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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2022

Thermodynamically consistent versions of approximations used in modelling moist air

Abstract Some existing approaches to modelling the thermodynamics of moist air make approximations that break thermodynamic consistency , such that the resulting thermodynamics does not obey the first and second laws or has other inconsistencies. Recently, an approach to avoid such inconsistency has been suggested: the use of thermodynamic potentials in terms of their natural variables , from which all thermodynamic quantities and relationships (equations of state) are derived. In this article, we develop this approach for unapproximated moist‐air thermodynamics and two widely used approximations: the constant‐ approximation and the dry heat capacities approximation. The (consistent) constant‐ approximation is particularly attractive because it leads to, with the appropriate choice of thermodynamic variable, adiabatic dynamics that depend only on total mass and are independent of the breakdown between water forms. Additionally, a wide variety of material from different sources in the literature on thermodynamics in atmospheric modelling is brought together. It is hoped that this article provides a comprehensive reference for the use of thermodynamic potentials in atmospheric modelling, especially for the three systems considered here.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Improving the performance of medical imaging applications using SYCL

As opposed to the Open Computing Language (OpenCL) programming model, in which host and device codes are generally written in different programming languages, SYCL can combine host and device codes for an application in a type-safe way to improve development productivity and performance portability. Hence, this report shows the experimental results of applying the SYCL programming model to medical imaging applications for a study on performance portability and programming productivity between OpenCL and SYCL. Rodinia is a widely used open-source benchmark suite for heterogeneous computing. We choose two medical imaging applications (Heart Wall and Particle Filter) in the benchmark suite, migrate the OpenCL implementations of the applications to the SYCL implementations, and evaluate their performance and productivity on Intel® microprocessors that contain a central processing unit (CPU) and an integrated graphics processing unit (GPU). The maturing SYCL compilers, which are based on a conformant implementation of the SYCL 1.2.1 Khronos specification, have been actively optimized for Intel® computing platforms. The experimental results are promising in terms of the raw performance and productivity. Although the SYCL implementation of the Heart Wall application does not execute successfully on a CPU, the SYCL implementations of the application can achieve comparable or better performance than the OpenCL implementation on Intel® integrated GPUs. For the Particle Filter application, the performance difference between the SYCL and OpenCL implementations is comparable on the GPUs for most cases, but the SYCL implementations are on average 4X faster than the OpenCL implementations on Intel® Xeon® CPUs. For programming productivity, we arguably use lines of code as a way to measure programming productivity in software. The SYCL programs reduce the lines of code of the OpenCL programs by 52% and 38% for the Heart Wall and Particle Filter, respectively. The results indicate that SYCL is a promising programming model for heterogeneous computing with the maturing compilers. We organize the remainder of the report as follows. Section II introduces the SYCL programming model, compares the major differences between an OpenCL program and a SYCL program, and describes the characteristics of the two applications. Section III describes the SYCL programming model in more details, and shows the SYCL implementation of a kernel function in the Particle Filter application as an example. In Section IV, we evaluate the performance of the applications on the CPUs and GPUs. Section V concludes the report.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Robust constrained tension control for high-precision roll-to-roll processes

Tension control is critical for maintaining good product quality in most roll-to-roll (R2R) production systems. Previous work has primarily focused on improving the disturbance rejection performance of tension controllers. Here, a robust linear parameter-varying model predictive control (LPV-MPC) scheme is designed to enhance the tension tracking performance of a pilot R2R system for deposition of materials used in flexible thin film applications. The performance of a tension controller may degrade due to disturbances associated with model uncertainties and the slowly-changing dynamics in R2R systems. We introduce a method that separately treats these two sources of disturbance. The controller utilizes an incremental model to eliminate the errors caused by the mismatch between the nominal model and the actual system. A tube-based MPC formulation combined with scheduled parameters adequately updates models and corrects for the time-varying dynamics. Constraints on the rated motor torque are incorporated in the MPC to maintain the controller reliability and avoid machine failures. We illustrate the operation of our control algorithm through simulation of an actual R2R system. The controller outperforms the benchmarks in terms of fast transient response and offset-free tension tracking. Furthermore, it also demonstrates immunity from variations due to parametric uncertainties.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2026

