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At least 163 records · Page 9

Enhancing Fluid Flow Pressure and Saturation Prediction Accuracy and Reducing Uncertainty with Committee Machine – Illinois Basin Decatur Project (IBDP) as a Case Study

Presentation at the 17th International Conference on Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies GHGT-17 held in Calgary, Canada, October 20-24, 2024. Carbon capture and storage (CCS) is a way to play a critical role in the global transition to a low-emission economy. Current progress is hampered by a number of factors, among which the lack of risk-informed design tools and decision support frameworks is seen as a major roadblock. Significant interest exists in using artificial intelligence to accelerate CCS site feasibility studies, as well as to facilitate the permit application process. Existing works commonly train a single deep learning model. This work investigates the feasibility of using a conventional ensemble learning (committee machine) technique to further improve prediction accuracy. Ensemble-based algorithms generally improve over individual base learners in terms of robustness and accuracy. Deep ensembles, however, are time-consuming to create and train. A pragmatic question is whether small-sized ensembles may lead to prediction improvement. Here we evaluated the efficacy of an ensemble learning technique using the latent spectral model (LSM), an efficient deep neural operator algorithm, as base learners. Preliminary results, obtained using the Illinois Basin-Decatur Project (IBDP) carbon sequestration data/model, show that small-sized ensembles can improve prediction over the base learners, achieving prediction accuracy of ~1.6 psi root mean square error (RMSE) on pressure (relative the average reservoir pressure of 3150 psi), and less than 1.3% for saturation.

Sun, Alexander↗

Enhancing Fluid Flow Pressure and Saturation Prediction Accuracy and Reducing Uncertainty with Committee Machine – Illinois Basin Decatur Project (IBDP) as a Case Study

This is the conference paper accompanying an oral presentation at the 17th International Conference on Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies GHGT-17 held in Calgary, Canada, October 20-24, 2024. Carbon capture and storage (CCS) is a way to play a critical role in the global transition to a low-emission economy. Current progress is hampered by a number of factors, among which the lack of risk-informed design tools and decision support frameworks is seen as a major roadblock. Significant interest exists in using artificial intelligence to accelerate CCS site feasibility studies, as well as to facilitate the permit application process. Existing works commonly train a single deep learning model. This work investigates the feasibility of using a conventional ensemble learning (committee machine) technique to further improve prediction accuracy. Ensemble-based algorithms generally improve over individual base learners in terms of robustness and accuracy. Deep ensembles, however, are time-consuming to create and train. A pragmatic question is whether small-sized ensembles may lead to prediction improvement. Here we evaluated the efficacy of an ensemble learning technique using the latent spectral model (LSM), an efficient deep neural operator algorithm, as base learners. Preliminary results, obtained using the Illinois Basin-Decatur Project (IBDP) carbon sequestration data/model, show that small-sized ensembles can improve prediction over the base learners, achieving prediction accuracy of ~1.6 psi root mean square error (RMSE) on pressure (relative the average reservoir pressure of 3150 psi), and less than 1.3% for saturation.

Sun, Alexander↗

A case study of using x-ray Thomson scattering to diagnose the in-flight plasma conditions of DT cryogenic implosions

The design of inertial confinement fusion ignition targets requires radiation-hydrodynamics simulations with accurate models of the fundamental material properties (i.e., equation of state, opacity, and conductivity). Validation of these models is required via experimentation. A feasibility study of using spatially integrated, spectrally resolved, x-ray Thomson scattering measurements to diagnose the temperature, density, and ionization of the compressed DT shell of a cryogenic DT implosion at two-thirds convergence was conducted. Synthetic scattering spectra were generated using 1D implosion simulations from the LILAC code that were post processed with the x-ray scattering model, which is incorporated within SPECT3D. Analysis of two extreme adiabat capsule conditions showed that the plasma conditions for both compressed DT shells could be resolved.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Benchmark Study Matrix for Microreactor Geometries Relevant to Multiple Developers

A benchmark study was developed that include design, development, manufacturing, and performance measurement of agnostic reactor relevant geometries to support industry’s adoption of advanced manufacturing in a variety of structures. A matrix of five microreactor component geometries, specifically based on the recent feasibility study on a Marvel microreactor liner, was developed and the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory team initiated one material/process combination, namely 316H using laser powder directed energy deposition (DED). Although the benchmark starts initially with simplistic cubical and cylindrical forms, it builds up to a mock-up of a non-proprietary design that can demonstrate a variety of features potentially useful for presenting knowledge to specific designers of microreactors and for the matter also for other reactor type designers. The initial cubical and cylindrical forms are initial steps to obtain surface features and dimensional responses to the identified process parameters to be used in the non-proprietary design mockup.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Thermal Analysis of Large Area Additive Manufacturing Resistance Heating Composites for Out of Oven/Autoclave Applications

