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At least 163 records · Page 9

Intact mass spectrometry screening to optimize hydroxyl radical dose for protein footprinting

Hydroxyl radical protein footprinting (HRPF) using synchrotron radiation is a well-validated method to assess protein structure in the native solution state. In this method, X-ray radiolysis of water generates hydroxyl radicals that can react with solvent accessible side chains of proteins, with mass spectrometry used to detect the resulting labeled products. An ideal footprinting dose provides sufficient labeling to measure the structure but not so much as to influence the results. The optimization of hydroxyl radical dose is typically performed using an indirect Alexa488 fluorescence assay sensitive to hydroxyl radical concentration, but full evaluation of the experiment's outcome relies upon bottom-up liquid chromatography mass spectrometry (LC-MS) measurements to directly determine sites and extent of oxidative labeling at the peptide and protein level. A direct evaluation of the extent of labeling to provide direct and absolute measurements of dose and “safe” dose ranges in terms of, for example, average numbers of labels per protein, would provide immediate feedback on experimental outcomes prior to embarking on detailed LC-MS analyses. To this end, we describe an approach to integrate intact MS screening of labeled samples immediately following exposure, along with metrics to quantify the extent of observed labeling from the intact mass spectra. Intact MS results on the model protein lysozyme were evaluated in the context of Alexa488 assay results and a bottom-up LC-MS analysis of the same samples. In conclusion, this approach provides a basis for placing delivered hydroxyl radical dose metrics on firmer technical grounds for synchrotron X-ray footprinting of proteins, with explicit parameters to increase the likelihood of a productive experimental outcome. Further, the method directs approaches to provide absolute and direct dosimetry for all types of labeling for protein footprinting.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

A moving morphable component‐based topology optimization approach considering transient structural dynamic responses

Abstract A novel approach is developed under the moving morphable component (MMC) framework to solve topology optimization problems considering transient structural dynamic responses, where the structure for optimization is constructed with a collection of structural components, and the structural layout can be described explicitly via only a small number of design variables characterizing the positions and geometries of the components. The transient dynamic response of the structure and corresponding sensitivities are computed via step‐by‐step numerical integration and mode reduction technique is also employed to enhance the computational efficiency. Compared with existing works, the numerical instabilities induced by localized vibration modes can be substantially alleviated and the computational effort for direct sensitivity analysis is significantly reduced in the proposed approach. Two and three‐dimensional numerical examples considering the cases of nonproportional damping mechanism and time‐varying mass are also provided to manifest the validity of the proposed approach.

Li, Jialin↗

Enabling a novel approach to a controlled fabrication of 1D crystalline nanowires on suspended microstructures of arbitrary geometries using two direct-writing technologies

Recent progresses in additive manufacturing have inspired new technologies, such as direct laser writing technique, based on two-photon polymerization (2 PP), which complements and further enriches the nanofabrication tools portfolio. Here, we combine 2 PP and our mask-free scanning probe assisted ‘direct-write patterning’ (DWP) method to allow for: a) the fabrication of micro-bridge structures with sub-micrometer resolution, b) selective synthesis of crystalline ZnO nanowires at predefined locations, respectively. This synergistic approach enables cantilever probe patterning of catalysts directly on suspended micro-bridges for in-situ CVD growth of nanoscale material, in a templated manner. The study reported here represents the first proof-of-concept experiments demonstrating versatile and scalable methodology, which can be applied and straightforwardly extended to grow a variety of other nanomaterials, in a controlled and selective fashion, on freestanding micro/nanoscale structures, whose size and geometry can be conveniently varied via templating of sacrificial 2 PP polymeric scaffolds. Furthermore, the demonstration of the possibility to integrate this new approach with the conventional lithography techniques provides a step forward to the development of the novel class of hybrid polymer-silicon-1D or -2D materials, and systems. The quality of the produced ZnO nanowire assemblies was assessed using several physical characterization methods.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

