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At least 1,567 records · Page 87

Liquid Condensation and Solidification Behavior of Hydrogen Isotopes in Foams

A foam shell, 1.2 mm outer diameter with a 35 μm thick foam layer, is used to quickly form a solid deuterium layer for ICF. Figures show the visible light microscope image and a corresponding schematic representation. In each case, images show the empty foam shell, with the dark and light patches due to the foam imperfections; the foam shell with liquid deuterium filling the foam (in this case, the liquid level exceeds the foam level because the deuterium will shrink when it freezes); and an image of the shell taken 10 minutes after the center image, after the temperature was reduced by 2 K to freeze the deuterium. This image shows that the majority of the solid deuterium has no observable defects, with the exception of the isolated crystal that formed on the foam surface. The next step is to get the correct level of liquid and cooling rate to prevent the extra crystal on the surface. In contrast, typical ICF DT fuel layers require ~13 hours to solidify in order to be defect free with a success rate of approximately 20%.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Magnetostrictive Cold Spray Sensor Feasibility Assessment

Ultrasound sensors and inspection systems are frequently used to generate acoustic waves in metal structures capable of detecting and characterizing cracks, pits, erosion, inclusions, weld anomalies, and other material and structural features. One significant problem with piezoelectric transducers is the difficulty to achieve good coupling between the transducer and the surface being examined. This is particularly true in harsh conditions with high temperatures, cyclical hot and cold temperatures, highly radioactive fields found near nuclear reactors or spent nuclear fuel, caustic or corrosive fluids, and other extreme environmental conditions, as well as in long-term monitoring applications where repair or replacement of the sensor is difficult or expensive. Typically, coupling between the surface and the transducer is achieved with water, gel, grease, viscous shear coupling material, or pressure, which might not be possible or appropriate for long-term applications in which the impedance -matching materials wear away, evaporate, or simply stop functioning due to changes in surface conditions. Fluid couplings can evaporate or drain away from the transducer-substrate interface; glue- based couplings may foul or fail and are notoriously unreliable at high temperatures and in radioactive environments. This work explores the behavior of a magnetostrictive cold-spray patch that is metallurgically bonded to a stainless steel inspection target surface, and compares it to the performance of a standard adhesively-bonded ferrous-cobalt magnetostrictive strip solution. Cold-spray is a coating process where 10 –100 micron diameter powdered metal is accelerated to Mach 2 to Mach 3 (2–3 × speed of sound) and impacted on the surface to be coated. Each powder particle forms a kinetic bond with the substrate or other coating particles to produce a metallurgically bonded layer. If the powder is nickel or cobalt with high magnetostrictive coefficients, this surface can serve as the base of a magnetostrictive sensor suitable for crack or pitting-damage inspection and monitoring that is not subject to temporal or environmental degradation.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Expanding the computational frontier of multi-scale atmospheric simulation to advance understanding of low cloud / climate feedbacks: Final Technical Report

