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Communications network design and costing model technical manual

This computer model provides the capability for analyzing long-haul trunking networks comprising a set of user-defined cities, traffic conditions, and tariff rates. Networks may consist of all terrestrial connectivity, all satellite connectivity, or a combination of terrestrial and satellite connectivity. Network solutions provide the least-cost routes between all cities, the least-cost network routing configuration, and terrestrial and satellite service cost totals. The CNDC model allows analyses involving three specific FCC-approved tariffs, which are uniquely structured and representative of most existing service connectivity and pricing philosophies. User-defined tariffs that can be variations of these three tariffs are accepted as input to the model and allow considerable flexibility in network problem specification. The resulting model extends the domain of network analysis from traditional fixed link cost (distance-sensitive) problems to more complex problems involving combinations of distance and traffic-sensitive tariffs.

Logan, K. P.↗

Changes in radial gradients of low-energy cosmic rays between solar minimum and maximum: - Observations from 1 to 31 AU

Observations of the fluxes and radial gradients of protons and helium (with energies of 10-70 Mev per n) between the period of minimum solar modulation ending in 1977 and the period of maximum modulation in 1981-1983 show that, over the radial range 1-31 AU, radial gradients decreased for both species from their solar minimum values (5-10 percent per AU for galactic protons and helium) to values of 2-4 percent per AU or less. For these low-energy cosmic rays it is found that the variation in modulation with the phase of the solar cycle is much stronger at radii of 20-30 AU than at 1 AU, and that at solar maximum, more than 99 percent of the total modulation takes place beyond 31 AU.

Mckibben, R. B.↗

The charges that are deposited by cloud-to-ground lightning in Florida

Field changes that were produced by cloud-to-ground flashes from seven storms during 1976, 1977, and 1978 in various sites in Florida are analyzed using the least square optimization method of Jacobson and Krider (1976). The performance of the computer algorithm in determining the field change values is evaluated; the algorithm reproduces total field changes to an accuracy of about 5 percent. Lightning events with field change values of 1 kV/m or greater at three or more sites are studied using a point-charge model. Variations in the altitudes and magnitudes of events which occur from flash to flash, throughout the development of a storm, and from storm to storm are examined and compared.

Maier, Launa M.↗

X-ray based extensometry

A totally new method of extensometry using an X-ray beam was proposed. The intent of the method is to provide a non-contacting technique that is immune to problems associated with density variations in gaseous environments that plague optical methods. X-rays are virtually unrefractable even by solids. The new method utilizes X-ray induced X-ray fluorescence or X-ray induced optical fluorescence of targets that have melting temperatures of over 3000 F. Many different variations of the basic approaches are possible. In the year completed, preliminary experiments were completed which strongly suggest that the method is feasible. The X-ray induced optical fluorescence method appears to be limited to temperatures below roughly 1600 F because of the overwhelming thermal optical radiation. The X-ray induced X-ray fluorescence scheme appears feasible up to very high temperatures. In this system there will be an unknown tradeoff between frequency response, cost, and accuracy. The exact tradeoff can only be estimated. It appears that for thermomechanical tests with cycle times on the order of minutes a very reasonable system may be feasible. The intended applications involve very high temperatures in both materials testing and monitoring component testing. Gas turbine engines, rocket engines, and hypersonic vehicles (NASP) all involve measurement needs that could partially be met by the proposed technology.

Jordan, E. H.↗

Turbulent and directed plasma motions in solar flares

An improved method for fitting asymmetric soft X-ray line profiles from solar flares is presented. A two-component model is used where one component represents the total emission from directed upflow plasma and the other the emission from the plasma at rest. Unlike previous methods, the width of the moving component is independent from that of the stationary component. Time variations of flare plasma characteristics (i.e., temperature, emission measure of moving and stationary plasma, upflow and turbulent velocities) are derived from the Ca XIX and Fe XXV spectra recorded by the Bent Crystal Spectrometer on the Solar Maximum Mission. The fitting technique provides a statistical estimation for the uncertainties in the fitting parameters. The relationship between the directed and turbulent motions has been studied, and a correlation of the random and directed motions has been found in some flares with intensive plasma upflows. Mean temperatures of the upflowing and stationary plasmas are compared for the first time from ratios of calcium to iron X-ray line intensities. Finally, evidence for turbulent motions and the possibility of plasma upflow late into the decay phase is presented and discussed.

