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At least 1,549 records · Page 86

Informing forest carbon inventories under the Paris Agreement using ground-based forest monitoring data

Human interactions with forests have shaped Earth's climate for millennia and will continue to do so as we target net-zero emission goals. Accurately characterizing these climate impacts requires making reliable forest carbon data available for forest monitoring and planning. Here, we develop a semi-automated process for submitting forest carbon measurements from the largest relevant scientific database to the International Panel on Climate Change's Emission Factor Database, which currently has sparse forest carbon data. Building this bridge from scientific research to international policy is an important step towards managing forests in a net-zero motivated future. Humans have been influencing Earth's climate via transformative impacts on forests for millennia, and forests are now recognized as critical to climate change mitigation under the Paris Agreement. The efficacy of climate change mitigation planning and reporting depends on quality data on forest carbon (C) stocks and changes. The Emission Factor Database (EFDB) of the International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is intended to be a definitive source for such data, but needs comprehensive and well-documented data to be so. To facilitate submission of forest C estimates from scientific studies to EFDB, we develop and document a process for semi-automated data submission from the Global Forest C database (ForC v4.0), which is the largest compilation of ground-based forest C estimates. We then assess the data currently available through ForC and provide recommendations for improving forest data collection, analysis, and reporting. As of September 2024, ForC contained ~19,286 records potentially relevant to EFDB, 1068 of which had been submitted and posted to EFDB. These represented 19% of the total EFDB records for forest land. Records were unevenly distributed across variables and geographic regions. ForC records (37%) reviewed could not be submitted because the original publication lacked required information. In the future, ground-based forest C estimates should target gaps in the record, and studies should ensure that they report all information necessary for inclusion in EFDB. Given that climate change is rapidly impacting the world's forests, timely reporting of recent estimates will be critical to accurate forest C inventories.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Effect of different manufacturing methods on polyamide reverse-osmosis membranes for desalination: Insights from molecular dynamics simulations

Membranes are a key technology platform for a broad application of energy-efficient separations. To best serve the separation demands of industry, the manufacturing processes for these membranes are garnering increasing attention. In particular, for water desalination, the industry leading polyamide (PA) reverse osmosis (RO) membranes can be manufactured via molecular layer-by-layer (mLBL) deposition, interfacial polymerization (IP), and 3D-printing technique. However, the influence of different manufacturing methods on PA membrane’s properties is far from understood. Here, in this study, we present the high-pressure transport behavior of water and salt ions for PA membranes formed with IP, mLBL, and 3D-printing through non-equilibrium molecular dynamics simulations. Studies show that membranes fabricated with 3D-printing have similar performances to those manufactured using mLBL, quantified by water permeability, rejection of salt ions, structural integrity, and porosity features. However, the membranes formed with IP exhibit faster water transport, lower rejection, worse structural integrity, and more inhomogeneous network pores than those constructed using mLBL and 3D-printing. The unconnected water-accessible space governs water transport for PA membranes formed with mLBL and 3D-printing, which offers the impermanent open-closed pores that enable water to jump through PA membranes. In contrast, the permeated water-enterable space plays a prominent role in water movement across the PA membrane formed with IP, providing a continuous transport channel at high pressure. Importantly, we observe the more significant compaction features at high pressure for PA membranes formed with IP than mLBL and 3D printing. In short, these findings provide a comprehensive understanding of existing membrane preparation technologies. It also provides a guide for developing the new membrane preparation process at the molecular level.

3D-printing↗

Roles of the atmosphere and ocean in the projected north atlantic warming hole

There exists a warming deficit in sea surface temperatures (SST) over the subpolar North Atlantic in response to quadrupled CO 2 , referred to as the projected North Atlantic warming hole (WH). This study employs a partial coupling technique to accurately verify the relative roles of oceanic and atmospheric processes in the formation of the projected WH within an atmosphere-ocean coupled framework. By decomposing the SST anomalies in the subpolar North Atlantic into two components: those induced by atmospheric processes (i.e., the atmosphere-forced component) and those driven by changes in ocean circulation (i.e., the ocean-driven component), we find that the projected WH is primarily driven by changes in ocean circulation, with almost no contribution from atmospheric processes. Specifically, the slowdown of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) results in a cooling of SST in the WH region due to reduced northward ocean heat transport into this region. This study further quantifies the influence of a positive coupled feedback through surface heat flux (SHF) on the AMOC response under greenhouse gas forcing within this self-consistent framework. It is found that the AMOC slowdown leads to a negative SST anomaly in the subpolar North Atlantic and subsequently a positive ocean-driven SHF anomaly, which in turn further weakens the AMOC. In conclusion, this positive feedback through the SHF contributes about 50% to the total AMOC slowdown in response to quadrupled CO 2 .

