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At least 163 records · Page 9
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Probing the Sustainable Reduction of CO 2 , N 2 and NO 3 to Fuels and Chemicals using Non-Traditional Porphyrinoid Catalysts

For the last several decades, numerous strategies have been proposed to be able to interconvert electricity and commodity fuels for transportation and other applications. Even as solar and wind energy become more widely available, these renewable energy sources are not always available where the population is most dense or during peak times of energy demand. One plausible solution to the issue of electricity storage and transport is to use electricity to drive the formation of high-energy compounds and chemical fuels. As a result, the electrochemical conversion of CO 2 into chemical fuels has received major attention as a multi-pronged approach for electricity coversion, storage, and transport. Similar strategies are also attractive for conversion of N 2 and NO x into value added compounds such as ammonia. Metalloporphyrin and metallocorrole complexes are comprised of aromatic tetrapyrrole scaffolds and have been extensively studied as homogeneous catalysts for critical catalytic processes like the electrochemical CO 2 reduction reaction (eCO 2 RR) to generate CO as feedstock for the Fischer–Tropsch process to generate a variety of hydrocarbons as chemical fuels. Despite their significance and impact, efficiently driving such catalytic reduction processes is challenging for multiple reasons. Such processes require multiple-electron transfer events, as opposed to single-electron redox chemistry that forms high-energy singly-reduced intermediates. In addition, these electron transfer events must be coupled to proton-transfer steps and avoid application of high overpotentials where proton (H + ) reduction to generate H 2 (as well as other side-reactions) can lower the selectivity and energy efficiency of the eCO 2 RR process. Certain Fe(III) aromatic tetrapyrroles (e.g., porphyrins and corroles) have been reported to overcome these challenges, but are often difficult to synthesize and modify, and have a tendency to support single-electron redox chemistry at the metal as opposed to multielectron redox involving the ligand and metal in concert. Other families of tetrapyrroles in which all four meso-carbons are reduced (i.e., sp 3 -hybridized) are also known in the literature. These non-aromatic tetrapyrroles are known as porphyrinogens and support multi-electron redox chemistry which has been elaborated by several groups, prompting researchers to consider whether these scaffolds may improve the kinetics and efficiencies of multi-electron steps attendant to activation of thermodynamically stable small-molecule substrates such as CO 2 , N 2 , NO 3 − , and NO 2 − . Although porphyrinogens support multi-electron redox properties, the four sp 3 -hybridized meso-carbons inherent to the tetrapyrrole core completely disrupt π-conjugation between pyrrolic units, which compromises the photochemical properties of porphyrinogens in comparison to that of traditional porphyrinoids. Moreover, the highly reducing nature of porphyrinogens predisposes these platforms to extreme air and water sensitivity. Accordingly, such metalated porphyrinogens are often pyrophoric and/or incompatible with many common organic solvents (CH 2 Cl 2 , CHCl 3 , CH 3 CN, EtOAc, etc.). Hence, reports of efficient small-molecule activation or catalysis supported by porphyrinogens have been limited. To overcome the instability of porphyrinogens while retaining the scaffold’s attractive multi-electron redox properties, we have directed attention to establishing less-well studied groups of non-aromatic tetrapyrroles (i.e., phlorins, biladienes, and isocorroles). These non-traditional tetrapyrroles each contain just a single sp 3 -hybridized meso-carbon, which ablates the platforms aromaticity but still provides an extended π-framework. In addition to developing innovative platforms that may be used to sustainably generate value-added chemicals, fuels, and ammonia via either photo- or electrocatalytic approaches our work also has significantly broadened our understanding of how to prepare and modulate the properties of non-aromatic tetrapyrroles for other applications. Our efforts entailed a synergistic partnership and active collaborations with Drs. David C. Grills and Mehmed Z. Ertem (both of Brookhaven National Lab) to better characterize isocorroles (and related non-aromatic tetrapyrroles) using a variety of advanced spectroscopic and theoretical methods. Our combined efforts have shown that the combination of properties that isocorroles (and related tetrapyrroles) provide results in good chemical stability paired with unique redox and photochemical characteristics that are not typically supported by simple and/or unadorned aromatic tetrapyrroles. Beside redox chemistry, the photochemistry of isocorroles and other non-aromatic tetrapyrroles containing one sp 3 -hybridized meso-carbon is also appealing due to their absorption in the long-visible to near-IR regions, which are essential for photocatalysis and related applications that benefit from direct excitation at these wavelengths. The results reported vastly improve our understanding of non-aromatic tetrapyrrole synthesis, properties and utility for activation of small molecule substrates such as O 2 and CO 2 in the presence of weak cationic organic acids.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Demonstration of an Automated System for Vertical Profiles of Volatile Organic Compounds

