Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “Model error”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 1,549 records · Page 86
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Code Verification of Multiple Physics-Fidelity Models in Hypersonic Aerodynamics

Hypersonic aerodynamics models exist across a range of physics fidelities with associated computational expenses. These models may be run independently or in a multifidelity framework that leverages their complementary strengths of speed for lower-fidelity and accuracy for higher-fidelity models. This work presents applied code verification of two lower-fidelity models contained within the Sandia hypersonic aerodynamics code. Each model has a different form that requires individualized verification approaches, including comparison to analytical solutions as well as manufactured solutions with order-of-accuracy testing. In conclusion, results of this effort include the identification and resolution of code errors and shortcomings, as well as the demonstration of code correctness and consistency for both models.

Aerodynamics↗
DOE OSTI2023

Mutual optical intensity propagation through non-ideal two-dimensional mirrors

The mutual optical intensity (MOI) model is a partially coherent radiation propagation tool that can sequentially simulate beamline optics and provide beam intensity, local degree of coherence and phase distribution at any location along a beamline. This paper extends the MOI model to non-ideal twodimensional (2D) optical systems, such as ellipsoidal and toroidal mirrors with 2D figure errors. Simulation results show that one can tune the trade-off between calculation efficiency and accuracy by varying the number of wavefront elements. The focal spot size of an ellipsoidal mirror calculated with 100 $\times$ 100 elements gives less than 0.4% deviation from that with 250 $\times$ 250 elements, and the computation speed is nearly two orders of magnitude faster. Effects of figure errors on 2D focusing are also demonstrated for a non-ideal ellipsoidal mirror and by comparing the toroidal and ellipsoidal mirrors. Finally, the MOI model is benchmarked against the multi-electron Synchrotron Radiation Workshop (SRW) code showing the model’s high accuracy.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Dissolved gas recovery from water using a sidestream hollow-fiber membrane module: First principles model synthesis and steady-state validation

This paper presents a first-principles model for the recovery of dissolved gases from liquids using a sidestream hollow-fiber membrane module. The model avoids the use of new empirical coefficients, thus providing a parametric understanding of the process behavior for future design and optimization of membrane modules. This type of first-principles model could be particularly useful when gas recovery is beneficial to biological or chemical reactions of interest, such as the acetogenesis reactions in two-stage anaerobic digesters. The steady-state behavior of the model was validated against both new experimental data for the recovery of H 2 , CH 4 and H 2 –CH 4 mixtures from pure water, as well as existing published data. The modeled gas recovery predictions agreed with experimental data to an absolute average error of 13%, and an average R value of 0.98. Parametric analysis of mixed-gas recovery suggests possible key transition points in the composition of the recovered gases. For example, at 40 °C, increasing trans-membrane pressure while keeping hydraulic residence time (HRT) under 0.5 s will result in an increase in the ratio of H 2 to CH 4 recovered. Otherwise, increasing trans-membrane pressure will instead decrease the ratio of H 2 to CH 4 recovered. The model has potential to be extended to transient analysis, but has yet to be validated with transient experimental data. Furthermore, this model was successfully implemented in both Python and MATLAB, and provides valuable insights for future net-energy optimization for anaerobic digestion systems with in-situ gas recovery.

Anaerobic Digestion↗
DOE OSTI2022

Algebraic Bethe Circuits

The Algebraic Bethe Ansatz (ABA) is a highly successful analytical method used to exactly solve several physical models in both statistical mechanics and condensed-matter physics. Here we bring the ABA into unitary form, for its direct implementation on a quantum computer. This is achieved by distilling the non-unitary R matrices that make up the ABA into unitaries using the QR decomposition. Our algorithm is deterministic and works for both real and complex roots of the Bethe equations. We illustrate our method on the spin-$\frac{1}{2}$ XX and XXZ models. We show that using this approach one can efficiently prepare eigenstates of the XX model on a quantum computer with quantum resources that match previous state-of-the-art approaches. We run small-scale error mitigated implementations on the IBM quantum computers, including the preparation of the ground state for the XX and XXZ models on 4 sites. Finally, we derive a new form of the Yang-Baxter equation using unitary matrices, and also verify it on a quantum computer.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2020

