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At least 163 records · Page 9

On Theories of Change: Rethinking the Ban Treaty and Disarmament Strategies

A week before Israel bombed Iran’s nuclear facilities, the Director General of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Rafael Grossi had lunch with the Financial Times. In the interview, Grossi expressed both optimism and pessimism about the nuclear landscape: he was hopeful about prospects for diplomacy, including with Iran. But he also expressed longer-term concerns about a proliferation cascade and rising nuclear risks, in particular, Russia’s nuclear threats amidst the war in Ukraine. “In the past, this was quite taboo,” he said, “but now people talk about tactical nuclear weapons like something which could be contained or permissible.” Given subsequent events in Iran, along with the expiration of New START in 2026 and expanding nuclear arsenals in Russia and China, pessimism would seem to trump hope for prospects for nuclear disarmament.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Gamma-ray imaging of Np-237 metal using an organic glass imager

Neutron and gamma-ray imaging systems are deployed within the field of nuclear safeguards for the detection and localization of special nuclear materials and other materials of interest. 237 Np is one of these materials of interest due its presence in spent nuclear fuel and potential for use in nuclear weapons when purified. Here, for the first time, a 6 kg neptunium sphere (98.8 wt% 237 Np) was measured using a dual-particle imager, from the University of Michigan, consisting of organic glass and inorganic scintillators. The novel composition of organic glass scintillator was recently developed at Sandia National Labs and has been used in particle imaging systems due to its time resolution and particle discrimination capabilities. Gamma-ray energy spectra from single and coincident events were extracted and the sequencing of Compton scatter and photoelectric absorption gamma-ray events was used to generate images using simple backprojection. The emissions of interest in this work are the 312 keV and 416 keV gamma rays from 233 Pa, a daughter isotope from the neptunium decay series. The results of this work show that there is close agreement between the true source location in angular space and the converged location from the gamma ray images created using the system. The gamma spectroscopy from single and coincident events also identified the characteristic emission from the daughter isotope and could be used to assist with the identification of 237 Np. Furthermore, successful localization of the source with 5 s of data demonstrates the practical application of the imaging system for imaging and detection of material in weapons-useable quantities.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Modeling 233 Pa Generation in Thorium-fueled Reactors for Safeguards

Thorium has been considered as a possible alternative to uranium for nuclear fuel for many decades. It is three to four times more abundant in the earth than uranium and produces significantly less long-lived transuranic nuclear waste. Some claim thorium poses fewer proliferation concerns than other fuel types largely due to 232 U buildup (and associated high energy gamma-emitting decay products) in the irradiated thorium fuel. However, to fully explore potential proliferation concerns, generation and subsequent decay of 233 Pa produced in the reactor core still must be studied. With its half-life of 27 days, 233 Pa decays to 233 U, which is an International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) defined special fissionable material that can be used for nuclear weapons production. With more research being dedicated to thorium-fueled reactors, and several of these reactor designs possessing online fuel processing (allowing for on-site protactinium separation), it is important to understand this potential proliferation pathway. In particular, it is theoretically possible to extract protactinium from the irradiated fuel salt before it decays into 233 U. This hypothetical potential diversion can become an even greater proliferation concern if the extracted protactinium is purified through a second separation of protactinium approximately ten days later to remove the short half-life decay products of 232 Pa and 234 Pa, thus resulting in a higher concentration of the 233 Pa isotope, which decays into weapons usable 233 U with hardly any 232 U or 234 U in it. To estimate the concern of this potential proliferation challenge of thorium, different nuclear material accountancy techniques were reviewed for their viability to quantify 233 Pa if extracted from used thorium fuel. Characteristics of interest included technology maturity, cost, precision, and time taken to acquire results. Some technologies, like hybrid K-edge densitometry and passive gamma spectroscopy, appear to be viable techniques based on current literature. Due to the limited scope of this project, only passive gamma spectroscopy was further investigated. Three different reactor types (PWR, CANDU, MSR) were modeled with mixed thorium-uranium oxide fuels that were burned until the fuel was spent. The protactinium in the used fuel was extracted at the time of shutdown and the change in isotopic content of the protactinium quantified. Gamma spectroscopy simulations were performed for the protactinium isotopes and their decay products at various decay times. Given the simplicity of the models and large assumptions made (e.g. no background, no shielding, no self-attenuation), the initial results indicate that though 233 Pa is detectible for all the reactor types modeled at all decay times (0 to 300 days), more work should be done with higher fidelity models.