Marine boundary layer clouds are a challenge for climate models. They cover much of the oceans, but they are driven by small-scale turbulent eddies only a few hundred meters across, which in turn respond to the cloud formation. Global climate models have a grid spacing that is far too large to simulate such fluid motions, so they parameterize these cloud formation processes. Different climate modeling groups have designed different parameterizations in which the clouds turn out to be differently sensitive to a warming climate. This drives uncertainties in our best guess at the sensitivity of global warming to greenhouse gas increases. If these cloud-forming eddies could be directly simulated using the well-known equations of fluid motion, they would no longer need to be parameterized, removing a major source of climate modeling uncertainty. In this project, we overcame software engineering challenges to successfully implemented ‘ultraparameterization’ (UP), the first global model that does this, and we tested how well it works. We simulated five-year periods with present-day temperatures and with a warmer climate, and we investigated how the UP-simulated clouds responded to climate – the ‘cloud feedback’ problem. We found little response of clouds at all latitudes to the imposed climate change, which is within the range of predictions of conventional global climate models. UP is a variation on superparameterization, in which small cloud-resolving models (CRMs) are embedded in each column of the global model. In UP, the CRM grid is fine enough (250 m horizontal × 20 m vertical) to explicitly capture boundary-layer turbulent eddies and associated clouds. Because only one small columnar patch is simulated within each climate model grid cell, this is a million-fold more efficient than simulating the entire globe on this same CRM grid., but achieves much of the same effect for the cloud properties. It doesn’t work perfectly. For instance, like conventional climate models, UP simulates too little subtropical stratocumulus cloud, a bias that we are continuing to work to reduce. However, because it directly simulates the turbulent cloud-forming processes, UP is inherently more plausible for simulating how clouds will change in a perturbed climate. In future, we hope to apply UP to another key climate modeling issue: cloud-aerosol interaction and the effect of human-produced aerosols on the climate change we have already experienced and that which is likely to come.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Multi-layer Printing of Complex Antennas Using Aerosol Jet Technology (CRADA NFE-18-07315 Final Report)

This project demonstrated the feasibility of producing multilayer radio-frequency (RF) and microwave-frequency components using aerosol jet additive manufacturing technology. Funded by the U.S. Department of energy, Advanced Manufacturing Office, this effort focused on novel stacked component designs for devices such as antennas, electronic filters, resistive/inductive/capacitive (RLC) components, and transmission lines. Our approach to RF/microwave component fabrication by aerosol jet printing has the potential to reduce component size, improve performance characteristics, and allow devices to be fabricated on non-planar surfaces. Specifically, folded micro-patch antenna designs were fabricated by stacking layers of conductors and dielectrics printed in sequence using Optomec’s aerosol jet technology. ORNL supported the effort by providing design input on printing parameters and characterizing the performance of printed structures. ORNL identified suitable stacked antenna designs, produced finite element models (FEM) in high-frequency simulation software (HFSS), and provided the designs to Optomec for printing. After printing, the devices were tested and characterized at ORNL to determine the frequency response and material characteristics of the printed components. These proof-of-principle devices will provide feedback on printing parameters, optimizations for the FEM models, and a path for more complex multilayer device designs.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Mapping of orthogonal 2D flux coordinates for two nearby magnetic X-points to logically rectangular domains

The behavior of plasmas in configurations with magnetic null points is of potential interest for a number of systems. Such nulls, sometimes referred to as X-points, a name strictly valid only for wellseparated nulls where magnetic separatrices cross at a right angle, may occur in only one component of the magnetic field, such as the poloidal field in a tokamak. Numerical simulations are often used to study and predict turbulence and transport in such systems. For cases with strong magnetic field such that the ion and electron gyro-frequencies are much larger that particle collision frequencies, there is a strong anisotropy in the plasma transport along the magnetic field compared to across the field. Because of the strong anisotropy, it is often advantageous for simulations to use a coordinate system based on magnetic flux surfaces together with a coordinate orthogonal to the flux surfaces. This report presents the topological considerations needed to construct the mapping on an orthogonal flux-surface mesh onto a logically rectangular domain often used in simulation codes of the divertor region of tokamaks having two nearby X-points, thus extending the mapping now common single-null or well-separated double nullpoint cases with one null located at the top and bottom of the device. This extension is especially relevant to study the capability of snowflake divertors in tokamaks for reducing the peak heat flux of exhaust plasma on the target plates [1-3]. The analysis presented here follows the analytic description of the poloidal magnetic field, B pol , near two closely-spaced X-points given by Ryutov [1-3]. This analysis is applicable to experimental devices where the two X-points are generated by distributed poloidal field coils and the plasma core current. This analytic description is used to identify topological features of an orthogonal mesh. A key parameter that specifies the various topology changes is the poloidal angle between the primary X-point and the second X-point, and the changes are associated with a set of critical angles. Understanding these changes leads to the final step in the mesh construction by identifying the locations of various regions or patches in configuration space and in a corresponding logically rectangular index space. UEDGE [4] and other 2-D fluid plasma simulation codes [5-7] describe the edge plasma of toroidally symmetric tokamak configurations with one or more X-points in a divertor region. The 2-D spatial mesh is usually based on a magnetic configuration produced by an MHD equilibrium code such as EFIT and written out as one or more “eqdsk” files. As illustrated in Fig. 1, the domain of the simulated plasma consists of several flux tubes bounded by poloidal magnetic flux surfaces. The number and spacing of the flux surfaces defines the “radial” resolution of the mesh. The “radial” direction is locally orthogonal to flux surfaces; the “poloidal” direction is locally parallel to flux surfaces. The “poloidal” resolution of the mesh is defined by the number of cells in the poloidal direction between adjacent flux surfaces. For boundary plasma transport codes used for tokamak configurations such as UEDGE it is convenient, though not necessary, to assume that all flux tubes have the same number of poloidal cells so the mesh is logically rectangular in index space, but does possess internal boundaries linking different sub-rectangles in the computational domain. The following sections of this report describe indexing schemes that map tokamak magnetic configurations with one or more x-points in the divertor region(s) onto a rectangular index space. Simulation results from the UEDGE code illustrate the schemes for a few configurations.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

