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Talk covers: (1) Problem of Engine Power Loss;(2) Modeling Engine Icing Effects; (3) Simulation of Engine Rollback; (4) Icing/Engine Control System Interaction; (5) Detection of Ice Accretion; (6) Potential Mitigation Strategies.
IC 5146 is a nearby (200pc) dark cloud complex in Cygnus. The lack of star formation activity makes it an excellent laboratory for the study of the chemical complexity in the earliest stages of dense molecular cloud evolution. We have used the Spitzer Infrared Spectrometer (IRS) to probe dust along 10 sight-lines toward K-Giant background stars, sampling a range of visual extinction from 2-20mag. Here we present 5-20micron spectra and correlation studies of the 6.0micron water-ice band and 9.7micron silicate absorption band with Av for a sample of our Spitzer program sources. Our IC5146 Spitzer data indicate grain growth and ice formation occurs early in the history of dense cloud formation. Each sight-line observed reveals the 9.7micron amorphous silicate absorption band. The highest Av sightlines show clear detections of ices at 6.0micron (water-ice mixture), 6.85micron (processed ice) and 15.2micron (CO2). However, sight-lines in the low-to-mid Av range provide intriguing variations. We may have the first example of two objects, one with ice features and one without, seen through the same cloud sightline with similar Av approx. 6 and similar silicate band optical depths. Also, the nominally expected linear correlation of Av with silicate band depth does not appear to hold for this cloud (turnover at Av approx.10-12). Both trends imply complexities in the grain growth at one of the earliest stages of dust and ice interaction ever observed. The highest extinction source in our sample, Av=20, reveals the 6.0micron (water), 6.85micron (processed ice), 9.7micron silicate and 15.2micron CO2 ice bands. Until recently, the 6.85micron band had only been detected towards embedded protostellar objects. Two additional quiescent dust sightlines from the C2D results now also indicate the 6.85micron band (Taurus and Serpens) by Knez et al. 2005, demonstrating the role of energetic processing within pristine ices prior to the onset of star formation.
REMOTE sensing using an airborne infrared lidar has shown an unexpected capability to detect open leads in Arctic sea ice and their associated meteorology in winter. It is shown here that vertical profiles of backscattered radiation demonstrate strong returns from hydrometeor plumes originating from leads having a surface water temperature near -1.8 C. Recently refrozen leads are also distinguishable by the lidar backscatter from adjacent thicker, older sea ice. Wide leads release enough energy to create buoyant plumes which penetrate the Arctic boundary layer inversion, transporting heat and moisture into the troposphere. These results show that the role of the Arctic as a global heat sink may need to be reevaluated, and that lead plumes have a significant effect on the radiation budget.
We report the spectroscopic detection of H2O ice on Triton, evidenced by the broad absorptions in the near infrared at 1.55 and 2.04 micron. The detection on Triton confirms earlier preliminary studies (D. P. Cruikshank, R. H. Brown, and R. N. Clark, Icarus 58, 293-305, 1984). The spectra support the contention that H2O ice on Triton is in a crystalline (cubic or hexagonal) phase. Our spectra (1.87-2.5 micron) taken over an interval of nearly 3.5 years do not show any significant changes that might relate to reports of changes in Triton's spectral reflectance (B. Buratti, M. D. Hicks, and R. L. Newburn, Jr., Nature 397, 219, 1999), or in Triton's volatile inventory (J. L. Elliot et al., Nature 393, 765-767, 1998).
The perennial ice area was drastically reduced to 38% of its climatological average in 2007 but recovered slightly in 2008, 2009, and 2010 with the areas being 10%, 24%, and 11% higher than in 2007, respectively. However, trends in extent and area remained strongly negative at -12.2% and -13.5% decade (sup -1), respectively. The thick component of the perennial ice, called multiyear ice, as detected by satellite data during the winters of 1979-2011 was studied, and results reveal that the multiyear ice extent and area are declining at an even more rapid rate of -15.1% and -17.2% decade(sup -1), respectively, with a record low value in 2008 followed by higher values in 2009, 2010, and 2011. Such a high rate in the decline of the thick component of the Arctic ice cover means a reduction in the average ice thickness and an even more vulnerable perennial ice cover. The decline of the multiyear ice area from 2007 to 2008 was not as strong as that of the perennial ice area from 2006 to 2007, suggesting a strong role of second-year ice melt in the latter. The sea ice cover is shown to be strongly correlated with surface temperature, which is increasing at about 3 times the global average in the Arctic but appears weakly correlated with the Arctic Oscillation (AO), which controls the atmospheric circulation in the region. An 8-9-yr cycle is apparent in the multiyear ice record, which could explain, in part, the slight recovery in the last 3 yr.
