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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 1,549 records · Page 86
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2024

Runtime performance of a GAMESS quantum chemistry application offloaded to GPUs

Summary Computational chemistry is at the forefront of solving urgent societal problems, such as polymer upcycling and carbon capture. The complexity of modeling these processes at appropriate length and time scales is mainly manifested in the number and types of chemical species involved in the reactions and may require models of several thousand atoms and large basis sets to accurately capture the chemical complexity and heterogeneity in the physical and chemical processes. The quantum chemistry package General Atomic and Molecular Electronic Structure System (GAMESS) has a wide array of methods that can efficiently and accurately treat complex chemical systems. In this work, we have used the GAMESS Effective Fragment Molecule Orbital (EFMO) method for electronic structure calculation of a challenging mesoporous silica nanoparticle (MSN) model surrounded by about 4700 water molecules to investigate the strong scaling and GPU offloading on hybrid CPU‐GPU nodes. Experiments were performed on the Perlmutter platform at the National Energy Research Scientific Computing Center. Good strong scaling and load balancing have been observed on up to 88 hybrid nodes for different settings of the execution parameters for the calculation considered here. When GPUs are oversubscribed by offloading work from multiple CPU processes, using the NVIDIA multi‐process service (MPS) has consistently reduced time to solution and energy consumed. Additionally, for some configuration parameter settings, oversubscription with MPS improved performance by up to 5.8% over the case without oversubscription.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2019

Bis(1,2,4-oxadiazolyl) Furoxan: A Promising Melt-Castable Eutectic Material of Low Sensitivity

A scalable synthesis of bis(1,2,4-oxadiazoyl) furoxan, C 6 H 2 N 6 O 4 , its physical properties, and its theoretical performance values are described herein. Previous attempts to synthesize this compound required expensive reagents, and/or time-consuming synthesis processes and low overall yields. In addition to disclosing a streamlined synthesis of bis(1,2,4-oxadiazolyl) furoxan, we report its molecular configuration and crystal structure, as well as its correct melting point. Bis(1,2,4-oxadiazolyl) furoxan exhibits a very insensitive behavior to impact, friction, and electrostatic discharge, with a calculated detonation pressure 20 % higher than that of TNT. Given its physical properties and theoretical performance values, this material can be classified as a promising ingredient in the development of melt-castable eutectic technology.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2020

Hybrid Carbon Dioxide Reduction Photocatalysts Consisting of Macrocyclic Cobalt(III) Complexes Deposited on Semiconductor Surfaces

Hybrid photocatalysts can be prepared by coupling metal ligand complexes with light-harvesting semiconductors. It is often challenging and time consuming to derivatize ligands with anchoring groups to effectively attach onto surfaces. In this study, we synthesized hybrid carbon dioxide reduction photocatalysts by directly depositing two macrocyclic Co(III) complexes on three different semiconductor surfaces (TiO 2 , N-Ta 2 O 5 and C 3 N 4 ). The resulting hybrid photocatalysts were characterized with various techniques and tested in CO 2 reduction reactions under different light conditions. Excellent visible-light CO 2 -reduction activity was obtained using C 3 N 4 as the light-harvesting semiconductor. Furthermore, density functional theory calculations were conducted to help understand interactions between the cobalt complexes with a model TiO 2 surface.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2013

Computational approaches to the chemical conversion of carbon dioxide

The conversion of CO2 into fuels and chemicals is viewed as an attractive route for controlling the atmospheric concentration of this greenhouse gas and recycling it, but its industrial application is limited by the low selectivity and activity of the current catalysts. Theoretical modeling, in particular density-functional theory (DFT) simulations, provides a powerful and effective tool to discover chemical reaction mechanisms and design new catalysts for the chemical conversion of CO2, overcoming the repetitious and time/labor consuming trial-and-error experimental processes. In this article we give a comprehensive survey of recent advances on mechanism determination by DFT calculations for the catalytic hydrogenation of CO2 into CO, CH4, CH3OH, and HCOOH, and CO2 methanation, as well as the photo- and electrochemical reduction of CO2. DFT-guided design procedures of new catalytic systems are also reviewed, and challenges and perspectives in this field are outlined.

