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NASA NTRS1988

Vacillations in a coupled ocean-atmosphere model

Results are presented from a 35-year integration of a coupled ocean-atmosphere model. Both ocean and atmosphere are two-level, nonlinear primitive equation models. The global atmospheric model is forced by a steady, zonally symmetric Newtonian heating. The ocean model is solved in a rectangular tropical basin. Heat fluxes between ocean and atmosphere are linear in air-sea temperature differences, and the interfacial stress is proportional to lower-level atmospheric winds. The coupled models produce ENSO-like variability on time scales of 3 to 5 years. Since there is no external time-dependent forcing, these are self-sustained vacillations of the nonlinear system. It is argued that the energetics of the vacillations is that of unstable coupled modes and that the time scale is crucially dependent on the effects of ocean waves propagating in a closed basin.

Schopf, Paul S.↗
NASA NTRS1988

Mesoscale spiral vortex embedded within a Lake Michigan snow squall band - High resolution satellite observations and numerical model simulations

It is known that Great Lakes snow squall convection occurs in a variety of different modes depending on various factors such as air-water temperature contrast, boundary-layer wind shear, and geostrophic wind direction. An exceptional and often neglected source of data for mesoscale cloud studies is the ultrahigh resolution multispectral data produced by Landsat satellites. On October 19, 1972, a clearly defined spiral vortex was noted in a Landsat-1 image near the southern end of Lake Michigan during an exceptionally early cold air outbreak over a still very warm lake. In a numerical simulation using a three-dimensional Eulerian hydrostatic primitive equation mesoscale model with an initially uniform wind field, a definite analog to the observed vortex was generated. This suggests that intense surface heating can be a principal cause in the development of a low-level mesoscale vortex.

Lyons, Walter A.↗
NASA NTRS1988

The role of gravity wave generated advection and diffusion in transport of tracers in the mesosphere

The roles of advection and turbulent diffusion in controlling tracer transport in the meridional plane of the mesosphere are compared using a version of the global primitive equation model for the middle atmosphere developed by Holton and Wehrbein (1980). The results of model sensitivity tests demonstrated that transport in the mesosphere for long-lived species with large-scale heights, such as H2O, CO, and NO(x), is primarily an advective process; on a global scale, small-scale turbulent diffusion produced by gravity wave breaking plays a secondary role. It is concluded that, for such tracers, the eddy diffusion coefficient used in one-dimensional chemical models of the mesosphere should be regarded as a parameterization of the transport by the meridional circulation, not as a parameterization of mixing by small-scale diffusion.

Holton, James R.↗
NASA NTRS1988

Irreversible wave-mean flow interactions in a mechanistic model of the stratosphere

A wave-1 minor warming is simulated in a mechanistic, global, primitive equation model. The modification of the zonal flow by the rearrangement of potential vorticity on a middle stratopheric isentrope is compared in a fully nonlinear model and in a model with only one wave and the zonal flow (a quasi-linear model). The permanent rearrangement of potential vorticity during the wave episode is more intense and more localized meridionally in the fully nonlinear model, which is able to capture the process of planetary wave breaking in some detail. Additional experiments reveal that the differences between the quasi-linear and nonlinear models persist for a broad range of wave amplitudes, and that the quasi-linear model can qualitatively reproduce the modification of the zonal flow by the wave when the diffusive dissipation of the wave is enhanced. These results are discussed in the context of the theory of barotropic Rossby waves in shear flows, and in comparison with recent numerical simulations of the middle atmosphere.

Robinson, Walter A.↗
NASA NTRS1989

The use of assimilated stratospheric data in constituent transport calculations

A stratospheric assimilation system has been developed, which generates wind data that is consistent with the geopotential height (and temperature) field and the primitive equations in the general circulation model. This paper reports the first known calculations to use data from an assimilation to calculate constituent transport in the stratosphere. Nitric acid (NHO3) during the Limb IR Monitor of the Stratosphere (Gille et al., 1984) period is studied. The high-latitude time variance of the HNO3 is accurately captured. These studies suggest that data from an assimilation process offers tremendous potential for studying stratospheric dynamics, constituent transport, and chemistry.