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗

2023 Annual Site Environmental Report for Sandia National Laboratories, Livermore, California

Sandia National Laboratories is a multimission laboratory managed and operated by National Technology & Engineering Solutions of Sandia, LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Honeywell International Inc., for the U.S. Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration. The National Nuclear Security Administration’s Sandia Field Office administers the Prime Contract and oversees contractor operations at Sandia National Laboratories, California. Activities at this multi-program engineering and science laboratory support the nuclear weapons stockpile program, energy and environmental research, homeland security, micro-and nanotechnologies, and basic science and engineering research. The U.S. Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration and its management and operating contractor are committed to safeguarding the environment, assessing sustainability practices, and ensuring the validity and accuracy of the monitoring data presented in this annual site environmental report. This report provides a summary of environmental monitoring of information and compliance activities that occurred at Sandia National Laboratories, California during calendar year 2023 unless noted otherwise. General site and environmental program information is also included. This report was prepared in accordance with DOE O 231.1B, Admin Change 1, Environment, Safety and Health Reporting.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

The Role of Nuclear-Conventional Intermingling on State Decision-making and the Risk of Inadvertent Escalation

The questions answered by this report are: What are the implications of nuclear and conventional intermingling on crisis stability and the potential risk of miscalculation?, and Specifically, how might entanglement influence US and competitor decision making during crisis and conflict? In practice, there are three main forms of nuclear-conventional intermingling. First, intermingling between nuclear and non-nuclear weapon systems can occur via the fielding of dual capable delivery systems like missiles or aircraft. Second, intermingling can happen due to the co-location of nuclear and non-nuclear forces and their support structures—for example, the co-location of strategic bombers and general-purpose aircraft, or the co-location of strategic submarines and general-purpose vessels. Third, intermingling can occur via convolving nuclear and conventional military command and control systems, to include ballistic missile early warning and potentially space surveillance systems as well. All three forms of nuclear-conventional intermingling have significantly increased since the end of the Cold War, driven by both technological and doctrinal changes. However, there are important differences in the rationale behind, and also the risks associated with these three different forms of intermingling. The mere existence of dual capable systems is not new— deploying such systems can increase the effectiveness of forces, and it can also provide more flexibility. The major powers have both employed and threatened with dual capable systems for decades, and they have done so without nuclear escalation. Similarly, the major powers co-located nuclear and conventional systems in the Cold War, and they did so for variety of reasons that had nothing to do with complicating the adversary’s risk calculus. The Soviet Union, for example, decided to co-locate its nuclear and conventional forces for economic and administrative reasons. Although today it might be recognized as a useful deterrent tool, it was not their primary intention. Major powers want to convince rivals that the co-location of forces creates a high bar for targeting and raises the risk of nuclear escalation, but they also want to have the flexibility of this not being true in an actual crisis or conflict.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Energy Dependent Fission Product Yields (2nd year Milestone and Deliverables)

Introduction to the project: One of the Laboratory missions is to provide consistent, high-precision fission product; yield data critical for testing fission models and maintaining the safety and security of the nation’s nuclear weapons stockpile. However, high-quality, energy-differential fission product yield data is missing for certain actinides and neutron energies important to constrain the new U.S. Nuclear Data Program evaluation effort; It has been shown that the reactor antineutrino anomaly may be at least partially caused by roughly 20 fission products. The fission product yield data is missing or incomplete for many of these isotopes, thus it is necessary to accurately determine these values to better constrain the anomaly; Aitor Bracho is measuring very short-lived (seconds to minutes) fission product yields of 235 U and 239 Pu using monoenergetic neutron beams at E n = 60 and 560 keV; Aitor Bracho is using a direct approach utilizing a state-of-the-art rabbit transfer system, superior HPGe detector, and digital acquisition systems for fission decay measurements. The goals of this project: lop experimental capabilities and data analysis techniques to carry out the gamma-ray spectra analysis necessary for fission product yield calculation; Provide high-precision and energy-dependent fission product data supporting fission theory, neutrino physics, and applied physics.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

WRS Capabilities Booklet [Slides]

WRS is the digital backbone of the Weapons Program—delivering trusted data assets, cyber-assured software and systems, and AI-enabling software—that transform insights into decisive action. We empower physicists, engineers, researchers, and scientists to think faster, act strategically, and stay ahead in an ever-evolving threat landscape. Our efforts ensure critical nuclear weapons data remains secure, accessible, and usable—supporting mission-critical work, informed decision making, and scientific advancement at LANL and across the Nuclear Security Enterprise (NSE).

