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DOE OSTI2024

Probabilistic Programming for Transportable Source Characterization and Uncertainty Quantification of the North Korean Nuclear Tests 2006–2017

Here, we introduce a transportable technique to determine the yield and depth of burial (DOB) from seismic source spectra of underground nuclear explosions. We demonstrate this technique on the six declared North Korean nuclear tests. This approach derives source spectra in absolute units from regional phase (Pg) amplitudes by correcting the observations for geometric spreading, attenuation, and site amplification. We couple the source spectra and explosion source models with a probabilistic programming framework that integrates deep learning techniques and Bayesian modeling. This approach permits the exchange of information across various data categories to quantify both the data and model uncertainty. This technique stands out as an innovative use of broad‐area propagation models, making it transportable across various geologic settings. This method proves to be effective in scenarios with diverse and/or limited observational data, even when the source depth is unknown. We present new independent estimates of absolute yield and DOB that are consistent with the prior assessments, underscoring the potential of this method in enhancing transportable nuclear explosion monitoring capabilities.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

NASA NTRS1997

A Comparison of PETSC Library and HPF Implementations of an Archetypal PDE Computation

Two paradigms for distributed-memory parallel computation that free the application programmer from the details of message passing are compared for an archetypal structured scientific computation a nonlinear, structured-grid partial differential equation boundary value problem using the same algorithm on the same hardware. Both paradigms, parallel libraries represented by Argonne's PETSC, and parallel languages represented by the Portland Group's HPF, are found to be easy to use for this problem class, and both are reasonably effective in exploiting concurrency after a short learning curve. The level of involvement required by the application programmer under either paradigm includes specification of the data partitioning (corresponding to a geometrically simple decomposition of the domain of the PDE). Programming in SPAM style for the PETSC library requires writing the routines that discretize the PDE and its Jacobian, managing subdomain-to-processor mappings (affine global- to-local index mappings), and interfacing to library solver routines. Programming for HPF requires a complete sequential implementation of the same algorithm, introducing concurrency through subdomain blocking (an effort similar to the index mapping), and modest experimentation with rewriting loops to elucidate to the compiler the latent concurrency. Correctness and scalability are cross-validated on up to 32 nodes of an IBM SP2.

Hayder, M. Ehtesham↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Statistical learning framework for safety and failure analysis of a DNN-based autonomous aircraft system

Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) and Machine Learning technology is increasingly used for safety-critical applications in the Aerospace domain. To ensure safe operations, the DNN and the system must undergo rigorous verification and validation, including advanced statistical analyses. Performance and safety of the DNN and system behavior must not only be analyzed for the nominal case, but under numerous off-nominal and failure cases. In this paper we will describe how our statistical learning framework SYSAI can efficiently perform such analyses using the tool’s unique combination of advanced learning modeling and statistical analysis techniques. SYSAI can effectively explore the high-dimensional state and failure space of the system under test; geometrical shape detection of safety regions and boundaries support explainability of the results to the designer. In this paper, we report experiments and results obtained with a vision-based DNN control system (ACT) that is capable of autonomously steering an aircraft down a runway.

Yuning He↗

DOE OSTI2014

Fabrication and Measurements of 500 MHz Double Spoke Cavity

A 500 MHz β0=1 double spoke cavity has been designed and optimized for a high velocity application such as a compact electron accelerator at the Center for Accelerator Science at Old Dominion University [1] and the fabrication was recently completed at Jefferson Lab. The geometry specific to the double spoke cavity required a variety of tooling and fixtures. Also a number of asymmetric weld joints were expected to make it difficult to maintain minimal geometric deviation from the design. This paper will report the fabrication procedure, resulting tolerance from the design, initial test results and the lessons learned from the first β0=1 double spoke cavity fabrication.

