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At least 1,603 records · Page 89

A stochastic model of future extreme temperature events for infrastructure analysis

Applying extreme temperature events for future conditions is not straightforward for infrastructure resilience analyses. This work introduces a stochastic model that fills this gap. The model uses at least 50 years of daily extreme temperature records, climate normals with 10%-90% confidence intervals, and shifts/offsets for increased frequency and intensity of heat wave events. Intensity and frequency are shifted based on surface temperature anomaly from 1850-1900 for 32 models from CMIP6. A case study for Worcester, Massachusetts passed 85% of cases using the two-sided Kolmogorov-Smirnov -value test with 95% confidence for both temperature and duration. Future shifts for several climate scenarios to 2020, 2040, 2060, and 2080 had acceptable errors between the shifted model and 10- and 50-year extreme temperature event thresholds with the largest error being 2.67 degrees C. The model is likely to be flexible enough for other patterns of extreme weather such as extreme precipitation and hurricanes.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

New data-driven approach to bridging power system protection gaps with deep learning

Protection is a critical function in power systems to avoid equipment damage, maintain personnel safety, and support system reliability. However, current protective relay technology cannot adequately protect equipment and personnel from effects of some events; these deficiencies are termed protection gaps. In this paper, a data-driven approach is proposed to complement traditional protection technology and distinguish fault conditions from transients caused by normal operations. A combined convolutional neural network and long short-term memory (CNN-LSTM) network is implemented to achieve data translation invariance and capture the temporal correlation of the time-series input data. As a result, the data-driven method can accurately detect system faults despite variation and noise in the input data. In addition, using the CNN-LSTM--based method avoids the complicated, manual feature extraction procedure required by many traditional data-driven methods. The effectiveness of the proposed approach is tested on two kinds of protection gaps: high-impedance faults and transformer inter-turn faults. Lastly, a transfer learning method is also proposed to address the common issue of data-driven methods for which real-world training data are scarce. Extensive study results demonstrate that the proposed approach can accurately bridge power system protection gaps.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Multi-area parameter error identification for large power systems

Power grid model parameters may contain errors due to various reasons. Detecting and correcting parameter errors typically requires significant computational effort due to the size and complexity of the parameter database. While the normalized Lagrange multiplier (NLM) method can effectively detect, identify and correct parameter errors, its computational burden could rapidly grow with increasing system size. This paper addresses this issue by proposing a multi-area parameter error identification method. Each area has its own outlier detection tool for detecting the incorrect parameters and measurements within the area. On the other hand, due to the reduced redundancy at area boundaries, parameter errors on branches incident to boundary buses may not be detected. Such errors are subsequently detected by a coordination level estimator completing the system-wide parameter detection procedure. In conclusion, performance of the developed method is demonstrated using the IEEE 118-bus and 2000-bus Texas synthetic systems.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Learning-Based Demand Response in Grid Interactive Buildings via Gaussian Processes

This paper presents a predictive controller for a grid-interactive multi-zone building where the temperature dynamics are learned via Gaussian Process (GP) regression. We investigate the development of a learning-based predictive control with two main objectives: (i) continuously learn the temperature dynamics of the building based on data; and, (ii) use the learned dynamics to solve a multi-objective predictive control problem to guarantee occupants' comfort and energy efficiency during normal conditions and demand response events. We leverage the probabilistic non-parametric properties of GPs to estimate the (unknown) non-linear temperature dynamics of the building and to incorporate the uncertainty of those predictions in a multi-objective optimization problem. The GP-based predictive control is solved via a zero-order primal-dual projected-gradient algorithm. We evaluate numerically the performance of the proposed controller using a five-zone commercial building.

demand response↗

Long duration battery sizing, siting, and operation under wildfire risk using progressive hedging

Battery sizing and siting problems are computationally challenging due to the need to make long-term planning decisions that are cognizant of short-term operational decisions. This paper considers sizing, siting, and operating batteries in a power grid to maximize their benefits, including price arbitrage and load shed mitigation, during both normal operations and periods with high wildfire ignition risk. Here we formulate a multi-scenario optimization problem for long duration battery storage while considering the possibility of load shedding during Public Safety Power Shutoff (PSPS) events that de-energize lines to mitigate severe wildfire ignition risk. To enable a computationally scalable solution of this problem with many scenarios of wildfire risk and power injection variability, we develop a customized temporal decomposition method based on a progressive hedging framework. Extending traditional progressive hedging techniques, we consider coupling in both placement variables across all scenarios and state-of-charge variables at temporal boundaries. This enforces consistency across scenarios while enabling parallel computations despite both spatial and temporal coupling. The proposed decomposition facilitates efficient and scalable modeling of a full year of hourly operational decisions to inform the sizing and siting of batteries. With this decomposition, we model a year of hourly operational decisions to inform optimal battery placement for a 240-bus WECC model in under 70 min of wall-clock time.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Thermal energy storage in concrete utilizing a thermosiphon heat exchanger

