Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “Distributed Estimation”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 1,585 records · Page 88

Impacts of Regional Air Mobility and Electrified Aircraft on Local Grid Infrastructure and Airport Electricity Demand

The goal of this work is to analyze the electrical infrastructure that may be necessary to serve electrified aviation at a subset of airports where potential electrified flight demand has been provided. Additionally, this work will estimate the amount of onsite distributed energy resources (i.e., solar photovoltaics and battery energy storage systems) that could be used to serve EA in cost effective scenarios.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

2022 Cost of Wind Energy Review [Slides]

The 12th annual Cost of Wind Energy Review, now presented in slide deck format, uses representative utility-scale and distributed wind energy projects to estimate the levelized cost of energy (LCOE) for land-based and offshore wind power plants in the United States.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

PR100: Estimated Medium- and Heavy-Duty Electric Vehicle Adoption and Load Estimation in Puerto Rico through 2050

The 2-year Puerto Rico Grid Resilience and Transition to 100% Renewable Energy Study analyzed stakeholder-driven pathways to Puerto Rico’s clean energy future. Outputs relating to electricity demand modeling were partially informed by estimates of electric vehicle adoption across all classes of medium- and heavy-duty vehicles (MHDVs), and the ensuing charging loads. To create these estimates, the team developed a transportation model for MHDVs in Puerto Rico to estimate the amount and geospatial distribution of energy used. Charging schedules for the different end uses of MHDVs were then used to construct electric load shapes assuming a portion of those vehicles would be replaced by battery electric counterparts. Study results showed that, by 2050, electric vehicles may constitute roughly 50% of the MHDV population in Puerto Rico. The resulting electrical demand curve attributable to MHDV charging showed that, for solar energy-based electrical systems with limited energy storage, this demand may create challenges unless appropriately managed either on the demand or supply side.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Tuning Shinkarev’s Bicycle: Separating the Parallel Cycles of Photosystem II Using Empirical Wavelet Transform

The oxygen-evolving complex (OEC) of Photosystem II (PSII) catalyzes light-driven water oxidation, a process necessary to sustain Earth’s atmospheric oxygen. Oxygen yields measured during single-turnover flash sequences exhibit period-four oscillations, which form the basis of the Joliot–Kok (S-state) model. However, when the oscillations of other processes contribute to the measured oxygen yield, fitting methods can conflate these signals and distort estimates of inefficiencies and initial S-state populations. To address this, we applied the empirical wavelet transform (EWT) as a model-independent method to separate overlapping oscillators and capture damping dynamics that are not well represented in Fourier analysis. We tested this framework on polarographic flash-oxygen traces from both our Synechocystis sp. PCC 6803 thylakoid membrane preparations and archival datasets on Chlorella and isolated chloroplasts. EWT consistently resolves the expected period-four component alongside a distinct binary oscillation. Simulations suggest that fitting this isolated period-four signal recovers VZAD parameters more accurately than analysis of raw traces, yielding different estimates for S-state distributions and transition probabilities. Notably, this binary oscillation aligns closely with semiquinone dynamics predicted solely from period-four fit parameters. These findings indicate that EWT can effectively distinguish complex signals in oxygen evolution, offering a framework potentially applicable to other spectroscopic probes of the S-state cycle.

Ferrari, Nicholas [Louisiana State Univ., Baton Ro↗

A First Estimation of County-Based Green Water Availability and Its Implications for Agriculture and Bioenergy Production in the United States

