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At least 163 records · Page 9

Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis Methods and Applications in the GDSA Framework (FY2025)

The Spent Fuel and Waste Science and Technology Campaign (SFWST) of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Office of Nuclear Energy (NE) is conducting research and development on geologic disposal of spent nuclear fuel (SNF) and high-level nuclear waste (HLW). Two priorities for SFWST are design concept development and disposal system modeling. These priorities are directly addressed in the Geologic Disposal Safety Assessment (GDSA) control account, which is charged with developing a geologic repository system modeling and analysis capability, and the associated software, GDSA Framework, for evaluating disposal system performance for nuclear waste in geologic media. This report describes specific activities in the Fiscal Year (FY) 2025 associated with the GDSA Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis Methods work package. This report fulfills the GDSA Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis Methods work package (SF-25SN01030407) level 3 milestone, Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis Methods and Applications in GDSA Framework (FY2025) (M3SF-25SN010304072). This work was closely coordinated with the other Sandia National Laboratory GDSA work packages: the GDSA Framework Development work package (SF-25SN01030408), the GDSA Repository Systems Analysis work package (SF-25SN01030409), and the GDSA PFLOTRAN Development work package (SF-25SN01030410). This report builds on developments reported in previous GDSA Framework milestones, particularly M3SF-24SN010304072.

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Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis Methods and Applications in the GDSA Framework (FY2024)

The Spent Fuel and Waste Science and Technology Campaign (SFWST) of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Office of Nuclear Energy (NE) is conducting research and development on geologic disposal of spent nuclear fuel (SNF) and high-level nuclear waste (HLW). Two priorities for SFWST are design concept development and disposal system modeling. These priorities are directly addressed in the Geologic Disposal Safety Assessment (GDSA) control account, which is charged with developing a geologic repository system modeling and analysis capability, and the associated software, GDSA Framework, for evaluating disposal system performance for nuclear waste in geologic media.

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Panel Session 128: Best Practices in Project Communications

This panel focused on a sustainable, holistic and integrated approach to structure nuclear waste management, disposal and remediation decisions. This panel had participation from internal and external stakeholders and demonstrate use of tools and techniques to effectively communicate factors that inform decisions. The desired outcome was to effectively communicate how risk is evaluated at complex sites, highlight holistic site level approaches that are protective of human health and the environment, and incorporate policy and technical concerns related to achieving alternative end points. This discussion included existing decision-making tools in conjunction with case studies. Panelists with presentations: Removing the Cloak of Secrecy from Legacy Cleanup at Los Alamos National Laboratory (David Nickless); Best Practice In Project Communications (Alan Paulley); Stakeholder and Public Engagement (Mark Lesinski); Stakeholder Engaged Structured Decision Making (Kelly Black)

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Uranium Retardation Capacity of Lithologies from the Negev Desert, Israel—Rock Characterization and Sorption Experiments

A series of batch experiments were performed to assess the uranium sorption capacity of four mineralogically distinct lithologies from the Negev Desert, Israel, to evaluate the suitability of a potential site for subsurface radioactive waste disposal. The rock specimens consisted of an organic-rich phosphorite, a bituminous marl, a chalk, and a sandstone. The sorption data for each lithology were fitted using a general composite surface complexation model (GC SCM) implemented in PHREEQC. Sorption data were also fitted by a non-mechanistic Langmuir sorption isotherm, which can be used as an alternative to the GC SCM to provide a more computationally efficient method for uranium sorption. This is because all the rocks tested have high pH/alkalinity/calcium buffering capacities that restrict groundwater chemistry variations, so that the use of a GC SCM is not advantageous. The mineralogy of the rocks points to several dominant sorption phases for uranyl (UO 2 2+ ), including apatite, organic carbon, clays, and iron-bearing phases. The surface complexation parameters based on literature values for the minerals identified overestimate the uranium sorption capacities, so that for our application, an empirical approach that makes direct use of the experimental data to estimate mineral-specific sorption parameters appears to be more practical for predicting uranium sorption.

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Water-Weakening and Time-Dependent Deformation of Organic-Rich Chalks