The performance of a lab-scale concrete thermal energy storage (TES) module with a 2-kWh thermal capacity is evaluated at temperatures up to 400 °C. The TES module uses conventional normal weight concrete with thermal and mechanical properties that are tailored for use as a solid thermal energy storage media. A thermosiphon heat exchanger is used to provide rapid heat transfer into the concrete module, which is reinforced with a steel pipe outer shell. The charging and discharging cycles are examined to assess the thermal performance of the concrete and thermosiphon. Based on the results of testing, the thermosiphon is able to repeatably charge the concrete module from 300 to 400 °C over a 4-h period. After 2250 total hours of charge and discharge cycles, there was no observed delamination between the concrete and the thermosiphon or the steel jacket reinforcement. Non-destructive measurements of the concrete indicated no significant degradation of the solid storage media. The experimental results are then used to validate a numerical model of the concrete TES module for parametric study. Finally, varying insulation conditions were analyzed using this model to determine practical configurations for regular operation of the proposed concrete TES module.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Off-design operation and performance of pumped thermal energy storage

In this article, we describe off-design models and control strategies for a Pumped Thermal Energy Storage (PTES) system that uses liquid thermal energy storage: specifically molten salt for hot storage and methanol for cold storage. Off-design conditions arise when load-following, or due to variations in storage tank temperatures or ambient temperatures. We propose a control strategy that uses inventory control to manage the mass flow rate in the thermodynamic cycles, which facilitates load following. We also propose a control strategy for the storage fluid mass flow rates, which are varied to ensure the molten salt is maintained at its design temperature. This maximizes efficiency and minimizes problems with salt freezing or degradation. The cold storage fluid mass flow rate is varied so that the cold tanks have the same state-of-charge as the hot tanks. This leads to variations in cold fluid temperature, but these variations are shown to be acceptably small (e.g. 7.5% increase), and this control method is shown to be simpler and more efficient than an alternative strategy where tanks become unbalanced. The ambient temperature and storage tank temperatures are moved ±50 °C from the design values and the impact on power, duration, and tank temperatures is quantified. Results demonstrate that the proposed control strategy is stable and self-correcting - that is, storage temperatures converge on stable values after two-to-three charge-discharge cycles. When inputs return to design values, the system returns to its design point after two charge-discharge cycles. We also demonstrate that inventory control enables delivery of the target power output even when off-design conditions exist that would normally reduce the power output.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Advanced diagnostics to evaluate heterogeneity in lithium-ion battery modules

Battery packs for electric and stationary applications experience varied operating conditions, including abuse—e.g., fast charging, overcharging, thermal, vibration, shock, etc.—throughout their lifetimes. Innovative diagnostic tools and algorithms that go beyond single cells and deal with modules and packs are essential for early detection of off-normal issues. High-resolution tools with known detection limits are key to developing appropriate mitigation strategies. With the advent of rapid impedance spectroscopy that can generate a broadband impedance spectrum in ~10 sec, the case for impedance-based diagnostics that can be readily aligned with other methods, such as incremental capacity or dQ.dV -1 , has become promising. This study used the aforementioned diagnostic methods to identify realistic in-vehicle battery abnormalities (e.g., localized self-discharge and non-uniform aging), in series (up to 10S) and parallel (4P) strings, using 16 Ah graphite/NMC cells. The impedance-based diagnostic is found to be sensitive to the string size and state. Depending on the type of abnormality, detection frequency varied. The dQ.dV -1 method showed the potential to detect long-term aging-related heterogeneity in modules. In general, both the impedance and dQ.dV -1 methods were able to detect series strings’ abnormalities, but struggled to find those issues within parallel modules.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Propagation of elastic waves in a flexomagnetic solid