Cheng, Daojian↗
DOE OSTI2015

All-Iron Redox Flow Battery Tailored for Off-Grid Portable Applications

We proposed and developed an all-iron redox flow battery for end users without access to an electricity grid. The concept is a low-cost battery which the user assembles, discharges, and then disposes of the active materials. Our design goals are: (1) minimize upfront cost, (2) maximize discharge energy, and (3) utilize non-toxic and environmentally benign materials. These are different goals than typically considered for electrochemical battery technology, which provides the opportunity for a novel solution. The selected materials are: low-carbon-steel negative electrode, paper separator, porous-carbon-paper positive electrode, and electrolyte solution containing 0.5 m Fe 2 (SO 4 ) 3 active material and 1.2 m NaCl supporting electrolyte. Furthermore, with these materials, an average power density around 20 mW cm -2 and a maximum energy density of 11.5 Wh L -1 are achieved. A simple cost model indicates the consumable materials cost US$6.45 per kWh -1 , or only US$0.034 per mobile phone charge.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2017

Reinventing Design Principles for Developing Low-Viscosity Carbon Dioxide-Binding Organic Liquids for Flue Gas Clean Up

Anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emission from point sources, such as coal fired-power plants, account for the majority of the green houses gasses in the atmosphere. Capture, storage and utilization are required to mitigate adverse environmental effects. Aqueous amine-based CO 2 capture solvents are currently considered the industry standard, but deployment to market is limited by their high regeneration energy demand. In that context, energy efficient and less-viscous water-lean transformational solvent systems known as CO 2 Binding Organic Liquids (CO 2 BOLs) are being developed in our group to advance this technology to commercialization. Herein, we present a logical design approach based on fundamental concepts of organic chemistry and computer simulations aimed at lowering solvent viscosity. Conceptually, viscosity reduction would be achieved by systemmatic methods such as introduction of steric hindrance on the anion to minimize the intermolecular cation-anion interactions, fine tuning the electronics, hydrogen bonding orientation and strength, and charge solvation. Conventional standard trial-and-error approaches while effective, are time consuming and economically expensive. Herein, we rethink the metrics and design principles of low-viscosity CO 2 capture solvents using a combined synthesis and computational modeling approach. We critically study the impacts of modyfying factors such as as orientation of hydrogen bonding, introduction of higher degrees of freedom and cation or anion charge solvation and assess if or how each factor impacts viscosity of CO 2 BOL CO 2 capture solvents. Ultimately, we found that hydrogen bond orientation and strength is predominantly influencing the viscosity in CO 2 BOL solvents. With this knowledge, a new 1-MEIPADM-2-BOL CO 2 BOL variant was synthesized and tested, resulting in a solvent that is approximately 60% less viscous at 25 mol% CO 2 loading with respect to our base compound 1-IPADM-2-BOL. The insights gained from the current study redefines the fundamental concepts and understanding of what influences viscosity in concentrated organic CO 2 capture solvents.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2018

Novel Rapid Screening of Basic Immobilized Amine Sorbent/Catalyst Water Stability by a UV/Vis/Cu 2+ Technique

Abstract Time‐consuming thermogravimetric analysis (TGA) decomposition study is a typical practice to assess the stability of fresh and water‐treated basic immobilized amine sorbents (BIAS)/catalysts. This work presents a faster and more precise spectroscopic UV/Vis/Cu 2+ sorbent screening technique that quantifies aqueous amines washed from the BIAS by using UV‐active amine/Cu 2+ complexes. Six BIAS‐based catalysts, containing different amine species and a crosslinker within silica, were treated with ultrapure water and then analyzed for their CO 2 capture performance and amine leach resistance/stability by using TGA (catalysts, approximately 4 h) and UV/Vis/Cu 2+ techniques (wash solution, few minutes). A comparative analysis revealed that directly quantifying washed amines with UV/Vis/Cu 2+ is 9–127 times more precise than indirect testing of the sorbents by TGA. Similar trends in the H 2 O stability profiles of the catalysts [organic content retained values (OCR)] were reported by both analysis methods, allowing UV/Vis/Cu 2+ to replace TGA for quantifying unstable leached amines. The UV/Vis/Cu 2+ OCR results could be used to predict the CO 2 ‐capture stability profile of the sorbents, confirming the reliability of this technique to rapidly screen catalyst stability and performance.

