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At least 163 records · Page 9

Forecast of Wildfire Potential Across California USA Using a Transformer

Wildfires are a major issue facing the United States, a matter further exacerbated by an ever-changing climate. In California alone, wildfires are responsible for billions of dollars in damages and take lives each year. Accurately predicting fire danger conditions allows preparation awareness before wildfires start. Transformers are a class of deep learning models designed to identify patterns in sequential datasets. In recent years, transformers have gained popularity through their impressive performance in natural language processing and other applications of signal recognition. This analysis demonstrates the ability of a transformer with a residual connection to forecast fire danger potential over the state of California. Wildland fire potential index (WFPI) maps collected from the US Geological Survey database from January 1st 2020 to December 31st 2023 were used to tune, train and evaluate the transformer. Meteorological inputs (provided by Daymet daily weather and climatological summaries), the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) (calculated from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS)), and outputs from the Scott and Burgman fire behavior fuel models (to characterize maps of fuel types), were used as inputs. Our results show that a transformer can effectively emulate the US Forest Service modeled WFPI maps of California USA for four week long forecasts over the month of July, 2023, with correlations ranging from 0.85 – 0.98.

Limber, Russell [ORNL]↗

Improving I/O Performance for Exascale Applications through Online Data Layout Reorganization

The applications being developed within the U.S. Exascale Computing Project (ECP) to run on imminent Exascale computers will generate scientific results with unprecedented fidelity and record turn-around time. Many of these codes are based on particle-mesh methods and use advanced algorithms, especially dynamic load-balancing and mesh-refinement, to achieve high performance on Exascale machines. Yet, as such algorithms improve parallel application efficiency, they raise new challenges for I/O logic due to their irregular and dynamic data distributions. Thus, while the enormous data rates of Exascale simulations already challenge existing file system write strategies, the need for efficient read and processing of generated data introduces additional constraints on the data layout strategies that can be used when writing data to secondary storage. We review these I/O challenges and introduce two online data layout reorganization approaches for achieving good tradeoffs between read and write performance. We demonstrate the benefits of using these two approaches for the ECP particle-in-cell simulation WarpX, which serves as a motif for a large class of important Exascale applications. Here, we show that by understanding application I/O patterns and carefully designing data layouts we can increase read performance by more than 80 percent.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Sequential self-folding of polymer sheets

Shape plays an important role in defining the function of materials, particularly those found in nature. Several strategies exist to program materials to change from one shape to another; however, few can temporally and spatially control the shape. Programming the sequence of shape transformation with temporal control has been driven by the desire to generate complex shapes with high yield and to create multiple shapes from the same starting material. This paper demonstrates a markedly simple strategy for programmed self-folding of two-dimensional (2D) polymer sheets into 3D objects in a sequential manner using external light. Printed ink on the surface of the polymer sheets discriminately absorbs light on the basis of the wavelength of the light and the color of the ink that defines the hinge about which the sheet folds. The absorbed light gradually heats the underlying polymer across the thickness of the sheet, which causes relief of strain to induce folding. These color patterns can be designed to absorb only specific wavelengths of light (or to absorb differently at the same wavelength using color hues), thereby providing control of sheet folding with respect to time and space. This type of shape programming may have numerous applications, including reconfigurable electronics, actuators, sensors, implantable devices, smart packaging, and deployable structures.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Hydropower Flexibility Framework (Final Technical Report)

The Hydropower Flexibility Framework (HFF) tool focuses on providing the hydropower community with an effective means of assessing optimized hydropower plant outcomes. This tool combines both site specific characteristics, which act to constrain plant operation, and the hydrologic and grid characteristics which drive hydropower plant operation. The hydropower community faces a confluence of factors which drive the importance of developing such a capability, including an aging hydropower fleet subject to a range of modernization opportunities, a large number of hydropower plant relicensing activities which may affect operational requirements, an electrical grid with increasing levels of variable resources which must be balanced to maintain grid stability, and climate change influencing riverine hydrologic patterns outside of design characteristics. With support from the hydropower community, the project team developed the HFF tool and demonstrated the tool through a series of Use Cases. This guidance was developed as a part of the larger HFF tool User’s Manual (see Appendix B), a resource designed to inform other users and to empower community uptake of the tool. The HFF tool, hosted at https://hfftool.com/, was developed with the support of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Water Power Technologies Office (WPTO). EPRI is currently exploring alternatives to support the continued maintenance and functionally of the online tool.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

Direct Ink Write and Processing of Complex 3D Marine Compatible Structures with Calcium Carbonate Slurries

