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At least 1,585 records · Page 88

Grid ancillary services using electrolyzer-Based power-to-Gas systems with increasing renewable penetration

Increasing penetrations of renewable-based generation have led to a decrease in the bulk power system inertia and an increase in intermittency and uncertainty in generation. Energy storage is considered to be an important factor to help manage renewable energy generation at greater penetrations. Hydrogen is a viable long-term storage alternative. This paper analyzes and presents use cases for leveraging electrolyzer-based power-to-gas systems for electric grid support. The paper also discusses some grid services that may favor the use of hydrogen-based storage over other forms such as battery energy storage. Real-time controls are developed, implemented and demonstrated using a power-hardware-in-the-loop(PHIL) setup with a 225-kW proton-exchange-membrane electrolyzer stack. These controls demonstrate frequency and voltage support for the grid for different levels of renewable penetration (0%, 25%, and 50%). A comparison of the results shows the changes in respective frequencies and voltages as seen as different buses as a result of support from the electrolyzers and notes the impact on hydrogen production as a result of grid support. Finally, the paper discusses the practical nuances of implementing the tests with physical hardware, such as inverter/electrolyzer efficiency, as well as the related constraints and opportunities.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Predicting cell-to-cell failure propagation and limits of propagation in lithium-ion cell stacks

Thermal runaway of lithium-ion batteries is a risk that is magnified when stacks of lithium-ion cells are used for large scale energy storage. When limits of propagation can be identified so that systems can be designed to prevent large scale cascading failure even if a failure does occur, these systems will be safer. This work addresses the prediction of cell-to-cell failure propagation and the propagation limits in lithium-ion cell stacks to better understand and identify safe designs. A thermal-runaway model is presented based on recent developments in thermochemical source terms. It is noted that propagating failure is characterized by temperatures above which calorimetry data is available. Results show high temperature propagating failure predictions are too rapid unless an intra-particle diffusion limit is included, introducing a Damköhler number limiter into the rate expression. This new model form is evaluated against cell-to-cell failure propagation where the end cell of a stack is forced into thermal runaway through a nail-induced short circuit. Limits of propagation for this configuration are identified. Results show cell-to-cell propagation predictions are consistent with measurements over a range of cell states of charge and with the introduction of metal plates between cells to add system heat capacity representative of structural members. This consistency extends from scenarios where propagation occurs through scenarios where propagation is prevented.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Influence of NOx chemistry on the prediction of natural gas end-gas autoignition in CFD engine simulations

Natural gas (NG) represents a promising low-cost/low-emission alternative to diesel fuel when used in high-efficiency internal combustion engines. Advanced combustion strategies utilizing high EGR rates and controlled end-gas autoignition can be implemented with NG to achieve diesel-like efficiencies; however, to support the design of these next-generation NG ICEs, computational tools, including single- and multi-dimensional simulation packages will need to account for the complex chemistry that can occur between the reactive species found in EGR (including NOx) and the fuel. Research has shown that NOx plays an important role in the promotion/inhibition of large hydrocarbon autoignition and when accounted for in CFD engine simulations, can significantly improve the prediction of end-gas autoignition for these fuels. However, reduced NOx-enabled NG mechanisms for use in CFD engine simulations are lacking, and as a result, the influence of NOx chemistry on NG engine operation remains unknown. Here, we analyze the effects of NOx chemistry on the prediction of NG/oxidizer/EGR autoignition and generate a reduced mechanism of a suitable size to be used in engine simulations. Results indicate that NG ignition is sensitive to NOx chemistry, where it was observed that the addition of EGR, which included NOx, promoted NG autoignition. The modified mechanism captured well all trends and closely matched experimentally measured ignition delay times for a wide range of EGR rates and NG compositions. Here, the importance of C2-C3 chemistry is noted, especially for wet NG compositions containing high fractions of ethane and propane. Finally, when utilized in CFD simulations of a Cooperative Fuels Research (CFR) engine, the new reduced mechanism was able to predict the knock onset crank angle (KOCA) to within one crank angle degree of experimental data, a significant improvement compared to previous simulations without NOx chemistry.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Experimental and numerical investigation of ester droplet combustion: Application to butyl acetate

