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At least 163 records · Page 9

An entropy-based debiasing approach to quantifying experimental coverage for novel applications of interest in the nuclear community

This manuscript proposes a novel information-theoretic approach to the quantification of experimental relevance, i.e., coverage, to achieve optimal data assimilation results for nuclear engineering applications. Specifically, this work posits the need for a new metric, called coverage (q C ) of an application’s quantity of interest, i.e., eigenvalue or power peaking for an advanced reactor concept, defined herein as the theoretically maximum achievable reduction in the quantity’s uncertainty given measurements from a pool of experiments in a manner that is independent of the data assimilation procedure employed. Currently, reduction in a quantity’s uncertainty is strongly biased by the underlying assumptions of the assimilation procedure to account for the under-determined nature of such problems and the similarity criterion employed to identify relevant experiments. To address this challenge, this work has developed a coverage metric, q C , based on mutual information, which establishes a new conceptual framework for assessing coverage, one that is independent of the model parameters and responses degree of variations in both the experimental and application domains, i.e., linear vs non-linear, and their prior uncertainty distributions, i.e., Gaussian vs. non-Gaussian. The q C is an entropic measure capable of addressing coverage for general nonlinear problems with non-Gaussian uncertainties and inclusive of the measurement uncertainties from multiple experiments. Numerical experiments from manufactured analytical problems as well as a set of benchmarks from the ICSBEP handbook are employed to demonstrate its theoretical and practical performance as compared to the c k -based experiment selection methodology, commonly employed in the neutronic community. The manuscript then employs other well-known adaptations to existing data assimilation methodologies for nonlinear and non-Gaussian problems capable of achieving the coverage posited by q C .

Bayesian data assimilation↗

Reactivity Coefficient Measurements and Sensitivity Studies [Abstract]

Nuclear data validation is often performed today using criticality measurements. The gold standard for criticality measurements is the International Criticality Safety Benchmark Experiment Project (ICSBEP). The validation specifically focuses on the effective multiplication factor (k eff ). K eff is a relatively easy parameter to infer and has reduced uncertainty due to being at or above critical. However, while k eff is a well-documented parameter with detailed sensitivity and uncertainty analysis, it cannot be used as a standalone metric to determine inaccuracies in nuclear data (e.g., cross section data, PFNS, nu), which is based on theory, physics, and differential measurements. The Experiments Underpinned by Computational Learning for Improvements in nuclear Data (EUCLID) project aims to identify compensating errors in specific nuclear data by optimally designing experiments that are sensitive to a suite of measurement parameters beyond k eff . By identifying how each parameter's nuclear data sensitivity differs from others, experiments can be designed to constrain questionable nuclear data. One sensitivity that is of particular interest to this project includes reactivity coefficient sensitivities.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Space Nuclear Thermal Propulsion Critical Assembly Boron Worth Experiments

The Space Nuclear Thermal Propulsion (SNTP) project was an attempt to create a more powerful and more efficient rocket engine utilizing nuclear technologies. As part of this project a zero-power critical assembly referred to as SNTPCX was designed and installed at Sandia National Laboratories. The SNTP-CX was a light water moderated particle bed reactor utilizing highly enriched uranium fuel in the form of UC particles. The SNTP-CX performed 142 runs covering numerous experiments from the year 1989 to 1992. The program was canceled in 1994 as the nation’s priorities shifted. Now these experiments are being evaluated for use as criticality safety benchmarks. Nineteen of the 142 reactor runs were dedicated to a series of experiments to calculate the worth of the boron used in the light water moderator. This series of experiments has been selected for further evaluation as a critical benchmark for the International Criticality Safety Benchmark Evaluation Project (ICSBEP).

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

The CWS Experiments – An Experimental Study of the Effects of Chlorine on Thermal Neutron Absorption

The Chlorine Worth Study (CWS) experiments consist of layers of Zero Power Physics Reactor plates moderated by high density polyethylene, polyvinyl chloride, and chlorinated polyvinyl chloride with the goal to produce a thermal critical experiment. A thick high density polyethylene reflector surrounds the experiments. Aluminum fuel trays and frames were used to conduct the intrinsic heat generation of the plutonium plates away from the core and out to the top plate and the platen, both acting as heat sinks. The goal of the CWS experiments was to provide benchmark critical experiments that were sensitive to chlorine and matched the sensitivity of criticality safety applications for aqueous chloride operations at PF-4 at Los Alamos National Laboratory. The specific aqueous chloride PF-4 applications were solutions of 30 g/L plutonium, 300 g/L plutonium, and 600 g/L plutonium. The CWS experiments were designed using prototype methods developed by the ARCHIMEDES and EUCLID projects at Los Alamos National Laboratory. The CWS experiments were performed in December of 2021 at the National Criticality Experiments Research Center at the Nevada Nuclear Security Site on the Planet critical assembly. It is intended that the CWS experiments will be evaluated and submitted to the ICSBEP in the future as criticality safety benchmarks.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Verification of MCNP Critical Benchmark Model of U233-COMP-THERM-004

Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL) has been working on creating a new centralized repository for MCNP models of critical benchmark experiments. The initial model of U233-COMP-THERM-004 was derived from the Whisper Suite provided with MCNP6.2, and was compared against the ICSBEP handbook chapter for the benchmark. Many notable errors were found in the initial model and were revised accordingly. Comparing the computational model of the old and new models confirmed that any Whisper results that relied upon the old model are still valid.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Sensitivity/Uncertainty Comparison Study Involving IRSN, LANL, and ORNL Tools to Support Validation

Under a DOE Nuclear Criticality Safety Program (NCSP) task involving Analytical Methods, three Laboratories collaborated in a comparison of results obtained from Sensitivity/Uncertainty (S/U) packages relevant to validation of transport codes. The task involves Institut de Radioprotection et de Sûreté Nucléaire (IRSN), Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL), and Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) comparing results of MORET 5/MACSENS V3.0, MCNP6.2/Whisper-1.1, and SCALE 6.2.3/TSUNAMI/USLSTATS respectively. All Monte Carlo transport code results utilize nuclear data from ENDF/B-VII.1 evaluation. This study examines five cases from the International Handbook of Evaluated Criticality Safety Benchmark Experiments (ICSBEP Handbook) selected as application models: IEU-MET- FAST-002-001, LEU-COMP-THERM-001-001, LEU-SOL-THERM-004-001, MIX-COMP- THERM-001-001, and U233-SOL-THERM-001-001. This is a continuation of a previous study to examine Pu and HEU cases: HEU-MET-FAST-013-001, HEU-SOL-THERM-001-008, PU-MET- FAST-022-001, and PU-SOL-THERM-001-001. Ultimately, comparison is made between Upper Subcritical Limits (USLs) obtained using each code package for each application case. Since differences exist in whether packages take into account margin of subcriticality (MOS), the USL is computed using only bias and bias uncertainty, also known as the calculational margin (CM) in ANSI/ANS-8.24. Results comparison appears to show that benchmark selection has a greater influence on the USL than the method used for calculation of bias and bias uncertainty.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

High-Fidelity Measurements for Flattop-HEU Benchmark Reevaluation

Flattop was first built in the 1950’s at Los Alamos National Laboratory. Flattop-HEU is composed of a sphere of highly enriched uranium (HEU) surrounded by a thick spherical natural uranium (NU) reflector. The reflector is composed of three parts: a stationary hemisphere and two movable quarter spheres. For fine control of the reactivity of the system, there are three control rods of natural uranium located in voids in the stationary hemisphere. The final components that make Flattop a useful critical assembly are the glory hole and mass adjustment pieces. These pieces can be loaded in various configurations into the glory hole and the core pedestal to control the known worth of the system. The glory hole and mass adjustment pieces are mostly small pieces of HEU with some mass adjustment pieces fabricated from NU. This allows for the irradiation of samples to a specified level. To better document the system, Flattop was evaluated and included in the International Criticality Safety Benchmark Evaluation Project (ICSBEP) handbook. The original benchmark evaluation of Flattop-HEU was written in 1999 based on an experiment completed in the 1960’s. This original evaluation was written to provide a single diameter that defined critical mass; however, as computational capabilities have increased, the focus for benchmark evaluations has shifted to include detailed modelswith all physical dimensions. Thus, as Flattop is a lynchpin in critical experiment work, the benchmark is being reevaluated at current standards. This summary discusses some of the largest known uncertainties from the evaluation and the high-fidelity measurements taken to reduce these uncertainties.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Uniformly Ordered Binary Decision Algorithm for Benchmark Experiment Correlations in Whisper Validation

