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At least 1,549 records · Page 86

Surface conversion techniques for low energy neutral atom imagers

This investigation has focused on development of key technology elements for low energy neutral atom imaging. More specifically, we have investigated the conversion of low energy neutral atoms to negatively charged ions upon reflection from specially prepared surfaces. This 'surface conversion' technique appears to offer a unique capability of detecting, and thus imaging, neutral atoms at energies of 0.01 - 1 keV with high enough efficiencies to make practical its application to low energy neutral atom imaging in space. Such imaging offers the opportunity to obtain the first instantaneous global maps of macroscopic plasma features and their temporal variation. Through previous in situ plasma measurements, we have a statistical picture of large scale morphology and local measurements of dynamic processes. However, with in situ techniques it is impossible to characterize or understand many of the global plasma transport and energization processes. A series of global plasma images would greatly advance our understanding of these processes and would provide the context for interpreting previous and future in situ measurements. Fast neutral atoms, created from ions that are neutralized in collisions with exospheric neutrals, offer the means for remotely imaging plasma populations. Energy and mass analysis of these neutrals provides critical information about the source plasma distribution. The flux of neutral atoms available for imaging depends upon a convolution of the ambient plasma distribution with the charge exchange cross section for the background neutral population. Some of the highest signals are at relatively low energies (well below 1 keV). This energy range also includes some of the most important plasma populations to be imaged, for example the base of the cleft ion fountain.

Quinn, J. M.↗

Understanding Differences in California Climate Projections Produced by Dynamical and Statistical Downscaling

Abstract We compare historical and end‐of‐century temperature and precipitation patterns over California from one dynamically downscaled simulation using the Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model and two simulations statistically downscaled using Localized Constructed Analogs (LOCA). We uniquely separate causes of differences between dynamically and statistically based future climate projections into differences in historical climate (gridded observations versus regional climate model output) and differences in how these downscaling techniques explicitly handle future climate changes (numerical modeling versus analogs). In these methods, solutions between different downscaling techniques differ more in the future compared to the historical period. Changes projected by LOCA are insensitive to the choice of driving data. Only through dynamical downscaling can we simulate physically consistent regional springtime warming patterns across the Sierra Nevada, while the statistical simulations inherit an unphysical signal from their parent Global Climate Model (GCM) or gridded data. The results of our study clarify why these different techniques produce different outcomes and may also provide guidance on which downscaled products to use for certain impact analyses in California and perhaps other Mediterranean regimes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

The Surface-Topography Challenge: A Multi-Laboratory Benchmark Study to Advance the Characterization of Topography

Surface performance is critically influenced by topography in virtually all real-world applications. The current standard practice is to describe topography using one of a few industry-standard parameters. The most commonly reported number is Ra, the average absolute deviation of the height from the mean line (at some, not necessarily known or specified, lateral length scale). However, other parameters, particularly those that are scale-dependent, influence surface and interfacial properties; for example the local surface slope is critical for visual appearance, friction, and wear. The present Surface-Topography Challenge was launched to raise awareness for the need of a multi-scale description, but also to assess the reliability of different metrology techniques. In the resulting international collaborative effort, 153 scientists and engineers from 64 research groups and companies across 20 countries characterized statistically equivalent samples from two different surfaces: a “rough” and a “smooth” surface. The results of the 2088 measurements constitute the most comprehensive surface description ever compiled. We find wide disagreement across measurements and techniques when the lateral scale of the measurement is ignored. Consensus is established through scale-dependent parameters while removing data that violates an established resolution criterion and deviates from the majority measurements at each length scale. Our findings suggest best practices for characterizing and specifying topography. The public release of the accumulated data and presented analyses enables global reuse for further scientific investigation and benchmarking.