This paper presents an experimental and numerical study of the combustion of isolated n–butyl acetate droplets in the standard atmosphere. Numerical simulations are reported using a model that incorporates unsteady gas and liquid transport, variable properties, and radiation. Three skeletal mechanisms of n-butyl acetate, derived from a large detailed mechanism comprised of 819 species and 52,698 reactions, were used in the numerical simulations to evaluate the influence of the kinetic mechanism on burning. The reduced mechanisms comprised 212 species and 5413 reactions, 157 species and 3089 reactions, and 105 species and 1035 reactions. The numerical model did not include soot formation, though qualitatively mild sooting was noted only for droplets larger than 0.7 mm. The numerical predictions were in good agreement with experimental measurements of droplet and flame diameters. Flame extinction was numerically predicted which was attributed to a decrease of the characteristic diffusion time relative to the chemical time as droplet burned. Effects of initial droplet diameter on the evolution of maximum gas temperature (T max ) and peak mole fractions of CO 2 and CO are also examined numerically.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Competing Radical and Molecular Channels in the Unimolecular Dissociation of Methylformate

The thermal dissociation of methylformate has been characterized by numerous experimental and theoretical studies that all seem to agree that the lowest energetically accessible process is a 3-center H-atom transfer that leads to the molecular products CH3OH 3 OH + CO. However, these literature studies seem to be at odds with regards to the role of other competing molecular eliminations and bond-fission processes and therefore a complete and resolved mechanistic picture of methylformate thermal dissociation still eludes us. In this work, we have performed high-level electronic structure theory calculations to characterize the energetics of other overlooked molecular and radical processes that can originate on the complex CH3OCHO 3 OCHO potential energy surface (PES). The present calculations do indeed confirm that the lowest energy process accessible on this PES is molecular elimination to form CH3OH 3 OH + CO. However, unlike prior theoretical studies, the present calculations reveal that the second lowest energy process is a 5-center concerted elimination process that leads to the direct formation of H2 2 + CH2O 2 O + CO. We also note that HCO2 2 from the lowest-lying bond fission has two energetically comparable electronic states (of 2 B 2 and 2 A 1 symmetry). Furthermore, the barrier for H-atom migration of CH3OCHO 3 OCHO to form the carbene (CH3OCOH) 3 OCOH) is similar to that for the direct 4-center elimination process leading to CH2O 2 O + CH2O 2 O characterized in prior literature studies. Radical and molecular pathways to CH3 3 + HOCO and CH4 4 + CO2 2 can also be facilitated from this carbene. Master equation calculations were performed to characterize the competition between the various molecular and radical processes on this more elaborate CH3OCHO 3 OCHO PES. The results of the present theoretical analyses were used to resolve outstanding questions on the role of secondary radical- initiated reactions in characterizing prior literature experimental studies.

Chemical Kinetics↗

DNS of ignition and flame stabilization in a simplified gas turbine premixer

With the increasing need for fuel flexibility, mitigation of auto-ignition (AI) inside gas turbine (GT) premixers becomes crucial. They must be designed to yield a sufficiently homogeneous fuel-air mixture to achieve low emissions while at the same time avoiding the occurrence of AI and subsequent flame stabilization. This challenge requires a detailed understanding of turbulent mixing and chemistry interactions. In the present work, a direct numerical simulation (DNS) of an array of jets in crossflow (JICF), representative of an industrial GT premixer, is reported to shed light on these complex phenomena. It is found that AI kernels form in the aft part of the premixer and coalesce into a flame front that then propagates upstream, mainly through the boundary layer, and successively engulfs the jets. This, therefore, suggests a significant role of the jet array pattern on the flame stabilization. It is noted that AI kernels continue to form independently during the whole time of the simulation. To clarify the contribution of AI and diffusion in the ignition kernels and the main flame, chemical explosive mode analysis (CEMA) is employed jointly with a kernel tracking algorithm. It is found that during the initial formation of the flame, many ignition kernels form in mixtures with low scalar dissipation rate and large contribution from AI mode. As they quickly grow, they merge into a single flame front that becomes increasingly more diffusion-assisted over time, balancing the AI mode. Turbulence is shown to have a significant enhancing effect in lean premixed flames, but further analysis is required to fully characterize it. These findings are relevant for the industrial premixer studied, and also for novel micromix concepts that may be used in the next generation of GT combustion systems.

ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Dynamics of polymer segments, polymer chains, and nanoparticles in polymer nanocomposite melts: A review

The addition of nanoparticles (NPs) to a polymer matrix, forming a polymer nanocomposite (PNC), is known to alter the microscopic dynamic processes of both species which leads to unique macroscopic material properties of the PNC. Because the NPs and polymers have overlapping characteristic length, time, and energy scales, the interactions within these materials are complex and the dynamics are interrelated. In this review, we present an overview of experimental, simulation, and theoretical results that probe multi-scale polymer and nanoparticle dynamics in polymer nanocomposites and navigate the dense parameter space presented by these multicomponent systems. Although a variety of PNC systems are mentioned, we focus this discussion on linear thermoplastics filled with hard spherical or cylindrical NPs in the melt state. We begin by introducing PNCs, the dynamic processes within them, and the importance of dynamics for properties and processing. At the smallest length and time scales, we discuss segmental dynamics in PNCs, including the role of polymer attributes, NP attributes, and NP-polymer interactions. Then, we present measurements of collective motions and intermediate (Rouse) dynamics in various PNC materials. At longer length and time scales, we discuss polymer center-of-mass diffusion in PNCs with either spherical or anisotropic NPs. We then explore the dynamics of the NPs in PNCs and polymer melts, including theoretical predictions, simulation results, and experimental observations. Lastly, we note some of the remaining challenges in probing dynamics in PNC materials and fundamentally studying PNCs more generally.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Effects of gamma, electron beam, and X-ray irradiation on the plastic components of a universal bone cement mixer medical device

Due to market and regulatory pressures, many healthcare manufacturers are considering alternatives to cobalt-60 gamma radiation, including accelerator-based electron beam (E-beam) and X-ray radiation for product sterilization. In this work, the effects of irradiation on a representative medical product, comprised of eight distinct polymer materials, were directly compared for three radiation technologies – cobalt-60 gamma, E-beam, and X-ray – at four dose levels (15, 25, 50, and 70 kGy). The objective was to determine how radiation effects (deleterious or beneficial) are influenced by source and dose level, with the specific goal of determining whether E-beam radiation and/or X-ray radiation could be viable alternatives to gamma radiation for device sterilization. Here, the specific product considered is a single-use medical device for orthopedic surgery, the Stryker Instruments MixeVac III bone cement mixer, which is currently sterilized using gamma radiation from cobalt-60 sources. Following ASTM International standards and input from the manufacturer, we characterized the effects of the three radiation sources on product functionality as well as on the mechanical and optical properties of the constituent polymers. Results indicate that although measurable differences in properties between the standard gamma irradiated materials and the alternative E-beam and X-ray irradiated materials were observed, those differences were small. Statistically significant differences were noted in the case of yellowness index for polyvinyl chloride, high-density polyethylene, and polycarbonate, and in the case of tensile elongation at break for high impact polystyrene and polyvinyl chloride. In general, the results of this study support the viability of E-beam and X-ray radiation as alternative options to cobalt-60 gamma radiation for sterilization of Stryker single-use universal bone cement mixer medical devices.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Spatially varying seasonal modulation to tidal stream energy potential due to mixed tidal regimes in the Aleutian Islands, AK

