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At least 1,549 records · Page 86

Estimates of Lake Nitrogen, Phosphorus, and Chlorophyll‐ a Concentrations to Characterize Harmful Algal Bloom Risk Across the United States

Abstract Excess nutrient pollution contributes to the formation of harmful algal blooms (HABs) that compromise fisheries and recreation and that can directly endanger human and animal health via cyanotoxins. Efforts to quantify the occurrence, drivers, and severity of HABs across large areas is difficult due to the resource intensive nature of field monitoring of lake nutrient and chlorophyll‐aconcentrations. To better characterize how nutrients interact with other environmental factors to produce algal blooms in freshwater systems, we used spatially explicit and temporally matched climate, landscape, in‐lake characteristic, and nutrient inventory data sets to predict nutrients and chlorophyll‐aacross the conterminous US (CONUS). Using a nested modeling approach, three random forest (RF) models were trained to explain the spatiotemporal variation in total nitrogen (TN), total phosphorus (TP), and chlorophyll‐aconcentrations across US EPA's National Lakes Assessment (n = 2,062). Concentrations of TN and TP were the most important predictors and, with other variables, the RF model accounted for 68% of variation in chlorophyll‐a. We then used these RF models to extrapolate lake TN and TP predictions to lakes without nutrient observations and predict chlorophyll‐afor ∼112,000 lakes across the CONUS. Risk for high chlorophyll‐aconcentrations is highest in the agriculturally dominated Midwest, but other areas of risk emerge in nutrient pollution hot spots across the country. These catchment and lake‐specific results can help managers identify potential nutrient pollution and chlorophyll‐ahot spots that may fuel blooms, prioritize at‐risk lakes for additional monitoring, and optimize management to protect human health and other environmental end goals.

Environmental Sciences & Ecology↗

Ground-state properties of light 4 n self-conjugate nuclei in ab initio no-core Monte Carlo shell model calculations with nonlocal N N interactions

We report J π = 0 + ground-state energies and point-proton radii of 4 He, 8 Be, 12 C, 16 O, and 20 Ne nuclei calculated by the ab initio no-core Monte Carlo shell model with the JISP16 and Daejeon16 nonlocal NN interactions. Ground-state energies are obtained in the basis spaces up to seven oscillator shells (N shell =7) with several oscillator energies (ℏω) around the optimal oscillator energy for the convergence of ground-state energies. These energy eigenvalues are extrapolated to obtain estimates of converged ground-state energies in each basis space using energy variances of computed energy eigenvalues. We further extrapolate these energy-variance-extrapolated energies obtained in the finite basis spaces to infinite basis-space results with an empirical exponential form. This form features a dependence on the basis-space size but is independent of the value of ℏω used for the harmonic-oscillator basis functions. Point-proton radii for these states of atomic nuclei are also calculated following techniques employed for the energies. From these results, it is found that the Daejeon16 NN interaction provides good agreement with experimental data up to approximately 16 O, while the JISP16 NN interaction provides good agreement with experimental data up to approximately 12 C. Beyond these nuclei, the interactions produce overbinding accompanied by radii that are too small. These findings suggest and encourage further revisions of nonlocal NN interactions towards the investigation of nuclear structure in heavier-mass regions.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

On a numerical sufficiency test for monotonic convergence of finite element models

Finite element analyses characterized by monotonic convergence include the discipline for meaningful measurements of convergence rate and consequently economical extrapolation. Few proposers of element models guarantee monotonic convergence for their elements. Thus, a need exists for an automatic test to classify available element models. This paper describes such a test - a test can be performed using a digital computer to guarantee that a particular element model imbues monotonicity. It describes the test and its basis. It examines seven element models for a rectangular membrane to illustrate the value of the tests. Besides confirming results already known, the application yields new data. It 'proves' monotonicity for two improved models, defines the range of element proportions for which another element can be guaranteed to exhibit monotonicity, and suggests that another element is deficient. In the special case of absolutely convergent membrane displacement models, proof of monotonicity is a necessary and sufficient condition to insure that upper bound estimates of strain energy are developed. Accordingly, the test furnishes a proof of bound solutions independently of requirements on displacement continuity the element basis may or may not satisfy.