42 ENGINEERING↗

169 Tm ( n , γ ) cross section and statistical decay properties from measurements at the DANCE facility

Background: Radiative neutron capture on thulium, which is a monoisotopic element, plays a role in different applications such as nuclear astrophysics or nuclear burning environments. Considerable discrepancies—reaching 20%—exist between evaluations in the unresolved-resonance region. Furthermore, experimental data on statistical 𝛾 decay in odd-odd rare-earth nuclei is scarce. There are still open questions about the systematics of the so-called scissors mode in the 𝑀⁢1 photon strength function, especially in odd-odd nuclei. Purpose: This work is focused on two main topics—deriving experimental 169 Tm ⁢(𝑛,𝛾) cross section and studying statistical 𝛾 decay of 170 Tm, in particular properties of the scissors mode. Methods: The capture experiments to obtain experimental cross section were performed at the Los Alamos Neutron Science Center using the time-of-flight technique and employing the Detector for Advanced Neutron Capture Experiments. Measured coincident 𝛾-ray spectra were also compared with statistical simulations using the dicebox code to test different models of level density and photon strength functions. Results: The capture cross section was determined from 1.8 eV to 0.97 MeV, the broadest neutron-energy range ever measured for this isotope. Several new resonances have been observed. The statistical 𝛾 decay of 170 Tm cannot be reproduced without a scissors mode resonance centered at ≈ 3.3MeV. Conclusions: The measured cross section in the unresolved-resonance region is generally lower than the latest evaluations. The derived 169 Tm 𝑠-process abundance is expected to increase by a factor of 1.26, while the changes of the abundances of elements heavier than 169 Tm are in the order of 0.2%. The scissors mode properties in 170 Tm are similar to those deduced in previous analyses of neighboring nuclei 168 Er and 166 Ho .

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Characterizing the convective boundary layer turbulence with a High Spectral Resolution Lidar

Abstract High Spectral Resolution Lidar (HSRL) aerosol backscatter coefficient observations collected in Norman, Oklahoma, USA, between April and July 2012 were analyzed to characterize the turbulent fluctuations in the convective boundary layer (CBL). Seventeen cloud‐free 2 h periods, during which the CBL was quasi‐stationary in the late afternoon, were selected. Autocovariance techniques were applied to each 2 h period to derive vertical profiles of statistical moments and integral scale. The low random noise level in the HSRL allowed meaningful estimates of the variance, skewness ( S ), and kurtosis ( K ) of the aerosol backscatter field to be computed. The S profiles showed a transition from negative to positive just below the top of the CBL ( z i ); this suggests that there are relatively few narrow plumes of aerosol‐laden air being lofted from the CBL into the free troposphere (yielding positive S above z i ) and similarly that there are some plumes of cleaner air descending from the free troposphere into the CBL (negative S below z i ). Vertical profiles of K indicated that the distribution of aerosols transitioned from leptokurtic to platykurtic just above z i . However, the profile of K is not symmetric around z i ; the turbulence is more intermittent above z i and below 0.8 z i , but the turbulent motions are relatively constant between 0.8 z i and z i . The relationship between S and K in the upper portion of the CBL and through the interfacial layer indicated that the distribution of turbulence is not Gaussian (i.e., S is 0 and K is 3) at any height.

McNicholas, Callie↗

Fatigue crack initiation, slip localization and twin boundaries in a nickel-based superalloy

The study of fatigue in metals, and fatigue initiation specifically, lends itself to analysis via an emerging set of characterization and modeling tools that describe polycrystals on the meso- or microstructural length scale. These include three-dimensional characterization techniques, elastic anisotropic and visco-plastic stress models, new approaches to the statistical description of stress and strain distributions, synthetic microstructure modeling, and improved tools for manipulating the large datasets generated. A specific example of analysis in both 2D and 3D of fatigue cracks in a nickel-based superalloy is given where all the cracks are effectively coincident with coherent twin boundaries. A spectral method is used to analyze the stress state based on a fully anisotropic elastic calculation. The results indicate that, although a high resolved shear stress is associated with the locations of the observed cracks, the length of the trace of the twin boundary is more strongly correlated with crack formation.

Crack initiation↗

Evaluating Shallow Convection Parameterization Assumptions With a q t – w Quadrant Analysis

Abstract Uncertainties associated with the response of shallow clouds to global warming remain a great challenge for climate projection. Due to the small size of these clouds, parameterizations are required to represent them in both current‐ and next‐generation climate models. We present a quantitative evaluation of several important assumptions used in both mass‐flux and Assumed‐PDF Higher‐Order Closure parameterizations of shallow convection. We use large‐eddy simulations (LESs) of four different shallow convection regimes as benchmarks and apply a q t (total moisture)– w (vertical velocity) quadrant analysis technique to identify the “coherent structures” of moist and dry up/down‐drafts. The statistics of these coherent structures and the environment are then used to evaluate commonly used assumptions in mass‐flux parameterizations related to (a) the convective downdrafts and (b) the subplume variability of convective updrafts. For quantitative evaluation of the PDF closure used in AP‐HOCs, we perform offline calculations with the PDF closure used in the Cloud Layers Unified By Bi‐normals and the Simplified Higher‐Order Closure schemes by supplying the closure with statistical quantities directly calculated from the LESs. Then, the impact of parameterization assumptions embedded in the PDF closure in the same two categories is analyzed and understood through comparisons of the output from the closure with the statistics of the moist and dry up/down‐drafts from the LESs.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Planck intermediate results: XLIX. Parity-violation constraints from polarization data