Park, HyeKyoung↗

DOE OSTI2016

CFD Predictions of Severe Accident Natural Circulation Flows in a Combustion Engineering PWR

Computational fluid dynamics (CFD) is used to predict natural circulation flows between a reactor vessel upper plenum and a steam generator during specific severe accidents in a pressurized-water reactor (PWR). The predictions are based on a model for a simplified Combustion Engineering (CE) design. This work is part of a larger study to investigate the potential for severe accident induced steam generator (SG) tube failures in PWRs being conducted by the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Office of Nuclear Regulatory Research. The CFD model builds upon the lessons learned from previous studies of a generic Westinghouse PWR under similar conditions. The CE SG is significantly larger than the Westinghouse design and geometric differences are expected to reduce the mixing and increase the potential thermal challenge to the SG tubes. The CFD predictions are utilized to improve the basis for simplified flow and mixing models applied in one-dimensional severe accident codes. Parameters are determined to support system code modeling of hot leg and SG inlet plenum mixing, hot leg and SG tube bundle flow rates, and tube inlet temperatures. This updated modeling uses boundary conditions obtained from system analysis code predictions of severe accident behavior in a CE PWR. Model refinements include an improved tube bundle representation and improvements to the thermal boundary conditions. Results indicate less mixing and higher tube inlet temperatures for the CE design compared to previous Westinghouse studies. (author)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2019

Machine-Learning Analysis of Moisture Carryover in Boiling Water Reactors

Moisture carryover (MCO) is modeled in the General Electric Type-4 boiling water reactor (BWR) using machine-learning methods and data from operating plants. Understanding MCO and the conditions that give rise to an elevated value is important since excessive MCO can damage critical turbine components, can result in elevated dose levels to on-site personnel, and can interfere with late-cycle power management. The analysis of MCO takes into account simplifying reactor symmetries and important geometric dependencies. The plant data are taken from several reactors and were collected over multiple years and multiple fuel cycles. A brief description of the origin of MCO in U.S. BWR plants is given. A machine-learning model is constructed from the data using applicable algorithms and data-reduction techniques. Matching model complexity with available data is one of the more challenging machine-learning tasks. Too many features and too little data will lead to overfitting. The data for each fuel cycle included over 6876 original features, 9 for each fuel bundle. Two approaches are used to reduce the data set into a manageable number of features. The first was an engineering analysis that resulted in the selection of steam quality Q and steam liquid phase velocity V L as the main features driving MCO. Using a Q and a V L for each fuel bundle gives 1528 Q and a V L feature describing the reactor behavior. An analysis of different functional forms of these two variables led to the actual inputs to the neural network model. The second approach involved the use of statistical techniques such as Pearson’s correlation and k-means analysis. The identified groupings of bundles behaved similarly. Treating each grouping as a single feature further reduced the input variable set to a manageable number. Here, a model selection criterion is proposed, and results are presented along with a discussion of related issues.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2020

Deep Learning-Based Queue-Aware Eco-Approach and Departure System for Plug-In Hybrid Electric Buses at Signalized Intersections: A Simulation Study

Eco-Approach and Departure (EAD) has been considered as a promising eco-driving strategy for vehicles traveling in an urban environment, where information such as signal phase and timing (SPaT) and geometric intersection description is well utilized to guide vehicles passing through intersections in the most energy-efficient manner. Previous studies formulated the optimal trajectory planning problem as finding the shortest path on a graphical model. While this method is effective in terms of energy saving, its computation efficiency can be further enhanced by adopting machine learning techniques. In this paper, we propose an innovative deep learning-based queue-aware eco-approach and departure (DLQ-EAD) system for a plug-in hybrid electric bus (PHEB), which is able to provide an online optimal trajectory for the vehicle considering both the downstream traffic condition (i.e. traffic lights, queues) and the vehicle powertrain efficiency. Based on optimal solutions obtained from the graph-based trajectory planning algorithm (GTPA), a deep neural network (DNN) is developed to learn the optimal vehicle speed for the next time step given its current state. It is demonstrated that the trained DNN can provide energy-efficient trajectories with high computational efficiency and high flexibility adopting to dynamic changes in the surrounding environment. To address the impact of downstream traffic, a queue prediction model is further developed using data from radars and connected vehicles (CVs), as well as signal timing data from SPaT messages. A comprehensive simulation study in the microscopic traffic modeling software PTV VISSIM shows that the proposed DLQ-EAD can achieve 18.7%-24.0% energy efficiency improvements for a single PHEB on various traffic congestion levels. The proposed queue prediction model can be of practical significance even at low penetration rates of CVs. Specifically, additional energy savings of 2.0%-8.2% can be further achieved with 20% vehicles in the network.