Additive Manufacturing (AM) of carbon fiber (CF) reinforced composite has received growing attention because of the design flexibility, superior mechanical properties, improved thermal properties, and weight reduction. Autoclave tooling was proven to be a successful application for large scale AM technology. The capital cost, and cost associated with heating, and cycle time in a conventional autoclave process is relatively high. Thus, an innovative design of AM mold with an efficient heating scheme is essential. This study represents an innovative method of the resistive heating of composite molds which does not require a room size oven for heating during the curing processing. Therefore, it has the potential to reduce the operating cost drastically. For the design validation and feasibility study, we performed a numerical analysis of the wire embedded and AM mold parts. The goal of this study is to determine and optimize the thermal behavior of the printed mold with embedded wire technology. It is anticipated that the larger distance between the embedded wires along the printing direction (z-direction) increase the cold spot, on the other hand, a close distance of the wire can create the unwanted localize heating, thus melting. Constant thermal properties of the 20 wt.% short CF reinforced acrylonitrile butadiene styrene (ABS) was used for the simulation purpose. Thermal characterization was set to 100°C to avoid the thermal deformation or bulging on the part surface.

billah, Kazi↗

Thermal Analysis of Large Area Additive Manufacturing Resistance Heating Composites for Out of Oven/Autoclave Applications

Additive Manufacturing (AM) of carbon fiber (CF) reinforced composite has received growing attention because of the design flexibility, superior mechanical properties, improved thermal properties, and weight reduction. Autoclave tooling was proven to be a successful application for large scale AM technology. The capital cost, and cost associated with heating, and cycle time in a conventional autoclave process is relatively high. Thus, an innovative design of AM mold with an efficient heating scheme is essential. This study represents an innovative method of the resistive heating of composite molds which does not require a room size oven for heating during the curing processing. Therefore, it has the potential to reduce the operating cost drastically. For the design validation and feasibility study, we performed a numerical analysis of the wire embedded and AM mold parts. The goal of this study is to determine and optimize the thermal behavior of the printed mold with embedded wire technology. It is anticipated that the larger distance between the embedded wires along the printing direction (z-direction) increase the cold spot, on the other hand, a close distance of the wire can create the unwanted localize heating, thus melting. Constant thermal properties of the 20 wt.% short CF reinforced acrylonitrile butadiene styrene (ABS) was used for the simulation purpose. Thermal characterization was set to 100°C to avoid the thermal deformation or bulging on the part surface.

billah, Kazi↗

Thermal Analysis of Large Area Additive Manufacturing Resistance Heating Composites for Out of Oven/Autoclave Applications

Additive Manufacturing (AM) of carbon fiber (CF) reinforced composite has received growing attention because of the design flexibility, superior mechanical properties, improved thermal properties, and weight reduction. Autoclave tooling was proven to be a successful application for large scale AM technology. The capital cost, and cost associated with heating, and cycle time in a conventional autoclave process is relatively high. Thus, an innovative design of AM mold with an efficient heating scheme is essential. This study represents an innovative method of the resistive heating of composite molds which does not require a room size oven for heating during the curing processing. Therefore, it has the potential to reduce the operating cost drastically. For the design validation and feasibility study, we performed a numerical analysis of the wire embedded and AM mold parts. The goal of this study is to determine and optimize the thermal behavior of the printed mold with embedded wire technology. It is anticipated that the larger distance between the embedded wires along the printing direction (z-direction) increase the cold spot, on the other hand, a close distance of the wire can create the unwanted localize heating, thus melting. Constant thermal properties of the 20 wt.% short CF reinforced acrylonitrile butadiene styrene (ABS) was used for the simulation purpose. Thermal characterization was set to 100°C to avoid the thermal deformation or bulging on the part surface.

billah, Kazi↗

Modeling of Seismic Waves Through Geologic Metamaterials

This project conducted a modeling study on seismic invisibility cloaks that render geologic targets invisible to seismic waves, using the concept of seismic metamaterials. We present a parametric numerical study on the behaviors of seismic waves through cloaks with different design parameters as well as degrees of geologic heterogeneity. In addition, a seismic cloaking strategy is proposed for a future field-scale experiment at a real-world test bed. This feasibility study will guide future field experiment designs and ultimately allow us to conduct systematic field-scale tests employing Sandia’s existing resources and field expertise. The ultimate goal is to develop methods and design parameters of seismic invisibility cloaks to protect against natural and man-made seismic waves. Seismic cloaking has potential applications in several areas of national security, energy, and natural hazard reduction.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Colorado (Pueblo) Regional DAC Hub TA-1: Feasibility (Phase 0a) (Final Technical Report)

