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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Evaluating How Climate Adaptation Measures Affect the Interconnected Water‐Energy Resource Systems of the Western United States

Abstract The Western US faces increasing water stress from the impacts of climate change, making it difficult to meet water demands for the region's cities, agriculture, and hydropower generators. Existing literature suggests that climate adaptation measures such as water conservation, cropland retirement, wastewater recycling, and managed aquifer recharge can alleviate some of these challenges. Few analyses, however, compare the relative efficacy and system‐wide effects of these adaptations under different climate projections across the entire Western United States. Here we use a Western US‐wide water systems model to evaluate, by sector and sub‐region, how the widespread implementation of these adaptive measures impacts water demands, water deliveries, and electricity use related to the water system for three different climate projections. We find that wastewater recycling has greater potential to lower unmet indoor water demands than urban indoor water conservation measures. However, when implemented at scale, indoor water conservation reduces electricity use by an average of 683 Terawatt hours while wastewater recycling increases energy use by an average of 721 Terawatt hours, cumulatively from 2020 to 2070. Cropland retirement and aquifer recharge adaptations increase the ability to meet agricultural water demand, increase groundwater storage, and reduce summertime electricity use. While most of these findings are consistent across different climate projections, the benefits of aquifer recharge are sensitive to spatial variation of precipitation. Given the limitations and tradeoffs of each individually, the results suggest that a portfolio of adaptation measures will be needed for a climate‐resilient water and energy future in the Western US. Plain Language Summary The Western US faces increased water stress from the impacts of climate change, making it difficult to meet demands for cities, agriculture, and hydropower facilities. Adaptation measures like water conservation, retiring agricultural lands, recycling wastewater, and storing water underground can address these challenges. However, there is little modeling to understand the impact of these adaptations if they were implemented across the entire Western US while also considering climate change. We use a Western US‐wide water systems model to evaluate how implementing adaptation measures impacts groundwater levels, the ability to meet water demands, and electricity use related to water in three different possible climate futures. We find that recycling wastewater to drinking water standards does a better job of meeting urban water demands than water conservation measures. However, indoor water conservation reduces energy use for water while recycling wastewater increases energy use for water. Retiring agricultural lands and storing water underground both increase the ability to meet agricultural water demands, increase underground water storage, and reduce summertime energy use. No adaptation measures provides benefits across every metric we track. Therefore, multiple adaptation measures will likely be needed to achieve a climate‐resilient future for energy and water in the Western US. Key Points Water‐related climate change adaptations have different benefits and tradeoffs for interconnected water‐energy systems in the Western U.S. Wastewater recycling most increases urban water coverage, but has a significant tradeoff in the form of greater electricity use Cropland retirement and aquifer recharge benefit water and electricity systems most in the summer when those systems are most stressed

Singhal, A↗
DOE OSTI2023

Transcriptome and DNA methylome divergence of inflorescence development between 2 ecotypes in Panicum hallii

The morphological diversity of the inflorescence determines flower and seed production, which is critical for plant adaptation. Hall's panicgrass (Panicum hallii, P. hallii) is a wild perennial grass that has been developed as a model to study perennial grass biology and adaptive evolution. Highly divergent inflorescences have evolved between the 2 major ecotypes in P. hallii, the upland ecotype (P. hallii var hallii, HAL2 genotype) with compact inflorescence and large seed and the lowland ecotype (P. hallii var filipes, FIL2 genotype) with an open inflorescence and small seed. Here we conducted a comparative analysis of the transcriptome and DNA methylome, an epigenetic mark that influences gene expression regulation, across different stages of inflorescence development using genomic references for each ecotype. Global transcriptome analysis of differentially expressed genes (DEGs) and co-expression modules underlying the inflorescence divergence revealed the potential role of cytokinin signaling in heterochronic changes. Comparing DNA methylome profiles revealed a remarkable level of differential DNA methylation associated with the evolution of P. hallii inflorescence. We found that a large proportion of differentially methylated regions (DMRs) were located in the flanking regulatory regions of genes. Intriguingly, we observed a substantial bias of CHH hypermethylation in the promoters of FIL2 genes. The integration of DEGs, DMRs, and $K_a$/$K_s$ ratio results characterized the evolutionary features of DMR-associated DEGs that contribute to the divergence of the P. hallii inflorescence. This study provides insights into the transcriptome and epigenetic landscape of inflorescence divergence in P. hallii and a genomic resource for perennial grass biology.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
NASA NTRS2018

