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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 163 records · Page 9

Estimation of pipe failure frequencies in the absence of operational experience data: A pilot study

Probabilistic failure metrics such as leak frequency and rupture frequency are commonly used to characterize piping reliability. The methodologies for calculating the failure metrics rely on a complex set of input parameters. Operating experience data and experimental data play an important role in informing the different input parameters. The paper describes results and conclusions of a coordinated research project to benchmark three different reliability models using a four-step procedure: reference case definition of relevance to advanced reactor designs, input parameter calibration, validation of results, and application of different methodologies upon completion of the calibration and validation steps. The reference case is a weld consisting of nickel-base alloy 152/52 and located within a primary pressure boundary of an advanced reactor. This alloy is a class of structural materials known to be highly resistant to stress corrosion cracking. Synergies between the different methods are noted and the importance of a multi-disciplinary approach to input parameter development is underscored. A key conclusion is that the three methods are equally suitable for estimating failure frequencies. In any specific application, a selection of the most practical or effective computational tool can be considered. The comparison of alternative models confirms and helps to gain confidence in the computed failure frequency estimates. The study was part of a coordinated research project organized by the International Atomic Energy Agency.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

A Comparison of Electronic Structure Methods for Predicting the Hydrogenation Energies of Candidate Molecules for Hydrogen Storage

The development of novel energy materials and fuels is required to expand current available energy sources. Aiming to reach this goal, there is growing interest in using molecular hydrogen as an energy carrier due to its abundance and high energy density. Liquid organic hydrogen carriers (LOHCs) are a promising route to the large-scale storage and transport of hydrogen for use in the energy economy. The search for thermodynamically viable LOHC molecules for real world use has led to a set of constraints on the dehydrogenation enthalpy and the minimum gravimetric hydrogen capacity. These constraints allow one to formulate the search for an ideal LOHC candidate molecule as an optimization problem well suited to the strengths of machine learning and artificial intelligence computational approaches. A critical barrier to a large-scale, high-throughput screening of LOHC candidate molecules is the lack of reliable training data. Computational electronic structure methods including density functional theory, coupled cluster approximations, and diffusion Monte Carlo can be used to provide training data where experimental data are either unreliable or do not exist. In this work, we use these methods to calculate the dehydrogenation energies and enthalpies of candidate LOHC molecules.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Machine learning methods for probabilistic locked-mode predictors in tokamak plasmas

A rotating tokamak plasma can interact resonantly with the external helical magnetic perturbations, also known as error fields. This can lead to locking and then to disruptions. We leverage machine learning (ML) methods to predict the locking events. We use a coupled third-order nonlinear ordinary differential equation model to represent the interaction of the magnetic perturbation and the plasma rotation with the error field. This model is sufficient to describe qualitatively the locking and unlocking bifurcations. Here, we explore using ML algorithms with the simulation data and experimental data, focusing on the methods that can be used with sparse datasets. These methods lead to the possibility of the avoidance of locking in real-time operations. We describe the operational space in terms of two control parameters: the magnitude of the error field and the rotation frequency associated with the momentum source that maintains the plasma rotation. The outcomes are quan- tified by order parameters that completely characterize the state, whether locked or unlocked. We use unsupervised ML methods to classify locked/unlocked states and note the usefulness of a certain normalization of the order parameters. Three supervised ML classifiers are used in suite to estimate the probability of locking in the region of control parameter space with hysteresis, i.e., the set of control parameters for which both locked and unlocked states can exist. The results show that a neural network gives the best estimate of the locking probability. An analogy of the present locking model with the van der Waals equation of state is also provided.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

A modified many-body dissipative particle dynamics model for mesoscopic fluid simulation: methodology, calibration, and application for hydrocarbon and water

The many-body dissipative particle dynamics (mDPD) is a prominent mesoscopic multiphase model for fluid transport in mesoconfinement. However, it has been a long-standing challenge for mDPD (and other multiphase-enabled DPD models) to accurately predict real-fluid static and dynamic properties simultaneously. We have developed a modified mDPD model to overcome the issue and a rigorous calibration approach that uses reference data, including experimental and/or molecular dynamics (MD) simulations to parameterise the modified mDPD for real fluids. We choose heptane as a representative example of hydrocarbon in source rocks to demonstrate the model's capability to accurately predict the equation of state (EOS), free surface tension, diffusivity, and viscosity. Our timing test shows that the modified mDPD is 400–500 times faster than its MD counterpart for simulating bulk heptane in equivalent volumes. To further demonstrate the robustness of the model, we revisited the benchmark problem of mesoscopic modelling of water, in which all the previous works on DPD reported only a limited portion of the water properties. Here, we show that the modified mDPD can provide accurate modelling of water static and dynamic properties and an EOS that matches the experimental data to a large range of confinement pressure.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Dynamic model-based feature extraction for fault detection and diagnosis of a supermarket refrigeration system