A hierarchical gray-box dynamic modeling methodology for direct-expansion cooling systems to support control stability analysis; Méthodologie de modélisation dynamique hiérarchique de type boîte grise pour les systèmes de refroidissement à détente directe afin de soutenir l'analyse de stabilité de la commande

In this paper, a gray-box dynamic modeling approach for direct-expansion cooling systems is presented. The overall approach incorporates a multi-stage training procedure that consists of 1) identification of component sub-models from quasi-steady-state performance data, 2) system model integration with estimation of refrigerant charge and 3) fine tuning of thermal capacitances of the evaporator and condenser to capture the system dynamic responses. Compared to traditional physics-based models, the proposed modeling approach has advantages including reduced engineering efforts in the model development phase, improved computational efficiency and enhanced prediction accuracy. The modeling method was validated using a 3-ton variable-speed heat pump and proved to be capable of accurately predicting the system transient behaviors over a wide range of operating conditions. The established dynamic model was then applied for control stability analysis, with a specific goal of determining a proper control execution time step. The case study results showed that the stable control execution time step could change significantly, from 3 sec to 19 sec, as the operating conditions and control settings vary, and a proper selection of the execution time step is critical to ensure stable and reliable operations.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Verification of Upcoming MCNP Features For Estimating Nuclear Data Sensitivities in Fixed Source Simulations [Abstract]

Predictive simulation codes, like the Monte Carlo N-Particle (MCNP) transport code, are used throughout the nuclear community. These simulations are based on nuclear data. Maximizing the accuracy and precision of nuclear data maximizes the accuracy and precision of the overall simulation. This is imperative to applications that rely on simulations. For example, improving nuclear data for special nuclear material improves simulation accuracy in stockpile stewardship applications, which results in larger safety margins and decreased operational costs. The improvement and validation of nuclear data is completed through integral benchmark experiments. Past benchmarks have primarily been limited to focus on the effective multiplication factor ($\kappa$ eff ); broadening the purview of benchmarks beyond $\kappa$ eff -dependent nuclear data addresses nuclear data deficiencies. Different response types depend on different areas of nuclear data. This dependence is quantified as nuclear data sensitivity: the change in response due to perturbation of a contributing parameter. The larger the nuclear data sensitivity of a response, the more the experiment is influenced by the uncertainties of the nuclear data. The optimization of nuclear data sensitivities in future benchmarks would result in more detailed validation of lesser studied areas of nuclear data. Currently, direct sensitivity capabilities are not easily found for all experiment types and parameters. An MCNP tool to directly estimate the cross section sensitivities of tallied values is under development. Additionally, updates have been made to the perturbation feature of MCNP, which can be used in a less direct approach to estimating sensitivities. This work verifies these features to estimate nuclear data sensitivities in fixed source simulations of a 4.5-kg sphere of alpha- phase weapons-grade plutonium surrounded by differing amounts of copper and polyethylene. Integrated estimates made using MCNP’s tools were found to statistically agree with integrated estimates made from manual perturbation of nuclear data proving the validity of the MCNP tools.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Deployment of salt sample extraction system at an engineering-scale electrorefiner