Comparing Synoptic Pattern Evolution for Flash‐Flood‐Producing and Non‐Flash‐Flood‐Producing Mesoscale Convective Systems in the United States

Understanding how the short-term evolution of synoptic weather patterns influence Mesoscale Convective Systems (MCSs) is essential, as these systems are responsible for over half of central U.S. flash floods, leading to substantial socioeconomic and water resource management impacts. This study analyzes long-term MCS data, flash flood reports, and atmospheric reanalyses from 2007 to 2017 using a machine learning clustering algorithm to examine how the synoptic weather patterns evolve prior to MCS initiation. While the clusters reflect seasonal and regional differences in MCS occurrence, they do not consistently distinguish between MCSs that do and do not produce flash floods. Systems in the southern Great Plains are more flood-prone when a synoptic-scale forcing, located near the system, drives strong water vapor transport from the nearby moisture source. More generally under different synoptic weather patterns, a broader precipitating area is the most dominant factor governing MCS flash flood potential.

atmospheric dynamics↗
DOE OSTI2021

Accurate frozen core approximation for all-electron density-functional theory

We implement and benchmark the frozen core approximation, a technique commonly adopted in electronic structure theory to reduce the computational cost by means of mathematically fixing the chemically inactive core electron states. The accuracy and efficiency of this approach are well controlled by a single parameter, the number of frozen orbitals. Explicit corrections for the frozen core orbitals and the unfrozen valence orbitals are introduced, safeguarding against seemingly minor numerical deviations from the assumed orthonormality conditions of the basis functions. A speedup of over twofold can be achieved for the diagonalization step in all-electron density-functional theory simulations containing heavy elements, without any accuracy degradation in terms of the electron density, total energy, and atomic forces. This is demonstrated in a benchmark study covering 103 materials across the Periodic Table and a large-scale simulation of CsPbBr3 with 2560 atoms. Our study provides a rigorous benchmark of the precision of the frozen core approximation (sub-meV per atom for frozen core orbitals below −200 eV) for a wide range of test cases and for chemical elements ranging from Li to Po. The algorithms discussed here are implemented in the open-source Electronic Structure Infrastructure software package.

Yu, Victor Wen-zhe↗
DOE OSTI2024

Systems Analysis and Engineering of Biofuel Production in Chromochloris zofingiensis , an Emerging Model Green Alga

As a core component of a sustainable bioeconomy, microalgae have the potential to become a major source of biofuels and bioproducts. These photosynthetic microbes utilize solar energy, grow quickly, consume CO 2 , and can be cultivated on non-arable land. However, there are presently considerable practical limitations in the photosynthetic production of biofuels from microalgae, resulting in low productivity and high costs. Algae are a strikingly diverse group and understudied algae can reveal new opportunities for biofuels. Integrative systems biology and engineering of emerging model systems are needed to expand the possibilities of microbial production of biofuels and bioproducts. Our long-term goal is to design and engineer high-level production of biofuel precursors in microalgae.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Climate adaptation and sustainability in switchgrass: exploring plant-microbe-soil interactions across continental scale environmental gradients

