ensures that all data obtained from stratospheric particles is a valuable resource for scientists from a wide range of disciplines. A few samples of the uses of these stratospheric dust collections are outlined. An understanding of global parameters at a particular point in time in the stratosphere can be obtained from a study of complete collection surfaces. For example, an accurate assessment of particle concentration over a wide range of sizes was experimentally determined for the stratospheric cloud formed one month after the eruption of El Chichon. Additional studies on the El Chichon cloud over a six-month period showed that volcanic ash settles out of the stratosphere at a rate determined primarily by particle shape and density. Another study during a volcanically quiescent period has shown that total particle number density during the summer of 1981 was approx. 2.7 x 10(-1) cm(-3), for particles 1 micron diameter. However, 95% of these particles were 5 micrometers diameter. With the above classification scheme, an estimate of micrometeorite number density at 20km altitude can also be made. Continuation of these types of studies, for shorter collection periods at regular intervals, can provide important experimental data on the contributions of orbital debris, rocket firings and transient events on the total stratospheric particle budget.

Mackinnon, I. D. R.↗

A ground-based technique for millimeter wave spectroscopic observations of stratospheric trace constituents

Recent concern over possible long term stratospheric changes caused by the introduction of man-made compounds has increased the need for instrumentation that can accurately measure stratospheric minor constituents. The technique of radio spectroscopy at millimeter wavelengths was first used to observe rotational transitions of stratospheric ozone nearly two decades ago, but has not been highly developed until recently. A ground-based observing technique is reported which employs a millimeter-wave superheterodyne receiver and multichannel filter spectrometer for measurements of stratospheric constituents that have peak volume mixing ratios that are less than 10 to the -9th, more than 3 orders of magnitude less than that for ozone. The technique is used for an extensive program of observations of stratospheric chlorine monoxide and also for observations of other stratospheric trace gases such as (O-16)3, vibrationally excited (O-16)3, (O-18)2(O-16), N2O, HO2, and HCN. In the present paper, analysis of the observing technique is given, including the method of calibration and analysis of sources of error. The technique is found to be a reliable means of observing and monitoring important stratospheric trace constituents.

Parrish, A.↗

Stratospheric processes: Observations and interpretation

Explaining the observed ozone trends discussed in an earlier update and predicting future trends requires an understanding of the stratospheric processes that affect ozone. Stratospheric processes occur on both large and small spatial scales and over both long and short periods of time. Because these diverse processes interact with each other, only in rare cases can individual processes be studied by direct observation. Generally the cause and effect relationships for ozone changes were established by comparisons between observations and model simulations. Increasingly, these comparisons rely on the developing, observed relationships among trace gases and dynamical quantities to initialize and constrain the simulations. The goal of this discussion of stratospheric processes is to describe the causes for the observed ozone trends as they are currently understood. At present, we understand with considerable confidence the stratospheric processes responsible for the Antarctic ozone hole but are only beginning to understand the causes of the ozone trends at middle latitudes. Even though the causes of the ozone trends at middle latitudes were not clearly determined, it is likely that they, just as those over Antarctica, involved chlorine and bromine chemistry that was enhanced by heterogeneous processes. This discussion generally presents only an update of the observations that have occurred for stratospheric processes since the last assessment (World Meteorological Organization (WMO), 1990), and is not a complete review of all the new information about stratospheric processes. It begins with an update of the previous assessment of polar stratospheres (WMO, 1990), followed by a discussion on the possible causes for the ozone trends at middle latitudes and on the effects of bromine and of volcanoes.

Brune, William H.↗

Estimates of total organic and inorganic chlorine in the lower stratosphere from in situ and flask measurements during AASE 2

Aircraft sampling has provided extensive in situ and flask measurements of organic chlorine species in the lower stratosphere. The recent Airborne Arctic Stratospheric Expedition 2 (AASE 2) included two independent measurements of organic chlorine species using whole air sample and real-time techniques. From the whole air sample measurements we derive directly the burden of total organic chlorine (CCl(y)) in the lower stratosphere. From the more limited real-time measurements we estimate the CCl(y) burden using mixing ratios and growth rates of the principal CCl(y) species in the troposphere in conjunction with results from a two-dimensional photochemical model. Since stratospheric chlorine is tropospheric in origin and tropospheric mixing ratios are increasing, it is necessary to establish the average age of a stratospheric air parcel to assess its total chlorine (Cl(sub Total)) abundance. Total inorganic chlorine (Cl(y)) in the parcel is then estimated by the simple difference, Cl(y) = Cl(sub Total) - CCl(y). The consistency of the results from these two quite different techniques suggests that we can determine the CCl(y) and Cl(y) in the lower stratosphere with confidence. Such estimates of organic and inorganic chlorine are crucial in evaluating the photochemistry controlling chlorine partitioning and hence ozone loss processes in the lower stratosphere.

