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NASA NTRS2017

Large-Scale Traveling Weather Systems in Mars Southern Extratropics

Between late fall and early spring, Mars' middle- and high-latitude atmosphere supports strong mean equator-to-pole temperature contrasts and an accompanying mean westerly polar vortex. Observations from both the MGS Thermal Emission Spectrometer (TES) and the MRO Mars Climate Sounder (MCS) indicate that a mean baroclinicity-barotropicity supports intense, large-scale eastward traveling weather systems (i.e., transient synoptic-period waves). Such extratropical weather disturbances are critical components of the global circulation as they serve as agents in the transport of heat and momentum, and generalized scalar/tracer quantities (e.g., atmospheric dust, water-vapor and ice clouds). The character of such traveling extratropical synoptic disturbances in Mars' southern hemisphere during late winter through early spring is investigated using a moderately high-resolution Mars global climate model (Mars GCM). This Mars GCM imposes interactively-lifted and radiatively-active dust based on a threshold value of the surface stress. The model exhibits a reasonable "dust cycle" (i.e., globally averaged, a dustier atmosphere during southern spring and summer occurs). Compared to the northern-hemisphere counterparts, the southern synoptic-period weather disturbances and accompanying frontal waves have smaller meridional and zonal scales, and are far less intense. Influences of the zonally asymmetric (i.e., east-west varying) topography on southern large-scale weather are investigated, in addition to large-scale up-slope/down-slope flows and the diurnal cycle. A southern storm zone in late winter and early spring presents in the western hemisphere via orographic influences from the Tharsis highlands, and the Argyre and Hellas impact basins. Geographically localized transient-wave activity diagnostics are constructed that illuminate dynamical differences amongst the simulations and these are presented.

Hollingsworth, Jeffery L.↗
NASA NTRS2018

Test and Analysis of Full-Scale 27.5-Foot-Diameter Stiffened Metallic Launch Vehicle Cylinders

The Shell Buckling Knockdown Factor Project (SBKF) was established with the goal of developing improved (i.e., less-conservative, more robust) shell buckling knockdown factors (KDFs) for modern launch-vehicle structures. To this end, SBKF has engaged in several activities to support the development, validation, and implementation of the new design factors, including subscale and full-scale structural testing. Tests on eight different subscale, 8-foot-diameter, integrally stiffened aluminum-lithium 2195 (Al-Li 2195) cylinders were conducted in order to obtain the majority of the required validation data. In addition, two full-scale, 27.5-foot-diameter, Al-Li 2195, integrally stiffened cylinders were tested to provide additional validation data and to determine structural scaling trends. Presented herein are the details of a recent analysis model development and test and analysis correlation effort on the full-scale test articles. The effects of selected modeling assumptions and approaches are discussed, and results from a modeling sensitivity study are presented. It was found that simplified finite element models, that assume nominal test article geometry and material properties, can predict the overall response characteristics well. However, several discrepancies in the test and analysis results were observed. A sensitivity study was performed to determine the effects of several modeling assumptions and address the observed discrepancies. The results from the study indicated that the evolution of local skin pocket buckling and the presence of residual stresses due to the manufacturing process can have a significant influence on the predicted buckling response of the cylinders considered.

Lovejoy, Andrew E.↗
NASA NTRS2016

A42F-03: Small-Scale Variability in Tropical Tropopause Layer Humidity

Recent advances in statistical parameterizations of cirrus cloud processes for use in global models are highlighting the need for information about small-scale fluctuations in upper tropospheric humidity and the physical processes that control the humidity variability. To address these issues, we have analyzed high-resolution airborne water vapor measurements obtained in the Airborne Tropical TRopopause EXperiment (ATTREX) over the tropical Pacific between 14 and 20 km. Using accurate and precise 1-Hz water vapor measurements along approximately-level aircraft flight legs, we calculate structure functions spanning horizontal scales ranging from about 0.2 to 50 km, and we compare the water vapor variability in the lower (about 14 km) and upper (16-19 km) Tropical Tropopause Layer (TTL). We also compare the magnitudes and scales of variability inside TTL cirrus versus in clear-sky regions. The measurements show that in the upper TTL, water vapor concentration variance is stronger inside cirrus than in clear-sky regions. Using simulations of TTL cirrus formation, we show that small variability in clear-sky humidity is amplified by the strong sensitivity of ice nucleation rate to supersaturation, which results in highly-structured clouds that subsequently drive variability in the water vapor field. In the lower TTL, humidity variability is correlated with recent detrainment from deep convection. The structure functions indicate approximately power-law scaling with spectral slopes ranging from about minus 5 divided by 3, to minus 2.