Ocean acidification heavily impacts marine ecosystems by reducing calcification. Many coral-algae symbiotic relationships are in jeopardy due to the destruction of coral reefs. Here, a ceramic ink compatible with the direct ink write additive manufacturing technique was formulated and used to print marine compatible structures that could grow algae and restore that relationship. A diacrylate polymer was mixed with calcium carbonate, a material that comprises a coral skeleton, to create a slurry with shear thinning properties. Rheology studies were conducted to confirm printing properties and characterize the slurry. Printed parts demonstrated strong control over print features, including size and infill design. Various infill patterns and percentages were attempted to optimize printability and potential algae growth. Thermogravimetric analysis helped determine a logical burnout and sintering procedure to avoid large cracking. This project developed a printable and sinter-able calcium carbonate ceramic slurry for complex marine-compatible structures and algae growth. This research was conducted in the support of the Eco Reef project.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Funding for the 2ND IAEA technical meeting on fusion data processing, validation and analysis

The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) will organize the second Technical Meeting on Fusion Da Processing, Validation and Analysis from 30 May to 02 June, 2017, in Cambridge, MA USA. The meeting w be hosted by the MIT Plasma Science and Fusion Center (PSFC). The objective of the meeting is to provide a platform where a set of topics relevant to fusion data processing, validation and analysis are discussed with the view of extrapolation needs to next step fusion devices such as ITER. The validation and analysis of experimental data obtained from diagnostics used to characterize fusion plasmas are crucial for a knowledge based understanding of the physical processes governing the dynamics of these plasmas. The meeting will aim at fostering, in particular, discussions of research and development results that set out or underline trends observed in the current major fusion confinement devices. General information on the IAEA, including its mission and organization, can be found at the IAEA websit Uncertainty quantification (UQ) Model selection, validation, and verification (V&V) Probability theory and statistical analysis Inverse problems & equilibrium reconstru ction Integrated data analysis Real time data analysis Machine learning Signal/image proc essing & pattern recognition Experimental design and synthetic diagnostics Data management

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

An Open-Source Framework for Characterizing Urban Energy Models: Integrating Top-Down and Bottom-Up Methods to Predict Residential Buildings Characteristics: Preprint

Bottom-up urban energy models are crucial for understanding current energy use patterns and informing design strategies. However, accurately characterizing these models to represent different communities remains a challenge due to the extensive data needed for simulating existing energy use behavior. This data includes information related to human activities and building characteristics, all of which correlate with socioeconomic factors. To overcome this challenge, we developed an automated framework that utilizes both top-down and bottom-up data, to predict unknown building and occupant characteristics that are needed for more accurate and equitable modeling and analytics. Our framework, integrated into the URBANopt district energy modeling platform, uses statistical data models from ResStock. URBANopt models co-located buildings and neighborhoods. At this scale there are data gaps in building characteristic data, such as materials, insulation, occupancy, income, and energy usage of the buildings. To address this data gap, we use ResStock data, representative at the census tract scale, and develop machine-learning and deeplearning techniques to disaggregate it to individual buildings. By mapping unique occupant, building and economic properties to URBANopt energy models, we gain detailed insights into the variability of building energy use across different neighborhoods. This insight helps deploy technologies for co-located buildings and supports targeted upgrades for communities with unique economic and demographic characteristics, ensuring energy equity. Accurate characterization of energy models allows us to develop equitable strategies tailored to diverse neighborhoods, whether underserved or affluent. Our automated framework streamlines energy modeling and provides a reliable tool for building energy characterization.

ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATION↗

A Critical Review of Heliostat Design for Concentrating Solar Thermal Technologies

Heliostat designs have undergone a widespread and eclectic development process, with many unique designs demonstrated. However, recent developments do not show the overall cohort converging toward a globally accepted universal design. Here, this study characterizes heliostats by breaking down and evaluating design traits based on emergent patterns from a comprehensive compilation of known heliostat designs spanning several decades. Four main categories for evaluation emerged: heliostat base, heliostat primary axis, heliostat drive, and facet support. Each of these four categories is further defined by four subtypes so that all heliostats fall into a single subtype within each category. The classified heliostats are ranked, yielding several view slices into the heliostat compilation or a breakdown of heliostats by type. An analysis of the breakdown shows several trends: a scale-up of established designs, new approaches at small to medium scales, and a movement toward greater adoption of linear drives. These trends reflect the most meaningful contributing factors to a proposed trajectory for a new era of heliostat designs striving to meet widely considered cost targets of $\$$50/m 2 or $\$$75/m 2 .

