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At least 1,531 records · Page 85
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A Long-Term GOES Satellite Overshooting Cloud Top and Anvil Cloud Climatology Over South America

The modern-era GOES satellite series began in 1994 with the GOES-8 satellite, and was augmented in 2018 with higher spatial resolution and more frequent imaging when GOES-16 became operational. GOES imagery has provided forecasters and researchers new perspectives into cloud top patterns associated with severe convection, and the ability to better forecast convection in regions without adequate ground-based weather radar coverage. While much attention has been given to convection over North America, convection over South America can be equally, if not more, intense and frequent. Recent studies have demonstrated that overshooting cloud tops (OT) and surrounding anvil clouds can be detected within infrared satellite imagery. Relative storm updraft intensity metrics such as the tropopause-relative infrared brightness temperature, the prominence of an OT relative to its surrounding anvil, and cloud top height can also be derived using automated methods combined with reanalysis data. These automated OT detection and intensity estimation methods have recently been applied to all GOES images collected over South America, in combination with the MERRA-2 reanalysis, from 1995 to 2022 at NASA Langley within a project supported by the NASA Applied Sciences Disasters program. Innovative aggregation methods have merged these products into daily, monthly, annual, and multi-annual composites, with hourly time bins, at ~4 km pixel spacing to enable researchers a new opportunity to study South American convective processes throughout the diurnal cycle. These products have recently become publicly available from NASA. This presentation will overview this new dataset, and novel insights into South American convection depicted by the data.

Kristopher Bedka↗
NASA NTRS2011

A New Aerodynamic Data Dispersion Method for Launch Vehicle Design

A novel method for implementing aerodynamic data dispersion analysis is herein introduced. A general mathematical approach combined with physical modeling tailored to the aerodynamic quantity of interest enables the generation of more realistically relevant dispersed data and, in turn, more reasonable flight simulation results. The method simultaneously allows for the aerodynamic quantities and their derivatives to be dispersed given a set of non-arbitrary constraints, which stresses the controls model in more ways than with the traditional bias up or down of the nominal data within the uncertainty bounds. The adoption and implementation of this new method within the NASA Ares I Crew Launch Vehicle Project has resulted in significant increases in predicted roll control authority, and lowered the induced risks for flight test operations. One direct impact on launch vehicles is a reduced size for auxiliary control systems, and the possibility of an increased payload. This technique has the potential of being applied to problems in multiple areas where nominal data together with uncertainties are used to produce simulations using Monte Carlo type random sampling methods. It is recommended that a tailored physics-based dispersion model be delivered with any aerodynamic product that includes nominal data and uncertainties, in order to make flight simulations more realistic and allow for leaner spacecraft designs.

Pinier, Jeremy T.↗
DOE OSTI2023

Group Projected subspace pursuit for IDENTification of variable coefficient differential equations (GP-IDENT)

We propose an effective and robust algorithm for identifying partial differential equations (PDEs) with space-time varying coefficients from the noisy observation of a single solution trajectory. Identifying unknown differential equations from noisy data is a difficult task, and it is even more challenging with space and time varying coefficients in the PDE. The proposed algorithm, GP-IDENT, has three ingredients: (i) we use B-spline bases to express the unknown space and time varying coefficients, (ii) we propose Group Projected Subspace Pursuit (GPSP) to find a sequence of candidate PDEs with various levels of complexity, and (iii) we propose a new criterion for model selection using the Reduction in Residual (RR) to choose an optimal one among a pool of candidates. The new GPSP considers group projected subspaces which is more robust than existing methods in distinguishing correlated group features. We test GP-IDENT on a variety of PDEs and PDE systems, and compare it with the state-of-the-art parametric PDE identification algorithms under different settings to illustrate its outstanding performance. Furthermore, our experiments show that GP-IDENT is effective in identifying the correct terms from a large dictionary, and our model selection scheme is robust to noise.