Ye, Fei↗

DOE OSTI2026

Machine learning guided prediction of solute segregation at coherent and semi-coherent metal/oxide interfaces

Investigation of semi-coherent metal/oxide interfaces with misfit dislocations using density functional theory (DFT) is computationally intensive to the point of being prohibitive, as it involves several hundreds to many thousands of atoms. In this study, we examined the solute segregation behavior at the Fe/Y 2 O 3 interface—a model interface for cladding applications in nuclear fission reactors—using a combination of DFT calculations and machine learning (ML) approaches. Both coherent and semi-coherent interfaces were considered. ML models were trained on DFT-calculated segregation energies to identify the key chemical, geometric and strain energy related features that govern solute segregation behavior at coherent Fe/Y 2 O 3 interfaces. Furthermore, it was found that ML models when trained on DFT calculated segregation energy of elements at a coherent interface, comprising of about a hundred-atom supercell, can predict the segregation energy of elements at a semi-coherent Fe/Y 2 O 3 interface (with multiple hundreds of atoms) at a fraction of computational cost (1/35th), with an accuracy comparable to DFT calculations.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2026

Evaluating the Limits of QAOA Parameter Transfer at High-Rounds on Sparse Ising Models With Geometrically Local Cubic Terms

The emergent practical applicability of the Quantum Approximate Optimization Algorithm (QAOA) for approximate combinatorial optimization is a subject of considerable interest. One of the primary limitations of QAOA is the task of finding a set of good parameters, which is usually done using a variational optimization loop. Parameter transfer, or parameter concentration, is a phenomenon where QAOA angles trained on problem instances that are self-similar tend to perform well for other problem instances from that similar class. This suggests a potentially highly efficient and scalable non-variational learning method for QAOA angle finding. In this work, we systematically study QAOA parameter transferability from small problem sizes (16 and 27 decision variables) onto large problem instances (up to 156 qubits) for heavy-hex graph Ising models with geometrically local higher order terms using the Julia based QAOA simulation tool \texttt{JuliQAOA} to perform classical angle finding for up to $49$ QAOA layers ($p$). Parameter transfer of the fixed angles is validated using a combination of full statevector, Projected Entangled Pair States (PEPS), Matrix Product State (MPS), and LOWESA numerical simulations. We find that the QAOA parameter transfer from single instances applied to other (unseen) problem instances does not in general provide monotonically improving performance as a function of $p$ - there are many cases where the performance temporarily decreases as a function of $p$ - but despite this the transferred angles have a general trend of improved expectation value as the QAOA depth increases, in many cases converging close to the true ground-state energy of the $100+$ qubit instances. We also sample the hardware-compatible Ising models using the ensemble of transfer-learned QAOA parameters on several superconducting qubit IBM Quantum processors with 127, 133, and 156 qubits. We find continuous solution quality improvement of the hardware-compatible QAOA circuits run on the IBM NISQ processors up to $p=5$ on \texttt{ibm\_fez}, up to $p=9$ on \texttt{ibm\_torino}, and up to $p=10$ on \texttt{ibm\_pittsburgh}.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

DOE OSTI2016

Initial study of Schroedinger eigenmaps for spectral target detection

Spectral target detection refers to the process of searching for a specific material with a known spectrum over a large area containing materials with different spectral signatures. Traditional target detection methods in hyperspectral imagery (HSI) require assuming the data fit some statistical or geometric models and based on the model, to estimate parameters for defining a hypothesis test, where one class (i.e., target class) is chosen over the other classes (i.e., background class). Nonlinear manifold learning methods such as Laplacian eigenmaps (LE) have extensively shown their potential use in HSI processing, specifically in classification or segmentation. Recently, Schroedinger eigenmaps (SE), which is built upon LE, has been introduced as a semisupervised classification method. In SE, the former Laplacian operator is replaced by the Schroedinger operator. The Schroedinger operator includes by definition, a potential term V that steers the transformation in certain directions improving the separability between classes. In this regard, we propose a methodology for target detection that is not based on the traditional schemes and that does not need the estimation of statistical or geometric parameters. This method is based on SE, where the potential term V is taken into consideration to include the prior knowledge about the target class and use it to steer the transformation in directions where the target location in the new space is known and the separability between target and background is augmented. An initial study of how SE can be used in a target detection scheme for HSI is shown here. Inscene pixel and spectral signature detection approaches are presented. Finally, the HSI data used comprise various target panels for testing simultaneous detection of multiple objects with different complexities.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2018

Representability of algebraic topology for biomolecules in machine learning based scoring and virtual screening