Contaminant Transport Modeling for Technology Evaluation and Long-Term Monitoring in the Tims Branch Testbed, SC - 20343

Studies conducted at U.S. DOE sites have shown the presence of heavy metals, radionuclides, and volatile organic compounds in surface water, groundwater, and soil as a result of nuclear activity in the Cold War era. Since the 1990's, innovative cleanup methods have been implemented in the Tims Branch watershed at Savannah River Site (SRS) to limit the contaminant flux to the stream that have reduced the contaminant concentrations to acceptable regulatory levels in the dissolved phase. A tin-based treatment which effectively eliminated all local anthropogenic mercury inputs to this ecosystem resulted in a known step function addition of inert tin oxide particles which now serve as a potential tracer for sedimentation and particle transport processes in the stream. The long-term effectiveness of this and other remediation techniques and the potential for remobilization of adsorbed contaminant in sediment during extreme hydrologic conditions however remains unclear. It is therefore important to understand not only the fate and transport of dissolved contaminants, but also the movement of sediment and the relevant interactions with dissolved contaminant. To narrow this knowledge gap, a study is being conducted using the Tims Branch watershed as a stream-scale ecosystem test-bed to identify the primary transport processes of major contaminants of concern (such as mercury, nickel and uranium) with an emphasis on interactions with sediment transport. This involves the development of a fully distributed hydrologic watershed model of the Tims Branch watershed to predict streamflow under extreme weather conditions, as well as the development of a comprehensive contaminant transport model that can properly account for coupled contaminant and sediment transport. Review of relevant research reports and peer-reviewed journals revealed that aside from advection-dispersion transport of dissolved contaminants, adsorption and desorption with suspended solids and bed sediment also play an important role in the transport of those contaminants of concern. To develop the fully distributed hydrologic watershed model, the MIKE SHE 2-dimensional (2D) land surface/3D groundwater model that simulates surface/subsurface hydrologic processes (such as overland flow, evapotranspiration, and infiltration) was coupled with a 1D streamflow model that accounts for stream water hydraulics (such as hydraulic structures, cross-sections, and network). To model contaminant transport, the MIKE 11 streamflow component was coupled with the MIKE 11 AD module that simulates solute transport through advection and dispersion, and MIKE ECO Lab module that accounts for both sediment transport and interactions with dissolved contaminant. At this stage, the development and optimization of the fully distributed hydrologic model has been completed, achieving satisfactory statistical results between observed and predicted discharge as indicated by a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.039 cms and a Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient (NSE) of 0.764. The ongoing development of the contaminant transport model has also yielded realistic results from preliminary tests. Results from this study are a key to evaluating the effectiveness of tin (II)-based mercury treatment of wetlands at the SRS site, and are also relevant to evaluating the potential of using this type of novel remediation technology in other mercury-contaminated stream systems. Knowledge acquired from this research will also support interpretation of historical data on the trends of contaminant concentration distribution in Tims Branch, particularly considering the effect of extreme hydrological events on the stream flow and pollutant transport. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗
DOE OSTI2020

Air compressor load forecasting using artificial neural network

Air compressor systems are responsible for approximately 10% of the electricity consumed in United States and European Union industry. As many researches have proven the effectiveness of using Artificial Neural Network inair compressor performance prediction, there is still a need to forecast the air compressor electrical load profile. The objective of this study is to predict compressed air systems’ electrical load profile, which is valuable to industry practitioners as well as software providers in developing better practice and tools for load managementand look-ahead scheduling programs. Two artificial neural networks, Two-Layer Feed-Forward Neural Networkand Long Short-Term Memory were used to predict an air compressors electrical load. Compressors with three different control mechanisms are evaluated with a total number of 11,874 observations. Here, the forecasts were validated using out-of-sample datasets with 5-fold cross-validation. Models produced average coefficient ofdetermination values from 0.24 to 0.94, average root-mean-square errors from 0.05 kW - 5.83 kW, and meanabsolute scaled errors from 0.20 to 1.33. The results indicate that both artificial neural networks yield goodresults for compressors using variable speed drive (average R 2 = 0.8 and no naïve forecasting), only the longshort-term memory model gives acceptable results for compressors using on/off control (average R 2 = 0.82 and no naïve forecasting), and no satisfactory results are obtained for load/unload type air compressors (models constituting active forecasting).