This project supports the U.S. Department of Energy's (DOE) mission to reduce the environmental and climate impacts of fossil fuels and industrial processes, contributing to the goal of achieving net-zero emissions across the U.S. economy. The primary objective is to conduct a feasibility study for a Regional Direct Air Capture (DAC) Hub in the Southern Colorado region, northeast of Pueblo. The geographic construct of this hub is based on the Denver-Julesburg Basin – a geological area where a significant number of geological storage studies have been conducted (See Figure 1). The project will leverage the work of Project Eos, a CarbonSAFE Phase III study led by the Colorado School of Mines and CarbonAmerica. The DAC Hub aims to capture, store, and/or utilize at least 1,000,000 tonnes of CO 2 from the atmosphere annually. To achieve this, the project team is designing a system with an initial capacity of 100,000 tonnes per year. This feasibility-stage project will formulate the Regional DAC Hub concept and team to conduct the relevant analysis, networking and community stakeholder engagement necessary to advance the project to the design stage.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Full Technical Report: High-Rate Carbide Growth by Evaporation

Boron carbide (B 4 C) is an attractive inertial confined fusion (ICF) ablator and a unique ultra-hard material with numerous current and potential applications. What makes B 4 C attractive as an ablator is its relatively high density and the ability to form a stable glassy phase combined with excellent chemical and mechanical stability. Despite these advantages, the fabrication of B 4 C ablators has remained a challenge. Magnetron sputtering, our current frontrunner approach for B 4 C deposition, exhibits low deposition rates (< 2 μm/h) and undesirable nodular defects within the film structure that are believed to generate from the dusty plasma around the sputtering source. The goals of this project were to (1) establish alternative plasma-free, electron beam evaporation (EBE) capabilities for the deposition of thin films that are needed in mission-critical programs and; (2) demonstrate the feasibility to deposit B 4 C films at high rates by EBE in a bottom-up geometry and characterize their stoichiometry. In this feasibility study, we initially developed the capability to convert a general-use vacuum chamber into an electron beam evaporator as needed, or on demand. Then, we successfully used this setup to deposit films made of boron carbide and various other materials. By adjusting the deposition parameters and the evaporation source material, we were able to demonstrate the feasibility of reaching deposition rates as high as 8 μm/h, which is about 4 times the maximum rates obtained through sputtering methods. We predict that these values can still be further improved by implementing enhanced thermal control measures for the target source and optimizing electron beam parameters (ie. current, sweeping and frequency) since ceramic materials with similar densities to B 4 C can exhibit deposition rates of about twice this value. We anticipate that the skills and capabilities developed throughout this project will prove relevant not only to the HED and ICF campaigns but also to numerous existing and prospective applications focused on the development of ultra-hard carbide coatings. The fresh set of tools here developed will also facilitate the preparation and research on future new target materials of interest beyond B 4 C.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Studying the hadron structure with PANDA and CLAS using machine learning techniques

The hadron spectroscopy and structure are currently very active fields of research to study the non-perturbative regime of quantum chronodynamics. The first one studies the complex structure of excited hadrons by looking at their decay products, while the latter uses lepton scattering on nucleons. Both methods require reconstruction algorithms with great efficiency and good particle identification and background rejection rates. This work aims to provide these by either improving the existing methods or developing new ones. The first part of this document presents a feasibility study of a predicted hybrid charmonium state for the PANDA experiment. Lattice QCD calculations predict the ground state hybrid charmonium to be a spin exotic with quantum numbers of JP C = 1?+ at a mass of around 4.3 GeV with a width to be around 20 MeV. A machine learning based data analysis scheme is proposed to further improve the signal efficiency and the background reduction, alongside with improvements of the analysis software (PandaRoot), that are vital for this study. These improvements include a reworked clustering algorithm for the electromagnetic calorimeter (EMC) and an optimized monte carlo matching for neutral particles. The second part of this document is about studying the proton structure. A multidimensional study of the structure function ratio Fsin(?)LU /FUU has been performed for K±, based on the measurement of beam-spin asymmetries. It uses the high statistics data recorded with the CLAS12 spectrometer at Jefferson Laboratory. Fsin(?)LU is a twist-3 quantity that provides information about the quark gluon correlations in the proton. This document will present for the first time a simultaneous analysis of two kaon channels over a large kinematic range of z, xB , PT and Q2 with virtualities Q2 ranging from 1 GeV2 up to 8 GeV2 using machine learning techniques for improved particle identification.