Melosh, R. J.↗

Sensitivity of selected geomagnetic properties to truncation level of spherical harmonic expansions

The model dependence of Gauss coefficients associated with a lack of spherical harmonic orthogonality on a nonuniform Magsat data grid is shown to be minor, where the fitting level exceeds the harmonic order by a value of approximately four. The shape of the magnetic energy spectrum outside the core, and the sensitivity to truncation level of magnetic contour location and the number of their intersections on the core-mantle boundary, suggest that spherical harmonic expansions of the main geomagnetic field should be truncated at a truncation level value of not more than eight if they are to be extrapolated to the core.

Benton, E. R.↗

NASA’s Prototype Spectral Water Inversion Processor and Emulator (SWIPE): Towards Global Coastal and Inland Water Quality and Algal Biodiversity Monitoring

Degradation of Earth’s inland water resources due to anthropogenic perturbations and climate anomalies at both local and global scales continues to place human health at substantial risk. There is now a growing necessity to develop pragmatic approaches that allow timely and effective extrapolation of local processes, to spatially resolved global products, and to promote operational and sustainable resource policy management. This presentation will provide updates on NASA’s prototype open-source aquatic modeling platform, Spectral Water Inversion Processor and Emulator (SWIPE), which is a comprehensive, multi-faceted modeling platform for both forward and inverse modeling of diverse aquatic ecosystems from the benthos to top-of-atmosphere (TOA). SWIPE provides a cohesive application which leverages recent advancements in particle modeling, Big Data analytics, and machine learning to develop a high-fidelity synthetic training ground for sensitivity studies and algorithm development for multispectral or upcoming hyperspectral missions. Some of the prominent features of SWIPE to be discussed include: 1. Advanced hyperspectral modeling of globally diverse algal and non-algal particles using a novel two-layer coated sphere scattering model and radiative transfer modeling, 2. Massive, highly detailed synthetic spectral libraries of Analysis-Ready-Data (ARD) which include spectral libraries of particle microphysics, water biogeophysical and optical properties, as well as surface and TOA reflectances at 1 nm resolution, 3. An ensemble of pre-built analytic, machine learning, and deep learning inversion algorithms for various water quality and biodiversity related retrieval parameters and uncertainty quantification, 4. Sensor-agnostic water quality inversion at wide ranging spatial and spectral resolutions including a codebase for seamless application in the Google Earth Engine and NASA Earth Exchange (NEX) for planetary scale analysis. SWIPE will be a fully open-source platform based in python with comprehensive documentation, tutorials, and options for distributed computing on high performance computing clusters or on single, local machines. Further, we will discuss how we envision SWIPE contributing towards a global analysis of coastal and inland water quality dynamics.

top-of-atmosphere (TOA)↗

The Role of Dislocations in the Anelasticity of the Upper Mantle

Dislocation‐based dissipation mechanisms potentially control the viscoelastic response of Earth's upper mantle across a variety of geodynamic contexts, including glacial isostatic adjustment, postseismic creep, and seismic‐wave attenuation. However, there is no consensus on which dislocation‐based, microphysical process controls the viscoelastic behavior of the upper mantle. Although both intergranular (plastic anisotropy) and intragranular (backstress) mechanisms have been proposed, there is currently insufficient laboratory data to discriminate between those mechanisms. Here, we present the results of forced‐oscillation experiments in a deformation‐DIA apparatus at confining pressures of 3–7 GPa and temperatures of 298–1370 K. Our experiments tested the viscoelastic response of polycrystalline olivine—the main constituent of the upper mantle—at stress amplitudes from 70 to 2,800 MPa. Mechanical data are complemented by microstructural analyses of grain size, crystallographic preferred orientation, and dislocation density. We observe amplitude‐ and frequency‐dependent attenuation and modulus relaxation and find that numerical solutions of the backstress model match our results well. Therefore, we argue that interactions among dislocations, rather than intergranular processes (e.g., plastic anisotropy or grain boundary sliding), control the viscoelastic behavior of polycrystalline olivine in our experiments. In addition, we present a linearized version of the constitutive equations of the backstress model and extrapolate it to conditions typical of seismic‐wave propagation in the upper mantle. Our extrapolation demonstrates that the backstress model can explain the magnitude of seismic‐wave attenuation in the upper mantle, although some modification is required to explain the weak frequency dependence of attenuation observed in nature and in previous experimental work.