water vapor↗
NASA NTRS2018

Large Scale Cryogenic Storage with Active Refrigeration

Storage and transfer of cryogenic liquefied gases on volume scales from under 10 liters for lab use, up to hundreds of millions of liters for industrial applications is of paramount importance across a vast range of industries. Traditionally, these commodities have been stored at or near the normal boiling point due to relative ease of operation and safety-related considerations; however, this also means that some percentage will always be lost due to environmental heat leaking into the vessel and causing boil-off. These losses become more concerning as scales increase, and are of particular importance for high-cost commodities such helium and hydrogen. Additionally, the normal boiling point marks the highest liquid density achievable; which becomes a strong driver of end-use system designs such as space launch vehicles. Recent development and testing of an Integrated Refrigeration and Storage (IRAS) system for liquid hydrogen has proven that next generation cryogenic storage operations such as zero boil-off and densification are feasible on a large scale. This IRAS system married an 850 Watt at 20 Kelvin reverse-Brayton cycle commercial cryogenic refrigerator with a 125,000 liter LH2 storage tank via and internal tubular heat exchanger. This allowed heat to be removed directly from the hydrogen, and by extension, provided a means to control the bulk thermodynamic state. Zero boil-off, in-situ liquefaction, and densification down to the triple point was performed during testing, and data such as fluid temperature profiles and tank pressure were gathered. Details regarding the design, setup, and testing of the IRAS system are discussed herein, and the data used to anchor various physics models created to predict the behavior of the system during transient and steady state operation. It is hoped that these efforts will provide a useful basis for the design and implementation of future large scale IRAS systems across numerous industries.

Swanger, Adam M.↗
NASA NTRS2018

Integrating Cloud-Based Workflows in Continental-Scale Cropland Extent Classification

Accurate information on cropland spatial distribution is required for global-scale assessments and agricultural land use policies. Cloud computing platforms such as Google Earth Engine (GEE) provide unprecedented opportunities for large-scale classifications of Landsat data. We developed a novel method to fuse pixel-based random forest classification of continental-scale Landsat data on GEE and an object-based segmentation approach known as recursive hierarchical segmentation (RHSeg). Using our fusion method, we produced a continental-scale cropland extent map for North America at 30m spatial resolution for the nominal year 2010. The total cropland area for North America was estimated at 275.18 million hectares (Mha). The overall accuracies of the map are>90% across the continent. This map also compares well with the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) cropland data layer (CDL), Agriculture and Agri-food Canada (AAFC) annual crop inventory (ACI), and the Mexican government agency Servicio de Informacion Agroalimentaria y Pesquera (SIAP)'s agricultural boundaries. Furthermore, our map compared well with sub-country statistics including state-wise and county-wise cropland statistics in regression models resulting in R2 > 0.84. This key contribution paves the way for more detailed products such as crop intensity, crop type, and crop irrigation, and provides a method for creating high-resolution cropland extent maps for other countries where spatial information about croplands are not as prevalent.

Massey, Richard↗
NASA NTRS2019

Jet Noise Prediction Comparisons with Scale Model Tests and Learjet Flyover Data

Recent interest in commercial supersonic flight has highlighted the need to accurately predict Effective Perceived Noise Levels (EPNL) for aircraft and, since the dominant noise source at takeoff will likely be jet noise, specifically jet noise contributions. The current study compares predictions from historical jet-noise models within NASA’s Aircraft Noise Prediction Program and scale-model data to measurements made in a Learjet 25 flight test. The noise levels from the predictions and scale-model data were below those for the flight data by 2.5 – 3.5, 1 – 2, and 3 – 5 EPNdB for the SAE model, the Stone Jet model, and the scale-model data, respectively. Tones and broadband haystacks were identified in the flight spectra that are not associated with jet noise which increased the flight EPNL by at least 0.5 EPNdB over that computed from spectra with the tones and haystacks removed. The study highlights the need for accurate exhaust temperature measurements, aircraft flight position information, and averaging data across a line of microphones in flight tests. For example, a 100° F to 200° F difference in jet exhaust temperature is enough to explain the differences between flight, model scale, and prediction comparisons.