A Spatially Explicit Individual-Based Modeling Approach to Evaluate the Cumulative Effects of Wind Energy Development on the Greater Sage-Grouse: Sensitivity Analysis and Validation of Key Parameters

To address the need for an approach to evaluate cumulative ecological impacts of wind energy development, particularly those on critical wildlife habitats and species, the authors developed a proof-of-concept, landscape-based, spatially explicit individual-based modeling (IBM) framework for populations of the greater sage-grouse (Centrocercus urophasianus) in Albany County, Wyoming, based on published and other available information on the life history of the species. This sage-grouse IBM estimates the spatial and temporal movements of sage-grouse based on modeled effects of habitat characteristics and developments on sage-grouse condition, survivorship, and reproduction. After completing the initial version of the model, we conducted a series of sensitivity analyses of key model parameters and validation of lek occurrences and spatial distributions to better understand performance of the model relative to observed values of important life history characteristics. The parameter sensitivity analysis was conducted as a series of one-factor-at-a-time tests in which the values of selected parameters were individually varied to evaluate the corresponding effects on model output. We examined the model’s response to changes in parameter values to gain insight into the overall robustness of the model, identify key driver parameters, and initiate qualitative validation. Five functions selected for sensitivity analyses were (1) the rate of change in body condition in relationship to habitat suitability index (HSI) of occupied habitat (condition change rate), (2) the effect of competition between individuals with overlapping home ranges expressed as a percentage reduction in HSI (competition factor), (3) value of condition at which survivorship probability is equal to zero (zero survivorship condition), (4) the relationship between female body condition and clutch size, and (5) the relationship between female body condition and nest success. We varied the parameter values to be tested for the sensitivity analysis around the original value used in the model (i.e., tested values were higher and lower than the model’s original value) to examine the effect of this variation on the predicted output of the model. Model outputs evaluated in the sensitivity analysis included (1) predicted age-class distribution (as measured by the percentage of immature individuals within the population); (2) predicted sex ratio; (3) predicted age-sex class distribution (percent of population in each of six age-sex classes, i.e., male and female juveniles, yearlings, and adults); (4) lifespan; (5) population size; and (6) spatial distribution. Of the five parameters analyzed, condition change rate, survivorship, clutch size, and nest success did not substantially affect any of the evaluated model outputs. For the predicted age-class distribution, the percentage of immature individuals predicted by the model for these four parameters ranged from 61.9% to 65.0%, which was reasonable with respect to the reference values of 51.4 to 57.8% in published studies. The ratio of females to males ranged from 1.09 to 1.14, which was comparable to the reference values of 1.2 to 3.0 presented in an existing study. The predicted mean lifespan ranged from 1.62 to 1.74 years, which appears to be reasonable with respect to the reference values of 0.9 to 1.1 years for sharp-tail grouse and greater prairie chickens presented by published studies. The predicted population size ranged from 1,877 to 3,140. This prediction would be reasonable with respect to our estimate of 5,000 yearlings and adults, which was based on the USFWS estimate for the state of Wyoming scaled to the number of leks in the county. The predicted spatial distribution was not substantially affected by the parameter values examined. In our sensitivity analyses, the only tested parameter that had a noticeable effect on model output was competition factor. Over the range of values tested for this parameter, predicted population size exhibited the largest range (from 1,833 to 4,737) of all parameters tested. As the competition factor increased, the predicted population size decreased. This reflects the effect competition had on the number of individuals that could co occur in high-quality habitat patches. Despite this apparently significant effect, the range of values appears to be reasonable with respect to our estimate of 5,000 yearlings and adults, which was based on the USFWS estimate for the state of Wyoming scaled to the number of leks in the county.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Hanford Double Shell Waste Tank Corrosion Studies FY2020 (Final Report)

