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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 1,603 records · Page 89
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Statistical model of the stimulated forward Brillouin scattering driven by a randomized laser beam in plasma

The modeling of a spatially incoherent laser beam remains a central problem of the parametric instabilities in the context of inertial confinement fusion. This letter gives a simplified and comprehensive overview of the recent analytical developments regarding the modeling of these laser beams and a comparison with a dedicated experiment. Our model accounts for the first time for the statistical standard deviation of the gain and accurately captures the entanglement between wave mixing processes and the speckle correlations thus resolving the longstanding contradictions between the random phase approximation and the model of independent speckles. It is successfully compared to a recent laser beam spray experiment and the associated paraxial simulations, demonstrating that backscattering predictions require accounting for the beam spray. Furthermore, our framework thus provides a way to evaluate and guide the analysis of parametric instabilities in high laser energy experiments.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2014

Pinning time statistics for vortex lines in disordered environments

We study the pinning dynamics of magnetic flux (vortex) lines in a disordered type-II superconductor. Using numerical simulations of a directed elastic line model, we extract the pinning time distributions of vortex line segments. We compare different model implementations for the disorder in the surrounding medium: discrete, localized pinning potential wells that are either attractive and repulsive or purely attractive, and whose strengths are drawn from a Gaussian distribution; as well as continuous Gaussian random potential landscapes. Here, we find that both schemes yield power-law distributions in the pinned phase as predicted by extreme-event statistics, yet they differ significantly in their effective scaling exponents and their short-time behavior.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2015

Statistical thermodynamics of strain hardening in polycrystalline solids

This paper starts with a systematic rederivation of the statistical thermodynamic equations of motion for dislocation-mediated plasticity proposed in 2010 by Langer, Bouchbinder, and Lookman. The paper then uses that theory to explain the anomalous rate-hardening behavior reported in 1988 by Follansbee and Kocks and to explore the relation between hardening rate and grain size reported in 1995 by Meyers et al. A central theme is the need for physics-based, nonequilibrium analyses in developing predictive theories of the strength of polycrystalline materials.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2016

Catalytic conversion reactions in nanoporous systems with concentration-dependent selectivity: Statistical mechanical modeling

Statistical mechanical modeling is developed to describe a catalytic conversion reaction A → B c or B t with concentration-dependent selectivity of the products, B c or B t , where reaction occurs inside catalytic particles traversed by narrow linear nanopores. The associated restricted diffusive transport, which in the extreme case is described by single-file diffusion, naturally induces strong concentration gradients. Hence, by comparing kinetic Monte Carlo simulation results with analytic treatments, selectivity is shown to be impacted by strong spatial correlations induced by restricted diffusivity in the presence of reaction and also by a subtle clustering of reactants, A.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

High-Statistics Measurement of Neutrino Quasielasticlike Scattering at 6 GeV on a Hydrocarbon Target

We measure neutrino charged-current quasielasticlike scattering on hydrocarbon at high statistics using the wideband Neutrinos at the Main Injector beam with neutrino energy peaked at 6 GeV. The double-differential cross section is reported in terms of muon longitudinal ( p ∥ ) and transverse ( p ⊥ ) momentum. Cross section contours versus lepton momentum components are approximately described by a conventional generator-based simulation, however, discrepancies are observed for transverse momenta above 0.5 GeV / c for longitudinal momentum ranges 3–5 and 9 – 20 GeV / c . The single differential cross section versus momentum transfer squared ( d σ / d Q QE 2 ) is measured over a four-decade range of Q 2 that extends to 10 GeV 2 . The cross section turnover and falloff in the Q 2 range 0.3 – 10 GeV 2 is not fully reproduced by generator predictions that rely on dipole form factors. Our measurement probes the axial-vector content of the hadronic current and complements the electromagnetic form factor data obtained using electron-nucleon elastic scattering. These results help oscillation experiments because they probe the importance of various correlations and final-state interaction effects within the nucleus, which have different effects on the visible energy in detectors.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Quantum Statistics of Vortices from a Dual Theory of the X Y Ferromagnet

In this work, we extend the well-known mapping between the easy-plane ferromagnet and electrostatics in d = 2 spatial dimensions to dynamical and quantum phenomena in a d = 2+1 spacetime. Ferromagnetic vortices behave like quantum particles with an electric charge equal to the vortex number and a magnetic flux equal to the transverse spin of the vortex core. Vortices with half-integer core spin exhibit fermionic statistics.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Statistical Combination of ATLAS Run 2 Searches for Charginos and Neutralinos at the LHC

