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DOE OSTI2026

Stratospheric aerosol forcing for CMIP7 – Part 1: optical properties for pre-industrial, historical, and scenario simulations

Stratospheric aerosols, most of which originate from explosive volcanic sulfur emissions into the stratosphere, are a key natural driver of climate variability. They are thus a forcing provided by the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) Climate Forcings Task Team to climate modelling groups participating in phase 7 of CMIP. For the historical period, we provide two datasets covering 1750–2023: (i) a volcanic upper tropospheric-stratospheric sulfur emission dataset, documented in a companion paper; and (ii) a stratospheric sulfate aerosol optical property dataset, documented in this paper. For the satellite era (from 1979 onwards), stratospheric aerosol optical properties are derived from the Global Space-based Stratospheric Aerosol Climatology (GloSSAC) dataset. For the pre-satellite era (1750–1978), optical properties are derived from our volcanic SO 2 emission dataset using a new version of the reduced-complexity volcanic aerosol model Easy Volcanic Aerosol (Height) (EVA_H v2). A background, non-volcanic stratospheric aerosol climatology is derived from the 1998–2001 period with a trend over 1850–1978 accounting for increasing anthropogenic aerosols. A monthly stratospheric aerosol climatology is derived from the 1850–2021 average for both pre-industrial and scenario (future) simulations, with a 9-year ramp over 2022–2030 for scenario simulations to ensure a smooth transition from the historical period. CMIP7 simulations should use version 2.2.1 of our pre-industrial and historical datasets, and version 2.2.2 of our scenario dataset. Our methodology to produce historical aerosol optical properties significantly differs from CMIP6 for the pre-satellite era, and the resulting forcings in turn largely differ. In particular, the CMIP6 dataset was mostly based on the sparse and uncertain pyrheliometer record, which resulted in strongly underrepresented emissions from small-to-moderate magnitude eruptions. The resulting bias is addressed in CMIP7, which is entirely emission-derived in the pre-satellite era and uses more recent ice-core-based volcanic sulfur emission inventories than CMIP6. Our approach results in an overall larger volcanic aerosol forcing for CMIP7, with the 1850–2014 mean mid-visible global mean stratospheric aerosol optical depth (SAOD) in CMIP7 (0.0138) being 29 % higher than in CMIP6 (0.0107). The pre-industrial mean of the same variable is 26 % higher in CMIP7 (0.0135, derived from the historical 1850–2021) than CMIP6 (0.0107, derived from the historical 1850–2014 mean). Using a reduced-complexity climate model, we simulate a global mean surface temperature that is 0.07 °C colder for 1850–1900 when using the CMIP7 dataset instead of CMIP6, whereas 2000–2014 is 0.03 °C warmer in CMIP7. Our dataset also exhibits lower forcing for 1960–1980, resulting in temperatures 0.06 °C warmer when averaged over 1960–1990, a period for which CMIP6 climate models exhibit a cold bias. Given the large uncertainties characterizing the dataset, in particular for the pre-satellite era, we advise against treating the CMIP7 or CMIP6 dataset as uniquely superior for any specific year and highlight the need for further evaluation. We conclude the study by discussing sources of uncertainty for the dataset, future research avenues to improve it, as well as requirements to operationalize the production of the dataset, i.e. extend it and update it on an annual basis instead of every 5–7 years following CMIP cycles.

Aubry, Thomas J. [Univ. of Exeter, Devon (United K↗

NASA NTRS1972

Control of an artificial infrared environment to simulate complex, time varying orbital conditions

A computer-controlled infrared simulation system has recently been developed for thermal vacuum ground testing of spacecraft in the Space Environment Simulation Laboratory of the NASA Manned Spacecraft Center. The system can simultaneously follow as many as 30 separate time-varying intensity profiles for irradiation of different areas of a test spacecraft, producing an environment that more closely resembles the changing conditions experienced by an orbiting spacecraft. A description of the hardware is included, but emphasis is placed upon computer techniques that have been developed to maximize the capabilities of the control system within the constraints imposed by a limited computer capability. Among the topics discussed are open-loop control, closed-loop control, manual alteration of profiles, compensation for slow response of the radiation source, and compensation for interacting control zones. Examples of typical results obtained using the control system are also presented.

