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At least 1,567 records · Page 87

Subseasonal Earth System Prediction with CESM2

Abstract Prediction systems to enable Earth system predictability research on the subseasonal time scale have been developed with the Community Earth System Model, version 2 (CESM2) using two configurations that differ in their atmospheric components. One system uses the Community Atmosphere Model, version 6 (CAM6) with its top near 40 km, referred to as CESM2(CAM6). The other employs the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model, version 6 (WACCM6) whose top extends to ∼140 km, and it includes fully interactive tropospheric and stratospheric chemistry [CESM2(WACCM6)]. Both systems are utilized to carry out subseasonal reforecasts for the 1999–2020 period following the Subseasonal Experiment’s (SubX) protocol. Subseasonal prediction skill from both systems is compared to those of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration CFSv2 and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) operational models. CESM2(CAM6) and CESM2(WACCM6) show very similar subseasonal prediction skill of 2-m temperature, precipitation, the Madden–Julian oscillation, and North Atlantic Oscillation to its previous version and to the NOAA CFSv2 model. Overall, skill of CESM2(CAM6) and CESM2(WACCM6) is a little lower than that of the ECMWF system. In addition to typical output provided by subseasonal prediction systems, CESM2 reforecasts provide comprehensive datasets for predictability research of multiple Earth system components, including three-dimensional output for many variables, and output specific to the mesosphere and lower-thermosphere (MLT) region from CESM2(WACCM6). It is shown that sudden stratosphere warming events, and the associated variability in the MLT, can be predicted ∼10 days in advance. Weekly real-time forecasts and reforecasts with CESM2(CAM6) and CESM2(WACCM6) are freely available. Significance Statement We describe here the design and prediction skill of two subseasonal prediction systems based on two configurations of the Community Earth System Model, version 2 (CESM2): CESM2 with the Community Atmosphere Model, version 6 [CESM2(CAM6)] and CESM 2 with Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model, version 6 [CESM2(WACCM6)] as its atmospheric component. These two systems provide a foundation for community-model based subseasonal prediction research. The CESM2(WACCM6) system provides a novel capability to explore the predictability of the stratosphere, mesosphere, and lower thermosphere. Both CESM2(CAM6) and CESM2(WACCM6) demonstrate subseasonal surface prediction skill comparable to that of the NOAA CFSv2 model, and a little lower than that of the ECMWF forecasting system. CESM2 reforecasts provide a comprehensive dataset for predictability research of multiple aspects of the Earth system, including the whole atmosphere up to 140 km, land, and sea ice. Weekly real-time forecasts, reforecasts, and models are publicly available.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

GEFSv12 High- and Low-Skill Day-10 Tornado Forecasts

Abstract On average, modern numerical weather prediction forecasts for daily tornado frequency exhibit no skill beyond day 10. However, in this extended-range lead window, there are particular model cycles that have exceptionally high forecast skill for tornadoes because of their ability to correctly simulate the future synoptic pattern. Here, model initial conditions that produced a more skillful forecast for tornadoes over the United States were exploited while also highlighting potential causes for low-skill cycles within the Global Ensemble Forecasting System, version 12 (GEFSv12). There were 88 high-skill and 91 low-skill forecasts in which the verifying day-10 synoptic pattern for tornado conditions revealed a western U.S. thermal trough and an eastern U.S. thermal ridge, a favorable configuration for tornadic storm occurrence. Initial conditions for high skill forecasts tended to exhibit warmer sea surface temperatures throughout the tropical Pacific Ocean and Gulf of Mexico, an active Madden–Julian oscillation, and significant modulation of Earth-relative atmospheric angular momentum. Low-skill forecasts were often initialized during La Niña and negative Pacific decadal oscillation conditions. Significant atmospheric blocking over eastern Russia—in which the GEFSv12 overforecast the duration and characteristics of the downstream flow—was a common physical process associated with low-skill forecasts. This work helps to increase our understanding of the common causes of high- or low-skill extended-range tornado forecasts and could serve as a helpful tool for operational forecasters. Significance Statement This research provides a framework for the anticipation of a more (or less) skillful 10-day tornado forecast in an operational numerical weather prediction system. High-skill forecasts were associated with substantial tropical convection and warm sea surface temperature throughout the Pacific Ocean and Gulf of Mexico, whereas the underlying cause of low-skill forecasts were typically associated with a blocking anticyclone over eastern Russia. These findings are important because they permit increased or decreased confidence in a long-range forecast of tornado occurrence based on a dynamical prediction system.

Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences↗

Improved Infrared Optical Constants from Pressed Pellets: II. Ellipsometric n and k Values for Ammonium Sulfate with Variability Analysis

Infrared spectral imaging is facilitated via the comparison of spectra recorded in situ to a databank of actual or synthetic infrared reflectance spectra. It has recently been shown that reference spectra corresponding to the many different morphological forms of the same chemical can be generated synthetically using the imaginary, k, and real, n, components of the complex refractive index, n~ = n + ik. One method to obtain the n and k vectors is infrared ellipsometry, which measures the changes in amplitude, tan ?, and phase, ?, of polarized light reflected from the sample both as a function of wavenumber and angle of incidence. The method requires specularly reflected light so best results are usually obtained with polished planar samples of large surface area. Due to the difficulties of obtaining such samples, however, we investigate the possibility of pressing powders of neat materials and obtaining the corresponding optical constants from the pellets. In this paper, variability in the sample pellet and preparation method is investigated, as is variability in the fitting procedure for the derived optical constants. The n/k vectors are derived from the measured ellipsometric parameters, tan ? and ?, as they are fit by an oscillator model which yield n(?) and k(?) vectors as a function of wavenumber, ?. Construction of the oscillator model is not automatic and depends on significant input from the analyst as well as the sample’s physical characteristics. For the pellet pressing, the experimental variability was found to be minimized for size-selected powdered samples as gauged by the minimal variance in ? and ? for three different pellets; similarly, the analytical precision for multiple measurements of the same pellet was also quite good, suggesting that a pressed pellet is a viable sample preparation method. The greatest variability came in the analytic fitting procedure with differences up to 20% arising from four different fits to the same data set. The final ellipsometric n/k data are compared to literature values obtained from crystalline (NH4)2SO4 samples as well as single-angle reflectance measurements that also used pressed pellets. Comparison with the previous literature values shows generally good agreement although higher k-values are observed for the independent sets of data derived from pressed pellets. These data are suggested as an improved set of optical constants for (NH4)2SO4.

optical constants, ellipsometry, ammonium sulfate,↗

Coherent homodyne detection for amplified cross-beam electric-field induced second harmonic

The electric-field induced second harmonic (E-FISH) signal sensing is commonly used as a nonlinear optical technique to probe electric fields inside a plasma region. Cross-beam E-FISH is being investigated to improve spatial resolution by defining the interaction volume via a controlled geometry of two overlapping noncolinear optical beams. This drastic reduction in interaction length of the electric field and laser region results in a significant signal reduction. Here, to overcome this signal reduction, we introduce coherent amplification of the cross-beam E-FISH signal by mixing the low E-FISH signal with a phase-locked bright local oscillator. We demonstrate enhancement of the signal. By introducing a local oscillator we can now derive the polarity of the measured electric field through the phase of the homodyne signal. To illustrate the technique, we, for the first time, to the best of our knowledge, measure the magnitude and the direction of the electric field in a cold atmospheric pressure plasma jet, which dynamically follows the profile of the applied bias current.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Higher-order harmonic generation and strong field ionization with Bessel–Gauss beams in a thin jet geometry

A promising alternative to Gaussian beams for use in strong field science is Bessel–Gauss (BG or Bessel-like) laser beams, as they are easily produced with readily available optics and provide more flexibility of the spot size and working distances. Here we use BG beams produced with a lens-axicon optical system for higher-order harmonic generation (HHG) in a thin gas jet. The finite size of the interaction region allows for scans of the HHG yield along the propagation axis. Further, by measuring the ionization yield in unison with the extreme ultraviolet (XUV), we are able to distinguish regions of maximum ionization from regions of optimum XUV generation. This distinction is of great importance for BG fields, as the generation of BG beams with axicons often leads to oscillations of the on-axis intensity, which can be exploited for extended phase-matching conditions. We observed such oscillations in the ionization and XUV flux along the propagation axis for the first time. As is the case for Gaussian modes, the harmonic yield is not maximum at the point of highest ionization. Finally, despite Bessel beams having a hole in the center in the far field, the XUV beam is well collimated, making BG modes a great alternative when spatial filtering of the fundamental is desired.