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Corrosion Response of Ni-19Cr-5Fe in Molten NaCl-MgCl 2 Salt

Ni-based alloys are strong candidates for use in high-temperature molten salt reactors due to their superior corrosion resistance and mechanical stability compared to stainless steels. In this study, the static corrosion behavior of a Ni-19Cr-5Fe model alloy was systematically evaluated in a purified molten NaCl-MgCl 2 salt at 700°C for 30, 240, and 500 h. Post-exposure analyses were conducted to assess microstructural evolution, corrosion depth, and elemental depletion profiles. Corrosion rates, quantified by chromium depletion depth, followed an inverse power-law trend with increasing exposure time, indicating diffusion-limited kinetics. This trend is attributed to limitations in mass transport in the static salt and to the progressive local depletion of reactive chromium species. Coupled electron backscatter diffraction and energy dispersive X-ray spectroscopy analysis further revealed that the grain boundary character significantly influences corrosion susceptibility: high-angle grain boundaries exhibited pronounced Cr depletion and pitting, while low-angle and Σ3 boundaries remained comparatively resistant. These results offer valuable insight into the role of microstructure in corrosion processes and reinforce the importance of time-dependent material evaluation in molten salt environments relevant to advanced reactor designs.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

IoT-based retrofit information diffusion in future smart communities

Community-scale building retrofits are not merely scaled-up versions of single-building retrofits. They involve complex challenges, such as reconciling individual interests with collective goals and managing the dynamic interplay between buildings through mechanisms like power grids and social connections. Internet of Things (IoT) connectivity holds the potential to leverage these interplays to balance individual and collective interests effectively in smart communities. One critical aspect of this interplay is information diffusion, which shapes how retrofit decisions spread among neighbors, influencing individual choices and ultimately impacting community-level retrofit outcomes. In other words, IoT-based smart devices automatically push tailored retrofit notifications to homeowners, which completely changes the format of information diffusion in the future. To investigate this influence by such information diffusion, the study used CityBES to simulate energy performance for different retrofits and applied an information diffusion model to analyze how decisions spread in a networked community of 192 buildings. The diffusion process was modeled on a weighted, directed network, capturing the dynamics of information flow and decision-making across 16 scenarios. Individual retrofit benefits were evaluated through payback years, while community-level retrofit outcomes were assessed using greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reductions. The results demonstrate that easier information diffusion among neighbors encourages households to prioritize retrofit measures that align with the majority’s optimal choices, even at the expense of individual financial benefits. In this case, such collective prioritization enhanced community-level retrofit performance, increasing GHG emission reductions by up to 29.4 %. However, this improvement came with trade-offs, as the average payback period for households extended by approximately 1.74 years. These findings highlight the potential of IoT-based information diffusion in future smart communities to coordinate individual interests with collective goals, ultimately accelerating community-level building retrofits.

Shu, Lei↗

Characterization of mechanical discontinuities based on data-driven classification of compressional-wave travel times

Wave propagation and diffusive transport phenomena are influenced by the mechanical discontinuities in material. Here this study shows that certain bulk properties of the network of low-velocity mechanical discontinuities (e.g. air-filled cracks) in a material can be characterized by processing compressional-wave travel times using traditional data-driven classification techniques. To that end, we perform three tasks in chronological order: (1) use the discrete fracture network (DFN) method to create two-dimensional (2D) numerical models of crack-bearing material embedded with various types of low-velocity mechanical discontinuities, (2) use the fast marching method (FMM) to simulate the propagation of the wave/diffusion front from a single source through the 2D crack-bearing material to multiple receivers placed on the boundary of the material, and (3) train 9 data-driven classifiers to characterize the crack-bearing materials (i.e. bulk properties of the network of mechanical discontinuities in the crack-bearing material) by learning from the simulations of travel times detected by multiple receivers placed around the crack-bearing material. The classifiers identified the orientation, spatial distribution, and dispersion of the low-velocity mechanical discontinuities. Voting classifier performs the best among the 9 classifiers. For the characterization of bulk dispersion and distribution of discontinuities, the sensors located on the adjacent boundaries are more important; whereas for the characterization of bulk orientation of discontinuities, the sensors located on the opposite side are more important.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DFT and microkinetic comparison of Pt, Pd and Rh-catalyzed ammonia oxidation

