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At least 163 records · Page 9

Formation of helices with controllable chirality in gel-fiber composites

While microscale helices with specified chirality are pervasive in biological systems, driving purely synthetic materials to self-organize into such useful structures remains a significant challenge. Through theory and simulations, we model the behavior of initially flat ribbons of gel-fiber composites and show that these materials self-organize into three-dimensional helices with the application of heat. We specifically focus on thermo-responsive gels, which shrink when heated to a point near the lower critical solubility temperature (LCST). Within the composite, regions of the LCST gel that lie far from the fibers can readily shrink in response to the increased temperature; however, near the fibers the network is inhibited from undergoing the heat-induced collapse. This competition between the constrained and the unconstrained regions of the heated sample plays a vital role in the structural evolution of the material. Additionally, we find that this dynamic process can be controlled through the careful placement of the fibers on the outer surface of the gel. We specifically identify fiber arrangements that lead to the formation of helical structures with controlled chirality. Moreover, we isolate scenarios where constraining the movement of one or both the free ends of the sample promotes and stabilizes the formation of helical structures with specified handedness. Such structurally tailored composites are useful for creating mechanically robust actuators, and “appendages” for soft robots that can controllably curl and uncurl with variations in temperature.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Shifting groundwater fluxes in bedrock fractures: Evidence from stream water radon and water isotopes

Geologic features (e.g., fractures and alluvial fans) can play an important role in the locations and volumes of groundwater discharge and degree of groundwater-surface water (GW-SW) interactions. However, the role of these features in controlling GW-SW dynamics and streamflow generation processes are not well constrained. GW-SW interactions and streamflow generation processes are further complicated by variability in precipitation inputs from summer and fall monsoon rains, as well as declines in snowpack and changing melt dynamics driven by warming temperatures. Using high spatial and temporal resolution radon and water stable isotope sampling and a 1D groundwater flux model, we evaluated how groundwater contributions and GW-SW interactions varied along a stream reach impacted by fractures (fractured-zone) and below the fractured hillslope (non-fractured zone) in Coal Creek, a Colorado River headwater stream affected by summer monsoons. During early summer, groundwater contributions from the fractured zone dominated, but declined throughout the summer. Groundwater contributions from the non-fractured zone were constant throughout the summer and became proportionally more important later in the summer. We hypothesize that groundwater in the non-fractured zone is dominantly sourced from a high-storage alluvial fan at the base of a tributary that is connected to Coal Creek throughout the summer and provides consistent groundwater influx. Water isotope data revealed that Coal Creek responds quickly to incoming precipitation early in the summer, and summer precipitation becomes more important for streamflow generation later in the summer. We quantified the change in catchment dynamic storage and found it negatively related to stream water isotope values, and positively related to modeled groundwater discharge and the ratio of fractured zone to non-fractured zone groundwater. Importantly, we interpret these relationships as declining hydrologic connectivity throughout the summer leading to late summer streamflow supported predominantly by shallow flow paths, with variable response to drying from geologic features based on their storage. As groundwater becomes more important for sustaining summer flows, quantifying local geologic controls on groundwater inputs and their response to variable moisture conditions may become critical for accurate predictions of streamflow.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Sensitivity of the Shallow‐To‐Deep Convective Transition to Moisture and Wind Shear in the Amazon

Deep convection is the primary influence on weather and climate in tropical regions. However, understanding and simulating the shallow‐to‐deep (STD) convective transition has long been challenging. Here, we conduct high‐resolution numerical simulations to assess the environmental controls on the evolution of isolated convection in the Amazon during the wet season. The large‐scale forcing derived through a constrained variational analysis approach for the GoAmazon2014/5 Experiment is used in the simulations. Through sensitivity experiments, we examine the relative importance of moisture and wind shear in controlling the shallow‐to‐deep convective transition for isolated convective events. Convection exhibits the greatest sensitivity to humidity within the lowest 1.5 km, where a 4 mm reduction in column water vapor nearly suppresses ice water formation on deep convective days. In contrast, a reduction in column water vapor in the free troposphere by a factor of two or more is necessary to produce a comparable impact on convection. Increasing low‐level wind speed from 6 to 9 m s -1 enhances afternoon deep convection, raising the cloud ice mixing ratio by approximately 25%. Conversely, upper‐level wind shear reveals the weakest correlation with daytime convection in our simulations. Our results help characterize the role of moisture and wind shear on the STD transition and our understanding of the underlying mechanisms.