Volatile organic compounds (VOCs) play important roles throughout the atmosphere, many of which are altitude dependent. This highlights the need for easily deployable devices to sample VOCs across different atmospheric layers. To address this, we present the design and initial application of a Time Resolved Automated Volatile organIc compounds Sampling system (TRAVIS). VOCs are collected on sorbent tubes, which are subsequently analyzed by a thermal desorption gas chromatography mass spectrometry pipeline. TRAVIS leverages a piezoelectric pump with an integrated pressure sensor for precise (0.1% flow rate relative standard deviation) and accurate (−3 ± 2% error in VOC quantitation) measurements. Via deployment on a tethered balloon system over an agricultural area, TRAVIS is used to show consistent vertically resolved VOC concentrations in a well-mixed (i.e., turbulent) atmosphere (e.g., 5% relative standard deviation for isoprene) and vertically dependent concentrations for a stratified atmosphere (e.g., prior to boundary layer development). Furthermore, we also show VOC information from an intermittent plume via both targeted and untargeted analysis, highlighting future applications for spurious events in agriculture, air quality monitoring, and environmental impact. Overall, the development of TRAVIS represents a lightweight, accurate, sensitive, and precise VOC sampling module for the scientific community.

Aerosols↗
DOE OSTI2021

Legacy effects of drought on tree growth responses to hurricanes

Natural perturbations, including hurricanes and severe droughts, are becoming more frequent and intense in the tropics, yet our understanding of forest responses to these events is still limited. While the relationships between extreme climatic events and tree mortality are frequently studied, responses of trees that survived such perturbations have been rarely reported. Perturbations and their effects can be quite variable, and trees can respond both positively and negatively to them, depending on their sensitivity and opportunistic behavior. Understanding the potential variation in responses both within and among species is important for building predictions of forest responses. We studied tree growth responses (i.e., changes relative to standard conditions) to hurricanes and drought events in Puerto Rico across six common and broadly distributed species. We examined whether there is a congruence in responses to these contrasting extreme climatic events. We show that trees are particularly susceptible to droughts but display a wide range of responses to hurricanes. Despite the high stochasticity in the impacts of hurricanes, trees that showed reduced growth during previous droughts tend to show reduced growth during the hurricanes as well. Our results demonstrate that trees subjected to different and successive major climatic stresses have consistent declines in their performance. Projected increases in the severity of droughts and tropical storms could have an accumulated, and possibly compound, impact on tree growth. Long-term demographic studies are necessary to understand legacy effects of species responses to extreme climatic perturbations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

The Observed Inefficiency of Explosions to Produce Large Aftershocks: Båth’s Law for Explosions is 2.5

Underground explosions are observed to produce fewer and smaller aftershocks than similar size earthquakes. The seismic magnitude difference $Δm_x$ between an explosion and its largest aftershock is an expression of Båth’s law for explosions. Based on an analysis of a compilation of aftershock studies from Soviet testing at the Semipalatinsk test site in Kazakhstan and observations from American testing at the Nevada National Security Site (NNSS), here we find that the average magnitude difference for explosions $\overline{Δm_x}$ is about 2.5. Based on the NNSS data, two standard deviations of $Δm_x$ is about 1.5. In all the cases studied, from ton to megaton yield, from shallow to overburied depth, and chemical or nuclear source, no explosion aftershock has been larger than the explosion that preceded it. In fact, the two events at the NNSS with the largest aftershock magnitudes relative to the explosion are associated with the collapse of the cavity created by the explosion. This is similar to observations from North Korean testing at the Punggye-ri Test Site, where the largest seismic event following the test is attributed to the collapse after the 2017 explosion and is from 0.8 to 2 magnitude units less than the mainshock.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Mitigating the Effects of Au-Al Intermetallic Compounds Due to High-Temperature Processing of Surface-Electrode Ion Traps