Wilfong, Walter Christopher↗
DOE OSTI2021

Synthetic Lubricants Derived from Plastic Waste and their Tribological Performance

The energy efficiency, mechanical durability, and environmental compatibility of all moving machine components rely heavily on advanced lubricants for smooth and safe operation. Herein an alternative family of high-quality liquid (HQL) lubricants was derived by the catalytic conversion of pre- and post-consumer polyolefin waste. The plastic-derived lubricants performed comparably to synthetic base oils such as polyalphaolefins (PAOs), both with a wear scar volume (WSV) of 7.5×10 -5 mm -3 . HQLs also performed superior to petroleum-based lubricants such as Group III mineral oil with a WSV of 1.7×10 -4 mm -3 , showcasing a 44% reduction in wear. Furthermore, a synergistic reduction in friction and wear was observed when combining the upcycled plastic lubricant with synthetic oils. Additionally, life cycle and techno-economic analyses also showed this process to be energetically efficient and economically feasible. This novel technology offers a cost-effective opportunity to reduce the harmful environmental impact of plastic waste on our planet and to save energy through reduction of friction and wear-related degradations in transportation applications akin to synthetic oils.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2023

Tailoring Chemical Absorption-Precipitation to Lower the Regeneration Energy of a CO 2 Capture Solvent

Solvent-based CO 2 capture consumes significant amounts of energy for solvent regeneration. To improve energy efficiency, this study investigates CO 2 fixation in a solid form through solvation, followed by ionic self-assembly-aided precipitation. Based on the hypothesis that CO 3 2- ions may bind with monovalent metal ions, we introduced Na + into an aqueous hexane-1,6-diamine solution where CO 2 forms carbamate and bicarbonate. Then, Na + ions in the solvent act as a seed for ionic self-assembly with diamine carbamate to form an intermediate ionic complex. The recurring chemical reactions lead to the formation of an ionic solid from a mixture of organic carbamate/carbonate and inorganic sodium bicarbonate (NaHCO 3 ), which can be easily removed from the aqueous solvent through sedimentation or centrifugation and heated to release the captured CO 2 . Mild-temperature heating of the solids at 80–150 °C causes decomposition of the solid CO 2 -diamine-Na molecular aggregates and discharge of CO 2 . This sorbent regeneration process requires 6.5–8.6 GJ/t CO 2 . It was also found that the organic carbamate/carbonate solid, without NaHCO 3 , contains a significant amount of CO 2 , up to 6.2 mmol CO 2 /g-sorbent, requiring as low as 2.9–5.8 GJ/t CO 2 . In conclusion, molecular dynamic simulations support the hypothesis of using Na + to form relatively less stable, yet sufficiently solid, complexes for the least energy-intensive recovery of diamine solvents compared to bivalent carbonate–forming ions.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2023

High-Performance CO 2 Capture from Air by Harnessing the Power of CaO- and Superbase-Ionic-Liquid-Engineered Sorbents

Direct air capture (DAC) of CO 2 by solid porous materials represents an attractive “negative emission” technology. However, state-of-the-art sorbents based on supported amines still suffer from unsolved high energy consumption and stability issues. For this work, taking clues from the CO 2 interaction with superbase-derived ionic liquids (SILs), high-performance and tunable sorbents in DAC of CO 2 was developed by harnessing the power of CaO- and SIL-engineered sorbents. Deploying mesoporous silica as the substrate, a thin CaO layer was first introduced to consume the surface-OH groups, and then active sites with different basicities (e. g., triazolate and imidazolate) were introduced as a uniformly distributed thin layer. The as-obtained sorbents displayed high CO 2 uptake capacity via volumetric (at 0.4 mbar) and breakthrough test (400 ppm CO 2 source), rapid interaction kinetics, facile CO 2 releasing, and stable sorption/desorption cycles. Operando diffuse reflectance infrared Fourier transformation spectroscopy (DRIFTS) analysis under simulated air atmosphere and solid-state NMR under 13 CO 2 atmosphere demonstrated the critical roles of the SIL species in low-concentration CO 2 capture. The fundamental insights obtained in this work provide guidance on the development of high-performance sorbents in DAC of CO 2 by leveraging the combined advantages of porous solid scaffolds and the unique features of CO 2 -philic ionic liquids.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2026

Simultaneous Determination of Halogens and Metals in Waste Plastic Pyrolysis Oil by Inductively Coupled Plasma Mass Spectrometry