Rood, Richard B.↗
NASA NTRS1989

Dynamics of planetary-scale baroclinic waves during Southern Hemisphere winter

The characteristics of linear and finite amplitude baroclinic waves during Southern Hemisphere winter were investigated using a three-dimensional global primitive-equation spectral mode, with emphasis on the dynamics of planetary scale modes which propagate into the stratosphere. Linear stability computations showed that the winter zonally averaged basic state is baroclinically unstable, with the most unstable modes being Charney-type modes; however, the results showed that Green-type modes also exist; these give much larger relative amplitude in the stratosphere although they have smaller growth rates. The results suggest that the existence of both Charney and Green modes might explain certain observed properties of the eastward traveling waves, such as the lack of coherence between troposphere and stratosphere at zonal wavenumbers 1 and 2.

Young, Richard E.↗
NASA NTRS1989

The sensitivity of stationary waves to variations in the basic state zonal flow

A linear, primitive equation stationary wave model having high vertical and meridional resolution is used to examine the sensitivity of orographically forced (primarily by Himalayas) stationary waves at middle and high latitudes to variations in the basic state zonal wind distribution. We find relatively little sensitivity to the winds in high latitudes, but remarkable sensitivity to small variations in the subtropical jet. Fluctuations well within the range of observed variability in the jet can lead to large variations in the stationary waves of the high latitude stratosphere, and to large changes even in tropospheric stationary waves. Implications for both sudden warmings and large-scale weather are discussed.

Nigam, Sumant↗
NASA NTRS1989

An evaluation of the role of eddy diffusion in stratospheric interactive two-dimensional models

An interactive two-dimensional model of the stratosphere, consisting of a primitive equation dynamics module, a simplified HO(x) ozone model, and a full radiative transfer scheme, is used to study the effect of eddy diffusion in the model. Consideration is given to the effects of nonlocal forcing from dissipation in the model troposphere and frictional drag at mesospheric levels, mechanical damping in the stratosphere itself, and potential vorticity flux due to large scale waves. It is found that the ozone distributions generated with the model are very sensitive to the choice of values for the friction and the eddy diffusion coefficients. It is shown that reasonable latitudinal gradients of ozone may be obtained by using small values for the mechanical damping for the mid- and high-latitude stratopsphere.

Schneider, Hans R.↗
NASA NTRS1989

The effect of latent heat release on synoptic-to-planetary wave interactions and its implication for satellite observations: Theoretical modeling

Simple models are being developed to simulate interaction of planetary and synoptic-scale waves incorporating the effects of large-scale topography; eddy heat and momentum fluxes (or nonlinear dynamics); radiative heating/cooling; and latent heat release (precipitation) in synoptic-scale waves. The importance of latent heat release is determined in oceanic storm tracks for temporal variability and time-mean behavior of planetary waves. The model results were compared with available observations of planetary and synoptic-scale wave variability and time-mean circulation. The usefulness of monitoring precipitation in oceanic storm tracks by satellite observing systems was ascertained. The modeling effort includes two different low-order quasi-geostrophic models-time-dependent version and climatological mean version. The modeling also includes a low-order primitive equation model. A time-dependent, multi-level version will be used to validate the two-level Q-G models and examine effects of spherical geometry.

Branscome, Lee E.↗
NASA NTRS1989

A technique for representinbg three-dimensional vertical circulation in baroclinic disturbances

A method is presented for producing three-dimensional representations of vertical circulations in frontal zones in cases where the circulations are not confined to the cross-front vertical plane. Various approaches for representing vertical circulations are reviewed. The numerical aspects of the channel-model simulation are summarized. A vector streamfunction, the psi vector, that describes the vertical velocity and the horizontal irrotational flow, is defined. The technique for determining the psi vector for a channel geometry is outlined. Results are presented from applying the psi vector method to four frontal systems in an f-plane primitive equation channel model of a finite-amplitude baroclinic wave.