Less carbon-intensive energy sources are needed to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and their predicted role in climate change. There is growing interest in the potential of biofuels for meeting this need. A critical question is whether large-scale biofuel production can be sustainable over the time scales needed to mitigate our carbon debt from fossil fuel consumption. The carbon balance and ultimately the sustainability of biofuel feedstock production is the result of complex climate-coupled interactions between carbon fixation, sequestration, and release through combustion. Similarly, the long-term productivity of biofuels depends on the environmental factors limiting plant growth. These factors are often related to soil resources which involve complex interactions at the plant-microbe-soil interface impacting their availability and cycling. Our collaborative project addressed sustainable switchgrass (Panicum virgatum) production by exploring Plant Systems, Plant-Microbiome Interactions, and Ecosystem Processes through the integrating lens of Multi-Scale Modeling. Our research was based on detailed characterization of genetically diverse switchgrass genotypes planted in common gardens across a continental latitudinal gradient. The underlying theme of our Plant Systems research was the use of locally adapted plant material to explore plant function, to understand the mechanistic basis of environmental interactions, and to discover the plant genes important for adaptation and sustainability in the face of climate change. Our Plant-Microbiome Interaction project characterized the microbial communities associated with switchgrass using genomic tools. Our Ecosystem Processes research focused on carbon cycle responses at the ecosystem level using stand level plantings. Finally, our Multi-Scale Modeling helped to define conditions of a sustainable biofuel system and identify key tradeoffs between genetic diversity, productivity, and ecosystem services. Genome-wide association analyses were used to identify alleles that contribute to successful establishment and biomass production across North America. Together, our work provided a baseline analyses of the potential of switchgrass as a biofuel feedstock. Our project resulted in a number of successful outcomes. First, we were successful in collecting switchgrass germplasm across the species range, propagating the material, and establishing common garden experiments across the species range. In collaboration with DOE JGI, we successfully assembled the first tetraploid switchgrass genome and published this resource with an analyses of the genetic basis local adaptation from our gardens (Lowry et al. 2019, Lovell et al. 2021). The gardens were used to characterize the genetic architecture for a number of important plant phenotypes. Our project also conducted extensive sampling and sequencing to characterize the bacterial and fungal associates of switchgrass roots and leaves. We showed that host genotype, location, and harvesting practices can play a role in microbiome assembly (Singer et al. 2019 & 2022, Van Wallendael et al. 2020 & 2022, Edwards et al. 2023). Our ecosystem processes work created baseline dataset of carbon and nutrient cycling in realistic stand plantings of switchgrass. Data from this experiment provided new insight into the role of plant traits, phenology, and local environments in ecosystem processes like soil respiration, net-ecosystem exchange, and dynamics of soil and plant nutrients (Ricketts et al. 2023). Finally, our crop modelling experiments help to characterize the sensitivity of common modeling frameworks to parameters, identify key limiters of productivity across large geographic scales, and leverage patterns of local adaptation in prediction. Ultimately, these studies help to identify critical plant-microbe-soil traits that may be manipulated, through breeding or agronomic management, to improve the sustainability of biofuel feedstocks.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Feasibility of Isotopically Tailored Low Activation Materials

Materials employed in future fusion reactors and advanced fission reactors are susceptible to activation and transmutation due to fast neutron flux, which drives the need for Low Activation Materials for survivability, maintenance, and long-term disposal considerations. This paper investigates the feasibility of using ORNL’s planned enrichment technologies to produce isotopically enriched or depleted materials for use in future reactor construction. We focus on identifying isotopes of interest and performing estimates of the required scale of enrichment to impact future design and operation.

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

Nuclear Structure Studies for Schiff Moment Enhancement

One of the major open questions in modern physics is the origin of the matter-antimatter asymmetry observed in the universe. While the Standard Model contains sources of charge-parity (CP) violation, they appear insufficient to explain the observed dominance of matter over antimatter. As a result, searches for additional sources of CP violation are an important area of contemporary nuclear and particle physics. Atomic electric dipole moments (EDMs) provide sensitive probes of CP-violating interactions. In heavy nuclei, the observable atomic EDM can be enhanced through the presence of a nuclear Schiff moment, which arises from CP-violating nuclear forces and nuclear structure effects. The review paper Nuclear Schiff Moments and CP Violation by Jonathan Engel provides an overview of the theoretical framework connecting CP violation, nuclear structure, and Schiff moments. The long-term goal of this project is to contribute to the identification and characterization of nuclei that may exhibit enhanced Schiff moments. Such nuclei are often associated with strong octupole correlations or low-energy parity-doublet structures that can amplify CP-violating effects. This report summarizes progress made during the initial phase of the project, including a survey of candidate isotopes and preparation for nuclear-structure calculations using the HFODD code.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2021