environmental controls↗

High Semi-Volatile Organic Aerosol Contributions Associated with Ammonium Nitrate in the Coastal Urban Environment

Organic components often contribute 50% or more of the submicron aerosol mass in coastal urban environments, but their partitioning between the gas and particle phases is controlled by a complex mixture of unidentified organic compounds that are poorly constrained by observations. This study compares daily filter organic functional groups (OFG) with online organic mass fragments from La Jolla, California, as part of the Eastern Pacific Cloud Aerosol Precipitation Experiment (EPCAPE), quantifying the contributions of four types of non-volatile (NV) organic emission sources to the submicron composition. Daily filters retained only 0.79–0.98 µg/m3 NV submicron organic mass concentration, even though 1.8–1.9 µg/m3 non-refractory (NR) submicron organic mass concentration was measured online. The 62–64% of measured NR submicron organic mass concentration that exceeded what remained on the filters after 23-hr sampling is interpreted as semi-volatile, consistent with the moderate correlation of the NR NV difference to NR ammonium, NR nitrate, and biomass burning-related NV and NR organic factors. The association between semi-volatile organic components and ammonium nitrate likely results from both co-emission and co-evaporation. Size-resolved filter analysis showed that NV organic mass concentration accounts for 68% of NR organic mass concentration for 0.5–1 µm dry diameter but account for 9.0% for 0.18–0.5 µm dry diameter showing the differences in volatility between particle modes. Importantly, volatility of organic components was size-dependent Information Classification: General and associated with ammonium nitrate and biomass burning, providing guidance for constraining atmospheric aerosol properties in global models.

Pelayo, Christian↗

Approximating Trajectory Constraints With Machine Learning – Microgrid Islanding With Frequency Constraints

Here, we introduce deep earning aided constraint encoding to tackle the frequency-constraint microgrid scheduling problem. The nonlinear function between system operating condition and frequency nadir is approximated by using a neural network, which admits an exact mixed-integer formulation (MIP). This formulation is then integrated with the scheduling problem to encode the frequency constraint. With the stronger representation power of the neural network, the resulting commands can ensure adequate frequency response in a realistic setting in addition to islanding success. The proposed method is validated on a modified 33-node system. Successful islanding with a secure response is simulated under the scheduled commands using a detailed three-phase model in Simulink. The advantages of our model are particularly remarkable when the inertia emulation functions from wind turbine generators are considered.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Intelligent Partitioning based Fully Parallel AC Security-Constrained Optimal Power Flow

Today’s power grid is becoming more diverse and integrated with high-level distributed energy resources and smart control technologies that is creating a new set of grid management challenges in terms of large-scale, nonlinear, and non-convex problem modeling, complex and time-consuming computation, as well as difficult uncertainty handling. This project focused on solving a challenging multi-period security-constrained generation scheduling problem, which is of great importance for maximizing the social welfare of real-time dispatch, day-ahead market, as well as weekly planning of power systems. Our developed software explored parallel optimization algorithms for complex and realistic power system models, and develop fast, efficient, and robust grid optimization solutions on the high-performance computing platform that will enable increased grid economics, flexibility, resilience, as well as energy security in the United States.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Constraining Black Carbon Aging in Global Models to Reflect Timescales for Internal Mixing

The radiative effects of black carbon depend critically on its atmospheric lifetime, which is controlled by the rate at which freshly emitted combustion particles become internally mixed with other aerosol components. Global aerosol models strive to represent this process, but the timescale for aerosol mixing is not easily constrained using observations. In this study, we apply a timescale parameterization derived from particle‐resolved simulations to quantify, in a global aerosol model, the timescale for internal mixing. We show that, while highly variable, the average timescale for internal mixing is approximately 3 hr, which is much shorter than the 24‐hr aging timescale traditionally applied in bulk aerosol models. We then use the mixing timescale to constrain the aging criterion in the Modal Aerosol Module. Our analysis reveals that, to best reflect timescales for internal mixing, modal models should assume that particles transition from the hydrophobic (fresh) to the hydrophilic (aged) class once they accumulate a coating thickness equal to four monolayers of sulfuric acid, as opposed to the model's current aging criterion of eight monolayers. We show that, in remote regions like the Arctic and Antarctic, predictions of black carbon loading and its seasonal variation are particularly sensitive to the model representation of aging. By constraining aging in global models to reflect mixing timescales simulated by the particle‐resolved model, we eliminate one of the free parameters governing black carbon's long‐range transport and spatiotemporal distribution.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Reinforcement Learning-based Output Structured Feedback for Distributed Multi-Area Power System Frequency Control