Dewey, R. L.↗

NASA NTRS1971

Effect of 90-day continuous exposure to methylisobutylketone on dogs, monkeys and rats

Continuous exposure of rats, dogs and monkeys to 410 mg/cu M methylisobutylketone vapor (MIBK) was conducted to evaluate the provisional spacecraft exposure limit of 20 ppm established by the Space Science Board in 1968. The exposure, conducted in a simulated space cabin environment, did not produce any measurable changes in dogs or monkeys. Rats developed hyaline droplet nephrosis within 2 weeks of exposure which was reversible upon removal from the MIBK even after 90 days. The data obtained indicated that the 60-minute emergency exposure limit of 100 ppm and the 90- and 1000-day provisional limits as established by the Space Science Board contain a wide margin of safety.

Macewen, J. D.↗

NASA NTRS1973

Nature and origin of layered deposits of the Martian polar regions.

Layered deposits in the polar regions of Mars may be formed from fine dust ultimately derived from the canyons and other eroded terrains of the equatorial regions. An analysis of dust deposition in the area of annual frost cover predicts the formation of vast featureless domed plateaus underlaid by layered deposits of dust. Television observations suggest that these plateaus once existed, but they have now been dissected and stripped from most of the area of annual frost cover. A possible explanation is that a major secular change has occurred in the erosional environment of the Martian polar regions. Estimates of depositional rates of dust under current atmospheric conditions place the time span represented by the accumulation of layered deposits at about 500 m.y. Because of erosion, the present surface appears very young and lacks any impact craters. The present rate of water ice accumulation in the area of perennial frost is comparable to that of dust, and thus it is suggested that large quantities of water ice may be trapped with dust beneath the perennial frost caps.

Cutts, J. A.↗

NASA NTRS1974

Gas exchange and the coagulation system of the blood during the effect on the body of high concentrations of oxygen and carbon dioxide

Maximum permissible concentrations of oxygen and carbon dioxide in a controlled atmosphere were determined by evaluating their effects on human gas exchange, blood coagulation, and tolerances to acute hypoxia, acceleration, and physical loads. It was found that functional disturbances depend on the concentration of respiratory gases and the length of stay in an altered atmosphere. By changing the atmospheric composition and by bringing the gaseous environment into accordance with the work and rest regimen and energy expenditures, the general reactivity of the body changes favorably.

Palosh, L.↗

NASA NTRS1974

Skylab crew health and changes related to space flight

All three manned Skylab missions were supported by a cadre of medical personnel who were responsible not only for the management and conduct of the medical experiments but also for the operational planning and crew health. The day-to-day medical care of the crewmen and their families was left to a team of flight surgeons who were responsible for the health care during all phases of the mission, as well as the development and use of the inflight medical support system. The preventive medicine aspects of the preflight and postflight health stabilization program are discussed. The clinical problems encountered are identified and the significance of these medical entities are reviewed. The inflight physiological changes of a clinical nature are discussed in light of the significance of these changes as result of the space environment.

Hawkins, W. R.↗

NASA NTRS1976

Self-contained constant-temperature heat absorber

System maintains precise thermal control of heat producing component, is not affected by changes in external pressure, ambient thermal environment, or gravity, and operates in both static and spinning attitudes. Size of device's spin axis-oriented orifice determines container pressure which establishes boiling temperature of heat absorption medium.

Lopez, R. W.↗

NASA NTRS1977

Biorhythms and space experiments with nonhuman primates

Man's response to exposure to spaceflight and weightlessness is expressed in physiological adjustments which involve his health and ability to function. The amplitude and periodicity of fluctuations in biological processes affect various functions and responses to provocative stimuli. Primates and other species are subjected to tests to determine the consequences of an altered biorhythm on work and performance, emotional stability, biomedical evaluation in space, the ability to cope with the unexpected, and susceptibility to infection, toxicity, radiation, drugs, and stress. Factors in the environment or operational setup which can change the physiological baseline must be determined and controlled.

