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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 1,603 records · Page 89
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2023

Improved Compaction Experiments and Modeling of Waste Isolation Pilot Plant Standard, Non-degraded, Waste Containers

A credible simulation of disposal room porosity at the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP) requires a tenable compaction model for the 55-gallon waste containers within the room. A review of the legacy waste material model, however, revealed several out-of-date and untested assumptions that could affect the model’s compaction behavior. For example, the legacy model predicted non-physical tensile out-of-plane stresses under plane strain compression. (Plane strain compression is similar to waste compaction in the middle of a long drift.) Consequently, a suite of new compaction experiments were performed on containers filled with surrogate, non-degraded, waste. The new experiments involved uniaxial, triaxial, and hydrostatic compaction tests on quarter-scale and full-scale containers. Special effort was made to measure the volume strain during uniaxial and triaxial tests, so that the lateral strain could be inferred from the axial and volume strain. These experimental measurements were then used to calibrate a pressure dependent, viscoplastic, constitutive model for the homogenized compaction behavior of the waste containers. This new waste material model’s predictions agreed far better with the experimental measurements than the legacy model’s predictions, especially under triaxial and hydrostatic conditions. Under plane strain compression, the new model predicted reasonable compressive out-of-plane stresses, instead of tensile stresses. Moreover, the new model’s plane strain behavior was substantially weaker for the same strain, yet substantially stronger for the same porosity, than the legacy model’s behavior. Although room for improvement exists, the new model appears ready for prudent engineering use.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗
DOE OSTI2020

Comparison of fixed charge and polarizable models for predicting the structural, thermodynamic, and transport properties of molten alkali chlorides

Results from extensive molecular dynamics simulations of molten LiCl, NaCl, KCl, and RbCl over a wide range of temperatures are reported. Comparison is made between the “Polarizable Ion Model” (PIM) and the non-polarizable “Rigid Ion Model” (RIM). Densities, self-diffusivities, shear viscosities, ionic conductivities, and thermal conductivities are computed and compared with experimental data. In addition, radial distribution functions are computed from ab initio molecular dynamics simulations and compared with the two sets of classical simulations as well as experimental data. Here, the two classical models perform reasonably well at capturing structural and dynamic properties of the four molten alkali chlorides, both qualitatively and often quantitatively. With the singular exception of liquid density, for which the PIM is more accurate than the RIM, there are few clear trends to suggest that one model is more accurate than the other for the four alkali halide systems studied here.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Quantifying the Role of EMIC Wave Scattering During the 27 February 2014 Storm by RAM–SCB Simulations

Electromagnetic Ion Cyclotron (EMIC) wave scattering has been proved to be responsible for the fast loss of both radiation belt (RB) electrons and ring current (RC) protons. However, its role in the concurrent dropout of these two co–located populations remains to be quantified. In this work, we study the effect of EMIC wave scattering on both populations during the 27 February 2014 storm by employing the global physics–based RAM–SCB model. Throughout this storm event, MeV RB electrons and 100s keV RC protons experienced simultaneous dropout following the occurrence of intense EMIC waves. By implementing data–driven initial and boundary conditions, we perform simulations for both populations through the interplay with EMIC waves and compare them against Van Allen Probes observations. Notably, the results indicate that by including EMIC wave scattering loss, especially by the He–band EMIC waves, the model aligns closely with data for both populations. Additionally, we investigate the simulated pitch angle distributions (PADs) for both populations. Including EMIC wave scattering in our model predicts a 90° peaked PAD for electrons with stronger losses at lower pitch angles, while protons exhibit an isotropic PAD with enhanced losses at pitch angles above 40°. Furthermore, our model predicts considerable precipitation of both particle populations, predominantly confined to the afternoon to midnight sector (12 hr < MLT < 24 hr) during the storm's main phase, corresponding closely with the presence of EMIC waves.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Elucidating Electric Field-Induced Rate Promotion of Brønsted Acid-Catalyzed Alcohol Dehydration