Abstract The Ghareb Formation is a shallowly buried porous chalk in southern Israel that is being considered as a host rock for a geologic nuclear waste repository. Setup and operation of a repository will induce significant mechanical, hydrological and chemical perturbations in the Ghareb. Developing a secure repository requires careful characterization of the rock behavior to different loads. To characterize hydromechanical behavior of the Ghareb, several short- and long-term deformation experiments were conducted. Hydrostatic loading tests were conducted both dry and water-saturated, using different setups to measure elastic properties, time-dependent behavior, and permeability. A set of triaxial tests were conducted to measure the elastic properties and rock strength under differential loading at dry and water-saturated conditions. The hydrostatic tests showed the Ghareb began to deform inelastically around 12–15 MPa, a relatively low effective pressure. Long-term permeability measurements demonstrated that permeability declined with increasing effective pressure and was permanently reduced by ~ 1 order of magnitude after unloading pressure. Triaxial tests showed that water saturation significantly degrades the rock properties of the Ghareb, indicating water-weakening is a significant risk during repository operation. Time-dependent deformation is observed during hold periods of both the hydrostatic and triaxial tests, with deformation being primarily visco-plastic. The rate of deformation and permeability loss is strongly controlled by the effective pressure as well. Additionally, during holds of both hydrostatic and triaxial tests, it is observed that when water-saturated, radial strain surpassed axial strain when above effective pressures of 13–20 MPa. Thus, deformation anisotropy may occur in situ during operations even if the stress conditions are hydrostatic when above this pressure range.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Review: Pre-Darcy flows in low-permeability porous media

The widely used Darcy’s law specifies a linear relation between the Darcy velocity of fluid flow and the pressure gradient that drives the flow. However, studies have shown that Darcy velocity can exhibit a nonlinear dependence on the pressure gradient in low-permeability porous media such as clay and shale when the pressure gradient is adequately low. This phenomenon is referred to as low-velocity non-Darcian flow or pre-Darcy flow. This paper provides a comprehensive review of the theories, experimental data, and modeling methods for pre-Darcy flow in low-permeability porous media. The review begins by outlining the fundamental mechanisms underlying pre-Darcy flow that regulate the unique characteristics such as nonlinear dependence of the Darcy velocity on the pressure gradient and its relevance to fluid–rock interactions. The review then proceeds to present a thorough compilation of experimental investigations performed in various low-permeability geomaterials including tight sandstones, shales, and clays. Next, empirical and theoretical models and simulation methods that have been developed to fit and interpret experimental data are reviewed. Finally, the review underscores the challenges encountered in conducting and interpreting pre-Darcy flow experiments and suggests future research directions. By analyzing previous experimental investigations, this review aims to offer a valuable resource for researchers and practitioners seeking to enhance their understanding of fluid dynamics in low-permeability geomaterials. This provides insights into the application of pre-Darcy flow in numerous natural and engineered processes such as shale oil and gas recovery, contaminant transport in low-permeability aquifers, and geological disposal of nuclear waste.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Molecular-level understanding of gibbsite particle aggregation in water

Using molecular dynamics simulations, we investigate the molecular scale origin of crystal face selectivity when one gibbsite particle attaches to another in water. A comparison of the free energy per unit surface area of particle–particle attachment indicates that particle attachment through edge surfaces, where the edge surfaces are either (1 0 0) or (1 1 0) crystal faces, is more energetically favorable compared to attachment between two basal surfaces (i.e., (0 0 1) crystal faces) or between the basal surface of one particle and the edge surface of another. This result suggests that gibbsite crystals with low basal/edge surface area ratio will preferentially attach through edge surfaces, potentially helping the crystals grow laterally. However, for larger gibbsite particles (high basal/edge surface area ratio) the total free energy, not normalized by surface area, of particle attachment through the basal surfaces is lower (more negative) than attachment through the edge surfaces, indicating that larger gibbsite particles will preferentially aggregate through basal surface attachments. The short-range electrostatic interactions including the interparticle hydrogen bonds from surface –OH groups drive particle attachment, and the dominant contribution to the free energy minimum is enthalpic rather than entropic. However, the enthalpy of basal-edge attachment is significantly offset by the entropy leading to a higher free energy (less negative) compared to that of basal-basal attachment. Study of the free energy for a few imperfect attachments of two particles indicates a higher free energy (i.e., less negative, less stable), compared to a perfect attachment

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Energetics of water expulsion from intervening space between two particles during aggregation

Solvent expulsion away from an intervening region between two approaching particles plays important roles in particle aggregation yet remains poorly understood. Here, in this work, we use metadynamics molecular simulations to study the free energy landscape of removing water molecules from gibbsite and pyrophyllite slit pores representing the confined spaces between two approaching particles. For gibbsite, removing water from the intervening region is both entropically and enthalpically unfavorable. The closer the particles approach each other, the harder it is to expel water molecules. For pyrophyllite, water expulsion is spontaneous, which is different from the gibbsite system. A smaller pore makes the water removal more favorable. When water is being drained from the intervening region, single chains of water molecules are observed in gibbsite pore, while in pyrophyllite pore water cluster is usually observed. Water-gibbsite hydrogen bonds help stabilize water chains, while water forms clusters in pyrophyllite pore to maximize the number of hydrogen bonds among themselves. This work provides the first assessment into the energetics and structure of water being drained from the intervening region between two approaching particles during oriented attachment and aggregation.

