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At least 163 records · Page 9

On the generation of horizontal shear waves by underground explosions in jointed rocks

This paper describes computational studies of non-spherical ground motions generated by spherical explosions in a heavily jointed granite formation. Various factors affecting the shear wave generation are considered, including joint spacing, orientation, persistence and properties. Simulations are performed both in 2D for a single joint set to elucidate the basic response mechanisms, and in 3D for multiple joint sets to realistically represent in situ conditions in a realistic geologic setting. The joints are modeled explicitly using both contact elements and weakness planes in the material. Simulations are performed both deterministically and stochastically to quantify the effects of geologic uncertainties on near field ground motions. The mechanical properties of the rock and the joints as well as the joint spacing and orientation are taken from experimental test data and geophysical logs corresponding to the Climax Stock granitic outcrop, which is the geologic setting of the Source Physics Experiment (SPE). Agreement between simulation results and near field wave motion data from SPE enables newfound understanding of the origin and extent of non-spherical motions associated with underground explosions in fractured geologic media.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Comparison of Surface Phenomena Created by Underground Chemical Explosions in Dry Alluvium and Granite Geology From Fully Polarimetric VideoSAR Data

Phase I of the Source Physics Experiment (SPE) series involved six underground chemical explosions, all of which were conducted at the same experimental pad. Research from the sixth explosion of the series (SPE-6) demonstrated that polarimetric synthetic aperture radar (PolSAR) is a viable technology for monitoring an underground chemical explosion when the geologic structure is Cretaceous granitic intrusive. It was shown that a durable signal is measurable by the H/A/α polarimetric decomposition parameters. After the SPE-6 experiment, the SPE program moved to the Phase II location, which is composed of dry alluvium geology (DAG). The loss of wavefront energy is greater through dry alluvium than through granite. In this article, we compare the SPE-6 analysis to the second DAG (DAG-2) experiment. We hypothesize that despite the geology at the DAG site being more challenging than at the Phase I location, combined with the DAG-2 experiment having a 3.37 times deeper scaled depth of burial than the SPE-6, a durable nonprompt signal is still measurable by a PolSAR sensor. We compare the PolSAR time-series measures from videoSAR frames, from the SPE-6 and DAG-2 experiments, with accelerometer data. We show which PolSAR measures are invariant to the two types of geology and which are geology dependent. We compare a coherent change detection (CCD) map from the DAG-2 experiment with the data from a fiber-optic distributed acoustic sensor to show the connection between the spatial extent of coherence loss in CCD maps and spallation caused by the explosion. Finally, we also analyze the spatial extent of the PolSAR measures from both explosions.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Monitoring Surface Phenomena Created by an Underground Chemical Explosion Using Fully Polarimetric VideoSAR

Sandia National Laboratories flew its Facility for Advanced RF and Algorithm Development X-Band (9.6-GHz center frequency), fully polarimetric synthetic aperture radar (PolSAR) in VideoSAR mode to collect complex-valued SAR imagery before, during, and after the sixth Source Physics Experiment's (SPE-6) underground explosion. The VideoSAR products generated from the data sets include "movies'' of single- and quad-polarization coherence maps, magnitude imagery, and polarimetric decompositions. Residual defocus, due to platform motion during data acquisition, was corrected with a digital elevation model-based autofocus algorithm. We generated and exploited the VideoSAR image products to characterize the surface movement effects caused by the underground explosion. Unlike seismic sensors, which measure local area seismic waves using sparse spacing and subterranean positioning, these VideoSAR products captured high-spatial resolution, 2-D, time-varying surface movement. The results from the fifth SPE (SPE-5) used single-polarimetric VideoSAR data. In this paper, we present single-polarimetric and fully polarimetric VideoSAR results while monitoring the SPE-6 underground chemical explosion. We show that fully polarimetric VideoSAR imaging provides a unique, coherent, time-varying measure of the surface expression of the SPE-6 underground chemical explosion. As a result, we include new surface characterization results from the measured PolSAR SPE-6 data via H/A/α polarimetric decomposition.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Using Dense Array Waveform Correlations to Build a Velocity Model with Stochastic Variability