Stringent physical requirements need to be met for the high-performing surface-electrode ion traps used in quantum computing and timekeeping. In particular, these traps must survive a high-temperature environment for vacuum chamber preparation and support high RF voltage on closely spaced electrodes. Due to the use of gold wire bonds on aluminum pads, intermetallic growth can lead to wire bond failure via breakage or high resistance, limiting the lifetime of a trap assembly to a single multiday bake at 200 ° C. Using traditional thick metal stacks to prevent intermetallic growth, however, can result in trap failure due to RF breakdown events. Through high-temperature experiments, we conclude that an ideal metal stack for ion traps is Ti/Pt/Au (20/100/250 nm), which allows for a cumulative bakeable time of roughly 86 days without compromising the trap voltage performance. This increase in the bakeable lifetime of ion traps will remove the need to discard otherwise functional ion traps when vacuum hardware is upgraded, which will greatly benefit ion trap experiments.

Haltli, Raymond A.↗
DOE OSTI2025

Inelastic Neutron Scattering Data for Ba₃Zn(Ru₀.₁Sb₁.₉)O₉

This dataset contains inelastic neutron scattering measurements on the magnetically dilute compound Ba₃Zn(Ru₀.₁Sb₁.₉)O₉, collected at the Spallation Neutron Source using the Cold Neutron Chopper Spectrometer (CNCS) and the SEQUOIA Fine-Resolution Fermi Chopper Spectrometer. The sample consists of nominally 5% magnetic Ru⁵⁺ ions (S = 3/2) randomly substituted into a diamagnetic Sb⁵⁺ matrix. Measurements were performed at base temperature (2–5 K) and 300 K using multiple incident energies (1.00, 3.32, 12.0, and 100 meV) to resolve magnetic excitations from isolated monomers and small Ru clusters (dimers, trimers, etc.). The dataset includes raw event-mode files, momentum- and energy-resolved spectra, and supporting metadata for instrument configuration, sample environment, and reduction parameters.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

BioTransformer 3.0 – A Web Server for Accurately Predicting Metabolic Transformation Products

BioTransformer 3.0 is a freely available web server that supports accurate, rapid and comprehensive in silico metabolism prediction. It combines machine learning approaches with a rule-based system to predict small-molecule metabolism in human tissues, the human gut as well as the external environment (soil and water microbiota). Simply stated, BioTransformer takes a molecular structure as input (SMILES or SDF) and outputs an interactively viewable/sortable table of the predicted metabolites or transformation products (SMILES, PNG images) along with the enzymes that are predicted to be responsible for those reactions and richly annotated downloadable files (CSV and JSON). The entire process typically takes a few seconds. Previous versions of BioTransformer focused exclusively on predicting the metabolism of xenobiotics (such as plant natural products, drugs, cosmetics and other synthetic compounds) using a limited number of pre-defined steps and somewhat limited rule-based methods. BioTransformer 3.0, uses much more sophisticated methods and incorporates new databases, new constraints and new prediction modules to not only more accurately predict the metabolic transformation products of exogenous xenobiotics but also the transformation products of endogenous metabolites, such as amino acids, peptides, carbohydrates, organic acids, and lipids. BioTransformer 3.0 can also support customized sequential combinations of these transformations along with multiple iterations to simulate multi-step human and/or environmental biotransformation events. Performance tests indicate that BioTransformer 3.0 is 40-50% more accurate, much less prone to combinatorial “explosions” and far more comprehensive in terms of metabolite coverage/capabilities than previous versions of BioTransformer.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Compounding effects of climate change and WUI expansion quadruple the likelihood of extreme-impact wildfires in California