Parity-violating extensions of the standard electromagnetic theory cause in vacuo rotation of the plane of polarization of propagating photons. This effect, also known as cosmic birefringence, has an impact on the cosmic microwave background (CMB) anisotropy angular power spectra, producing non-vanishing T-B and E-B correlations that are otherwise null when parity is a symmetry. Here we present new constraints on an isotropic rotation, parametrized by the angle α, derived from Planck 2015 CMB polarization data. To increase the robustness of our analyses, we employ two complementary approaches, in harmonic space and in map space, the latter based on a peak stacking technique. The two approaches provide estimates for α that are in agreement within statistical uncertainties and are very stable against several consistency tests.Considering the T-B and E-B information jointly, we find α = 0°310°05(stat.)±0°28 (syst.) from the harmonic analysis and α = 0°350°05(stat.)±0°28 (syst.) from the stacking approach. These constraints are compatible with no parity violation and are dominated by the systematic uncertainty in the orientation of Planck 's polarization-sensitive bolometers.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Spatially Dependent Multiple Testing Under Model Misspecification, With Application to Detection of Anthropogenic Influence on Extreme Climate Events

The Weather Risk Attribution Forecast (WRAF) is a forecasting tool that uses output from global climate models to make simultaneous attribution statements about whether and how greenhouse gas emissions have contributed to extreme weather across the globe. However, in conducting a large number of simultaneous hypothesis tests, the WRAF is prone to identifying false “discoveries.” A common technique for addressing this multiple testing problem is to adjust the procedure in a way that controls the proportion of true null hypotheses that are incorrectly rejected, or the false discovery rate (FDR). Unfortunately, generic FDR procedures suffer from low power when the hypotheses are dependent, and techniques designed to account for dependence are sensitive to misspecification of the underlying statistical model. In this paper, we develop a Bayesian decision-theoretical approach for dependent multiple testing and a nonparametric hierarchical statistical model that flexibly controls false discovery and is robust to model misspecification. We illustrate the robustness of our procedure to model error with a simulation study, using a framework that accounts for generic spatial dependence and allows the practitioner to flexibly specify the decision criteria. Finally, we apply our procedure to several seasonal forecasts and discuss implementation for the WRAF workflow. Lastly, supplementary materials for this article, including a standardized description of the materials available for reproducing the work, are available as an online supplement.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Testing cosmic geometry without dynamic distortions using voids

We propose a novel technique to probe the expansion history of the Universe based on the clustering statistics of cosmic voids. In particular, we compute their two-point statistics in redshift space on the basis of realistic mock galaxy catalogs and apply the Alcock-Paczynski test. In contrast to galaxies, we find void auto-correlations to be marginally affected by peculiar motions, providing a model-independent measure of cosmological parameters without systematics from redshift-space distortions. Because only galaxy-galaxy and void-galaxy correlations have been considered in these types of studies before, the presented method improves both statistical and systematic uncertainties on the product of angular diameter distance and Hubble rate, furnishing the potentially cleanest probe of cosmic geometry available to date.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Quantification of deformation microstructure at ultra-low tensile strain in pure Al prepared by spark plasma sintering

A sample of Al with grain size of 5.1 mu m, prepared by spark plasma sintering, was deformed to a nominal strain of 0.35% under exposure to X-ray synchrotron radiation, allowing spatially resolved orientation measurements to be made during loading by use of a micro-diffraction technique. A significant heterogeneity in the deformation pattern between grains was observed. A statistical analysis shows that grain deformation depends more on crystallographic orientation than on grain size, with grains with tensile axis lying towards the < 001>-< 101> border of the unit triangle tending to undergo larger deformation. Other possible reasons for the different deformation behaviour between individual grains are briefly discussed.