In an ongoing effort to improve 3D seismic-wave propagation modeling for frequencies up to 10 Hz, we used cross correlations between vertical-component waveforms from an underground chemical explosion to estimate the statistical properties of small-scale velocity heterogeneities. The waveforms were recorded by a dense 2D seismic array deployed during the Source Physics Experiments for event number 5 (SPE-5) in a series of six underground chemical explosions, conducted at the Nevada National Security Site. The array consisted of 996 geophones with a 50–100 m grid spacing, deployed at the SPE site at the north end of the Yucca Flat basin. The SPE were conducted to investigate the generation and propagation of seismic and acoustic waves from underground explosions. Comparisons of decay rates of waveform cross correlations as function of interstation distance, computed for observed and synthetic seismograms from the SPE-5 chemical explosion, were used to constrain statistical properties of correlated stochastic velocity perturbations representing small-scale heterogeneities added to a geology-based velocity model of the Yucca Flat basin. Using comparisons between recorded and simulated waveform cross correlations, we were able to recover sets of statistical properties of small-scale velocity perturbations in the velocity model that produce the best-fit between the recorded and simulated ground motion. The stochastic velocity fluctuations in the velocity model that produced the smallest misfits have a horizontal correlation distance of between 400 and 800 m, a vertical correlation distance between 100 and 200 m, and a standard deviation of 10% from the nominal model velocity in the alluvium basin layers. They also have a horizontal correlation distance of 1000 m, a vertical correlation distance of 250 m, and a standard deviation of 6% in the underlying and consolidated sedimentary layers, up to a depth of 4 km. Comparisons between observed and simulated wavefields were used to assess the proposed small-scale heterogeneity enhancements to the Yucca Flat basin model. We found that adding a depth-resolved stochastic variability to the geology-based velocity model improves the overall performance of ground-motion simulations of an SPE-5 explosion in the modeled frequency range up to 10 Hz. The results may be applicable to other similar basins.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Body-Wave Methods of Distinguishing between Explosions, Collapses, and Earthquakes: Application to Recent Events in North Korea

Examination of regional distance seismic data from historic nuclear test sites has led to a variety of very effective discriminants between explosions, earthquakes, and collapses. We focus on the body–wave methods. We show that ratios between P– and S–wave amplitudes (P/S ratios) above about ~2 Hz very effectively separate the six Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) declared nuclear tests between 2006 and 2017 from natural earthquakes in the region. Similarly, P/S ratios separate historic Nevada Test Site (NTS) nuclear explosions from western U.S. earthquakes. We show that combining P/S ratios with ratios of low–frequency to high–frequency S–wave amplitudes can effectively separate postexplosion collapse events, such as the 1982 NTS Atrisco collapse, and the apparent collapse that followed about eight and a half minutes after the 3 September 2017 DPRK explosion. Explosions often produce fewer and smaller aftershocks than comparably sized earthquakes, which has been proposed as a potential discriminant. We apply the body–wave techniques to the recent seismicity following the largest DPRK event, after first using correlation methods to build a more complete catalog of these events. Despite the empirical effectiveness of the regional body–wave discriminants, the physical basis for the generation of explosion S waves, and therefore the predictability of P/S and low/high frequency techniques, as a function of path, frequency, and event properties such as size, depth, and geology, remains incompletely understood. Furthermore, a goal of current research, such as the Source Physics Experiments (SPE), is to improve our physical understanding of the mechanisms of explosion S–wave generation and advance our ability to numerically model and predict them.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Source Separation and Medium Change of Contained Chemical Explosions from Coda Wave Interferometry

Differences in the seismic coda of neighboring events can be used to investigate source location offsets and medium change with coda wave interferometry (CWI). We employ CWI to infer the known relative location between two chemical explosions in Phase I of the Source Physics Experiment (SPE). The inferred displacement between the first, SPE-1, and second, SPE-2, chemical explosion is between 6 and 18 m, with an expectation of 9.2 m, where the known separation is close to 9.4 m. We also employ CWI to find any velocity perturbation due to damage from SPE-2, by comparing its coda with the collocated third SPE chemical explosion, SPE-3. We find that damage due to SPE-2 must be confined to a spherical region with radius less than 10 m and velocity perturbation less than 25%.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Preliminary SPE Phase II Far Field Ground Motion Estimates

Phase II of the Source Physics Experiment (SPE) program will be conducted in alluvium. Several candidate sites were identified. These include existing large diameter borehole U1e. One criterion for acceptance is expected far field ground motion. In June 2013 we were requested to estimate peak response 2 km from the borehole due to the largest planned SPE Phase II experiment: a contained 50- Ton event. The cube-root scaled range for this event is 5423 m/KT 1/3 . The generally accepted first order estimate of ground motions from an explosive event is to refer to the standard data base for explosive events (Perrett and Bass, 1975). This reference is a compilation and analysis of ground motion data from numerous nuclear and chemical explosive events from Nevada National Security Site (formerly the Nevada Test Site, or NTS) and other locations. The data were compiled and analyzed for various geologic settings including dry alluvium, which we believe is an accurate descriptor for the SPE Phase II setting. The Perrett and Bass plots of peak velocity and peak yield-scaled displacement, both vs. yield-scaled range, are provided here. Their analysis of both variables resulted in bi-linear fits: a close-in non-linear regime and a more distant linear regime.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