Hein, Diede [Univ. of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN (↗

Windblown sand on Venus - Preliminary results of laboratory simulations

Small particles and winds of sufficient strength to move them have been detected from Venera and Pioneer-Venus data and suggest the existence of aeolian processes on Venus. The Venus wind tunnel (VWT) was fabricated in order to investigate the behavior of windblown particles in a simulated Venusian environment. Preliminary results show that sand-size material is readily entrained at the wind speeds detected on Venus and that saltating grains achieve velocities closely matching those of the wind. Measurements of saltation threshold and particle flux for various particle sizes have been compared with theoretical models which were developed by extrapolation of findings from Martian and terrestrial simulations. Results are in general agreement with theory, although certain discrepancies are apparent which may be attributed to experimental and/or theoretical-modeling procedures. Present findings enable a better understanding of Venusian surface processes and suggest that aeolian processes are important in the geological evolution of Venus.

Greeley, R.↗

Vegetation species composition and canopy architecture information expressed in leaf water absorption measured in the 1000 nm and 2200 spectral region by an imaging spectrometer

Plant species composition and plant architectural attributes are critical parameters required for the measuring, monitoring, and modeling of terrestrial ecosystems. Remote sensing is commonly cited as an important tool for deriving vegetation properties at an appropriate scale for ecosystem studies, ranging from local to regional and even synoptic scales. Classical approaches rely on vegetation indices such as the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) to estimate biophysical parameters such as leaf area index or intercepted photosynthetically active radiation (IPAR). Another approach is to apply a variety of classification schemes to map vegetation and thus extrapolate fine-scale information about specific sites to larger areas of similar composition. Imaging spectrometry provides additional information that is not obtainable through broad-band sensors and that may provide improved inputs both to direct biophysical estimates as well as classification schemes. Some of this capability has been demonstrated through improved discrimination of vegetation, estimates of canopy biochemistry, and liquid water estimates from vegetation. We investigate further the potential of leaf water absorption estimated from Airborne Visible/Infrared Imaging Spectrometer (AVIRIS) data as a means for discriminating vegetation types and deriving canopy architectural information. We expand our analysis to incorporate liquid water estimates from two spectral regions, the 1000-nm region and the 2200-nm region. The study was conducted in the vicinity of Jasper Ridge, California, which is located on the San Francisco peninsula to the west of the Stanford University campus. AVIRIS data were acquired over Jasper Ridge, CA, on June 2, 1992, at 19:31 UTC. Spectra from three sites in this image were analyzed. These data are from an area of healthy grass, oak woodland, and redwood forest, respectively. For these analyses, the AVIRIS-measured upwelling radiance spectra for the entire Jasper Ridge scene were transformed to apparent surface reflectance using a radiative transfer code-based inversion algorithm.

Green, Robert O.↗

An adaptive mesh-moving and refinement procedure for one-dimensional conservation laws

We examine the performance of an adaptive mesh-moving and /or local mesh refinement procedure for the finite difference solution of one-dimensional hyperbolic systems of conservation laws. Adaptive motion of a base mesh is designed to isolate spatially distinct phenomena, and recursive local refinement of the time step and cells of the stationary or moving base mesh is performed in regions where a refinement indicator exceeds a prescribed tolerance. These adaptive procedures are incorporated into a computer code that includes a MacCormack finite difference scheme wih Davis' artificial viscosity model and a discretization error estimate based on Richardson's extrapolation. Experiments are conducted on three problems in order to qualify the advantages of adaptive techniques relative to uniform mesh computations and the relative benefits of mesh moving and refinement. Key results indicate that local mesh refinement, with and without mesh moving, can provide reliable solutions at much lower computational cost than possible on uniform meshes; that mesh motion can be used to improve the results of uniform mesh solutions for a modest computational effort; that the cost of managing the tree data structure associated with refinement is small; and that a combination of mesh motion and refinement reliably produces solutions for the least cost per unit accuracy.