Fludra, A.↗

The lunar environment and its effect on optical astronomy

The Moon's geologic environment features: (1) gravity field one-sixth that of Earth; (2) sidereal rotation period of 27.3 days; (3) surface with greater curvature than Earth's surface (a chord along a 10 km baseline would have a bulge of 7.2 m); (4) seismically and tidally stable platform on which to make astronomical observations (most moonquakes have magnitudes of 1 to 2 on the Richter scale, within the earth's seismic noise, resulting in ground motions only 1 nm); (5) tenuous atmosphere (the total mass at night is only 10(exp 4) kg) that has an optical depth of 10(exp -6) and does not cause wind induced stresses and vibrations on structures; (6) large diurnal temperature variation (100 to 385 K in equatorial regions), which telescopes must be designed to withstand; (7) weak magnetic field, ranging from 3 to 330 x 10(exp -9) T, compared to 3 x 10(exp -5) T on Earth at the equator; (8) surface exposed to radiation, the most dangerous of which are high energy (1 to 100 Mev) particles resulting from solar flares; (9) high flux of micrometeorites which are not slowed down from their cosmic velocities because of the lack of air (data indicate that microcraters greater than 10 microns across will form at the rate of 3000/sq m/yr); (10) regolith 2 to 30 m thick which blankets the entire lunar surface (this layer is fine-grained (average grain sizes range from 40 to 268 microns), has a low density (800 to 1000 kg/cu m in the upper few mm, rising to 1500 to 1800 kg/cu m at depths of 10 to 20 cm), is porous (35 to 45 pct), cohesive (0.1 to 1.0 kN/sq m), and has a low thermal diffusivity (0.7 to 1.0 x 110-8 sq m/sec); about 29 pct of the regolith is less than 20 micron in size (this dust could pose a hazard to optical telescopes); (11) rubbly upper several hundred meters in which intact bedrock is uncommon, especially in the lunar highlands; and (12) craters with diameter-to-depth ratios of 5 if fresh and less than km across (larger and eroded craters have diameter-to-depth ratios greater than 5).

Taylor, G. Jeffrey↗

Towards developing an analytical procedure of defining the equatorial electrojet for correcting satellite magnetic anomaly data

Analysis of the total magnetic intensity MAGSAT data has identified and characterized the variability of ionospheric current effects as reflected in the geomagnetic field as a function of longitude, elevation, and time (daily as well as monthly variations). This analysis verifies previous observations in POGO data and provides important boundary conditions for theoretical studies of ionospheric currents. Furthermore, the observations have led to a procedure to remove these temporal perturbations from lithospheric MAGSAT magnetic anomaly data based on 'along-the-dip-latitude' averages from dawn and dusk data sets grouped according to longitudes, time (months), and elevation. Using this method, high-resolution lithospheric magnetic anomaly maps have been prepared of the earth over a plus or minus 50 deg latitude band. These maps have proven useful in the study of the structures, nature, and processes of the lithosphere.

Ravat, Dhananjay↗

Fabrication of an electron multiplier utilizing diamond films

High secondary electron yields (sigma=14-27) from polycrystalline diamond films on Mo substrates have been reported previously. We observed that continuous exposure to an electron beam degraded the secondary yield in vacuum as a function of fluence owing to a loss of surface hydrogen. However, the hydrogen partial pressure could be adjusted such that the high secondary yield remained stable during beam exposure. We have constructed a prototype electron multiplier using these diamond films for use in ultrahigh vacuum. A gain of 0.9 times 10(exp 5) has been measured in a d.c. mode. Palladium, titanium and aluminum nitride have been studied for possible dynode substrate materials which might eliminate the need for hydrogen during operation. Total secondary yields as high as 50 were measured from diamond on palladium and sigma was stable at 25 during heating at 700 K in vacuum. Raman spectroscopy and scanning electron microscopy showed that variations in sigma from diamond films on Pd were due to differing concentrations of non-diamond carbon.