A Preliminary Explosion Seismic Spectral Model for Saturated/Hard Rock

This short technical report describes a new seismic spectral model for chemical and nuclear explosions in saturated and/or hard rock. Results from the Source Physics Experiments (SPE) indicate that existing explosion spectral models can be poor fits to small and/or over-buried explosions. Here we develop a preliminary improved explosion model to fit both SPE and historic nuclear explosion data. The model is based on revising the Mueller and Murphy (1972) and Denny and Johnson (1991) seismic spectral models. A FORTRAN code was developed to provide the spectral models in SAC format for use in explosion monitoring applications such as detection and yield estimation. This model should be considered preliminary and work is underway to better generalize and expand the model to include explosions in dry porous and/or soft rock media and to better fit explosion S-waves.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Data summary for the evaluation of potential surface collapse at the BRISTOL underground nuclear event

This report provides data for the evaluation of potential surface collapse above an underground nuclear event executed in Yucca Flat back in 1991. This work is being done in support of the Source Physics Experiment Program. Safety decisions must be made before a potential surface crater area can be reentered for any work. Our statements on cavity collapse and surface crater formation are provided as input into the safety decision process. They also do not address possible radiation dangers that may be present. LLNL subject matter experts who have been active in the underground testing program at NNSS (formerly NTS) reviewed these data. Both classified and unclassified data are available for review; various amounts of information are accessible, depending on the age of the test. Lack of data can hamper evaluation and introduce uncertainty; we make no attempt to quantify this uncertainty.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Dynamic Brazilian Tension Results on Core from Borehole U-15n, NNSS, in support of SPE

Dynamic Brazilian tension (DBR) tests from core hole U-15n are part of a larger material characterization effort for the Source Physics Experiment (SPE) project. This larger effort encompasses characterizing Climax Stock granite rock from the Nevada National Security Site (NNSS) both before and after each SPE shot. The current test series includes DBR tests on dry intact granite and fault material at depths of -85 and -150 ft.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Triaxial Compression Results on Core from Borehole U-15n, NNSS, in support of SPE

Triaxial compression tests from core hole U-15n are part of a larger material characterization effort for the Source Physics Experiment (SPE) project. This larger effort encompasses characterizing Climax Stock granite rock from the Nevada National Security Site (NNSS) both before and after each SPE shot. The current test series includes triaxial compression tests on dry and saturated intact granite and fault material at 100, 200, 300, and 400 MPa confining pressure.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Near-Field Imaging of Shallow Chemical Explosions in Granite Using Change Detection Methods with Surface and Borehole Seismic Data

Explosions detonated in geologic media damage it in various ways via processes that include vaporization, fracturing, crushing of interstitial pores, etc. Seismic waves interact with the altered media in ways that could be important to the discrimination, characterization, and location of the explosions. As part of the Source Physics Experiment, we acquired multiple pre- and post-explosion near-field seismic datasets and analyzed changes to seismic P-wave velocity. Our results indicate that the first explosion detonated in an intact media can cause fracturing and, consequently, a decrease in P-wave velocity. After the first explosion, subsequent detonations in the pre-damaged media have limited discernible effects. We hypothesize this is due to the stress-relief provided by a now pre-existing network of fractures into which gasses produced by the explosion migrate. We also see an overall increase in velocity of the damaged region over time, either due to a slow healing process or closing of the fractures by subsequent explosions.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Predicting Atmospheric Green's Functions using the Weather Research and Forecasting Model

This report shows the results of constructing predictive atmospheric models for the Source Physics Experiments 1-6. Historic atmospheric data are combined with topography to construct an atmospheric model that corresponds to the predicted (or actual) time of a given SPE event. The models are ultimately used to construct atmospheric Green's functions to be used for subsequent analysis. We present three atmospheric models for each SPE event: an average model based on ten one-hour snap shots of the atmosphere and two extrema models corresponding to the warmest, coolest, windiest, etc. atmospheric snap shots. The atmospheric snap shots consist of wind, temperature, and pressure profiles of the atmosphere for a one-hour time window centered at the time of the predicted SPE event, as well as nine additional snap shots for each of the nine preceding years, centered at the time and day of the SPE event.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