Load frequency control (LFC) is a key factor to maintain the stable frequency in multi-area power systems. As the modern power systems evolve from centralized to decentralized paradigm, LFC needs to consider the decentralized scheme that considers limited information from the information-exchange graph for the generator control of each interconnected area. This paper aims to solve a data-driven constrained LQR problem with mean-variance risk constraints and output structured feedback, and applies this framework to solve the LFC problem in multi-area power systems. By reformulating the constrained optimization problem into a minimax problem, the stochastic gradient descent max-oracle (SGDmax) algorithm with zero-order policy gradient (ZOPG) is adopted to find the optimal feedback gain from the learning, while guaranteeing the convergence. In addition, to improve the adaptation of the proposed learning method to new or varying models, we construct an emulator grid that approximates the dynamics of a physical grid and performs training based on this model. Once the feedback gain is obtained from the emulator grid, it is applied to the physical grid with a robustness test to check whether the controller from the approximated emulator applies to the actual system. Numerical tests show that the obtained feedback controller can successfully control the frequency of each area, while mitigating the uncertainty from the loads, with reliable robustness that ensures the adaptability of the obtained feedback gain to the actual physical grid.

Kwon, Kyung-bin↗

Hydrobiogeochemical Controls on the Delivery of Dissolved Organic Matter to Boreal Headwater Streams

Understanding controls on the delivery of dissolved organic matter (DOM) from terrestrial to aquatic systems is key for constraining carbon balances and fluxes in boreal headwater catchments. The largest export of DOM generally occurs during intense periods of water delivery to the landscape (e.g., rain events); however, the timing and magnitude of DOM is complicated by geomorphological, hydrometeorological, and biogeochemical variability. To better assess mechanisms controlling the delivery of DOM to boreal streams, DOM was investigated in two morphologically distinct catchments of an experimental forest watershed in western Newfoundland, one dominated by low relief wetlands and the other by steep hillslopes. The DOM was compared during two fall storms of similar magnitude but contrasting moisture conditions during the autumn transition. Variable concentrations and optical character highlighted antecedent conditions are important for the delivery of DOM to boreal streams. Concentration-discharge relationships with stream hydrograph separation analysis suggest preferential flowpaths through shallow mineral horizons as a key pathway for delivery of DOM in the hillslope dominated catchment compared to rapid input from near-stream wetlands in the low relief catchment. Loss of DOM via preferential pathways suggests an additional mechanism for surface soil carbon loss not directly informed by lateral flow and soil hydrology, which has important implications for our conceptualization and modeling of carbon fluxes in boreal systems. These results suggest watershed scale responses of DOM in boreal headwater catchments are complex, and better linkages between catchment scale hydrology and landscape hydrobiogeochemistry are required to constrain terrestrial to aquatic carbon fluxes in boreal landscapes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Open Radiation Monitoring: Histogram Builder Module Design

The Open Radiation Monitoring Project seeks to develop and demonstrate a modular radiation detection architecture designed specifically for use in arms control treaty verification (ACTV) applications that will facilitate rapid development of trusted systems to meet the needs of potential future treaties. A modular architecture can be used to reduce more complex systems to a series of single purpose building blocks, thereby facilitating equipment inspection and in turn building trust in the equipment by all treaty parties. Furthermore, a modular architecture can be used to control data flow within the measurement system, reducing the risk of "hidden switches" and constraining the amount of sensitive information that could potentially be inadvertently leaked. This report details the first revision of a prototype circuit that will convert analog pulses directly into a histogrammed data set for further processing. The circuit was designed with both spectroscopy and multiplicity analysis in mind but can, in principle, be used to reduce any raw data stream into a histogram. The number of output channels is limited, and the histogram bin ranges are user configurable to allow for non-uniform and discontinuous bins, which makes it possible to restrict the information being passed down stream if desired. Pulse processing relies entirely on analog circuitry and non- programmable logic, which enables operation without the need for a central processor or other programmable control unit. The circuit remains untested under the Open Radiation Monitoring project due to the closure of the sponsoring program. However, further development and testing is scheduled to take place in support of a purpose-built trusted verification system development effort known as COGNIZANT, which demonstrates the potential benefit of developing a suite of modular trusted system components.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