Mearini, G. T.↗

Balance Mass Flux and Velocity Across the Equilibrium Line in Ice Drainage Systems of Greenland

Estimates of balance mass flux and the depth-averaged ice velocity through the cross-section aligned with the equilibrium line are produced for each of six drainage systems in Greenland. (The equilibrium line, which lies at approximately 1200 m elevation on the ice sheet, is the boundary between the area of net snow accumulation at higher elevations and the areas of net melting at lower elevations around the ice sheet.) Ice drainage divides and six major drainage systems are delineated using surface topography from ERS (European Remote Sensing) radar altimeter data. The net accumulation rate in the accumulation zone bounded by the equilibrium line is 399 Gt/yr and net ablation rate in the remaining area is 231 Gt/yr. (1 GigaTon of ice is 1090 kM(exp 3). The mean balance mass flux and depth-averaged ice velocity at the cross-section aligned with the modeled equilibrium line are 0.1011 Gt kM(exp -2)/yr and 0.111 km/yr, respectively, with little variation in these values from system to system. The ratio of the ice mass above the equilibrium line to the rate of mass output implies an effective exchange time of approximately 6000 years for total mass exchange. The range of exchange times, from a low of 3 ka in the SE drainage system to 14 ka in the NE, suggests a rank as to which regions of the ice sheet may respond more rapidly to climate fluctuations.

Zwally, H. Jay↗

Tropical Rainfall Variability on Interannual-to-Interdecadal/Longer-Time Scales Derived from the GPCP Monthly Product

Global and large regional rainfall variations and possible long-term changes are examined using the 26-year (1979-2004) GPCP monthly dataset (Adler et al., 2003). Our emphasis is to discriminate among variations due to ENSO, volcanic events, and possible long-term climate changes in the tropics. Although the global linear change of precipitation in the data set is near zero during the time period, an increase in tropical rainfall is noted, with a weaker decrease over northern hemisphere middle latitudes. Focusing on the tropics (25degS-25degN), the data set indicates an upward trend (0.06 mm/day/decade) and a downward trend (-0.02 mm/day/decade) over tropical ocean and land, respectively. This corresponds to an about 4.9% increase (ocean) and 1.6% decrease (land) during the entire 26-year time period. Techniques are applied to isolate and quantify variations due to ENSO and two major volcanic eruptions (El Chichon, March 1982; Pinatubo, June 1991) in order to examine longer time-scale changes. The ENSO events generally do not impact the tropical total rainfall, but, of course, induce significant anomalies with opposite signs over tropical land and ocean. The impact of the two volcanic eruptions is estimated to be about a 5% reduction in tropical rainfall over both land and ocean. A modified data set (with ENSO and volcano effects removed) retains the same approximate linear change slopes, but with reduced variance, thereby increasing the confidence levels associated with the long-term rainfall changes in the tropics 2

Gu, Guojun↗

Global benefits of non-continuous flooding to reduce greenhouse gases and irrigation water use without rice yield penalty

Non-continuous flooding is an effective practice for reducing greenhouse gas emissions (GHGs) and irrigation water use (IRR) in rice fields. However, advancing global implementation is hampered by the lack of comprehensive understanding of GHGs and IRR reduction benefits without compromising rice yield. Here, we present the largest observational data set for such effects as of yet. By using Random Forest regression models based on 636 field trials at 105 globally georeferenced sites, we identified the key drivers of effects of non-continuous flooding practices and mapped maximum GHGs or IRR reduction benefits under optimal non-continuous flooding strategies. The results show that variation in effects of non-continuous flooding practices are primarily explained by the UnFlooded days Ratio (UFR, that is the ratio of the number of days without standing water in the field to total days of the growing period). Non-continuous flooding practices could be feasible to be adopted in 76% of global rice harvested areas. This would reduce the global warming potential (GWP) of CH4 and N2O combined from rice production by 47% or the total GWP by 7% and alleviate irrigation water use by 25%, while maintaining yield levels. The identified UFR targets far exceed currently observed levels particularly in South and Southeast Asia, suggesting large opportunities for climate mitigation and water use conservation, associated with the rigorous implementation of non-continuous flooding practices in global rice cultivation.

