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At least 1,585 records · Page 88

Sensitivity of Precipitation in Coupled Land-Atmosphere Models

The project objective was to understand mechanisms by which atmosphere-land-ocean processes impact precipitation in the mean climate and interannual variations, focusing on tropical and subtropical regions. A combination of modeling tools was used: an intermediate complexity land-atmosphere model developed at UCLA known as the QTCM and the NASA Seasonal-to-Interannual Prediction Program general circulation model (NSIPP GCM). The intermediate complexity model was used to develop hypotheses regarding the physical mechanisms and theory for the interplay of large-scale dynamics, convective heating, cloud radiative effects and land surface feedbacks. The theoretical developments were to be confronted with diagnostics from the more complex GCM to validate or modify the theory.

Neelin, David↗

Engineering description of the OMS/RCS/DAP modes used in the HP-9825A High Fidelity Relative Motion Program (HFRMP)

Simplified mathematical models are reported for the space shuttle's Orbital Maneuvering System (OMS), Reaction Control System (RCS), and on-orbit Digital Autopilot (DAP) that have been incorporated in the High-Fidelity Relative Motion Program (HFRMP) for the HP-9825A desk-top calculator. Comparisons were made between data generated by the HFRMP and by the Space Shuttle Functional Simulator (SSFS), which models the cited shuttle systems in much greater detail. These data include propellant requirements for representative translational maneuvers, rotational maneuvers, and attitude maintenance options. Also included are data relating to on-orbit trajectory deviations induced by RCS translational cross coupling. Potential close-range stationkeeping problems that are suggested by HFRMP simulations of 80 millisecond (as opposed to 40 millisecond) DAP cycle effects are described. The principal function of the HFRMP is to serve as a flight design tool in the area of proximity operations.

Wilson, S. W.↗

Response Of Ceramic Insulation To Aerothermodynamic Heating

Thermal conductivities determined from engineering model used to predict accurately thermal responses of multicomponent insulation on spacecraft. Types of insulation studied include such composite parts as alumina-enhanced thermal barrier backed by low-density fibrous refractory material. Internal responses of various types of multicomponent insulation to aerothermodynamic heating calculated with help of computer program that implements engineering model for thermal conductivity. Transfer of heat by internal radiation plays major role in responses of fibrous materials at high temperatures and incorporated into model and program. Used in future spacecraft and exposed during reentry and aerobraking maneuvers in outer atmosphere to environments even harsher than that of Space Shuttle.

Stewart, David A.↗

Analytical model for liquid rocket propellant feedline dynamics

A generalized analytical model and computer program have been developed to predict the frequency response of arbitrary liquid propellant feedline designs. The analytical model is based on an extension of an existing distributed parameter representation of a viscous fluid transmission line with laminar flow which was modified to include the effects of a turbulent mean flow. The effects of dissolved ullage gases, wall elasticity, localized gas or vapor bubbles, bellows, forced changes in length due to structural excitation, complex side branches, and structural mounting stiffness are also included. Each line component is written as a four-terminal, pressure-flow relationship in matrix form in the Laplace domain; the transfer function relating the pressure response at the line terminal (inducer inlet) to the external excitation is obtained in the computer program by sequential matrix substitution.

Holster, J. L.↗

Prediction and uncertainty quantification of shale well performance using multifidelity Monte Carlo

Uncertainty quantification is an integral component of reservoir management, especially considering the inherent uncertainty in subsurface systems. While a standard practice to estimate the uncertainty, Monte Carlo (MC) simulation is computationally intense when the sampling population comprises high-fidelity simulations. Alternatively, the Multi-fidelity Monte Carlo (MFMC) simulation overcomes this computational intensity by integrating low- and high-fidelity simulations. Our goal is to minimize the number of expensive high-fidelity simulations while maintaining accuracy and using numerous fast and cheap low-fidelity simulations to efficiently sample to input parameter space of interest. We selected gas production from unconventional wells to demonstrate the potential speedups and accuracy of the MFMC approach. The model fidelity usually determines the trade-off between accuracy and efficiency. While the high-fidelity model is more accurate, the low-fidelity model is more efficient. Our high-fidelity simulation includes reservoir simulations of a hydraulically fractured well. On the other hand, our low-fidelity model comprises the parallel-plate flow model. We used differential programming to efficiently solve the 1D flow model, where automatic differentiation is used to efficiently compute the gradients. We matched the production profile of high-fidelity simulations with our low-fidelity simulations. Then, we used a support vector regression to map the high- and low-fidelity input parameters. The mapping function is essential to tune the low-dimensional parameter space of the low-fidelity model to the high-dimensional parameter space of the high-fidelity model. We found that we can use a combination of 9 high fidelity and 10,000 low fidelity simulations to efficiently and accurately simulate pressure management. This method is at least two orders of magnitude faster than only using high-fidelity simulations. Finally, from a broader perspective, MFMC could efficiently estimate the uncertainty of various systems and models, integrating low- and high-fidelity models.