Practical Aspects of Real-Time Modeling for the Learn-To-Fly Concept

Practical aspects of autonomous onboard real-time modeling for the NASA Learn-to-Fly concept are examined using flight data from two subscale test aircraft. A practical real-time global nonlinear aerodynamic modeling method is developed and explained, along with the multiple-input excitation needed for effective real-time modeling. Critical issues for integrating real-time global nonlinear aerodynamic modeling and local linear modeling with the real-time learning adaptive control and guidance elements of the Learn-to-Fly algorithm are identified and discussed. Real-time modeling results from NASA Learn-to-Fly flight demonstrations are presented and evaluated using model fit metrics and prediction tests.

Morelli, Eugene A.↗
DOE OSTI2024

Connected Traffic Signal Coordination Optimization Framework through Network-Wide Adaptive Linear Quadratic Regulator–Based Control Strategy

Traffic congestion in metropolitan areas causes several significant challenges, such as longer travel times, decreased productivity, increased fuel consumption and vehicle emissions, and even severe injuries during crashes. Traffic signal control is a management approach to reduce traffic congestion and allocate the appropriate right of way for safety and mobility efficiency, both in temporal and spatial domains. Here, this study proposes a network-wide adaptive signal control coordination optimization framework based on the linear quadratic regulator algorithm. The traffic flow conditions driven by signal control inputs are formulated based on their network-wide state-space representation. After modeling traffic control regulation constraints, an adaptive linear quadratic regulator algorithm is designed to maximize the network-wide total throughput under the current conditions. Optimal signal control split time durations for multiple intersections in the network are derived by solving the algebraic Riccati equation. Furthermore, the recursive least square parameter estimation method is employed to quantify dynamic traffic condition changes. To verify the effectiveness of this proposed signal control framework, both simulation and real-world experimental tests are conducted for multiple intersections in downtown Chattanooga, Tennessee, United States. In preparation for real-world experimental tests, pipelines for real-time data processing implementation and historical traffic flow data analysis are conducted. The test results demonstrate that the proposed control framework achieves a decrease in travel time by up to 19.4%, total time spent (TTS) by up to 11.9%, and relative queue balance (RQB) by up to 15.6%. The research findings indicate that the proposed signal control framework can be generalized to handle large scale signal control optimization network-wide.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2021

ROI Hide and Seek Protocol v1

1. Segmentation We provide scripts for the model definition of the U-net architecture adapted from: https://github.com/jvanvugt/pytorch-unet/blob/master/unet.py We developed scripts for preparing the lung segmentation data set. We developed scripts for training the U-Net architecture. We developed scripts for applying the trained U-Net model to perform the ROI Hide and Seek protocol on the classification dataset to create the modified dataset. 2. Classification We provide scripts for the training of the COVID-Net models provided by Linda Wang, this code is adapted from her github repository: https://github.com/lindawangg/COVID-Net/tree/d7b36831d854f57de5bc7557217f5439e86e016f. These scripts were modified to save training log information as well as to load the provided models in their github repo. We developed scripts for training standard Neural Network Models (resnet 50, vgg 11, Alexnet) on the COVID datsets along with the ROI Hide and Seek altered datasets.

Sadre, Robbie↗
DOE OSTI2024

Unveiling the Potential of MeshGraphNets for Predicting Subsurface Evolution in Carbon Storage Projects

This is the conference paper accompanying an oral presentation “Unveiling the Potential of MeshGraphNets for Predicting Subsurface Evolution in Carbon Storage Projects” at the 17th International Conference on Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies GHGT-17 held in Calgary, Canada, October 20-24 , 2024. Carbon capture and storage (CCS) technology is critical for mitigating climate change but requires effective subsurface reservoir management to ensure safe containment of injected CO2. Accurate predictions of reservoir pressure and saturation are essential for assessing long-term CCS performance. Traditional numerical simulations, while effective, are computationally intensive, time-consuming, and constrained by data discretization. Previous work has shown the effectiveness of MeshGraphNets (MGN), a graph-based machine learning framework, as an innovative alternative for predicting reservoir behavior. MGN leverages graph neural networks (GNNs) and mesh representations to model complex geological formations, offering superior adaptability across different discretizations and reservoir configurations. Classic MGN implementations utilize an autoregressive technique to predict future behavior based on current predictions, but this technique is hampered by error accumulation over time. To enhance the model accuracy in time-series predictions, this study implemented a multi-step rollout strategy that integrates autoregressive predictions during training to stabilize prediction of saturation over time. Using the Illinois Basin – Decatur Project (IBDP) dataset, comprising 100 simulations of CO2 injection, pressure, and saturation changes, the framework demonstrated its ability to learn spatial dependencies and temporal dynamics. With inputs including permeabilities, porosities, and injection rates, MGN accurately predicted CO2 plume evolution over time, even with limited training data. Moreover, the addition of a multi-step rollout procedure during training improved the ability of MGN to predict stably over time by ~15%. This research positions MGN, enhanced with multi-step rollout capabilities, as a robust and efficient tool for CCS applications. It advances the field by enabling precise, computationally efficient predictions of reservoir behavior, providing a foundation for the broader adoption of machine learning frameworks in CCS and other geoscience domains.