Statistical combinations of searches for charginos and neutralinos using various decay channels are performed using 139 fb −1 of 𝑝⁢𝑝 collision data at $\sqrt{𝑠}$ = 13 TeV with the ATLAS detector at the Large Hadron Collider. Searches targeting pure-wino chargino pair production, pure-wino chargino-neutralino production, or Higgsino production decaying via standard model 𝑊, 𝑍, or ℎ bosons are combined to extend the mass reach to the produced supersymmetric particles by 30–100 GeV. The depth of the sensitivity of the original searches is also improved by the combinations, lowering the 95% C.L. cross-section upper limits by 15%–40%.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Statistically averaged molecular dynamics simulations of hydrogen diffusion in magnesium and magnesium hydrides

Magnesium has a different crystal structure from its dihydride with hydrogenation leading to a phase transition from the hexagonal closely packed Mg into a tetragonal α-MgH 2 rutile type structure. Such materials exhibit complex hydrogen uptake and release kinetics because hydrogen diffusivities significantly change when the crystal structure changes. To provide a foundational understanding of (de)hydrogenation kinetics that is applicable to all stages of the reaction, we performed statistically averaged molecular dynamics simulations to derive hydrogen diffusivities as a function of temperature and hydrogen content for both magnesium and magnesium hydride. Furthermore, our studies confirm that hydrogen diffusivities in magnesium hydride are much lower than in magnesium, in agreement with experimental data. Additionally, we observe that in either magnesium or magnesium hydride, higher hydrogen compositions result in reduced diffusivities. The latter was not revealed by prior experiments, which were conducted at fixed hydrogen composition. Finally, we discover a non-Arrhenius behavior in magnesium hydride. The physical origin of this behavior is also discussed.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Statistics on magnetic properties of Co compounds: A database-driven method for discovering Co-based ferromagnets

The search for new ferromagnetic compounds is often targeted at known structure families, particularly those containing iron, cobalt, and manganese. Here, we propose a method to expand this search to lesser-known structure types, using a database of experimental Curie and Néel temperatures. This study, in particular, illustrates the case of compounds containing the element cobalt, and we demonstrate how the use of such a database can lead to the discovery of ferromagnetic materials that had previously been overlooked. We report statistics from a literature survey of the magnetic properties of Co-based compounds with more than 33 at. % Co. We classify more than 13 000 compounds by structure type, cobalt content, and magnetic ground state. From these data, compounds TaCo 2 Ga, La 6 Co 13 Bi, and Nd 2 Co 3 were identified as potential ferromagnets, and we confirm their ferromagnetic ordering theoretically via first-principles calculations and experimentally via synthesis and characterization measurements. In addition, the analysis is focused on the collection of data trends and discovery of ferromagnetic materials with easy-axis magnetic anisotropy. Both known ferromagnetic materials with unknown magnetic anisotropy, and unstudied compounds were considered. From the subset of known ferromagnets with unknown anisotropy, the compound Co 2 Mg was synthesized, characterized, and determined to have easy-axis magnetic anisotropy at room temperature.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Statistical mechanics of kinks on a gliding screw dislocation

The ability of a body-centered-cubic metal to deform plastically is limited by the thermally activated glide motion of screw dislocations, which are line defects with a mobility exhibiting complex dependence on temperature, stress, and dislocation segment length. We derive an analytical expression for the velocity of dislocation glide, based on a statistical mechanics argument, and identify an apparent phase transition marked by a crossover temperature above which the activation energy for glide effectively halves, changing from the formation energy of a double kink to that of a single kink. The analysis is in quantitative agreement with direct kinetic Monte Carlo simulations.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Statistical Generation of Ocean Forcing With Spatiotemporal Variability for Ice Sheet Models

Melting of ice at the base of floating ice shelves that fringe the Antarctic ice sheet has been identified as a significant source of uncertainty in sea level rise projections. Part of this uncertainty derives from chaotic internal variability of the coupled ocean-atmosphere system. For numerical ice sheet model projections, this uncertainty has not previously been quantified because of the prohibitive computational expense of running large climate model ensembles. Here, we develop and demonstrate a technique that generates independent realizations of internal climate variability from a single climate model simulation. Building on previous developments in model emulation, this technique uses empirical orthogonal function decomposition and Fourier-phase randomization to generate statistically consistent realizations of spatiotemporal variability fields for the target climate variable. The method facilitates efficient sampling of a wide range of climate trajectories, which can also be incorporated within ice sheet or other physical models to represent feedback processes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Employing Fracture Statistics to Track Cell Reliability Through Module Fabrication

In this work we demonstrate how fracture statistics may be employed to track cell reliability through module fabrication steps. We were able to detect how cell cutting equipment could reduce cell fracture strain by 25 % as well as increase its variability. A smaller reduction was found to result from the ribbon soldering operation, and all cells measured were weaker when strained in an orientation perpendicular to the gridlines. Cell fracture measurements were found to be consistent with the number of cracked cells experienced in full sized modules exposed to mechanical loading. A structural mechanics model was created to elucidate how the requisite fracture strain is developed in a cell encapsulated within a PV module and demonstrates that this strain decreases more than 50 % from its center to edge when placed within the inner loading span of four-point flexure. The associated implications on the apparent cell strength is examined with an effective volume treatment.