Flexomagnetism is the coupling between magnetism and strain gradients and is a technologically relevant phenomenon. We present a theory of elastic wave propagation in a linear elastic flexomagnetic material with microstructure and strain gradient elastic interactions. The expressions of frequency, phase velocity, and group velocity of longitudinal and transverse waves are derived and are shown to depend on the flexomagnetic coefficient and microstructure. We also show that the effect of flexomagnetism and microstructure can lead to some interesting phenomena in wave propagation, which are not observed in classical linear elasticity theory of waves. Specifically, in contrast to classical linear elastic materials, where wave propagation is non-dispersive, flexomagnetic materials with microstructure can exhibit both normal and abnormal dispersion. It is also noteworthy that, in flexomagnetic materials with gradient elasticity, the phase velocities of transverse waves can exceed those of longitudinal waves, which is atypical in classical elasticity. Furthermore, waves can also attenuate for a certain range of wavenumbers that depend on the flexomagnetic coefficient and microstructural parameters. Finally, we explore the possibility of waves exhibiting zero group velocity modes, where waves are non-propagating but have strong local energy confinement, negative group velocity modes, where the wave packet moves in the opposite direction to that of wave propagation, and the phenomenon of wave freezing, where a propagating wave stops in space without diffusing or spreading.

Ghosh, Swarnava [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000338005264)↗

Solution of the linear wave-particle kinetic equation for global modes of arbitrary frequency in a tokamak

The linear response of a plasma to perturbations of arbitrary frequency and wavelength is derived for any axisymmetric magnetized toroidal plasma. An explicit transformation to action-angle coordinates is achieved using orthogonal magnetic coordinates and the Littlejohn Lagrangian, establishing the validity of this result to arbitrary order in normalized Larmor radius. The global resonance condition for compressional modes is clarified in more detail than in previous works, confirming that the poloidal orbit-average of the cyclotron frequency gives the desired result at lowest order in Larmor radius. The global plasma response to the perturbation at each resonance is captured by a poloidal and gyroaverage of the perturbing potential. A “global gyroaveraging” of the potential is a natural by-product of this analysis which takes into account the changing of the magnetic field over an orbit. The resonance condition depends on two arbitrary integers which completely separately capture the effects poloidal non-uniformity and finite Larmor radius in generating sidebands. We learn that poloidal sidebands generated for compressional modes are dominated by the change in gyrofrequency over the orbit, which is very different to shear modes where the gyrofrequency only contributes via a finite Larmor radius effect. This increases the number of bounce harmonics required to compute the linear drive, giving a more complicated resonance map. An example calculation is given comparing resonance of shear and compressional modes in a published DIII-D case.

Compressional↗

Effects of molar expansion ratio of fuels on engine efficiency

Fuel properties have a strong impact on the efficiency of internal combustion engines. Contrary to other physical and thermochemical fuel properties, the molar expansion ratio is normally ignored. Molar expansion ratio is the ratio of number of moles of the products to the reactants. In this work, the impact of the fuel’s molar expansion ratio on engine efficiency is investigated. Findings are based on simulations of a spark ignition engine using different fuels (standard fuels and user-defined fuels) and different dilution ratios. Simulations without heat transfer and friction were performed first. The combustion then takes place at top dead center with a very short combustion duration to approach the ideal Otto cycle. The heat transfer and friction were then added step by step. From this analysis, it could be concluded that the heat loss and friction work decrease as molar expansion ratio increases. The gross indicated and brake thermal efficiencies thus increase. User-defined fuels with different molar expansion ratio, but the same physical and thermochemical properties were then employed. The simulated results showed that the brake thermal efficiency increases by around 1.15% with an increase in molar expansion ratio of 0.02 compared to a fuel with a molar expansion ratio of unity. Lastly, the simulation was also done with air and exhaust gas recirculation dilution.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Effect of fuel composition and EGR on spark-ignited engine combustion with LPG fueling: Experimental and numerical investigation

This paper presents an experimental and numerical investigation of a spark-ignited (SI) cooperative fuel research (CFR) engine fueled with different liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) fuels and exhaust gas recirculation (EGR). Here, the effects of LPG fuel composition on engine combustion characteristics are initially evaluated at two different compression ratios (CR). Results show normal combustion at CR 7 and heavy knocking combustion at CR 10 for all the tested fuels, with a more substantial impact for the LPG fuel with high proportions of n-butane species. The Livengood-Wu (LW) integral method is then used to analyze the knock occurrence risk of individual fuel based on the reactivity of the tested fuels. The introduction of EGR then demonstrates the potential of knock intensity reduction below the borderline knock limit. A zonal-based kinetic interactions study is also performed to understand the knock mitigation effectiveness of EGR over the pressure–temperature domain relevant to SI engine operation. Finally, a multidimensional, computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulation model is shown to predict the LPG combustion characteristics and presents the evolution of in-cylinder temperature and chemical species to demonstrate the development of end-gas autoignition events without and with EGR.