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2026

DESI DR2 Galaxy luminosity functions

We present galaxy luminosity functions (LFs) for the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) DR2 Bright Galaxy Survey (BGS) in the g, r, z, and $w1$ bands over $0.002\lt z\lt 0.6$. Our analysis uses updated k-corrections and evolutionary corrections, including new polynomial kcorrection fits derived from BGS Year 1 data that supersede earlier GAMA-based prescriptions. Exploiting the statistical power of DESI, we measure LFs to very faint magnitudes, reaching $^{0.1}M_r-5\log h\sim -10$. Independent measurements from the North and South survey regions show excellent agreement around the LF knee, but the very small statistical uncertainties reveal that simple analytic forms fail to capture the full LF shape. The bright end departs from a pure exponential decline, while the faint end exhibits complex, non-powerlaw behaviour, including a pronounced upturn at $^{0.1}M_r-5\log h\gtrsim -15$, which is stronger for red galaxies than for blue. We show that our LFs are largely complete for galaxies with surface brightness $\mu _{50}\lt 25$, and that an apparent steepening fainter than $-13$ is driven primarily by local overdensity and fragmentation of large galaxies. A systematic North–South offset at the brightest magnitudes is traced to red galaxies and may reflect shallower North photometry underestimating extended earlytype profiles, although this remains inconclusive. We therefore also provide LFs based on model Petrosian magnitudes. Redshift splitting reveals small but significant residuals, indicating limitations of a simple global evolutionary model. Using the redshift limits of J. Loveday et al. (2012), we find excellent agreement with GAMA, with substantially reduced statistical errors. These measurements provide a precise reference for studies of environmental and population-dependent LFs and for testing galaxy formation models.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Modeling and Validation of a Residential Multi-Functional Variable Refrigerant Flow Heat Pump System with Heat Recovery

To bridge the existing gap in modeling the variable refrigerant flow heat pump systems with heat recovery (VRFHR), we developed a suite of dynamic VRFHR system models in Modelica. These models are specifically tailored for residential multi-functional VRFHR (MF-VRFHR) applications, including space conditioning and domestic hot water (DHW) heating, utilizing both the TIL library for HVAC equipment and the Buildings library for thermal load calculations. The development comprises essential component models, including the newly developed heat recovery unit (HRU), along with system models that integrate the heat pump system and building envelope. These system models accommodate various operational modes such as heating-only, cooling-only, and heating-recovery (including heating-dominant and cooling-dominant) modes. Furthermore, we propose an efficient optimization-based model calibration method that identifies critical model parameters while utilizing a small amount of data obtained from either real systems or manufacturer's specifications. We demonstrate the effectiveness of these models and the proposed calibration method for a MF-VRFHR system installed in Richland, WA. The developed models are calibrated and validated using data collected under different operational modes during both heating and cooling seasons. The results show that the models capture the system dynamics and achieve high accuracy, with the coefficient of the variation of the root-mean-square-error less than 15% for variables such as outdoor unit power consumption, compressor speed, space temperature and DHW temperature. The validated models serve as a reliable representation of the MF-VRFHR system, facilitating the development and validation of optimized controls needed to realize the full benefits of integrated heat pump systems. Future research will utilize these models to develop advanced controls and optimize system performance for improved energy efficiency and demand flexibility.