The goal of the salt sampling program at Argonne is to develop and deploy automated molten salt sampling approaches for interfacing relevant unit operations with salt analysis to improve the timeliness of sampling-based accountancy measurements. Two technologies under development in support of this goal are a vacuum sampling loop module and a high-throughput pneumatic sample generator module. Compared to traditional point sampling approaches (i.e., dip probes), the vacuum sampling loop facilitates the collection of a larger cross-section of the bulk salt in order to collect more representative samples. The vacuum sampling approach also eliminates the risk of dross contamination of samples and avoids the use of moving parts in the salt. The pneumatic sample generator module is used to facilitate high-throughput sample analysis to improve the measurement precision of any given analytical technique by averaging out random sampling and measurement errors. In FY21, two methods for integrating these two modules were tested including direct fluidic coupling and coupling using a solid salt transfer mechanism. Solid salt transfer was ultimately selected over fluidic coupling, primarily to enable the transport of samples over longer distances to support automated at-line integration with high-precision techniques (such as microcalorimetry) that cannot withstand the conditions near an electrorefining process. To facilitate rapid solid salt coupling, new mechanisms were developed for rapidly charging and discharging salt sample tubes at the vacuum sampling loop and pneumatic sample generator modules, respectively. While the charging mechanism will be deployed in FY22, the discharge mechanism was tested in FY21 and is described here. The solid salt tube transfer method was deployed at one of Argonne’s engineering-scale electrorefiners to implement at-line high-throughput pneumatic micro-sample generation capabilities. The approach was used to generate precise uranium- and lanthanide-bearing electrorefiner micro-samples with the specific dimensions requested by researchers at Los Alamos National Laboratory for use in testing their novel microcalorimeter x-ray techniques. The solid salt transfer mechanism proved not only to be an effective means of integrating the precision sample generator with vacuum sampling, but also improved the performance of the sampler generator. To discharge salt from the sample tubes at the sampler generator, tube segments were inserted directly into the sample generator’s Helmholtz chamber and pressure pulse actuations were used to generate precision molten salt samples directly from the tube segments. The direct insertion of sample tubes into the sample generator enabled rapid loading of the salt and prevented salt from contacting most of the interior surfaces of the sample generator, which eliminated cross-contamination between runs. The vacuum sampling-loop tube charging mechanism will support high-throughput tube sampling operations by employing a dynamic vacuum filling process to fill short charge tubes that are configured to be rapidly connected and disconnected from the loop. The dynamic vacuum sampling operation will be automated, and sample tube handling can be executed with simple overhead actuation. Because the modular sampling approach described here eliminates the need for new high-radiation sample handling capabilities, salt-wetted seals, salt-wetted moving parts, and heated transfer lines outside the electrorefiner, it will address most of the remaining technical challenges for the at-line deployment of high-precision analytical techniques which will enable significant reductions in the time delay for sampling-based high-precision accountancy measurements.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Tuning 3-D Nanomaterial Architectures Using Atomic Layer Deposition to Direct Solution Synthesis

The ability to synthesize nanoarchitected materials with tunable geometries provides a means to control their functional properties, with applications in biological, environmental, and energy fields. To this end, various bottom-up and top-down synthesis processes have been developed. However, many of these processes require prepatterning or etching steps, making them challenging to scale-up to complex, nonplanar substrates. Furthermore, the ability to integrate nanomaterials into hierarchical arrays with precise control of feature spacing and orientation remains a challenge. One approach to overcome these patterning challenges is the use of surface modification layers to guide the resulting geometry of nanomaterial architectures grown from the substrate. A powerful strategy to accomplish this is what we will refer to as “surface-directed assembly,” where the resulting geometric parameters (feature size, shape, orientation) are predetermined by the initial surface layer. In particular, the use of Atomic Layer Deposition (ALD) to form a surface layer, followed by solution-based growth processes, has the ability to synthesize architected structures with tunable geometries on complex, nonplanar surfaces. Over the past decade, we have reported a series of studies where surface-directed assembly is used to synthesize ZnO nanowires (NWs) on top of a variety of substrates. In this case, a thin film of ZnO is deposited onto the substrate using ALD, which can guide the NW diameter, spacing, and angular orientation with respect to the substrate by controlling epitaxial relationships. Furthermore, we have shown that by depositing a submonolayer overcoat of a secondary material (e.g., amorphous TiO 2 ), nucleation sites are partially blocked, which can further tune the spacing between nanowires while minimizing changes to their other geometric properties. This approach can be used to generate multilevel hierarchical structures, such as hyperbranched NW arrays with tunable control of each level of hierarchy using ALD. Finally, we have demonstrated that the tunable control of geometric parameters can be scaled-up to curved, nonplanar substrates. This highlights the power of ALD to conformally and uniformly deposit the seed layers on complex substrates with subnanometer precision. To complement these seeded hydrothermal approaches, we expanded this strategy to include conversion chemistry of the initial ALD seed layers. For example, by replacing ZnO with Al 2 O 3 as the seed layer without changing the hydrothermal growth conditions, Al–Zn layered-double hydroxide nanosheets can be formed instead of nanowires. In another example of conversion chemistry, a solution anion-exchange process was used to incorporate sulfur into ALD metal oxide films. In both of these conversion processes, the properties of the initial ALD film enabled tuning of the resulting nanostructure geometry. In this Account, we describe the use of ALD to guide the growth of diverse nanomaterial systems, with tunable control over their geometry and composition. We further show how these approaches can be used to tune functional properties for a range of applications, including superomniphobic surfaces, antibiofouling coatings, and photocatalysis. In conclusion, we conclude with an outlook on how the combination of ALD and solution synthesis can enable future directions in scalable nanomanufacturing to overcome the limitations of traditional top-down and bottom-up approaches.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

