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The size and spatial distribution of collisional debris from main belt asteroids is modeled over a 10 million year period. The model dust and meteoroid particles spiral toward the Sun under the action of Poynting-Robertson drag and grind down as they collide with a static background of field particles.
The discovery rate of Near-Earth Asteroids (NEA's) has increased significantly in the last decade. As greater numbers of NEA's are discovered, worldwide interest has grown leading to new programs. With the introduction of CCD telescopes throughout the world, an increase of 1-2 orders of magnitude in the discovery rate can be anticipated. Nevertheless, it will take several decades of dedicated searching to accomplish a 95 percent completeness, even for large objects.
The improved proper elements of 4100 numbered asteroids have been searched for clusterings in a, e, i space using a computer technique based on the D-criterion. A list of 14 dynamical families each with more than 15 members is presented. Quantitative measurements of the density and dimensions in phase space of each family are presented.
It is shown that a generalization of the use of 'Vaisala orbits', briefly mentioned at the Asteroids 2 Conference, can be very conveniently accomplished by means of an inversion of the 'GEM' form of the Gauss method. The procedure can also be applied to Apollo objects and to indeterminate cases of normal three-observation orbit computation, and there is also a simple extension to situations involving four or more observations.
Definition of the Low Earth Orbit (LEO) particulate environment has been refined considerably with the analysis of data from NASA's Long Duration Exposure Facility (LDEF). Measurements of the impact rates from particulates ranging from sub-micron to millimetres in dimension and, especially, information on their directionality has permitted new scrunity of the sources of the particulates. Modelling of the dynamics of both bound (Earth orbital) and unbound (hyperbolic interplanetary) particulates intercepting LDEF's faces leads to the conclusion that the source is dominantly interplanetary for particle dimensions of greater than some 5 microns diameter; however the anisotropy below this dimension demands lower velocities and is compatible with an orbital component. Characteristics of the LDEF interplanetary component are compatible with familiar meteoroid sources and deep space measurements. Understanding of the orbital component which exceeds the interplanetary flux by a factor of 4 is less clear; although the very small particulates in orbit have been associated with space debris (Lawrance and Brownlee, 1986) this data conflicts with other measurements (McDonnell, Carey and Dixon, 1984) at the same epoch. By analysis of trajectories approaching the Earth and its atmosphere, we have shown that a significant contribution could be captured by aerocapture, i.e., atmospheric drag, from either asteroidal or cometary sources; such enhancement is unlikely however to provide the temporal and spatial fluctuations observed by the LDEF Interplanetary Dust Experiment (Mullholland et al. 1992). A further new mechanism is also examined, that of aerofragmentation capture, where an atmospheric grazing trajectory, which would not normally lead to capture, leads to fragmentation by thermal or mechanical shock; the microparticulates thus created can be injected in large numbers, but only into short-lifetime orbits. The concentration in one particular orbit plane, could explain the temporal fluctuations seen on LDEF; space debris could also explain the phenomenon.
We present a rigorous Bayesian theory for asteroid orbital error estimation in which the probability density of the orbital elements is derived from the noise statistics of the observations. For Gaussian noise in a linearized approximation the probability density is also Gaussian, and the errors of the orbital elements at a given epoch are fully described by the covariance matrix. The law of error propagation can then be applied to calculate past and future positional uncertainty ellipsoids (Cappellari et al. 1976, Yeomans et al. 1987, Whipple et al. 1991). To our knowledge, this is the first time a Bayesian approach has been formulated for orbital element estimation. In contrast to the classical Fisherian school of statistics, the Bayesian school allows a priori information to be formally present in the final estimation. However, Bayesian estimation does give the same results as Fisherian estimation when no priori information is assumed (Lehtinen 1988, and reference therein).
In this paper we propose a new method for photographic astrometric observations of asteroids. We discuss its advantages and disadvantages and compare them to the advantages and disadvantages of the classical photographic methods. The new method is best suited for observations on a spot where no CCD cameras, blink or stereo comparators are available and when a fast detection of unknown objects is required.