04 OIL SHALES AND TAR SANDS↗

High-Fidelity Multiphysics Modeling of a Heat Pipe Microreactor Using BlueCrab

Researchers who are actively developing nuclear microreactors are planning to employ innovative designs and features using traditional commercial modeling tools that may be inadequate for their design and licensing activities. The codes developed under the U.S. Department of Energy Office of Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program provide flexibility in terms of geometry modeling and multiphysics coupling and are particularly well suited for modeling novel microreactor concepts. To test the maturity of these codes, this paper introduces a conceptual heat pipe microreactor (HP-MR) designed to gather various technologies of interest to microreactor developers such as control drums, heat pipes, and hydride moderators. Here, the objective of this effort is to demonstrate NEAMS tools capability to perform high-fidelity multiphysics simulations, using coupled neutronics (via the Griffin code), heat conduction (via the BISON code), heat pipe modeling (via the Sockeye code), and hydrogen redistribution in hydride metal moderator (via the SWIFT code). Codes are coupled in-memory through the Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) framework, which permits flexible multiphysics data transfer schemes. The analysis confirmed two key aspects of the HP-MR concept: (1) its ability to follow the power load requested from the heat pipe and (2) its ability to avoid heat pipe cascading failure unless designed with high power close to operating failure limits of its heat pipes. The developed computational model was distributed publicly on the Virtual Test Bed for training purposes to accelerate adoption by industry and to provide a high-fidelity multiphysics solution for benchmarking against other tools. Additional multiphysics analyses including other transients and coupled physics were identified as necessary future work, together with a focus on validating multiphysics behavior against experiments.

Microreactor↗

Assessment of Fast Reactor Hot Channel Factor Calculation Capability in Griffin and NekRS

The DOE-NE Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program develops, demonstrates, and deploys predictive computational modeling tools for nuclear reactor design and analysis. Under the Fast Reactor Applications activity within the Application Drivers Technical Area of NEAMS, the ability to perform high fidelity “hot channel factor” (HCF) coupled multiphysics simulations has been identified as a valuable simulation capability.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Multiphysics Analysis of Load Following and Safety Transients for MicroReactors

The tools developed within the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Office of Nuclear Energy’s Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program aim at providing high fidelity multiphysics modeling capabilities to support design and licensing of various types of advanced nuclear reactors, including the technologies being developed by U.S. microreactor vendors relying on heat pipe and gas-cooled technologies. In FY-2022, the NEAMS Multiphysics Applications team made significant progress both in demonstrating capabilities applied to microreactor problems, and in supporting NEAMS developers.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Overview of the fatigue/fracture/life working group program at the Lewis Research Center

Constitutive and life prediction models are developed and verified for materials typically used in hot gas path components of reusable space propulsion systems over the range of relevant operating environments. The efforts were centered on the development of crack initiation life prediction methods, while the efforts of a counterpart group were centered on the development of cyclic crack propagation life prediction methods. The complexion of the active tasks are presented. A significant new task started this year will incorporate the various material constitutive and life prediction models developed in this program into a comprehensive creep-fatigue damage analysis and life assessment computer code. The program will function as a postprocessor to general structural analysis programs (such as finite element or boundary element codes) using the output of such analyses (stress, strain, and temperature fields as functions of time) as the input to the damage analysis and life assessment code. The code will be designed to execute on engineering/scientific workstations and will feature a windowing, mouse-driven user interface. Current plans call for the code to be finished and made available for use in mid 1991.