This work introduces a number of algebraic topology approaches, including multi-component persistent homology, multi-level persistent homology, and electrostatic persistence for the representation, characterization, and description of small molecules and biomolecular complexes. In contrast to the conventional persistent homology, multi-component persistent homology retains critical chemical and biological information during the topological simplification of biomolecular geometric complexity. Multi-level persistent homology enables a tailored topological description of inter- and/or intra-molecular interactions of interest. Electrostatic persistence incorporates partial charge information into topological invariants. These topological methods are paired with Wasserstein distance to characterize similarities between molecules and are further integrated with a variety of machine learning algorithms, including k-nearest neighbors, ensemble of trees, and deep convolutional neural networks, to manifest their descriptive and predictive powers for protein-ligand binding analysis and virtual screening of small molecules. Extensive numerical experiments involving 4,414 protein-ligand complexes from the PDBBind database and 128,374 ligand-target and decoy-target pairs in the DUD database are performed to test respectively the scoring power and the discriminatory power of the proposed topological learning strategies. It is demonstrated that the present topological learning outperforms other existing methods in protein-ligand binding affinity prediction and ligand-decoy discrimination.

Biochemistry & Molecular Biology↗

DOE OSTI2024

Size-Resolved Shape Evolution in Inorganic Nanocrystals Captured via High-Throughput Deep Learning-Driven Statistical Characterization

Precise size and shape control in nanocrystal synthesis is essential for utilizing nanocrystals in various industrial applications, such as catalysis, sensing, and energy conversion. However, traditional ensemble measurements often overlook the subtle size and shape distributions of individual nanocrystals, hindering the establishment of robust structure–property relationships. In this study, we uncover intricate shape evolutions and growth mechanisms in Co 3 O 4 nanocrystal synthesis at a subnanometer scale, enabled by deep-learning-assisted statistical characterization. By first controlling synthetic parameters such as cobalt precursor concentration and water amount then using high resolution electron microscopy imaging to identify the geometric features of individual nanocrystals, this study provides insights into the interplay between synthesis conditions and the sizedependent shape evolution in colloidal nanocrystals. Utilizing population-wide imaging data encompassing over 441,067 nanocrystals, we analyze their characteristics and elucidate previously unobserved size-resolved shape evolution. This high-throughput statistical analysis is essential for representing the entire population accurately and enables the study of the size dependency of growth regimes in shaping nanocrystals. Our findings provide experimental quantification of the growth regime transition based on the size of the crystals, specifically (i) for faceting and (ii) from thermodynamic to kinetic, as evidenced by transitions from convex to concave polyhedral crystals. Additionally, we introduce the concept of an “onset radius,” which describes the critical size thresholds at which these transitions occur. This discovery has implications beyond achieving nanocrystals with desired morphology; it enables finely tuned correlation between geometry and material properties, advancing the field of colloidal nanocrystal synthesis and its applications.

77 NANOSCIENCE AND NANOTECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

Bond-centric modular design of protein assemblies

Directional interactions that generate regular coordination geometries are a powerful means of guiding molecular and colloidal self-assembly, but implementing such high-level interactions with proteins remains challenging due to their complex shapes and intricate interface properties. Here we describe a modular approach to protein nanomaterial design inspired by the rich chemical diversity that can be generated from the small number of atomic valencies. We design protein building blocks using deep learning-based generative tools, incorporating regular coordination geometries and tailorable bonding interactions that enable the assembly of diverse closed and open architectures guided by simple geometric principles. Experimental characterization confirms the successful formation of more than 20 multicomponent polyhedral protein cages, two-dimensional arrays and three-dimensional protein lattices, with a high (10%–50%) success rate and electron microscopy data closely matching the corresponding design models. Due to modularity, individual building blocks can assemble with different partners to generate distinct regular assemblies, resulting in an economy of parts and enabling the construction of reconfigurable networks for designer nanomaterials.