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Adsorptive Capture of Iodide by Metal-Organic Framework from Off-Gas Condensate Simulate

Millions of gallons of liquid nuclear wastes generated due to nuclear weapon development during the Cold War are in tank storage at several Department of Energy (DOE) sites across the country. DOE is responsible for disposal of the tank nuclear waste and clean-up of the contaminated sites. These efforts are complex and challenging technically and are costly financially, with the predicted overall cost reaching $377 billion over the next few decades [1]. The current practice of nuclear waste treatment and tank closure is to separate high-level waste (HLW) and low-level waste (LLW) [2]. The HLW is then vitrified into a borosilicate-based glass waste form [3], while the LLW is immobilized into cementitious grout or vitrified into glass [4]. However, these treatment processes have met unsolved technical problems

Jiang, Junhua [Savannah River National Laboratory ↗

A stilbene–strontium iodide based radioxenon detection system for monitoring nuclear explosions

Atmospheric measurement of noble gases has been extensively used for monitoring clandestine nuclear weapon explosions for many years. The ratios of four xenon isotopes of interest ( 131 mXe, 133 mXe, 133 Xe, and 135 Xe) help in discriminating regular reactor operations from nuclear tests. A new coincidence-based detection system using stilbene and strontium iodide [SrI 2 (Eu)] for electron and photon detection respectively was developed at Oregon State University to address some of the challenges of the radioxenon systems deployed in the field such as memory effect, and poor energy resolution. Silicon photomultipliers (SiPMs) were used for sensing optical photons from all scintillation media. Real-time coincidence identification was achieved using the eight-channel digital pulse processor. The detection system was evaluated using lab check sources and Oregon State TRIGA reactor irradiated radioxenon samples. A 48-hour background coincidence spectrum was collected yielding a coincidence count rate and background rejection rate of 0.0174 ± 0.0003 counts per second (cps) and 98.9% respectively. The minimum detectable concentration (MDC) of the system was evaluated to be 0.11 ± 0.01, 0.13 ± 0.02, 0.20 ± 0.02, and 0.73 ± 0.08 for 131 mXe, 133 mXe, 133 Xe, and 135 Xe respectively. The memory effect of the detection system was found to be 0.069 ± 0.015%, which is almost a 70-fold reduction compared to traditional plastic scintillators. Here, the detection elements, custom-designed electronics, and the detector response to radioxenon are detailed in this work.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Validation of the Mach Stem Triple Point

Among the more complex characteristics of an explosion’s shock front is the creation of the Mach stem and its triple point. The scientific footage of the US Atmospheric Nuclear Weapons Testing Program has a film that may show the locus of points formed by the triple point, allowing us to visually investigate the trajectory of these shockwaves. During a nuclear blast, once the X-ray diffusion process ends, an incident shockwave forms in all directions. When the incident shockwave contacts the ground, a reflected shockwave is created. The overall magnitude and impact of these two shockwaves are proportional to the increasing total pressure and temperature, allowing the disturbances to move faster than the local speed of sound.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Scintillation Hydro-Gel for Isotopic Neutron (SHINE): Eco-Friendly Quantum Dot Neutron Detectors

The development of new neutron detectors to replace helium-3 (3He) detectors is imperative due to a worldwide shortage of 3He following the draw down in nuclear weapons production since the end of the Cold War. The United States Department of Homeland Security would like to deploy monitors for the detection of neutron emissions from shipping containers housing illicit nuclear material; however, this effort has been put on hold until new replacements for 3He detectors can be developed. Scintillation Hydro-Gel for isotopic Neutron Emitters (SHINE) is a unique, first of its kind, 6Li-loaded quantum dot gel scintillator developed at INL. By incorporating 6Li with quantum dots in a gel matrix, SHINE displays the best properties of liquid and solid scintillators without their disadvantages such as continuous filtering to keep liquids free of contaminates, slow throughput of containers, higher base component costs, ‘dead’ voids in solid scintillators, and a high loading of 6Li without compromising on light transparency. Additionally, SHINE is completely eco-friendly, a breakthrough in high-efficiency detection systems. SHINE is a unique combination of 6LiCl, a highly water-soluble compound, and InP/ZnS core/shell quantum dots, which are poured into a gel-form using cross-linking polymers. In this presentation, SHINE has been successfully tested for neutron detection and shows promise as both a replacement for current 3He neutron detectors as well as potential use in handheld, compact neutron detection units and antineutrino detection.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants – Radionuclide Emissions Calendar Year 2020