A major uncertainty in predicting sea level rise is the sensitivity of ice sheet mass balance to climate change, as well as the uncertainty in present mass balance. Since the annual water exchange is about 8 mm of global sea level equivalent, the +/- 25% uncertainty in current mass balance corresponds to +/- 2 mm/yr in sea level change. Furthermore, estimates of the sensitivity of the mass balance to temperature change range from perhaps as much as - 10% to + 10% per K. Although the overall ice mass balance and seasonal and inter-annual variations can be derived from time-series of ice surface elevations from satellite altimetry, satellite radar altimeters have been limited in spatial coverage and elevation accuracy. Nevertheless, new data analysis shows mixed patterns of ice elevation increases and decreases that are significant in terms of regional-scale mass balances. In addition, observed seasonal and interannual variations in elevation demonstrate the potential for relating the variability in mass balance to changes in precipitation, temperature, and melting. From 2001, NASA's ICESat laser altimeter mission will provide significantly better elevation accuracy and spatial coverage to 86 deg latitude and to the margins of the ice sheets. During 3 to 5 years of ICESat-1 operation, an estimate of the overall ice sheet mass balance and sea level contribution will be obtained. The importance of continued ice monitoring after the first ICESat is illustrated by the variability in the area of Greenland surface melt observed over 17-years and its correlation with temperature. In addition, measurement of ice sheet changes, along with measurements of sea level change by a series of ocean altimeters, should enable direct detection of ice level and global sea level correlations.
The perennial ice area was drastically reduced to 38% of its climatological average in 2007 but recovered somewhat in 2008, 2009 and 2010 with the areas being 10%, 24%, and 11% higher than in 2007, respectively. However, the trends in the extent and area remain strongly negative at -12.2% and -13.5 %/decade, respectively. The thick component of the perennial ice, called multiyear ice, as detected by satellite data in the winters of 1979 to 2011 was studied and results reveal that the multiyear ice extent and area are declining at an even more rapid rate of -15.1% and -17.2 % per decade, respectively, with record low value in 2008 followed by higher values in 2009, 2010 and 2011. Such high rate in the decline of the thick component of the Arctic ice cover means a reduction in average ice thickness and an even more vulnerable perennial ice cover. The decline of the multiyear ice area from 2007 to 2008 was not as strong as that of the perennial ice area from 2006 to 2007 suggesting a strong role of second year ice melt in the latter. The sea ice cover is shown to be strongly correlated with surface temperature which is increasing at about three times global average in the Arctic but appears weakly correlated with the AO which controls the dynamics of the region. An 8 to 9-year cycle is apparent in the multiyear ice record which could explain in part the slight recovery in the last three years.
The onset of the summer melt season is a key stage of the Arctic sea ice seasonal cycle and is an indicator of climate change. Surface melting of the bare or snow-covered sea ice is detected using passive microwave satellite observations. The data set presented here is a 44 year record of Arctic sea ice annual melt onset (MO) dates for 1979–2022 produced using an updated version of the Advanced Horizontal Range Algorithm (AHRA). This data product contains annual maps of the sea ice MO date and a set of descriptive statistics summarizing the data. This paper describes a new update of the AHRA methodology, now AHRA V5, including key changes to the algorithm starting date and sea ice mask methodology to improve estimates of early-season MO dates especially near the sea ice periphery. AHRA V5 data are suitable for monitoring trends in Arctic and regional sea ice MO dates and for process studies of atmosphere-sea ice interactions during the early spring and summer months.
Polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) are believed to be the most abundant and widespread class of organic compounds in the universe, having been observed in emission towards energetic regions and absorption towards colder ones.We will present IR spectra of PAHs and their cations in H20 ice measured in the laboratory in the hopes that this will facilitate the detection of these features in the interstellar medium.
Each fall, caribou (Rangifer tarandus) in the Western Arctic Herd migrate hundreds of kilometers across northwestern Alaska to acquire seasonal resources and reach wintering grounds. Various rivers intersect migration paths, and caribou can only cross over open water or high-ice extents but are unable to cross rivers in stages of partial freezing. Recent temperature increases in Alaska can alter the timing and duration of ice formation periods, impeding migratory patterns. The Massachusetts NASA DEVELOP team partnered with the National Park Service in Alaska to detect river ice onset dates and formation periods using Landsat 8 Operational Land Imager and Landsat 9 Operational Land Imager-2, Sentinel-1 C-band Synthetic Aperture Radar and Sentinel-2A/B MultiSpectral Instrument imagery in Google Earth Engine. This feasibility analysis measured ice coverage using the Normalized Difference Infrared Index, Relative Difference River Ice, and Vertical-Vertical/Vertical-Horizontal backscatter values based on the spectral and surface characteristics of rivers. The team produced annual freezing timelines, time series plots, and maps at three river stretches to analyze river ice phenology changes. Radar imagery assessed ice coverage more accurately, while optical imagery better identified ice onset dates. Meanwhile indices were unable to robustly establish ice formation thresholds across the study period. These study results can help the National Park Service to better evaluate spatiotemporal migratory shifts and contextualize recent regional caribou declines.
