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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 1,603 records · Page 89
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2022

Using dynamic mode decomposition to predict the dynamics of a two-time non-equilibrium Green’s function

Computing the numerical solution of the Kadanoff–Baym equations, a set of nonlinear integral differential equations satisfied by the two-time Green's functions derived from many-body perturbation theory for a quantum many-body system away from equilibrium, is a challenging task. Recently, we have successfully applied dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) to construct a data driven reduced order model that can be used to extrapolate the time-diagonal of a two-time Green's function from numerical solutions of the KBE within a small time window. In this paper, we extend the previous work and use DMD to predict off-diagonal elements of the two-time Green's function. We partition the two-time Green's function into a number of one-time functions along the diagonal and subdiagonals of the two-time window as well as in horizontal and vertical directions. We use DMD to construct separate reduced order models to predict the dynamics of these one-time functions in a two-step procedure. We extrapolate along diagonal and several subdiagonals within a subdiagonal band of a two-time window in the first step. In the second step, we use DMD to extrapolate the Green's function outside of the sub-diagonal band. In conclusion, we demonstrate the efficiency and accuracy of this approach by applying it to a two-band Hubbard model problem.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2020

Constitutional under-potential plating (CUP) – New insights for predicting the morphological stability of deposited lithium anodes in lithium metal batteries

Lithium (Li) cycling in lithium metal batteries (LMBs) inevitably witnesses a non-planar Li/electrolyte interface (cellular/dendritic microstructure) affecting the performance, safety and reliability of LMBs. Herein, the “constitutional under-potential plating” (CUP) concept is presented for the first time to understand the evolution, formation and predict the morphological stability/instability of the Li/electrolyte interface. Here, the CUP condition, a measure of the driving force for interface perturbation, occurs when the true potential gradient at the interface is smaller than the equilibrium electrodeposition potential gradient at the Li/electrolyte interface resulting in the electrolyte ahead of the Li-electrolyte interface to be in an under-potential state. Detailed CUP criterion calculations conducted herein establishes the relationship of battery operating conditions (e.g. current density, potential gradient) with the electrolyte properties (e.g. Li-ion transference number and diffusion coefficient) predicting the morphological stability condition at the interface. In addition to the driving force for interface perturbation, the capillarity effect or the Gibbs Thomson effect, a measure of the resistance to perturbation of the perturbed interface is discussed for understanding the influence of interfacial energy/adhesion energy between the current collector and the deposited Li on the overall morphological stability of the Li/electrolyte interface, a critical criterion for the unwanted dendritic morphology.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2024

O'Hare Airport roadway traffic prediction via data fusion and Gaussian process regression

This study proposes an approach of leveraging information gathered from multiple traffic data sources at different resolutions to obtain approximate inference on the traffic distribution of Chicago's O'Hare Airport area. Specifically, it proposes the ingestion of traffic datasets at different resolutions to build spatiotemporal models for predicting the distribution of traffic volume on the road network. Due to its good adaptability and flexibility for spatiotemporal data, the Gaussian process (GP) regression was employed to provide short-term forecasts using data collected by loop detectors (sensors) and supplemented by telematics data. The GP regression is used to make predictions of the distribution of the proportion of sensor data traffic volume represented by the telematics data for each location of the sensors. Consequently, the fitted GP model can be used to determine the approximate traffic distribution for a testing location outside of the training points. Policymakers in the transportation sector can find the results of this work helpful for making informed decisions relating to current and future transportation conditions in the area.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Graph neural networks for mechanical property prediction of 2D fiber composites

This work investigates the ability of graph neural networks (GNNs) to homogenize 2D fiber composite microstructures. We use different inhomogeneity and anisotropy indices to motivate and show that the Volume Elements (VEs) used in ML methods should ideally be far from their Representative Volume Element (RVE) size limit and, consequently, are notably anisotropic. Hence, training only the isotropic limit properties may not be acceptable. Another aspect is the need to normalize elastic stiffness values for ML, especially when high elastic contrast ratios are encountered between composite phases or in the material set. We introduce a normalization technique based on the mean-field method (MFM) to handle such high contrast ratios and train for the entire stiffness tensor. We show that the proposed GNN approaches exhibit high accuracy and efficiency compared to traditional methods and convolutional neural networks, utilizing unstructured graphs constructed from microstructure topology. Our model successfully predicts the stiffness tensor, peak strength under bulk damage, and brittle fracture initiation strength across diverse microstructure configurations while maintaining high accuracy even for extreme material contrasts and volume fractions. We also present a method to improve prediction accuracy for small dataset sizes using Voronoi partitioning.