A Three-dimensional Map of the Heliosphere from IBEX

The Interstellar Boundary Explorer (IBEX) mission has shown that variations in the energetic neutral atom (ENA) flux from the outer heliosphere are associated with the solar cycle and longer-term variations in the solar wind (SW). In particular, there is a good correlation between the dynamic pressure of the outbound SW and variations in the later-observed IBEX ENA flux. The time difference between observations of the outbound SW and the heliospheric ENAs with which they correlate ranges from approximately 2 to 6 yr or more, depending on ENA energy and look direction. This time difference can be used as a means of "sounding" the heliosheath, that is, finding the average distance to the ENA source region in a particular direction. Here, we apply this method to build a 3D map of the heliosphere. We use IBEX ENA data collected over a complete solar cycle, from 2009 through 2019, corrected for survival probability to the inner heliosphere. Here we divide the data into 56 "macropixels" covering the entire sky. As each point in the sky is sampled once every 6 months, this gives us a time series of 22 points macropixel –1 on which to time-correlate. Consistent with prior studies and heliospheric models, we find that the shortest distance to the heliopause, d HP , is slightly south of the nose direction (d HP ~ 110–120 au), with a flaring toward the flanks and poles (d HP ~ 160–180 au). The heliosphere extends at least ~350 au tailward, which is the distance limit of the technique.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Global Methane Budget 2000–2020

