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At least 1,567 records · Page 87

Object-Oriented Bayesian Networks (OOBN) for Aviation Accident Modeling and Technology Portfolio Impact Assessment

The concern for reducing aviation safety risk is rising as the National Airspace System in the United States transforms to the Next Generation Air Transportation System (NextGen). The NASA Aviation Safety Program is committed to developing an effective aviation safety technology portfolio to meet the challenges of this transformation and to mitigate relevant safety risks. The paper focuses on the reasoning of selecting Object-Oriented Bayesian Networks (OOBN) as the technique and commercial software for the accident modeling and portfolio assessment. To illustrate the benefits of OOBN in a large and complex aviation accident model, the in-flight Loss-of-Control Accident Framework (LOCAF) constructed as an influence diagram is presented. An OOBN approach not only simplifies construction and maintenance of complex causal networks for the modelers, but also offers a well-organized hierarchical network that is easier for decision makers to exploit the model examining the effectiveness of risk mitigation strategies through technology insertions.

Shih, Ann T.↗

Hybrid Oscillator-Qubit Quantum Processors: Instruction Set Architectures, Abstract Machine Models, and Applications

This tutorial offers a pedagogical guide to hybrid quantum processors that integrate discrete-variable (DV) qubits and continuous-variable (CV) oscillators. Aimed at computer scientists, engineers, and physicists, it provides an overview of the experimental, algorithmic, and architectural aspects of this novel and rapidly developing hardware model. Experimental realizations of this model include superconducting, trapped-ion, and neutral-atom platforms. By combining DV and CV components, hybrid oscillator-qubit processors enable a powerful new paradigm that offers complementary strengths for quantum control, error correction, computation, and simulation. Working toward the goal of a full-stack system connecting applications to CV-DV hardware, we define and formulate abstract machine models and instruction set architectures. These essential abstractions enable codesign of hardware and software, and resource estimation for exploring the potential of current and future hardware for computational and simulation tasks. Using these abstractions, we present both new and existing examples that illustrate the benefits of hybrid CV-DV processors relative to traditional DV-only hardware in computation as well as quantum simulation of physical models. Examples include algorithms for transferring states between DV and CV systems, performing the quantum Fourier transform, and simulation of lattice gauge theories. Relative to qubit-only hardware, the bosonic degrees of freedom natively available in hybrid architectures can substantially reduce the circuit complexity of simulations for physical models containing bosons. A key technique is the extension of quantum signal processing ideas to CV-DV systems. This work is intended to serve as a timely and comprehensive guide to this relatively unexplored yet promising approach to quantum computation and to provide a road map to guide future development.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

On the Use of Smart Meter Data to Estimate the Voltage Magnitude on the Primary Side of Distribution Service Transformers

This paper develops a novel method to estimate the voltage magnitude on the primary side of distribution service transformers. The proposed method relies exclusively on smart meters, and therefore it is fully data-driven. This is an important feature because electric utilities have detailed models of only the primary network - that is, the network between the distribution substation and the primary side of service transformers that are installed closer to end-customer sites. The network that connects the secondary side of service transformers to end-customer sites, referred to as the secondary network, is simply represented by a lumped load. For each secondary network, the proposed method uses data acquired from only 2 smart meters: the closest and the farthest-in the sense of electrical distance - from the service transformer. As a reference to this feature, the proposed method is named SM2Vp. To our knowledge, this is the first time a method is shown to provide actionable information for realtime operation and control of power distribution grids using only two smart meters per secondary network. This is important because utilities have experienced barriers in managing and using large data sets for real-time operation and control. SM2Vp is primarily intended to provide pseudo-measurements for distribution system state estimation, but it can also be used directly for voltage control schemes. The performance of SM2Vp is demonstrated by numerical simulations carried out on three secondary network synthetic models and by using field data provided by a utility partner serving customers in southwestern California. A maximum relative error of approximately 3.9% or less is observed for the primary voltage magnitude estimates in all numerical experiments.