Winget, C. M.↗

NASA NTRS1978

Effect of steady flight loads on JT9D-7 performance deterioration

Short term engine deterioration occurs in less than 250 flights on a new engine and in the first flights following engine repair; while long term deterioration involves primarily hot section distress and compression system losses which occur at a somewhat slower rate. The causes for short-term deterioration are associated with clearance changes which occur in the flight environment. Analytical techniques utilized to examine the effects of flight loads and engine operating conditions on performance deterioration are presented. The role of gyroscopic, gravitational, and aerodynamic loads are discussed along with the effect of variations in engine build clearances. These analytical results are compared to engine test data along with the correlation between analytically predicted and measured clearances and rub patterns. Conclusions are drawn and important issues are discussed.

Jay, A.↗

NASA NTRS1978

Role of back stress in the creep behavior of particle strengthened alloys

Recent developments in the interpolation of high-temperature steady-state creep results have introduced the concept that the stress dependence of the creep rate should be in terms of the effective stress referred to as the applied stress minus a back stress. This paper reports on back stresses taken from data on a gamma-prime-strengthened wrought nickel-base superalloy, an oxide dispersion-strengthened ODS nickel-base solid solution alloy, and an ODS nickel-base superalloy. The effect of air versus vacuum environments and the effect of dynamic changes in the strengthening microstructures on the magnitude of the back stress are assessed. The role of modulus normalization and the back stress correction in determining the true creep activation energy are examined. It is shown that the high values of the apparent stress exponent 'n' of the steady-state creep equation can be easily explained through a relationship between n, the true stress exponent of steady-state creep, and the stress which when subtracted from the applied stress results in the effective driving stress acting on the mobile dislocations during creep.

Purushothaman, S.↗

NASA NTRS1978

Catalysts for electrochemical generation of oxygen

Single crystal surfaces of platinum and gold and transition metal oxides of the spinel type were studied to find more effective catalysts for the electrolytic evolution of oxygen and to understand the mechanism and kinetics for the electrocatalysis in relation to the surface electronic and lattice properties of the catalyst. The single crystal studies involve the use of low energy electron diffraction (LEED) and Auger electron spectroscopy as complementary tools to the electrochemical measurements. Modifications to the transfer system and to the thin-layer electrochemical cell used to facilitate the transfer between the ultrahigh vacuum environment of the electron surface physics equipment and the electrochemical environment with a minimal possibility of changes in the surface structure, are described. The electrosorption underpotential deposition of Pb onto the Au(111), (100) and (110) single crystal surfaces with the thin-layer cell-LEED-Auger system is discussed as well as the synthesis of spinels for oxygen evolution studies.

Hagans, P.↗

NASA NTRS1980

The National Transonic Facility - Status and operational planning

The National Transonic Facility is scheduled to be completed in 1982. Several technical concerns remain, including thermal stress constraints which may limit the rate at which temperatures can be changed, seal performance in the cryogenic environment, and the tunnel process controls which could affect data acquisition rate. The current design affords the capability of dealing with all these concerns if they become problems. The outstanding instrument need is a real-time model surface deformation measurement system. Finally, an examination of the occupancy cost and the cost of liquid nitrogen for high Reynolds number tests indicates that operating costs should not be an inhibiting factor in the use of the facility.

Howell, R. R.↗

NASA NTRS1980

A contribution to the knowledge of HMX decomposition and application of results

The decomposition of cyclotramethylenetetranitramine (HMX) in the solid and liquid phase was studied by isothermal and nonisothermal heating at atmospheric pressure. Decomposition rates of solid HMX changed with sample size and gaseous environment. Kinetic parameters were obtained from weight loss measurements in the temperature range 229 C - 269 C. These tests also yielded highly porous solid residues. Qualitative aspects of solid and liquid phase decomposition of HMX with additives were also investigated in isothermal and nonisothermal tests.