Ammonia oxidation is the heart of the Ostwald process and is important in emissions control. Catalytic behaviors are a function of conditions and are observed to vary across the platinum group metals (PGMs) Pt, Pd, Rh. Here, we combine density functional theory computations and microkinetic modeling to rationalize these dependencies. We compute reactions over model (2 1 1) and (1 1 1) surfaces of PGMs. Binding energies are similar on Pd and Pt and generally greater on Rh, while activation energies vary across all metals. Rates on (2 1 1) surfaces are greater than (1 1 1) surfaces. Additionally, the stepped Pt is most active and stepped Rh most selective to N 2 at ammonia slip conditions, while at Ostwald process conditions, stepped Pd is most active and stepped Pt most selective to NO. Degree of rate and selectivity control analysis provides insights into the reactions limiting performance of PGMs. Both activation barriers and surface coverages influence rates and selectivities.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Hydrological and Thermal Dynamics of a Supra‐Permafrost Subterranean Estuary

Subterranean estuaries (STEs), where groundwater interacts with seawater, influence surface and subsurface coastal ecology and biogeochemistry. In Arctic-STEs overlying permafrost, groundwater flow and heat transport determine the fate of organic matter. Yet, direct observations of groundwater flow and heat and solute transport processes in Arctic STEs remain limited. This study characterized groundwater flow paths and fluxes and heat transport within an Arctic-STE along Alaska's Beaufort Sea coast during thawing, summer, and freeze-up. Intertidal seabed temperature-depth profiles collected along a 10-m transect captured the active groundwater flow period, from thaw and flow onset in mid-June to freeze-up in late-September. During this period, aquifer geometry evolved non-uniformly due to spatially varying thaw rates across the STE (mean (m) thaw depths–beach: 0.25 to 0.55–0.6 m on 20 June, 25 July, 1 October; seabed: 0.6–0.9 m from 25 July to 1 October). Groundwater and surface water levels, salinity, and subsurface temperature profiles measured over tidal time scales were interpreted alongside groundwater flow-heat transport numerical simulations. Fresh groundwater discharge was sporadic during thawing (m: 0.32 m 3 /day/m), abundant in summer (m: 0.45 m 3 /day/m), and was largely absent during freeze-up. During freeze-up, groundwater flow was driven exclusively by seawater recirculation via tidal pumping (from thawing to summer to freeze-up: 0.00025–0.15–0.5 m3/day/m) and convection. Heat advection dominated near aquatic interfaces (shaping intertidal ice), and conduction controlled vertical temperature gradients in low-flow and unsaturated sediments. These findings will help predict how prolonged summers will alter Arctic-STE cryo-hydrology and biogeochemistry.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Aerosol jet printing of piezoelectric surface acoustic wave thermometer

Abstract Surface acoustic wave (SAW) devices are a subclass of micro-electromechanical systems (MEMS) that generate an acoustic emission when electrically stimulated. These transducers also work as detectors, converting surface strain into readable electrical signals. Physical properties of the generated SAW are material dependent and influenced by external factors like temperature. By monitoring temperature-dependent scattering parameters a SAW device can function as a thermometer to elucidate substrate temperature. Traditional fabrication of SAW sensors requires labor- and cost- intensive subtractive processes that produce large volumes of hazardous waste. This study utilizes an innovative aerosol jet printer to directly write consistent, high-resolution, silver comb electrodes onto a Y-cut LiNbO 3 substrate. The printed, two-port, 20 MHz SAW sensor exhibited excellent linearity and repeatability while being verified as a thermometer from 25 to 200 ∘ C. Sensitivities of the printed SAW thermometer are $$-96.9\times 1{0{}^{-6}}^{\circ }$$ − 96.9 × 1 0 − 6 ∘ C −1 and $$-92.0\times 1{0{}^{-6}}^{\circ }$$ − 92.0 × 1 0 − 6 ∘ C −1 when operating in pulse-echo mode and pulse-receiver mode, respectively. These results highlight a repeatable path to the additive fabrication of compact high-frequency SAW thermometers.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Thermodynamic and kinetic hydricity of transition metal hydrides