41 EE - Solar Energy Technologies Office (EE-4S)↗
DOE OSTI2019

Estimation of Behind-the-Meter Solar Generation by Integrating Physical with Statistical Models

Accurate estimation of solar photovoltaic (PV) generation is crucial for distribution grid control and optimization. Unfortunately, most of the residential solar PV installations are behind-the-meter. Thus, utilities only have access to the net load readings. This paper presents an unsupervised framework for estimating solar PV generation by disaggregating the net load readings. The proposed framework synergistically combines a physical PV system performance model with a statistical model for load estimation. Specifically, our algorithm iteratively estimates solar PV generation with a physical model and electric load with the Hidden Markov model regression. The proposed algorithm is also capable of estimating the key technical parameters of the solar PV systems. Our proposed method is validated against net load and solar PV generation data gathered from residential customers located in Austin, Texas. The validation results show that our method reduces mean squared error by 44% compared to the state-of-the-art disaggregation algorithm.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2016

Statistical and clustering analysis for disturbances: A case study of voltage dips in wind farms

This study proposes and evaluates an alternative statistical methodology to analyze a large number of voltage dips. For a given voltage dip, a set of lengths is first identified to characterize the root mean square (rms) voltage evolution along the disturbance, deduced from partial linearized time intervals and trajectories. Principal component analysis and K-means clustering processes are then applied to identify rms-voltage patterns and propose a reduced number of representative rms-voltage profiles from the linearized trajectories. This reduced group of averaged rms-voltage profiles enables the representation of a large amount of disturbances, which offers a visual and graphical representation of their evolution along the events, aspects that were not previously considered in other contributions. The complete process is evaluated on real voltage dips collected in intense field-measurement campaigns carried out in a wind farm in Spain among different years. The results are included in this paper.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2021

Characterization and differentiation of aluminum powders used in improvised explosive devices. Part 2: Micromorphometric method refinement and preliminary statistical analysis

Abstract Aluminum (Al) powder is commonly encountered in improvised explosive devices (IEDs) as a metallic fuel due to its availability and low cost. Although available commercially in powder form, amateur bomb‐makers also produce their own Al powder via simple methods found online. In order to provide investigative leads and forensic intelligence, it is important to evaluate not only the composition of homemade devices, but also to distinguish between the various forms of Al powder they contain. To achieve this goal, a method using automated microscopy in combination with statistical techniques has been demonstrated to have the potential to provide source discrimination and investigative leads in source attribution of Al powders in IEDs. The present research refined this method and investigated 59 industrially and amateurly produced Al powder sources with seven subsamples per source using two traditional linear discriminant analyses (LDA), one with a standard data split for training and testing, and another using leave‐one‐out cross‐validation. Averaging the classification accuracies for the two LDA‐based analyses, LDA has the ability to correctly classify 59.26%, 83.35%, and 80.69% of the samples based on their powder source, type, and production method, respectively. This classification accuracy represents a 3407%, 317%, and 61.38% increase in accuracy from random class assignment, respectively. Further, in most instances of incorrect data attribution to a particular source, the subsample has been misidentified with another sample of the same powder type or production method.

Ommen, Danica M.↗
DOE OSTI2025

A statistical representation of bond coating oxidation under environmental barrier coatings

Environmental barrier coatings (EBCs) protect SiC-based ceramic matrix composites (CMCs) in turbine hot sections from high-temperature volatilization in combustion gases. The formation of a SiO 2 thermally grown oxide (TGO) is expected under the EBC after long-term operation. The oxidation resistance of the EBC is understood as a life-limiting factor for the CMC, and this work predicts long-term oxidation behavior under EBCs through a simple statistical approach. Specimens were exposed to 1350°C isothermal conditions for 100-h thermal cycles in flowing steam for up to 1000 h. The EBC morphology, SiO 2 thickness, and SiO 2 cracking behavior were assessed. Using thousands of SiO 2 thickness measurements across many millimeters of the interface, a realistic representation of the entire TGO was captured via a lognormal distribution. The lognormal fit parameters were extrapolated out to 25 000 h to assess the degree of SiO 2 growth, the spread of SiO 2 thicknesses related to the rough oxidizing interface, and percentages of the intermediate bond coating consumed. In conclusion, local interfacial defects from the coating deposition process are identified as local failure points for EBC—CMC systems.