A valuation framework for customers impacted by extreme temperature-related outages

Extreme temperature outages can lead to not just economic losses but also various non-energy impacts (NEI), such as increased mortality rates, property damage, and reduced productivity, due to significant degradation of indoor operating conditions caused by service disruptions. However, existing resilience assessment approaches lack specificity for extreme temperature conditions. They often overlook temperature-related mortality and neglect the customer characteristics and grid response in the calculation, despite the significant influence of these factors on NEI-related economic losses. This paper aims to address these gaps by introducing a comprehensive framework to estimate the impact of resilience enhancement not only on the direct economic losses incurred by customers but also on potential NEI, including mortality and the value of statistical life during extreme temperature-related outages. The proposed resilience valuation integrates customer characteristics and grid response variables based on a scalable grid simulation environment. This study adopts a holistic approach to quantify customer-oriented economic impacts, utilizing probabilistic loss scenarios that incorporate health-related factors and damage/loss models as a function of exposure for valuation. The proposed methodology is demonstrated through comparative resilient outage planning, using grid response models emulating a Texas weather zone during the 2021 winter storm Uri. The case study results show that enhanced outage planning with hardened infrastructure can improve the system resilience and thereby reduce the relative risk of mortality by 16% and save the total costs related to non-energy impacts by 74%. In conclusion, these findings underscore the efficacy of the framework by assessing the financial implications of each case, providing valuable insights for decision-makers and stakeholders involved in extreme-weather related resilience planning for risk management and mitigation strategies.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Vertically Aligned Carbon Nanotubes Grown on Copper Foil as Electrodes for Electrochemical Double Layer Capacitors

This study reports a binder-free, catalyst-free method for fabricating vertically aligned carbon nanotubes (VACNTs) directly on copper (Cu) foil using plasma-enhanced chemical vapor deposition (PECVD) for electrochemical double-layer capacitor (EDLC) applications. This approach eliminates the need for catalyst layers, polymeric binders, or substrate pre-treatments, simplifying electrode design and enhancing electrical integration. The resulting VACNTs form a dense, uniform, and porous array with strong adhesion to the Cu substrate, minimizing contact resistance and improving conductivity. Electrochemical analysis shows gravimetric specific capacitance (C grav ) and areal specific capacitance (C areal ) of 8 F g −1 and 3.5 mF cm −2 at a scan rate of 5 mV/s, with low equivalent series resistance (3.70 Ω) and charge transfer resistance (0.48 Ω), enabling efficient electron transport and rapid ion diffusion. The electrode demonstrates excellent rate capability and retains 92% of its initial specific capacitance after 3000 charge–discharge cycles, indicating strong cycling stability. These results demonstrate the potential of directly grown VACNT-based electrodes for high-performance EDLCs, particularly in applications requiring rapid charge–discharge cycles and sustained energy delivery.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Unraveling Hydrogen Induced Geochemical Reaction Mechanisms through Coupled Geochemical Modeling and Machine Learning