The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), National Nuclear Security Administration Nevada Field Office (NNSA/NFO) operates the Nevada National Security Site (NNSS) and the North Las Vegas Facility (NLVF). From 1951 through 1992, the NNSS was the continental testing location for U.S. nuclear weapons. Radionuclides in air from NNSS activities have been monitored since the initiation of atmospheric testing. After 1962, testing was limited to underground detonations, which greatly reduced radiation exposure to the public. Since the end of nuclear testing in 1992, radiation monitoring has focused on detecting airborne radionuclides from historically contaminated soils because this sources dominates the potential offsite dose. These radionuclides are derived from re-suspension of soil (primarily by wind) and emission of tritium-contaminated soil moisture through evapotranspiration. Low amounts of legacy-related tritium are also emitted to air at the NLVF, an NNSS support complex in North Las Vegas. To protect the public from harmful levels of manmade radiation, the Clean Air Act, National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants (NESHAP), specifically the National Emission Standards for Emissions of Radionuclides Other Than Radon From Department of Energy Facilities (40 CFR 61, Subpart H, 2020) limits the release of radioactivity from a DOE facility to that which would cause 10 millirem per year (mrem/y) effective dose equivalent (EDE) to any member of the public. This limit does not include radiation unrelated to NNSS activities. Unrelated doses could come from naturally occurring radioactive elements, from sources such as medically or commercially used radionuclides, or from sources outside of the United States, such as Japan’s Fukushima nuclear power plant, which was damaged in 2011. NNSA/NFO demonstrates compliance with the NESHAP limit by reporting environmental measurements of radionuclide air concentrations at critical receptor locations on the NNSS. This alternative was proposed and formerly submitted to the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) in 2001 (EPA 2001a) and has been the method used to demonstrate compliance with the 40 CFR 61.92 dose standard since 2005. Six locations on the NNSS have been established to act as critical receptor locations to demonstrate compliance with the NESHAP limit. These locations are closer to radionuclide releases than where the public resides so they act as protective substitutes for public receptor locations. Compliance is demonstrated if the measured annual average concentration is less than the NESHAP Concentration Level (CL) for Environmental Compliance listed in Table 2 of 40 CFR 61, Appendix E. For multiple radionuclides, compliance is demonstrated when the sum of the fractions (determined by dividing each radionuclide’s concentration by its CL and then adding the fractions together) is less than 1.0. The EPAapproved air transport model, called the Clean Air Package 1988 (CAP88-PC) is also used to calculate the effective dose equivalent to the maximally exposed individual from NNSS air emissions. CAP88-PC was also used to calculate the population dose, or the collective EDE (expressed as person-rem [roentgen equivalent man] per year [person-rem/y]) for all individuals combined who reside within 80 kilometers (km) of NNSS emission sources. In 2020, the potential dose from radiological emissions to air from both current and past NNSS activities was well below the 10 mrem/y dose limit. This is demonstrated by both the air sampling data collected at critical receptor air monitoring stations and CAP88-PC modeling. The average concentrations of radioactivity at air critical receptor stations ranged from 0.2% to a maximum of 4.2% of the allowed NESHAP limit. CAP88-PC modeling of all 2020 NNSS radionuclide emissions showed the maximally exposed individual to be in Amargosa Valley and this individual received a potential dose of 0.063 mrem/y. The collective dose was calculated to be 0.29 person-rem/year for the 521,300 people who lived within 80 km of NNSS emission sources.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants – Radionuclide Emissions (CY 2019)