When performing a validation exercise for determining the upper subcritical limit of a nuclear criticality safety application, an analyst should select and perform a statistical analysis on a population of benchmark experiments that are neutronically similar to the application. The size of this population should be sufficiently large such that the statistical analysis has a high degree of confidence that the bias plus bias uncertainty (calculational margin) has been accurately quantified. A complication arises because many benchmark experiments share common components, leading to correlations in their measured effective multiplication factors. Correlations between benchmark experiments within the population reduces its predictive power. This motivates the need for methods that consider benchmark experiment correlations and ensure adequate statistical significance of results. The Whisper code is a statistical analysis pack- age that incorporates nuclear data sensitivity coefficients from MCNP to assess benchmark experiment similarity and then performs an extreme-value analysis to estimate the bias plus bias uncertainty. The original methodology in Whisper does not consider the effect of benchmark experiment correlations when making this estimation, and this summary proposes the uniformly ordered binary decision algorithm to address this shortcoming. The original methodology in Whisper computes similarity coefficients ck for an application compared to all benchmark experiments in its library and develops weighting factors for a selected population proportional to the ck values. The methodology can be interpreted as statistically emulating a validation exercise for a particular application where the weighting factors may be viewed as the likelihood that an analyst would include a particular benchmark experiment within the population. The effective sample size of the population is the expected or mean number of benchmark experiments in the population. The uniformly ordered binary decision algorithm identifies clusters of correlated benchmark experiments within the population and then computes adjusted weighting factors based on the magnitude of the correlation coefficients within the cluster to compute a reduced effective sample size accounting for the lower information content because of correlations. Benchmark experiments within the cluster are ordered randomly with equal probability and probabilistic decisions are made as to whether a benchmark. experiment within the cluster should treated as redundant with a previous one; if two redundant benchmark experiments are included, then the conservative worst case bias plus bias uncertainty is used and the pair is counted as a single benchmark experiment in the population. Results are provided for HEU solutions in a research version of the Whisper software using benchmark experiment correlations provided by DICE, the Database for the International Criticality Safety Benchmark Evaluation Project (ICSBEP). These show that there can be a significant increase in the bias plus bias uncertainty because the effective sample size is reduced, and therefore the algorithm, needing to meet sample size requirements, expands the benchmark experiment population by accepting less similar benchmark experiments that would have otherwise not been included.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Nuclear Criticality Safety Integral Experiment Covariance Determination

Integral benchmarks for criticality safety and nuclear data validation require expensive uncertainty quantification studies. Commonly, the uncertainty quantification ignores correlations between experiments that share components. Experiments such as the TEX (Thermal/Epithermal eXperiments) campaigns consist of many shared parts between experiments, such as fuel, which creates a strong correlation in their errors. While these correlations are known to exist, they are often not estimated due to the complexity of such calculations. This paper describes a software package that uses an intuitive method of determining the covariance for each of the experimental components, providing a correlation matrix for each family of parts across the multiple cases examined within a benchmark. The code uses the TEX-HEU campaign as a proof of concept, and we show that the correlations can be calculated with information commonly found in ICSBEP (International Criticality Safety Benchmark Evaluation Project) benchmarks. The estimated covariances are used in χ 2 trending studies to evaluate their impact on nuclear data validation. The covariance determination code can be easily integrated into current benchmark evaluations as well as reevaluating legacy benchmark uncertainties. Uncertainty correlation calculations should become the baseline for criticality safety integral experiment benchmarks and can now be easily calculated with the described software package.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Nuclear Criticality Safety Integral Experiment Covariance Determination

Integral benchmarks for criticality safety and nuclear data validation require expensive uncertainty quantification studies. Commonly, the uncertainty quantification ignores correlations between experiments that share components. Experiments such as the TEX (Thermal/Epithermal eXperiments) campaigns consist of many shared parts, such as fuel, which create a strong correlation in their uncertainties. While these correlations are known to exist, they are often not estimated due to the complexity of such calculations. This paper describes a software package that uses an intuitive method of determining the covariance for each of the experimental components, providing a correlation matrix for each family of parts across the multiple cases examined within a benchmark. The code uses the TEX-HEU campaign as a proof of concept, and we show that the correlations can be calculated with information commonly found in ICSBEP (International Criticality Safety Benchmark Evaluation Project) benchmarks. The estimated covariances are used in χ 2 trending studies to evaluate their impact on nuclear data validation. Without covariances, χ 2 per degree of freedom was calculated as 2.203 and with covariances it was 1.179. The difference shows that omitting covariance information may cause overly pessimistic bias quantifications. The covariance determination code can be easily integrated into current benchmark evaluations as well as reevaluating legacy benchmark uncertainties. Uncertainty correlation calculations should become the baseline for criticality safety integral experiment benchmarks and can now be easily calculated with the described software package.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Progress Towards the Reality of Low-Temperature Critical Experiments with Low-Temperature TEX