Underground hydrogen storage (UHS) provides a promising large-scale, long-term energy storage solution. A reasonable recovery of stored hydrogen is critical for a successful storage scheme. However, in subsurface reservoirs hydrogen is subject to active geochemical reactions that might result in hydrogen loss. In this study, we implemented a geochemical modeling approach coupled with an unsupervised machine learning technique called non-negative matrix factorization (NMF) to unravel the complex brine-rock-H 2 geochemical processes responsible for hydrogen losses, with particular focus on sulfate reduction reactions. NMF is applied to modeled mineral evolution and fluid component profiles to retrieve profiles that can be interpreted to more easily assess competing processes. NMF decouples simulated competing equilibrium reactions. This facilitates separation of overlapping reaction profiles from redox processes, dissolution fronts, and secondary precipitation while considering the effects of simulation parameters such as salinity, temperature, and total H 2 pressure. NMF successfully discriminates these competing effects in nonlinear ways, allowing robust interpretation. In addition, NMF reveals subtle coupled mineral associations and reaction fronts that are invisible to conventional model analysis. This integrated approach strengthens the conceptual understanding of complex nonlinear hydrogen-brine-rock interactions and advances geochemical research on UHS systems to resolve complexities in modeled geochemical systems without the need for direct experiments or prior knowledge. Furthermore, this study highlights the efficacy of combining geochemical modeling with machine learning techniques to enhance the interpretability of the intricate geochemical simulation output through deciphering the overlapping reaction path that cannot be achieved only using conventional analysis of geochemical models alone.

08 HYDROGEN↗

An error-in-constitutive equations strategy for topology optimization for frequency-domain dynamics

This paper presents a topology optimization formulation for frequency-domain dynamics to reduce solution dependence upon initial guess and considered loading conditions. Due to resonance phenomena in undamped steady-state dynamics, objectives measuring dynamic response possess many local minima that may represent poor solutions to a design problem, an issue exacerbated for design with respect to multiple frequencies. In this work, we propose an extension of the modified error-in-constitutive-equations (MECE) method, used previously in material identification inverse problems, as a new approach for frequency-domain dynamics topology optimization to mitigate these issues. The main idea of the proposed framework is to incorporate an additional penalty-like term in the objective function that measures the discrepancy in the constitutive relations between stresses and strains and between inertial forces and displacements. Then, the design problem is cast within a PDE-constrained optimization formulation in which we seek displacements, stresses, inertial forces, and a density-field solution that minimize our new objective subject to conservation of linear momentum plus some additional constraints. We show that this approach yields superior designs to conventional gradient-based optimization approaches that solely use a functional of displacements as the objective, while strictly enforcing the constitutive equations. The MECE strategy integrates into a density-based topology optimization scheme for void–solid or two-phase material structural design. We highlight the merits of our approach in a variety of scenarios for direct frequency response design, considering multiple frequency load cases and structural objectives.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Next-generation tunnel FETs: exploring material perspectives and areal tunneling configurations

The end of Dennard scaling, which facilitated proportional increases in computing power without added energy costs until the mid-2000s, has underscored the urgent need for innovative semiconductor devices that can enhance energy efficiency. Tunnel field-effect transistors (TFETs) have emerged as promising candidates to surpass the energy efficiency of conventional metal oxide semiconductor field-effect transistors (MOSFETs). Unlike MOSFETs, which rely on thermionic emission to overcome the source-channel potential barrier, TFETs operate through quantum tunneling, potentially enabling sub-60 mV dec −1 subthreshold swing (SS) for low-voltage operation. However, lateral TFETs have faced challenges in achieving adequate on-state current (I ON ) and a broad SS operation window, limiting their practical utility. This review article advocates for areal TFETs, which utilize face-to-face tunnel junctions that ideally offer step-function current turn-on characteristics and allow I ON to scale with device area rather than width. We highlight recent advancements in integrating 2D materials into tunneling structures, which could facilitate efficient band-to-band tunneling through atomically thin layers, while addressing challenges of gate field screening. We then discuss the nearer-term prospects of epitaxial areal TFETs comprising III–V compound semiconductors and group-IV semiconductors based on recent experimental progress. The review examines both quantum mechanical and semiclassical modeling approaches for TFETs, including techniques to reduce the computational complexity. The article delves into ongoing challenges in material synthesis, interface engineering, device fabrication, and integration pathways, concluding with recommendations for future research directions to overcome the fundamental power density limitations of conventional transistor technology.