02 PETROLEUM↗

Low-carbon fuels for spark-ignited engines: A comparative study of compressed natural gas and liquefied petroleum gas on a CFR engine with exhaust gas recirculation

Decades of work on low-carbon fuels have established their potential for substantial emissions reductions; however, their adoption is still limited by infrastructure concerns and engine efficiency deficits. As infrastructures have begun to evolve, research on strategies that maximize engine efficiency through interactions with fuel properties must also now take center place. This paper compares the performance, emissions, and combustion characteristics of two forefront low-carbon fuels: compressed natural gas (CNG) and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) in a cooperative fuel research (CFR) engine over a range of compression ratios and engine loads. The effects of exhaust gas recirculation (EGR), end-gas auto-ignition, and a novel combustion control tool, the combustion intensity metric (CIM), were also evaluated at different stoichiometric engine operating conditions. In comparison to LPG, CNG operation demonstrated an extended knock-free regime, allowing engine operation at higher engine loads and compression ratios, but LPG operation exhibited enhanced combustion characteristics with higher peak pressures and faster apparent heat release rates (AHRR). LPG operation achieved higher brake thermal efficiencies and lower equivalent CO 2 emissions compared to CNG operation at the tested engine loads and compression ratios. LPG demonstrated significantly higher EGR tolerance limits compared to CNG, with a maximum of 28% EGR rate, compared to 23% for CNG. This improved EGR dilution tolerance was responsible for a 90% reduction in NOx emissions for LPG compared to a maximum of 70% with CNG. EGR dilution also exhibited more effective knock mitigation potential with LPG, suppressing knock intensity values by up to 98% and transitioning the engine operation towards normal combustion from heavy knocking conditions. As a result, the CIM was found to decrease burn durations and improve the quality of combustion by controlling the desired fraction of end-gas auto-ignition.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Advances and challenges in KSTAR plasma control toward long-pulse, high-performance experiments

An overview of advances and progress on the KSTAR plasma control improvement is given. The enhancement of the KSTAR plasma control system (PCS) continues in order to enable implementations of more sophisticated control algorithms and capabilities of integrated controls on magnets, gas, heating and off-normal event handling. Features and functionalities on the generic magnetic controls, kinetic controls and new fault scheme design are added for the operation space expansion, mainly regarding recent achievements of higher plasma current up to 1.0–1.2MA, high-performance long pulse up to 90s, and discharges relevant to ITER. Technical challenges and prospective upgrades in the near future are described.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Demonstration of RELAP5-3D for transient analysis of a dual coolant lead lithium fusion blanket concept

Our research aims to build a multiphysics framework for transient analysis of the Dual- Coolant Lead-Lithium (DCLL) blanket design of the proposed Fusion Nuclear Science Facility (FNSF) for all Onticipated Operational Occurrences (AOOs) using Reduced Order Models (ROMs). This paper presents an assessment of using RELAP5-3D for transient thermal-hydraulic blanket analysis of the DCLL design. Preliminary validation studies for the RELAP5-3D properties were conducted using a representative vertical flow loop model and a comparison study using experimental data from the thermal convection corrosion loops at ORNL. These studies inspected the thermal hydraulic response of Lead-Lithium Eutectic (PbLi) systems within the RELAP5-3D code; mainly pressure drop and heat transfer, as compared to analytical calculations and experimental data. The Magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) pressure drop effect for liquid metal under the effects of a uniform magnetic field was implemented into our models using an equivalent forms loss coefficient based on the phasic momentum equations. We verified our implementation of MHD pressure drop within RELAP5-3D using a systematic approach consisting of two studies. Models were developed to perform comparison studies based on experimental data from the Argonne Liquid metal EXperiment (ALEX) facility and the Magnetohydrodynamic PbLi Experiment (MaPLE) facility. Using the developed validation basis, we built a simplified DCLL channel model within RELAP5-3D, inspected MHD pressure drop and performed transient temperature analysis. The DCLL channel model used radial heating data from the International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor (ITER) which was normalized to the FNSF design. Here, a representative startup transient was performed using a relative power curve from the initial ramp up of a long-term power pulse of the Tore Supra reactor. This study demonstrated that RELAP5-3D ROMs are capable of accurate transient analysis of the DCLL blanket. We have since utilized MCNP to develop heating profiles based on the FNSF design and are working toward implementing them into our DCLL model.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