We provide an assessment of the tidal stream energy resource of the Aleutian Islands, Alaska via a validated barotropic tidal numerical model of the region. Eight island passes are identified as energy “hotspots”. The annual mean kinetic energy fluxes, KEF , calculated at each pass vary from 1000 to 11,000 MW, while the annual available energy, AAE , varies from 5 to 42 MWh m −2 . Notable seasonal modulation to monthly power density averages and ranges are noted at some passes and not others. Seasonal adjustment is linked to the semi-annual solar declination cycle which enhances (dampens) diurnal (D 1 ) tidal amplitudes in summer/winter (spring/fall) as well as the time-varying phase lag between D 1 and semidiurnal (D 2 ) fortnightly tidal cycles. Annual variability in monthly mean power density scales with the tidal current form factor, F u , with the largest seasonal change occurring for F u > 1 (D 1 dominated tide). The spread in power density over a month is on average smaller for passes with mixed tides (F u = 1 ) than those with D 1 or D 2 dominance, as changes to fortnightly phase lag become influential to net power density ranges when tides are mixed. This study outlines overlooked, but relevant, long-term modulation to tidal streams in regions with mixed tides.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

Sequential Bayesian inference of transition rates in the hidden Markov model for multi-state system degradation

The more easily available system performance data and advances in data analytics have provided us with opportunities to optimize maintenance programs for engineered systems, for example nuclear power plants. One key task in maintenance optimization is to obtain an accurate model for system degradation. Here, in this research, we propose a Bayesian method to address this problem. Noting that systems usually exhibit multiple states and that the actual state of a system usually is not directly observable, in the method we first model the system degradation process and the observation process based on a hidden Markov model. Then we develop a sequential Bayesian inference algorithm based on importance sampling and the forward algorithm to infer the posterior distributions of the transition rates in the hidden Markov model based on available observations. The proposed Bayesian method allows us to take advantage of evidence from multiple sources, and also allows us to perform Bayesian inference sequentially, without the need to use the entire history of observations every time new observations are collected. We demonstrate the proposed method using both synthetic data for a nuclear power plant feedwater pump and realistic data for a nuclear power plant chemistry analytical device.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Exploring the Potential of Rainwater Harvesting for Cooling Towers: A Systematic Review and Regional Feasibility Assessment

Water scarcity has driven interest in rainwater harvesting, especially for U.S. industries like power and manufacturing, which dedicate a large percentage of their water needs to cooling towers. This paper provides a comprehensive systematic review of studies on the use of rainwater in cooling tower applications, along with an assessment of the regional feasibility of integrating RWH in U.S. manufacturing cooling towers. The systematic review examines the technical, economic, environmental, and policy feasibility of utilizing harvested rainwater, and the regional feasibility analysis evaluates the practical implementation of RWH in manufacturing cooling towers, considering factors such as regional RWH potential, water costs, state policies, and the industrial water use of manufacturing facilities per state. This study supports the hypothesis that RWH for cooling towers is technically feasible, economically viable, and environmentally beneficial. Harvested rainwater is naturally less conductive and soft, and rainwater reuse minimizes the ecological footprint. Supportive state policies, regional RWH potential, and rising water costs across the U.S. are important variables that may impact RWH adoption. The review highlights rooftop RWH as the most studied method and notes that implementing RWH requires infrastructure changes and filtration techniques. While initial investment costs may be high, operational and maintenance costs are low, making RWHS economically feasible over time. Regions with higher water costs and supportive policies are more likely to benefit from RWH adoption. The study provides a foundation for understanding the potential for using RWH in industrial cooling towers.