For fiscal year (FY) 2020, the Savannah River National Laboratory (SRNL) focused on three experimental tasks related to Hanford Double Shell Tank (DST) chemistry and integrity. The first task focused on understanding risk of corrosion due to formation of either continuous layers or discrete patches of deposits on the tanks’ inner sidewalls and bottoms. The second task studied vapor space corrosion (VSC) of the secondary liner using two commercially available vapor corrosion inhibitors (VCIs) at manufacturer recommended dosages. Finally, the third task investigated the long-term open circuit potential (OCP) drift for mill-scale coupons, coupons with polished surfaces, and partial mill-scale coupons that were exposed to tank waste simulants. Additional tests were performed to evaluate the OCP drift as a function of the quantity and composition of organic compounds added to the simulant. A test that was included in the matrix that established the new chemistry limits for tank corrosion, but was previously unreported, was presented and reviewed as well.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Laser Wavelength Shift from Splitters and Switches

The Detonation Science and Technology Group (Q-6) operates several photon Doppler velocimetry (PDV) systems as a diagnostic tool for measuring velocities in the 1–10 km/s range during high explosive (HE) detonation experiments. Q-6 uses “heterodyne” PDV systems that are produced by Traverse Solutions and Instrumentation, LLC (TS&I). These heterodyne systems combine wavelength (WL) tunable source and “reference” lasers with a WL offset of 10–100 pm from each other. Properly setting the source and reference WLs for an experiment can be critical for collecting the desired experimental data. The tunable lasers report WL readings in their control software, but these readings are based on a lookup table from a temperature reading and are not able to be calibrated. Therefore, recent test fire programs that require PDV as a diagnostic have also implemented requirements for monitoring the WL of the tunable lasers using a precision WL meter. To monitor the WL of several PDV lasers without disconnecting any patch fibers form the experimental setup, Q-6 developed a system splitters with a coupling ratio (%) of 99:1 and an optical switch with the switch output going to a single WL meter. A brief experiment was developed to determine if the splitters and/or switch introduced any WL bias into the readings. The purpose of this report is to document the system, the experiment, and its results.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Malware Analysis Report for SolarWinds.Orion.Core.BusinessLayer.dll

