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At least 1,567 records · Page 87

VRN3P: Variational Recurrent Neural Network Based Net-Load Prediction under High Solar Penetration

This is the final technical report for the SETO-funded VRN3P project (PNNL# 76914). The goal of this project, led by Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), in collaboration with Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) and Portland General Electric (PGE), was to develop and validate a deep variational recurrent neural network-based net-load prediction (VRN3P) framework for probabilistic time-series forecasting of day-ahead net-load under high solar penetration scenarios. The project team reports successful design of a novel probabilistic net-load forecasting architecture, comprising of a variational autoencoder and a recurrent neural network, which demonstrates 30% improvement in forecast performance, 60% improvement in training time, and consumes 44% less memory, when compared with conventional baseline models. The team tested the VRN3P model performance on GridLAB-D test-cases representing varying BTM solar penetration levels of 20%, 30%, and 50%, with integrated time-series net-load profiles provided by the utility partner (PGE). The VRN3P model demonstrate <2% hourly MAPE (averaged over the year) for day- ahead net-load forecast on the test scenario with 20% BTM solar. Transfer learning extension of the VRN3P model has demonstrated 8.33× speed-up in training, while still achieving acceptable forecast performance of 2.24% hourly MAPE on the 30% BTM solar penetration test-scenario. A preliminary version of the VRN3P GridAPPS-D™has been developed, along with a web-based interactive user-interface (named ‘Forte’) which has made available on GitHub for public use.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Development and performance evaluation of active insulation systems using solid-state thermal switches

Traditional building envelopes have passive insulation systems that cannot respond to dynamic changes in the environment. An Active Insulation System (AIS) consists of Active Insulation Materials (AIMs) that dynamically vary the thermal conductivity of the insulation system. Several researchers have evaluated the impact of AIS on building thermal and energy performance by using simulation tools. Up to 70% savings in annual heating and cooling energy and significant reductions in peak demand have been predicted for some climates with wall systems employing AIS. However, materials and assembly development still need a cost-effective product that achieves the required performance. Here, in this study, we present the process of developing an AIS that we will install in a test hut for its performance evaluation. Minimum performance criteria of the AIS system are developed based on R-low/R-high ratio, required time and efficiency to switch states, and cost estimates. The following steps during this study are creating the concept to meet the requirements, predicting the performance via simulations, developing the experimental setup for bench-scale testing, and finally, constructing a full-scale wall assembly and monitoring the performance when exposed to environmental chamber tests. The selected approach uses off-the-shelf products to create an AIS that can switch R-value between 0.98 ft 2 ·°F·h/BTU (0.173 m 2 ·K/W) and 5.81 ft 2 ·°F·h/BTU (1.02 m 2 ·K/W) and have a switching time of less than one minute between R-high and R-low.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

ExaCA: A performance portable exascale cellular automata application for alloy solidification modeling

Modeling the as-solidified grain structures that form during alloy processing is a critical component in understanding process-property relationships, particularly for additive manufacturing (AM) where grain structure is very sensitive to processing conditions. While cellular automata (CA)-based models have proven able to predict aspects of microstructure for several alloys and AM process conditions, long run times and large resource sets required limit the utility and the problem size to which existing CA models can be applied. As part of the ExaAM project, an initiative within the Exascale Computing Project (ECP) to develop, test, and optimize an exascale-capable coupled and self-consistent model of AM parts, we developed ExaCA (https://github.com/LLNL/ExaCA) for the liquid–solid phase transformation in the wake of AM melt pools. The CA-based code is parallelized using MPI and the Kokkos programming model, the latter enabling simulation on both CPUs and GPUs within a single-source implementation. Here, we detail the steps taken to transform a baseline, MPI-based CA code into one that is performant on CPUs and GPUs. Performance testing of ExaCA on Summit (a pre-exascale machine at Oak Ridge National Laboratory) was used to quantify CPU–GPU speedup comparing with equal numbers of nodes. Testing showed comparable CPU performance to the MPI-only CA code and a 5-20x speedup when running AM-based test problems using GPUs. The improved performance of CA through GPU utilization and the performance portable nature of ExaCA will enable accurate part-scale modeling by harnessing the power of current and future generations of high performance computing resources. Future work will include improving the strong scaling of ExaCA on GPUs by reducing load imbalance associated with the locality of the problem, and continuing performance optimization across exascale hardware.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Results of FY 2023 Alloy 617 and Alloy 709 High-Temperature Crack-Growth Testing