Data-driven method↗
DOE OSTI2025

Toward a Balanced Description of Ground and Excited States with Transcorrelated F12 Methods

By correlating only the 1-particle states occupied in the reference determinant, the conventional design for the single-reference R12/F12 explicitly correlated methods biases them toward the ground-state description, thereby making the treatment of response properties of the ground state, and energies and other properties of excited states less robust. While the use of multireference methods and/or extensions of the standard SP-projected geminals can achieve a more balanced description of ground and excited states, here we show that the same goals can be achieved by extending the action of F12 correlators to the occupied and valence unoccupied 1-particle states only. This design choice reflects the strong dependence of the optimal correlation length scale of the F12 ansatz on the orbital energies/structure, and helps to avoid the unphysical raising of the ground-state energy if the F12 geminals are used to correlate pairs of all 1-particle states. The improved F12 geminal design is incorporated into the unitary transcorrelation framework to produce a unitary 2-body Hamiltonian that incorporates the short-range dynamical correlation physics for ground and low-energy excited states in a balanced manner. This explicitly correlated effective Hamiltonian reduces the basis set requirement on the correlation-consistent basis cardinal number by 1 or more over the uncorrelated counterpart for the description of ground-state coupled-cluster singles and doubles (CCSD) energies, vertical excitation energies, and harmonic vibrational frequencies of equation-of-motion CCSD low-energy excited states.

Hamiltonians↗
DOE OSTI2023

Evaluating Enhanced Reservoir Evaporation Losses From CMIP6‐Based Future Projections in the Contiguous United States

Abstract Enhanced reservoir evaporation has become an emerging concern regarding water loss, especially when compounded with the ever‐increasing water demand. In this study, we evaluated the evaporation rates and losses for 678 major reservoirs (representing nearly 90% of total storage capacity) in the Contiguous United States over historical baseline (1980–2019), near‐term (2020–2039), and mid‐term (2040–2059) future periods. The evaporation rate was estimated using the Lake Evaporation Model (LEM), an advanced lake evaporation model that addresses both heat storage and fetch effects, driven by multi‐ensemble downscaled Coupled Model Intercomparison Projects 6 (CMIP6) projections under the SSP585 emission scenario. The results project that the evaporation loss may increase by 2.5 × 10 7 m 3 /yr through the research period (1980–2059). Among all regions, the Rio Grande is projected to have the largest increasing rate in the near‐term and mid‐term future, with values of 7.11% of 10.25%, respectively. At the seasonal scale, the most significant increase in the evaporation rate is projected during the fall. The evaporation is projected to increase faster than the streamflow over many of the regions in the southwestern US during the summer/fall, suggesting that the shortage of water will be further exacerbated. The climate models contribute the most to the variance, as compared to the other components related to the projection of evaporation losses (e.g., hydrological model, downscaling method, and historical meteorological data set). These findings demonstrate the need to consider accelerated water loss through open water evaporation in long‐term water resources planning across various spatiotemporal scales.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Explainable deep learning for insights in El Niño and river flows

The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a semi-periodic fluctuation in sea surface temperature (SST) over the tropical central and eastern Pacific Ocean that influences interannual variability in regional hydrology across the world through long-range dependence or teleconnections. Recent research has demonstrated the value of Deep Learning (DL) methods for improving ENSO prediction as well as Complex Networks (CN) for understanding teleconnections. However, gaps in predictive understanding of ENSO-driven river flows include the black box nature of DL, the use of simple ENSO indices to describe a complex phenomenon and translating DL-based ENSO predictions to river flow predictions. Here we show that eXplainable DL (XDL) methods, based on saliency maps, can extract interpretable predictive information contained in global SST and discover SST information regions and dependence structures relevant for river flows which, in tandem with climate network constructions, enable improved predictive understanding. Our results reveal additional information content in global SST beyond ENSO indices, develop understanding of how SSTs influence river flows, and generate improved river flow prediction, including uncertainty estimation. Observations, reanalysis data, and earth system model simulations are used to demonstrate the value of the XDL-CN based methods for future interannual and decadal scale climate projections.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Pushing the frontiers in climate modelling and analysis with machine learning