The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), National Nuclear Security Administration Nevada Field Office (NNSA/NFO) operates the Nevada National Security Site (NNSS) and the North Las Vegas Facility (NLVF). From 1951 through 1992, the NNSS was the continental testing location for U.S. nuclear weapons. The release of radionuclides from NNSS activities has been monitored since the initiation of atmospheric testing. After 1962, testing was limited to underground detonations, which greatly reduced radiation exposure to the public. Since the end of nuclear testing in 1992, radiation monitoring has focused on detecting airborne radionuclides from historically contaminated soils because this source dominates the potential offsite dose. These radionuclides are derived from re-suspension of soil (primarily by wind) and emission of tritium-contaminated soil moisture through evapotranspiration. Low amounts of legacy-related tritium are also emitted to air at the NLVF, an NNSS support complex in North Las Vegas.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Systems Engineering Approach for Design and Implementation of a Gas Breech for Actinide Experiments at the JASPER Facility

The Joint Actinide Shock Physics Experimental Research (JASPER) Facility is located approximately 65 miles north of Las Vegas, Nevada at the Nevada National Security Site (NNSS). The primary mission is to conduct shock physics research on actinide materials in support of NNSA’s Stockpile Stewardship Program. JASPER experiment uses a two-stage light gas gun to accelerate projectiles into targets at velocities up to 8 km/s (17,000 mph). The first stage uses an ignited propellent to drive a piston to compress gas in the pump tube. At the second stage, the gas compression exceeds a specified pressure and a rupture valve at the end of the pump tube opens. This launches a projectile to impact the target. The target is housed inside the target assembly and the debris field is contained inside the primary target chamber (PTC). The PTC is placed inside the secondary confinement chamber (SCC) as an added protection against possible contamination. These major components are illustrated in Figure 1.JASPER is capable of generating and measuring data on the properties of radioactive chemical elements at high shock pressures, temperatures, and strain rates approximating the conditions in nuclear weapons by using a two-stage gas gun. The data is used to determine material equations-of-state and validate computer models of material response. The work advances predictive capability, thus ensuring confidence in the nuclear stockpile.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Hardtack I

After thirty-four tests, Hardtack I came to an end on August 18, 1958, with the thirty-fifth and final test, Fig. Four days later, President Dwight Eisenhower told Norris Bradbury, “I am today announcing that the United States will suspend nuclear weapons tests for a period of twelve months and, under certain conditions of progress toward real disarmament, continue that suspension on a year-to-year basis.”1 Although not intended, Eisenhower’s announcement made Fig the last nuclear test conducted in the Marshall Islands.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

National Security Research Center

Born out of a need to make LANL Weapons Program archival material available to scientists and engineers. Material is the result of decades of consolidation of mini-libraries and mini archives at LANL. Latest consolidation brought together LANL’s digital archives and physical archives. Houses 75+ years of nuclear weapons research, designs, procedures, videos, photos, and other reports.

96 KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT AND PRESERVATION↗

National Security Research Center

Born from the need to make LANL Weapons Program archival material available to scientists and engineers. Material is the end result of decades of consolidation of mini libraries and mini archives at LANL. Latest consolidation brought together LANL’s digital archives and physical archives. Houses 75+ years of nuclear weapons research, designs, procedures, videos, photos, and other report.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Explosive Byproduct Gas Transport Through Sorptive Geomedia

Current underground nuclear explosion (UNE) detection strategies rely heavily on atmospheric noble gas sampling of radioxenon. However, discriminating nuclear weapons testing programs from civilian sources is difficult due to highly variable atmospheric radioxenon backgrounds and processes affecting subsurface transport of parent radionuclides. Here, we aim to study the transport of gases produced by subsurface explosions as novel stable signatures for underground nuclear explosion (UNE) monitoring. These gases may be produced in large quantities with distinct molecular ratios, which will be impacted by subsurface transport processes. To demonstrate how ratios of gases produced by explosions can change during transport in geomaterials, we conducted laboratory benchtop experiments on the transport of carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) and hydrogen (H 2 ) gases through variably saturated zeolitic tuff, which is abundant at the historic US testing site. We observed that zeolitic tuff sorbs substantial quantities of CO 2 while allowing H 2 to transport more freely, leading to changes in the molecular ratios of the two gases along the transport pathway. Gas uptake in the dry zeolitic tuff core was 72.3% for CO 2 , compared with 53.4% for xenon and 7.6% for H 2 . The presence of 20% water saturation disrupted the CO 2 sorption process, though to a lesser extent than observed for noble gases, with a 36.7% drop in xenon sorption compared with a 21.9% drop for CO 2 . These results represent the first observations of zeolite sorption altering explosive gas ratios during transport through geomedia relevant to nuclear proliferation monitoring.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