climate change mitigation↗

Northern middle-latitude ozone profile features and trends observed by SBUV and Umkehr, 1979-1990

A comparison of Umkehr ozone profile data with the reprocessed solar backscatter ultraviolet (SBUV) ozone data in the northern middle-latitude region, 30 deg to 50 deg N, is reported. Although significant biases exist between the two types of observations, the long-term variations and least squares linear regression trends agree remarkably well over the comparison period of 1979 to 1990. The ozone trend in the upper stratosphere is of the order of -0.9%/yr. Near 25 km, little if any trend appears, but a larger negative trend is seen in the lower stratosphere near 15 km. Comparisons show that the average annual ozone cycles in the profiles also agree well. The upper stratospheric ozone results are consistent with photochemical model predictions of ozone depletion near 40 km that are due to the release of anthropogenically produced chlorofluorocarbons. The lower stratospheric ozone trend results are in reasonable agreement with published ozonesonde data trends. It is shown that the ozone trends in the lower stratospheric layers impact significantly on the total ozone trend of the order of -0.47%/yr. The good agreement now seen between the two types of observations suggest that the combined ground-based and satellite approach could provide a valuable database for long-term monitoring of stratospheric ozone for trends and extraordinary variations.

Deluisi, J. J.↗

On the interannual variation of the earth radiation balance

The interannual variability of the top of the atmosphere net radiation budget as measured from the Nimbus-7 earth radiation budget instruments was calculated for an eight-year period 1979-1986. The largest fluctuations are shown to occur in three tropical areas: the Atlantic off the west coast of Africa, the eastern Pacific near South America, and the western Pacific northeast of Indonesia. The variability in the Atlantic was 20 percent greater than in the eastern Pacific and 35 percent greater than in the Indonesian area. The maximum anomalies in these two Pacific regions occurred during the El Nino year 1982-1983, while the maximum Atlantic anomalies, south of the Gulf of Guinea, were during 1984. An independent data set of derived cloud type and amount from the Temperature Humidity Infrared Radiometer and the Total Ozone Mapping Spectrometer instruments shows interannual changes in multilevel convective cloud systems have a minimal effect of the net balance. However, changes in middle and low clouds drastically affect the balance, and are the most likely cause of the maximum radiation balance variability in the Gulf of Guinea region. This observed interannual variation of the top of the atmosphere net balance denotes the most variable 'cloud radiative forcing' situation observed to date.

Randel, David L.↗

Solar Rotational Modulations of Spectral Irradiance and Correlations with the Variability of Total Solar Irradiance

Aims: We characterize the solar rotational modulations of spectral solar irradiance (SSI) and compare them with the corresponding changes of total solar irradiance (TSI). Solar rotational modulations of TSI and SSI at wavelengths between 120 and 1600 nm are identified over one hundred Carrington rotational cycles during 2003-2013. Methods: The SORCE (Solar Radiation and Climate Experiment) and TIMED (Thermosphere Ionosphere Mesosphere Energetics and Dynamics)/SEE (Solar EUV Experiment) measured and SATIRE-S modeled solar irradiances are analyzed using the EEMD (Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition) method to determine the phase and amplitude of 27-day solar rotational variation in TSI and SSI. Results: The mode decomposition clearly identifies 27-day solar rotational variations in SSI between 120 and 1600 nm, and there is a robust wavelength dependence in the phase of the rotational mode relative to that of TSI. The rotational modes of visible (VIS) and near infrared (NIR) are in phase with the mode of TSI, but the phase of the rotational mode of ultraviolet (UV) exhibits differences from that of TSI. While it is questionable that the VIS to NIR portion of the solar spectrum has yet been observed with sufficient accuracy and precision to determine the 11-year solar cycle variations, the temporal variations over one hundred cycles of 27-day solar rotation, independent of the two solar cycles in which they are embedded, show distinct solar rotational modulations at each wavelength.