The shadow-hiding models for the opposition effect and negative polarization of atmosphereless solar system bodies do not explain some experimental findings, such as the enhancing opposition effect and negative polarization with decreasing particle size down to wavelength scales. The enhancement for laboratory photometric and polarimetric data on artificial glass samples with different particle size is shown. These results are in agreement with the so-called coherent backscattering or interference mechanism proposed for the interpretation of the opposition effect and negative polarization. Two different approaches for describing the opposition effect and negative polarization produced by the shadow-interference mechanism were developed. One is based on exact electromagnetic solutions for simple scattering systems that include dipole-dipole and dipole-surface coupling; The other is based on a point-scatterer approximation characterized by model photometric and polarimetric phase functions, and the mutual shadowing effect is derived using virtual volumes associated with the point-scatterers. Both approaches yield qualitatively similar results, although neither is entirely satisfactory. We regard them as prototypes for a future unified model of shadowing and coherent backscattering. The sharp opposition effect of 44 Nysa and the asteroid albedo-polarization rule are here explained using the point-scatterer approach.
A three-dimensional smoothed particle hydrodynamics code was used to model normal and oblique impacts of silicate projectiles on asteroidal and planetary bodies. The energy of the system, initially in the kinetic energy of the impactor, is partitioned after impact into internal and kinetic energy of the impactor and the target body. These simulations show that, unlike the case of impacts onto a half-space, a significant amount of energy remains in the kinetic energy of the impacting body, as parts of it travel past the main planet and escape the system. This effect is greater for more oblique impacts, and for impacts onto the small planets. Melting and vaporization of both bodies were also examined. The amount of the target body melted was much greater in the case of smaller targets than for an impact of a similar scale on a larger body.
The evolution of minor planets in the outer part of the asteroid belt is considered. In the framework of the semi-averaged elliptic restricted three-dimensional three-body model, the boundary of regions of the Hill's stability is found. As was shown in our work, the Jacobian integral exists.
The Comet Rendezvous Asteroid Flyby (CRAF) mission was approved for a New Start by the United States Congress in 1989. CRAF will be developed in parallel with the Cassini (Saturn orbiter/Titan probe) mission. The two missions have been combined into a joint program because of the substantial cost savings (approximately $500 M, or greater than 25 percent) which can be realized by using a common spacecraft design, several identical science instruments, a single management team, and a joint ground operations and data handling system for the two missions. CRAF and Cassini will be the first users of the new Mariner Mark 2 spacecraft which has been designed to carry out the next generation of planetary missions to the outer planets and to small bodies. CRAF is a joint mission between the United States, Germany, and Italy. Each partner will provide both engineering hardware and science experiments. Cassini is a joint mission between the United States, Germany, Italy, and the European Space Agency (ESA), with ESA providing the Titan atmospheric entry probe, called Huygens.
Recently JPL was asked by SDIO to analyze and develop a preliminary design for a deep-space mission to fly by two near-Earth asteroids, Eros and Toutatis. As a part of this mission, JPL was also asked to assess the feasibility of deploying a probe on approach to impact Toutatis. This mission is a candidate for SDIO's Clementine 2. SDIO's motivations were to provide further demonstrations of precision, autonomous navigation for controlling the flight paths of both a spacecraft and a probe. NASA's interest in this mission is driven by the opportunity to obtain the first close-up images and other scientific measurements from a spacecraft of two important near-Earth objects. For Toutatis this is especially important since it was observed and imaged extensively just last Dec. using Earth-based radar; Clementine 2 will provide the opportunity to corroborate the radar data and validate the ultimate potential of the radar technique. Scientifically, the probe impact at Toutatis will allow the acquisition of data pertaining to the dynamic strength of surface material and data on the properties of the regolith and on stratification below the surface, and will potentially allow the measurement of thermal diffusivity between the interior and the surface. These determinations will be accomplished by means of high-resolution imagery of the impact crater and its surroundings in visible, ultraviolet, and infrared wave bands from the spacecraft flying by some 30 min. after the probe strike. In addition, if the spacecraft can be equipped with a lightweight mass spectrometer and dust analyzer, the potential also exists to measure the particle sizes and distribution and the composition of the eject a cloud. This mission is planned to be launched in Jul. 1995, with the Eros encounter on 13 Mar. 1996, and the Toutatis flyby on 4 Oct. 1996, some 440 days after launch.