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Spanning the Core Design Space with Binary Perturbations - A Mathematical Investigation

A reactor core design engineer, even one with many years of experience or one using advanced fuel pattern optimization software, will likely fine tune the pattern before finalizing the design. Fine tuning can further minimize local enthalpy peaks, optimize reactivity to extend burnup, and add additional margin to limits on reactivity coefficients or heat flux. For reactors that have reached an equilibrium fuel cycle, the number of feeds each cycle is typically the similar to previous cycles as is their placement in the core. It is then the engineer's responsibly to efficiently select the placement of burned assemblies to ensure optimal fuel utilization, satisfy safety limits, and meet cycle energy requirements. One of the engineer's most commonly used tools in this fine tuning investigation is to swap the positions of two assemblies, most likely two previously irradiated ('burned') assemblies since their reactivity is lower than fresh fuel. Such an operation is referred to in this work as a binary perturbation or a 'swap'. If quarter core symmetry is maintained, the perturbation translates to the other three quadrants. Likewise if eighth core symmetry is maintained, the perturbation translates to other seven octants. The question is then, how much of the core design space can binary perturbations possibly span? This work seeks to quantitatively define the space spanned by m number of binary perturbations as a function of variable size through combinatorial principles and computer simulation. The results of this study are useful in understanding the in-core fuel management problem faced by both professionals who employ hand manipulations and those who attempt stochastic solutions of the problem.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DNA Reaction–Diffusion Attractor Patterns

Abstract Living systems can form and recover complex chemical patterns with precisely sized features in the ranges of tens or hundreds of microns. We show how designed reaction–diffusion processes can likewise produce precise patterns, termed attractor patterns, that reform their precise shape after being perturbed. We use oligonucleotide reaction networks, photolithography, and microfluidic delivery to form precisely controlled attractor patterns and study the responses of these patterns to different localized perturbations. Linear and “hill”‐shaped patterns formed and stabilized into shapes and at time scales consistent with reaction–diffusion models. When patterns were perturbed in particular locations with UV light, they reliably reformed their steady‐state profiles. Recovery also occurred after repeated perturbations. By designing the far‐from‐equilibrium dynamics of a chemical system, this study shows how it is possible to design spatial patterns of molecules that are sustained and regenerated by continually evolving towards a specific steady state configuration.

Dorsey, Phillip James↗

Graded Infill Structure of Wind Turbine Blade Accounting for Internal Stress in Big Area Additive Manufacturing

In additively manufactured (AM) components, infill structure significantly affects the mechanical performance of the final printed part. However, mechanical stress induced by operation loads has been so far neglected for infill patterning. Most slicers currently available in the market provide infill patterns that are uniform in shape and size regardless of the operational loading. We develop a design approach for infill patterns that accounts for the induced stress. This approach differs from topology optimization as it focuses on the porous infill, which allows the external shape of the printed part to remain intact. The proposed approach uses a computational stress analysis to control the distribution of the local density of the infill pattern. We have applied the approach to a wind turbine blade core with infill densities optimized based on the structural loads. The blade core is fabricated in our big area additive manufacturing (BAAM) system. To ensure less warpage and better inter-layer bonding, fast layer deposition is critical in BAAM system. We have optimized the tool path sequences to minimize the deposition time via the solution to the Chinese Postman Problem (CPP). For the application of wind turbine infill, the deposition from the CPP method is twice faster than the deposition from conventional slicing.

Kim, Pum↗

DNA Reaction–Diffusion Attractor Patterns

Living systems can form and recover complex chemical patterns with precisely sized features in the ranges of tens or hundreds of microns. We show how designed reaction-diffusion processes can likewise produce precise patterns, termed attractor patterns, that reform their precise shape after being perturbed. We use oligonucleotide reaction networks, photolithography and microfluidic delivery to form precisely controlled attractor patterns and study the responses of these patterns to different localized perturbations. Linear and ‘hill’-shaped patterns formed and stabilized into shapes and at time scales consistent with reaction-diffusion models. When patterns were perturbed in particular locations with UV light, they reliably reformed their steady state profiles. Recovery also occurred after repeated perturbations. As a result, by designing the far-from-equilibrium dynamics of a chemical system, this study shows how it is possible to design spatial patterns of molecules that are sustained and regenerated by continually evolving towards a specific steady state configuration

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Ecologically inspired metrics for transitioning to a sustainable and resilient circular economy with application to multilayer plastic films