Climate modelling and analysis are facing new demands to enhance projections and climate information. Here, in this study, we argue that now is the time to push the frontiers of machine learning beyond state-of-the-art approaches, not only by developing machine-learning-based Earth system models with greater fidelity, but also by providing new capabilities through emulators for extreme event projections with large ensembles, enhanced detection and attribution methods for extreme events, and advanced climate model analysis and benchmarking. Utilizing this potential requires key machine learning challenges to be addressed, in particular generalization, uncertainty quantification, explainable artificial intelligence and causality. This interdisciplinary effort requires bringing together machine learning and climate scientists, while also leveraging the private sector, to accelerate progress towards actionable climate science.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Massively Parallel Quantum Chemistry: A high-performance research platform for electronic structure

The Massively Parallel Quantum Chemistry (MPQC) program is a 30-year-old project that enables facile development of electronic structure methods for molecules for efficient deployment to massively parallel computing architectures. Here, we describe the historical evolution of MPQC’s design into its latest (fourth) version, the capabilities and modular architecture of today’s MPQC, and how MPQC facilitates rapid composition of new methods as well as its state-of-the-art performance on a variety of commodity and high-end distributed-memory computer platforms.

Peng, Chong↗
DOE OSTI2023

A novel scheme for error field correction in permanent magnet stellarators

Stellarators offer a promising path towards fusion reactors, but their design and construction are complicated by stringent tolerance requirements on highly complex 3D coils. A potential way to simplify the engineering requirements for stellarators is to use simple planar toroidal field coils along with permanent magnet arrays to generate shaping fields. In order to ensure sufficient field accuracy while minimizing engineering complexity and system cost, new techniques are required to correct the field produced by the permanent magnet arrays to within requirements set by plasma physics. This work describes a novel correction method developed for this purpose. This analysis is applied to the design of a quasi-axisymmetric stellarator that employs a combination of permanent magnets and planar toroidal field coils to generate its magnetic field. Analysis techniques and initial results using the method for error correction on a proposed permanent magnet stellarator are shown, and it is demonstrated that the method successfully meets the design requirements of the project.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2022

FlameNEST: explicit profile likelihoods with the Noble Element Simulation Technique

We present FlameNEST, a framework providing explicit likelihood evaluations in noble element particle detectors using data-driven models from the Noble Element Simulation Technique. FlameNEST provides a way to perform statistical analyses on real data with no dependence on large, computationally expensive Monte Carlo simulations by evaluating the likelihood on an event-by-event basis using analytic probability elements convolved together in a single TensorFlow multiplication. Furthermore, this robust framework creates opportunities for simple inter-collaboration analyses which will be fundamental for the future of experimental dark matter physics.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗
DOE OSTI2023

Reducing Artifacts in BF and HAADF-STEM Images of Pt/C Fuel Cells using MBIR-ARAR

Electron tomography is a powerful tool for characterization of three-dimensional (3D) nanoscale materials and devices. Bright-field (BF) and high-angle annular dark-field (HAADF) scanning transmission electron microscopy (STEM) are two widely used imaging modes in electron tomography. These imaging modalities have proven to be useful for characterizing the structure of carbon-supported platinum (Pt/C) electrocatalysts used in fuel cells, which are an important class of clean energy conversion systems. BF and HAADF-STEM images are typically simultaneously acquired due to the complementary information they contain, as BF-STEM is more suitable for characterizing carbon due to its ability to detect lighter elements, while HAADF-STEM is more suitable for characterizing platinum due to its sensitivity to atomic number. However, the quality of BF- and HAADF-STEM images is often compromised by various artifacts, such as local blurring due to abrupt contrast changes as well as missing wedge artifacts which can severely impact the accuracy of the reconstructed 3D images. The traditional methods of reconstruction, such as Filtered Back-projection (FBP), Simultaneous Iterative Reconstruction Technique (SIRT), and Model-Based Iterative Reconstruction (MBIR), are often not suitable for removing these artifacts effectively. Here, to address this challenge, we present a novel approach called MBIR with Artifact Reduction and Adaptive Regularization (MBIR-ARAR).