Holcomb, Paul↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Models for Facilitating Government-Funded Activities in the Post-ISS LEO Ecosystem

The International Space Station National Lab (ISSNL) was established through Congressional authority in 2005 and has been managed by a nonprofit called the Center for the Advancement of Science in Space (CASIS) since 2011 to support research, development, education, and commercial activities in low-Earth orbit (LEO). NASA leadership is considering next steps for microgravity and orbital activities in LEO in preparation for the retirement of the International Space Station (ISS) and transition to Commercial LEO Destinations (CLDs) in the 2030 timeframe. Specifically, our study team within the NASA Office of Technology, Policy, and Strategy addressed the question: What are potential models for an ISS National Lab facilitating government-funded or subsidized activities on a commercial LEO platform after the transition of the ISS to one or more private platforms? To inform the trade space of potential models, we conducted over 40 discussions with stakeholders internal and external to NASA and reviewed over 35 documents related to LEO legislation, commercialization, models, and activities. Following the extensive literature review and discussions with diverse stakeholders, we defined and evaluated six models, in addition to the current ISSNL model. We assessed each model across three possible future scenarios (dynamic, steady, and limited growth of the commercial LEO market and activities) and across five stakeholder-driven model evaluation criteria (ability to meet NASA’s needs, adaptability, opportunity for collaboration, market sustainability, and equity and accessibility). The six models in the future trade space were: • Government Research Broker: Customizable research efforts on transport vehicles and CLDs • Innovation Campus: Modern terrestrial campus with workforce focus • Anchor Tenant: Long-term, substantial agreement for leasing space on a single CLD • Fee for Service: Free market approach with NASA-sponsored grants and service/data buys • Matchmaker: Neutral third-party connecting users to platforms • Institute Network: Network of separate but related efforts to enable commercial scaling The Government Research Broker model performed best across the scenarios, followed by Innovation Campus, Anchor Tenant, and Fee for Service. While Matchmaker and Institute Network exhibited positive aspects, the two models performed most favorably in future scenarios with well-established communities and markets. The six models presented in this study are representative of the potential trade space and are illustrative examples. NASA leadership can adjust models as desired to align to their priorities more closely by using combinations of the unique model features provided in our analysis. The optimal model is likely a combination of features from multiple models. Building upon this work to best position NASA and the diverse stakeholders of LEO activities for success post-ISS, further work will explore the near-term impact of preparing for the transition of the ISS to CLDs by identifying opportunities for modifying the current ISSNL-CASIS partnership. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS We thank the many reviewers and discussants, internal and external to NASA, that contributed to the work.

Erica Rodgers↗
DOE OSTI2025

Godiva IV Thermal Neutron Dosimetry Modeling and Variance Reduction

The transfer of the Godiva IV experiment from the Los Alamos Critical Experiments Facility (LACEF) to the National Critical Experiments Research Center (NCERC) introduced a vastly different experiment room return to the neutron flux. The contribution of the background to the burst neutron energy spectrum is significant in the thermal and epithermal neutron energies. Target materials may be placed in various locations in the Godiva room, or outside of the room, for thermal neutron activation. Modeling of this dosimetry problem in Monte Carlo N-Particle (MCNP) presented a novel challenge compared to previous Godiva IV glory hole irradiation simulations. An advanced dosimetry modeling framework for high efficiency calculations in locations far from the Godiva IV fission source was desired. The mesh-based weight windows and point detector advanced variance reduction techniques in MCNP were implemented and tested using adaptations of the critical experiment benchmark model of the Godiva IV problem. The models were validated against measured activations of Nickel, Indium, Scandium, and Cobalt foils at locations 2 meters from the Godiva IV core. Dosimetry measurements were performed in collaboration with Sandia National Laboratory. The weight windows and point detector variance reduction coupled method resulted in the highest problem efficiency.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
NASA NTRS1984