Applied potentials have been demonstrated as a powerful tool to promote heterogeneous Brønsted acid catalysis by orders of magnitude, leveraging interfacial electric fields to stabilize protonated intermediates. However, the use of flat two-dimensional electrodes with inherently low active site densities limits the application of conventional thermochemical characterization techniques that can probe the nature of catalytic active sites. Here, we use kinetic analyses with an electrostatics-based model to elucidate the intricacies of potential-induced rate promotion, employing liquid-phase dehydration of 1-methylcyclopentanol catalyzed by carboxylic acid groups on carbon nanotubes as a probe system. By using a basket electrode to directly polarize catalyst powder, we demonstrate that thermocatalytic reaction rates can be promoted by 100,000-fold, exhibiting a log–linear dependence on applied potential with rate-potential scalings as high as 125 ± 4 mV per 10-fold rate increase. In agreement with model predictions, we show that lower ionic strengths attenuate potential sensitivity, resulting from a weakening of the interfacial electric field that interacts with the acidic proton. Furthermore, we experimentally confirm the model-predicted “isokinetic potential” (at ∼0.6 V vs Ag/AgCl)─the potential at which all rate scaling lines at various ionic strengths intersect, making the rate independent of ionic strength. Base titrations reveal that only ∼8% of the carboxylic acid sites are catalytically active, yet these same active sites are operational at the highest and lowest potentials. Collectively, our results provide a key methodology for modeling catalytic effects of electric fields, quantifying active sites under applied potential, and demonstrating fundamental principles of electric field-induced rate promotion.

Catalysts↗
NASA NTRS1990

Development of a model for predicting NASA/MSFC program success

Research conducted during the execution of a previous contract (NAS8-36955/0039) firmly established the feasibility of developing a tool to aid decision makers in predicting the potential success of proposed projects. The final report from that investigation contains an outline of the method to be applied in developing this Project Success Predictor Model. As a follow-on to the previous study, this report describes in detail the development of this model and includes full explanation of the data-gathering techniques used to poll expert opinion. The report includes the presentation of the model code itself.

Riggs, Jeffrey↗
NASA NTRS2018

Swarm Size Planning Tool for Multi-Job Type Missions

As part of swarm search and service (SSS) missions, swarms are tasked with searching an area while simultaneously servicing jobs as they are encountered. Jobs must be immediately serviced and can be one of multiple types. Each type requires that vehicle(s) break off from the swarm and travel to the job site for a specified amount of time. The number of vehicles needed and the service time for each job type are known. Once a job has been successfully serviced, vehicles return to the swarm and are available for reallocation. When planning SSS missions, human operators are tasked with determining the required number of vehicles needed to handle the expected job demand. The complex relationship between job type parameters makes this choice challenging. This work presents a prediction model used to estimate the swarm size necessary to achieve a given performance. User studies were conducted to determine the usefulness and ease of use of such a prediction model as an aid during mission planning. Results show that using the planning tool leads to 7 times less missed area and a 50 percent cost reduction.

Chandarana, Meghan↗
DOE OSTI2025

Investigation of the Performance and Explainability Tradeoffs for Machine-Learning Models for Predictive Maintenance of Circulating Water Systems in Nuclear Power Plants

Predictive maintenance (PdM) has shown great potential for achieving substantial cost savings and enhancing the economic competitiveness of nuclear power plants (NPPs) in today's energy market. Among the different modeling approaches that exist, machine learning (ML) tools in particular have a demonstrated ability to handle high dimensional and multivariate data and to extract hidden relationships within data in industrial environments. While ML methods show great potential, their lack of explainability---especially for black-box models---is a major hurdle to their adoption. Moreover, considering the supposed trade-off between explainability and performance challenges, careful consideration must be made as to which of these quality aspects takes precedence in light of multiple modeling options, resource availability, and domain characteristics. The present work evaluates the performance of six ML models, each with a different degree of explainability, in classifying the conditions of circulating water pumps (CWPs) by utilizing sensor data from nuclear power plants. To determine the drivers behind the trade-offs presented by this array of models, this work also tests different combinations of CWP units as the training and testing data, degrees of data imbalance, and objective functions for hyperparameter tuning. It was found that black-box models tend to afford superior performance in cases where there are far more instances of one type of labeled data than of any other type. It is recommended that a guided procedure be followed for designing and delivering an ML system that is sufficiently explainable to all involved stakeholders.