Abstract. Understanding and quantifying the global methane (CH4) budget is important for assessing realistic pathways to mitigate climate change. CH4 is the second most important human-influenced greenhouse gas in terms of climate forcing after carbon dioxide (CO2), and both emissions and atmospheric concentrations of CH4 have continued to increase since 2007 after a temporary pause. The relative importance of CH4 emissions compared to those of CO2 for temperature change is related to its shorter atmospheric lifetime, stronger radiative effect, and acceleration in atmospheric growth rate over the past decade, the causes of which are still debated. Two major challenges in quantifying the factors responsible for the observed atmospheric growth rate arise from diverse, geographically overlapping CH4 sources and from the uncertain magnitude and temporal change in the destruction of CH4 by short-lived and highly variable hydroxyl radicals (OH). To address these challenges, we have established a consortium of multidisciplinary scientists under the umbrella of the Global Carbon Project to improve, synthesise, and update the global CH4 budget regularly and to stimulate new research on the methane cycle. Following Saunois et al. (2016, 2020), we present here the third version of the living review paper dedicated to the decadal CH4 budget, integrating results of top-down CH4 emission estimates (based on in situ and Greenhouse Gases Observing SATellite (GOSAT) atmospheric observations and an ensemble of atmospheric inverse-model results) and bottom-up estimates (based on process-based models for estimating land surface emissions and atmospheric chemistry, inventories of anthropogenic emissions, and data-driven extrapolations). We present a budget for the most recent 2010–2019 calendar decade (the latest period for which full data sets are available), for the previous decade of 2000–2009 and for the year 2020. The revision of the bottom-up budget in this 2025 edition benefits from important progress in estimating inland freshwater emissions, with better counting of emissions from lakes and ponds, reservoirs, and streams and rivers. This budget also reduces double counting across freshwater and wetland emissions and, for the first time, includes an estimate of the potential double counting that may exist (average of 23 Tg CH4 yr−1). Bottom-up approaches show that the combined wetland and inland freshwater emissions average 248 [159–369] Tg CH4 yr−1 for the 2010–2019 decade. Natural fluxes are perturbed by human activities through climate, eutrophication, and land use. In this budget, we also estimate, for the first time, this anthropogenic component contributing to wetland and inland freshwater emissions. Newly available gridded products also allowed us to derive an almost complete latitudinal and regional budget based on bottom-up approaches. For the 2010–2019 decade, global CH4 emissions are estimated by atmospheric inversions (top-down) to be 575 Tg CH4 yr−1 (range 553–586, corresponding to the minimum and maximum estimates of the model ensemble). Of this amount, 369 Tg CH4 yr−1 or ∼ 65 % is attributed to direct anthropogenic sources in the fossil, agriculture, and waste and anthropogenic biomass burning (range 350–391 Tg CH4 yr−1 or 63 %–68 %). For the 2000–2009 period, the atmospheric inversions give a slightly lower total emission than for 2010–2019, by 32 Tg CH4 yr−1 (range 9–40). The 2020 emission rate is the highest of the period and reaches 608 Tg CH4 yr−1 (range 581–627), which is 12 % higher than the average emissions in the 2000s. Since 2012, global direct anthropogenic CH4 emission trends have been tracking scenarios that assume no or minimal climate mitigation policies proposed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (shared socio-economic pathways SSP5 and SSP3). Bottom-up methods suggest 16 % (94 Tg CH4 yr−1) larger global emissions (669 Tg CH4 yr−1, range 512–849) than top-down inversion methods for the 2010–2019 period. The discrepancy between the bottom-up and the top-down budgets has been greatly reduced compared to the previous differences (167 and 156 Tg CH4 yr−1 in Saunois et al. (2016, 2020) respectively), and for the first time uncertainties in bottom-up and top-down budgets overlap. Although differences have been reduced between inversions and bottom-up, the most important source of uncertainty in the global CH4 budget is still attributable to natural emissions, especially those from wetlands and inland freshwaters. The tropospheric loss of methane, as the main contributor to methane lifetime, has been estimated at 563 [510–663] Tg CH4 yr−1 based on chemistry–climate models. These values are slightly larger than for 2000–2009 due to the impact of the rise in atmospheric methane and remaining large uncertainty (∼ 25 %). The total sink of CH4 is estimated at 633 [507–796] Tg CH4 yr−1 by the bottom-up approaches and at 554 [550–567] Tg CH4 yr−1 by top-down approaches. However, most of the top-down models use the same OH distribution, which introduces less uncertainty to the global budget than is likely justified. For 2010–2019, agriculture and waste contributed an estimated 228 [213–242] Tg CH4 yr−1 in the top-down budget and 211 [195–231] Tg CH4 yr−1 in the bottom-up budget. Fossil fuel emissions contributed 115 [100–124] Tg CH4 yr−1 in the top-down budget and 120 [117–125] Tg CH4 yr−1 in the bottom-up budget. Biomass and biofuel burning contributed 27 [26–27] Tg CH4 yr−1 in the top-down budget and 28 [21–39] Tg CH4 yr−1 in the bottom-up budget. We identify five major priorities for improving the CH4 budget: (i) producing a global, high-resolution map of water-saturated soils and inundated areas emitting CH4 based on a robust classification of different types of emitting ecosystems; (ii) further development of process-based models for inland-water emissions; (iii) intensification of CH4 observations at local (e.g. FLUXNET-CH4 measurements, urban-scale monitoring, satellite imagery with pointing capabilities) to regional scales (surface networks and global remote sensing measurements from satellites) to constrain both bottom-up models and atmospheric inversions; (iv) improvements of transport models and the representation of photochemical sinks in top-down inversions; and (v) integration of 3D variational inversion systems using isotopic and/or co-emitted species such as ethane as well as information in the bottom-up inventories on anthropogenic super-emitters detected by remote sensing (mainly oil and gas sector but also coal, agriculture, and landfills) to improve source partitioning. The data presented here can be downloaded from https://doi.org/10.18160/GKQ9-2RHT (Martinez et al., 2024).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

1.2.2.405 HydroWIRES Topic D1: Capacity Expansion Model (CEM) Enhancements

Long-term grid planning tools have difficulty representing detailed hydropower operating characteristics, which depend not only on technological specifications but also on water management practices and regulations. As a result, the value of hydropower is incompletely characterized, and the potential role of hydropower in the performance and resiliency of the future electric grid is not fully understood. This work will fill that gap by developing new ways to represent hydropower resource, technology, and operational characteristics in electric sector capacity expansion models and implementing them in the open-source version of the National Renewable Energy Laboratory's Regional Energy Deployment System (ReEDS) model. ReEDS is a well-established national scale grid planning tool used since 2003 by the U.S. Department of Energy and others to explore the evolution of the U.S. electric sector. Improvements will include a comprehensive national resource assessment for pumped storage hydropower and methods for modeling multiple hydropower technology categories characterized by technical, regulatory, and economic characteristics. The project will provide guiding principles and strategies for improving hydropower modeling in capacity expansion models and deliver a first-of-its kind versatile PSH dataset. All data, code, and methods will be publicly available, allowing the industry to better identify the value of hydropower in the future electricity system and make more informed planning decisions.