distribution service transformer↗

An Overview of NASA’s Learn-to-Fly Technology Development

“Learn-to-Fly” (L2F) is an advanced technology development effort within the Modeling and Control for Agile Aircraft Development (MCAAD) group, a part of the NASA Transformative Aeronautics Concepts Program’s (TACP) Transformational Tools and Technologies (TTT) project. The goal of L2F is to develop technologies for enabling self-learning flight vehicles, using both ground- and flight-test approaches. Specifically, research has been conducted to demonstrate the potential to merge two enabling technologies, real-time aerodynamic modeling and adaptive flight controls, to substantially reduce the typical ground- and flight-testing time requirements for air vehicle design. This effort involved development of real-time, on-board algorithms to demonstrate key L2F technologies including aerodynamic modeling and control for an aircraft with minimal a priori knowledge. This research included both ground-based wind tunnel experiments utilizing modern design of experiments (DOE) techniques, as well as a flight test campaign, and was intended to rapidly advance these technologies and demonstrate key capabilities of the L2F approach. This paper presents the overview of the methods used to develop L2F technologies in NASA Langley Research Center’s 12-Foot Low Speed Tunnel, as well as in flight experiments. These methods include efficient wind tunnel data collection, real-time global nonlinear aerodynamic modeling in both the time and frequency domains, and the integration of the modeling techniques with adaptive flight controls, all of which were demonstrated using experimental validation.

Stephen E Riddick↗

Number of sites-based solver for determining coverages from steady-state mean-field micro-kinetic models

Kinetic models parameterized by ab-initio calculations have led to significant improvements in understanding chemical reactions in heterogeneous catalysis. These studies have been facilitated by implementations which determine steady-state coverages and rates of mean-field micro-kinetic models. As implemented in the open-source kinetic modeling program, CatMAP, the conventional solution strategy is to use a root-finding algorithm to determine the coverage of all intermediates through the steady-state expressions, constraining all coverages to be non-negative and to properly sum to unity. Though intuitive, this root-finding strategy causes issues with convergence to solution due to these imposed constraints. In this work, we avoid explicitly imposing these constraints, solving the mean-field steady-state micro-kinetic model in the space of number of sites instead of solving it in the space of coverages. Here, we transform the constrained root-finding problem to an unconstrained least-squares minimization problem, leading to significantly improved convergence in solving micro-kinetic models and thus enabling the efficient study of more complex catalytic reactions.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Digital Signal Processing Using Deep Neural Networks

Currently there is great interest in the utility of deep neural networks (DNNs) for the physical layer of radio frequency (RF) communications. In this manuscript we describe a custom DNN specially designed to solve problems in the RF domain. Our model leverages the mechanisms of feature extraction and attention through the combination of an autoencoder convolutional network with a transformer network, to accomplish several important communications network and digital signals processing (DSP) tasks. We also present a new open dataset and physical data augmentation model that enables training of DNNs that can perform automatic modulation classification, infer, and correct transmission channel effects, and directly demodulate baseband RF signals.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Empirical Modeling of Plant Gas Fluxes in Controlled Environments

As humans extend their reach beyond the earth, bioregenerative life support systems must replace the resupply and physical/chemical systems now used. The Controlled Ecological Life Support System (CELSS) will utilize plants to recycle the carbon dioxide (CO2) and excrement produced by humans and return oxygen (O2), purified water and food. CELSS design requires knowledge of gas flux levels for net photosynthesis (PS(sub n)), dark respiration (R(sub d)) and evapotranspiration (ET). Full season gas flux data regarding these processes for wheat (Triticum aestivum), soybean (Glycine max) and rice (Oryza sativa) from published sources were used to develop empirical models. Univariate models relating crop age (days after planting) and gas flux were fit by simple regression. Models are either high order (5th to 8th) or more complex polynomials whose curves describe crop development characteristics. The models provide good estimates of gas flux maxima, but are of limited utility. To broaden the applicability, data were transformed to dimensionless or correlation formats and, again, fit by regression. Polynomials, similar to those in the initial effort, were selected as the most appropriate models. These models indicate that, within a cultivar, gas flux patterns appear remarkably similar prior to maximum flux, but exhibit considerable variation beyond this point. This suggests that more broadly applicable models of plant gas flux are feasible, but univariate models defining gas flux as a function of crop age are too simplistic. Multivariate models using CO2 and crop age were fit for PS(sub n), and R(sub d) by multiple regression. In each case, the selected model is a subset of a full third order model with all possible interactions. These models are improvements over the univariate models because they incorporate more than the single factor, crop age, as the primary variable governing gas flux. They are still limited, however, by their reliance on the other environmental conditions under which the original data were collected. Three-dimensional plots representing the response surface of each model are included. Suitability of using empirical models to generate engineering design estimates is discussed. Recommendations for the use of more complex multivariate models to increase versatility are included.