Previous research has examined individual factors contributing to wildfire risk, but the compounding effects of these factors remain underexplored. Here, we introduce the “Integrated Human-centric Wildfire Risk Index (IHWRI)” to quantify the compounding effects of fire-weather intensification and anthropogenic factors—including ignitions and human settlement into wildland—on wildfire risk. While climatic trends increased the frequency of high-risk fire-weather by 2.5-fold, the combination of this trend with wildland-urban interface expansion led to a 4.1-fold increase in the frequency of conditions conducive to extreme-impact wildfires from 1990 to 2022 across California. More than three-quarters of extreme-impact wildfires—defined as the top 20 largest, most destructive, or deadliest events on record—originated within 1 km from the wildland-urban interface. The deadliest and most destructive wildfires—90% of which were human-caused—primarily occurred in the fall, while the largest wildfires—56% of which were human-caused—mostly took place in the summer. By integrating human activity and climate change impacts, we provide a holistic understanding of human-centric wildfire risk, crucial for policy development.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Activity of Silica-Alumina for the Conversion of Polyethylene into Tunable Aromatics Below Pyrolytic Temperatures

Plastic waste is a mounting problem that lacks global strategy, largely due to inadequate recycling capabilities. One alternative gaining traction in the heterogeneous catalysis community is the upcycling of polyolefins into value-added products, such as hydrogen-free conversion to alkylaromatic compounds over Pt/Al 2 O 3 . Here, we examined the activity of nominally metal-free, mesoporous silica-alumina mixed oxide materials (SiO 2 –Al 2 O 3 ) for the conversion of polyethylene into aromatic compounds at temperatures of and below 280 °C. Yields with the silica-alumina catalysts are comparable to those obtained over Pt(1 wt %)/Al 2 O 3 under identical conditions, and product selectivity can be tuned by altering reaction conditions or the acid site density of the SiO 2 –Al 2 O 3 . Notably, the fraction of polyaromatic products increases with the Brønsted acid site density of the catalyst, as does the degree of polymer deconstruction. These catalysts can be reused without regeneration, and their activity improves with each recycling event, producing soluble product yields up to 83%. Preliminary work on the mechanism of the reaction suggests that acid sites are responsible for initiating depolymerization and aromatization reactions, in analogy to previous work in the literature. Finally, this work showcases the activity of SiO 2 –Al 2 O 3 for polyolefin deconstruction/aromatization at subpyrolytic temperatures and lays the foundation for future studies involving solid acid and bifunctional catalysts.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Uncertainties in Simulating Flooding During Hurricane Harvey Using 2D Shallow Water Equations

Abstract Flooding is one of the most impactful weather‐related natural hazards. Numerical models that solve the two dimensional (2D) shallow water equations (SWE) represent the first‐principles approach to simulate all types of spatial flooding, such as pluvial, fluvial, and coastal flooding, and their compound dynamics. High spatial resolution (e.g., () m) is needed in 2D SWE simulations to capture flood dynamics accurately, resulting in formidable computational challenges. Thus, relatively coarser spatial resolutions are used for large‐scale simulations of flooding, which introduce uncertainties in the results. It is unclear how the uncertainty associated with the model resolution compares to the uncertainties in precipitation data sets and assumptions regarding boundary conditions when channelized flows interact with other water bodies. In this study, we compare these three sources of uncertainties in 2D SWE simulations for the 2017 Houston flooding event. Our results show that precipitation uncertainty and mesh resolution have more significant impacts on the simulated streamflow and inundation dynamics than the choice of the downstream boundary condition at the watershed outlet. We point out the viability to confine the uncertainty of coarsening mesh resolution by using the variable resolution mesh (VRM) which refines critical topographic features with far fewer grid cells. Specifically, in simulations with VRM, the simulated inundation depths over the refined region are comparable to that use the finest uniform mesh. This study contributes to understanding the challenges and pathways for applying 2D SWE models to improve the realism of flood simulations over large scales.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Toxicology and Biodegradability of Blendstocks for Mixing Controlled Compression Ignition Combustion: Literature Review of Available Data