SolarWinds Orion is a software suite designed to provide “single pane of glass” monitoring of network devices and applications. On December 13 2020, FireEye revealed that SolarWinds Orion was the victim of a supply chain attack and that the SolarWinds signed file SolarWinds.Orion.Core.BusinessLayer.dll contained a backdoor. SolarWinds deployed the back-doored patch to customers beginning in March 2020. FireEye first identified this backdoor and labeled it SUNBURST. The backdoor is composed of roughly 4,000 lines1 of lightly obfuscated .NET within the SolarWinds.Orion.Core.BusinessLayer.OrionImprovementBusinessLayer class of the malicious dll. The backdoor’s capabilities include: the ability to detect and potentially disable antivirus and forensics tools, basic command and control via DNS, and more advanced command and control via HTTP.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Spatio-temporal Estimates of Disease Transmission Parameters for COVID-19 with a Fully-Coupled, County-Level Model of the United States

Sandia National Laboratories has developed a capability to estimate parameters of epidemiological models from case reporting data to support responses to the COVID-19 pandemic. A differentiating feature of this work is the ability to simultaneously estimate county-specific disease transmission parameters in a nation-wide model that considers mobility between counties. The approach is focused on estimating parameters in a stochastic SEIR model that considers mobility between model patches (i.e., counties) as well as additional infectious compartments. The inference engine developed by Sandia includes (1) reconstruction and (2) transmission parameter inference. Reconstruction involves estimating current population counts within each of the compartments in a modified SEIR model from reported case data. Reconstruction produces input for the inference formulations, and it provides initial conditions that can be used in other modeling and planning efforts. Inference involves the solution of a large-scale optimization problem to estimate the time profiles for the transmission parameters in each county. These provide quantification of changes in the transmission parameter over time (e.g., due to impact of intervention strategies). This capability has been implemented in a Python-based software package, epi_inference, that makes extensive use of Pyomo [5] and IPOPT [10] to formulate and solve the inference formulations.

42 ENGINEERING↗

September 2021 Operational Highlights

Bulleted highlights including progress report for NSRC's Rocky Flats Digitization Lab, the Online Vault bulk upload, patching and system updates, and information about publishing NSRC-produced The Vault .

96 KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT AND PRESERVATION↗

Distributed Energy Resource Cybersecurity Standards Development [Final Report]

Currently, the solar industry is operating with little application-specific guidance on how to protect and defend their systems from cyberattacks. This 3-year Department of Energy (DOE) Solar Energy Technologies Office-funded project helped advance the distributed energy resource (DER) cybersecurity state-of-the-art by (a) bolstering industry awareness of cybersecurity concepts, risks, and solutions through a webinar series and (b) developing recommendations for DER cybersecurity standards to improve the security performance of DER products and networks. Drafting DER standards is a lengthy, consensus-based process requiring effective leadership and stakeholder participation. This project was designed to reduce standard and guide writing times by creating well-researched recommendations that could act as a starting place for national and international standards development organizations. Working within the SunSpec/Sandia DER Cybersecurity Workgroup, the team produced guidance for DER cybersecurity certification, communication protocol standards, network architecture s, access control, and patching. The team also led subgroups within the IEEE P 1547.3 Guide for Cybersecurity of Distributed Energy Resources Interconnected with Electric Power Systems committee and pushed a draft to ballot in October 2021.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Prioritizing ICS Beachhead Systems for Cyber Vulnerability Testing