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Existing evidence on the effects of climate variability and climate change on ungulates in North America: a systematic map

Abstract Background Climate is an important driver of ungulate life-histories, population dynamics, and migratory behaviors. Climate conditions can directly impact ungulates via changes in the costs of thermoregulation and locomotion, or indirectly, via changes in habitat and forage availability, predation, and species interactions. Many studies have documented the effects of climate variability and climate change on North America’s ungulates, recording impacts to population demographics, physiology, foraging behavior, migratory patterns, and more. However, ungulate responses are not uniform and vary by species and geography. Here, we present a systematic map describing the abundance and distribution of evidence on the effects of climate variability and climate change on native ungulates in North America. Methods We searched for all evidence documenting or projecting how climate variability and climate change affect the 15 ungulate species native to the U.S., Canada, Mexico, and Greenland. We searched Web of Science, Scopus, and the websites of 62 wildlife management agencies to identify relevant academic and grey literature. We screened English-language documents for inclusion at both the title and abstract and full-text levels. Data from all articles that passed full-text review were extracted and coded in a database. We identified knowledge clusters and gaps related to the species, locations, climate variables, and outcome variables measured in the literature. Review findings We identified a total of 674 relevant articles published from 1947 until September 2020. Caribou ( Rangifer tarandus ), elk ( Cervus canadensis ), and white-tailed deer ( Odocoileus virginianus ) were the most frequently studied species. Geographically, more research has been conducted in the western U.S. and western Canada, though a notable concentration of research is also located in the Great Lakes region. Nearly 75% more articles examined the effects of precipitation on ungulates compared to temperature, with variables related to snow being the most commonly measured climate variables. Most studies examined the effects of climate on ungulate population demographics, habitat and forage, and physiology and condition, with far fewer examining the effects on disturbances, migratory behavior, and seasonal range and corridor habitat. Conclusions The effects of climate change, and its interactions with stressors such as land-use change, predation, and disease, is of increasing concern to wildlife managers. With its broad scope, this systematic map can help ungulate managers identify relevant climate impacts and prepare for future changes to the populations they manage. Decisions regarding population control measures, supplemental feeding, translocation, and the application of habitat treatments are just some of the management decisions that can be informed by an improved understanding of climate impacts. This systematic map also identified several gaps in the literature that would benefit from additional research, including climate effects on ungulate migratory patterns, on species that are relatively understudied yet known to be sensitive to changes in climate, such as pronghorn ( Antilocapra americana ) and mountain goats ( Oreamnos americanus ), and on ungulates in the eastern U.S. and Mexico.

Malpeli, Katherine C. (ORCID:000000030780918X)↗
DOE OSTI2021

MuSun - Muon Capture on the Deuteron

The MuSun experiment is a precision measurement of the rate for nuclear muon capture on the deuteron, designed to resolve a long-standing disagreement between experiment and theory, and to determine an important low-energy constant relevant for a variety of weak and strong dynamics. The experiment is based on a novel active target method employing a pure deuterium cryogenic time-projection chamber. The data taking was completed in two main campaigns and the analysis is well advanced. The unique challenges and corresponding strategy of the experiment as well as the status of the analysis are presented.

Kammel, Peter↗
DOE OSTI2022

2022 Peer Review Project Summary: Advanced Protection for Microgrids and DER in Secondary Networks and Meshed Distribution Systems