Modeling, Variable refrigerant flow (VRF) systems,↗
DOE OSTI2024

Evidential Deep Learning for Probabilistic Modelling of Extreme Storm Events

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods play an important role in reducing errors in weather forecasting. Conventional approaches in UQ for weather forecasting rely on generating an ensemble of forecasts from physics-based simulations to estimate the uncertainty. However, it is computationally expensive to generate many forecasts to predict real-time extreme weather events. Evidential Deep Learning (EDL) is an uncertainty-aware deep learning approach designed to provide confidence about its predictions using only one forecast. It treats learning as an evidence acquisition process where more evidence is interpreted as increased predictive confidence. We apply EDL to storm forecasting using real-world weather datasets and compare its performance with traditional methods. Our findings indicate that EDL not only reduces computational overhead but also enhances predictive uncertainty. This method opens up novel opportunities in research areas such as climate risk assessment, where quantifying the uncertainty about future climate is crucial.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Enabling the broader adoption of fusion simulation on complex geometry

This project addressed a key barrier to advanced fusion and nuclear simulation: the difficulty of performing high-fidelity Monte Carlo neutronics directly on complex, real-world CAD geometry. Traditional workflows require engineers to rebuild CAD models as simplified constructive solid geometry, a time-consuming and error-prone process that limits design iteration and broader adoption of simulation tools. The goal of this Phase I SBIR was to make CAD-based neutronics practical, accessible, and robust for industrial and research users. During the project, Coreform significantly enhanced the Direct Accelerated Geometry Monte Carlo (DAGMC) workflow and fully integrated it into Coreform Cubit as a first-class capability. Major achievements include optimized material assignment and surface meshing workflows, substantial performance improvements to geometry imprinting and preparation, native export of DAGMC models, and new visualization tools to support OpenMC source definition and lost-particle debugging. Coreform also expanded Cubit’s capabilities as a full OpenMC preprocessor, including the ability to convert OpenMC constructive solid geometry models back into CAD for visualization, multiphysics coupling, and debugging. In collaboration with Argonne National Laboratory, the project delivered comprehensive new DAGMC documentation and training materials, transforming DAGMC from a research-oriented tool into a production-ready workflow. Results were disseminated through tutorials, conference training, and multiple well-attended webinars demonstrating integrated CAD-based neutronics and multiphysics workflows. Overall, this project demonstrated that high-fidelity Monte Carlo simulations can be performed directly on complex CAD geometry, reducing setup time, improving usability, and enabling faster, more informed design decisions for fusion and nuclear energy systems.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2023

Eulerian finite element implementations of a dislocation density-based continuum model

In Eulerian finite element simulations, the mesh moves relative to the material. After every change of position between the mesh and the material, the state variables are interpolated to the new mesh position, which is referred to as advection. Large strain crystal plasticity models are based on the multiplicative decomposition of the total deformation gradient. Further, the stress is evaluated as a function of the thermoelastic strain, temperature, and other state variables. Advection of tensor quantities, such as the strain, is coupled with possibly significant advection errors. In an effort to reduce the advection errors, we develop two rate forms of an established dislocation density-based continuum model. To that end, we replace the multiplicative decomposition of the deformation gradient with the additive decomposition of the velocity gradient, and define the stress rate instead of the total stress. The Eulerian implementation is compared with Lagrangian calculations, and two numerical examples with severe deformation levels are presented.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Comparison of methods to estimate aerosol effective radiative forcings in climate models

Abstract. Uncertainty in the effective radiative forcing (ERF) of climate primarily arises from the unknown contribution of aerosols, which impact radiative fluxes directly and through modifying cloud properties. Climate model simulations with fixed sea surface temperatures but perturbed atmospheric aerosol loadings allow for an estimate of how strongly the planet's radiative energy budget has been perturbed by the increase in aerosols since pre-industrial times. The approximate partial radiative perturbation (APRP) technique further decomposes the contributions to the direct forcing due to aerosol scattering and absorption and to the indirect forcing due to aerosol-induced changes in cloud scattering, amount, and absorption, as well as the effects of aerosols on surface albedo. Here we evaluate previously published APRP-derived estimates of aerosol effective radiative forcings from these simulations conducted in the sixth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) and find that they are biased as a result of two large coding errors that – in most cases – fortuitously compensate. The most notable exception is the direct radiative forcing from absorbing aerosols, which is more than 40 % larger averaged across CMIP6 models in the present study. Correcting these biases eliminates the residuals and leads to better agreement with benchmark estimates derived from double calls to the radiation code. The APRP method – when properly implemented – remains a highly accurate and efficient technique for diagnosing aerosol ERF in cases where double radiation calls are not available, and in all cases it provides quantification of the individual contributors to the ERF that are highly useful but not otherwise available.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Chemical Cartography with APOGEE: Mapping Disk Populations with a 2-process Model and Residual Abundances