capacity expansion↗
DOE OSTI2021

Redefining Net-Zero Water for Resilient Aquifers

Groundwater has long been a critical source of potable water, supplying one-third of all global water withdrawals and providing strategic reserves in times of drought (Konikow, 2012; Famiglietti, 2014). The risk in relying on groundwater is that it is often pumped at rates far greater than it can be naturally replenished. With increasing population and a changing climate, the depletion of potable water supplies has become an ever-growing concern (Srinivasan et al., 2012). Recently, the concept of “resilience” has been applied to groundwater, leaving many questions to be explored in terms of what resilience should mean for aquifers (Foster and MacDonald, 2014; Grönwall and Oduro-Kwarteng, 2017). The term is commonly used to indicate resilience to impacts of climate change specifically, but here we consider resilience in the context of more general water insecurity. Relatedly, the concept of “sustainable yield” has emerged in an attempt to determine a metric that can ensure the long-term resilience of groundwater systems, but the definition is fraught with inherent uncertainties and its quantification poses challenges (Rudestam and Langridge, 2014; Grönwall and Oduro-Kwarteng, 2017). At the heart of these concepts is a focus on sustainable management of aquifers. A sustainable approach to managing groundwater resources usually involves balancing long-term abstraction with the long-term recharge taking into account the needs for environmental flows and implementing drought-preparedness measures (Robins et al. 2006; Foster and MacDonald, 2014). At a high level, a sustainable balance of groundwater abstraction versus aquifer recharge may be considered “Net Zero” (NZ) or “Net Positive” (NP) in cases where recharge is equal to or in excess of abstraction, respectively. However, NZ/NP water management programs that address these concerns have varied definitions of compliance, which include considerations for the application at hand (ILFI, 2020; USGBC, 2020). Locations with high risk of low or poor water supply may be particularly interested in pursuing NZ/NP water. The AQUEDUCT Water Risk Atlas (World Resources Institute, 2019) indicates long-term availability, providing risk levels for quantity and quality of water at specific locations across the globe, for existing and predicted future conditions. This paper follows the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Federal Energy Management Program (FEMP) NZ water definition adopted by the U.S. Army for use at their installations, including Army Reserve Centers (ARCs). This definition also relates to the U.S. Army’s current focus on water resilience, which includes short-term and long-term availability of water resources.

net zero water, HUC12, Saipan, American Samoa, Mau↗
DOE OSTI2020

Hydraulic characterization of a fault zone from fracture distribution

A quantitative assessment of how faults control the migration of geofluids is critical in many areas of geosciences. Here we integrated geological fieldwork, quantitative analysis of the fractures distribution and numerical modeling to build a geometrical representation of a fault zone and to characterize its hydraulic properties. Our target is a fault located in the Majella Mountain (Italy). We collected 21 scan lines across the fault profile in order to characterize its architecture. The numerical modeling of the fracture network of the damage zones and their hydraulic parameters was performed using both commercial (Move ® ) and open source software (dfnWorks and PFLOTRAN). Move ® was used to build a representative model of the fault zone using fracture spacing as a proxy, and to model the hydraulic parameters of the different fault domains. dfnWorks and PFLOTRAN were employed to infer the hydraulic parameters of the damage zones of the fault and then upscale these properties to an equivalent continuum domain, suitable for fluid flow simulations through the whole fault zone. Our findings show how even in a relatively small area it is possible to describe changes in terms of hydraulic properties of a fault zone and to build models capable to represent these variations.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Physics-informed graph neural networks for predicting cetane number with systematic data quality analysis