KKT Preconditioners for PDE-Constrained Optimization with the Helmholtz Equation

This paper considers preconditioners for the linear systems that arise from optimal control and inverse problems involving the Helmholtz equation. Specifically, we explore an all-at-once approach. The main contribution centers on the analysis of two block preconditioners. Variations of these preconditioners have been proposed and analyzed in prior works for optimal control problems where the underlying partial differential equation is a Laplace-like operator. In this paper, we extend some of the prior convergence results to Helmholtz-based optimization applications. Our analysis examines situations where control variables and observations are restricted to subregions of the computational domain. We prove that solver convergence rates do not deteriorate as the mesh is refined or as the wavenumber increases. More specifically, for one of the preconditioners we prove accelerated convergence as the wavenumber increases. Additionally, in situations where the control and observation subregions are disjoint, we observe that solver convergence rates have a weak dependence on the regularization parameter. We give a partial analysis of this behavior. We illustrate the performance of the preconditioners on control problems motivated by acoustic testing.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DESI 2024 VII: cosmological constraints from the full-shape modeling of clustering measurements

We present cosmological results from the measurement of clustering of galaxy, quasar and Lyman-α forest tracers from the first year of observations with the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI Data Release 1). We adopt the full-shape (FS) modeling of the power spectrum, including the effects of redshift-space distortions, in an analysis which has been thoroughly validated in a series of supporting papers as summarised in [1]. We combine the full-shape information with DESI's DR1 constraints from the baryon acoustic oscillations (BAO) of these tracers. In the flat ΛCDM cosmological model, DESI (FS+BAO), combined with a baryon density prior from Big Bang Nucleosynthesis and a weak prior on the scalar spectral index, determines matter density to Ω m = 0.2962 ± 0.0095, and the amplitude of mass fluctuations to σ 8 = 0.842 ± 0.034. The addition of the cosmic microwave background (CMB) data tightens these constraints to Ω m = 0.3056 ± 0.0049 and σ 8 = 0.8121 ± 0.0053, while further addition of the joint clustering and lensing analysis from the Dark Energy Survey Year-3 (DESY3) data further improves these measurements, and leads to a 0.4% determination of the Hubble constant, H 0 = (68.40 ± 0.27) km s -1 Mpc -1 . In models with a time-varying dark energy equation of state parametrised by w 0 and w a , combinations of DESI (FS+BAO) with CMB and type Ia supernovae continue to show the preference, previously found in the DESI DR1 BAO analysis, for w 0 > -1 and w a < 0 with similar levels of significance. DESI data, in combination with the CMB, improve the upper limits on the sum of the neutrino masses relative to the case when only the DR1 BAO was available, giving ∑m ν < 0.071 eV at 95% confidence. We finally constrain deviations from general relativity represented by two modified gravity parameters. DESI (FS+BAO) data alone measure the parameter that controls the clustering of massive particles, μ 0 = 0.11 +0.45 -0.54 , in agreement with the zero value predicted by general relativity. The combination of DESI with the CMB and the clustering and lensing analysis from DESY3 constrains both modified-gravity parameters, giving μ 0 = 0.04 ± 0.22 and Σ 0 = 0.044 ± 0.047, again in agreement with general relativity.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Interactions between molecular-scale biogeochemical processes and hyporheic exchange for understanding coupled Fe-S-C cycling in iron-rich riparian wetlands (Final Technical Report)

Riparian wetlands are dynamic interfaces that exert strong control over water quality, contaminant mobility, and greenhouse gas emissions. These systems are characterized by hyporheic exchange between oxic surface water and anoxic groundwater, which generates steep redox gradients and promotes spatially and temporally variable microbial activity. Despite growing recognition of tightly coupled iron (Fe), sulfur (S), and carbon (C) cycling in these environments, the mechanisms governing these interactions—particularly under low-sulfate freshwater conditions—remain poorly constrained. This project developed a mechanistic understanding of how hydrologic variability and microbial processes interact to control Fe–S–C cycling in iron-rich riparian wetlands. Using a multi-scale and multi-method approach integrating field observations, geochemical and spectroscopic analyses, metagenomics, and reactive transport modeling, we demonstrate that “cryptic” sulfur cycling—rapid sulfur transformations involving intermediate-valence species—plays a dominant and previously underrecognized role in freshwater wetlands. These processes persist despite low sulfate concentrations and significantly influence iron reduction, carbon mineralization, and methane dynamics. The results show that cryptic sulfur cycling enhances dissolved Fe 2+ production, regulates methane concentrations, and is strongly controlled by climate-driven hydrologic fluxes. By linking hydroclimate, subsurface flow, and biogeochemical reactions, this work provides a predictive framework for understanding how wetland systems respond to environmental change, with direct implications for water quality and carbon cycling.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