The computation of mesh configurations for three-dimensional flow analysis

A geometry modeling method was developed to define three-dimensional mesh configurations, which were expressed by the set of surface intersections with a coordinate mesh. These configurations define bodies for transonic potential-flow computation in simple physical coordinates. Various configurations were prepared for 3-D potential flow analysis, including many bare inlet models in cylindrical coordinates. Trimmed surface models were used to prepare nacelle installation configurations. A variety of ducts and mixers were represented. Analytically defined mesh/surface intersections were compared with similar data obtained from the corresponding surface model. Parameters for an analytic surface definition from mesh-surface intersections obtained from a model of the surface were produced. In both studies the modeling accuracy was shown to be compatible with the flow analysis requirements. This technique fulfills the requirements of the associated three-dimensional potential-flow analysis. It preserves the flow analysis method's superior flexibility for adapting to unusual geometries. The geometry modeling technique is supported by a sufficient set of tools for effective use by general users, and sufficient accuracy was demonstrated.

Gibson, S. G.↗
DOE OSTI2025

Three-dimensional modeling of hyphal fusion, branching, and nutrient transport in filamentous fungi

Fungi exhibit behaviors distinct from other microbes. Filamentous fungi grow by extending complex networks of branched filaments collectively referred to as the mycelium. These networks can expand over large distances and traverse low-nutrient areas by translocating nutrients through the filament network. This spatial characteristic makes filamentous fungi crucial for soil ecosystems, supporting stable microbial communities and promoting plant growth. However, simulating these behaviors is complex. The elongated nature of fungal compartments results in different mechanical interactions compared to the commonly modeled spherical bacteria. These detailed hyphal mechanics require specialized consideration and are often excluded from conventional fungal simulation packages. Additionally, the extensive fungal networks in nature demand computationally intensive simulations, necessitating high-performance algorithms. Therefore, realistic fungi simulations require specialized software. Here, we introduce a fungal modeling expansion to the high-performance biological modelling and interface exchange (bmx) software suite. bmx leverages adaptive mesh refinement in AMReX for chemical diffusion and incorporates a full mechanical model for bacterial cells, accelerated by GPUs. By extending bmx to model filamentous particles, we demonstrate the formation of complex filament networks through interactions like hyphal branching and fusion (anastomosis). We show that the networks produced match real-world fungal structures through various metrics. This work supports computational studies of fungal growth dynamics and can be adapted to investigate the growth of other filamentous structures in biology or materials science. The expanded-BMX package is open-sourced and is available online.

Cell mechanics↗
NASA NTRS2014

An Adaptive Nonlinear Aircraft Maneuvering Envelope Estimation Approach for Online Applications

A nonlinear aircraft model is presented and used to develop an overall unified robust and adaptive approach to passive trim and maneuverability envelope estimation with uncertainty quantification. The concept of time scale separation makes this method suitable for the online characterization of altered safe maneuvering limitations after impairment. The results can be used to provide pilot feedback and/or be combined with flight planning, trajectory generation, and guidance algorithms to help maintain safe aircraft operations in both nominal and off-nominal scenarios.

nonlinearity↗
DOE OSTI2025

AI in Astrophysics: Tackling Domain Shift, Model Robustness and Uncertainty

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is revolutionizing physics research from probing the large-scale structure of the Universe to modeling subatomic interactions and fundamental forces. Yet, a major challenge persists: AI models trained on simulations or old experiment / astronomical survey often perform poorly when applied to new data exposing issues of dataset (domain) shift, model robustness, and uncertainty in predictions. This talk will introduce common challenges in applying AI across domains and present solutions based on domain adaptation a set of techniques designed to improve model generalization under domain shift. We will cover foundational ideas, practical strategies, and current research frontiers in this area. Through examples in astrophysics, we'll explore how domain adaptation can help bridge the gap between synthetic and real-world data, improve trust in model outputs, and advance scientific discovery.