MELCOR-TMAP: The integration of MELCOR for fusion and TMAP4 for fusion reactor systems safety analysis and tritium inventory tracking

The design of fusion reactors requires the prediction of radioactive tritium migration during normal operating conditions and accident scenarios. Safety standards such as those from the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) require that fusion reactor designs limit the release of hazardous material to the environment. In addition to safety requirements, the rarity of tritium supplies for burning D-T fusion plasma requires tritium breeding blankets. Computational modeling of migration of tritium and various reaction products throughout the fusion reactor serves to create designs that fulfill these requirements. MELCOR-TMAP, owned and developed at Idaho National Laboratory (INL), is an integrated system-level engineering code adapted for the analysis of fusion reactor systems. The history of the conception and evolution of the MELCOR-TMAP code, as well as its current capabilities, recent updates including a corrected composite material wall nodalization scheme, and plans for future development, are discussed here.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Model predictive current profile control in tokamaks by exploiting spatially moving electron cyclotron current drives

The plasma control systems in next-generation tokamaks like ITER will balance competing control objectives to achieve the desired level of performance in advanced scenarios while preventing magnetohydrodynamic instabilities and disruptions. During normal tokamak operation, the points of incidence of the electromagnetic waves generated by the electron cyclotron heating and current drives (EC H&CDs) are usually fixed in space. However, the points of incidence can be modified in real-time by changing the angles of the mirrors that reflect the EC H&CD waves. Altering the points of incidence, in turn, varies the ability of the plasma control system to regulate a plasma property. For instance, changing the EC H&CD wave incidence location may place the power demands necessary to achieve a particular plasma target within saturation limits. Therefore, using the EC H&CD deposition location, which is related to the EC H&CD mirror angle, as a supplementary controllable variable may facilitate access to a given target scenario. However, active scenario-control algorithms have not been designed so far to fully exploit this capability in real time. In this work, a model predictive controller that can handle actuation locations as control inputs is developed. In particular, the controller is designed to regulate both the auxiliary powers and the EC H&CD deposition locations in a pre-defined optimal sense to achieve the control objective of attaining and sustaining a target current profile. Further, the proposed controller is tested for a DIII-D tokamak scenario in nonlinear simulations using the Control Oriented Transport SIMulator (COTSIM).

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Models implemented in the methodological approach to design the initial STEP first wall contour

The official Spherical Tokamak for Energy Production mission aims to demonstrate the ability to generate net electricity from fusion with the STEP Prototype Power plant. One of the key technological and engineering challenges in fusion power plants is managing the loads on the first wall within acceptable limits. Therefore, the conceptual design development of the STEP Prototype Power plant needs to be based on load estimates derived using legitimate plasma physics assumptions through dynamic and flexible tools. The current design foresees the STEP main chamber first wall to withstand steady-state heat loads of up to ~1 MW/m 2 , excluding critical regions expected to receive higher heat loads such as the baffle regions approaching the divertors. These critical areas will require ad hoc assessments and will be designed with the presence of limiters. This article focuses on the models and methodology adopted for designing the 2-D poloidal contour of the STEP first wall, based on the anticipated charged particle and radiation heat loads during normal operation. Firstly, the models adopted for calculating the charged particle and radiation heat loads are introduced. The first model is validated through benchmarking against the particle tracing code SMARDDA, while the second model is verified by comparing it with data from the MAST-U experiment. Secondly, the model used to design the 2-D first wall contour according to the heat loads is explained. We acknowledge that this preliminary design stage assumes certain simplifications, notably an axisymmetric geometry, for computational efficiency and clarity in presentation. It is understood that subsequent design phases will address the complexities of real-world engineering, including non-axisymmetric effects, transient plasma scenarios, and the impact of disruptions on the first wall design. Finally, an automatic procedure based on these models is presented for defining the 2-D poloidal contour of the STEP first wall to minimize heat loads, taking into account the need to radiate most of the alpha-particle and auxiliary heating power. Here, by providing an overview of the models, methodology, and an automatic procedure, this paper contributes to the design process of the STEP first wall, addressing the engineering challenges associated with fusion power plant development.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