22 - GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Effect of Inlet Throttling on Thermohydraulic Instability in a Large Scale Waterbased RCCS: A System-Level Analysis with RELAP5-3D

This paper presents results from system -level modeling of a water -based reactor cavity cooling system using RELAP5-3D. The computational model is benchmarked with experimental data from a half -scale RCCS test facility at Argonne National Laboratory. The model prediction is first compared with a two-phase oscillatory baseline experimental case where mixed accuracy is obtained. The model shows reasonable prediction of mass flow rate, pressure, and temperature but significant overprediction of void fraction. The model prediction is then compared with a fault case where the inlet of the risers is gradually reduced using a throttling valve. As the valve is closed, the model is able to predict some major flow phenomena observed in the experiment such as the dampening of oscillations, the reintroduction of oscillations, as well as boiling, flashing, and geysering in the risers. However, the timeline of these events are not well captured by the model. The model is also used to investigate the evolution of flow regime in the chimney. This work highlights that the semiempirical constitutive relations used in RELAP-3D could have a strong influence on the accuracy of the model in two-phase oscillatory flows.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Preparing for the next pandemic via transfer learning from existing diseases with hierarchical multi-modal BERT: a study on COVID-19 outcome prediction

Abstract Developing prediction models for emerging infectious diseases from relatively small numbers of cases is a critical need for improving pandemic preparedness. Using COVID-19 as an exemplar, we propose a transfer learning methodology for developing predictive models from multi-modal electronic healthcare records by leveraging information from more prevalent diseases with shared clinical characteristics. Our novel hierarchical, multi-modal model ( $${\textsc {TransMED}}$$ T R A N S MED ) integrates baseline risk factors from the natural language processing of clinical notes at admission, time-series measurements of biomarkers obtained from laboratory tests, and discrete diagnostic, procedure and drug codes. We demonstrate the alignment of $${\textsc {TransMED}}$$ T R A N S MED ’s predictions with well-established clinical knowledge about COVID-19 through univariate and multivariate risk factor driven sub-cohort analysis. $${\textsc {TransMED}}$$ T R A N S MED ’s superior performance over state-of-the-art methods shows that leveraging patient data across modalities and transferring prior knowledge from similar disorders is critical for accurate prediction of patient outcomes, and this approach may serve as an important tool in the early response to future pandemics.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

A multi-physics constitutive model to predict hydrolytic aging in quasi-static behaviour of thin cross-linked polymers

The effect of hydrolytic aging on mechanical quasi-static responses of rubber-like materials, in particular, the idealized Mullins effect and permanent set have been modeled. The effect of hydrolytic damage on the mechanical integrity of the polymer matrix is modeled as the direct competition of two micro-structural phenomena (i) chain scission and (ii) reduction of cross-links. Both phenomena and their correlation were modeled and thus, the strain energy of the polymer matrix is written with respect to three independent mechanisms; i) the shrinking original matrix that has not been attacked by water, ii) conversion of the first network to a new network due to the reduction of the cross-links, and iii) energy loss from network degradation due to water attacks to polymer active agents. The proposed model satisfies the Clausius-Duhem inequality and is thus physically feasible. The model is validated with respect to sets of our experimental data and other sets available in the literature. The proposed model is based on the assumption of homogeneous diffusion and mainly relevant for thin samples. In view of its accuracy, interpret-ability, and deep insight it provides into the nature of damage accumulation, the model is a good choice for further implementation in FE applications.

42 ENGINEERING↗
NASA NTRS2005

Life Modeling and Design Analysis for Ceramic Matrix Composite Materials

The primary research efforts focused on characterizing and modeling static failure, environmental durability, and creep-rupture behavior of two classes of ceramic matrix composites (CMC), silicon carbide fibers in a silicon carbide matrix (SiC/SiC) and carbon fibers in a silicon carbide matrix (C/SiC). An engineering life prediction model (Probabilistic Residual Strength model) has been developed specifically for CMCs. The model uses residual strength as the damage metric for evaluating remaining life and is posed probabilistically in order to account for the stochastic nature of the material s response. In support of the modeling effort, extensive testing of C/SiC in partial pressures of oxygen has been performed. This includes creep testing, tensile testing, half life and residual tensile strength testing. C/SiC is proposed for airframe and propulsion applications in advanced reusable launch vehicles. Figures 1 and 2 illustrate the models predictive capabilities as well as the manner in which experimental tests are being selected in such a manner as to ensure sufficient data is available to aid in model validation.