2D materials↗

A transported Livengood-Wu integral model for knock prediction in CFD simulation

This work describes the development of a transported Livengood-Wu (L-W) integral model for computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulation to predict auto-ignition and engine knock tendency. The currently employed L-W integral model considers both single-stage and two-stage ignition processes, thus can be generally applied to different fuels such as paraffin, olefin, aromatics and alcohol. The model implementation is first validated in simulations of homogeneous charge compression ignition combustion for three different fuels, showing good accuracy in prediction of auto-ignition timing for fuels with either single-stage or two-stage ignition characteristics. Then, the L-W integral model is coupled with G-equation model to indicate end-gas auto-ignition and knock tendency in CFD simulations of a direct injection spark ignition engine. This modeling approach is about 10 times more efficient than the ones that based on detailed chemistry calculation and pressure oscillation analysis. Two fuels with same Research Octane Number (RON) but different octane sensitivity are studied, namely Co-Optima Alkylate and Co-Optima E30. Feed-forward neural network model in conjunction with multi-variable minimization technique is used to generate fuel surrogates with targets of matched RON, octane sensitivity and ethanol content. The CFD model is validated against experimental data in terms of pressure traces and heat release rate for both fuels under a wide range of operating conditions. The knock tendency indicated by the fuel energy contained in the auto-ignited region of the two fuels at different load conditions correlates well with the experimental results and the fuel octane sensitivity, implying the current knock modeling approach can capture the octane sensitivity effect and can be applied to further investigation on composition of octane sensitivity.

Yue, Zongyu↗

Remote epitaxy and selective epitaxy on vdW materials for layer transfer

Remote epitaxy is recently gaining huge attention for the growth of single-crystal thin films and their isolation from the substrate for heterogeneous integration. Despite the recent progress, there are challenges in engineering the interface and optimizing the material quality. Here, we introduce two approaches that could overcome the issues. As the first approach, we show directly grown 2D materials as a template for remote epitaxy of III-V and III-N materials. This ensures a pristine interface without transfer process-related contaminations and damages. Second, we show the use of nanopatterned graphene for selective epitaxy and lateral overgrowth of single-crystal films. This allows for the use of materials as substrates and epilayers which is not possible in remote epitaxy.

Kim, Hyunseok↗

Measuring Thickness-Dependent Relative Light Yield and Detection Efficiency of Scintillator Screens

Digital camera-based neutron imaging systems consisting of a neutron scintillator screen optically coupled to a digital camera are the most common digital neutron imaging system used in the neutron imaging community and are available at any state-of-the-art imaging facility world-wide. Neutron scintillator screens are the integral component of these imaging system that directly interacts with the neutron beam and dictates the neutron capture efficiency and image quality limitations of the imaging system. This work describes a novel approach for testing neutron scintillators that provides a simple and efficient way to measure relative light yield and detection efficiency over a range of scintillator thicknesses using a single scintillator screen and only a few radiographs. Additionally, two methods for correlating the screen thickness to the measured data were implemented and compared. An example 6LiF:ZnS scintillator screen with nominal thicknesses ranging from 0–300 μm was used to demonstrate this approach. The multi-thickness screen and image and data processing methods are not exclusive to neutron scintillator screens but could be applied to X-ray imaging as well. This approach has the potential to benefit the entire radiographic imaging community by offering an efficient path forward for manufacturers to develop higher-performance scintillators and for imaging facilities and service providers to determine the optimal screen parameters for their particular beam and imaging system.