This report summarizes the work performed at Idaho National Laboratory under the “Creep, fatigue and creep-fatigue crack growth tests” task of the “Long-Term VHTR Material Qualification – INL” work package. Work was performed this year to validate the crack growth monitoring setup used with the test frames against both continuous crack length monitoring using an optical camera, as well as post-mortem analysis of marker bands on the fracture surface. Delays prevented the use of a gauge to measure load-line displacement for early tests, and so the creep-fatigue crack growth setup was evaluated using the actuator displacement for a load-line displacement setup. While not ideal, this allowed examination of the shortcomings with the current software setup that was originally designed for performing stress corrosion crack growth rate studies. The method for data collection was modified to link the crack growth monitoring software with Instron’s Wave Matrix software. Once the load-line displacement gauge arrived, the crack growth equipment was successfully modified to permit continuous monitoring of both load-line displacement and crack length. This is critical for creep-fatigue and creep crack growth rate studies for ductile material, as it permits the C* and Ct analyses. Test results are shown for Alloy 617 fatigue and creep-fatigue (without the gauge for load-line displacement measurements), as well as creep-fatigue of Alloy 709, which was performed with the completed test setup, allowing for crack length and load-line displacement monitoring.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Methods for Evaluating DC Arc Incident Energy in PV Systems: Preprint

Renewable energy systems continue to be one of the fastest growing segments of the energy industry. This paper focuses on the understanding of how photovoltaic (PV) technology behaves under dc arc conditions. Emphasis is placed on the electrical safety aspect of DC arc flash incident energy evaluation. Because of the fast proliferation of PV systems and the lack of formal equivalent calculation guidelines such as IEEE 1584 for AC systems, it has been necessary to rely on different equations and models presented by various researchers over the last few years. This paper discusses the behavior of PV systems under arc conditions and presents the results of available methods to estimate the dc arc flash incident energy. This paper provides a comparative analysis of a proposed arc-flash incident energy calculation method against different laboratory tests including those performed by NREL. Detailed explanations are provided regarding the effect of PV module I-V and P-V curves under arcing conditions. Examples of the application of the proposed calculation method to the test measurements are included.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Characterization of BNL and HPK AC-LGAD sensors with a 120 GeV proton beam

We present measurements of AC-LGADs performed at the Fermilab's test beam facility using 120 GeV protons. Here we studied the performance of various strip and pad AC-LGAD sensors that were produced by BNL and HPK. The measurements are performed with our upgraded test beam setup that utilizes a high precision telescope tracker, and a simultaneous readout of up to 7 channels per sensor, which allows detailed studies of signal sharing characteristics. These measurements allow us to assess the differences in designs between different manufacturers, and optimize them based on experimental performance. We then study several reconstruction algorithms to optimize position and time resolutions that utilize the signal sharing properties of each sensor. We present a world's first demonstration of silicon sensors in a test beam that simultaneously achieve better than 6–10 μm position and 30 ps time resolution. This represents a substantial improvement to the spatial resolution than would be obtained with binary readout of sensors with similar pitch.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

A Comparison of Emerging Nonfluoropolymer-Based Coextruded PV Backsheets to Industry-Benchmark Technologies

As the photovoltaic (PV) industry is rapidly expanding around the world, there has been an increasing interest in extending the lifespan of PV modules. Concern has also emerged regarding the recyclability of modules and their component materials, including fluoropolymer-based backsheets. Laminated polyethylene-terephthalate (PET) core backsheets have traditionally been used in the PV industry, but new, coextruded polyolefin (PO) backsheets show promise as an improved alternative. In this work, minimodule and coupon samples of seven different backsheets (made of layers including contemporary PET and fluoropolymers, novel PO, and polyamide materials) were run through hygrometric- or UV photolytic-accelerated aging to identify and better understand each material's degradation modes and the backsheets' field reliability. In addition to the artificial aging, the natural weathering methods used in this article are described. The comprehensive set of chemical, mechanical, and structural characterizations at intermittent read points in this article is presented, including: visual appearance and color; gloss; mechanical tensile testing; I-V performance; electroluminescence (EL) imaging; dielectric breakdown; Fourier-transform infrared-chemical structure; X-ray-polymer structure; and differential scanning calorimetry-crystalline content. After 4000 h of aging, a strong correlation occurs between initial physical characteristics (mechanical tensile test) and operating performance (EL and I-V characteristics).