Cyber Testing for Resilient Industrial Control Systems™ (CyTRICS™) is the Department of Energy’s (DOE’s) program for cybersecurity vulnerability testing, digital subcomponent enumeration, and forensic assessment. CyTRICS leverages best-in-class test facilities and analytic capabilities at six DOE National Laboratories and strategic partnerships with key stakeholders including technology developers, manufacturers, asset owners and operators, and interagency partners. During the program’s development, CyTRICS established a unique methodology for prioritizing digital components within operational technology (OT) and industrial control systems (ICS) in the Energy Sector Industrial Base (ESIB) for cyber vulnerability testing. The CyTRICS Prioritization Process leverages multiple characteristics of systems, components, and their contextual deployment to calculate a quantification of individual digital components for CyTRICS testing. The initial version of the CyTRICS Prioritization Process was premised largely upon the impact which could result to an industrial control system if the digital component under testing was compromised, either through malicious means, faulty engineering, or other modes. The worldwide compromise of the SolarWinds Orion platform, first reported in December 2020, through malicious interference with the digital patching cycle was a watershed event in cyber supply chain security. The SolarWinds compromised demonstrated the strategic importance of certain types of ubiquitous software, and the ability to generate widespread cybersecurity effects. To address this challenge and as a part of the Department of Energy’s response to the SolarWinds compromise, DOE’s Office of Cybersecurity, Energy Security, and Emergency Response (CESER) directed the National Laboratories to evolve the CyTRICS Prioritization Process methodology to encompass additional factors related to the strategic importance of digital components. CESER directed CyTRICS researchers to identify, characterize, and append strategic factors to the CyTRICS Prioritization Process to provide additional weight to these characteristics. National Laboratory expert researchers identified functionality, distribution, and platform characteristics for digital components in ICS and OT that they assessed would be likely targeted in strategic initial-access cyber attack. CyTRICS has termed these factors “ICS Beachhead Systems,” leveraging a definition first advanced by Schneider Electric, which is intended as a blanket term to encompass digital components, products, and systems in OT. This paper describes the ICS Beachhead Systems identified and the rationale for inclusion. As a next step in the research and refinement process, the National Laboratories will validate this initial set of characteristics against digital components evaluated by the CyTRICS program and current implementation of the CyTRICS Prioritization Process. After validation, CyTRICS researchers will then develop a scoring methodology to generate a quantitative score to assess the degree to which a digital component is characterized as an ICS Beachhead System. Finally, the National Laboratories will append this scoring to the existing CyTRICS Prioritization Process algorithm.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Hanford Double Shell Waste Tank Corrosion Studies (Final Report FY2021)

For fiscal year (FY) 2021, the Savannah River National Laboratory (SRNL) focused on two experimental tasks related to Hanford Double Shell Tank (DST) chemistry and integrity. The first task focused on understanding risk of corrosion due to formation of either continuous layers or discrete patches of deposits on the tanks’ inner sidewalls and bottoms. The second task studied vapor space corrosion (VSC) inhibition of the secondary liner using vapor corrosion inhibitors (VCIs) at dosages less than the manufacturer recommended and a control test in which no VCIs were added.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Interim Report on FY22 ORNL A709 Welding Research and Testing of Production Welds in Support of Developing ASME A709 Code Case Data Package

As part of the Alloy 709 ASME Code Case development effort under the Advanced Reactor Technologies (ART) Program, this work covers the development of the technical basis for weld fabrication and weld qualification of Alloy 709. This report summarizes the Alloy 709 welding research conducted at Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) in FY 2022. Two new production welds were fabricated on two commercial heats of Alloy 709 of different phosphorus (P) levels using Alloy 709 filler metal with P content less than 20 wppm with gas tungsten arc welding (GTAW). Both production welds successfully passed ASME Section IX weld qualification tests, and this concludes the Alloy 709 welding procedure development to scale up to 2-in thick plates. In FY 2022, we also demonstrated the success in welding of high P commercial Alloy 709 plates with weld wires having higher P content at 30 wppm. A test weld fabricated with the 30 wppm weld wire on the first commercial heat (140 wppm P) passed all weld qualification tests without issues. Additionally, experiment setup and testing procedure of the circular patch weldability test has been developed, for evaluating the P effect in weld wire on solidification cracking susceptibility of Alloy 709 weld, with the preliminary results summarized in this report. Research on further relaxing the P level restriction beyond 30 wppm are planned in FY 2023. The preliminary cross-weld creep tests results continue to show little or no creep strength reduction relative to the base metal.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

(Project 18-15531) Repair and Mitigation of Chloride-Induced Pitting and Chloride-Induced Stress Corrosion Cracking in Used Spent Nuclear Fuel Dry Cask Canister Materials (Final Technical Report)