U redox state tracked in mineralized hydrothermal carbonate with implications for U-Pb geochronology

U-Pb carbonate geochronology can directly constrain the timing and rates of important geological processes. However, the mechanisms and controls on U incorporation, distribution, and retention in carbonate minerals remain unclear, limiting geological interpretations. Here X-ray absorption spectroscopy (µXAS) and in-situ U-Pb carbonate geochronology are combined to temporally track U distribution and redox state in a porphyry-epithermal system. In this setting, multiple generations of carbonate minerals record fluid conditions and processes which control the solubility and deposition of metals, including U. This novel approach provides the first evidence of both oxidized UO 2 2+ and reduced U 4+ species in temporally distinct generations of carbonate within a single sample. Preservation of two different U oxidation states during discrete precipitation events requires U retentivity within older domains, demonstrating that the U-Pb carbonate geochronometer is robust under hydrothermal conditions. Furthermore, crystal zones with abundant fluid/vapour inclusions linked to boiling processes coincide with relatively high levels of U and favourable U/Pb. Targeting carbonate domains with these textures may therefore increase success in U-Pb geochronology. U-Pb carbonate dating combined with µXAS can track the temporal evolution of processes critical for metal deposition in long-lived and multistage hydrothermal-magmatic ore deposit settings.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

The Effects of Compounded Model Size Reductions on Adversarial Robustness

Recent advances in Edge AI and Tiny Machine Learning (TinyML) have enabled the deployment of machine learning models on resource-constrained environments. However, deploying these models on edge devices, such as micro-controllers, requires significant model footprint reduction through a variety of techniques such as quantization, pruning, and clustering. While these optimization methods offer considerable advantages, they potentially introduce AI-related security vulnerabilities, particularly concerning model robustness with respect to adversarial AI attacks. Prior research has extensively examined the impact of quantization on adversarial robustness; however, the effects of alternative reduction techniques and their combinations remain understudied. This paper investigates the impact of model size reduction techniques on adversarial robustness, when applied individually and combined. We utilized Fast Gradient Sign Method (FGSM) and Projected Gradient Descent (PGD) attacks to generate adversarial perturbations for both training and testing data, and then evaluated the models' accuracy under adversarial training conditions. Our findings revealed that reduction techniques generally diminished robustness; although, combining techniques was not found to make robustness any worse than when applied individually. Moreover, specific techniques can potentially enhance resistance to small size perturbations. This research provides insights into the trade-offs between model size reduction and security, establishing a foundation for future investigations into improving adversarial training techniques and methodologies for maintaining robustness while preserving memory footprint benefits.

Austria, Phillipe [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000236223973)↗

Quantifying microbial roles in environmental iron oxidation via an integrated kinetics, `omics and metabolic modeling study (Final Report)