We apply a novel statistical analysis to measurements of 16 elemental abundances in 34,410 Milky Way disk stars from the final data release (DR17) of APOGEE-2. Building on recent work, we fit median abundance ratio trends [X/Mg] versus [Mg/H] with a 2-process model, which decomposes abundance patterns into a "prompt" component tracing core-collapse supernovae and a "delayed" component tracing Type Ia supernovae. For each sample star, we fit the amplitudes of these two components, then compute the residuals Δ[X/H] from this two-parameter fit. The rms residuals range from ~0.01–0.03 dex for the most precisely measured APOGEE abundances to ~0.1 dex for Na, V, and Ce. The correlations of residuals reveal a complex underlying structure, including a correlated element group comprised of Ca, Na, Al, K, Cr, and Ce and a separate group comprised of Ni, V, Mn, and Co. Selecting stars poorly fit by the 2-process model reveals a rich variety of physical outliers and sometimes subtle measurement errors. Residual abundances allow for the comparison of populations controlled for differences in metallicity and [α/Fe]. Relative to the main disk (R = 3–13 kpc), we find nearly identical abundance patterns in the outer disk (R = 15–17 kpc), 0.05–0.2 dex depressions of multiple elements in LMC and Gaia Sausage/Enceladus stars, and wild deviations (0.4–1 dex) of multiple elements in ω Cen. The residual abundance analysis opens new opportunities for discovering chemically distinctive stars and stellar populations, for empirically constraining nucleosynthetic yields, and for testing chemical evolution models that include stochasticity in the production and redistribution of elements.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Q-Cluster: Quantum Error Mitigation Through Noise-Aware Unsupervised Learning

Quantum error mitigation (QEM) is critical in reducing the impact of noise in the pre-fault-tolerant era, and is expected to complement error correction in fault-tolerant quantum computing (FTQC). In this work, we propose a novel QEM approach, Q-Cluster, that uses unsupervised learning (clustering) to reshape the measured bit-string distribution. Our approach starts with a simplified bit-flip noise model. It first performs clustering on noisy measurement results, i.e., bit-strings, based on the Hamming distance. The centroid of each cluster is calculated using a qubit-wise majority vote. Next, the noisy distribution is adjusted with the clustering outcomes and the bitflip error rates using Bayesian inference. Our simulation results show that Q-Cluster can mitigate high noise rates (up to 40% per qubit) with the simple bit-flip noise model. However, real quantum computers do not fit such a simple noise model. To address the problem, we (a) apply Pauli twirling to tailor the complex noise channels to Pauli errors, and (b) employ a machine learning model, ExtraTrees regressor, to estimate an effective bit-flip error rate using a feature vector consisting of machine calibration data (gate & measurement error rates), circuit features (number of qubits, numbers of different types of gates, etc.) and the shape of the noisy distribution (entropy). Our experimental results show that our proposed Q-Cluster scheme improves the fidelity by a factor of 1.46x, on average, compared to the unmitigated output distribution, for a set of low-entropy benchmarks on five different IBM quantum machines. Our approach outperforms the state-of-art QEM approaches RZNE [28], M3 [24], Hammer [35], and QBEEP [33] by 1.26x,1.29x,1.47x, and 2.65 x, respectively.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2022