Cooling towers↗

Finite domain solution of a KGD hydraulic fracture in the viscosity-dominated regime

This paper describes a numerical algorithm for solving the classic problem of a plane strain (KGD) fracture propagating in an impermeable elastic medium with zero toughness. The method, which takes advantage of the self-similar nature of the solution, combines a domain-based scheme to solve the elasticity equations and a finite volume method to solve the nonlinear lubrication equation. This work represents a first step towards developing a model able to account for pore pressure diffusion in the medium and corresponding poroelastic effects, noting that these processes are more efficiently solved using a domain-based rather than a boundary integral method. To enhance the efficiency and accuracy of the numerical scheme, the far-field crack asymptotics is embedded in the discretized elastic relationship between the fluid pressure and the crack opening, while the coupled fluid-solid tip asymptote is enforced in a weak form when solving the nonlinear lubrication equation. The proposed technique yields results that closely match the analytical solution, even with a coarse mesh. This approach offers potential for addressing more complex hydraulic fracturing problems in the future.

Domain-based method↗

Hydrological projections over the Upper Indus Basin at 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C temperature increase

We analyse an ensemble of statistically downscaled Global Climate Models (GCMs) to investigate future water availability in the Upper Indus Basin (UIB) of Pakistan for the time horizons when the global and/or regional warming levels cross Paris Agreement (PA) targets. The GCMs data is obtained from the 5th Phase of Coupled Model Inter-Comparison Project under two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5). Based on the five best performing GCMs, we note that global 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C warming thresholds are projected in 2026 and 2047 under RCP4.5 and 2022 and 3036 under RCP8.5 respectively while these thresholds are reached much earlier over Pakistan i.e. 2016 and 2030 under RCP4.5 and 2012 and 2025 under RCP8.5 respectively. Interestingly, the GCMs with the earliest emergence at the global scale are not necessarily the ones with the earliest emergence over Pakistan, highlighting spatial non-linearity in GCMs response. The emergence of 2.0 °C warming at global scale across 5 GCMs ranges from 2031 (CCSM4) to 2049 (NorESM) under RCP8.5. Precipitation generally exhibits a progressive increasing trend with stronger changes at higher warming or radiative forcing levels. Hydrological simulations representing the historical, 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C global and region warming time horizons indicate a robust but seasonally varying increase in the inflows. The highest inflows in the baseline and future are witnessed in July. However, the highest future increase in inflows is projected in October under RCP4.5 (37.99% and 65.11% at 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C) and in April under RCP8.5 (37% and 62.05% at 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C). These hydrological changes are driven by increases in the snow and glacial melt contribution, which are more pronounced at 2.0 °C warming level. These findings should help for effective water management in Pakistan over the coming decades.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Relationships between maternally-transferred mercury and hatchling development, behavior, and survival in the American alligator ( Alligator mississippiensis )

Mercury is a toxic and pervasive environmental contaminant that can be transferred from mother to offspring during development. Consequences of maternally-transferred mercury have been observed in vertebrate taxa, including reduced clutch viability, reduced offspring size, and behavioral alterations. These sublethal effects have been assumed to decrease survivorship, though this is seldom assessed. Here, we examined how maternally-transferred mercury interacts with incubation temperature to influence reproductive success, offspring behavior, and subsequent survival in the American alligator (Alligator mississippiensis). We collected nine clutches of eggs from a mercury contaminated reservoir on the Savannah River Site, South Carolina, and incubated eggs at either female- or male-promoting temperatures. Clutch-averaged mercury in egg yolk was high relative to other studies in crocodilians and ranged from 0.248 to 0.554 ppm compared to 0.018–0.052 ppm at a site with low levels of mercury contamination; mercury levels in hatchling blood ranged from 0.090 to 0.490 ppm ($\overline{x}$= 0.240 ppm, n = 158). We found few, mostly negligible correlations between life history traits and mercury but noted a positive relationship with egg mass, possibly mediated by correlated maternal effects such as resource provisioning. Incubation temperature exerted strong effects on hatchling phenotypes, with warmer, male-promoting temperatures producing larger and bolder hatchlings. Presumptive females, produced from cooler incubation temperatures, spent more time in warm areas during behavior trials. Hatchlings were released 10–15 days post-hatch and surveyed over eight months to assess survival. Survivorship was positively correlated with hatchling size and negatively correlated with proportional time spent in warm areas. Presumptive females had much lower survival, and overall survivorship for the eight-month period was 0.185–0.208, depending on the modelling approach. Finally, our study suggests that, within the range of concentrations we observed, incubation temperature has a stronger effect on offspring behavior and survival than maternally-transferred mercury pollution in American alligators.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Climate change is intensifying rainfall erosivity and soil erosion in West Africa