Green water is vital for the terrestrial ecosystem, but water resource assessment often focuses on blue water. In this study, we estimated green water availability for major crops (i.e., corn, soybean, and wheat) and all other users(e.g., forest, grassland, and ecosystem services) at the county level in the United States. We estimated green water resources from effective rain(ER) using three different methods: Smith, U.S. Department of Agriculture-Soil Conservation Service (USDA-SCS), and the NHD plus V2 dataset. The analysis illustrates that, if green water meets all crop water demands, the fraction of green water resources available to all other users varies significantly across regions, from the Northern Plains (0.71) to the Southeast (0.98). At the county level, this fraction varies from 0.23 to 1.0. Green water resources estimated using the three different ER methods present diverse spatiotemporal distribution patterns across regions, which could affect green water availability estimates. The water availability index for green water (WAI_R) was measured taking into account crop water demand and green water resources aggregated at the county level. Beyond these parameters, WAI_R also depends on the precipitation pattern, crop type and spatially differentiated regions. In addition, seasonal analysis indicated that WAI_R is sensitive to the temporal boundary of the analysis.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Modeling the Swift BAT trigger algorithm with machine learning

To draw inferences about gamma-ray burst (GRB) source populations based on Swift observations, it is essential to understand the detection efficiency of the Swift burst alert telescope (BAT). This study considers the problem of modeling the Swift/BAT triggering algorithm for long GRBs, a computationally expensive procedure, and models it using machine learning algorithms. A large sample of simulated GRBs from Lien et al. is used to train various models: random forests, boosted decision trees (with AdaBoost), support vector machines, and artificial neural networks. The best models have accuracies of ≳97% (≲3% error), which is a significant improvement on a cut in GRB flux, which has an accuracy of 89.6% (10.4% error). These models are then used to measure the detection efficiency of Swift as a function of redshift z, which is used to perform Bayesian parameter estimation on the GRB rate distribution. We find a local GRB rate density of n{sub 0}∼0.48{sub −0.23}{sup +0.41} Gpc{sup −3} yr{sup −1} with power-law indices of n{sub 1}∼1.7{sub −0.5}{sup +0.6} and n{sub 2}∼−5.9{sub −0.1}{sup +5.7} for GRBs above and below a break point of z{sub 1}∼6.8{sub −3.2}{sup +2.8}. This methodology is able to improve upon earlier studies by more accurately modeling Swift detection and using this for fully Bayesian model fitting.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

The Curious Case of PDS 11: A Nearby, >10 Myr Old, Classical T Tauri Binary System

We present results of our study of the PDS 11 binary system, which belongs to a rare class of isolated, high Galactic latitude T Tauri stars. Our spectroscopic analysis reveals that PDS 11 is an M2–M2 binary system with both components showing similar H α emission strengths. Both the components appear to be accreting and are classical T Tauri stars. The lithium doublet Li i λ 6708, a signature of youth, is present in the spectrum of PDS 11A, but not in PDS 11B. From the application of lithium depletion boundary age-dating method and a comparison with the Li i λ 6708 equivalent width distribution of moving groups, we estimated an age of 10–15 Myr for PDS 11A. Comparison with pre-main sequence evolutionary models indicates that PDS 11A is a 0.4 M {sub ⊙} T Tauri star at a distance of 114–131 pc. PDS 11 system does not appear to be associated with any known star-forming regions or moving groups. PDS 11 is a new addition, after TWA 30 and LDS 5606, to the interesting class of old, dusty, wide binary classical T Tauri systems in which both components are actively accreting.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Approximating Photo- z PDFs for Large Surveys

Modern galaxy surveys produce redshift probability density functions (PDFs) in addition to traditional photometric redshift (photo-z) point estimates. However, the storage of photo-z PDFs may present a challenge with increasingly large catalogs, as we face a trade-off between the accuracy of subsequent science measurements and the limitation of finite storage resources. This work presents qp, a Python package for manipulating parameterizations of one-dimensional PDFs, as suitable for photo-z PDF compression. We use qp to investigate the performance of three simple PDF storage formats (quantiles, samples, and step functions) as a function of the number of stored parameters on two realistic mock data sets, representative of upcoming surveys with different data qualities. We propose some best practices for choosing a photo-z PDF approximation scheme and demonstrate the approach on a science case using performance metrics on both ensembles of individual photo-z PDFs and an estimator of the overall redshift distribution function. We show that both the properties of the set of PDFs we wish to approximate and the fidelity metric(s) chosen affect the optimal parameterization. Additionally, we find that quantiles and samples outperform step functions, and we encourage further consideration of these formats for PDF approximation.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