Spectral Solar Irradiance↗

The variations of CO and O3 concentrations in a region subject to biomass burning

Carbon monoxide (CO) and ozone (O3) concentrations have been observed in the Brazilian Amazon region, at a site strongly affected by biomass burning (Cuiaba, 16 deg S, 58 deg W). Time variations are described for the first long-term program of studying the effect of biomass burning on O3 and CO over a complete seasonal cycle, including the seasonal maxima of 1987 and 1988. In order to obtain elements for comparison, an identical observational program was maintained at a site totally outside of the direct influence of biomass burning (Natal, 6 deg S, 35 deg W). The biomass burning contribution to the Cuiaba concentrations of CO and O3 is very large. Diurnal maxima concentrations exceeded 90 ppbv O3 in 1987 and 120 ppbv O3 in 1988, in September. For the wet season, the monthly average ozone concentration in March-April is about 10 ppbv. During the month of maxima, September, the O3 concentration average was 41 ppbv for 1987 and 71 ppbv for 1988. The CO concentrations are about 90 ppbv in the wet season. In September, 460 ppbv and 660 ppbv of CO were observed for 1987 and 1988, respectively. At Natal the seasonal variation is of the order of a factor of 2. During the wet season, the concentrations of CO and O3 at both stations are about the same.

Kirchhoff, V. W. J. H.↗

Weak boundary conditions for Lagrangian shock hydrodynamics: A high-order finite element implementation on curved boundaries

Here, we propose a new Nitsche-type approach for weak enforcement of normal velocity boundary conditions for a Lagrangian discretization of the compressible shock-hydrodynamics equations using high-order finite elements on curved boundaries. Specifically, the variational formulation is appropriately modified to enforce free-slip wall boundary conditions, without perturbing the structure of the function spaces used to represent the solution, with a considerable simplification with respect to traditional approaches. Total energy is conserved and the resulting mass matrices are constant in time. The robustness and accuracy of the proposed method are validated with an extensive set of tests involving nontrivial curved boundaries.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

In-situ and in-operando analysis of voltage losses using sense wires for proton exchange membrane water electrolyzers

Proton exchange membrane water electrolyzer development requires understanding processes at the materials and interface levels to reach the required performance and lifetime targets for increasing market penetration. To achieve the required progress, it is critical to develop advanced in-situ diagnostics that allow observation of the changes that come with the reduction of catalyst loading combined with long-term intermittent operation. This work presents an internal voltage sensing method that enables observing internal voltage drops in an operating electrolyzer cell. It allows the total cell resistance to be separated into anode, CCM, and cathode resistance. The method is demonstrated by operating cells with different anode porous transport layers (PTLs). The changing properties of the PTLs result in significant variations of the resistances. Enhancing the PTL properties with a protective coating reduces the anode resistance significantly. In addition to these observations, the method enables a real-time monitoring of resistance related values that impact performance in water electrolyzers. Long-term experiments with the method allow us to gain insights into processes that occur during operation such as conditioning or degradation. The internal voltage sensing method presented in this study is a novel technique for diagnosing, analyzing, and optimizing water electrolyzers and other energy conversion devices.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Reusable Aerospace Passenger Transport - Study of Incremental Development Approaches Summary Report

This report summarizes the results of studies of economical orbital transportation systems, exploring, in particular , possible options for time - phases and incremental development of such systems. The major conclusions are : 1. Incremental development is a practical way for development of an economic logistics system, minimizing development risk and annual funding, and offering planning flexibility at only a nominal penalty in total systems cost. 2. The most promising first development appears to be that of a re- usable payload carrier with a capacity of 9 to 12 passengers. 3. Systems comparisons show that, for the foreseeable variations of the mission market, a partially reusable concept could bring about most of the program savings that can be expected from reusability at moderate development risk and funding rate. 4. A further development leading to a fully reusable system has high risk and uncertain payoff. Conceivably, at that time, a more advanced concept might be introduced.

Dietrich W Fellenz↗