Keyser, Daniel↗
NASA NTRS1990

Simulations of the general circulation of the Martian atmosphere. I - Polar processes

Numerical simulations of the Martian atmosphere general circulation are carried out for 50 simulated days, using a three-dimensional model, based on the primitive equations of meteorology, which incorporated the radiative effects of atmospheric dust on solar and thermal radiation. A large number of numerical experiments were conducted for alternative choices of seasonal date and dust optical depth. It was found that, as the dust content of the winter polar region increased, the rate of atmospheric CO2 condensation increased sharply. It is shown that the strong seasonal variation in the atmospheric dust content observed might cause a number of hemispheric asymmetries. These asymmetries include the greater prevalence of polar hoods in the northern polar region during winter, the lower albedo of the northern polar cap during spring, and the total dissipation of the northern CO2 ice cap during the warmer seasons.

Pollack, James B.↗
NASA NTRS1990

On the Decadal Modes of Oscillation of an Idealized Ocean-atmosphere System

Axially-symmetric, linear, free modes of global, primitive equation, ocean-atmosphere models are examined to see if they contain decadal (10 to 30 years) oscillation time scale modes. A two-layer ocean model and a two-level atmospheric model are linearized around axially-symmetric basic states containing mean meridional circulations in the ocean and the atmosphere. Uncoupled and coupled, axially-symmetric modes of oscillation of the ocean-atmosphere system are calculated. The main conclusion is that linearized, uncoupled and coupled, ocean-atmosphere systems can contain axially-symmetric, free modes of variability on decadal time scales. These results have important implications for externally-forced decadal climate variability.

Mehta, Vikram M.↗
NASA NTRS1990

Planetary circulations in the presence of transient and self-induced heating

The linearized global primitive equation model of Salby and Garcia (1987) was modified to study tropospheric circulations and their interaction with tropical convection. The vertical resolution was increased to approximately 1.5 km, with the effective vertical domain extending the approximately 40 km (higher altitudes in the calculation are used to ensure the radiation upper boundary condition is satisfied). A formal wave conditional instability of the second kind (CISK) parameterization was introduced. That parameterization allows low-frequency disturbances to interact with convection by organizing surface moisture. Boundary layer friction has two important effects in these calculations: it exaggerates surface convergence near the equator by driving the flow out of geostrophic balance; and it introduces a phase shift between the convergence pattern and the circulation, which drives the heating out of quadrature with the temperature field and allows a positive feedback to take place. The observational complement of this theoretical work involves Global Cloud Imagery (GCI) composited from six satellites in the International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project (ISCCP) which were simultaneously observing the Earth's cloud field. Having global coverage, horizontal resolution of half a degree, and produced synoptically every 3 hours, the GCI affords an unprecendented view of global convection. A full year (1983 to 1984) of GCI has now been successfully created. Among other phenomena, that imagery reveals a regular progression of easterly waves in the convective pattern of the Western Pacific. Those disturbances have odd symmetry about the equator and organize convection into a pattern with similar symmetry. In time-mean maps of cloud cover, these propagating disturbances produce a split Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) in the western Pacific.

Salby, Murry L.↗
NASA NTRS1991

The impact of greenhouse climate change on the energetics and hydrologic processes of mid-latitude transient eddies