An Incipient Debris Disk in the Chamaeleon I Cloud

The point at which a protoplanetary disk becomes a debris disk is difficult to identify. To better understand this, here we study the ∼40 au separation binary T 54 in the Chamaeleon I cloud. We derive a K5 spectral type for T 54 A (which dominates the emission of the system) and an age of ∼2 Myr. However, the dust disk properties of T 54 are consistent with those of debris disks seen around older- and earlier-type stars. At the same time, T 54 has evidence of gas remaining in the disk, as indicated by [Ne ii], [Ne iii], and [O i] line detections. We model the spectral energy distribution of T 54 and estimate that ∼3×10{sup −3} M{sub ⊕} of small dust grains (<0.25 μm) are present in an optically thin circumbinary disk along with at least ∼3×10{sup −7} M{sub ⊕} of larger (>10 μm) grains within a circumprimary disk. Assuming a solar-like mixture, we use Ne line luminosities to place a minimum limit on the gas mass of the disk (∼3×10{sup −4} M{sub ⊕}) and derive a gas-to-dust mass ratio of ∼0.1. We do not detect substantial accretion, but we do see Hα in emission in one epoch, which is suggestive that there may be intermittent dumping of small amounts of matter onto the star. Considering the low dust mass, the presence of gas, and young age of T 54, we conclude that this system is on the bridge between the protoplanetary and debris disk stages.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

The Relationship Between Brightest Cluster Galaxy Star Formation and the Intracluster Medium in CLASH

We study the nature of feedback mechanisms in the 11 CLASH brightest cluster galaxies (BCGs) that exhibit extended ultraviolet and nebular line emission features. We estimate star formation rates (SFRs), dust masses, and starburst durations using a Bayesian photometry-fitting technique that accounts for both stellar and dust emission from the UV through far-IR. By comparing these quantities to intracluster medium (ICM) cooling times and freefall times derived from X-ray observations and lensing estimates of the cluster mass distribution, we discover a tight relationship between the BCG SFR and the ICM cooling time to freefall time ratio, t{sub cool}/t{sub ff}, with an upper limit on the intrinsic scatter of 0.15 dex. Furthermore, starburst durations may correlate with ICM cooling times at a radius of 0.025 R{sub 500}, and the two quantities converge upon reaching the gigayear regime. Our results provide a direct observational link between the thermodynamical state of the ICM and the intensity and duration of BCG star formation activity, and appear consistent with a scenario where active galactic nuclei induce condensation of thermally unstable ICM overdensities that fuel long-duration (>1 Gyr) BCG starbursts. This scenario can explain (a) how gas with a low cooling time is depleted without causing a cooling flow and (b) the scaling relationship between SFR and t{sub cool}/t{sub ff}. We also find that the scaling relation between SFR and dust mass in BCGs with SFRs <100 M{sub ⊙} yr{sup −1} is similar to that in star-forming field galaxies; BCGs with large (>100 M{sub ⊙} yr{sup −1}) SFRs have dust masses comparable to extreme starbursts.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Application of a truncated normal failure distribution in reliability testing

Statistical truncated normal distribution function is applied as a time-to-failure distribution function in equipment reliability estimations. Age-dependent characteristics of the truncated function provide a basis for formulating a system of high-reliability testing that effectively merges statistical, engineering, and cost considerations.

Groves, C., Jr.↗

Investigation of the Specht density estimator

The feasibility of using the Specht density estimator function on the IBM 360/44 computer is investigated. Factors such as storage, speed, amount of calculations, size of the smoothing parameter and sample size have an effect on the results. The reliability of the Specht estimator for normal and uniform distributions and the effects of the smoothing parameter and sample size are investigated.