Cornett, Jessie David↗

Assessment of Coupling One-Dimension and Three-Dimension CFD in Conjugate Heat Transfer Modeling and Simulations for Cooling of Turbine Engine

The CHT (conjugate heat transfer) modeling and simulation work fits under a bigger area in the TTT (Transformational Tools and Technologies) project called “Cooling Tools and Technologies for Combustor and Turbine.” The existing validation data sets such as TTT GRC (Glenn Research Center) THX (Turbulent Heat FLUX) IV experiments will be used to assess the solid/fluid heat transfer development and validation. The experimental configuration was a subsonic convergent nozzle with a square exit blowing a heated exhaust over an effusion-cooled deck. The simulation solutions were obtained and compared to experimental measurements of the profiles of flow velocities and temperatures, as well as deck surface temperatures. Cooling air blowing ratios of 0, 1, and 2 were considered. The three-dimensional cooling tubes were modelled by the medial axis of the cylindrical geometries due to large length over width ratios. It represented a typical coupling of one-dimension and three-dimension simulations of conjugate heat transfer approaches. The surface temperatures on the solid surfaces and the profiles of velocities and temperatures near the surfaces compared to the experimental data were presented.

nonlinear sub-filter stresses↗

Standardized Data to Improve Understanding and Modeling of Soil Nitrogen at Continental Scale

Abstract Nitrogen (N) is a key limiting nutrient in terrestrial ecosystems, but there remain critical gaps in our ability to predict and model controls on soil N cycling. This may be in part due to lack of standardized sampling across broad spatial–temporal scales. Here, we introduce a continentally distributed, publicly available data set collected by the National Ecological Observatory Network (NEON) that can help fill these gaps. First, we detail the sampling design and methods used to collect and analyze soil inorganic N pool and net flux rate data from 47 terrestrial sites. We address methodological challenges in generating a standardized data set, even for a network using uniform protocols. Then, we evaluate sources of variation within the sampling design and compare measured net N mineralization to simulated fluxes from the Community Earth System Model 2 (CESM2). We observed wide spatiotemporal variation in inorganic N pool sizes and net transformation rates. Site explained the most variation in NEON’s stratified sampling design, followed by plots within sites. Organic horizons had larger pools and net N transformation rates than mineral horizons on a sample weight basis. The majority of sites showed some degree of seasonality in N dynamics, but overall these temporal patterns were not matched by CESM2, leading to poor correspondence between observed and modeled data. Looking forward, these data can reveal new insights into controls on soil N cycling, especially in the context of other environmental data sets provided by NEON, and should be leveraged to improve predictive modeling of the soil N cycle.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

GEOS S2S-2_1: The GMAO High Resolution Seasonal Prediction System

A new version of the coupled modeling and analysis system used to produce near real time subseasonal to seasonal forecasts was recently released by the NASA/Goddard Global Modeling and Assimilation Office. The new version runs at higher atmospheric resolution than the previous, (approximately 1/2 degree globally), contains a substantially improved model description of the cryosphere, and includes additional interactive earth system model components (aerosol model). In addition, the Ocean data assimilation system has been replaced with a Local Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter, and now includes the assimilation of along-track sea surface height. Here will describe the new system, along with the plans for the future (GEOS S2S-3_0) which will include a higher resolution ocean model and more interactive earth system model components (interactive vegetation, biomass burning from fires). We will also present results from a series of retrospective seasonal forecasts. Results show significant improvements in surface temperatures over much of the northern hemisphere and a much improved prediction of sea ice extent in both hemispheres. Analysis of the ensemble spread shows improvements relative to the previous system, including generally better reliability. The precipitation forecast skill is comparable to previous S2S systems, and the only tradeoff is an increased "double ITCZ", which is expected as we go to higher atmospheric resolution.