Soil erosion is a critical environmental challenge with significant implications for agriculture, water quality, and ecosystem stability. Understanding its dynamics is essential for sustainable environmental management and societal welfare. Here, we analyze rainfall erosivity and erosion patterns across West Africa (WAF) during the historical (1982–2014), near future (2028–2060), and far future (2068–2100) periods under Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs 370 and 585). Using bias-corrected-downscaled (BCD) climate models validated against reference data, we ensure an accurate representation of rainfall—a key driver of erosivity (R-factor) and soil erosion. We compare Renard's approach and the Modified Fournier Index (MFI) to calculate the R-factor and note a strong correlation. However, Renard's method shows slightly lower accuracy in Sierra Leone, Guinea, and The Gambia, likely due to its inability to capture high-intensity, short-duration rainfall events. In contrast, the MFI, utilizing continuous rain gauge data, proves more reliable for these regions. We also attribute fluctuations in erosivity, such as those seen during the 2003 West Africa floods, to synoptic weather patterns influenced by multiple climate processes. Furthermore, our analysis reveals regions where future soil erosion could exceed 20 t/ha/yr due to climate change. Under the SSP 370 scenario, soil erosion in WAF is projected to rise by 14.84 % in the near future and 18.65 % in the far future, increasing further under SSP 585 to 19.86 % and 23.49 %, respectively. The most severe increases are expected in Benin and Nigeria, with Nigeria potentially facing a 66.41 % rise in erosion by the far future under SSP 585. These findings highlight the region's exposure to intensified climatic conditions and underscore the urgent need for targeted soil management and climate adaptation strategies to mitigate erosion's ecological and socioeconomic impacts.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Irradiation-induced grain boundary migration in an ion irradiated Fe-Ni-Cr-Mn alloy

Irradiation-induced grain boundary migration (RIGM) has previously been observed in different metallic systems. However, the mechanisms and dependence on irradiation conditions remained unclear. Here, we report on radiation-induced GB migration (RIGM) in a coarse-grain Fe-Ni-Cr-Mn austenitic alloy irradiated with Fe ions at 400 °C to 15, 35, and 70 dpa. Grain boundary migration is only observed in the irradiated regions and exhibits a linear dependence on the locally delivered dose, as estimated from SRIM calculations. Notably, the same linear dependence is noted across the nominal doses. Furthermore, the evidence points to grain boundary migration being mediated by the flux of point defects to grain boundaries and motivates additional systematic studies of RIGM in these systems.

Grain boundary↗

Decarbonizing or illusion? How carbon emissions of commercial building operations change worldwide

To lead the low-carbon transition in global buildings, this study is the first to use the generalized Divisia index method (GDIM) to identify the factors driving carbon emissions and assess the decarbonization performance in commercial building operations (CBOs) of sixteen countries during 2000–2019. Results show that (1) while the global carbon emissions from CBOs have increased at a modest rate of 0.9%/yr, this trend runs counter to the declining emissions in the U.S. (-1.1%/yr) and the significant growth in China (14.4%/yr), which can be attributed to the impact of economy-related factors. (2) The U.S. and China, as the largest emitters, contributed 66.8% of the samples’ decarbonization of CBOs (919.1 million tons of carbon dioxide). (3) Most countries’ CBOs had a decarbonization efficiency level of less than 10%, except for Spain (27.8%). Spain excelled in both areas of per capita and per floor area with an average efficiency of nearly 30%. Moreover, ridge regression successfully confirms the stability of GDIM results and it should be noted GDIM has limitations in characterizing the end-use activity. Overall, this study tracks the historical decarbonization of global CBOs and offers benchmarks for different emitters to forecast the dynamic of building emissions along with economic booms.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