Brittle strength↗
DOE OSTI2021

Predicting sintering window during supersolidus liquid phase sintering of steels using feedstock analysis and CALPHAD

Binder jet 3D printing results in carbon pickup from the binder at the inter-particle regions during binder burnout. The excess carbon lowers the solidus temperature of the green part locally during supersolidus liquid phase sintering (SLPS). Currently, thermodynamic calculations rely on the use of bulk powder compositions to predict the sintering window. This can overestimate the sintering temperature since the local increase in carbon on powder surfaces is not accounted for, that can locally lower the solidus temperature during SLPS. Here we show that using the inputs from feedstock and binder analysis, the excess carbon and hence the sintering window for the alloy can be predicted using CALPHAD. We present a case study on applying the proposed approach for pressureless sintering of binder jet additive manufactured (BJAM) of H13 steel via SLPS.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Prediction of nonlinear specific heat during single crystal HMX phase transition

Here, we develop a thermodynamically consistent chemo-thermo-mechanical model for the β → δ phase transition of energetic HMX crystals. In contrast to previous models, which either considered specific heat to be a constant or utilized a calibrated function, this model provides novel expressions for the specific heats at constant volume and constant elastic strains derived directly from continuum mechanics. In addition, the model provides a novel prediction for the critical temperature at which the chemical heating rate achieves its extremum for Arrhenius kinetics. The numerical solution predicts highly nonlinear specific heat behavior including order of magnitude changes.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2021

Surface prediction and measurement for modulated tool path (MTP) turning

Here, this paper describes a time-domain simulation for predicting surface finish in modulated tool path (MTP) turning, which uses sinusoidal axis motions in the feed direction to produce discontinuous chips for ductile workpiece materials. The simulation includes: the low frequency and low amplitude tool oscillation in the feed direction; the time-varying chip thickness, cutting force, and tool displacement; and the plastic side flow effect used to calibrate the effective tool nose radius. Comparisons between predicted and measured surface profiles are presented for turning a 6061-T6 aluminum cylinder as a function of the MTP oscillation frequency and amplitude with discontinuous chip formation.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Predicting thermophysical properties of molten salts in the MgCl 2 -NaCl-KCl-LiCl system with a shell-model potential

Ternary eutectic salts composed of MgCl 2 , NaCl, and KCl, referred to as MNK salts, have recently emerged as promising candidates as high-temperature heat transfer fluids and thermal energy storage media. Here we performed classical molecular dynamics (MD) simulations to predict the densities, specific heat capacities, viscosities, and ionic self-diffusivities for MNK salts over a wide temperature range. The impact of LiCl additive on their thermophysical properties was also investigated. To capture the electronic polarization of Cl anions by neighboring cations, we developed a novel shell-model potential using the force-matching method and a dataset of ab initio calculated interatomic forces. Our extensive MD simulations predict structure and properties for pure salts and binary/ternary salt mixtures in the MgCl 2 -NaCl-KCl-LiCl system in overall good agreement with available experimental and theoretical data, which corroborates the accuracy and reliability of our developed potential.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Predicting Geometric Influences in Metal Additive Manufacturing

Metal additive manufacturing (AM) has evolved from scientific curiosity to a potential paradigm shift in materials manufacturing owing to its ability to control microstructure and fabricate complex geometries. However, geometry, often ignored as a variable, can have a significant impact on microstructure evolution, thereby indirectly limiting the design flexibility offered by AM. Currently, the process of retaining microstructure with changing geometry relies on trial and error-based processing followed by microstructural evaluation that places significant demands on time and costs associated with experimentation and characterization. We demonstrate herein that lightweight thermal models can be effectively used to predict microstructural changes with geometry. These models can in turn be used as precursors to developing geometry independent scan strategies and achieve microstructure control in various alloy systems. Even if the thermal signatures predicted by the model are not accurate, scan strategies can be developed to mimic the thermal conditions during initial process development. We present a case study on one of the most studied AM alloys: Ti-6Al-4V.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Energy and mechanical properties predictions in Fe-Ni binary system by ab initio calculations

Here, the fcc random solid solutions in Fe-Ni binary system were investigated using ab initio calculations. Density functional theory (DFT) was applied along with supercells generated by the Special Quasi-Random Structure (SQS) method to predict the enthalpy of mixing and magnetic and elastic properties. The results were compared with relevant experimental and computational data produced by other groups. The effect of SQS supercell size and relaxation procedure on the predicted properties of the alloys were also studied. Our calculations show that 16-atoms SQS model provides adequate approach to the mixing energy of the alloy. However, calculation of mechanical properties requires larger supercell. Excellent agreement between experimental and calculated elastic properties was found in fcc region of Fe-Ni system.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Accurate prediction of short-range order and its effect on thermodynamic, structural, and electronic properties of disordered alloys: exemplified in archetypical Cu 3 Au