Zhang, C L↗

Unbiased simulation of near-Clifford quantum circuits

Modeling and simulation are essential for predicting and verifying the behavior of fabricated quantum circuits, but existing simulation methods are either impractically costly or require an unrealistic simplification of error processes. In this paper, we present a method of simulating noisy Clifford circuits that is both accurate and practical in experimentally relevant regimes. In particular, the cost is weakly exponential in the size and the degree of non-Cliffordness of the circuit. Our approach is based on the construction of exact representations of quantum channels as quasiprobability distributions over stabilizer operations, which are then sampled, simulated, and weighted to yield unbiased statistical estimates of circuit outputs and other observables. As a demonstration of these techniques, we simulate a Steane [[7,1,3]]-encoded logical operation with non-Clifford errors and compute its fault tolerance error threshold. Finally, we expect that the method presented here will enable studies of much larger and more realistic quantum circuits than was previously possible.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

SU-F-J-181: An Alternative Patient Alignment Tool On TomoTherapy: The First In- Human Megavoltage-Topogram Acquisition

Purpose: To show the first in-human Megavoltage (MV)-Topogram acquisition for the evaluation of the potential for MV-Topogram-based alignment as an alternative to MVCT for reducing dose and imaging time. Methods: A lung cancer patient was enrolled in an ongoing IRB-approved clinical trial at our institute. The patient was set up using the clinical protocol employing positioning lasers. 3.2mm diameter tungsten spheres were placed on the patient’s skin at their alignment tattoos to check surface-based marker concordance between topograms and MVCT. Anterior-Posterior (AP) and lateral (LAT) MV-Topograms were acquired using gantry angles of 0°/90° with a 1mm collimator opening, all MLC leafs open, 4cm/s couch speed, and 12.5s scanning time. The topogram acquisition was immediately followed by the normal MVCT scan acquisition. MV-Topograms were reconstructed from the detector exit-data using in-house developed software. The topograms were also enhanced using contrast-limited adaptive histogram equalization (CLAHE). The MV-Topograms were registered to reference kV-based digitally reconstructed topograms. The localization results were compared against results obtained comparing the clinical MVCT to the kVCT simulation. Results: The shifts using the unenhanced Topograms, enhanced Topograms, and MVCT were (LAT, LONG, VERT, ROLL) (5.8mm, 2.6mm, −5.6mm, 0.34°), (3.9mm, 2.5mm, −2.2mm, 0.65°) and (2.4mm, 1.5mm, −3.0mm, 0.5°), respectively. The magnitude alignment differences between the enhanced Topograms and MVCT were within 1.5 mm and 0.15°. The average MVCT and total Topogram acquisition times were 272.9s ± 31.5s and 46s, respectively. Conclusion: MV-Topograms have the potential for providing equivalent performance with less dose and acquisition time than the traditional MVCT technique. We are evaluating other sites as well as adding patients to develop statistically significant analyses regarding the alignment quality differences. MV-Topograms are likely to be most clinically useful for bony anatomy and radiopaque marker-based alignments. The study was supported by an Accuray Grant.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

TU-H-CAMPUS-IeP1-01: Bias and Computational Efficiency of Variance Reduction Methods for the Monte Carlo Simulation of Imaging Detectors

Purpose: Variance reduction techniques (VRTs) are employed in Monte Carlo simulations to obtain estimates with reduced statistical uncertainty for a given simulation time. In this work, we study the bias and efficiency of a VRT for estimating the response of imaging detectors. Methods: We implemented Directed Sampling (DS), preferentially directing a fraction of emitted optical photons directly towards the detector by altering the isotropic model. The weight of each optical photon is appropriately modified to maintain simulation estimates unbiased. We use a Monte Carlo tool called fastDETECT2 (part of the hybridMANTIS open-source package) for optical transport, modified for VRT. The weight of each photon is calculated as the ratio of original probability (no VRT) and the new probability for a particular direction. For our analysis of bias and efficiency, we use pulse height spectra, point response functions, and Swank factors. We obtain results for a variety of cases including analog (no VRT, isotropic distribution), and DS with 0.2 and 0.8 optical photons directed towards the sensor plane. We used 10,000, 25-keV primaries. Results: The Swank factor for all cases in our simplified model converged fast (within the first 100 primaries) to a stable value of 0.9. The root mean square error per pixel for DS VRT for the point response function between analog and VRT cases was approximately 5e-4. Conclusion: Our preliminary results suggest that DS VRT does not affect the estimate of the mean for the Swank factor. Our findings indicate that it may be possible to design VRTs for imaging detector simulations to increase computational efficiency without introducing bias.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Measurement Error and Resolution in Quantitative Stable Isotope Probing: Implications for Experimental Design