Ciprijanvoic, Aleksandra [Fermilab] (ORCID:0000000↗
DOE OSTI2022

A High-End Estimate of Sea Level Rise for Practitioners

Sea level rise (SLR) is a long-lasting consequence of climate change because global anthropogenic warming takes centuries to millennia to equilibrate for the deep ocean and ice sheets. SLR projections based on climate models support policy analysis, risk assessment and adaptation planning today, despite their large uncertainties. The central range of the SLR distribution is estimated by process-based models. However, risk-averse practitioners often require information about plausible future conditions that lie in the tails of the SLR distribution, which are poorly defined by existing models. Here, a community effort combining scientists and practitioners builds on a framework of discussing physical evidence to quantify high-end global SLR for practitioners. The approach is complementary to the IPCC AR6 report and provides further physically plausible high-end scenarios. High-end estimates for the different SLR components are developed for two climate scenarios at two timescales. For global warming of +2°C in 2100 (RCP2.6/SSP1-2.6) relative to pre-industrial values our high-end global SLR estimates are up to 0.9 m in 2100 and 2.5 m in 2300. Similarly, for a (RCP8.5/SSP5-8.5), we estimate up to 1.6 m in 2100 and up to 10.4 m in 2300. The large and growing differences between the scenarios beyond 2100 emphasize the long-term benefits of mitigation. However, even a modest 2°C warming may cause multi-meter SLR on centennial time scales with profound consequences for coastal areas. Earlier high-end assessments focused on instability mechanisms in Antarctica, while here we emphasize the importance of the timing of ice shelf collapse around Antarctica. This is highly uncertain due to low understanding of the driving processes. Hence both process understanding and emission scenario control high-end SLR.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

A Method for Dimensionally Adaptive Sparse Trigonometric Interpolation of Periodic Functions

We present a method for dimensionally adaptive sparse trigonometric interpolation of multidimensional periodic functions belonging to a smoothness class of finite order. This method targets applications where periodicity must be preserved and the precise anisotropy is not known a priori. To the authors' knowledge, this is the first instance of a dimensionally adaptive sparse interpolation algorithm that uses a trigonometric interpolation basis. The motivating application behind this work is the adaptive approximation of a multi-input model for a molecular potential energy surface (PES) where each input represents an angle of rotation. Our method is based on an anisotropic quasi-optimal estimate for the decay rate of the Fourier coefficients of the model; a least-squares fit to the coefficients of the interpolant is used to estimate the anisotropy. Thus, our adaptive approximation strategy begins with a coarse isotropic interpolant, which is gradually refined using the estimated anisotropic rates. The procedure takes several iterations where ever-more accurate interpolants are used to generate ever-improving anisotropy rates. We present several numerical examples of our algorithm where the adaptive procedure successfully recovers the theoretical “best” convergence rate, including an application to a periodic PES approximation. An open-source implementation of our algorithm resides in the Tasmanian UQ library developed at Oak Ridge National Laboratory.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Adaptive Interface-PINNs (AdaI-PINNs) for transient diffusion: Applications to forward and inverse problems in heterogeneous media

We model transient diffusion in heterogeneous materials using a novel physics-informed neural networks framework (PINNs) termed Adaptive interface physics-informed neural networks or AdaI-PINNs (Roy et al. arXiv preprint arXiv:2406.04626, 2024). AdaI-PINNs utilize different activation functions with trainable slopes tailored to each material region within the computational domain, allowing for a fully automated and adaptive PINNs approach to model interface problems with strongly and weakly discontinuous solutions. To enhance its performance in highly heterogeneous transient diffusion systems, we prescribe a suite of robust practices, including appropriate non-dimensionalization of equations, a biased sampling method, Glorot initialization, and the hard enforcement of boundary and initial conditions. Here we evaluate the efficacy of the proposed method on several benchmark forward and inverse problems. Comparative studies on one-dimensional and two-dimensional benchmark problems reveal that the modified AdaI-PINNs outperform its unmodified counterpart, achieving root-mean-square errors that are at least two orders of magnitude better in forward problems. For inverse problems, the maximum errors in the approximated diffusion coefficients by modified AdaI-PINNs are four orders of magnitude better than those of the unmodified version. Additionally, modified AdaI-PINNs demonstrate improved stability in problems with large material mismatches.