Integral benchmarks for criticality safety do not exist below room temperature. Incredible support for below room temperature benchmarks is present across the international community. Validation of low-temperature neutron cross sections is necessary to verify any operation at temperatures below room temperature which is typically observed in environments far from the equator. For example, a fissile material transportation truck may routinely observe ambient temperatures down to -40°C, which is the lower temperature bound of the normal conditions of transportation defined in the United States Title 10 Code of Federal Regulations §71.71c2. Similarly, the IAEA, which contains 176 member states, has the same requirement for subcriticality for fissile material transportation. Additionally, sub-room temperature benchmarks can validate newly produced cross sections, that include novel thermal scattering laws, from North Carolina State University. A six-case experiment designed based off the TEX-HEU baseline experiments has been proposed utilizing a chilled vacuum chamber capable of cooling the HEU stack down to -50°C. The six proposed configurations span the entire neutron fission energy range and can be tested at intermediate temperatures between room temperature and -40°C. Of the six configurations, the fastest case utilizes nearly 135 kg of HEU. Understanding the system is required prior to critical experiment operations. In order to test the functionality of the system, testing with surrogate fuel materials has been conducted. The following discusses the design of the low temperature TEX (LT-TEX) experiment as well as the progress made via surrogate testing towards a reality in which low-temperature integral benchmarks exist in the International Criticality Safety Benchmark Evaluation Project (ICSBEP).

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Analysis of the MUSIC 3 He Multiplicity Data

A measurement campaign called the Measurement of Uranium Subcritical and Critical (MUSiC) was performed on a range of configurations of highly-enriched uranium (HEU) from December 2020 through April of 2021. While part of the focus was to measure reactor kinetics parameters on delayed supercritical systems, an additional focus was performing neutron noise measurements on subcritical configurations from deeply subcritical to nearly delayed critical. Multiple detector systems were used to perform these measurements, such as a 3 He multiplicity detector called the Neutron Multiplicity Array Detector (NoMAD) and a liquid scintillator system called the Rossi-α Measurement Rapid Organic Discriminating Detector (RAM-RODD). Also included were a scintillator system from the University of Michigan and a set of small 3He tubes that have previously been used to measure Rossi-α values on near-critical systems. The focus of this paper will be a comparison of prospective analysis methods for the NoMAD measurements. Previous subcritical measurements at the National Criticality Experiments Research Center (NCERC) submitted to the International Criticality Safety Benchmark Evaluation Project (ICSBEP) used the Hage-Cifarelli formalism of the Feynman Variance-to-Mean method. This relies on the time correlations of neutron detections to infer the spontaneous fission rate and neutron multiplication of a system through binning the time tagged detections and analyzing resulting histograms of the numbers of counts. However, there are other neutron noise methods that rely on similar processes, such as the Hansen-Dowdy formalism which uses a slightly different methodology to extract multiplication from the neutron multiplicity counting moments. Comparisons can be made between these experimental results and those obtained through simulations to validate or identify deficiencies in analysis, detection methods, or the underlying nuclear data. Different time gating strategies and their effects on count rate uncertainties are also investigated.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Experiments to Measure the Effect of Tantalum on Critical Systems

Sandia National Laboratories (SNL) and Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) collaborated to develop a capability to test the epithermal/intermediate cross sections of materials at the SNL critical experiment facility using the Seven Percent Critical Experiment (7uPCX) fuel. As a result, a new set of critical experiments has been designed to target the epithermal cross sections of tantalum (Ta) and is scheduled to be performed at SNL in 2023. These critical experiments will be evaluated for inclusion in the 2024 edition of the International Criticality Safety Benchmark Evaluation Project (ICSBEP) Handbook. The focus of these critical experiments is to measure the effects of Ta on the critical array size. The critical array size will be determined by an approach-to-critical experiment with the number of fuel rods in the array as a free parameter. The core configurations are designed to optimize the reactivity worth of Ta and the overall percentage of Ta absorption rates in the epithermal/intermediate energy range (0.625 eV – 100 keV). The baseline core configuration includes 7uPCX fuel rods set at a triangular pitch of 1.016 cm and a central dry test region that utilizes a cadmium liner for filtering out thermal neutrons. The central test region has locations for 85 Ta rods set at a triangular pitch of 0.813 cm. The Ta reactivity worth for the case with 85 Ta rods is approximately 2.55%, with the percentage of Ta absorption rates within the intermediate energy range at nearly 90%.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Molybdenum Sleeves Experiments in the Sandia Critical Experiments Facility