Quantitative stable isotope probing (qSIP) estimates isotope tracer incorporation into DNA of individual microbes and can link microbial biodiversity and biogeochemistry in complex communities. As with any quantitative estimation technique, qSIP involves measurement error, and a fuller understanding of error, precision, and statistical power benefits qSIP experimental design and data interpretation. We used several qSIP data sets—from soil and seawater microbiomes—to evaluate how variance in isotope incorporation estimates depends on organism abundance and resolution of the density fractionation scheme. We assessed statistical power for replicated qSIP studies, plus sensitivity and specificity for unreplicated designs. As a taxon’s abundance increases, the variance of its weighted mean density declines. Nine fractions appear to be a reasonable trade-off between cost and precision for most qSIP applications. Increasing the number of density fractions beyond that reduces variance, although the magnitude of this benefit declines with additional fractions. Our analysis suggests that, if a taxon has an isotope enrichment of 10 atom% excess, there is a 60% chance that this will be detected as significantly different from zero (with alpha 0.1). With five replicates, isotope enrichment of 5 atom% could be detected with power (0.6) and alpha (0.1). Finally, we illustrate the importance of internal standards, which can help to calibrate per sample conversions of %GC to mean weighted density. These results should benefit researchers designing future SIP experiments and provide a useful reference for metagenomic SIP applications where both financial and computational limitations constrain experimental scope.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Ultraviolet digital holographic microscopy (DHM) of micron-scale particles from shocked Sn ejecta

A cloud of very fast, O (km/s), and very fine, O (µm), particles may be ejected when a strong shock impacts and possibly melts the free surface of a solid metal. To quantify these dynamics, this work develops an ultraviolet, long-working distance, two-pulse Digital Holographic Microscopy (DHM) configuration and is the first to replace film recording with digital sensors for this challenging application. A proposed multi-iteration DHM processing algorithm is demonstrated for automated measures of the sizes, velocities, and three-dimensional positions of non-spherical particles. Ejecta as small as 2 µm diameter are successfully tracked, while uncertainty simulations indicate that particle size distributions are accurately quantified for diameters ≥4 µm. These techniques are demonstrated on three explosively driven experiments. Measured ejecta size and velocity statistics are shown to be consistent with prior film-based recording, while also revealing spatial variations in velocities and 3D positions that have yet to be widely investigated. Having eliminated time-consuming analog film processing, the methodologies proposed here are expected to significantly accelerate future experimental investigation of ejecta physics.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

A Provably Accurate Randomized Sampling Algorithm for Logistic Regression

In statistics and machine learning, logistic regression is a widely-used supervised learning technique primarily employed for binary classification tasks. When the number of observations greatly exceeds the number of predictor variables, we present a simple, randomized sampling-based algorithm for logistic regression problem that guarantees high-quality approximations to both the estimated probabilities and the overall discrepancy of the model. Our analysis builds upon two simple structural conditions that boil down to randomized matrix multiplication, a fundamental and well-understood primitive of randomized numerical linear algebra. We analyze the properties of estimated probabilities of logistic regression when leverage scores are used to sample observations, and prove that accurate approximations can be achieved with a sample whose size is much smaller than the total number of observations. To further validate our theoretical findings, we conduct comprehensive empirical evaluations. Overall, our work sheds light on the potential of using randomized sampling approaches to efficiently approximate the estimated probabilities in logistic regression, offering a practical and computationally efficient solution for large-scale datasets.

Chowdhury, Agniva↗

The Challenge and Promise of Remote Work: A Brief Study of Remote Work and Best Practices

Due to the shift in labor market from manufacturing and construction to service-based (Statistics 2016); the commoditization of high-bandwidth communication tools; advancements in management techniques; a dearth of trained knowledge workers within a geographic region; and a growing demand for flexible scheduling options, organizations are embracing and encouraging the growing distributed workforce. These workers are actual employees, not contractors; they may work independently or as part of a team; they have direct organizational supervision; and they work in a variety of virtual arrangements. This informal field study looks at several organizations that support the remote work model from the perspective of individual employees and presents several technologies, tools, and policies that can serve to maintain company culture and otherwise close the gap between onsite and remote workers.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