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

FY23 Report on Water NSTF Testing at Two-Phase Conditions: Off-normal Scenarios

Under support from the Department of Energy (DOE) and the Office of Advanced Reactor Technologies (ART), a large-scale test facility has been constructed at Argonne National Laboratory to generate NQA-1 qualified validation data for passive decay heat removal systems in advanced reactors. The Natural convection Shutdown heat removal Test Facility (NSTF) reflects key features of a ½ scale, water-based, Reactor Cavity Cooling System (RCCS) and is intended to study the behavior, bound performance, and ultimately guide design decisions for passive decay heat removal systems for advanced reactors. In addition to the experimental activities detailed in this report, a supportive computational modeling effort is on-going which has been demonstrated to significantly strengthen the experimental program while also improving accuracy of the computer models. Together these create a mutually beneficial relationship integral to meeting the overall program objective of examining the heat removal performance of the RCCS concept. This report details the experimental activities and upgrades performed during the program’s fifth year of water-based operation. The theme of this year of testing was examining off-normal scenarios. In practice, that meant examining scenarios with blockages or other design basis conditions. From a maintenance and capability standpoint that meant assessing valving options for implementing blockages, assessing drain and refill capabilities, and ensuring in all cases that operators could safely, efficiently, and repeatably bring the facility to an off-normal condition and return it to the normal operating state. In one notable case, no solution existed, nor was a solution commercially available, that met the facility needs for implementing blockages within the two-phase region of the chimney. A valve and feedthrough were custom-designed for NSTF to operate submerged in saturated water while being safely actuated from outside the tank. The fifth year of testing included eight matrix tests consisting of 162 hours of active heating, 9,735 kWh of electrical heating, with seven tests classified as Accepted per NQA-1 and one as Trending. All matrix tests were performed at two-phase flow conditions. The power parametric series from previous years was extended to include another scenario with a decay load equivalent to 1.75 MWt, full scale, further resolving the system flow oscillation response as a function of input power. A depletion test was performed to extend previous work and examine the system’s approach to stagnation and geysering that were not previously observed. This test began at an initial inventory level of 50%, prototypic power of 2.1 MWt, and employed an accelerated drain of 0.75 gpm plus boiloff until stagnation conditions were achieved and multiple geysering events were recorded. Further exploring the geysering phenomenon was a separate effects test examining static boiling in the risers and chimney. This static boiling test was performed at 48 kWe, a higher power than testing in the previous year, and included enhancements to the drain system to remove inventory in a better-controlled and more reliable manner. Two tests were performed, at prototypic conditions of 1.4 MWt and 2.4 MWt, respectively, examining the system response to throttled conditions in the singlephase region of the piping. A ball valve immediately before he riser inlet header was increasingly throttled, progressing the system through a repeatable pattern of two-phase oscillations and stable regimes before ultimately inducing stagnation and geysering. Concluding the year, two tests were performed at baseline conditions of 70% initial inventory level and 2.1 MWt of prototypic decay heat to examine both repeatability and the response to throttling within the two-phase region, at the inventory tank inlet using the custom valve mentioned above. The first such test repeated transient operating conditions and revealed significant sensitivity t

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Heteroatom-Doped Flash Graphene

Heteroatom doping can effectively tailor the local structures and electronic states of intrinsic two-dimensional materials, and endow them with modified optical, electrical, and mechanical properties. Recent studies have shown the feasibility of preparing doped graphene from graphene oxide and its derivatives via some post-treatments, including solid-state and solvothermal methods, but they require reactive and harsh reagents. However, direct synthesis of various heteroatom-doped graphene in larger quantities and high purity through bottom-up methods remains challenging. Here, we report catalyst-free and solvent-free direct synthesis of graphene doped with various heteroatoms in bulk via flash Joule heating (FJH). Seven types of heteroatom-doped flash graphene (FG) are synthesized through millisecond flashing, including single-element-doped FG (boron, nitrogen, oxygen, phosphorus, sulfur), two-element-co-doped FG (boron and nitrogen), as well as three-element-co-doped FG (boron, nitrogen, and sulfur). Here, a variety of low-cost dopants, such as elements, oxides, and organic compounds are used. The graphene quality of heteroatom-doped FG is high, and similar to intrinsic FG, the material exhibits turbostraticity, increased interlayer spacing, and superior dispersibility. Electrochemical oxygen reduction reaction of different heteroatom-doped FG is tested, and sulfur-doped FG shows the best performance. Lithium metal battery tests demonstrate that nitrogen-doped FG exhibits a smaller nucleation overpotential compared to Cu or undoped FG. The electrical energy cost for the synthesis of heteroatom-doped FG synthesis is only 1.2 to 10.7 kJ g –1 , which could render the FJH method suitable for low-cost mass production of heteroatom-doped graphene.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Time projection chamber for GADGET II