Electronic-structure methods based on density-functional theory (DFT) were used to quantify the effect of chemical short-range order (SRO) on thermodynamic, structural, and electronic properties of archetypal face-centered-cubic (fcc) Cu3Au alloy. We showed that SRO can be tuned to alter bonding and lattice dynamics (i.e., phonons) and detail how these properties are changed with SRO. Thermodynamically favorable SRO significantly improved the phase stability of fcc Cu3Au from -0.0343 eV-atom -1 to –0.0682 eV-atom -1 . We used our DFT-based linear-response theory to predict SRO and its electronic origin, and accurately estimate the observed transition temperature, ordering instability (L1 2 ), and Warren-Cowley SRO parameters, in agreement with experiments. The accurate prediction of real-space SRO gives an edge over computationally and resource intensive approaches such as monte-carlo methods or experiments, which will enable large scale molecular dynamic simulations by providing supercells with optimized SRO. Here we also analyzed phonon dispersion and estimated the vibrational entropy change (from 9kB at 300 K to 6kB at 100 K) in fcc Cu3Au. We established from SRO analysis that exclusion of chemical interactions may lead to a skewed view of true properties in chemically complex alloys. The first-principles methods described in this work are generally applicable to any arbitrary solid-solution alloys, including multi-principal-element alloys, therefore, holds promise for designing technologically useful materials.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Enhancing the accuracy and generality of the Debye–Grüneisen Model: Optimizing the volume dependence for accurate predictions across varied compositions

In this work, we have introduced an optimized Debye-Grüneisen model that revolutionizes the determination of the Debye temperature and Grüneisen parameters. Unlike conventional methods, our model requires only the 0 K energy volume data for a material as input, eliminating the need to determine the bulk modulus and its pressure derivative, which often pose challenges due to numerical uncertainties. This unique feature sets our model apart from existing approaches and streamlines the process, enabling accurate predictions of thermal expansion behavior across various materials. To demonstrate its effectiveness, we showcase its excellent agreement with measured coefficients of thermal expansion (CTE) for the nickel-cobalt-chromium-aluminum-yttrium (Ni-Co-Cr-Al-Y) bond-coating system. Additionally, we apply our approach by conducting a high-throughput search for potential bond-coating materials among 90,000 compositions within the aluminum-cobalt-chromium-iron-nickel (Al-Co-Cr-Fe-Ni) system. From this extensive search, four compositions are synthesized, and the measured CTE values agree very well with theoretical predictions, hence validating our approach. In conclusion, the current optimized Debye-Grüneisen model combined with Density Functional Theory (DFT)-based thermodynamic database enables reliable and efficient high-throughput calculations of CTE of of a material without expensive phonon calculations.

Bond coating materials↗
DOE OSTI2022

EDGE2D-EIRENE and ERO2.0 predictions of nitrogen molecular break-up and transport in the divertor of JET low-confinement mode plasmas

EDGE2D-EIRENE simulations of nitrogen-seeded partially detached JET L-mode plasmas show that the divertor N I to N V radiation distributions are highly sensitive to the upstream electron density, and less sensitive to changes in the assumed cross-field particle diffusivity for nitrogen ions. The EDGE2D-EIRENE simulations reproduce the peak intensities of N I to N V as measured by vertically viewing divertor filterscopes to within 50 % for a narrow range of the upstream electron density within the experimental uncertainties, while the predicted profiles are narrower than the measured ones. Including nitrogen atoms only in the ERO2.0 simulations implies lower N III and N IV peak intensities by one and two thirds, respectively, compared to EDGE2D-EIRENE. If nitrogen is assumed to recycle exclusively as molecules instead of atoms, ERO2.0 predicts that the N III and N IV intensities in the divertor increase by up to a factor of two and that the time-averaged, volume-integrated number of N 5+ to N 7+ ions in the plasma also increases by approximately a factor of 2.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Comparative study between experimental measurements and model predictions of bubble rise velocity in molten LiCl-KCl