The goal of the U.S. Department of Energy’s Co-Optima project is to develop an understanding of potential biomass-derived blendstocks for use in the transportation sector. This report documents the estimated environmental and toxicological impact of potential bioblendstocks for mixing controlled compression ignition (MCCI) engines. The candidate molecules were: 2-nonanol; n-undecane; 2,6,10-trimethyldodecane; 5-ethyl-4-propylnonane; hexylhexanoate; methyldecanoate; dibutoxymethane; 4-butoxyheptane; dipentylether; renewable diesel; and soy biodiesel. To provide a robust comparison, diesel surrogate molecules were also considered: α-methylnaphthalene; decahydronaphthalene; 2,2,4,4,6,8,8-heptamethylnonane; n-butylcyclohexane; n-hexadecane; tetralin; and n-dodecylbenzene. The intent of this work was not to provide absolute answers and remove any molecules from consideration, but to provide more robust data for each molecule that can be used in subsequent evaluations. Little literature data was available for many of the molecules, both potential blendstocks and diesel surrogates, so a quantitative structural activity relationship (QSAR) approach was used to provide input into the relevant models. This assessment included an evaluation of compartment partitioning in the event of an accidental chemical spill, fate and transport indicators, estimated biodegradability, and human and environmental toxicology. The higher molecular weight and longer hydrocarbon chain lengths of these MCCI molecules reduce water solubility and mobility. Generally, the oxygenated molecules improved biodegradability metrics. The hydrocarbons farnesane and 5-Et-4-PrNonane are not predicted to be biodegradable. Human acute toxicity was found to be slightly to non-toxic for the MCCI blendstocks and the diesel surrogates. 2-Nonanol, undecane, MeDecanoate, dibutoxymethane, and dipentylether were likely developmental toxicants. Although poorly water soluble, all the compounds, whether Co-Optima blendstocks or diesel surrogates, showed significant toxicity to D. magna. The oxygenated blendstocks were less likely to bioaccumulate than the non-oxygenated blendstocks, which behaved similar to the diesel surrogates. Overall, this predicted analysis showed that the MCCI blendstocks are very similar to their diesel counterparts. No significant showstoppers were found that would indicate concern moving forward with additional research into these potential fuels. The results presented were based solely on predictive models and serve to provide information going forward for continued evaluation of these molecules.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2026

Digital-Threat Bias and Psychological Distance: Barriers to Foundational Digital-Security Improvement

Modern life is held together by a web of digital dependencies that enable and provide delivery of critical services and functions—think the provision of utilities such as electricity and water, as well as our dependency on digital services for social and economic services (internet, communication, etc.). As this dependency grows, the complexity related to the delivery of these critical services increases as well. As complexity increases, the understanding of the risk and impact associated with potential disruption, degradation, or destruction—due to either malicious or non-malicious events of those digitally enabled functions—decreases. One potential explanation for the difficulty to 1) understand the risks faced and 2) address them appropriately and effectively is the abstractness and psychological distance assigned to “digital threat.” The complexity of these digitally enabled services creates a perceived complicatedness; as a result, digital threats are treated differently than similarly devasting (but more easily understood) kinetic or physical threats. How we categorize these threats also matters. Acts of cyber-enabled sabotage to critical infrastructure need to be defined as irregular warfare. By inadequately defining the threat, we compound the problem. Acknowledging this digital-threat bias is foundational to improving the ability to protect critical infrastructure. Using construal-level theory and psychological-distance concepts provides an intriguing starting point to address these issues, to reframe the challenges faced, and pursue more effective critical infrastructure security and defense policy.