Verification of a specialized hydrodynamic simulation code for modeling deflagration and detonation of high explosives

A specialized hydrodynamic simulation code has been developed and verified for the simulation of one-dimensional unsteady problems involving the detonation and deflagration of high explosives. To model all the relevant physical processes in these problems, a code is required to simulate compressible hydrodynamics, unsteady thermal conduction, and chemical reactions with complex rate laws. Several verification exercises are presented which test the implementation of these capabilities. The code also requires models for physics processes such as equations of state and conductivity for pure materials and mixtures as well as rate laws for chemical reactions. Additional verification tests are required to ensure that these models are implemented correctly. Though this code is limited in the types of problems it can simulate, its computationally efficient formulation allows it to be used in calibration studies for reactive burn models for high explosives. Furthermore, this study demonstrates how a series of verification tests can be used to ensure that the various physics processes needed to simulate complex phenomenon can be tested to ensure that they are correctly implemented.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2022

Comparing Model Representations of Physiological Limits on Transpiration at a Semi-arid Ponderosa Pine Site

Mechanistic representations of biogeochemical processes in ecosystem models are rapidly advancing, requiring advancements in model evaluation approaches. Here we quantify multiple aspects of model functional performance to evaluate improved process representations in ecosystem models. We compare semi-empirical stomatal models with hydraulic constraints against more mechanistic representations of stomatal and hydraulic functioning at a semi-arid pine site using a suite of metrics and analytical tools. We find that models generally perform similarly under unstressed conditions, but performance diverges under atmospheric and soil drought. The more empirical models better capture synergistic information flows between soil water potential and vapor pressure deficit to transpiration, while the more mechanistic models are overly deterministic. Although models can be parameterized to yield similar functional performance, alternate parameterizations could not overcome structural model constraints that underestimate the unique information contained in soil water potential about transpiration. Additionally, both multilayer canopy and big-leaf models were unable to capture the magnitude of canopy temperature divergence from air temperature, and we demonstrate that errors in leaf temperature can propagate to considerable error in simulated transpiration. This study demonstrates the value of merging underutilized observational data streams with emerging analytical tools to characterize ecosystem function and discriminate among model process representations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

A signal compensation based cascaded PI control for an industrial heat exchange system

Since the characteristics of the industrial heat exchange system (HES) are drastically affected by variations of the steam pressure, ambient temperature and water quality, it is difficult for the classical cascade PI control system to meet the desirable control objectives. Therefore, in this paper, a deterministic linear model with unmodeled dynamics is used to describe the dynamic characteristics of the HES. It should be noted that the unmodeled dynamics at the previously sampled instant can be calculated using actual measurements and that the tracking error, which includes effects of the rate of changes of unmodeled dynamics on the controlled model, can be accurately determined. An additional compensating signal is obtained with the feedforward control together with a one-step optimal control law. Consequently, the cascade PI control strategy with the signal compensation is established. Furthermore, the simulation and industrial application show that the proposed method can effectively improve the performance of the cascade PI control system, especially when the unmodeled dynamics is subjected to unknown variations.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2025

A Survey on Error-Bounded Lossy Compression for Scientific Datasets

Error-bounded lossy compression has been effective in significantly reducing the data storage/transfer burden while preserving the reconstructed data fidelity very well. Many error-bounded lossy compressors have been developed for a wide range of parallel and distributed use cases for years. They are designed with distinct compression models and principles, such that each of them features particular pros and cons. In this article, we provide a comprehensive survey of emerging error-bounded lossy compression techniques. The key contribution is fourfold. (1) We summarize a novel taxonomy of lossy compression into six classic models. (2) We provide a comprehensive survey of 10 commonly used compression components/modules. (3) We summarized pros and cons of 47 state-of-the-art lossy compressors and present how state-of-the-art compressors are designed based on different compression techniques. (4) We discuss how customized compressors are designed for specific scientific applications and use-cases. We believe this survey is useful to multiple communities including scientific applications, high-performance computing, lossy compression, and big data.

Error-Bounded Lossy Compression↗