Speed, F. M.↗

Primary and secondary particle contributions to the depth dose distribution in a phantom shielded from solar flare and Van Allen protons

Calculations have been made using the nucleon-meson transport code NMTC to estimate the absorbed dose and dose equivalent distributions in astronauts inside space vehicles bombarded by solar flare and Van Allen protons. A spherical shell shield of specific radius and thickness with a 30-cm-diam. tissue ball at the geometric center was used to simulate the spacecraft-astronaut configuration. The absorbed dose and the dose equivalent from primary protons, secondary protons, heavy nuclei, charged pions, muons, photons, and positrons and electrons are given as a function of depth in the tissue phantom. Results are given for solar flare protons with a characteristic rigidity of 100 MV and for Van Allen protons in a 240-nautical-mile circular orbit at 30 degree inclination angle incident on both 20-g/sq cm-thick aluminum and polyethylene spherical shell shields.

Santoro, R. T.↗

An evaluation of the use of ERTS-1 satellite imagery for grizzly bear habitat analysis

Improved classification and mapping of grizzly habitat will permit better estimates of population density and distribution, and allow accurate evaluation of the potential effects of changes in land use, hunting regulation, and management policies on existing populations. Methods of identifying favorable habitat from ERTS-1 multispectral scanner imagery were investigated and described. This technique could reduce the time and effort required to classify large wilderness areas in the Western United States.

Varney, J. R.↗

Manned orbital systems concept study. Book 4: Programmatics for extended-duration missions

The cost estimates, schedule data, and funding distributions generated in the Manned Orbital Systems Concepts (MOSC) study are presented. The overall objectives were to examine the requirements for, and to describe, a cost-effective concept for an orbital facility capable of supporting manned operations in earth orbit beyond the 7-to-30-day mission duration provided by the Shuttle/Spacelab system. The cost, schedule, and other programmatic data were developed to provide information useful for their long-range planning activities. The major portion of the data documented and discussed consists of project- and system-level schedule and funding information and also project-, system-, and subsystem-level cost summaries.

Source record↗

Demonstration to characterize watershed runoff potential by microwave techniques

Characteristics such as storage capacity of the soil, volume of storage in vegetative matter, and volume of storage available in local depressions are expressed in empirical watershed runoff equations as one or more coefficients. Conventional techniques for estimating coefficients representing the spatial distribution of these characteristics over a watershed drainage area are subjective and produce significant errors. Characteristics of the wear surface are described as a single coefficient called the curve number.

Blanchard, B. J.↗

Physical properties of the particles composing the Martian dust storm of 1971-1972

Data obtained with the infrared interferometric spectrometer (IRIS) aboard Mariner 9 during the global Martian dust storm of 1971-1972 are analyzed to study the particle sizes in detail, estimate the dust particle size distribution, and determine the dust optical depth. Theoretical spectra of the emergent intensity from dust clouds with properties similar to those of the Martian cloud are generated, deficiencies of the approximation used are discussed, and the information content of the IR aerosol spectra is assessed. Analysis of IRIS spectra from a series of orbits spread through the early months of the Mariner 9 mission indicates that the dust could have been either igneous material with an SiO2 content similar to or higher than that of a typical terrestrial sediment or clay minerals similar to those on earth. In either case, the Martian dust was differentiated by geologic or weathering processes. The dust particle size distribution between 1 and 10 microns is found to have a slope similar to that of terrestrial dust size distributions far from source regions.

Toon, O. B.↗

Candidate locations for SPS rectifying antennas

The feasibility of placing 120 Satellite Power System (SPS) rectifying antenna (rectenna) sites across the U.S. was studied. An initial attempt is made to put two land sites in each state using several land site selection criteria. When only 69 land sites are located, it is decided to put the remaining sites in the sea and sea site selection criteria are identified. An estimated projection of electrical demand distribution for the year 2000 is then used to determine the distribution of these sites along the Pacific, Atlantic, and Gulf Coasts. A methodology for distributing rectenna sites across the country and for fine-tuning exact locations is developed, and recommendations on rectenna design and operations are made.

Eberhardt, A. W.↗