A major barrier to integrating pyrolysis-derived oil into conventional refinery technology is the presence of impurities, particularly halogens and metals, that can deactivate catalysts. This study presents a novel, cost-effective approach for the simultaneous analysis of a subset of halogens, metals, nonmetals, and metalloids in complex, industrially relevant distilled pyrolysis oil samples, this was previously achievable only through multiple techniques. Excellent results were obtained using a widely accessible inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry (ICP-MS) method with helium gas mode and standard laboratory consumables, enabling high-throughput analysis and efficient evaluation of adsorbent performance. Sample preparation is straightforward, requiring only dilution in a compatible matrix, and provides accurate and precise quantification, with 75%–137% spike recovery for Be, Ti, V, Cr, Fe, Ni, Co, Cu, As, Se, Mo, Cd, Sb, Tl, and Pb, and 62%–65% spike recovery for Cl and 109%–133% spike recovery for Br. Additionally, an enhanced version of the method using ICP-MS/MS and hydrogen gas is described, which has higher accuracy with 69%–112% spike recovery for Be, B, Ti, V, Fe, Co, Ni, Cu, As, Se, Mo, Cd, Sb, Tl, and Pb, with 85%–102% spike recovery for Cl and 63%–93% spike recovery for Br. Helium mode detection limits for industrially relevant elements (V, Fe, Ni, Cu, As, and Pb) are less than 1.7 µg/kg, and less than 0.2 mg/kg for Br and Cl. Furthermore, this methodology facilitates rapid systematic evaluation of adsorption capacities of materials under time-on-stream conditions and supports robust comparisons across diverse operating environments.

Lazarcik, James [University of Wisconsin-Madison, ↗
DOE OSTI2022

Beyond carbon flux partitioning: Carbon allocation and nonstructural carbon dynamics inferred from continuous fluxes

Carbon (C) allocation and nonstructural carbon (NSC) dynamics play essential roles in plant growth and survival under stress and disturbance. However, quantitative understanding of these processes remains limited. Here, in this work, we propose a framework where we connect commonly measured carbon cycle components (eddy covariance fluxes of canopy CO 2 exchange, soil CO 2 efflux, and allometry-based biomass and net primary production) by a simple mass balance model to derive ecosystem-level NSC dynamics (NSC i ), C translocation (dC i ), and the biomass production efficiency (BPE i ) in above- and belowground plant (i = agp and bgp) compartments. We applied this framework to two long-term monitored loblolly pine (Pinus taeda) plantations of different ages in North Carolina and characterized the variations of NSC and allocation in years under normal and drought conditions. The results indicated that the young stand did not have net NSC flux at the annual scale, whereas the mature stand stored a near-constant proportion of new assimilates as NSC every year under normal conditions, which was comparable in magnitude to new structural growth. Roots consumed NSC in drought and stored a significant amount of NSC post drought. The above- and belowground dC i and BPE i varied more from year to year in the young stand and approached a relatively stable pattern in the mature stand. The belowground BPE bgp differed the most between the young and mature stands and was most responsive to drought. With the internal C dynamics quantified, this framework may also improve biomass production estimation, which reveals the variations resulting from droughts. Overall, these quantified ecosystem-scale dynamics were consistent with existing evidence from tree-based manipulative experiments and measurements and demonstrated that combining the continuous fluxes as proposed here can provide additional information about plant internal C dynamics. Given that it is based on broadly available flux data, the proposed framework is promising to improve the allocation algorithms in ecosystem C cycle models and offers new insights into observed variability in soil–plant–climate interactions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2019

Grassland harvesting alters ant community trophic structure: An isotopic study in tallgrass prairies

Disturbances have long been recognized as important forces for structuring natural communities but their effects on trophic structure are not well understood, particularly in terrestrial systems. This is in part because quantifying trophic linkages is a challenge, especially for small organisms with cryptic feeding behaviors such as insects, and often relies on conducting labor-intensive feeding trials or extensive observations in the field. In this study, we used stable isotopes of carbon and nitrogen to examine how disturbance (annual biomass harvesting) in tallgrass prairies affected the trophic position, trophic range, and niche space of ants, a widespread grassland consumer. We hypothesized that biomass harvest would remove important food and nesting resources of insects thus affecting ant feeding relationships and trophic structure. We found shifts in the feeding relationships inferred by isotopic signatures with harvest. In particular, these shifts suggest that ants within harvest sites utilized resources at lower trophic levels (possibly plant-based resources or herbivores), expanded trophic breadth, and occupied different niche spaces. Shifts in resource use following harvest could be due to harvest-mediated changes in both the plant and arthropod communities that might affect the strength of competition or alter plant nitrogen availability. Because shifts in resource use alter the flow of nutrients across the food web, disturbance effects on ants could have ecosystem-level consequences through nutrient cycling.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Deriving spatially explicit direct and indirect interaction networks from animal movement data