Biswas, Rupak↗

New proton emitter 188 At implies an interaction unprecedented in heavy nuclei

We report the discovery of a new atomic nucleus 188 At, which is the heaviest proton-emitting isotope known to date. The new activity was observed through the 107 Ag( 84 Sr, 3n) 188 At fusion-evaporation reaction using the focal-plane spectrometer of the gas-filled recoil separator in the Accelerator Laboratory of the University of Jyväskylä, Finland. To fully interpret the experimental data, we have expanded the non-adiabatic quasiparticle model to treat nuclei in the beyond-lead region. The description reproduced the measured decay rate and pointed towards emission from an extremely prolate-deformed state with a dominant s 1/2 proton component in the wave function. The Thomas-Ehrman shift can be enhanced in low angular momentum states, but such effects have not been observed in heavy nuclei. The single-proton separation energy of 188 At deviates from that extrapolated from the systematics, which can be interpreted as the first evidence of this effect in heavy nuclei.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Milky Way globular clusters in γ-rays: analysing the dynamical formation of millisecond pulsars

ABSTRACT Globular clusters (GCs) are evolved stellar systems containing entire populations of millisecond pulsars (MSPs), which are efficient γ-ray emitters. Observations of this emission can be used as a powerful tool to explore the dynamical processes leading to binary system formation in GCs. In this work, 9 yr of Fermi Large-Area Telescope data were used to investigate the γ-ray emission from all GCs in the Milky Way. Twenty-three clusters were found as γ-ray bright, with two of them never having been reported before. It was also found that magnetic braking probably has a smaller impact on the formation rate of binary systems in metal-rich GCs than previously suggested, while a large value for the two-body encounter rate seems to be a necessary condition. The influence of the encounter rate per formed binary was for the first time explored in conjunction with γ-ray data, giving evidence that if this quantity is very high, binary systems will get destroyed before having time to evolve into MSPs, thus decreasing the total number of MSPs in a GC. No extended emission was found even for clusters whose optical extent is ≈0.5°; all of them are point-like sources spatially in agreement with the optical cores of the GCs, supporting previous X-ray results of heavier objects sinking into the clusters’ cores via dynamical friction. The possibility of extrapolating these results to ultra-compact dwarf galaxies is discussed, as these systems are believed to be the intermediate case between GCs and dwarf galaxies.

de Menezes, Raniere↗

Magnetic Breakdown and Topology in the Kagome Superconductor CsV 3 Sb 5 under High Magnetic Field

The recently discovered layered kagome metals of composition AV 3 Sb 5 (A = K, Rb, Cs) exhibit a complex interplay among superconductivity, charge density wave order, topologically nontrivial electronic band structure and geometrical frustration. Here, we probe the electronic band structure underlying these exotic correlated electronic states in CsV 3 Sb 5 with quantum oscillation measurements in pulsed fields up to 86 T. The high-field data reveal a sequence of magnetic breakdown orbits that allows the construction of a model for the folded Fermi surface of CsV 3 Sb 5 . The dominant features are large triangular Fermi surface sheets that cover almost half the folded Brillouin zone. These sheets have not yet been detected in angle resolved photoemission spectroscopy and display pronounced nesting. In conclusion, the Berry phases of the electron orbits have been deduced from Landau level fan diagrams near the quantum limit without the need for extrapolations, thereby unambiguously establishing the nontrivial topological character of several electron bands in this kagome lattice superconductor.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

The tectonic and volcanic evolution of Venus: Catastrophic or gradual?