With the increasing concerns over climate change and carbon emissions, fault detection and diagnostics (FDD) of low–global warming potential (GWP) refrigerant supermarket refrigeration systems has gained great attention from academic and industrial sectors. Various FDD approaches have been developed to detect, identify, and diagnose faults to save energy, improve food quality, and protect the environment. Here, to mitigate the difficulty of collecting high-quality steady-state operational data in field operations faced by most model-based FDD methods, this study developed dynamic models of a low–GWP refrigerant (CO 2 ) supermarket refrigeration system. The model accuracy was validated using manufacturer data and experimental data. Simulations were conducted to predict the system dynamic response under two common operational faults—evaporator air path blockage fault and the display case door open fault—to identify fault patterns and define key dynamic behavior indexes for supporting FDD algorithm development.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Characterization of ELM pacing via vertical jogs on DIII-D

Edge localized mode (ELM) pacing via vertical plasma oscillations or jogging has been successfully demonstrated on DIII-D. Rapid vertical movement of the plasma toward the X-point has been shown to effectively trigger ELMs. By vertically oscillating the plasma at a rate of 10 Hz, the ELM frequency increased from ~5 Hz, the natural ELM frequency in similar DIII-D discharges, to 20 Hz. Downward jogs have been observed to trigger multiple ELMs in one cycle. ELMs triggered at higher than natural frequencies lead to smaller decreases in stored energy, from 8% to as little as below 1%. As a consequence, the peak heat flux to the divertor has been observed to be reduced by a factor of ~2. In addition, a reduction in the carbon impurity concentration has been observed. During downward jogs in the lower single null (LSN) configuration, the X-point movement is slower and smaller than the top of the plasma. As a result, a reduction in the plasma cross-section and hence volume has been observed. To understand the mechanism of ELM triggering by jogging, a toy model of the edge toroidal current has been built and tested with DIII-D experiment data. The experimental data and model suggest that when the plasma moves down toward the X-point, a net positive toroidal current is locally induced in the edge region. ELITE stability analysis suggests that this current pushes the plasma state across the peeling side of the peeling–ballooning stability boundary into the unstable region triggering ELMs.

ELM pacing↗

Design Optimization and Measurement Uncertainty of an Electromagnetic Level Sensor for Liquid Metal Reactors

Here, this article describes the design and operation of a prototype mutual inductance level sensor (MILS) and the development and validation of a finite-element analysis (FEA) model describing its behavior. The MILS was designed for use in liquid sodium up to temperatures of 650 °C in the Mechanisms Engineering Test Loop (METL) at Argonne National Laboratory (ANL). Preliminary testing was performed in a room temperature test stand with aluminum acting as an analog for the sodium to better understand sensor performance and provide accurate code validation data. This experimental data, along with material properties found in literature, were used to validate an FEA model in ANSYS Maxwell. The validated ANSYS Maxwell model was used to examine the performance of the MILS in various environments and under various operating conditions. Simulations suggest the following: The MILS will perform adequately in liquid sodium and liquid lead at temperatures up to 650 °C . The temperature dependence of electrical conductivity imposes a temperature dependence on the sensor that requires proper compensation. The MILS signal sensitivity is maximized when mutual inductance between sensor coils is maximized, and sensor geometry should be selected to account for this factor. The operating frequency of the MILS can be optimized and is dependent on process fluid material, operating temperature, and materials/geometry of sensor system. Finally, the use of a stainless-steel isolating thimble does not adversely affect the sensor signal. The primary sources of error for this MILS system are the accuracy of the calibration standard against which the sensor is calibrated, and the temperature dependence of the sensor. This work contains all the necessary details to recreate the FEA model and results. This model can be used to optimize the performance of a MILS in any operating environment to read any electrically conductive working fluid.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Medium-Scale Methanol Pool Fire Model Validation