This research investigated the shape and rise velocities of gas bubbles (helium, nitrogen, argon, and krypton) in molten LiCl-KCl at 500 °C using a specialized optical visualization apparatus. The apparatus features a custom quartz rectangular prism cell housed in a furnace, enabling the application of the shadowgraph measurement technique. Bubbles with diameters between 0.45 and 3.2 mm were produced via a capillary, and their equivalent diameters and rise velocities were analyzed using high-resolution imaging and centroid tracking algorithms. Important non-dimensional parameters were calculated to characterize behavior. Bubbles with 0.03 < Eo < 1.32, 17 < Re < 718, and Mo order of 10 -11 were generated in the molten LiCl-KCl, revealing that bubbles with diameters less than 1.46 mm remain spherical, whereas those with larger diameters are ellipsoidal. The transition and oscillation onset for bubble shape occurred at larger diameters than those previously observed in air–water systems. Comparative analysis of the gas-molten salt data against existing air–water bubble rise velocity correlations highlighted inaccuracies in predictions, particularly across the different bubble regimes. An existing correlation was calibrated to the molten salt data to improve the bubble velocity predictions. In conclusion, this study contributes essential experimental data for the design and safety evaluation of molten salt reactors and offers insights for the optimization of sparge systems for fission product removal.

Bubble rise velocity↗
DOE OSTI2023

Accelerated test protocols to predict service life and durability of solid oxide fuel cells

Reliable accelerated test protocols are needed for solid oxide fuel cell research to facilitate rapid learning on key durability issues, identify potential modes of failure expeditiously, and eventually predict the calendar lifetime of an electrochemical cell. In this work, solid oxide fuel cells operated at a constant current density were compared to cells undergoing accelerated measurements, which are composed of intermittent current injection to the cell. A general accelerated test profile was developed by cycling a solid oxide fuel cell from open circuit to a predetermined operating current density that is the same as the current density during a steady-state operation, to accelerate the local redox environment. The following parameters were studied: current density, operation temperature, moist level, sintering temperature, cycling current, cycling frequency, and operation time. Up to 1,320,000 cycles were generated in this work. The cell degradation was accelerated by nearly 10 times, suggesting the feasibility of using this protocol for acceleration test to predict life performance and durability of solid oxide fuel cells.

08 HYDROGEN↗
DOE OSTI2021

Evaluating adaptive and predictive power management strategies for optimizing visualization performance on supercomputers

Power is becoming an increasingly scarce resource on the next generation of supercomputers, and should be used wisely to improve overall performance. One strategy for improving power usage is hardware overprovisioning, i.e., systems with more nodes than can be run at full power simultaneously without exceeding the system-wide power limit. With this study, we compare two strategies for allocating power throughout an overprovisioned system – adaptation and prediction – in the context of visualization workloads. While adaptation has been suitable for workloads with more regular execution behaviors, it may not be as suitable on visualization workloads, since they can have variable execution behaviors. This study considers a total of 104 experiments, which vary the rendering workload, power budget, allocation strategy, and node concurrency, including tests processing data sets up to 1 billion cells and using up to 18,432 cores across 512 nodes. Overall, we find that prediction is a superior strategy for this use case, improving performance up to 27% compared to an adaptive strategy.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2022

Universal machine learning framework for defect predictions in zinc blende semiconductors

Our article introduces a universal predictive framework for point defect formation energies and charge transition levels in a wide chemical space of zinc blende semiconductors and possible impurity atoms selected from across the periodic table. This framework was developed by leveraging high-throughput quantum mechanical simulations benchmarked using some experimental data from the literature, as well as machine learning (ML)-based regressions techniques that map unique materials descriptors to computed defect properties and yield optimized and generalizable models. Furthermore, the power and utility of these models is revealed through quick predictions for thousands of new defects and screening of low-energy impurities, which may tune the equilibrium conductivity in the semiconductor. This work presents, to our knowledge, the largest density functional theory (DFT) dataset of defect properties in semiconductors and the largest DFT+ML-based screening of point defects in semiconductors to date.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Multi-fidelity kinetic theory-based approach for the prediction of particle attrition: Application to jet cup attrition system

The timescale difference between the “fast” flow dynamics of fluidized bed reactors and the relatively “slow” rate of particle degradation makes the direct computational prediction of attrition challenging. An approach to this challenge is a multi-fidelity strategy where a high fidelity model for the flow dynamics is coupled with a lower fidelity model for the long-time resolution of the bulk attrition of the reactor inventory. We implement this approach using high-fidelity kinetic theory simulations to calculate the flow dynamics which are post-processed to calculate the frequency and intensity of the particle-particle and particle-wall collisions (e.g. collision energy spectra). This is combined with the particle breakage properties to construct the coefficients for a low-fidelity model [e.g. Monazam et al., 2018, Powder Technology 340, p. 528-536]. Simulations are performed of a jet cup attrition system containing Canadian hematite (Monazam et al. 2018). Furthermore, these are first analyzed using the collision energy spectra. Quantitative predictions of the mass loss are made using a low-fidelity model derived from the collision-spectra and a calibrated material breakage coefficient. The results are found to compare favorably with the experimental measurements.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