Radar imaging and altimetry data from the Magellan mission have yielded important new constraints on the tectonic and volcanic history of Venus and on its internal dynamics. The planet lacks global plate tectonics, but a number of chasm systems and corona moat structures have arcuate planforms, asymmetric topogrpahic profiles, and relief analogous to deep-sea trenches on Earth and may be products of limited lithospheric underthrusting or subduction. Several lines of evidence point to a crust and upper mantle stronger than would be predicted by simple extrapolation from Earth and the 450 K greater surface temperature; these include the unrelaxed depths of impact craters, apparently large values of elastic lithosphere thickness, and large ratios of gravity to topography. The density of impact craters indicates an averate crater retention age of about 500 My, but not more than 5% of the recognized craters have been volcanically embayed. This last observation has led to the proposal that Venus has been subjected to one or more global resurfacing events, the latest about 500 My ago, and that the volcanic flux during intervals between such events has been low. That more recent tectonic activity has been widespread, however, is indicated by the high relief and slopes of mountains, chasm walls, and plateau margins; the significant fraction (0.3) of impact craters deformed by younger faults; and the postformational vertical deformation of long channels. Interior dynamical scenarios advanced to account for episodic volcanic resurfacing include catastrophic overturn of a global lithosphere thickened by cooling or compositional buoyancy and strongly time-dependent mantle convective heat flux. Outgassing considerations and analogy with Earth and other terrestrial planets, however, suggests that such catastrophic models are unlikely. If the mantle of Venus cooled more efficiently than that of Earth because of, say, different boundary conditions, a different flow law, or a different degree of layering, then the planet may in the last 500 My have attained lesser mantle temperatures, lower mantle heat flux, and a significantly lesser rate of magma production than Earth yet still display evidence for ongoing convection and active tectonics. Such a 'cold Venus' scenario would be broadly consistent with observations yet be characterized by a gradual volcanic and tectonic evolution.

Solomon, Sean C.↗

Evidence of an oxidation induced phase transformation for a delta phase plutonium-gallium alloy

The oxidation of an ~1.5 at% Ga plutonium metal alloy in dry air as a function of time was studied using a combination of FIB-SEM, AES, and XRD. Analysis of SEM images of FIB cross-sections of the oxide allowed for direct measurement of the oxide thickness as well as determination of heterogeneity in the extent of the oxide. AES analysis performed on cross-sections of the oxide allowed for quantitative analysis of the atomic composition and semi-quantitative analysis of the chemical composition. Initial preparation of the sample was found to induce a martensitic transformation to α' - Pu with an average thickness of 233 nm. Electropolishing was found to be sufficient to fully remove the α' layer with creation of only a minimum oxide layer. Growth of the oxide in dry air was found to initially follow parabolic kinetics, with a parabolic rate constant orders of magnitude higher than expected for δ-Pu but in-line with values extrapolated to room temperature for α-Pu. Following complete oxidation of the initial α` layer, further regions of plutonium metal depleted in gallium were observed to form at the oxide / metal interface. However, gallium, as Ga 2 O 3 , was found to be enriched at the surface and present in the oxide in an amount comparable to the relative Ga:Pu ratio of the bulk metal alloy. Finally, the results presented here serve to bridge a diverse array of previous experimental and theoretical data and provide the first comprehensive view of the fate of the δ-stabilizer during formation of an oxide.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Linking transportation agent-based model ($\mathrm{ABM}$) outputs with micro-urban social types ($\mathrm{MUSTs}$) via typology transfer for improved community relevance