Woodbridge, E. L.↗

Clouds, hazes, and the stratospheric methane abundance in Neptune

Analysis of high-spatial-resolution (approximately 0.8 arcsec) methane band and continuum imagery of Neptune's relatively homogeneous Equatorial Region yields significant constraints on (1) the stratospheric gaseous methane mixing ratio (f(sub CH4, S)), (2) the column abundances and optical properties of stratospheric and tropospheric hydrocarbon hazes, and (3) the wavelength-dependent single-scattering albedo of the 3-bar opaque cloud. From the center-to-limb behavior of the 7270-A and 8900-A CH4 bands, the stratospheric methane mixing ratios is limited to f(sub CH4, S) less than 1.7 x 10(exp -3), with a nominal value of f(sub CH4, S) = 3.5 x 10(exp -4), one to two orders of magnitude less than pre-Voyager estimates, but in agreement with a number of recent ultraviolet and thermal infrared measurements, and largely in agreement with the tropopause mixing ratio implied by Voyager temperature measurements. Upper limits to the stratospheric haze mass column abundance and 6190-A and 8900-A haze opacities are 0.61 micrograms/sq cm and 0.075 and 0.042, respectively, with nominal values of 0.20 micrograms/sq cm and 0.025 and 0.014 for the 0.2 micrometers radius particles preferred by the recent Voyager PPS analysis of Pryor et al. (1992). The tropospheric CH4 haze opacities are comparable to that found in the stratosphere, i.e., upper limits of 0.104 and 0.065 at 6190 A and 8900 A, respectively, with nominal values of 0.085 and 0.058. This indicates a column abundance less than 11.0 micrograms/sq cm, corresponding to the methane gas content within a well-mixed 3% methane tropospheric layer only 0.1 cm thick near the 1.5-bar CH4 condensation level. Conservative scattering is ruled out for the opaque cloud near 3 bars marking the bottom of the visible atmosphere. Specifically, we find cloud single-scattering albedos of 0.915 +/- 0.006 at 6340 A, 0.775 +/- 0.012 at 7490 A, and 0.803 +/- 0.010 at 8260 A. Global models utilizing a complete global spectrum confirm the red-absorbing character of the 3-bar cloud. The global-mean model has approximately 7.7 times greater stratospheric aerosol content than the Equatorial Region. An analysis of stratospheric haze precipitation rates indicates a steady-state haze production rate of 0.185-1.5 x 10(exp -14) g/sq cm/s, in agreement with recent theoretical photochemical estimates. Finally, reanalysis of the Voyager PPS 7500-A phase angle data utilizing the f(sub CH4, S) value derived here confirms the Pryor et al. result of a tropospheric CH4 haze opacity of a few tenths in the 22-30 degs S latitude region, several times that of the Equatorial Region or of the globe. The factor-of-10 reduction in f(sub CH4, S) below that assumed by Pryor et al. implies decreased gas absorption and consequently a decrease in the forward-scattering component of tropospheric aerosols.

Baines, Kevin H.↗

The annual cycle of stratospheric water vapor in a general circulation model

The application of general circulation models (GCM's) to stratospheric chemistry and transport both permits and requires a thorough investigation of stratospheric water vapor. The National Center for Atmospheric Research has redesigned its GCM, the Community Climate Model (CCM2), to enable studies of the chemistry and transport of tracers including water vapor; the importance of water vapor to the climate and chemistry of the stratosphere requires that it be better understood in the atmosphere and well represented in the model. In this study, methane is carried as a tracer and converted to water; this simple chemistry provides an adequate representation of the upper stratospheric water vapor source. The cold temperature bias in the winter polar stratosphere, which the CCM2 shares with other GCM's, produces excessive dehydration in the southern hemisphere, but this dry bias can be ameliorated by setting a minimum vapor pressure. The CCM2's water vapor distribution and seasonality compare favorably with observations in many respects, though seasonal variations including the upper stratospheric semiannual oscillation are generally too small. Southern polar dehydration affects midlatitude water vapor mixing ratios by a few tenths of a part per million, mostly after the demise of the vortex. The annual cycle of water vapor in the tropical and northern midlatitude lower stratosphere is dominated by drying at the tropical tropopause. Water vapor has a longer adjustment time than methane and had not reached equilibrium at the end of the 9 years simulated here.