Current Circular Economy (CE) frameworks applied to product chains exhibit notable shortcomings. These include neglecting the resilience and robustness of design, requiring detailed economic and environmental data for impact assessment, and relying on qualitative rather than quantitative metrics capturing certain CE design aspects. In the current contribution, we addressed these shortcomings by developing an Ecologically inspired (Eco-inspired) Framework using the mathematical foundations of Ecological Network Analysis (ENA). While ENA metrics have previously found application in designing circular economies, particularly in Industrial Symbiosis (IS) networks, our adaptation tailors these metrics for use in product-level CE, recognizing the inherent distinctions between product-level CE and IS. Our Eco-inspired Framework comprises three key categories to provide holistic and granular-level metrics for designing product-level CE. The first set of metrics assesses circularity and resource efficiency. The second set gauges network intensity and robustness as complementary indicators ensuring a CE is both sustainable and resilient. The third group of metrics evaluates enhancement potential of CE strategies through introducing quantitative metrics for measuring the degree of closed-loop strategies and average circularity level of a CE design. The three comprehensive set of indicators within the Eco-inspired Framework uniquely captures various facets of circular design, whether originating from technological innovations and recovery improvement at the end of life (EoL), shifts in human consumption patterns, alterations in product design, or changes in business models. The framework’s application is tested in designing a CE for multilayer Polyethylene-Polyamide (PE-PA) films. Using the Eco-inspired Framework, we identified the best strategy for designing a resilient and sustainable CE for PE-PA films. A diverse set of EoL strategies along with a reduction in product consumption can improve circularity and resilience by 650% and 255%, respectively, and mitigate greenhouse gas emissions by 90%. The framework minimizes trade-offs between sustainability and circularity goals and offers insights on how to enhance each strategy for achieving a resilient and sustainable CE for products.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Directed self-assembly of block copolymers for high-precision patterning in the era of extreme ultraviolet lithography

Extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography enables unprecedented resolution in semiconductor patterning but faces critical challenges in developing resist materials that achieve high-precision at economically viable throughput. Directed self-assembly (DSA) of block copolymers (BCPs) offers a promising solution for pattern rectification by leveraging thermodynamically determined domain structures to decouple BCP pattern quality from the imperfect original lithographic pattern. This prospective presents an overview of recent progress on the EUV + DSA strategy, covering advances in BCP material design, processing, metrology, and pattern transfer. We highlight recent advances in high-χ BCPs with perpendicular orientation and domain spacings compatible with EUV dimensions, leveraging A-b-(B-r-C) architectures. We also discuss progress in chemical pre-pattern fabrication using both positive- and negative tone resists, along with processing strategies to minimize defects and roughness based on BCP thermodynamics and assembly kinetics. We further examine metrology platforms for characterizing the thermodynamics of BCP materials and quantifying the size and shape of BCP domains. Lastly, we review pattern transfer strategies for generating functional inorganic masks suitable for semiconductor manufacturing. Together, these advances highlight the potential of DSA to complement EUV lithography, offering a pathway to address critical challenges in achieving high-precision patterning for the semiconductor industry.

Lee, Kyunghyeon [Univ. of Chicago, IL (United Stat↗

Broadband infrared binary-pattern metasurface absorbers with micro-genetic algorithm optimization

Broadband binary-pattern metasurface absorbers are designed and demonstrated in the mid-infrared wavelength range through the micro-genetic algorithm. The tungsten-based metasurface absorbers with the optimized binary-pattern nanostructures exhibit broadband near-perfect absorption due to the multiple plasmonic resonances supported within the unit cell. Furthermore, the influence of minor pixel modifications in the optimized binary-pattern nanostructures on the absorption performance is investigated in the experiment. This Letter presents a promising approach to design and optimize complex optical nanostructures with the desired properties for metamaterial and metasurface applications.

42 ENGINEERING↗

ABC -Auxetics: An Implicit Design Approach for Negative Poisson's Ratio Materials

A novel methodology is introduced for designing auxetic (negative Poisson's ratio) structures based on topological principles and is demonstrated by investigating a new class of auxetics based on two-dimensional (2D) textile weave patterns. Conventional methodology for designing auxetic materials typically involves determining a single deformable block (a unit cell) of material whose shape results in auxetic behavior. Consequently, patterning such a unit cell in a 2D (or 3D) domain results in a larger structure that exhibits overall auxetic behavior. Such an approach naturally relies on some prior intuition and experience regarding which unit cells may be auxetic. Second, tuning the properties of the resulting structures is typically limited to parametric variations of the geometry of a specific type of unit cell. Thus, most of the currently known auxetic structures belong to a selected few classes of unit cell geometries that are explicitly defined in accordance with a specified topological (i.e., grid structure). Herein, a new class of auxetic structures is demonstrated that, while periodic, can be generated implicitly, i.e., without reference to a specific unit cell design. The approach leverages weave-based parameters (A–B–C), resulting in a rich design space for auxetics that is previously unexplored.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