3D orthorhombic earth model effects on seismic source characterization

Most earth materials are anisotropic with regard to seismic wave-speeds, especially materials such as shales, or where oriented fractures are present. However, the base assumption for many numerical simulations is to treat earth materials as isotropic media. This is done for simplicity, the apparent weakness of anisotropy in the far field, and the lack of well-characterized anisotropic material properties for input into numerical simulations. One approach for addressing the higher complexity of actual geologic regions is to model the material as an orthorhombic medium. We have developed an explicit time-domain, finite-difference (FD) algorithm for simulating three-dimensional (3D) elastic wave propagation in a heterogeneous orthorhombic medium. The objective of this research is to investigate the errors and biases that result from modeling a non-isotropic medium as an isotropic medium. This is done by computing “observed data” by using synthetic, anisotropic simulations with the assumption of an orthorhombic, anisotropic earth model. Green’s functions for an assumed isotropic earth model are computed and then used an inversion designed to estimate moment tensors with the “observed” data. One specific area of interest is how shear waves, which are introduced in an anisotropic model even for an isotropic explosion, affect the characterization of seismic sources when isotropic earth assumptions are made. This work is done in support of the modeling component of the Source Physics Experiment (SPE), a series of underground chemical explosions at the Nevada National Security Site (NNSS).

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

An Analysis of Published DAS Studies for Application to SPE Phase III

Distributed Acoustic Sensing (DAS) is an emerging technology capable of recording the acoustic wavefield at unprecedented spatial resolution. However, this new tool requires significant refinements before it becomes operational for explosion monitoring objectives. Recent studies have shown significant development of array processing with DAS data. In this report we explore three such array processing methods including DAS strain-rate data versus geophone measured ground motion, beamforming for event parameters, and machine learning based denoising. Prior to applying these algorithms to the Source Physics Experiment Phase II and Phase III data, we validate these methods through replication analysis.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Developing a 3-D Seismic-Attribute Framework Model of Yucca Flat, Nevada National Security Site

Using data collected during underground nuclear testing in Yucca Flat at the Nevada National Security Site, an existing 3-D hydrostratigraphic framework model (HFM) that was developed for groundwater modeling is being converted to a 3-D seismic-attribute framework model (SFM). The resulting SFM can be used to better understand seismic wave propagation from underground chemical explosive tests planned for Yucca Flat as part of the Source Physics Experiment. The Yucca Flat HFM covers 1,250 square kilometers and depicts the distribution of subsurface geologic units, called hydrostratigraphic units, according to their ability to transmit groundwater. Many of the rock properties and geologic structures that control groundwater flow also influence seismic wave transmission, so the team reasoned that the HFM could be modified to create an SFM. Existing geologic and geophysical data, including interval velocity measurements from down-hole seismic surveys conducted in 188 holes across Yucca Flat, were used to evaluate the HFM and develop a 3-D velocity property model. The velocity model was integrated with the HFM so that unit volumes within the HFM could be evaluated according to their seismic character. Results to date show, as anticipated, that most of the 3-D hydrostratigraphic unit volumes in the HFM can function as seismic-stratigraphic unit volumes. Thus, with relatively minor modifications, the HFM can be converted to an SFM.

seismic, Yucca Flat, model↗

Factors Affecting Seismic Velocity in Alluvium

Yucca Flat at the Nevada National Security Site has been selected as the Source Physics Experiment (SPE) Dry Alluvium Geology Phase II site. The alluvium in this part of Yucca Flat is typical of desert basin fill, with discontinuous beds that are highly variable in clast size and provenance. Detailed understanding of the subsurface geology will be needed for interpretation of the SPE seismic data. A 3D seismic velocity model, created for Yucca Flat using interval seismic velocity data, shows variations in velocity within alluvium near the SPE Phase II site beyond the usual gradual increase of density with depth due to compaction. In this study we examined borehole lithologic logs, geophysical logs, downhole videos, and laboratory analyses of sidewall core samples to understand which characteristics of the alluvium are related to these variations in seismic velocity. Seismic velocity of alluvium is generally related to its density, which can be affected by sediment provenance, clast size, gravel percentage, and matrix properties, in addition to compaction. This study presents a preliminary subdivision of the alluvial strata in the SPE Phase II area into mappable units expected to be significant to seismic modeling. Further refinements of the alluvial units may be possible when seismic data are obtained from SPE Phase II tests.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