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At least 163 records · Page 9

Farm-Level Risk Factors of Increased Abortion and Mortality in Domestic Ruminants during the 2010 Rift Valley Fever Outbreak in Central South Africa

Background:Rift Valley fever (RVF) outbreaks in domestic ruminants have severe socio-economic impacts. Climate-based continental predictions providing early warnings to regions at risk for RVF outbreaks are not of a high enough resolution for ruminant owners to assess their individual risk. (2) Methods: We analyzed risk factors for RVF occurrence and severity at the farm level using the number of domestic ruminant deaths and abortions reported by farmers in central South Africa during the 2010 RVF outbreaks using a Bayesian multinomial hurdle framework. (3) Results: We found strong support that the proportion of days with precipitation, the number of water sources, and the proportion of goats in the herd were positively associated with increased severity of RVF (the numbers of deaths and abortions). We did not find an association between any risk factors and whether RVF was reported on farms. (4) Conclusions: At the farm level we identified risk factors of RVF severity; however, there was little support for risk factors of RVF occurrence. The identification of farm-level risk factors for Rift Valley fever virus (RVFV) occurrence would support and potentially improve current prediction methods and would provide animal owners with critical information needed in order to assess their herd’s risk of RVFV infection.

Melinda K Rostel↗

Periodic Orbits As Viable Landing Solutions with an Abort Option at Europa

Moons of the outer planets offer some of the greatest potential scientific treasures in the solar system, yet they are exceedingly hard to reach. A previous work found many low-energy landing trajectories to various moons in the solar system by studying the unstable manifolds of Lyapunov, vertical, and halo periodic orbits. A potential shortcoming of this approach is the lack of abort options for a landing mission. If anything goes wrong prior to landing, there may not be an solution if the spacecraft has already departed the periodic orbit. Similarly, a solution which could return to its initially planned landing site could also perform observation flybys prior to landing to ensure the safety of the site. In the current work, we discuss a new strategy for finding periodic orbits that tangentially intersect the surface of Europa and are themselves either stable or nearly-stable. These qualities may allow certain periodic orbits to act as their own abort solutions or to closely observe their landing sites prior to landing. 18 such periodic orbits that have been identified so far are presented here.

Martin, W. Lo↗

Ascent Aborts 2 Flight, Reconstruction of Structural Dynamics (Couple Loads Transients)

- This work describes the elements of AA2 post-flight data analysis, couple loads analysis, and comparisons of the flight data with the results of analytical methods transiently. - The measured transient responses ranged from rigid body frequencies (zero Hz) to 150 Hz. - The analytical methods consisted of defining and determining all forcing functions, i.e., buffet, aerodynamics, thrusts from the abort motor and the carrier lunch vehicle motor, and the initial conditions at pre-separation. - Mathematical models representing the mechanics of Orion abort is relatively complex because 1) two motors (carrier’s and LAS’s) are operating at the same time at pre-separation, and 2) the separation occurs in atmosphere. - Other challenges consist of determining the aerodynamics with plume-on condition at every millisecond of the flight ranging from transonic to supersonic (i.e., Mach 1.1 to Mach 1.6), and defining the mechanics of separation of LAS from the launch vehicle.

Launch Vehicle↗