Abstract Quantifying spatiotemporally explicit interactions within animal populations facilitates the understanding of social structure and its relationship with ecological processes. Data from animal tracking technologies (Global Positioning Systems [“GPS”]) can circumvent longstanding challenges in the estimation of spatiotemporally explicit interactions, but the discrete nature and coarse temporal resolution of data mean that ephemeral interactions that occur between consecutive GPS locations go undetected. Here, we developed a method to quantify individual and spatial patterns of interaction using continuous‐time movement models (CTMMs) fit to GPS tracking data. We first applied CTMMs to infer the full movement trajectories at an arbitrarily fine temporal scale before estimating interactions, thus allowing inference of interactions occurring between observed GPS locations. Our framework then infers indirect interactions—individuals occurring at the same location, but at different times—while allowing the identification of indirect interactions to vary with ecological context based on CTMM outputs. We assessed the performance of our new method using simulations and illustrated its implementation by deriving disease‐relevant interaction networks for two behaviorally differentiated species, wild pigs ( Sus scrofa ) that can host African Swine Fever and mule deer ( Odocoileus hemionus ) that can host chronic wasting disease. Simulations showed that interactions derived from observed GPS data can be substantially underestimated when temporal resolution of movement data exceeds 30‐min intervals. Empirical application suggested that underestimation occurred in both interaction rates and their spatial distributions. CTMM‐Interaction method, which can introduce uncertainties, recovered majority of true interactions. Our method leverages advances in movement ecology to quantify fine‐scale spatiotemporal interactions between individuals from lower temporal resolution GPS data. It can be leveraged to infer dynamic social networks, transmission potential in disease systems, consumer–resource interactions, information sharing, and beyond. The method also sets the stage for future predictive models linking observed spatiotemporal interaction patterns to environmental drivers.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2016

Effects of experimentally added salmon subsidies on resident fishes via direct and indirect pathways

Abstract Artificial additions of nutrients of differing forms such as salmon carcasses and analog pellets (i.e. pasteurized fishmeal) have been proposed as a means of stimulating aquatic productivity and enhancing populations of anadromous and resident fishes. Nutrient mitigation to enhance fish production in stream ecosystems assumes that the central pathway by which effects occur is bottom‐up, through aquatic primary and secondary production, with little consideration of reciprocal aquatic‐terrestrial pathways. The net outcome (i.e. bottom‐up vs. top‐down) of adding salmon‐derived materials to streams depend on whether or not these subsidies indirectly intensify predation on in situ prey via increases in a shared predator or alleviate such predation pressure. We conducted a 3‐year experiment across nine tributaries of the N. Fork Boise River, Idaho, USA , consisting of 500‐m stream reaches treated with salmon carcasses (n = 3), salmon carcass analog (n = 3), and untreated control reaches (n = 3). We observed 2–8 fold increases in streambed biofilms in the 2–6 weeks following additions of both salmon subsidy treatments in years 1 and 2 and a 1.5‐fold increase in standing crop biomass of aquatic invertebrates to carcass additions in the second year of our experiment. The consumption of benthic invertebrates by stream fishes increased 110–140% and 44–66% in carcass and analog streams in the same time frame, which may have masked invertebrate standing crop responses in years 3 and 4. Resident trout directly consumed 10.0–24.0 g·m −2 ·yr −1 of salmon carcass and <1–11.0 g·m −2 ·yr −1 of analog material, which resulted in 1.2–2.9 g·m −2 ·yr −1 and 0.03–1.4 g·m −2 ·yr −1 of tissue produced. In addition, a feedback flux of terrestrial maggots to streams contributed 0.0–2.0 g·m −2 ·yr −1 to trout production. Overall, treatments increased annual trout production by 2–3 fold, though density and biomass were unaffected. Our results indicate the strength of bottom‐up and top‐down responses to subsidy additions was asymmetrical, with top‐down forces masking bottom‐up effects that required multiple years to manifest. The findings also highlight the need for nutrient mitigation programs to consider multiple pathways of energy and nutrient flow to account for the complex effects of salmon subsidies in stream‐riparian ecosystems.