Biomaterials – proteins↗

DOE OSTI2015

MO-G-304-02: Knowledge Based DVH Prediction Using a Geometric Dose Transform

Purpose: To demonstrate a novel method for predicting patient dose-volume histograms (DVHs) using a prior database of optimized radiotherapy treatment plans. Such predicted DVHs could be useful for automating treatment planning. Methods: Our initial demonstration utilized a database of 100 prostate intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) data-sets. Each data-set contained a CT image with contours of the planning target volume (PTV), rectum, and bladder, the parameters of a clinically approved IMRT plan, and a corresponding simulated dose distribution. We applied a novel geometric transformation to remove the influence of the PTV size, shape, and location on the dose distribution. We termed the transformed distribution the geometrically normalized dose distribution (GNDD). This normalization transform was applied to 80 data-sets randomly selected from the database, and a population GNDD was computed as the average. Next, the population GNDD was mapped onto each of the remaining 20 patient datasets using the reverse of the geometric normalization transform, and predicted DVHs were calculated from the reverse transformed dose distributions (GNDD-DVHs). In addition, a state of the art machine learning based method from the literature was tested for comparison. Results: DVH prediction accuracy was quantified by calculating the relative root mean squared error (rRMSE) on predicted DVHs for the 20 test patients using their known DVHs. For bladder, rectum, and PTV average rRMSEs for the GNDD method were 9.7 ± 4.2%, 13.9 ± 6.0%, and 2.3 ± 0.5% respectively. Prediction results using GNDD were roughly equivalent to that from the machine learning method. Conclusion: We developed a new method for predicting DVH curves from a database of prior patient plans. We demonstrated that our simple approach achieves accuracy comparable to a method using a complicated machine learning based approach.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

High-Throughput Screening of Li Solid-State Electrolytes With Bond Valence Methods and Graph Neural Networks

Li-based solid-state electrolyte (Li-SSE) materials enable safer, all-solid-state batteries but the computational search for candidates with favorable stability and Li-ion conductivity is challenging due to the size of the search space and the cost of evaluating transport properties with ab initio methods. We present a high-throughput screening approach for Li-SSE materials using a combination of bond-valence methods and graph neural networks. We demonstrate the screening approach with a dataset containing tens of thousands of Li-containing compounds. Furthermore, we combine the machine-learning screening procedure with an isovalent substitution scheme to generate and screen additional Li SSE candidates beyond existing databases. Finally, we discuss relative importances of geometric and bond-valence quantities in the training of graph neural networks, providing insight for future modeling of ionic conductivity in Li-SSE materials.

Materials discovery↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Screening of Li-Based Solid Electrolytes Using Bond-Valence Methods and Graph Neural Networks

Materials discovery↗

DOE OSTI2026

Algorithm to extract direction in 2D discrete distributions and a continuous Frobenius norm

In this study, we present a novel algorithm for determining directionality in 2D distributions of discrete data. We compare a reference dataset with a known direction to a measured dataset with an unknown direction by the Frobenius norm of the difference (FND) to find the unknown direction. To generalize this concept, we develop a continuous Frobenius norm of the difference (CFND) as a continuous analog of the FND and derive its analytical expression. By relating fitted and normalized 2D Gaussian distributions, we show that the CFND approximates the FND, and we validate this relationship with computer simulations. We find that a first-order approximation of the CFND between two similar Gaussian distributions takes the form of an absolute sine function, offering a simple analytical form with potential applications in specialized areas such as segmented inverse beta decay neutrino detectors, astronomy, machine learning, and more. Our methodology consists of modeling a 2D Gaussian distribution, binning the data into a histogram, and encoding it as a square matrix. Rotating this matrix around its geometric center and comparing it to a measured dataset using the FND gives us rotational data that we fit with an absolute sine function. The location of the minimum of this fit is the angle closest to the true angle of the direction in the measured dataset. We present the derivation and discuss initial applications of the CFND in our novel algorithm, demonstrating its success in approximating directionality in 2D distributions.

Physics↗

DOE OSTI2026

Data mining and computational screening of Rashba-Dresselhaus splitting and optoelectronic properties in two-dimensional perovskite materials

Recent developments highlighting the promise of two-dimensional perovskites have vastly increased the compositional search space in the perovskite family. This presents a great opportunity for the realization of highly performant devices and practical challenges associated with the identification of candidate materials. High-fidelity computational screening offers great value in this regard. In this study, we carry out a multiscale computational workflow, generating a dataset of two-dimensional perovskites in the Dion-Jacobson and Ruddlesden-Popper phases. Our dataset comprises ten B-site cations, four halogens, and over 20 organic cations across over 2000 materials. We compute electronic properties, thermoelectric performance, and numerous geometric characteristics. Furthermore, we introduce a framework for the high-throughput computation of Rashba-Dresselhaus splitting. Finally, we use this dataset to train machine learning models for the accurate prediction of band gaps, candidate Rashba-Dresselhaus materials, and partial charges. The work presented herein can aid future investigations of two-dimensional perovskites with targeted applications in mind.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