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Structures of fluoride containing aluminosilicate low activity nuclear waste glasses: A molecular dynamics simulations study

Fluorine and other halides commonly exist in nuclear waste forms, and due to their volatile nature, halide retention poses an issue affecting waste loading during vitrification. The compositional effect on fluorine incorporation in aluminosilicate glasses is investigated through molecular dynamics simulations. Oxygen and fluorine coordination numbers around glass former and modifier cations, bond angle distributions, and medium range structure features such as Q n distributions, ring size distributions and neutron diffraction structure factors were calculated. It was found that fluorine has higher preference to bond to Ca 2+ than to Na + , both in the melt and the glass, and there is no Si-F bond formation in the glass but they do exist in the melt. Consequently, CaO for Na 2 O substitution can be an effective way to help fluorine retention without significantly changing the glass chemistry. Furthermore, these results thus provide insights on fluorine incorporation in the aluminosilicate nuclear waste glasses and the strategy on how to improve fluorine retention both in the glass and the melt.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Insights on the structure and properties of sodium iron phosphate glasses from molecular dynamics simulations

Iron phosphate glasses are promising nuclear waste forms while more detailed understanding of their structures and structure-property relations are still needed to better design waste glass compositions. In this work we report studies of three series of sodium iron phosphate (NFP) glasses: 60P 2 O 5 -(40-x)Fe 2 O 3 -xNa 2 O (x = 0→40), (100–2x)P 2 O 5 -xFe 2 O 3 -xNa 2 O (x = 5→17.5) and one with different iron redox ratio, to understand the composition as well as the iron redox effects on the structure and properties of these glasses using molecular dynamics simulations with effective two-body and three-body potentials. Structural analyses, including pair distribution function, bond angle distribution, Q n distribution, and polyhedral connectivity, were performed to obtain in-depth information on short-range and medium-range structural features. The P-O pair distributions showed a first peak splitting with phosphorus-bridging and non-bridging oxygen contributions. This and the average P-O and other cation-oxygen bond distances are in excellent agreement with experiments. The coordination number of P 5+ remained four while that of Fe 3+ increased from 4.30 to 4.72 with decreasing Fe/Na ratio. Polyhedral linkage analysis showed [PO 4 ] units linked with [PO 4 ] and [FeO x ] through corner-sharing while the [PO 4 ]-[FeO x ] linkages become dominant for compositions with Fe 2 O 3 larger than 15 mol%. The effect of iron redox ratio on the structure of NFP glasses was also studied and it was found that bond lengths and coordination numbers were not strongly affected, while the reduction of iron introduced higher network distortions, as evident by O-P-O bond angle and Q n distribution. The glass transition temperature (T g ) showed a monotonic increase with Fe 2 O 3 in the first series, in good agreement with experiments, while those of the second series showed a maximum at P 2 O 5 = 82 mol%. Here, calculated elastic moduli were found to increase with Fe 2 O 3 in the first glass series, which was be explained by the increase of network connectivity, while those of the second series decrease with Fe 2 O 3 due to decrease of P 2 O 5 .

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Modeling injection-induced fault slip using long short-term memory networks

Stress changes due to changes in fluid pressure and temperature in a faulted formation may lead to the opening/shearing of the fault. This can be due to subsurface (geo)engineering activities such as fluid injections and geologic disposal of nuclear waste. Such activities are expected to rise in the future making it necessary to assess their short- and long-term safety. Here, a new machine learning (ML) approach to model pore pressure and fault displacements in response to high-pressure fluid injection cycles is developed. The focus is on fault behavior near the injection borehole. To capture the temporal dependencies in the data, long short-term memory (LSTM) networks are utilized. To prevent error accumulation within the forecast window, four critical measures to train a robust LSTM model for predicting fault response are highlighted: (i) setting an appropriate value of LSTM lag, (ii) calibrating the LSTM cell dimension, (iii) learning rate reduction during weight optimization, and (iv) not adopting an independent injection cycle as a validation set. Several numerical experiments were conducted, which demonstrated that the ML model can capture peaks in pressure and associated fault displacement that accompany an increase in fluid injection. The model also captured the decay in pressure and displacement during the injection shut-in period. Further, the ability of an ML model to highlight key changes in fault hydromechanical activation processes was investigated, which shows that ML can be used to monitor risk of fault activation and leakage during high pressure fluid injections.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Modeling of thermal pressurization in tight claystone using sequential THM coupling: Benchmarking and validation against in-situ heating experiments in COx claystone