Although there are increasing numbers of distributed energy resources (DERs) and microgrids being deployed, current IEEE and utility standards generally strictly limit their interconnection inside secondary networks. Secondary networks are low-voltage meshed (non-radial) distribution systems that create redundancy in the path from the main grid source to each load. This redundancy provides a high level of immunity to disruptions in the distribution system, and thus extremely high reliability of electric power service. There are two main types of secondary networks, called grid and spot secondary networks, both of which are used worldwide. In the future, primary networks in distribution systems that might include looped or meshed distribution systems at the primary-voltage (mediumvoltage) level may also become common as a means for improving distribution reliability and resilience. The objective of this multiyear project is to increase the adoption of microgrids in secondary networks and meshed distribution systems by developing novel protection schemes that allow for safe reliable operation of DERs in secondary networks. We will address these challenges by working with the appropriate stakeholders of secondary network operators, protection vendors, and standards committee. The outcomes of this project include: a) development and/or demonstration of candidate methods for enabling protection of secondary networks containing high levels of DER; b) development of modeling and testing tools for protection systems designed for use with secondary networks including DERs; and c) development of new industrial partnerships to facilitate widespread results dissemination and eventual commercialization of results as appropriate.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2022

AI-enhanced Codesign for Next-Generation Neuromorphic Circuits and Systems

This report details work that was completed to address the Fiscal Year 2022 Advanced Science and Technology (AS&T) Laboratory Directed Research and Development (LDRD) call for “AI-enhanced Co-Design of Next Generation Microelectronics.” This project required concurrent contributions from the fields of 1) materials science, 2) devices and circuits, 3) physics of computing, and 4) algorithms and system architectures. During this project, we developed AI-enhanced circuit design methods that relied on reinforcement learning and evolutionary algorithms. The AI-enhanced design methods were tested on neuromorphic circuit design problems that have real-world applications related to Sandia’s mission needs. The developed methods enable the design of circuits, including circuits that are built from emerging devices, and they were also extended to enable novel device discovery. We expect that these AI-enhanced design methods will accelerate progress towards developing next-generation, high-performance neuromorphic computing systems.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2023

Efficient Integration of Algebraic Constraint for Exponential Time Integration

This work is a continuation of a previous project where the high efficiency of exponential integration methods for DRMHD systems was demonstrated. Often algebraic constraints must also be enforced for DRMHD systems of interest. Straightforward application of exponential methods to DRMHD equations with constraints leads to prohibitively computationally expensive methods. In this work, we propose new exponential schemes that allow the constraints to be removed from evaluation of exponential matrix functions which drastically reduces computational complexity by eliminating the need to perform computations enforcing constraints in exponential calculations while still preserving a high order of accuracy and allowing for a large time step even when the problem is stiff. This idea is similar to the W-methods and is achieved by carefully designing a method with the desired order of accuracy, even with an incomplete Jacobian matrix used as an argument of exponential-like functions. The constraints are accounted for by including them in the evaluation of the right-hand-side forcing function of the spatially discretized system. We study performance of the new methods on test problems and outline future research directions that this work opens.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Advanced Mineral Extraction and Water Processing: Application Development of Mesofluidic Separation Technology

This project explored the development of mesofluidic devices and methods to provide a range of new capabilities with a focus on selective mineral extraction and cost-effective water treatment systems. Mineral separation and water treatment technologies are typically slow, bulky, expensive, time and energy intensive processes. This leads to very large, expensive processing plants that are often inefficient and produce low quality products and large volumes of waste. Technologies used in mineral extraction and water treatment have changed little in the last 50-100 years. The new technology, based upon mesofluidic separation devices, could disruptively change the state of the art and alter long established economics. The new technologies explored will provide systems with much smaller footprints, higher throughput, modular components easily integrated into existing industrial processes and plants, lower cost, and novel separation capabilities. The results from this effort contributed to a wide range of new capabilities and numerous inventions disclosures.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Efficient Reformulation and Optimization for SC-ACOPF with Line Switching

This project aims to develop efficient and robust computational methods for solving the security-constrained alternating current optimal power flow problem (SC-ACOPF). The SC-ACOPF problem is a central problem in operating the electric power grids in the United States. It determines the most economically efficient way to operate the generation and transmission system to meet daily electricity demand. The solution found by solving an SC-ACOPF problem must satisfy the physics of the alternating current (AC) power flows, various generator and network operational constraints, and must maintain secure operation under various contingency scenarios, where a generator, a transmission branch, or a transformer may unexpectedly trip offline.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