42 ENGINEERING↗

CRISPR–Cas9-mediated nuclear transport and genomic integration of nanostructured genes in human primary cells

DNA nanostructures are a promising tool to deliver molecular payloads to cells. DNA origami structures, where long single-stranded DNA is folded into a compact nanostructure, present an attractive approach to package genes; however, effective delivery of genetic material into cell nuclei has remained a critical challenge. Here, we describe the use of DNA nanostructures encoding an intact human gene and a fluorescent protein encoding gene as compact templates for gene integration by CRISPR-mediated homology-directed repair (HDR). Our design includes CRISPR–Cas9 ribonucleoprotein binding sites on DNA nanostructures to increase shuttling into the nucleus. We demonstrate efficient shuttling and genomic integration of DNA nanostructures using transfection and electroporation. These nanostructured templates display lower toxicity and higher insertion efficiency compared to unstructured double-stranded DNA templates in human primary cells. Furthermore, our study validates virus-like particles as an efficient method of DNA nanostructure delivery, opening the possibility of delivering nanostructures in vivo to specific cell types. Together, these results provide new approaches to gene delivery with DNA nanostructures and establish their use as HDR templates, exploiting both their design features and their ability to encode genetic information. This work also opens a door to translate other DNA nanodevice functions, such as biosensing, into cell nuclei.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Modeling direct air carbon capture and storage in a 1.5 °C climate future using historical analogs

Limiting the rise in global temperature to 1.5 °C will rely, in part, on technologies to remove CO 2 from the atmosphere. However, many carbon dioxide removal (CDR) technologies are in the early stages of development, and there is limited data to inform predictions of their future adoption. Here, we present an approach to model adoption of early-stage technologies such as CDR and apply it to direct air carbon capture and storage (DACCS). Our approach combines empirical data on historical technology analogs and early adoption indicators to model a range of feasible growth pathways. We use these pathways as inputs to an integrated assessment model (the Global Change Analysis Model, GCAM) and evaluate their effects under an emissions policy to limit end-of-century temperature change to 1.5 °C. Adoption varies widely across analogs, which share different strategic similarities with DACCS. If DACCS growth mirrors high-growth analogs (e.g., solar photovoltaics), it can reach up to 4.9 GtCO 2 removal by midcentury, compared to as low as 0.2 GtCO 2 for low-growth analogs (e.g., natural gas pipelines). For these slower growing analogs, unabated fossil fuel generation in 2050 is reduced by 44% compared to high-growth analogs, with implications for energy investments and stranded assets. Residual emissions at the end of the century are also substantially lower (by up to 43% and 34% in transportation and industry) under lower DACCS scenarios. The large variation in growth rates observed for different analogs can also point to policy takeaways for enabling DACCS.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Development of an immersion fiber optic Raman probe for real-time analysis of molten materials

This study presents an advancement in high-temperature Raman spectroscopy, specifically for analyzing molten materials. It introduces an approach by integrating a fiber-optic Raman probe with a copper block protection system designed to endure extreme thermal conditions. The copper block features an open port designed to accommodate an external telescope with a 3 cm focal length, enabling Raman spectra collection in challenging high-temperature environments. A built-in gas channel ensures a continuous flow of argon gas to prevent flux intrusion. The robust copper block acts as a reliable shield, safeguarding the fiber-optic Raman probe within molten materials. This enhancement maintains the probe's integrity and significantly improves its resilience, making it ideal for rigorous investigations of molten substances. This advancement is particularly relevant in metallurgy, where flux materials impact production quality and efficiency. The ability to acquire Raman signals under elevated thermal conditions offers opportunities for studying molecular dynamics, compositional changes, and chemical interactions within molten substances. This introduced direct immersion probing technique has implications, benefiting both scientific and industrial fields. It holds promise for advancing research and exploration in various contexts, from fundamental scientific inquiries to practical applications in metallurgical processes, where flux materials are critical for optimizing production quality and efficiency. Furthermore, this approach enhances the capabilities of high-temperature Raman spectroscopy, making it a valuable tool for investigating molten materials and their properties in diverse settings.

Argon↗