Kripko, Aron↗

Fission-product decay studies with the FRIB Decay Station

The Facility for Rare Isotopes Beams (FRIB) will be the flagship facility in low-energy nuclear physics when it comes online in 2022. This U.S. Department of Energy Office of Science user facility will open up a multitude of new opportunities to study exotic nuclei and will lead to new discoveries in nuclear structure, nuclear astrophysics, fundamental symmetries, and isotopes of importance to nuclear applications. The b-decay properties of neutron-rich isotopes will be measured with the FRIB Decay Station, a sophisticated state-of-the-art modular multi-detector system envisioned to perform b, g, n, and charged-particle spectroscopy. In this feasibility study, we use nuclear decay data collected with the FRIB Decay Station precursor, the Beta-Counting Station, currently used at Michigan State University with a radioactive beam produced at the National Superconducting Cyclotron Laboratory to identify the FRIB Decay Station capabilities for future measurements of neutron-rich exotic nuclei at FRIB to help provide a path forward for future measurements of interest to the lab’s mission.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

ANS Winter 2024 Summary: Optimizing the ATF-2Ramp Power Profile

When the Halden Boiling Water Reactor closed down in 2018, a need to restore the capability for in-reactor power ramp testing arose. Such testing is valuable for studying pellet-clad interaction phenomena in nuclear fuels. The data from these studies is of great interest to a number of research programs, including the accident-tolerant fuel (ATF) program at Idaho National Laboratory (INL). In 2022, Woolstenhulme et al. proposed several power ramp testing ideas using facilities at INL, including irradiation in the Transient Reactor Test Facility (better known as TREAT) and the Advanced Test Reactor (ATR) [1]. Worrall et al. [2] and Labossiere-Hickman et al. [3] subsequently performed feasibility studies for the ATR testing options in 2023. This summary further investigates the three-pin trefoil design (Fig. 1) for the proposed ATF-2Ramp Experiment discussed in Labossiere-Hickman et al. [3]. ATF-2Ramp is designed to operate in the center flux trap (CFT) of the ATR during a powered axial locator mechanism (PALM) cycle: a short, variable-powered cycle with an asymmetric power distribution. Previously, it was shown that tailoring the thickness of the hafnium (Hf) neutron shields (“mini-shrouds”) surrounding each pin offered a degree of control sufficient to achieve the programmatic linear heat generation rate (LHGR) targets for ATF-2Ramp during the high-power period of a PALM cycle. New work involves shortening the experiment test train for consistency with the fuel pins in ATF-2D [4] and then shaping the axial power profile of the three test pins.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Rapid Commissioning of Large Machine Tools Using Finite Element-Based Correction of Geometric Errors

Large computer numerical control (CNC) machine tools derive their stiffness from monolithic cast iron bases or weldments that are sometimes integral to machine motion systems like box ways or guideways. However, the sheer size of castings and even floor flatness deviations result in dimensional errors in these systems, which manifest as machine motion errors. Typical geometric alignment processes rely on an iterative approach, where measurements are taken to assess alignment (straightness, squareness, and parallelism), followed by adjustment of the machine supports (fixators or leveling pads), which can take weeks even for an experienced operator. Conversely, a novel method is proposed to shorten the correction time by eliminating the trial-and-error process in favor of a more deterministic approach guided by a finite element (FE) method. A feasibility study is conducted on a CNC polymer hybrid machine, with a steel weldment frame, supported by six leveling pads. An FE model of the frame is utilized to obtain recommended leveling pad adjustments, based on measurement of machine errors taken using a laser tracker. After a single adjustment cycle, measurements reveal that geometric errors of the machine tool are reduced from 2.22 mm of flatness deviation to 0.32 mm, achieving an 85.6% reduction. Furthermore, the entire process including measurement, adjustment, and assessment is completed in just 6 h by two operators who are not professional service engineers. In conclusion, this methodology demonstrates feasibility for scaling up, especially to large, high-precision CNC machine tools with bases mounted by fixators, offering the capability for bidirectional adjustment.