The established Gaseous Detector with Germanium Tagging (GADGET) detection system is used to measure weak, low-energy 𝛽-delayed proton decays. It consists of the Gaseous Proton Detector equipped with a MICROMEGAS (MM) readout to detect protons and other charged particles calorimetrically, surrounded by the Segmented Germanium Array (SeGA) for high-resolution detection of prompt 𝛾 rays. To upgrade GADGET's Proton Detector to operate as a compact time projection chamber (TPC) for the detection, three-dimensional imaging and identification of low-energy 𝛽-delayed single- and multiparticle emissions mainly of interest to astrophysical studies. A new high granularity MM board with 1024 pads has been designed, fabricated, installed, and tested. A high-density data acquisition system based on generic electronics for TPCs (GET) has been installed and optimized to record and process the gas avalanche signals collected on the readout pads. The TPC's performance has been tested using a 220 Rn 𝛼-particle source and cosmic-ray muons. In addition, decay events in the TPC have been simulated by adapting the attpcroot data analysis framework. Furthermore, a novel application of two-dimensional convolutional neural networks for GADGET II event classification is introduced. The optimization of data throughput is also addressed. The GADGET II TPC is capable of detecting and identifying 𝛼 particles as well as measuring their track direction, range, and energy. The extracted energy resolution of the GADGET II TPC using P10 gas is about 5.4% at 6.288 MeV ( 220 Rn 𝛼 events), computed using charge integration. Based on a systematic simulation study, we estimated the detection efficiency of the GADGET II TPC for protons and 𝛼 particles, respectively. It has also been demonstrated that the GADGET II TPC is capable of tracking minimum-ionizing particles (i.e., cosmic-ray muons). From these measurements, the electron drift velocity was measured under typical operating conditions. In addition to being one of the first generation of micropattern gaseous detectors (MPGDs) to utilize a resistive anode applied to low-energy nuclear physics, the GADGET II TPC will also be the first TPC surrounded by a high-efficiency array of high-purity germanium 𝛾-ray detectors. As a result, the TPC of GADGET II has been designed, fabricated, and tested and is ready for operation at the Facility for Rare Isotope Beams for radioactive-beam-line experiments.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

A Comparison of Emerging and Industry Benchmark Photovoltaic Backsheets Between Different Outdoor Locations

Recent interest within the photovoltaic (PV) module industry is largely directed toward enhanced lifetimes in the field, balanced with improved recyclability. Traditionally, fluoropolymer-based backsheets have been used, however, are difficult to recycle. Emerging polyolefin (PO)-based backsheets are more recyclable and can be formulated to be robust. Properties of different fluoropolymer- and non-fluoropolymer-based backsheet coupons and in encapsulated silicon mini modules that have been fielded in Albuquerque, NM and Cocoa, FL are reported here. Seven backsheets were examined: two novel PO's, TPT, APO, PPE, AAA, and KPf. Methods of examination include module electrical performance (I - V flash test), surface morphology (optical microscope and gloss), polymer chemical structure (FTIR), EL imaging, mechanical tensile testing, DC breakdown voltage, DSC (phase transitions), and optical performance (reflectance spectra).

industries↗

Topology-Aware Reinforcement Learning for Voltage Control: Centralized and Decentralized Strategies

