Uncertainty as a Function of Time for Subcritical Experiment Parameters Using the Hage-Cifarelli Formalism
When designing critical or subcritical experiments, it is desirable to have an estimate of the measurement uncertainties prior to performing an experiment. In addition, an important goal is to have the smallest measurement uncertainties possible given measurement time constraints. Having well-designed experiments with small uncertainties helps improve nuclear data and therefore has direct impacts on criticality safety. This work shows how the uncertainties in various measurement parameters vary as a function of counting time and provides an approach to estimate measured uncertainties and guides in optimizing the available counting time. The uncertainty in six parameters used in subcritical experiments was investigated as a function of time: singles count rate (R{sub 1}), doubles count rate (R{sub 2}), lifetime (1/λ), leakage multiplication (M{sub L}), spontaneous fission rate (FS), and detector efficiency (ε). A comparison to measured data will be presented at the meeting. The approach and results in this work will be used to optimize measurement time in future subcritical experiments and will be used to help estimate measurement uncertainties during the design phase. Having well-designed experiments with the smallest uncertainties possible can help the criticality safety community through data validation. (authors)