Davino, Michael↗

High-energy X-ray radiography with apodized petawatt laser beams

We have produced laser wakefield-accelerated electron beams with energies of 2 GeV in Target Area 1 of the ZEUS facility. These electron beams oscillate in the accelerating structure that is produced in the wake of an ultrashort laser pulse (25 fs). These ’betatron’ oscillations result in the emission of a collimated (4 mrad divergence) beam of high-energy X-ray/gamma photons (on the order of several hundred keV). In this work, we demonstrate the capabilities of the ZEUS laser system by showing that apodizing the laser beam in the near field allows for the production of high-quality betatron X-rays for radiography purposes. This demonstrates that a high-power, large-aperture laser beam could be split into multiple parts to drive betatron X-ray sources from multiple angles or temporal delays into a High Energy Density (HED) target to be probed, enabling pump-probe measurements at multiple temporal delays or tomography on a single shot.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

High power picosecond green and deep ultraviolet generations with an all-fiberized MOPA

We demonstrate high power picosecond green and deep ultraviolet (DUV) lasers based on an all-fiberized master oscillator power amplifier (MOPA). The main power amplifier is fabricated with a highly Yb-doped large mode area (LMA) silicate glass fiber. It delivers 75.2-W laser output at 1029 nm with a pulse repetition rate of 10 MHz and a pulse duration of 70 ps. With a lithium triborate (LBO) crystal, a 43.0-W green output at 514.5 nm has been achieved with a pulse duration of 55 ps. With a caesium lithium borate (CLBO) crystal, a 14.5-W picosecond DUV output at 257 nm has been generated, which is the highest power for the all-fiber based DUV laser, to the best of our knowledge.

Pan, Lei (ORCID:0000000288896117)↗

High-energy, low-jitter, narrowband ps probe laser for kHz-rate fs/ps coherent anti-Stokes Raman scattering

Hybrid fs/ps coherent anti-Stokes Raman scattering (CARS) thermometry often utilizes ps probe pulses derived from pulse shaping or spectrally filtering the primary laser source or by synchronization with a low repetition rate external laser. This results in limited energy, spectral resolution, and/or repetition rate of the ps probe. In this work, a master-oscillator power-amplifier (MOPA) laser was synchronized to the oscillator of a Ti:sapphire regenerative amplifier to achieve high-energy (600 µJ), narrowband (58 ps) probe pulses at kHz repetition rates. Furthermore, temporal filtering allows the pulse characteristics to be adjusted for each application. At 25 Torr, relevant to high-speed flows, the kHz-rate MOPA system generated signal-to-noise ratios 3× higher in nitrogen and had improved precision relative to a 10 ps probe derived from spectral filtering and the power-amplifier. The MOPA system also enabled single-shot ro-vibrational hybrid fs/ps CARS thermometry in 650 K heated air.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

NOvA 2020 official data release (13.6E20 neutrino + 12.5E20 antineutrino)

NOvA results of the 2020 joint analysis of nue appearance and numu disappearance data presented in Phys. Rev. D 106, 032004:https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevD.106.032004Note: these contained plots are slightly different from the ones shown at NEUTRINO 2020.Exposure: 13.6E20 protons on target, neutrino-enhanced beam12.5E20 protons on target, antineutrino-enhanced beamParameters not constrained by NOvA:- th13 is assumed to be Gaussian, ss2th13 = 0.085 +/- 0.003 (PDG 2019, Phys. Rev. D98, 030001 (2018) and 2019 update, https://pdg.lbl.gov/2019/listings/rpp2019-list-neutrino-mixing.pdf)- ss2th12 = 0.851, dm21=7.53e-5 are fixed at 2019 PDG valuesSignificances are obtained with the Feldman-Cousins procedure.Files contain TGraphs for the following:- ssth23 vs deltaCP 1,2,3 sigma and 90% CL contours, for NO or IO- dmsq32 vs ssth23 1,2,3 sigma and 90% CL contours, for NO or IO- deltaCP profile for NO UO, NO LO, IO LO, IO UO- ssth23 profile for NO, IO- dmsq32 profile for NO UO, NO LO, IO LO, IO UOContour files also include a TMarker with the best-fit parameters (in the NO)An additional file containing the predictions for all channels’ signal and background components computed at the NOvA best-fit oscillation parameters and systematic pull terms. Numu samples include the no-oscillation case as well.Please note that any fits performed with these histograms are not expected to exactly reproduce the official NOvA results as parameterizations of the numerous systematic uncertainties considered in the official fits are not included in this release.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