High Ice Water Content (HIWC) has been identified as a primary causal factor in numerous engine events over the past two decades. Previous attempts to develop a remote detection process utilizing modern commercial radars have failed to produce reliable results. This paper discusses the reasons for previous failures and describes a new technique that has shown very encouraging accuracy and range performance without the need for any hardware modifications to industry’s current radar designs. The performance of this new process was evaluated during the joint NASA/FAA HIWC RADAR II Flight Campaign in August of 2018. Results from that evaluation are discussed, along with the potential for commercial application, and development of minimum operational performance standards for a future commercial radar product.
The ice giant planets Uranus and Neptune are assumed to contain large amounts of planetary ices such as water, methane, and ammonia. The properties of mixtures of such ices at the extreme pressures and temperatures of planetary interiors are not yet well understood. Ab initio computer simulations have predicted that a number of ices exhibit a hydrogen superionic state and a doubly superionic state. Since the latter state has not yet been generated with experiments, we outline here two possible pathways for reaching and detecting such a state with dynamic compression experiments. Here, we suggest X-ray diffraction as the principal tool for detecting when the material becomes doubly superionic and the sublattice of one of the heavy nuclei melts. That would require a temperature of ~3500 K and pressures greater than ~200 GPa for H 3 NO 4 , which we use as an example material here. Such conditions can be reached with experiments that employ an initial shock that is followed by a ramp compression wave. Alternatively, one may use triple-shock compression because a single shock does not yield sufficiently high densities.
The author has identified the following significant results. Sea ice is detectable in all of the MSS bands and can be distinguished from clouds through a number of interpretive keys. Overall, MSS-4 and 5 appear to be better for mapping the ice edge, whereas MSS-7 provides greater detail in the ice features.
The information we have on the chemical compositions of the surfaces of Pluto and Charon has been obtained from Earth-based near-infrared spectroscopy. These bodies are seen in diffusely scattered sunlight upon which absorption bands diagnostic of specific ices are superimposed. Identified so far on Pluto are molecular nitrogen (N2), methane (CH4), carbon monoxide (CO), and ethane (C2H6), all in the frozen state. Charon has the clear spectral signature of H2O ice in the crystalline phase, plus an absorption band near 2.2 microns identified as a hydrated form of NH3. No diagnostic spectra of Pluto's other satellites are currently available. A fraction of Pluto's CH4 is dissolved in solid N2, which is in the hexagonal beta-phase. When a small concentration of CH4 exists in a N2 crystalline matrix, its absorption bands are shifted in wavelength by a small but detectable amount. Indeed the shifting of the CH4 bands is diagnostic of a host matrix. In the case of Pluto, the N2 band (2.148 microns) itself is detected, but for other trans-Neptunian objects where the N2 band cannot be seen, the shifted CH4 bands demonstrate the presence of N2 or (less likely) some other spectrally neutral and transparent matrix material (e.g., Ar). The absence of detectable CO2 and H2O ices on Pluto, while they are clearly present on the otherwise very similar Triton, is noteworthy. The ices of Pluto distributed non-uniformly across its surface, and the distribution shows long-term (decadal) changes. Both seasonal and secular changes may be occurring through transport across the surface as a result of changing temperature, and by seasonal changes in the vapor pressure equilibrium of the ice with the tenuous and variable atmosphere. Models of the photochemistry of the surface ices and the atmosphere of Pluto predict the presence of several materials not yet detected; the most abundant photoproducts are expected to be C2H2, C4H2, HCN, C2H6; HCN has been detected on Triton. Both Pluto and Charon have surface components in addition to the detected ices. These materials of presently unknown composition serve to reduce the albedos of both bodies below that expected for pure ices, and in the case of Pluto impart a yellow-brown coloration; the color of Charon is more nearly neutral. It is generally thought that the non-ice components are more refractory than the ices and that they may be complex carbonaceous materials derived from the ultraviolet and charged particle processing of the surface ices. Minerals are also plausible candidates for the non-ice fraction. The refractory colored components may constitute bedrock upon which variable amounts of the ices are alternately deposited and evaporated as the seasons change. Water ice is expected to be a component of the bedrock, although it has not yet been reliably identified.