Mcgaw, Michael A.↗

A comparative survey of current and proposed tropospheric refraction-delay models for DSN radio metric data calibration

The standard tropospheric calibration model implemented in the operational Orbit Determination Program is the seasonal model developed by C. C. Chao in the early 1970's. The seasonal model has seen only slight modification since its release, particularly in the format and content of the zenith delay calibrations. Chao's most recent standard mapping tables, which are used to project the zenith delay calibrations along the station-to-spacecraft line of sight, have not been modified since they were first published in late 1972. This report focuses principally on proposed upgrades to the zenith delay mapping process, although modeling improvements to the zenith delay calibration process are also discussed. A number of candidate approximation models for the tropospheric mapping are evaluated, including the semi-analytic mapping function of Lanyi, and the semi-empirical mapping functions of Davis, et. al.('CfA-2.2'), of Ifadis (global solution model), of Herring ('MTT'), and of Niell ('NMF'). All of the candidate mapping functions are superior to the Chao standard mapping tables and approximation formulas when evaluated against the current Deep Space Network Mark 3 intercontinental very long baselines interferometry database.

Estefan, J. A.↗

Improving Land-Surface Model Hydrology: Is an Explicit Aquifer Model Better than a Deeper Soil Profile?

Land surface models (LSMs) are computer programs, similar to weather and climate prediction models, which simulate the storage and movement of water (including soil moisture, snow, evaporation, and runoff) after it falls to the ground as precipitation. It is not currently possible to measure all of the variables of interest everywhere on Earth with sufficient accuracy. Hence LSMs have been developed to integrate the available information, including satellite observations, using powerful computers, in order to track water storage and redistribution. The maps are used to improve weather forecasts, support water resources and agricultural applications, and study the Earth's water cycle and climate variability. Recently, the models have begun to simulate groundwater storage. In this paper, we compare several possible approaches, and examine the pitfalls associated with trying to estimate aquifer parameters (such as porosity) that are required by the models. We find that explicit representation of groundwater, as opposed to the addition of deeper soil layers, considerably decreases the sensitivity of modeled terrestrial water storage to aquifer parameter choices. We also show that approximate knowledge of parameter values is not sufficient to guarantee realistic model performance: because interaction among parameters is significant, they must be prescribed as a harmonious set.

Gulden, L. E.↗

Analysis of Multiple Precipitation Products and Preliminary Assessment of Their Impact on Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS) Land Surface States

Land surface models (LSMs) are computer programs, similar to weather and climate prediction models, which simulate the stocks and fluxes of water (including soil moisture, snow, evaporation, and runoff) and energy (including the temperature of and sensible heat released from the soil) after they arrive on the land surface as precipitation and sunlight. It is not currently possible to measure all of the variables of interest everywhere on Earth with sufficient accuracy and space-time resolution. Hence LSMs have been developed to integrate the available observations with our understanding of the physical processes involved, using powerful computers, in order to map these stocks and fluxes as they change in time. The maps are used to improve weather forecasts, support water resources and agricultural applications, and study the Earth's water cycle and climate variability. NASA's Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS) project facilitates testing of several different LSMs with a variety of input datasets (e.g., precipitation, plant type). Precipitation is arguably the most important input to LSMs. Many precipitation datasets have been produced using satellite and rain gauge observations and weather forecast models. In this study, seven different global precipitation datasets were evaluated over the United States, where dense rain gauge networks contribute to reliable precipitation maps. We then used the seven datasets as inputs to GLDAS simulations, so that we could diagnose their impacts on output stocks and fluxes of water. In terms of totals, the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) Merged Analysis of Precipitation (CMAP) had the closest agreement with the US rain gauge dataset for all seasons except winter. The CMAP precipitation was also the most closely correlated in time with the rain gauge data during spring, fall, and winter, while the satellitebased estimates performed best in summer. The GLDAS simulations revealed that modeled soil moisture is highly sensitive to precipitation, with differences in spring and summer as large as 45% depending on the choice of precipitation input.

Gottschalck, Jon↗

Evaluation of Ten Methods for Initializing a Land Surface Model

Land surface models (LSMs) are computer programs, similar to weather and climate prediction models, which simulate the stocks and fluxes of water (including soil moisture, snow, evaporation, and runoff) and energy (including the temperature of and sensible heat released from the soil) after they arrive on the land surface as precipitation and sunlight. It is not currently possible to measure all of the variables of interest everywhere on Earth with sufficient accuracy and space-time resolution. Hence LSMs have been developed to integrate the available observations with our understanding of the physical processes involved, using powerful computers, in order to map these stocks and fluxes as they change in time. The maps are used to improve weather forecasts, support water resources and agricultural applications, and study the Earth"s water cycle and climate variability. NASA"s Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS) project facilitates testing of several different LSMs with a variety of input datasets (e.g., precipitation, plant type).