On the Effect of Beating during Nonlinear Frequency Chirping

Spectroscopic analyses of energetic particle (EP) driven bursts of MHD fluctuations in magnetically confined plasmas often exhibit chirps that occur simultaneously in groups of two or more. While the superposition of oscillations at multiple frequencies necessarily causes beating in the signal acquired by a localized external probe, self-consistent hybrid simulations of chirping EP modes in a JT-60U tokamak plasma have demonstrated the possibility of global beating, where the mode's electromagnetic field vanishes globally between beats and reappears with opposite phase [Bierwage et al., Nucl. Fusion 57, 016036 (2017)]. This implies that there can be a single coherent field mode that oscillates at multiple frequencies simultaneously when it is resonantly driven by multiple density waves in EP phase space. Conversely, this means that the EP density waves are mutually coupled and interfere with each other via the jointly driven field, a mechanism ignored in some theories of chirping. In this thesis-style treatise, we study the role of field pulsations in general and beating in particular using the Hamiltonian guiding center orbit-following code ORBIT with a reduced wave-particle interaction model in realistic geometry. Beating is found to drive the evolution of EP phase space structures. Additionally, a key mechanism is the pulsation of effective phase space islands combined with the alternation of their effective O- and X-points due to phase jumps between each beat. Observations: (1) Beating causes density wave fronts to advance radially in a pulsed manner and the resulting chirps become staircase-like. (2) The pulsations facilitate convective transfer of material between neighboring layers of phase space density waves. On the one hand, this may inhibit the early detachment of solitary phase space vortices. On the other hand, it facilitates the accumulation of hole and clump fragments into larger structures. (3) Long-range chirping is observed when massive holes or clumps detach and drift away from the turbulent belt around the seed resonance. It is remarkable that the detached vortices remain robust and,on average, maintain their concentric nested layers while being visibly perturbed by the field's continued beating.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Data-Driven Validation of NOvA's Convolutional Neural Network for Electron (Anti)Neutrino Selection

NOvA is a long-baseline neutrino oscillation experiment, designed to make measurements of several oscillation parameters using muon neutrino disappearance and electron neutrino appearance. It consists of two functionally equivalent detectors and utilizes the Fermilab NuMI neutrino beam. NOvA uses a convolutional neural network for particle identification of electron neutrino events with a validation process that includes several data-driven techniques. These Muon Removed studies ensure that our classifier performs the same on data as it does on simulation. In particular, Muon Removed Electron-Added studies involve selecting muon neutrino charged current events from both data and simulation and replacing the muon with a simulated electron of similar energy. For Muon Removed Bremsstrahlung and Muon Removed Decay-in-Flight studies, we remove muonic hits from cosmic muons that have either experienced Bremsstrahlung radiation or decayed in flight, producing samples of pure electromagnetic showers. Each of these electron neutrino-like samples are then evaluated by our classifier to obtain selection efficiencies. Our most recent analysis showed good agreement in the electron selection efficiency between data and simulation using these techniques. Furthermore, these cross-checks can be extended to corrections to our predicted electron neutrino signal. The impact of one such set of corrections on the overall analysis results were also evaluated in thesis.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

3D Tracking of a Single Electron in IOTA

High-resolution observations of single-particle dynamics have potential as a powerful tool in the diagnostics, tuning and design of storage rings. We are presenting the results of experiments with single electrons that were conducted at Fermilab’s IOTA ring to explore the feasibility of this approach. A set of sensitive, high-resolution digital cameras was used to detect the synchrotron radiation emitted by an electron, and the resulting images were used to reconstruct the time evolution of oscillation amplitudes in all three degrees of freedom. From the evolution of the oscillation amplitudes, we deduce transverse emittances, momentum spread, damping times, beam energy and estimated residual-gas density and composition. To our knowledge, this is the first time that the dynamics of a single particle in a storage ring has been tracked in all three dimensions. We discuss farther development of a single particle diagnostics that may allow reconstruction of its turn-by-turn coordinates over macroscopic periods of time facilitating ultra-precise lattice diagnostics and direct benchmarking of tracking codes.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Experimental 4D Tracking of a Single Electron in IOTA

We present the results of the first experiments on 4-dimensional phase-space tracking of a single electron in a storage ring, using a linear multi-anode photomultiplier tube for simultaneously measuring transverse coordinates and arrival times of synchrotron-radiation pulses. During the next few months, full 6D tracking will be implemented. This technology makes it possible to characterize the motion of a single particle, i.e. simultaneously tracking of amplitudes and phases for slow synchrotron oscillations and fast betatron oscillations. Complete tracking of a single particle enables the first direct measurements of dynamical properties, including invariants, amplitude-dependent tunes, and chaotic behavior.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