Molod, Andrea↗

On the Use of Smart Meter Data to Estimate the Voltage Magnitude on the Primary Side of Distribution Service Transformers: Preprint

This paper develops a novel method to estimate the voltage magnitude on the primary side of distribution service transformers. The proposed method relies exclusively on smart meters, and therefore it is fully data-driven. This is an important feature because electric utilities have detailed models of only the primary network--that is, the network between the distribution substation and the primary side of service transformers that are installed closer to end-customer sites. The network that connects the secondary side of service transformers to end-customer sites, referred to as the secondary network, is simply represented by a lumped load. For each secondary network, the proposed method uses data acquired from only 2 smart meters: the closest and the farthest--in the sense of electrical distance--from the service transformer. As a reference to this feature, the proposed method is named SM2Vp. To our knowledge, this is the first time a method is shown to provide actionable information for real-time operation and control of power distribution grids using only two smart meters per secondary network. This is important because utilities have experienced barriers in managing and using large data sets for real-time operation and control. SM2Vp is primarily intended to provide pseudo-measurements for distribution system state estimation, but it can also be used directly for voltage control schemes. The performance of SM2Vp is demonstrated by numerical simulations carried out on three secondary network synthetic models and by using field data provided by a utility partner serving customers in southwestern California. A maximum relative error of approximately 3.9% or less is observed for the primary voltage magnitude estimates in all numerical experiments.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Microbial metabolic dependency and its impacts on the soil carbon cycle (Final Technical Report, DE-SC0016364)

The terrestrial biosphere contains a large fraction of global carbon (C) and nearly 70% of the organic C in terrestrial systems is found in soils. Global changes in atmospheric CO 2 , temperature, precipitation, and ecosystem N inputs, will impact primary production and carbon inputs to soils, but it remains difficult to predict soil responses to these environmental conditions. Our ability to predict C-cycle responses to global change remains limited by unexplained variability within the terrestrial C-cycle. Our difficulty in predicting responses of the soil C-cycle to environmental change suggests a need for a greater understanding of the biotic mechanisms that govern soil C-transformations. Changes in microbial community structure and function have been proposed to impact soil processes, but mechanistic connections between microbial activity and C-cycle transformations remain poorly described. We assembled an interdisciplinary team to conduct cross-scale examination of microbial contributions to C-cycle dynamics and C-fate in soils. We investigated microbial contributions to soil C-transformations using a suite of complementary isotopic techniques including DNA-Stable Isotope Probing (DNA-SIP), metagenomic-SIP, metabolomic-SIP, proteomic-SIP, and microspatial analysis of soil organic C. These techniques were deployed in experiments that tested fundamental assumptions that underlie terrestrial C-cycle models. We characterized the functional characteristics of soil microorganisms responsible for major C-transformations in soil, evaluated the metabolic and ecological interactions that underlie soil C-cycle dynamics, and evaluated the degree to which these interactions impact rates of C mineralization and stabilization in soils.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Machine Learning Models for Predicting Molecular UV–Vis Spectra with Quantum Mechanical Properties

Accurate understanding of Ultraviolet–visible (UV–Vis) spectra is critical for highthroughput design of compounds for drug discovery. Experimentally determining UV–Vis spectra can become expensive when dealing with a large quantity of novel molecules. This provides us an opportunity to drive computational advances in molecular property predictions using quantum mechanics and machine learning. In this work, we use both Quantum Mechanically (QM) predicted and measured UV–Vis spectra as input to modify four different machine learning architectures: UVvis-SchNet, UVvis- DTNN, UVvis-Transformer, and UVvis-MPNN. Here we find that the UVvis-MPNN model outperforms the other models when using optimized 3D coordinates and QM predicted spectra as input features. This model has the highest performance for predicting UVVisible spectra with a training RMSE of 0.06 and validation RMSE of 0.08.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Ferromagnetism and doublon localization in a Wannier-Hubbard chain

We derive a “Wannier-Hubbard” model consisting of an array of overlapping atomic orbitals interacting via a local Coulomb interaction. Transforming to an orthogonal Wannier basis set, the resulting Hamiltonian displays long-range hopping and interactions, with new terms such as correlated hopping and ferromagnetic direct exchange, among others. We numerically study the one-dimensional version of the model at half-filling using the density matrix renormalization group method, unveiling a rich phase diagram as a function of the interaction U and the overlap s with metallic and ferromagnetic phases separated by a ferrimagnetic region. Our results indicate a path toward understanding emergent phases under pressure and beyond standard model Hamiltonians.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