Near-IR observations reveal that N2-rich ice containing small amounts of CH4, and CO, is abundant on the surfaces of Triton, a moon of Neptune, and Pluto. N2-rich ices may also exist, in interstellar environments. To investigate the radiation chemistry of such ices we performed a systematic IR study of ion-irradiated Nz-rich mixtures containing CH4 and CO. Irradiation of N2 + CH4 mixtures at 12 K, showed that HCN, HNC, diazomethane, and NH3 were produced. We also found that UV photolysis of these ices produced detectable HCN and HNC. Intrinsic band strengths, A(HCN) and A(HNC), were measured and used to calculate yields of HCN and HNC. Similar results were obtained on irradiation of N2 + CH4 + CO ices at 12 K, with the main difference being the formation of HNCO. In all cases we observed changes on warming. For example, when the temperature of irradiated Nz + CH4 + CO was raised from 12 to 30 K, HCN, HNC, and HNCO reacted with NH3, and OCN-, CN-, N3-, and NH4+ were produced. These ions, appearing at 30 K, are expected to form and survive on the surfaces of Triton, Pluto, and interstellar grains. Our results have astrobiological implications since some of these radiation products are involved in the syntheses of biomolecules such as amino acids and peptides.
Evidence for the presence of ice and fluids near the surface of Mars in both the distant and recent past is growing with each new mission to the Planet. One explanation for fluids forming springlike features on Mars is the discharge of subsurface brines. Brines offer potential refugia for extant Martian life, and near surface ice could preserve a record of past life on the planet. Proven techniques to get underground to sample these environments, and get below the disruptive influence of the surface oxidant and radiation regime, will be critical for future astrobiology missions to Mars. Our Astrobiology for Science and Technology for Exploring Planets (ASTEP) project has the goal to develop and test a novel ultrasonic corer in a Mars analog environment, the McMurdo Dry valleys, Antarctica, and to detect and describe life in a previously unstudied extreme ecosystem; Lake Vida (Fig. 1), an ice-sealed lake.
Volcanic eruptions emit large amounts of sulfur dioxide (SO2), water, and other chemicals into the atmosphere, both in the troposphere and the stratosphere. Most of the SO2 is converted to sulfate aerosol, which is eventually deposited following long-range transport. The deposits from large eruptions are potentially detectable in ice cores, but there are many cases in which sulfate layers have not been linked to their source volcanoes. As volcanoes can act as significant shocks to the global climate system, we are interested in locating these eruptions in order to increase understanding of the volcanic record. To narrow down the search, we performed 140 simulations of volcanic eruptions using the GISS ModelE Earth system model. We varied the latitude, longitude, Julian day, plume top, plume bottom, and injected SO2 and H2O amounts using a Latin hypercube sampling approach, and analyzed correlations between these parameters and sulfate depositions at ice core sites in Antarctica and Greenland. Using machine learning and parameter estimation, we generated probability distributions and maximum likelihood estimates for the parameters given sulfate deposition data, which can predict latitude with some skill. We find that the volcano latitude and SO2 content are best correlated with sulfate depositions at each pole, while longitude, Julian day, and H2O have small or insignificant effects. Plume altitude and thickness are important because they determine how much of the SO2 is injected into the stratosphere, which has implications for sulfur transport and lifetimes.
An airborne imaging 92/183 GHz radiometer was recently flown onboard NASA's Convair 990 research aircraft during the February 1983 Bering Sea Marginal Ice Zone Experiment (MIZEX-WEST). The 92 GHz portion of the radiometer was used to gather ice signature data and to generate real-time millimeter wave images of the marginal ice zone. Dry atmospheric conditions in the Arctic resulted in good surface ice signature data for the 183 GHz double sideband (DSB) channel situated + or - 8.75 GHz away from the water vapor absorption line. The radiometer's beam scanner imaged the marginal ice zone over a + or - 45 degrees swath angle about the aircraft nadir position. The aircraft altitude was 30,000 feet (9.20 km) maximum and 3,000 feet (0.92 km) minimum during the various data runs. Calculations of the minimum detectable target (ice) size for the radiometer as a function of aircraft altitude were performed. In addition, the change in the atmospheric attenuation at 92 GHz under varying weather conditions was incorporated into the target size calculations. A radiometric image of surface ice at 92 GHz in the marginal ice zone is included.