Rodell, M.↗

Jet Noise Prediction Comparisons with Scale Model Tests and Learjet Flyover Data

Recent interest in commercial supersonic flight has highlighted the need to accurately predict Effective Perceived Noise Levels (EPNL) for aircraft and, since the dominant noise source at takeoff will likely be jet noise, specifically jet noise contributions. The current study compares predictions from historical jet-noise models within NASA’s Aircraft Noise Prediction Program and scale-model data to measurements made in a Learjet 25 flight test. The noise levels from the predictions and scale-model data were below those for the flight data by 2.5 – 3.5, 1 – 2, and 3 – 5 EPNdB for the SAE model, the Stone Jet model, and the scale-model data, respectively. Tones and broadband haystacks were identified in the flight spectra that are not associated with jet noise which increased the flight EPNL by at least 0.5 EPNdB over that computed from spectra with the tones and haystacks removed. The study highlights the need for accurate exhaust temperature measurements, aircraft flight position information, and averaging data across a line of microphones in flight tests. For example, a 100° F to 200° F difference in jet exhaust temperature is enough to explain the differences between flight, model scale, and prediction comparisons.

Henderson, Brenda↗

Jet Noise Prediction Comparisons with Scale Model Tests and Learjet Flyover Data

Recent interest in commercial supersonic flight has highlighted the need to accurately predict Effective Perceived Noise Levels (EPNL) for aircraft and, since the dominant noise source at takeoff will likely be jet noise, specifically jet noise contributions. The current study compares predictions from historical jet-noise models within NASA’s Aircraft Noise Prediction Program and scale-model data to measurements made in a Learjet 25 flight test. The noise levels from the predictions and scale-model data were below those for the flight data by 2.5 – 3.5, 1 – 2, and 3 – 5 EPNdB for the SAE model, the Stone Jet model, and the scale-model data, respectively. Tones and broadband haystacks were identified in the flight spectra that are not associated with jet noise which increased the flight EPNL by at least 0.5 EPNdB over that computed from spectra with the tones and haystacks removed. The study highlights the need for accurate exhaust temperature measurements, aircraft flight position information, and averaging data across a line of microphones in flight tests. For example, a 100° F to 200° F difference in jet exhaust temperature is enough to explain the differences between flight, model scale, and prediction comparisons.

Henderson, Brenda↗

Meso-scale modeling of UO2 nuclear fuel to high burnup

To improve the economics of light water reactors for commercial nuclear energy generation, utility operators are seeking to obtain regulatory approval to run UO2 fuel to higher levels of burnup. One potential impediment to obtaining this approval is the phenomenon of fuel fragmentation, relocation, and dispersal (FFRD). FFRD can result when fuel experiences a rapid temperature transient, such as that occurring during a Loss Of Coolant Accident (LOCA). FFRD has historically been most associated with the rim region in UO2 fuel pellets, where the phenomenon of fragmentation is also referred to as pulverization due to the small size of the fragments. More recent evidence suggests that the so-called “dark zone” (due to its appearance in micrographs) that can be observed in the mid-radial regions of high burnup fuel is also susceptible to FFRD. Although empirical fuel performance models have been developed that can adequately predict pulverization in the rim region under typical LWR conditions, a scientific understanding of what underlies fuel restructuring and subsequent FFRD is lacking even in the rim region, and no models are currently available for the behavior the dark zone. To address these challenges, the U.S. Department of Energy’s Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program has employed a multi-scale modeling approach to improve scientific understanding and develop new fuel performance models. In this talk, I will focus on meso-scale efforts, which form a crucial link between atomic-scale and engineering-scale models. Phase-field modeling combined with cluster dynamics is used to predict the restructuring process in the rim region. Phase-field fracture modeling, informed by atomistic simulations, is used to predict the onset of pulverization in the rim region. Combining these techniques together allows the extent of rim pulverization to be predicted. The formation and evolution of the dark zone has also been simulated with the phase-field method, using an improved approach to vacancy source term parameterization. The work shows the important impact of microstructure on fuel performance.

fracture↗