The prevalence of transition metal-mediated hydride transfer reactions in chemical synthesis, catalysis, and biology has inspired the development of methods for characterizing the reactivity of transition metal hydride complexes. Thermodynamic hydricity represents the free energy required for heterolytic cleavage of the metal–hydride bond to release a free hydride ion, H - , as determined through equilibrium measurements and thermochemical cycles. Kinetic hydricity represents the rate of hydride transfer from one species to another, as measured through kinetic analysis. This tutorial review describes the common methods for experimental and computational determination of thermodynamic and kinetic hydricity, including advice on best practices and precautions to help avoid pitfalls. The influence of solvation on hydricity is emphasized, including opportunities and challenges arising from comparisons across several different solvents. Connections between thermodynamic and kinetic hydricity are discussed, and opportunities for utilizing these connections to rationally improve catalytic processes involving hydride transfer are highlighted.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Numerical investigation of inertial sphere impaction on a cylinder in subcritical flow

We investigated the accuracy of a Lagrangian scheme for simulating both the motion and wall impaction of neutrally buoyant inertial spheres (8.85 ≤ St ≤ 18.04) moving in the subcritical regime (Re = 10,972 and 22,366) of flows past a circular cylinder. The accuracy of the eddy-resolving simulations of the flow field was verified based on available data at nearly comparable flow conditions. The accuracy of the eddy-resolving simulations of the flow field was verified based on available data at nearly comparable flow conditions. The accuracy of the particle tracking scheme was verified with respect to corresponding experimental data in a laboratory flume. Particle dispersion en route to the circular cylinder is mostly driven by the flow disturbance from the particle injector tube. The trends in collision rates are largely explained by the rate of particle entertainment into the boundary layer around the cylinder and the inertial condition of the spheres in this proximity region—both of which can be better assessed by post-processing of the numerical outcomes. Here, the primary incentive to undertake this work was the need for validating a particle-based method for quantifying the hydraulic stressors leading to bodily damage of fish passing flows influenced by hydraulic infrastructure.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

An integrated experimental–modeling approach to identify key processes for carbon mineralization in fractured mafic and ultramafic rocks

Abstract Controlling atmospheric warming requires immediate reduction of carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, as well as the active removal and sequestration of CO2 from current point sources. One promising proposed strategy to reduce atmospheric CO2 levels is geologic carbon sequestration (GCS), where CO2 is injected into the subsurface and reacts with the formation to precipitate carbonate minerals. Rapid mineralization has recently been reported for field tests in mafic and ultramafic rocks. However, unlike saline aquifers and depleted oil and gas reservoirs historically considered for GCS, these formations can have extremely low porosities and permeabilities, limiting storage volumes and reactive mineral surfaces to the preexisting fracture network. As a result, coupling between geochemical interactions and the fracture network evolution is a critical component of long-term, sustainable carbon storage. In this paper, we summarize recent advances in integrating experimental and modeling approaches to determine the first-order processes for carbon mineralization in a fractured mafic/ultramafic rock system. We observe the critical role of fracture aperture, flow, and surface characteristics in controlling the quantity, identity, and morphology of secondary precipitates and present where the influence of these factors can be reflected in newly developed thermo-hydro-mechanical–chemical models. Our findings provide a roadmap for future work on carbon mineralization, as we present the most important system components and key challenges that we are overcoming to enable GCS in mafic and ultramafic rocks.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

FACETS Dynamical Downscaling Simulations over North America by the CAM-MPAS Variable-Resolution Model

Comprehensive assessment of climate datasets created by statistical or dynamical models is important for effectively communicating model projection and associated uncertainty to stakeholders and decision-makers. The Department of Energy FACETS project aims to foster such communication through development of metrics and their demonstration on a hierarchy of downscaled climate datasets to quantify aspects of climate change projections that are credible, particularly for supporting decisions related to the energy-water-land nexus. As a part of this effort, we have produced a regional climate dataset using the Model for Prediction Across Scales coupled to the Community Atmosphere Model (CAM-MPAS). This global modeling framework is configured with variable-resolution meshes featuring higher resolutions over North America, as well as quasi-uniform resolution meshes across the globe. The variable-resolution configurations allow fine-scale features to be better resolved inside the refinement and interact with global-scale circulations. The dataset includes multiple uniform- (240km and 120km) and variable-resolution (200-50km, 100-25km, and 46-12km) simulations that are designed to be compatible with other regional climate simulations that contribute to the hierarchy of downscaled climate datasets of the project. Furthermore, the dataset consists of simulations for both the present-day (1989-2010) and future (2079-2100) climate and post-processing of the model output has been coordinated across the project for consistency to facilitate common analysis across the hierarchy of datasets. Altogether, this CAM-MPAS model dataset provides a unique opportunity to assess the influence of resolutions and modeling framework on model credibility and climate change projection.