We apply thermoporoelasticity and a sequentially coupling technique for modeling thermally-driven coupled Thermo-Hydro-Mechanical (THM) processes in tight claystone. A THM benchmark case with a corresponding analytic solution for thermoporoelasticity under a constant heat loading verifies the model. Thereafter, two in situ heating experiments are simulated for model validation: a smaller-scale heating experiment (TED experiment) and a larger-scale experiment (ALC experiment) in Callovo-Oxfordian (COx) claystone at the Meuse/Haute-Marne underground research laboratory in France. The model exhibits good performance to match the observed temperature and pore pressure evolution for the smaller-scale TED experiment. For the larger-scale ALC experiment, general trends of thermal-pressurization are captured in the modeling, but pressure is underestimated at some monitoring points during cool-down. This indicates that the THM response in the field may be affected by the variability of rock's properties or irreversible or time-dependent mechanical processes that are not included in the current thermoporoelastic model. The main contributions of this work are as follows: (1) we verify and validate the numerical simulator, TOUGH-FLAC, to be a valuable coupled THM modeling tool; (2) prove that the laboratory determined material parameters can be used as reference values for upscaling experiments. However, to better identify and quantify THM processes with modeling of in situ tests, more emphasize should be dedicated to obtaining high-quality mechanical deformation data.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Recent Advances in Corrosion Science Applicable To Disposal of High-Level Nuclear Waste

High level radioactive waste is accumulating at temporary storage locations around the world and will eventually be placed in deep geological repositories. Many different types of geological formation are under consideration, but all will eventually allow water to contact the metallic waste containers considering that the period of performance required to allow sufficient decay of dangerous radionuclides is on the order of 105 – 106 years. Corrosion of the containers and waste forms in the aqueous repository environment is therefore a concern. This review describes the recent advances of the field of materials corrosion based on the work of the Center for Performance and Design of Nuclear Waste Forms and Containers (WastePD) to address the issues associated with the long-term performance assessment and the design of materials with improved performance, where performance is defined as resistance to aqueous corrosion. Glass, crystalline ceramics, and metals are discussed separately, and then the near field interactions of these different materials classes are addressed. Recommendations for future directions are provided.

Frankel, Gerald↗

Fast Advective Water Flow through Nanochannels in Clay Interlayers: Implications for Moisture Transport in Soils and Unconventional Oil/Gas Production

Water flow in nanometer or sub-nanometer hydrophilic channels bears special importance in diverse fields of science and engineering. However, the nature of such water flow remains elusive. In this work, we report our molecular-modeling results on water flow in a sub-nanometer clay interlayer between two montmorillonite layers. We show that a fast advective flow can be induced by evaporation at one end of the interlayer channel, that is, a large suction pressure created by evaporation (~818 MPa) is able to drive the fast water flow through the channel (~0.88 m/s for a 46 Å-long channel). Scaled up for the pressure gradient to a 2 μm particle, the velocity of water is estimated to be about 95 μm/s, indicating that water can quickly flow through a μm-sized clay particle within seconds. The prediction seems to be confirmed by our thermogravimetric analysis of bentonite hydration and dehydration processes, which indicates that water transport at the early stage of the dehydration is a fast advective process, followed by a slow diffusion process. The possible occurrence of a fast advective water flow in clay interlayers prompts us to reassess water transport in a broad set of natural and engineered systems such as clay swelling/shrinking, moisture transport in soils, water uptake by plants, water imbibition/release in unconventional hydrocarbon reservoirs, and cap rock integrity of supercritical CO 2 storage.

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The new K, Pb-bearing uranyl-oxide mineral kroupaite: Crystal-chemical implications for the structures of uranyl-oxide hydroxy-hydrates

Abstract Kroupaite (IMA 2017-031), ideally KPb0.5[(UO2)8O4(OH)10]·10H2O, is a new uranyl-oxide hydroxylhydrate mineral found underground in the Svornost mine, Jáchymov, Czechia. Electron-probe micro-analysis (WDS) provided the empirical formula (K1.28Na0.07)Σ1.35(Pb0.23Cu0.14Ca0.05Bi0.03Co0.02Al0.01)Σ0.48 [(UO2)7.90(SO4)0.04O4.04(OH)10.00]·10H2O, on the basis of 40 O atoms apfu. Sheets in the crystal structure of kroupaite adopt the fourmarierite anion topology, and therefore kroupaite belongs to the schoepite-family of minerals with related structures differing in the interlayer composition and arrangement, and charge of the sheets. Uptake of dangerous radionuclides (90Sr or 135Cs) into the structure of kroupaite and other uranyl-oxide hydroxy-hydrate is evaluated based on crystal-chemical considerations and Voronoi-Dirichlet polyhedra measures. These calculations show the importance of these phases for the safe disposal of nuclear waste.

Geochemistry & Geophysics↗