In this work, medium scale (30 cm diameter) methanol pool fires were simulated using the latest fire modeling suite implemented in Sierra/Fuego, a low Mach number multiphysics reacting flow code. The sensitivity of model outputs to various model parameters was studied with the objective of providing model validation. This work also assesses model performance relative to other recently published large eddy simulations (LES) of the same validation case. Two pool surface boundary conditions were simulated. The first was a prescribed fuel mass flux and the second used an algorithm to predict mass flux based on a mass and energy balance at the fuel surface. Gray gas radiation model parameters (absorption coefficients and gas radiation sources) were varied to assess radiant heat losses to the surroundings and pool surface. The radiation model was calibrated by comparing the simulated radiant fraction of the plume to experimental data. The effects of mesh resolution were also quantified starting with a grid resolution representative of engineering type fire calculations and then uniformly refining that mesh in the plume region. Simulation data were compared to experimental data collected at the University of Waterloo and the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST). Validation data included plume temperature, radial and axial velocities, velocity temperature turbulent correlations, velocity velocity turbulent correlations, radiant and convective heat fluxes to the pool surface, and plume radiant fraction. Additional analyses were performed in the pool boundary layer to assess simulated flame anchoring and the effect on convective heat fluxes. This work assesses the capability of the latest Fuego physics and chemistry model suite and provides additional insight into pool fire modeling for nonluminous, non-sooting flames.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Solovay-Kitaev Algorithm and Randomized Compilation Data Availability

This zipped folder contains simulation notebooks, simulated data, and experimental data from the QSCOUT trapped-ion device that were used in the publication "Solovay-Kitaev Algorithm and Randomized Compilation" (https://doi.org/10.1103/ll6m-dbl7). The raw data is in the form of measurement outcomes of simple tomographic quantum circuits that were executed on the QSCOUT device and simulated using JAQALPAQ. These data are used to create plots within the jupyter notebooks that were included in the publication.

Quantum benchmarking↗

Consistent Evaluation of the Prompt-fission Neutron Spectrum and Multiplicity for n+ 235,238 U and n+ 239 Pu

This report was written to satisfy a FY20 NCSP milestone on 235,238 U and 239 Pu. The milestone requires to “finalize a report assessing our methodology to evaluate prompt-fission neutron spectrum (PFNS) and multiplicity consistently”. More specifically, we study whether the code CGMF can reproduce ENDF/B-VIII.0 evaluated PFNS and average prompt-fission neutron multiplicities, $\bar{v}$, for 235,238 U and 239 Pu using one joint parameter set per isotope. If CGMF is shown to be able to reasonably reproduce ENDF/B-VIII.0 within its model-parameter space, this code could be used for future consistent evaluations of PFNS and $\bar{v}$. To answer this question, we explore here the parameter space of CGMF and its impact on calculated values and whether they are close to evaluated and experimental data. We also list experimental data that would enter a future evaluation and statistics method that could be used to obtain evaluated data and covariances. We conclude that values of $\bar{v}$ calculated by CGMF are reasonably close to ENDF/B-VIII.0 data, while more work on modeling the PFNS is needed (parameter optimization and model improvements) to reliably use it for evaluations.

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗

Modeling Hydrodynamic Instabilities, Shocks, and Radiation Waves in High Energy Density Experiments [Dissertation]

This thesis presents the computational design, modeling, and analysis of three experiments in high-energy density physics (HEDP), all of them concerning fundamental radiation flows. The first experiment is a laboratory astrophysics experiment to investigate the role of the Kelvin-Helmholtz instability (KHI) in the process of galactic filaments supplying gas to galactic halos. The achieved goal was to provide a first study in which the role of the instability is maximal and predict behavior in future iterations of an experiment accessing a more radiative regime where the role of the instability is stifled. This experiment would help answer how certain galaxies are able to grow so rapidly and produce many stars as the KHI limits this process. The second experiment, COAX, is a radiation flow experiment with a novel spectroscopy diagnostic configuration, designed to spatially measure the temperature of a radiation wave as it travels down a doped foam. A key result of this work was the development of a synthetic spectroscopy application and application of modern spectroscopy comparison techniques to provide our first temperature reconstructions from the experimental data. This experimental platform serves as the launching ground for a number of new experiments that vary the basic premise and thus is foundational to our ongoing research. The final experiment is a full integration of modeling, design, and theoretical development for the Radishock experiment. This experimental platform studies the head-on collision of a radiation wave with a counter-propagating shock, and like COAX, uses spectroscopy to diagnose and detect the interaction. My research analyzes the successful shots, indicating aspects of successful detections and suggests improvements to future iterations of the design.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Consistent $\overline{ν}$ evaluation for minor Pu isotopes with CGMF