SiO 2↗
DOE OSTI2021

Seeded Stage III glass dissolution behavior of a statistically designed glass matrix

The glass dissolution rate of some glasses accelerates after prolonged time spent at a slow, residual glass dissolution rate. This phenomenon is referred to as Stage III behavior. Here, the acceleration in glass dissolution rate linked to Stage III behavior is significant and may be the most impactful to long-term performance of glass in a repository. This work is aimed at understanding the effect of glass composition on Stage III behavior to add a level of technical defensibility to glass disposal. To this end, a set of twenty-four glass compositions were statistically designed, where eight glass components (SiO 2 , B 2 O 3 , Al 2 O 3 , CaO, Na 2 O, SnO 2 , ZrO 2 , and Others) have been independently varied in order to study the individual effects of each. These glasses have been subjected to static dissolution tests at 90 °C in deionized water and then seeded with zeolite Na-P2 28 days into the testing to induce Stage III behavior. The response of the glasses to the zeolite seeds fell into four primary types: 1) no response to seeds; 2) an immediate linear sustained acceleration in the rate; 3) an immediate linear acceleration in the rate followed by a decrease; and, 4) a progressive acceleration in the rate that is concurrent with the addition of the seeds. The main glass components observed to influence these behaviors were CaO, Al 2 O 3 , B 2 O 3 , and ZrO 2 , where: 1) CaO influenced which glasses showed a Stage III response to seeds (high CaO: Types 2, 3, and 4) or did not respond to seeds (low CaO: Type 1), 2) Al 2 O 3 and B 2 O 3 influenced which glasses showed a sustainable Stage III response (high Al 2 O 3 : Types 2 and 4) versus transitory response (low Al 2 O 3 and high B 2 O 3 : Type 3), and 3) ZrO 2 concentration influenced whether glasses showed a linear (high ZrO 2 : Type 2) versus progressive (low ZrO 2 : Type 4) response to seeds.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2013

Investigation of statistical iterative reconstruction for dedicated breast CT

Purpose: Dedicated breast CT has great potential for improving the detection and diagnosis of breast cancer. Statistical iterative reconstruction (SIR) in dedicated breast CT is a promising alternative to traditional filtered backprojection (FBP). One of the difficulties in using SIR is the presence of free parameters in the algorithm that control the appearance of the resulting image. These parameters require tuning in order to achieve high quality reconstructions. In this study, the authors investigated the penalized maximum likelihood (PML) method with two commonly used types of roughness penalty functions: hyperbolic potential and anisotropic total variation (TV) norm. Reconstructed images were compared with images obtained using standard FBP. Optimal parameters for PML with the hyperbolic prior are reported for the task of detecting microcalcifications embedded in breast tissue.Methods: Computer simulations were used to acquire projections in a half-cone beam geometry. The modeled setup describes a realistic breast CT benchtop system, with an x-ray spectra produced by a point source and an a-Si, CsI:Tl flat-panel detector. A voxelized anthropomorphic breast phantom with 280 μm microcalcification spheres embedded in it was used to model attenuation properties of the uncompressed woman's breast in a pendant position. The reconstruction of 3D images was performed using the separable paraboloidal surrogates algorithm with ordered subsets. Task performance was assessed with the ideal observer detectability index to determine optimal PML parameters.Results: The authors' findings suggest that there is a preferred range of values of the roughness penalty weight and the edge preservation threshold in the penalized objective function with the hyperbolic potential, which resulted in low noise images with high contrast microcalcifications preserved. In terms of numerical observer detectability index, the PML method with optimal parameters yielded substantially improved performance (by a factor of greater than 10) compared to FBP. The hyperbolic prior was also observed to be superior to the TV norm. A few of the best-performing parameter pairs for the PML method also demonstrated superior performance for various radiation doses. In fact, using PML with certain parameter values results in better images, acquired using 2 mGy dose, than FBP-reconstructed images acquired using 6 mGy dose.Conclusions: A range of optimal free parameters for the PML algorithm with hyperbolic and TV norm-based potentials is presented for the microcalcification detection task, in dedicated breast CT. The reported values can be used as starting values of the free parameters, when SIR techniques are used for image reconstruction. Significant improvement in image quality can be achieved by using PML with optimal combination of parameters, as compared to FBP. Importantly, these results suggest improved detection of microcalcifications can be obtained by using PML with lower radiation dose to the patient, than using FBP with higher dose.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