On Forced RF Generation of CW Magnetrons for SRF Accelerators

CW magnetrons, initially developed for industrial RF heaters, were suggested to power RF cavities of superconducting accelerators due to their higher efficiency and lower cost than traditionally used klystrons, IOTs or solid-state amplifiers. RF amplifiers driven by a master oscillator serve as coherent RF sources. CW magnetrons are regenerative RF generators with a huge regenerative gain. This causes regenerative instability with a large noise when a magnetron operates with the anode voltage above the threshold of self-excitation. Traditionally for stabilization of magnetrons is used injection locking by a quite small signal. Then the magnetron except the injection locked oscillations may generate noise. This may preclude use of standard CW magnetrons in some SRF accelerators. Recently we developed briefly described below a mode for forced RF generation of CW magnetrons when the magnetron startup is provided by the injected forcing signal and the regenerative noise is suppressed. The mode is most suitable for powering high Q-factor SRF cavities.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Diving into a holographic superconductor

Charged black holes in anti-de Sitter space become unstable to forming charged scalar hair at low temperatures T < T_\text{c} T < T c . This phenomenon is a holographic realization of superconductivity. We look inside the horizon of these holographic superconductors and find intricate dynamical behavior. The spacetime ends at a spacelike Kasner singularity, and there is no Cauchy horizon. Before reaching the singularity, there are several intermediate regimes which we study both analytically and numerically. These include strong Josephson oscillations in the condensate and possible `Kasner inversions’ in which after many e-folds of expansion, the Einstein-Rosen bridge contracts towards the singularity. Due to the Josephson oscillations, the number of Kasner inversions depends very sensitively on T T , and diverges at a discrete set of temperatures \{T_n\} { T n } that accumulate at T_c T c . Near these T_n T n , the final Kasner exponent exhibits fractal-like behavior.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Stroboscopic aliasing in long-range interacting quantum systems

We unveil a mechanism for generating oscillations with arbitrary multiplets of the period of a given external drive, in long-range interacting quantum many-particle spin systems. These oscillations break discrete time translation symmetry as in time crystals, but they are understood via two intertwined stroboscopic effects similar to the aliasing resulting from video taping a single fast rotating helicopter blade. The first effect is similar to a single blade appearing as multiple blades due to a frame rate that is in resonance with the frequency of the helicopter blades' rotation; the second is akin to the optical appearance of the helicopter blades moving in reverse direction. Analogously to other dynamically stabilized states in interacting quantum many-body systems, this stroboscopic aliasing is robust to detuning and excursions from a chosen set of driving parameters, and it offers a novel route for engineering dynamical n-tuplets in long-range quantum simulators, with potential applications to spin squeezing generation and entangled state preparation.

Kelly, Shane↗

Quantum enhanced metrology in the search for fundamental physical phenomena

These notes summarize lectures given at the 2019 Les Houches summer school on Quantum Information Machines. They describe and review an application of quantum metrology concepts to searches for ultralight dark matter. In particular, for ultralight dark matter that couples as a weak classical force to a laboratory harmonic oscillator, quantum squeezing benefits experiments in which the mass of the dark matter particle is unknown. This benefit is present even if the oscillatory dark matter signal is much more coherent than the harmonic oscillator that it couples to, as is the case for microwave frequency searches for dark matter axion particles.

Lehnert, Konrad↗

Status of DMRadio-50L and DMRadio-m$^3$

Recent theoretical advancements have made the QCD axion a stronger dark matter candidate, especially in the sub- \mu μ eV range. While cavity haloscopes have made significant progress in excluding QCD axions in the 1-100 \mu μ eV region, the 1 peV- 1 \mu μ eV region remains unexplored. The DMRadio program consists of a series of experiments designed to probe low mass axions. DMRadio-50L uses a 1 T average field toroidal magnet and a high-Q LC-oscillator with target sensitivity to axions of g_{a\gamma\gamma} < 5 \times 10^{-15}\text{ GeV}^{-1} g a γ γ < 5 × 10 − 15 GeV − 1 between 5 kHz and 5 MHz. DMRadio-m ^3 3 consists of a higher frequency LC-oscillator in a 4 T peak field solenoidal magnet with sensitivity to the DFSZ model of QCD axions between 30 MHz and 200 MHz. In this work, we present the status of DMRadio-50L and DMRadio-m ^3. 3 .

Rapidis, Nicholas Marcos↗