This report follows up on the evaluation work done in 2023 where we developed a procedure and performed the first consistent evaluation of the average prompt neutron multiplicity for minor Pu isotopes, including 238,240-242 Pu, using CGMF. Details on the necessary updates to the release version of CGMF, the experimental data and experimental uncertainty quantification that went into the evaluation, and this first evaluation effort are documented in and will not be repeated in this report. Instead, we discuss here the further investigations into the CGMF model space to improve the evaluation results from FY23. Additionally, we note that these evaluation results have been transformed into the ENDF format for mean values and covariances, and validation with critical assemblies has been performed; that work is documented elsewhere. In this short report, we discuss the updated evaluation efforts performed during FY24 in Sec. 2, show results from CGMF for other prompt fission observables in Sec. 3, and then briefly conclude in Sec. 4.

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗

Application of Machine Learning Techniques to an Agent-Based Model of Pantoea

Agent-based modeling (ABM) is a powerful simulation technique which describes a complex dynamic system based on its interacting constituent entities. While the flexibility of ABM enables broad application, the complexity of real-world models demands intensive computing resources and computational time; however, a metamodel may be constructed to gain insight at less computational expense. Here, we developed a model in NetLogo to describe the growth of a microbial population consisting of Pantoea . We applied 13 parameters that defined the model and actively changed seven of the parameters to modulate the evolution of the population curve in response to these changes. We efficiently performed more than 3,000 simulations using a Python wrapper, NL4Py . Upon evaluation of the correlation between the active parameters and outputs by random forest regression, we found that the parameters which define the depth of medium and glucose concentration affect the population curves significantly. Subsequently, we constructed a metamodel, a dense neural network, to predict the simulation outputs from the active parameters and found that it achieves high prediction accuracy, reaching an R 2 coefficient of determination value up to 0.92. Our approach of using a combination of ABM with random forest regression and neural network reduces the number of required ABM simulations. The simplified and refined metamodels may provide insights into the complex dynamic system before their transition to more sophisticated models that run on high-performance computing systems. The ultimate goal is to build a bridge between simulation and experiment, allowing model validation by comparing the simulated data to experimental data in microbiology.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

A Data-Driven Framework for Predicting the Sorting and Screening Performance of an Integrated Biomass Feedstock Preprocessing System

The characteristics of mechanically sorted and screened lignocellulosic biomass, such as the mass contents of corn stover anatomical fractions (leaves, husks, stalks, cobs, etc.), can be used to calculate the intermediate feedstock quality attributes “yield” and “purity” that indicate the conversion efficiency of biocrude. No prior study has investigated the correlations from the characteristics of raw biomass and preprocessing unit operation parameters to those intermediate feedstock quality attributes. This work presents a data-driven framework for assessing and predicting the intermediate feedstock quality attributes in an integrated biomass feedstock preprocessing system. Our study used corn stover as a typical type of herbaceous biomass because of its abundance in the U.S. It began with data acquisition of moisture content, particle size distribution, and anatomical fractions of the materials after each unit operation in the system. The objective of this preprocessing system is to minimize husks and leaves and maximizing cobs and stalks by mechanically separating the materials into three streams via disc screen and air separator. Prototype neural network models were then developed to evaluate the feasibility of predicting process outcomes based on measurable parameters. It is found that incorporating physical constraints into these prediction models significantly enhances the accuracy of the predicted yield and purity against the ground truth data. The experimental data and model predictions indicate that decreasing throughput increases purity, while higher throughput results in lower purity. Finally, an optimization problem was introduced to search optimal combinations of feed material properties and preprocessing unit operation parameters, as the intermediate feedstock quality attributes – yield and purity, appeared to be competing factors. The study also suggests the continual need to improve the data-driven framework’s predictability by incorporating more accurate physical models to describe the dynamics in the preprocessing units such as the air separator.