Volt-VAR control (VVC) methods based on deep reinforcement learning (DRL) can effectively control distribution grid voltage and minimize power loss by implementing corrective and preventive control measures on the reactive power output of inverter-based distributed energy resources (DERs). However, model-free DRL-based VVC approaches usually cannot capture the important topological feature of the power system since they use a fully-connected network (FCN) to deliver the action. Therefore, this paper proposes a graph convolutional network (GCN)-based DRL approach that can employ the topological information of the network to take better control action for regulating the voltage. Our implementation allows for both centralized and decentralized configurations, utilizing a single agent and multiple agents respectively. Although the centralized GCN-based DRL approach has its advantages of minimizing voltage fluctuation and power loss, it is not suitable for large scale power systems due to its challenges in terms of scalability, computation speed and potential single points of failure. Therefore, these problems can be resolved using the decentralized GCN-based DRL approach. Moreover, to ensure the safe operation of the model, our proposed approach incorporates an exponential barrier function while formulating the reward function for each agent. To validate performance of the proposed approaches, the proposed model is tested on modified IEEE test systems and the performances are measured in terms on voltage fluctuation reduction, minimization of power loss and computational speed. Finally, the results show that the proposed topology-aware approach outperforms the FCN-based DRL approach in terms of reducing voltage fluctuation and minimizing power loss of the network. Moreover, it is shown that the decentralized GCN-based DRL has faster computational speed than other approaches.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DARHT Radiographic Analysis of Spatially Modulated Objects

This document describes some analysis methods that can be performed using the Kaleidoscope test object (KTO) in order to assess DARHT radiography performance. The goal of these methods is to provide a simple metric of radiographic performance to compare different system configurations at DARHT. Specifically, these methods can be used to assess the Tiffany configurations to determine relative radiographic performance. To demonstrate the methods, we show results analysis performed on the ‘Tiffany A’ shot conducted in July 2021.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

A Cybersecurity Testbed for Smart Buildings

Smart buildings are equipped with a plethora of cyber-physical systems, such as Internet of Things (IoT) devices and building automation systems. These devices, especially in commercial buildings, use legacy communications and hardware that were not designed with cybersecurity in mind. With increasing cyber threats in recent years, smart buildings have become an increasing target for attacks, but not enough published data are available from these incidents to study or replicate the scenarios to defend buildings. As part of the U.S. Department of Energy-funded project focusing on developing the Building Intelligence with Layered Defense Using Security-Constrained Optimization and Security Risk Detection (BUILD-SOS) platform, we developed a cybersecurity test bed for smart buildings. This test bed includes a building simulation tool, virtual devices, emulated operational technology networks, and remote hardware-in-the-loop. Using this test bed, we performed different cyberattacks on the smart building model and collected both physical building data, to understand the impacts on the building, and network data, to aid in separating mechanical faults from cyberattacks during the detection. This test bed is a significant tool in protecting smart buildings from cyberattacks because it can aid in both cybersecurity analysis and the evaluation of other cyberattack detection tools by testing the tools in a secure environment without impacting the building operations.

cyber-physical systems↗

A Cybersecurity Testbed for Smart Buildings

Smart buildings are equipped with a plethora of cyber-physical systems, such as Internet of Things (IoT) devices and building automation systems. These devices, especially in commercial buildings, use legacy communications and hardware that were not designed with cybersecurity in mind. With increasing cyber threats in recent years, smart buildings have become an increasing target for attacks, but not enough published data are available from these incidents to study or replicate the scenarios to defend buildings. As part of the U.S. Department of Energy-funded project focusing on developing the Building Intelligence with Layered Defense Using Security-Constrained Optimization and Security Risk Detection (BUILD-SOS) platform, we developed a cybersecurity test bed for smart buildings. This test bed includes a building simulation tool, virtual devices, emulated operational technology networks, and remote hardware-in-the-loop. Using this test bed, we performed different cyberattacks on the smart building model and collected both physical building data, to understand the impacts on the building, and network data, to aid in separating mechanical faults from cyberattacks during the detection. This test bed is a significant tool in protecting smart buildings from cyberattacks because they can aid in both cybersecurity analysis and the evaluation of cyberattack detection tools by testing the tools in a secure environment without impacting the building operations.