Designing alternative fuels for advanced compression ignition engines necessitates a predictive model for cetane number (CN). In this study, the physics-informed graph neural networks are introduced for a reliable CN prediction by considering molecular features pertinent to the physical properties of molecules that affect CN. The reliability of measured data is another key factor to consider for improving the predictive model. Various experimental instruments for measuring CN exist, including standard and non-standard methods. In this regard, a systematic data quality analysis was carried out for the total 630 CNs collected from literature and new measurements in this study using Advanced Fuel Ignition Delay Analyzer (AFIDA). The results from this data curation process were reflected in the model by imposing lower sample weights on the data coming from less reliable measurement techniques. This approach effectively maximized the prediction accuracy while incorporating data from all available sources. Using the sample weights decreased the mean absolute error (MAE) up to 0.8 CN units. The accuracy was also improved by introducing the CN-related physical properties (the number of hydrogen bond donors and acceptors); the test set MAE is 5.74 and 7.01 for the model with and without such properties, respectively. Investigating molecular structural effects on CN was also carried out to gain chemical insights into factors used to design new fuel candidates. The dimensionality reduction analysis of feature vectors showed a clear clustering in terms of functional groups and CN and the structural effect derived from the model was consistent with the physicochemical insights. Finally, this physics-informed model and data curation would be helpful for accurate CN prediction and inform rational fuel design.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Prioritizing circular economy strategies for sustainable PV deployment at the TW scale

Global decarbonization requires an unprecedented scale-up of photovoltaic (PV) manufacturing and deployment. The material demand and eventual end of life management associated with multi-TW scale deployment poses many challenges. Circular Economy (CE) and it's associated R-Actions (Reduce, Reuse, Recycle) have been proposed to mitigate end of life management and material sourcing concerns. However, CE metrics typically focus on a single product and only consider mass, excluding energy flows. This work leverages the PV in Circular Economy (PV ICE) tool to quantify the deployment, mass, and energy impacts of R-Actions and proposed sustainable PV designs in the context of achieving energy transition deployment goals (75 TW in 2050). 13 module scenarios are established and evaluated across 6 capacity, mass and energy metrics to identify tradeoffs and priorities. We find that increasing module efficiency can reduce near-term material demands up to 30% and improve energy metrics by up to 9%. Material circularity (recycling) can minimize lifecycle wastes and reduce material demands at the cost of higher energy demands. Increasing module lifetime, including reliability improvements and reuse strategies, is effective at reducing both material (>10%) and energy demands (24%). Uniquely, lifetime improvements maximize benefits and minimize the harms across all six metrics while achieving multi-TW scale deployment.

Photovoltaics↗
DOE OSTI2020

The 2020 photovoltaic technologies roadmap

Over the past decade, the global cumulative installed photovoltaic (PV) capacity has grown exponentially, reaching 591 GW in 2019. Rapid progress was driven in large part by improvements in solar cell and module efficiencies, reduction in manufacturing costs and the realization of levelized costs of electricity that are now generally less than other energy sources and approaching similar costs with storage included. Given this success, it is a particularly fitting time to assess the state of the photovoltaics field and the technology milestones that must be achieved to maximize future impact and forward momentum. This roadmap outlines the critical areas of development in all of the major PV conversion technologies, advances needed to enable terawatt-scale PV installation, and cross-cutting topics on reliability, characterization, and applications. Each perspective provides a status update, summarizes the limiting immediate and long-term technical challenges and highlights breakthroughs that are needed to address them. In total, this roadmap is intended to guide researchers, funding agencies and industry in identifying the areas of development that will have the most impact on PV technology in the upcoming years.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Data Security Defense: Modeling and Detection of Synchrophasor Data Spoofing Attack for Grid Edge

Data security and cyberattack have become critical issues in the distributed power system where adversaries can swap the source information of sensors or even spoof and alter measurements. However, the cyber security of the power system is challenged by the unpredictability and stealth of the spoofing attacks. Here, to protect the data security at the grid edge, this paper developed a synchrophasor data spoofing attack detection framework based on the time-frequency feature extraction techniques including the short-time Fourier transform (STFT) and object detection network for real-time synchrophasor data categorization and spoofing attack localization. The proposed approach outperforms earlier work in terms of spoofing attack detection and offers a vital localization function employing distributed synchrophasor sensors.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