Sandia National Laboratories and the Institut de Radioprotection et de Sûreté Nucléaire have collaborated on the design and execution of a set of critical experiments that explore the effects of molybdenum in water-moderated fuel-rod arrays. The molybdenum was included as sleeves on some of the fuel rods in the critical experiment fuel arrays. Approach-to-critical experiments were performed on five configurations of fuel and molybdenum sleeves using the 7uPCX fuel in core hardware that set the triangular fuel rod pitch at 15.494 mm. The experiments are evaluated as benchmark critical experiments for the 2023 edition of the International Criticality Safety Benchmark Evaluation Project (ICSBEP) Handbook as LEU-COMP-THERM-111.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Investigation of the impact of difference between FRENDY and NJOY2016 on neutronics calculations

A nuclear data library is used as a starting input for all subsequent neutronics calculations. NJOY has been used worldwide as a nuclear data processing code to create cross section libraries for a long time. For the verification of NJOY method and for providing an alternative nuclear data processing tool, JAEA has been developed the new nuclear library processing code FRENDY. In this paper, nuclear calculations were performed using the ACE files and the multigroup libraries created by both FRENDY and NJOY, and the impacts on the neutronics characteristics due to nuclear data processing were investigated using those libraries. MCNP was used to compare the ACE files by calculating many benchmark problems including ICSBEP and it was confirmed that the k-eff values generally agree with each other within the range of statistical errors. The multigroup cross sections are verified by the BWR design codes LANCR/AETNA through calculation of a commercial BWR5 equilibrium core loaded with 9*9 fuels. It was confirmed that fuel assembly and core characteristics are consistent with each other. From the above investigations, it was confirmed that FRENDY can provide comparable continuous/multi-group neutron cross sections with NJOY. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

3D spherical functional expansion tallies in Serpent 2 Monte Carlo code

This work extends the application of functional expansion tallies to 3D spherical geometries. The 3D Zernike polynomials are set as an orthonormal polynomials basis for the functional reconstruction. The study describes the construction of the complete set of polynomials, a natural expansion of the spherical harmonics polynomials where 3D Zernike moments can be evaluated as a linear combination of the geometrical moments. The 3D Zernike polynomials formulation and the computational approach implemented in Serpent 2 are presented and tested through the Godiva model from the ICSBEP criticality benchmark test cases. The implementation results are in agreement with a reference solution described in a fine-resolution mesh, enhancing also the performance and memory demand. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Bayesian estimation of cross-section and errors of experiment and calculation for accurate prediction of neutronic characteristics

In some experiments, there might be a correlation of experimental errors such as an error caused by fabrication. The correlation of calculation errors also might exist among analyses of experiments. In the present study, considering these correlations, the cross-section and errors of experiment and calculation are adjusted for the accurate prediction of neutronic characteristics. The adjustment method is derived based on Bayesian theory. The 'a posteriori' distributions of cross-section and errors of experiment and calculation are obtained by the derivation. The case study is performed by using the benchmarks of light-water moderated experiments reported in ICSBEP. The error from fuel rod fabrication and measurement are included in the experiment error, and the error from the simplification of the benchmark model is included in the calculation error. Since these errors have a positive correlation among the benchmarks, the prediction accuracy is expected to be improved by considering these correlations. For the sensitivity analysis of the correlation among benchmarks, the correlation coefficient of experiment error and that of calculation error is assumed from 0.0 to 0.9. The results indicate that the prediction accuracy of the multiplication factor can be improved by increasing the correlation coefficient of experiment error and that of calculation error. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Polymer Compositions in Critical Experiments: Possibly Not What You Think

The Chlorine Worth Study (CWS) Experiment was performed at the National Criticality Experiments Research Center (NCERC) in December 2021. Its goal was to provide a validation benchmark experiment with chlorine and plutonium in the thermal neutron spectrum. This purpose is necessary to reduce the margin of subcriticality in aqueous chloride operations at the Los Alamos National Laboratory Plutonium Facility (PF-4). Reducing the margin of subcriticality will enable higher throughput, required to meet NNSA mission needs. The experiment used layers of plutonium plates, polyethylene (HDPE), aluminum, and polyvinyl chloride (PVC) or chlorinated polyvinyl chloride (CPVC). They were optimized to match plutonium-chloride solutions of 30 g/L, 300 g/L, and 600 g/L. Upon completion of the experiment, a International Criticality Safety Benchmark Evaluation Program (ICSBEP) report was immediately started. The compositions of all materials were assumed pure unless additional information was known (such as for the plutonium plates). During the benchmark analysis, the assumed CPVC composition was questioned. The follow-on work led to lessons learned on compositions in benchmarks. Materials, and specifically polymers, are often much more complex than a basic chemical formula. The CWS experiment is used as an example in this paper to document the lessons learned.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