29 - ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY AND ECONOMY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Streaming Analytics for Anomaly Detection in Large-Scale Data

Anomalous behavior poses serious risks to assured performance and reliability of complex, high-consequence systems. For spaceborne assets and their state-of-health (SOH) telemetry, the challenges of high-dimensional data of varying data types are compounded by computational limitations from size, weight, and power (SWaP) constraints as well as data availability. Automated anomaly detection methods tend to perform poorly under these constraints, while current operational approaches can introduce delays in response time due to the manual, retrospective processes for understanding system failures. As a result, presently deployed space systems, and those deployed in the near future, face situations where mission operations might be delayed or only be able to operate under degraded capabilities. Here, we examine a near-term lightweight solution that provides real-time detection capabilities for rare events and assess state-of-the-art anomaly detection techniques against real SOH telemetry from space platforms. This report describes our methodology and research, which could support more automated capabilities for comprehensive space operations as well as for other resource-constrained edge applications.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Machine-learning based approach to examine ecological processes influencing the diversity of riverine dissolved organic matter composition

Dissolved organic matter (DOM) assemblages in freshwater rivers are formed from mixtures of simple to complex compounds that are highly variable across time and space. These mixtures largely form due to the environmental heterogeneity of river networks and the contribution of diverse allochthonous and autochthonous DOM sources. Most studies are, however, confined to local and regional scales, which precludes an understanding of how these mixtures arise at large, e.g., continental, spatial scales. The processes contributing to these mixtures are also difficult to study because of the complex interactions between various environmental factors and DOM. Here we propose the use of machine learning (ML) approaches to identify ecological processes contributing toward mixtures of DOM at a continental-scale. We related a dataset that characterized the molecular composition of DOM from river water and sediment with Fourier-transform ion cyclotron resonance mass spectrometry to explanatory physicochemical variables such as nutrient concentrations and stable water isotopes ( 2 H and 18 O). Using unsupervised ML, distinctive clusters for sediment and water samples were identified, with unique molecular compositions influenced by environmental factors like terrestrial input and microbial activity. Sediment clusters showed a higher proportion of protein-like and unclassified compounds than water clusters, while water clusters exhibited a more diversified chemical composition. We then applied a supervised ML approach, involving a two-stage use of SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) values. In the first stage, SHAP values were obtained and used to identify key physicochemical variables. These parameters were employed to train models using both the default and subsequently tuned hyperparameters of the Histogram-based Gradient Boosting (HGB) algorithm. The supervised ML approach, using HGB and SHAP values, highlighted complex relationships between environmental factors and DOM diversity, in particular the existence of dams upstream, precipitation events, and other watershed characteristics were important in predicting higher chemical diversity in DOM. Our data-driven approach can now be used more generally to reveal the interplay between physical, chemical, and biological factors in determining the diversity of DOM in other ecosystems.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Enhanced mobility of cations and anions in the redox state: The polaronium mechanism

Hugely enhanced slow-ion diffusivity has been widely observed under extreme redox conditions and for unclear reasons. Aided by first-principles calculations on model systems of ZrO 2 , CeO 2 , BaTiO 3 and Li 4/3 Mn 2/3 O 2 , here we successfully explained the intriguing phenomenon by a polaronium mechanism. We found a polaronium, defined as a transitory complex of a polaronic electron or hole and a migrating counterion, becomes highly mobile when the counterion comes from a d 0 or f 0 cation (e.g., Zr 4+ , Ti 4+ and Ce 4 ) or a p 6 anion (e.g., O 2- ) in the host compound. Upon a redox reaction, the complex attains a d 1 /f 1 or p 5 configuration, which spontaneously forms because it is favored by an electron-phonon interaction (manifest as the Jahn-Teller effect in high symmetry systems) that enables local relaxation and lowers the system energy. Here our calculations found such interaction reaching its peak at the saddle point where the local environment is softest, so soft that it allows a reorientation of the anisotropic d/f/p orbital to minimize the electron repulsion locally. Since the complex may dissolve after a successful ion-migration event, the redox electron/hole can be recycled to form another free-radical-like polaronium elsewhere, thereby enhancing ion migration repeatedly. The proposed polaronium mechanism, which also operates in ceramics doped with mixed-valence cations, is most relevant under dynamic and extreme thermal/field/irradiation conditions where extra electrons/holes are abundantly generated by non-equilibrium redox reactions. For such operations, some with emerging applications, our diffusion-enhancing mechanism may provide new theoretical insight to help understand their material/microstructure stability and performance.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Quantifying the compound hazard of freezing rain and wind gusts across CONUS