A Computational Workflow of Elucidating Viral Impact on Mediating Microbial Response to In-situ Experimental Warming: Bridging microbial modeling to carbon and mineral modeling

Viruses are abundant in soils and shape microbial communities in ways that can potentially influence ecosystem processes, yet their contributions to carbon cycling and mineral transformations remain poorly understood. Here we present a multi-phase framework that links virus-host interactions to soil biogeochemistry by combining ecological simulations, genome- and community-scale metabolic modeling, and statistical and machine-learning analyses. We first calibrated microbial abundance profiles under explicit infection scenarios to capture how viral pressure alters community structure, then explored alternative interaction strategies, including kill-the-winner, piggyback-the-winner, and mixed lytic-lysogenic modes, through forward simulations. These ecological shifts were translated into metabolic consequences using exchange fluxes summarized into biologically meaningful categories, while integrated statistical and machine-learning screens elevated subtle but consistent signals. Application of this framework revealed that viral infections shift the balance between organic and inorganic fluxes, redirecting metabolism from diffuse organic transformations toward inorganic pools such as protons and CO 2 , directly linking viral regulation to respiration and soil carbon balance. The roll-up analysis also isolated perturbations in critical mineral ions, including magnesium, manganese, zinc, and copper, which serve as essential enzymatic cofactors. In piggyback-the-winner scenarios, uptake of these ions was strongly suppressed. Contrasting viral strategies produced distinct community structures and metabolic outcomes, from broad suppression under kill-the-winner dynamics to dramatic redistributions under high-lytic and high-gain lysogenic regimes that collapsed vulnerable microbial populations while promoting opportunists. Together, these results provide a tractable path to trace viral perturbations from host abundance shifts to metabolic flux adjustments and ecosystem-scale processes, offering a practical way to include viruses in earth system models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Flexible PCB Windings Size Optimization for Winding AC Resistance Minimization Under the Sinusoidal Voltage Regime

In this paper, optimization of the winding AC resistance of the flexible printed circuit board (FPCB) wire windings is performed. A one-dimensional model of the FPCB winding is introduced and an equation for the FPCB winding AC resistance and its low and medium frequency approximation are derived. The approximate FPCB winding AC resistance equation is used to derive optimum thickness of the FPCB winding conductor thickness at which minimum of winding AC resistance (global optimum) is achieved. The Finite Element Method analysis and experimental verification of derived equations (winding resistance, impedance, power loss, and temperature measurements) is performed in order validate derived model and winding resistance equation.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Electrochemically-Induced Phase Transformations in Battery Storage Compounds (Final Technical Report)

Compounds of interest for ion storage in advanced batteries frequently exhibit phase transformations as the working ion concentration varies. Under large electrochemical driving forces inherent to practical use, systems are often driven far from equilibrium. This program combines experiments and theory to understand the phase transition behavior of ion insertion compounds when electrochemically driven far from equilibrium. As model systems, we focus on alkaline metal phosphates AMPO4 (A = alkali; M = first row transition metal) of olivine structure, which are both technologically interesting and ideally suited for fundamental study due to the ability to systematically tune transformation strain, and along with it, the phase transformation pathway. Behavior in compositions having large transformation strains (~15 vol%) requiring plasticity for strain accommodation is emphasized. Experimental techniques include operando characterization of structure while simultaneously varying electrokinetic parameters, and high resolution microscopy of nanoscale and interfacial phenomena. Phase-field modeling is used to model the thermodynamics and kinetics of competing transformation pathways, extended to include the effects of plasticity, and integrated with porous electrode kinetic theory to treat multi-particle effects. Success in this project will lead to an ability to design ion storage compounds with predictable transformation pathways, electrochemical kinetics, capacity utilization, and durability. New technologically important compounds may also be discovered.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Climate changes associated with nuclear war

Nuclear war, featuring explosion of half the world arsenal of nuclear weapons, would cause urban and forest fires that would inject 20-650 megatons of smoke into the atmosphere. The Northern Hemisphere optical depth would increase to between 0.5-14. All models indicate an increase in optical depths, a large net radiation gain in the smoke layer, and an antigreenhouse effect at the surface. Significant global cooling would proceed, transforming the global climate to a large degree toward that of an airless world. Persisting deficiencies in the models are identified, noting research areas which would improve the accuracies of the predictions.

Toon, O. B.↗