Collins, Scott F.↗
DOE OSTI2020

Past and present disturbances generate spatial variation in seed predation

Seed survival is a key process for plant populations; variation in the activity and abundance of animals that consume seeds can lead to dramatic shifts in seed fate. Because granivores may respond to contemporary disturbance as well as to enduring changes in habitats caused by past disturbances, understanding seed fate requires studies capable of evaluating how past and present disturbances modify granivore communities, foraging activity, and ultimately, seed predation. Historic agricultural land use and contemporary canopy harvesting are widespread disturbances that could generate large-scale patterns of seed fate by modifying environmental characteristics that determine granivore identity and behavior. Here, to evaluate whether land-use history and canopy harvesting affect seed–animal interactions, we conducted an experiment distributed across 80,000 ha of longleaf pine woodlands that coupled large-scale canopy harvesting at seven 4-ha sites containing both post-agricultural land use and nonagricultural land use in South Carolina, United States. We deployed a total of 28,000 nail-tagged seeds and recovered the tags to quantify seed fate. Past agricultural land use and contemporary canopy harvesting interacted to affect the rate of seed predation. Seed predation rates in harvested sites depended on land-use history: Seed predation was 30% lower in post-agricultural plots than in nonagricultural plots. This interaction was driven by the differential effect of land-use history and canopy harvesting on rodent activity. Camera traps revealed that Sigmodon hispidus only foraged in harvested plots and was most active in nonagricultural plots. In harvested plots, seed removal increased with S. hispidus activity. In unharvested plots, seed removal increased with Sciurus niger activity, but S. niger was not affected by land-use history. In finding that land-use history and canopy harvesting determine the outcomes of seed–animal interactions, we show that understanding patterns of seed predation is contingent upon the interplay of disturbances in both the distant past and recent past. These results suggest that patterns of past land use and present land use may help reconcile the considerable variation in seed fate observed in ecological communities.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Predation probabilities and functional responses: How piscivorous waterbirds respond to pulses in fish abundance

Abstract How predators respond to changes in prey abundance (i.e., functional responses) is foundational to consumer–resource interactions, predator–prey dynamics, and the stability of predator–prey systems. Predation by piscivorous waterbirds on out‐migrating juvenile steelhead trout ( Oncorhynchus mykiss ) is considered a factor affecting the recovery of multiple Endangered Species Act‐listed steelhead populations in the Columbia River basin. Waterbird functional responses, however, may vary by predator species and location, with important implications to predator management strategies. We used a 13‐year dataset on waterbird abundance across seven breeding colonies (three Caspian tern [ Hydroprogne caspia ], two double‐crested cormorant [ Nannopterum auritum ], and two California and ring‐billed gull [ Larus californicus and Larus delawarensis ] colonies) and steelhead tag‐recovery data (>645,000 tagged and >32,000 recovered steelhead) to quantify weekly predation probabilities and functional responses across waterbird species, colonies, and years. Weekly predation probabilities were highly variable, ranging from 0.01 to 0.30 at tern colonies, 0.01 to 0.20 at cormorant colonies, and 0.03 to 0.13 at gull colonies. Per capita predation probabilities were an order of magnitude higher at inland tern and cormorant colonies relative to estuary colonies of the same species. Terns displayed Type II functional responses across colonies and years, where predation probabilities peaked at low steelhead abundances and declined as steelhead abundance increased (i.e., predator swamping). Cormorants nesting at the large estuary colony (several thousand birds) displayed a Type III functional response, but cormorants nesting at the smaller inland colony (several hundred birds) displayed a Type II response. Consumption probabilities of steelhead by gulls remained consistent across a large range of steelhead availability, suggesting a Type I or a Type III functional response, but a lack of colony abundance data prevented quantifying functional responses. The level of tern predation combined with Type II functional responses indicate possible population‐level impacts that could destabilize small or declining prey populations. Conversely, the apparent Type III functional responses of gulls and estuary nesting cormorants are indicative of prey switching behaviors targeted at periods of high steelhead abundance. Our results illustrate the complexity of predator–prey interactions and the importance of quantifying predator‐ and location‐specific functional responses when predicting the efficacy of management strategies to enhance prey populations.

Hostetter, Nathan J.↗