Abstract The co-occurrence of freezing rain, ice accumulation and wind gusts (FZG) poses a significant hazard to infrastructure and transportation. However, quantification of the frequency and intensity of FZG is challenged by the lack of direct icing measurements. In this work, we evaluate and then apply an energy balance model to high-frequency data collected during 2005–2022 to derive hourly ice accumulation at 883 stations across the contiguous USA. These estimates are combined with wind gust observations to compute time series of hourly FZG hazard magnitude using the Sperry–Piltz Ice Accumulation (SPIA) index. Results are evaluated using Storm Reports of damage and economic disruption. The hourly SPIA estimates are also used to (i) derive a geospatial atlas of the hazard including the 50 yr return period event intensities for each US state derived using superstations, and (ii) describe storylines of significant events in terms of meteorological drivers and socioeconomic impacts. The highest values of SPIA during the 18 yr study period occur in a region extending from the Southern Great Plains over the Midwest into the densely populated Northeast. States in these regions also have high 50 yr return period maximum radial ice accumulation of 3–5 cm and co-occurring wind gusts >30 ms −1 . These values are comparable to past estimates for the 500 yr event which may imply this hazard has been previously underestimated. This atlas can be used to inform optimal FZG hazard mitigation strategies for each state/region.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Simulation of Compound Flooding Using River‐Ocean Two‐Way Coupled E3SM Ensemble on Variable‐Resolution Meshes

Abstract Coastal zone compound flooding (CF) can be caused by the interactive fluvial and oceanic processes, particularly when coastal backwater propagates upstream and interacts with high river discharge. The modeling of CF is limited in existing Earth System Models (ESMs) due to coarse mesh resolutions and one‐way coupled river‐ocean components. In this study, we present a novel multi‐scale coupling framework within the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM), integrating global atmosphere and land with interactively coupled river and ocean models using different meshes with refined resolutions near the coastline. To evaluate this framework, we conducted ensemble simulations of a CF event (Hurricane Irene in 2011) in a Mid‐Atlantic estuary. The results demonstrate that the novel E3SM configuration can reasonably reproduce river discharge and sea surface height variations. The two‐way river‐ocean coupling improves the representation of coastal backwater effects at the terrestrial‐aquatic interface that are caused by the combined actions of tide and storm surge during the CF event, thus providing a valuable modeling tool for better understanding the river‐estuary‐ocean dynamics in extreme events under climate change. Notably, our results show that the most significant CF impacts occur when the highest storm surge generated by a tropical cyclone meets with a moderate river discharge. This study highlights the state‐of‐the‐art advancements developed within E3SM for simulating multi‐scale coastal processes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Wintertime particulate matter decrease buffered by unfavorable chemical processes despite emissions reductions in China

Extreme and persistent haze events frequently occur during wintertime China. While recent emissions reductions reduced annual mean fine particulate matter (PM2.5) concentrations over eastern China, their effectiveness on wintertime PM2.5 trend remains uncertain. We use observations and model simulations to quantify seasonal differences in PM2.5 trends and investigate the underlying chemical mechanisms driving such differences. We find a much slower decrease in observed wintertime PM2.5 (–3.2% yr-1) since 2014, in contrast to a drastic summertime decrease (–10.3% yr-1). Simulations show two previously underappreciated mechanisms buffering wintertime PM2.5 decrease, including an increase in oxidation capacity due to nitrogen oxides (NOx) reductions under wintertime volatile organic compound (VOC)- limited chemistry, and an enhanced conversion of nitric acid to nitrate by ammonia due to sulfur dioxide reductions. Our findings suggest that control policies targeting VOC and deep NOx reductions are needed to improve wintertime PM2.5 air quality over China.

Leung, Danny M.↗