Source record↗
NASA NTRS2020

End-to-End Assessment of Artemis-1 Development Flight Instrumentation

As the space industry continues to strive for more efficient launch vehicles they must rely on increasingly accurate predictive models. Verification of models typically requires physical testing. Flight data measurements offer the most real and therefore the most accurate data for model correlation. As NASA prepares for the inaugural launch of their new Space Launch System (SLS), Artemis-1, they must rely heavily on predictive system models to ensure flight safety. Artemis-1 will be an unmanned scientific mission with the intent of blazing a trail for future manned missions. NASA has implemented a system of Development Flight Instrumentation (DFI) in the hopes of recovering useful flight data during liftoff and ascent to aid in correlating their predictive models to ensure human safety in future missions. An end-to-end assessment of the DFI system was performed to verify data acquired during Artemis-1 would be adequate for the targeted flight test objectives (FTOs). This was accomplished using a computational simulation of all sensors and Data Acquisition (DAQ) parameters to investigate any potential problem areas in the current architecture. Input nominal signals were approximated and injected into the system model. Synthesized acquired signals were recovered to verify FTO success.

Flight measurement↗
NASA NTRS1992

Assimilation of ERBE data with a nonlinear programming technique to improve cloud-cover diagnosis

A method is developed to assimilate satellite data for the purpose of improving the diagnosis of fractional cloud cover within a numerical weather prediction model. The method makes use of a nonlinear programming technique to find a set of parameters for the cloud diagnosis that minimizes the difference between the observed and model-produced outgoing longwave radiation (OLR). The algorithm and theoretical basis of the method are presented. The method has been applied in two forecast experiments using a numerical weather prediction model. The results from a winter case demonstrate that the root-mean-square (rms) difference between the observed and forecasted OLR can be reduced by 50 percent when the optimized cloud diagnosis is used, with the remaining rms difference within the background noise.

Wu, Xiangqian↗
NASA NTRS2024

Helium Conservation by Diffusion Limited Purging of Liquid Hydrogen Tanks

Recently, the new 1.2-million-gallon liquid hydrogen (LH 2 ) storage tank at the Kennedy Space Center Launch Complex 39 was purged, replacing nitrogen with helium, using a piston purge process. This purging approach had been used on Space Shuttle External Tanks (ET) in the past, but not on one of the large LH 2 tanks. The result was a huge success, potentially saving more than 1 million cubic feet of helium and significant labor. To better understand this result, a diffusion-based purge model was developed. The model predictions accurately match the helium concentration data, providing understanding of the helium savings and suggesting how to better optimize the purging of this large tank for future operations. The model was then applied to the piston purging of the Space Shuttle ETs, showing that these purges were not optimal, but that the amount of wasted helium was not excessive and that additional helium might have been saved by small changes to the process. The Space Shuttle Program (SSP) has ended, but these results are applicable to the purging of future large cylindrical LH 2 tanks. Finally, data have been obtained on inerting the Space Launch System (SLS) Core Stage (CS) LH 2 tank, replacing hydrogen with helium after an aborted launch. This is a more complicated case, but the model predicts that substantial helium might be saved by modifying the current purging process.

Helium Conservation↗
DOE OSTI2020

Field Validation of Wake Steering Control with Wind Direction Variability: Preprint

Wake steering is a type of wind farm control strategy wherein upstream turbines are misaligned with the wind direction to redirect their wakes away from downstream turbines, increasing overall wind plant power. Wake steering is often analyzed assuming steady mean wind directions across the wind farm. However, in practice, the wind direction varies considerably over time because of large-scale weather phenomena. Wind direction variability causes wake steering controllers to increase power production less than predicted by steady state models, but more robust wake steering strategies can be designed that account for variable wind conditions. This paper compares the achieved yaw offsets and power gains from two 2-turbine wake steering experiments at a commercial wind farm with model predictions using the FLOw Redirection and Induction in Steady State (FLORIS) control-oriented model, assuming both fixed and variable wind directions. The impact of wind direction variability is modeled by including wind direction and yaw uncertainty in the FLORIS calculations. The field results match the trends predicted assuming wind direction variability. Specifically, the yaw offsets achieved in the intended control regions are lower than desired, resulting in less power gain, while a slight loss in power occurs for wind directions outside of the intended control region because of unintentional yaw misalignment. The agreement between the model and field results suggests that the wind direction variability model can be used to design wake steering controllers that are more robust to variable wind conditions present in the field.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
NASA NTRS2024