A major effort was directed toward 951 Gaspra in preparation for the Galileo encounter in October 1991. Most of the observational work involved photometry, for purposes of investigating the rotational state and phase function of the asteroid to help plan the encounter, and for purposes of navigating the spacecraft to the object. Work was also done with radiometric data obtained with the IRTF at NASA's request, for which simultaneous visible photometry was acquired with the University of Hawaii 2.24-m telescope. The results from the observations made during the 1990 opposition were published by Goldader et al. The main results reported include a rotational period of 7.04246 hours, an absolute visual magnitude of 11.8026, a slope parameter of 0.285, an early estimate of a high obliquity, an infrared spectrum indicating an olivine-rich composition, and 13 astrometric positions.
The collision with earth of near-earth asteroids or comet nuclei poses a potential threat to mankind. Objects about 100 m in diameter could be diverted from an earth-crossing trajectory by the impact of a rocket-launched mass, but for larger bodies nuclear explosions seem to be the only practical means of deflection. Fragmentation of the body by nuclear charges is less efficient or secure.
Recently, Harris et al. (1989) have observed a strong and unusually narrow (HWHM approximately 0.8 deg in the yellow) opposition effect for high-albedo asteroids 44 Nysa and 64 Angelina. In this paper, we apply the theory of coherent backscattering of light from discrete random media to interpret this remarkable opposition brightening. It is shown that coherent backscattering of sunlight from a regolithic layer composed of submicrometer-sized grains with an index of refraction close to that of the mineral enstatite can be a reasonable explanation of the observed opposition effect.
Consideration is given to a visible and infrared mapping spectrometer (VIMS) developed by American, Italian, and French scientists and engineers as a facility instrument for the Comet Rendezvous Asteroid Flyby (CRAF) mission and as a candidate facility instrument for the Cassini mission to explore Saturn and its rings and moons. VIMS is characterized by 0.35-5.2 micron spectral range with a nominal spatial resolution of 0.5 mrad and spectral resolutions of 7 nm at 0.35-1.0 micron wavelength and 16 nm at 1.0-5.2 micron wavelength.
Photoelectric observations of 55 Pandora were performed in Feb.-March 1989 (six nights) in the phase-angle range of 2.5-14 deg and in Sept.-Nov. 1991 (15 nights) in the range 0.5-16.3 deg. The mean amplitudes of the light curves in these oppositions were 0.22m and 0.10m, respectively. The data indicate that Pandora is a typical M-asteroid, and that the high albedo observed by the IRAS satellite does not correspond to reality.
Results of an investigation of the crystallization history of the asteroidal core that produced nearly 200 iron meteorites of group IIIAB are presented. The accuracy of the published distribution of coefficients between solid and liquid metal for seven elements and their dependence on the concentrations of S and P are critically assessed to develop a nonideal fractional crystallization model that reproduces all of the major features of the overall chemical trends in group IIIAB. It is suggested that the apparent distribution coefficient of S was was much higher than its equilibrium value (not greater than 0.01) and that it increased during crystallization. In the present preferred model the apparent distribution coefficient for S increases from 0.6 to 0.8, while the S concentration of the liquid increases from 6 to 13 wt pct. It is inferred that light S-rich liquid accumulates preferentially at the top of the core and in structural traps formed by the advancing solid.