Atmospheric transient eddies contribute significantly to mid-latitude energy and water vapor transports. Changes in the global climate, as induced by greenhouse enhancement, will likely alter transient eddy behavior. Unraveling all the feedbacks that occur in general circulation models (GCMs) can be difficult. The transient eddies are isolated from the feedbacks and are focused on the response of the eddies to zonal-mean climate changes that result from CO2-doubling. Using a primitive-equation spectral model, the impact of climate change on the life cycles of transient eddies is examined. Transient eddy behavior in experiments is compared with initial conditions that are given by the zonal-mean climates of the GCMs with current and doubled amounts of CO2. The smaller meridional temperature gradient in a doubled CO2 climate leads to a reduction in eddy kinetic energy, especially in the subtropics. The decrease in subtropical eddy energy is related to a substantial reduction in equatorward flux of eddy activity during the latter part of the life cycle. The reduction in equatorward energy flux alters the moisture cycle. Eddy meridional transport of water vapor is shifted slightly poleward and subtropical precipitation is reduced. The water vapor transport exhibits a relatively small change in magnitude, compared to changes in eddy energy, due to the compensating effect of higher specific humidity in the doubled-CO2 climate. An increase in high-latitude precipitation is related to the poleward shift in eddy water vapor flux. Surface evaporation amplifies climatic changes in water vapor transport and precipitation in the experiments.

Branscome, Lee E.↗
NASA NTRS1990

Normal mode projections of GCM response to tropical forcing

The transient response of a general circulation model (GCM) is examined for the first 10 days of integration after a tropical heating source is switched on. Model output from 10 control and 10 experiment GCM runs are projected onto the normal modes of an adiabatic primitive equation model linearized about a basic state at rest to quantify the contributions from different modes to the 200 mb wind response. The response in the vicinity of the source is similar to that predicted by models linearized about uniform basic states, with important contributions from the internal Rossby and Kelvin modes in the tropics. The heating also excites internal gravity modes with contributions to the 200 mb winds about 40 percent of those of the internal Rossby modes through the 10-day integration time. The response in the external Rossby modes in the extratropics becomes statistically significant after five days.

Zhong, Weili↗
NASA NTRS1991

The influence of the equatorial QBO on sudden stratospheric warmings

A global primitive-equation model of the stratosphere and mesosphere is integrated for specified planetary-wave forcing at the 100-mb level with mean zonal flow conditions corresponding to the westerly and easterly phases of the equatorial QBO, respectively. The responses in the two QBO phases were compared for integrations with wavenumber-1 forcing-amplitude maxima at 100 mb and 60 deg N varying from 100 to 400 m. The phase of the QBO had little effect on the results in the weak-wave (100-m) cases, which did not produce warmings, and strong-wave (400-m) cases, which produced major sudden warmings.

Holton, James R.↗
NASA NTRS1991

The effects of transience on the propagation of stratospheric planetary waves

The propagation of planetary-scale Rossby waves in the stratosphere is investigated in a linear, time-dependent, primitive equation model. Two distinct maxima in the convergence of the Eliassen-Palm flux (EP flux) are found for steady and for transient waves in a variety of realistic northern hemisphere, winter season, zonal flows; one below the stratospheric polar jet and the other north of the zero wind line. These maxima appear at higher altitudes for wave 1 than for wave 2, especially in low latitudes. Different mechanisms cause the formation of these two maxima. The confinement of wave activity in high latitudes is mainly due to the dissipation of waves in that region under non-WKBJ conditions. The maximum in lower latitudes is related to the absorption of Rossby waves near their critical lines. For wave 2, the intensity of the high latitude maximum is sensitive to the transience of the wave forcing at the tropopause, while for wave 1 this sensitivity is reduced. For both waves the low latitude maximum shifts northward with increasing transience.

Chen, Ping↗
NASA NTRS1991

A Variational Assimilation Method for Satellite and Conventional Data: Development of Basic Model for Diagnosis of Cyclone Systems

A summary is presented of the progress toward the completion of a comprehensive diagnostic objective analysis system based upon the calculus of variations. The approach was to first develop the objective analysis subject to the constraints that the final product satisfies the five basic primitive equations for a dry inviscid atmosphere: the two nonlinear horizontal momentum equations, the continuity equation, the hydrostatic equation, and the thermodynamic equation. Then, having derived the basic model, there would be added to it the equations for moist atmospheric processes and the radiative transfer equation.

Achtemeier, Gary L.↗