Quantifying Caloric Expenditure During Zero-G Exercise

BACKGROUND: Exercise is a fundamental component of maintaining astronaut health on long-duration space missions, where the microgravity environment poses unique challenges to physiological homeostasis. Accurate quantification of energy expenditure during such exercises is crucial for optimizing nutritional and physical health strategies for spacefarers. OBJECTIVE: This study aims to develop a comprehensive model to estimate caloric expenditure during exercise in a microgravity environment, employing a combination of spirometry, heart rate data, and other relevant parameters. By assessing energy utilization under these conditions, we seek to facilitate enhanced health management protocols for astronauts in space. METHODS & OUTCOMES: A multivariate predictive model will be constructed, utilizing spirometry and heart rate data, coupled with additional physiological and environmental parameters. A systematic approach will be applied to analyze the relationship between these variables and energy expenditure during various exercises. The proposed model will subsequently undergo rigorous validation to ensure accuracy and reliability. This research is expected to yield a precise and reliable predictive model, contributing to improved strategies for exercise prescription and nutritional intake, addressing the unique challenges presented by microgravity environments. We anticipate that our findings will support the development of more effective health maintenance protocols for astronauts during extended space missions, mitigating the adverse effects of space travel on the human body. SIGNIFICANCE: The development of an accurate and adaptable model to quantify caloric expenditure during exercise in space represents a pivotal advancement in space medicine. The insights gained from this study have the potential to inform the design of enhanced health and wellness strategies, ensuring the well-being and operational effectiveness of astronauts in long-duration space missions.

Calorie↗
NASA NTRS1985

Mechanisms of thermal barrier coating degradation and failure

The objectives and initial results of a Thermal Barrier Coating (TBC) Life Prediction Model Development Program are described. The goals of this program are to: identify and understand TBC failure modes; generate quantitative TBC life data; and develop and verify a TBC life prediction model. The coating being studied is a two layer thermal barrier system incorporating a nominal ten mil outer layer of seven percent yttria partially stabilized zirconia plasma deposited over an inner layer of highly oxidation resistant low pressure plasma sprayed NiCrAlY bond coating. This coating currently is in flight service on turbine vane platforms in the JT-9D and PW2037 engines and is bill-of- material on turbine vane airfoils in the advanced PW4000 and IAE V2500 engines. Effort currently is in progress on the first task, which involves the identification and understanding of TBC failures. Five modes of coating damage were considered: thermomechanical ceramic failure; oxidative bond coat failure; hot corrosion; foreign object damage (FOD); and erosion.

Demasi, J. T.↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Rocket Propulsion Test Design and Analysis

As the small satellite launch vehicle (SSLV) market grows and NASA continues to prepare for upcoming missions in the Artemis program, John C. Stennis Space Center’s (SSC) testing facilities must adapt to the increasing demand in liquid rocket engine testing. The Rocket Propulsion Test Design and Analysis Project for this rotation focused in both of this areas through two separate subprojects, the creation of a Private Rocket Engine Database and the automatization of the A1-Set Point Prediction Model. To identify the testing requirements of future Stennis Space Center (SSC) costumers, an excel spread sheet was commissioned as a database to collect technical and non-technical features of over one hundred privately developed liquid and hybrid rocket engine. Similarly, The A-1 Set Point Sheet Model is used to satisfy Aerojet Rocketdyne’s testing requirements of Net Positive Suction Pressure (NPSP) for the RS-25 staged combustion cycle engine. To expand the capabilities of this prediction model, a feed back loop was programmed to automate the search of setpoints using Excel Visual Basic for Applications (VBA).

John Paul Ortiz↗