Iron oxyhydroxides are extremely reactive components of environmental systems, and therefore exert a strong influence on biogeochemical cycles. These oxyhydroxides strongly adsorb many biologically-relevant elements, including organic carbon and phosphate, as well as a wide range of metals including uranium and actinide species. Thus, the formation mechanism of iron oxyhydroxides are key to understanding both nutrient and contaminant cycling. Microorganisms can catalyze iron oxidation and promote the formation of Fe biominerals and thus are increasingly recognized as important players in biogeochemical cycling. However, it is completely unknown how much of environmental iron oxidation is biologically mediated versus abiotic, and various challenges in studying microbial iron oxidation have hindered accurate incorporation into hydrobiogeochemical models. The overarching goal of our work was to quantify and constrain microbial iron oxidation rates and use ‘omics to gain insight into the controls on this process, while developing tools to enable integration of biotic iron oxidation into hydrobiogeochemical models. Our work focused on the Savannah River Site (SRS) in South Carolina, where extensive microbial iron oxidation has been observed. At Tims Branch, part of the Argonne National Laboratory Wetland Hydrobiogeochemistry Science Focus Area (Argonne SFA), where groundwater discharges into a stream, iron-oxidizing microbial mats form and appear to be a major sink of uranium. In the wetlands that surround Tims Branch, there are wide swaths of iron microbial mats and flocs (mobilized mat). We measured biotic and abiotic iron oxidation rates using mats and water sampled from these sites and found that iron oxidation is primarily carried out by chemolithotrophic microorganisms. The resulting rate constants can be incorporated into models. These mats were characterized by metagenomics and metatranscriptomics, which showed that aerobic chemolithotrophs were the dominant iron-oxidizing bacteria (FeOB), and these included Gallionellaceae and Leptothrix, and possibly Rhodoferax, which is known as an Fe-reducer but may also oxidize Fe(II). This demonstrated that diverse FeOB can coexist and suggests that there are a range of niches and therefore drivers of chemolithotrophic iron oxidation. Analysis of reconstructed genomes strongly suggests that a major factor in diversity is carbon source, as genomes contained varied pathways for autotrophy and heterotrophy. We performed an in-depth analysis of Leptothrix ochracea genomes, since this sheath-former is one of the primary mat builders, yet its physiology remained unresolved. A combination of genomics, transcriptomics, and metabolic modeling suggest that L. ochracea grows mixotrophically using a combination of Fe(II) and organics for energy and both inorganic and organic carbon to create biomass. This contrasts with the largely autotrophic Gallionellaceae (Gallionella, Sideroxydans, and Ferriphaselus) also present in the mats and flocs. Remarkably, multiple FeOB, both Leptothrix and Gallionellaceae, showed activity in response to Fe(II) in live mat incubations. We tracked the gene expression of individual MAGs to Fe(II) and found that various autotrophic and heterotrophic FeOB responded to Fe(II), increasing expression of both carbon fixation and organic utilization genes. The results of the integrated field, kinetics, and omics studies give detailed insight into 1) the taxa that oxidize Fe, and 2) how they connect Fe, C, and N cycles. Towards the goal of connecting omics data to hydrobiogeochemical models, we worked with the KBase team to create a template metabolic model for chemolithotrophic iron oxidation. We initially modeled the well-characterized isolate Gallionellaceae Sideroxydans lithotrophicus, and also applied the model to the mixotroph L. ochracea. In all, we have characterized diverse FeOB in a representative wetland system and solved key problems that enable better incorporation of iron-oxidizing microbes into hydrobiogeochemical models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Building Intelligence with Layered Defense Using Security-Constrained Optimization and Security Risk Detection (BUILD-SOS): A Probabilistic Approach

In this project, we employ a layered protection strategy incorporating advanced optimization and detection techniques using a probabilistic approach. The probabilistic approach is not only applied when detecting cyber attacks, but also incorporated in control strategies, which greatly increases the attacking difficulties. Hackers need to understand both probabilistic detection algorithms and uncertainty modeling methods in control in order to execute any effective attacks. The end-to-end solutions enable us to provide Building Intelligence with Layered Defense using Security-Constrained Optimization and Security Risk Detection (BUILD-SOS).

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Wave Prediction using X-Band Radar (Final Summary Report)

Model Predictive Control (MPC) is the best controls framework available to wave energy today. It allows for the maximization of energy yield from a WEC system while respecting various constraints and losses in the system. This type of constrained optimization is a critical capability for the techno-economic optimization of WEC devices and is difficult to do effectively with causal controls frameworks. MPC requires a future prediction of wave excitation forces, requiring wave prediction on a future time horizon of up to 30 seconds. The future horizon required is highly dependent on the WEC and PTO type available. To our knowledge no-one has been able to implement MPC on a WEC device at sea, due to the fact that phase-resolved wave-prediction is not a capability that has been sufficiently developed to date. The key objectives of this project are focused on developing “industry-ready” wave prediction technology building blocks that can be applied to a wide range of different wave energy conversion topologies. Our collaborative work with device developers has demonstrated that the level of improvement attainable for any particular device is heavily dependent on the device and PTO topology chosen. The range of annual average power capture improvements is on the order of 10% to over 100%. However, the important aspect is that we can get within about 10% of theoretical upper limits even when considering errors in the wave prediction and more importantly, we can optimize performance while respecting various constraints such as motion amplitude or peak structural loads. The combination of improved performance while limiting structural loads has a net effect of reducing the levelized cost of energy from these emerging technologies and allows us to design control laws that meet an economic optimum. Efforts under a previous project on controls has focused on developing a set of wave-prediction algorithms that work by leveraging a network of wave sensing measurement buoys that are equipped with real-time telemetry. The present work is focusing primarily on using X-band radar to measure the wave-field around the WEC to predict the future excitation forces on the structure and combining the measurements of these different sources to create improvements in the wave-prediction accuracy.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