alfalfa↗

Destructive Examination of a FeCrAl-UO 2 Irradiation Test

Several destructive postirradiation examinations were performed on an irradiation specimen that coupled an early iron-chromium-aluminum (FeCrAl) candidate alloy cladding with UO2 pellets. This irradiation test was designed to investigate the early life performance and compatibility of the FeCrAl-UO 2 cladding-fuel system under prototypic light water reactor neutronic conditions. Additionally, these tests were expected to provide neutron irradiated samples for severe accident testing of this fuel system. The irradiation studied in this work was part of the ATF-1 series of drop-in style irradiations performed in the Idaho National Laboratory Advanced Test Reactor. The rodlet studied in this work is one of three similar rodlets irradiated in ATF-1 that had approximately 7.6 cm of cladding machined from a wrought FeCrAl alloy and fueled with a 6.1 cm stack of UO 2 pellets. The outer diameter of the cladding was ~0.94 cm and the inner diameter was ~0.83 cm. After irradiation and non-destructive examination in Idaho this rodlet was shipped to the Oak Ridge National Laboratory hot-cells for further examination. The irradiated rodlet was sectioned into several samples for microstructural, micromechanical, and severe accident testing. During sectioning, it was noted that the fuel was not firmly bonded to the cladding and could be readily removed from small cladding slices. Microstructural characterization of fuel cross sections also revealed no significant interaction between the fuel and the cladding. Samples were also prepared for microhardness testing. To prepare for high temperature oxidation testing, the fuel was dissolved from segments of the cladding. High temperature oxidation testing of cladding segments was performed at 1200°C and 1300°C in a steam environment. Comparisons between the oxidation of this FeCrAl alloy in its neutron irradiated state, as-fabricated state, and the oxidation of Zircaloy-2 are made. The oxidation testing will be followed by ring compression testing to evaluate ductility. The microstructure of the samples after oxidation and ring compression testing will also be analyzed.

Harp, Jason↗

A fiber-coupled dispersion interferometer for density measurements of pulsed power transmission line electron sheaths on Sandia’s Z machine

A fiber-coupled Dispersion Interferometer (DI) is being developed to measure the electron density of plasmas formed in power flow regions, such as magnetically insulated transmission lines, on Sandia National Laboratories (SNL’s) Z machine [D. B. Sinars et al., Phys. Plasmas 27, 070501 (2020)]. The diagnostic operates using a fiber-coupled 1550 nm CW laser with frequency-doubling to 775 nm. The DI is expected to be capable of line-average density measurements between ∼1013 and 1019 cm−2. Initial testing has been performed on a well-characterized RF lab plasma [A. G. Lynn et al., Rev. Sci. Instrum. 80, 103501 (2009)] at the University of New Mexico to quantify the density resolution lower limits of the DI. Initial testing of the DI has demonstrated line-average electron density measurements within 9% of results acquired via a 94 GHz mm wave interferometer for line densities of ∼1 × 1014 cm−2, despite significant differences in probe beam geometries. The instrument will next be utilized for measurements on a ∼1 MA-scale pulsed power driver {MYKONOS [N. Bennett et al., Phys. Rev. Accel. Beams 22, 120401 (2019)] at SNL} before finally being deployed on SNL’s Z machine. The close electrode spacing (mm scale) on Z requires probe beam sizes of ∼1 mm, which can only be obtained with visible or near infrared optical systems, as opposed to longer wavelength mm wave systems that would normally be chosen for this range of density.

Hines, N. R. (ORCID:0000000315316465)↗

Modeling Validation of Mechanical and Thermal Borehole Breakouts From Polyaxial Laboratory Tests to Determine Maximum Horizontal in Situ Stress

To accurately assess rock behavior in the deep subsurface, it is necessary to measure the in situ stress directions and magnitudes. The current methods for measuring the in situ stress state in the deep subsurface primarily include hydraulic fracturing tests (i.e., the minimum horizontal stress) or occasionally observing existing compressive borehole breakouts (i.e., the maximum horizontal stress) that have occurred naturally from drilling. If there are no existing compressive breakouts in a borehole, the maximum horizontal in situ stress cannot be estimated with much confidence. In response to this data gap, a new thermal breakout technology is being developed that will provide a method for thermally inducing borehole breakouts and obtaining consistent measurements of the maximum horizontal stress magnitude. This thermal breakout technology involves heating the borehole and increasing the thermoelastic compressive stress in the rock until a breakout develops, which is directly correlated to the maximum horizontal stress magnitude. In support of developing the thermal breakout technology, polyaxial laboratory tests have been performed on small-scale boreholes within rock blocks where mechanically- and thermally-induced borehole breakouts have been created. Numerical models along with the principal of superposition were created and used to analyze the polyaxial laboratory tests to predict the maximum horizontal stress, given the same data that would be obtained in an actual subsurface borehole thermal breakout test. Multiple failure criteria were used to evaluate the best prediction of the breakout onset and maximum horizontal stress. The maximum horizontal stress predictions were compared to the actual maximum horizontal stress applied at breakout using acoustic events recorded from emission sensors in the polyaxial tests. The results showed consistent results that could be used to refine the modeling approach and failure criterion that are used to make the maximum horizontal stress predictions. This study provided insight and validation for the thermal breakout stress measurement concept.

Jones, Matt↗