42 ENGINEERING↗
NASA NTRS2020

Modeling and Control of Robot-Structure Coupling During In-Space Structure Assembly

This paper considers the problem of robot-structure coupling dynamics during in-space robotic assembly of large flexible structures. A two-legged walking robot is used as a construction agent, whose primary goal is to stably walking on the flexible structure while carrying a substructure component to a designated location. The reaction forces inserted by the structure to the walking robot are treated as bounded disturbance inputs, and a trajectory tracking robotic controller is proposed that combines the standard full state feedback motion controller and an adaptive controller to account for the disturbance inputs. In this study, a reduced-order Euler-Bernoulli beam structure model is adapted, and a finite number of co-located sensors and actuators are distributed along the span of the beam structure. The robot-structure coupling forces are treated as a bounded external forcing function to the structure, and hence an output covariance constraint problem can be formulated, in terms of linear matrix inequality, for optimal structure control by utilizing the direct output feedback controllers. The numerical simulations show the effectiveness of the proposed robot-structure modeling and control methodology.

Swei, Sean↗
DOE OSTI2026

Adapting Nuclear Forensics from Light Water to Molten Salt Reactors: A Survey of Emerging Needs

Rising interest in molten salt reactors for commercial power production presents an opportunity to evaluate the techniques used to characterize materials of nuclear forensic interest. Since extensive research has been performed to identify and develop signatures of light water reactor (LWR) materials (e.g. uranium ore concentrates and uranium dioxide fuel pellets), we use this as a basis to explore possibilities for molten salt signature development. Through this comparative method, nuclear forensic signatures used today to identify the provenance of nuclear materials found out of regulatory control are adapted to molten salt reactor (MSR) fuel cycle materials. Radiological, elemental composition, isotopic composition, and model age signatures will likely not need large adaptations before being applied to MSR materials but may need to expand to be applicable to both thorium- and uranium-fueled systems. The liquid nature of molten salt fuel may erase signatures related to production and irradiation history that are informative for typical LWR materials. However, it may also lead to opportunities for new signatures, such as cooling rate–controlled morphology. Targets identified for further research include radiological attributes of fuel salts; elemental, chemical, and isotopic analysis of salts with differing production routes; morphological effects of various thermodynamic environments; and relevant fuel cycle radiochronometers. Additionally, the comparative nature of the proposed signatures implies a need for MSR-relevant databases and the production of salt standard reference materials.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Integrated parameter and process learning for hydrologic and biogeochemical modules in Earth System Models

Focus area: Primary focal area #2; secondary focal area #3: Learning about parameters and processes of land surface hydrologic and biogeochemical models in Earth System models by integrating machine learning, physics, and big data. Science challenges: How do we maximally leverage big-data observations to improve hydrobiogeochemical process description and parameterization so that such modules more realistically capture hydrologic and vegetation responses and feedbacks under the future climate? For example, how can we leverage physics, limited observations of vegetation and streamflow to better estimate evapotranspiration, and, relatedly, net primary productivity, especially for drought areas? Vegetation plays a critical role in regional and global water cycles; however, existing vegetation models have failed to predict vegetation response to droughts (McDowell & Xu, 2017) , arctic greening (Keenan & Riley, 2018) , and critical transitions between forest and savanna (Hirota et al., 2011) . These studies suggest that when we build process-based models (PBM) parameterized from regional and global plant traits, we tend to poorly describe plant adaptation and local-scale competition processes. The models and their associated parameters assigned for different regions in the world are not capturing essential heterogeneity in vegetation responses at finer spatial scales. Many parameters of the land surface models control hydrology and vegetation dynamics at the same time. The heterogeneity in vegetation response is a function of (i) plant type, (ii) plant size, (iii) competition and succession, (iv) environmental controls, and (v) local variations due to the unique ecological community that are very difficult to describe (e.g., the size of gaps resulting from fire that facilitated the coexistence of pioneering species). In the demographic models, only factors (i) and (iv) were captured, and plant types were generally described only by leaf phenology and climate zones. With current demographic models, we generally consider more traits to define plant types (i) and calibrate these traits to consider factors (ii), (iii) and (iv); however, it is substantially challenging to scale to regional and global simulations due to trait variations across space (Ali et al., 2016). Moreover, it has been noted that hillslope processes, including ridge-to-valley flow and sunny vs. shady slopes are primary organizers of water, energy, and vegetation (Clark et al., 2015; Fan et al., 2019) . Although gradual improvements in the hydrologic model component in earth system models may reduce this error (at a remarkably slow pace), the long-term, gradual impact of hydrology on plant traits are not well captured. Recent work showed that the hydrologic controls exerted by groundwater and lateral flow are primary regulators of rooting depth (Fan et al., 2017) . Such hydrologic controls have seldom been reflected in vegetation model parameterizations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