Kraeutle, K. J.↗

NASA NTRS1982

Neurochemical background and approaches in the understanding of motion sickness

The problems and nature of space motion sickness were defined. The neurochemical and neurophysiological bases of vestibular system function and of the expression of motion sickness wre reviewed. Emphasis was given to the elucidation of the neuropharmacological mechanisms underlying the effects of scopolamine and amphetamine on motion sickness. Characterization of the ascending reticular activating system and the limbic system provided clues to the etiology of the side effects of scopolamine. The interrelationship between central cholinergic pathways and the peripheral (autonomic) expression of motion sickness was described. A correlation between the stress of excessive motion and a variety of hormonal responses to that stress was also detailed. The cholinergic system is involved in the efferent modulation of the vestibular hair cells, as an afferent modulator of the vestibular nuclei, in the activation of cortical and limbic structures, in the expression of motion sickness symptoms and most likely underscores a number of the hormonal changes that occur in stressful motion environments. The role of lecithin in the regulation of the levels of neurotransmitters was characterized as a possible means by which cholinergic neurochemistry can be modulated.

Kohl, R. L.↗

NASA NTRS1983

The response of vegetation to geochemical conditions

An understanding of the factors of vegetation response to changes in the geochemistry of the environment may give exploration geologists and other researchers an additional and effective tool for rock type discrimination. The factors of vegetation response can be grouped into three principal categories: structural or morphological factors, taxonomic factors which include indicator flora as well as vegetation assemblages, and spectral factors which represent the manner in which the vegetation interacts with electromagnetic radiation. The response of these factors over areas of anomalous mineralization is often unique and may be due to nutrient deficiencies and/or imbalances, toxicity and stress caused by anomalous mineral concentrations in the soil, low water retention, and plant competition. The successful use of geobotanical techniques results from the integration of the geobotanical observations with other techniques. The use of remote sensing in such a program must be predicated on those factors which can be discriminated within the constraints of the spatial, spectral, radiometric, and temporal resolutions of the sensing system and with appropriate analytical techniques.

Mouat, D. A.↗

NASA NTRS1989

TRUSS: An intelligent design system for aircraft wings

Competitive leadership in the international marketplace, superiority in national defense, excellence in productivity, and safety of both private and public systems are all national defense goals which are dependent on superior engineering design. In recent years, it has become more evident that early design decisions are critical, and when only based on performance often result in products which are too expensive, hard to manufacture, or unsupportable. Better use of computer-aided design tools and information-based technologies is required to produce better quality United States products. A program is outlined here to explore the use of knowledge based expert systems coupled with numerical optimization, database management techniques, and designer interface methods in a networked design environment to improve and assess design changes due to changing emphasis or requirements. The initial structural design of a tiltrotor aircraft wing is used as a representative example to demonstrate the approach being followed.

Bates, Preston R.↗

NASA NTRS1989

The physics of positively biased conductors surrounded by dielectrics in contact with a plasma

The physics of a positively biased conductor surrounded by dielectrics in contact with plasma is investigated. It is shown that because of the presence of secondary emission from the surrounding dielectrics, the voltage of the surfaces near the conductor has three solutions. The high- and low-voltage solutions are stable, while the intermediate-voltage solution is unstable. This theory is applied to explain the snapover effect observed on high-voltage solar arrays that involve the use of highly biased surfaces in contact with the space environment.

Hastings, Daniel E.↗

NASA NTRS1989

Design of a Thermal and Micrometeorite Protection System for an Unmanned Lunar Cargo Lander

The first vehicles to land on the lunar surface during the establishment phase of a lunar base will be unmanned lunar cargo landers. These landers will need to be protected against the hostile lunar environment for six to twelve months until the next manned mission arrives. The lunar environment is characterized by large temperature changes and periodic micrometeorite impacts. An automatically deployable and reconfigurable thermal and micrometeorite protection system was designed for an unmanned lunar cargo lander. The protection system is a lightweight multilayered material consisting of alternating layers of thermal and micrometeorite protection material. The protection system is packaged and stored above the lander common module. After landing, the system is deployed to cover the lander using a system of inflatable struts that are inflated using residual fuel (liquid oxygen) from the fuel tanks. Once the lander is unloaded and the protection system is no longer needed, the protection system is reconfigured as a regolith support blanket for the purpose of burying and protecting the common module, or as a lunar surface garage that can be used to sort and store lunar surface vehicles and equipment. A model showing deployment and reconfiguration of the protection system was also constructed.

Hernandez, Carlos A.↗