Mote, Philip W.↗

Satellite Measured Solar Protons from 1963-1993 and Their Influence on Ozone in a Changing Stratosphere

The fluxes of solar protons have been measured by a series of Interplanetary Monitoring Platform (IMP) satellites since 1963. Eight IMP satellites have been launched since 1963 providing excellent coverage of solar protons with energies from a few MeV to several hundred MeV. IMP 8, launched in October 1973, continues to provide proton measurements, twenty-six and a half (26 1/2) years after launch. These high energy solar protons rain down on the earth's polar atmosphere sporadically, primarily during solar proton events (SPEs) which typically last a few days. Solar protons with energies of 30 MeV or greater are capable of reaching the stratosphere and causing increases in odd nitrogen (NO(y)) constituents at polar latitudes ($>$ 60 degrees geomagnetic) which last for several months to years past the events. These enhanced NO(y) species can lead to significant upper stratospheric ozone depletions $ greater than $10\% during the gigantic SPEs that occurred in August 1972 and October 1989. We studied the effects of SPEs on the stratosphere from 1963 to the mid 1990s. During this time period, the stratospheric chlorine levels changed from relatively small in 1963 ($\sim$ 1 ppbv) to fairly substantial amounts in the mid-1990s ($\sim$ 3.3 ppbv). Our recently improved two-dimensional chemistry and transport atmospheric model was used to compute the effects of SPEs in this changing stratosphere. The long-lived SPE-produced NO(y) constituents were transported to lower stratospheric levels during winter after the events and caused impacts in the middle and lower stratosphere. Generally, the SPEs resulted in a decrease in ozone. However, during periods of high halogen loading these impacts resulted in interference with the chlorine and bromine loss cycles for ozone destruction. This interference actually led to a predicted total ozone increase that was especially notable in the time period 1992-4, a few years after the October 1989 SPE.

Jackman, Charles H.↗

What Controls the Temperature of the Arctic Stratosphere during the Spring?

Understanding the mechanisms that control the temperature of the polar lower stratosphere during spring is key to understanding ozone loss in the Arctic polar vortex. Spring ozone loss rates are directly tied to polar stratospheric temperatures by the formation of polar stratospheric clouds, and the conversion of chlorine species to reactive forms on these cloud particle surfaces. In this paper, we study those factors that control temperatures in the polar lower stratosphere. We use the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP)/NCAR reanalysis data covering the last two decades to investigate how planetary wave driving of the stratosphere is connected to polar temperatures. In particular, we show that planetary waves forced in the troposphere in mid- to late winter (January-February) are principally responsible for the mean polar temperature during the March period. These planetary waves are forced by both thermal and orographic processes in the troposphere, and propagate into the stratosphere in the mid and high latitudes. Strong mid-winter planetary wave forcing leads to a warmer Arctic lower stratosphere in early spring, while weak mid-winter forcing leads to cooler Arctic temperatures.

Newman, Paul A.↗

Climate and Ozone Response to Increased Stratospheric Water Vapor

Stratospheric water vapor abundance affects ozone, surface climate, and stratospheric temperatures. From 30-50 km altitude, temperatures show global decreases of 3-6 K over recent decades. These may be a proxy for water vapor increases, as the Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) climate model reproduces these trends only when stratospheric water vapor is allowed to increase. Observations suggest that stratospheric water vapor is indeed increasing, however, measurements are extremely limited in either spatial coverage or duration. The model results suggest that the observed changes may be part of a global, long-term trend. Furthermore, the required water vapor change is too large to be accounted for by increased production within the stratosphere, suggesting that ongoing climate change may be altering tropospheric input. The calculated stratospheric water vapor increase contributes an additional approximately equals 24% (approximately equals 0.2 W/m(exp 2)) to the global warming from well-mixed greenhouse gases over the past two decades. Observed ozone depletion is also better reproduced when destruction due to increased water vapor is included. If the trend continues, it could increase future global warming and impede stratospheric ozone recovery.

Shindell, Drew T.↗

Occurrence of Ice Supersaturations, Ice Clouds, and Ternary Aerosols in the Arctic Lowermost Stratosphere

Relative humidity, aerosol concentration, and ice crystals all have important impacts on chemistry and radiative transfer in the lowermost stratosphere. In this study, we have combined SOLVE measurements with meteorological analyses to investigate the statistics of humidity, aerosols, and clouds in the arctic lower stratosphere. First, we will present a statistical analysis of relative humidity with respect to ice in the lowermost stratosphere, used on the DC-8 in situ measurements. We will show examples of ice supersaturation well within the stratosphere. Generally, these cases were associated with extremely low temperatures near the tropopause. Next, we will discuss the climatological occurrence frequency of tropopause temperatures low enough for ice saturation even with typically low stratospheric water vapor mixing ratios. Really, we will examine case studies of ice clouds observed in the lowermost stratosphere during SOLVE. We will discuss the possible origin of these clouds (i.e., precipitation from higher type II PSCs, injection of tropospheric air into the lower stratosphere, etc.).

Jensen, Eric↗