The human relationship with transportation is shaped by social, economic, demographic, and urban form variables, or socio-spatial factors. The spatial dynamics of these are key to generating and interpreting outputs of transportation models that are most relevant for a community and the diverse mobility needs of its members. Here we present a typology transfer framework, grounded in socio-spatial dynamics shaping people's mobility, to take transportation-themed regional mobility model outcomes, in this case from two agent-based models (ABMs), and extrapolate them to other cities, with less time and resource intensity than new ABM development. The typology transfer process first identifies micro-urban social types (MUSTs) using socio-spatial factors, then defines city types based on spatial patterns of MUSTs to assess across which cities transfer results are likely to best hold. Lastly, a typology transfer multiplier matrix extrapolates a given variable, in our case the Mobility Energy Productivity (MEP) metric, to another city. The full process demonstration uses ABM results from Chicago (POLARIS model) and San Francisco (BEAM model), applying them to New York City. We discuss how MEP or other outputs can be appropriately estimated and used for integrated, human-centered mobility analysis. Key findings include that this MUST framework of user-defined dependent and independent variables allows tailoring ABM results and interpretations to specific community needs and data availability. Findings clarify that positive outcomes can be targeted towards user groups, based on sociospatial characteristics, using a typology approach, such as inclusive access to mobility choices, transportation affordability, and greater efficiency in resource use.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

The P/Halley: Spatial distribution and scale lengths for C2, CN, NH2, and H2O

From P/Halley long slit spectroscopic exposures on 12 dates, extending from Oct. 1985 to May 1986, spatial profiles were obtained for emissions by C2, CN, NH2, and OI(1D). Haser model scale lengths were fitted to these data. The extended time coverage allowed the checking for consistency between the various dates. The time varying production rate of P/Halley severely affected the profiles after perihelion, which is shown in two profile sequences on adjacent dates. Because of the time varying production rate, it was not possible to obtain reliable Haser model scale lengths after perihelion. The pre-perihelion analysis yielded Haser model scale lengths of sufficient consistency that they can be used for production rate determinations, whenever it is necessary to extrapolate from observed column densities within finite observing apertures. Results of scale lengths reduced to 1 AU are given and discussed.

Fink, Uwe↗

Crystal-chemistry and partitioning of REE in whitlockite

Partitioning of Rare Earth Elements (REE) in whitlockite is complicated by the fact that two or more charge-balancing substitutions are involved and by the fact that concentrations of REE in natural whitlockites are sufficiently high such that simple partition coefficients are not expected to be constant even if mixing in the system is completely ideal. The present study combines preexisting REE partitioning data in whitlockites with new experiments in the same compositional system and at the same temperature (approximately 1030 C) to place additional constraints on the complex variations of REE partition coefficients and to test theoretical models for how REE partitioning should vary with REE concentration and other compositional variables. With this data set, and by combining crystallographic and thermochemical constraints with a SAS simultaneous-equation best-fitting routine, it is possible to infer answers to the following questions: what is the speciation on the individual sites Ca(B), Mg, and Ca(IIA) (where the ideal structural formula is Ca(B)18 Mg2Ca(IIA)2P14O56); how are REE's charge-balanced in the crystal; and is mixing of REE in whitlockite ideal or non-ideal. This understanding is necessary in order to extrapolate derived partition coefficients to other compositional systems and provides a broadened understanding of the crystal chemistry of whitlockite.

Colson, R. O.↗

X-Ray Emission from the Halo of M31

Our goal was to use short (10 ksec) observations of selected fields in the halo of M31, to determine the size and characteristics of its X-ray population and to study the connection between globular clusters and X-ray sources. The program of observations has yet to be successfully completed. We received acceptable data from just 2 of the 5 approved fields. Nevertheless, the results were intriguing and we have submitted a paper based on this data to Nature. We find that the X-ray source density is significantly enhanced in the vicinity of one GC, providing the first observational evidence supporting the ejection hypothesis. We also find additional X-ray sources, including some which are very soft, in large enough numbers to suggest that not all could have been formed in GCs. That is, some must be descended from the same primordial halo population that produced any compact stars comprising part of the halo's dark matter. Extrapolating fiom the X-ray source population, we estimate that stellar remnants and dim old stars in the halo could comprise as much as 25% of the estimated mass (approx. 10(exp 12) Solar Mass) of the halo. These results suggest that the other approved fields should be observed soon and also provide strong motivation for the future XMM-Newton programs.

Mushotzky, Richard↗