Several experimental techniques were utilized to understand the corrosion and SCC performance of possible techniques for repairing cracks and pits in SS304 utilized for dry cask storage of spent nuclear fuel. The repairs examined included cold spray, FSW, soldering, and VFAW. The corrosion and SCC assessment techniques utilized for comparing repairs against the base material were 4-pt bending SCC testing in boiling MgCl 2 at stress levels between 0 MPa and 350 MPa, immersion testing in 40% RH brine solution meant to mimic a service-like environment, SSRT SCC testing in 40% RH brine solution. For FSW alone, scanning electrochemical cell microscopy and microelectrochemical syringe cell were utilized to understand the corrosion performance across the weld, in the retreating/advancing sides, and base material. Based on the results of this study, the FSW and cold spray repair techniques proved most viable for SCC repair in SS304 dry cask storage applications and continuing research is highly recommended to understand and quantify in further detail their SCC performance compared to unrepaired SS304. Additionally, solder and VFAW (patch or incline) would not be recommended based on the corrosion and SCC findings in this study.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Integration of seismic-pressure-petrophysics inversion of continuous active-seismic monitoring data for monitoring and quantifying CO 2 plume (Final Report)

The overall objective of this project is to develop and validate an integrated package of joint seismic-pressure-petrophysics inversion (jSPPI) of continuous active-source seismic monitoring dataset capable of providing real-time monitoring of CO 2 plume during geologic carbon sequestration (GCS). The three specific developments include: (a) the methodologies for fast seismic full waveform inversion of continuous active source seismic monitoring, (CASSM) datasets for simultaneously estimating velocity and attenuation, and with data assimilation; (b) joint Bayesian petrophysical inversion of seismic models and pressure data for providing and updating CO 2 saturation models; (c) the methods using multiple datasets including (Crainfield and Frio-II borehole) synthetic, laboratory, and field CASSM datasets. The outcomes of jSPPI include (a) a workflow for processing CASSM data, (b) Bayesian inversion algorithms using CASSM data and pressure response data, and (c) integration with data assimilation algorithms for continuously updating site-specific models used for prediction and reservoir management. The validation of joint FWI will be conducted using synthetic models based on the Cranfield and Frio experiments as well as field CASSM datasets collected as part of the Frio-II pilot injection. To quantify and map the mass and distribution of CO 2 (saturation), we will jointly invert velocity and attenuation measurements from the FWI with a Bayesian approach using a rock physics model for attenuation (e.g., White’s attenuation model with two selected patch sizes (White, 1976; Dutta and Seriff, 1979)). The Bayesian inversion will be applied to each time step in the CASSM survey in an updating scheme, which integrates with an ensemble of reservoir simulations at each step. A more complete experimental validation dataset will be collected as part of a mesoscale (2-3 m) gas-CO 2 injection experiment utilizing a higher frequency version of the CASSM system developed for laboratory studies; the integrated inversion will be demonstrated using this dataset which will provide both a dense geometry as well as more precise secondary confirmation measurements (e.g. saturation) typically not available in the field. The resulting real-time map of CO 2 saturation is able to provide a deeper scientific understanding of the complex, time-varying dynamics of subsurface fluid flow migration path as well as the rapid detection of CO 2 leakage hazards.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Vulnerabilities in Satellite Communications Underscore Threat to Critical Infrastructure

INL analysts assess critical infrastructure sectors leveraging satellite communications (SATCOM) are likely inadvertently increasing the attack surface caused by inherent vulnerabilities in equipment and communications pathways. A lack of ownership regarding security in SATCOM ecosystems creates pervasive information security risk, and the obfuscation of patching responsibility means the mitigation of publicly and privately disclosed vulnerabilities is difficult to track. With these factors in consideration, INL analysts assess the number of attacks against SATCOM is likely to increase in the next decade as threat actors exploit these vulnerabilities.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