Sakaguchi, Koichi↗

Challenges and Lessons Learned in Applying Sensitivity Analysis to Building Stock Energy Models

Uncertainty Analysis (UA) and Sensitivity Analysis (SA) offer essential tools to determine the limits of inference of a model and explore the factors which have the most effect on the model outputs. However, despite a well established body of work applying UA and SA to models of individual buildings, a review of the literature relating to energy models for larger groups of buildings undertaken by Fennell et al. (2019) highlighted very limited application at larger scales. This contribution describes the efforts undertaken by a group of research teams in the context of IEA-EBC Annex 70 working with a diverse set of Building Stock Models (BSMs) to apply global sensitivity analysis methods and compare their results. Since BSMs are a class of model defined by their output and coverage rather than their structure and inputs, they represent a diverse set of modelling approaches. Key challenges for the application of SA are identified and explored, including the influence of model form, input data types and model outputs. This study combines results from 7 different modelling teams, each using different models across a range of urban areas to explore these challenges and begin the process of developing standardised workflows for SA of BSMs.

ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATION↗

Assessing the Sensitivity of the Tropical Cyclone Boundary Layer to the Parameterization of Momentum Flux in the Community Earth System Model

Recent studies have demonstrated that high-resolution (~25 km) Earth System Models (ESMs) have the potential to skillfully predict tropical cyclone (TC) occurrence and intensity. However, biases in ESM TCs still exist, largely due to the need to parameterize processes such as boundary layer (PBL) turbulence. Building on past studies, we hypothesize that the depiction of the TC PBL in ESMs is sensitive to the configuration of the PBL parameterization scheme, and that the targeted perturbation of tunable parameters can reduce biases. The Morris one-at-a-time (MOAT) method is implemented to assess the sensitivity of the TC PBL to tunable parameters in the PBL scheme in an idealized configuration of the Community Atmosphere Model, version 6 (CAM6). The MOAT method objectively identifies several parameters in an experimental version of the Cloud Layers Unified by Binormals (CLUBB) scheme that appreciably influence the structure of the TC PBL. We then perturb the parameters identified by the MOAT method within a suite of CAM6 ensemble simulations and find a reduction in model biases compared to observations and a high-resolution, cloud-resolving model. Importantly, we demonstrate that the high-sensitivity parameters are tied to PBL processes that reduce turbulent mixing and effective eddy diffusivity, and that in CAM6 these parameters alter the TC PBL in a manner consistent with past modeling studies. In this way, we provide an initial identification of process-based input parameters that, when altered, have the potential to improve TC predictions by ESMs.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Heterogenous activation of dynamic recrystallization and twinning during friction stir processing of a Cu-4Nb alloy

An interplay between high degree of shear deformation and deformation-induced heating occurs during friction stir processing (FSP) of metals. In medium-to-low stacking fault energy Cu alloys, this can lead to a complex spatially heterogenous activation of dynamic recrystallization (DRX) and twinning mechanisms. Within the Cu-Nb system, the presence of Nb is further expected to influence the DRX mechanism of the Cu matrix. However, the microstructural changes induced by the co-deformation of Nb during FSP are still not well understood. So, this study uses a combination of multimodal microstructural characterization, solution thermodynamics-based predictions, and computational crystal plasticity simulation to reveal the various microstructural evolution mechanisms that can occur during FSP of a Cu-4at.%Nb binary model alloy. The formation of softer DRX zones, and harder shear localization regions are revealed using electron backscatter diffraction, transmission electron microscopy, atom probe tomography, and crystal plasticity modeling.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Influence of the distribution of expansive sites in aggregates on microscopic damage caused by alkali-silica reaction: Insights into the mechanical origin of expansion

The origin of damage in concrete due to the alkali-silica reaction (ASR) is attributed to the expansion site in the aggregate. To investigate the cracking process of the aggregate during ASR and its consequences on concrete damage, the effect of the distribution of the expansive sites in the aggregate on ASR expansion and the crack patterns must be evaluated. Thus, in this study, a mesoscale discrete model was applied to ASR modeling to represent the propagation of cracking during ASR accurately. The distribution of the expansive sites in the aggregate was based on the gel pocket and reaction rim models, which are two ASR mechanisms reported in the literature. These two expansion models highlight the different crack patterns obtained based on the aggregate characteristics. Further, the expansion cracking processes determined based on the gel pocket and reaction rim models are consistent with the evolution of cracking with the expansion level.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