09 - BIOMASS FUELS↗

Dissolved gas recovery from water using a sidestream hollow-fiber membrane module: First principles model synthesis and steady-state validation

This paper presents a first-principles model for the recovery of dissolved gases from liquids using a sidestream hollow-fiber membrane module. The model avoids the use of new empirical coefficients, thus providing a parametric understanding of the process behavior for future design and optimization of membrane modules. This type of first-principles model could be particularly useful when gas recovery is beneficial to biological or chemical reactions of interest, such as the acetogenesis reactions in two-stage anaerobic digesters. The steady-state behavior of the model was validated against both new experimental data for the recovery of H 2 , CH 4 and H 2 –CH 4 mixtures from pure water, as well as existing published data. The modeled gas recovery predictions agreed with experimental data to an absolute average error of 13%, and an average R value of 0.98. Parametric analysis of mixed-gas recovery suggests possible key transition points in the composition of the recovered gases. For example, at 40 °C, increasing trans-membrane pressure while keeping hydraulic residence time (HRT) under 0.5 s will result in an increase in the ratio of H 2 to CH 4 recovered. Otherwise, increasing trans-membrane pressure will instead decrease the ratio of H 2 to CH 4 recovered. The model has potential to be extended to transient analysis, but has yet to be validated with transient experimental data. Furthermore, this model was successfully implemented in both Python and MATLAB, and provides valuable insights for future net-energy optimization for anaerobic digestion systems with in-situ gas recovery.

Anaerobic Digestion↗

Generating synthetic signaling networks for in silico modeling studies

Predictive models of signaling pathways have proven to be difficult to develop. Reasons include the uncertainty in the number of species, the complexity in species’ interactions, and the sparseness and uncertainty in experimental data. Traditional approaches to developing mechanistic models rely on collecting experimental data and fitting a single model to that data. This approach works for simple systems but has proven unreliable for complex systems such as biological signaling networks. For example, uncertainty and sparseness of the data often result in overfitted models that have little predictive value beyond recapitulating the experimental data itself. Thus, there is a need to develop new approaches to create predictive mechanistic models of complex systems. However, to determine the effectiveness of any new algorithm, a baseline model is needed to test its performance. To meet this need, we developed a method for generating artificial synthetic networks that are reasonably realistic and thus can be treated as ground truth models. These synthetic models can then be used to generate synthetic data for developing and testing algorithms designed to recover the underlying network topology and associated parameters. Here, we describe a simple approach for generating synthetic signaling networks that can be used for this purpose.

42 ENGINEERING↗

A Comparison of Homogeneous and Heterogeneous Uranium Metal-Water Systems using Calculated and Experimental Critical Data

Heterogeneous effects of fissile units latticed in water has been documented in several forms in commonly referenced handbooks and guides. Many of these documents provide guidance for when heterogeneous systems are more reactive than their homogenous counterparts if controlling fissile mass or volume. This information provides insight into when heterogeneity should be considered for conservatism, however this information is not always displayed in a manner that is comparable to commonly referenced data, such as critical curves based on spherical systems. This paper aims to provide a juxtaposition of homogenous and heterogeneous uranium metal-water systems using both experimental and calculated critical data displayed in the format of commonly referenced critical curves. This format allows for easy comparison between the two systems against parameters that are often considered for single unit analysis such as: uranium density, fissile mass, system volume, and total system mass (fissile mass plus moderator mass). Calculated critical spherical systems provide an equal comparison between latticed geometry types as the latticed array can be cut off or restricted in the same manner in each series of models, which is not true for experimental values. Additionally, enrichment of the latticed units can be made uniform in the calculated systems, which is also difficult to achieve when referencing experimental data of varying latticed geometries. A comparison of calculated critical values and available experimental values is provided to show how these parameters can impact the critical spherical system result.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

A Comparison of Homogeneous and Heterogeneous Uranium Metal-Water Systems using Calculated and Experimental Critical Data

Heterogeneous effects of fissile units latticed in water has been documented in several forms in commonly referenced handbooks and guides. Many of these documents provide guidance for when heterogeneous systems are more reactive than their homogenous counterparts if controlling fissile mass or volume. This information provides insight into when heterogeneity should be considered for conservatism, however this information is not always displayed in a manner that is comparable to commonly referenced data, such as critical curves based on spherical systems. This paper aims to provide a juxtaposition of homogenous and heterogeneous uranium metal-water systems using both experimental and calculated critical data displayed in the format of commonly referenced critical curves. This format allows for easy comparison between the two systems against parameters that are often considered for single unit analysis such as: uranium density, fissile mass, system volume, and total system mass (fissile mass plus moderator mass). Calculated critical spherical systems provide an equal comparison between latticed geometry types as the latticed array can be physically cut off or restricted in the same manner in each series of models, which is not true for experimental values. Additionally, enrichment of the latticed units can be made uniform in the calculated systems, which is difficult to achieve when referencing experimental data of varying latticed geometries. A comparison of calculated critical values and available experimental values is provided to show how these parameters can impact the critical spherical system result.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