42 ENGINEERING↗

A computational modeling framework for pre-clinical evaluation of cardiac mapping systems

There are a variety of difficulties in evaluating clinical cardiac mapping systems, most notably the inability to record the transmembrane potential throughout the entire heart during patient procedures which prevents the comparison to a relevant “gold standard”. Cardiac mapping systems are comprised of hardware and software elements including sophisticated mathematical algorithms, both of which continue to undergo rapid innovation. The purpose of this study is to develop a computational modeling framework to evaluate the performance of cardiac mapping systems. The framework enables rigorous evaluation of a mapping system’s ability to localize and characterize (i.e., focal or reentrant) arrhythmogenic sources in the heart. The main component of our tool is a library of computer simulations of various dynamic patterns throughout the entire heart in which the type and location of the arrhythmogenic sources are known. Our framework allows for performance evaluation for various electrode configurations, heart geometries, arrhythmias, and electrogram noise levels and involves blind comparison of mapping systems against a “silver standard” comprised of computer simulations in which the precise transmembrane potential patterns throughout the heart are known. A feasibility study was performed using simulations of patterns in the human left atria and three hypothetical virtual catheter electrode arrays. Activation times (AcT) and patterns (AcP) were computed for three virtual electrode arrays: two basket arrays with good and poor contact and one high-resolution grid with uniform spacing. The average root mean squared difference of AcTs of electrograms and those of the nearest endocardial action potential was less than 1 ms and therefore appears to be a poor performance metric. In an effort to standardize performance evaluation of mapping systems a novel performance metric is introduced based on the number of AcPs identified correctly and those considered spurious as well as misclassifications of arrhythmia type; spatial and temporal localization accuracy of correctly identified patterns was also quantified. This approach provides a rigorous quantitative analysis of cardiac mapping system performance. Proof of concept of this computational evaluation framework suggests that it could help safeguard that mapping systems perform as expected as well as provide estimates of system accuracy.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Neutron diffusion calculation in heterogeneous geometry based on local/global iteration using proper orthogonal decomposition

This study newly proposes a heterogeneous core calculation method based on local/global iteration using proper orthogonal decomposition (POD). By using the singular value decomposition (SVD) and the low-rank approximation, appropriate POD bases for expanding the neutron flux can be obtained from snapshot data of the neutron flux obtained by fine mesh calculations. By projection using the POD bases, the dimension of the target equation (e.g., discretized neutron diffusion equation) can be dramatically reduced. In the proposed method, POD is effectively applied to each single assembly calculation (local calculation). Furthermore, using the local/global iteration, the effective neutron multiplication factor and the neutron flux distribution in the whole core geometry can be obtained by combining the numerical results of the local calculation for each fuel assembly and the global calculation for the whole core. As a feasibility study, the proposed method is applied to a one-dimensional heterogeneous core analysis, and the accuracy is investigated by changing the total number of POD bases. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Illinois Basin Regional DAC Hub TA-1: Feasibility (Phase-0) (Final Scientific/Technical Report)

The overall objective of this project was to complete a feasibility study for a Regional Direct Air Capture (DAC) Hub that encompasses Illinois, Indiana, and Kentucky. The geographic construct of this hub was based on the Illinois Basin – a geological area where at least seven (7) geological storage studies were conducted. The Hub was designed to assure a capacity to capture, store, and utilize at least 1,000,000 metric tons (tonnes) of CO2 from the atmosphere annually 1 metric tonnes per annum (MTA), starting from an initial capacity of 200,000 tonnes of CO2 per annum (KTA). The Hub also included:(1) clean energy providers to supply renewable energy to the DAC units; (2) geological storage facilities to inject and sequestrate the captured CO2; (3) CO2 utilization facilities that would uptake the captured CO2 and convert it into products; and (4) small business organizations that would assist in workforce development efforts for the region. This closeout report consolidates the tasks undertaken and accomplished as deliverables for the project. The project team had successfully completed all required tasks of phase 0a, confirming that the project is feasible based on the preliminary conceptual designs and operational requirements of the DAC systems. Of particular interest, the hub ownership structure was identified and was implemented in follow on projects that would transition the hub infrastructure to a build/operate phase.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Improved Platform for the Benchtop Study of Complex Radiological Environments that Affect Fallout Formation: DHS Feasbility Study (Final Report)

Fallout analysis is a crucial field of study as it provides insight into the structural interactions that occur between radiological components and their surroundings following a nuclear event. Due to the complexity of actual fallout samples, setups like the plasma flow reactor (PFR) at LLNL have been developed to synthesize fallout in a controlled environment. While the PFR allows for control of parameters such as initial temperature, cooling rate, and concentration of radiological species, controlling the concentration of water has remained a challenge as samples are introduced into the setup via aqueous solution. To that end, our goal with this project was to develop methodologies to (1) monitor and (2) control the presence of water in the PFR. We found that a commercially available FTIR and MCT detector was sufficient to monitor the presence of both condensed and vapor-phase water, while a desolvating nebulizer could be used to control the amount of water injected into the system. In total, the results of this feasibility study have expanded the ability of the flow reactor to investigate key sensitivities that influence fallout formation.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