Henderson, Brenda↗
NASA NTRS2019

Crop Readiness Level (CRL): A Scale to Track Progression of Crop Testing for Space

The development of engineering technologies and hardware for aerospace applications is often tracked on a 1-9 scale of readiness or TRL, with a "1" representing very basic or fundamental principles, and a "9" being flight tested, functional hardware. Preparing to grow crops for supplemental food and eventual life support contributions on space missions faces similar challenges. Nearly 20 years ago, the concept of a "crop readiness level" was suggested at a bioregenerative life support conference held at Kennedy Space Center, but there was little follow up to this. We propose to revive this concept to track the preparation and testing of different crop species for eventual use in the unique environment of space. For the sake of uniformity, we recommend a 1-9 scale, with a "1" being just the identification of a potential crop, followed by some basic horticultural testing, cultivars trials, then testing growth and yield under various controlled environments, progression to more space-like environments and hardware, understanding the nutritional, organoleptic, and food safety aspects of the crop, initial testing in space, and a final stage of growing the crop for food in space ("9"). We attempted to make the scaling logical and progressive, but our main goal is to initiate a dialogue in the space, plant research community to develop a scale for assessing crop readiness.

Romeyn, M. W.↗
NASA NTRS2017

Spectro-Photometer for the History of the Universe, Epoch of Reionization, and Ices Explorer, One Quarter Scale Prototype Thermal Testing

The Spectro-Photometer for the History of the Universe, Epoch of Reionization, and Ices Explorer (SPHEREx) instrument has been proposed as NASA Small Explorer (SMEX) and Medium Explorer (MIDEX) missions designed to perform an all-sky near-infrared survey. The primary science objective of the SPHEREx instrument is the mapping and cataloging of data on galaxy red shifts and absorption spectra. The SPHEREx instrument utilizes a linear variable band pass filter to provide discrete spectral coverage of the 0.75 to 5.0 μm range. The nominal on-orbit mission lifetime for the instrument is two years with continuous primary science imaging. The SPHEREx instrument will be placed in a near-circular LEO sun-synchronous terminator orbit with a mean altitude of 600 km, and solar beta angles ranging from 59° to 90°. A passive V-groove radiator cooling system was selected for the SPHEREx instrument. This design was chosen for its simplicity and lack of vibration. It includes five radiator stages with the coldest two stages providing temperatures below 80K and 55K for the 2.5μm and 5.3μm detectors respectively. A one quarter scale thermal prototype was constructed to characterize the performance of the SPHEREx thermal control subsystem. This prototype was directly derived and scaled from the current flight design, and accurately replicates all heat flow paths at scale. The prototype was tested in two bounding hot flight-like environments in the Cryogenic Systems Engineering, Advanced Thermal Technology Lab at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory. Following testing, a previously developed one quarter scale thermal model was correlated to the two conditions seen in test. The resultant correlated model is able to predict the prototype test temperatures to within 1K for all critical radiator stages. An overview of the thermal control design approach, the test configuration, and test and correlation results are presented.

Bolton, Douglas A.↗
NASA NTRS2019

Scale-Up of the Carbon Dioxide Removal by Ionic Liquid Sorbent (CDRILS) System

The Carbon Dioxide Removal by Ionic Liquid Sorbent (CDRILS) system is designed for efficient, safe and reliable carbon dioxide (CO2) removal from cabin air on long-duration missions to the Moon, deep space, and Mars. CDRILS integrates an ionic liquid sorbent with hollow fiber membrane contactors for rapid CO2 removal and recovery. The liquid-based system provides continuous CO2 delivery, which avoids complicated valve networks to switch between absorbing and desorbing beds and enables simpler integration to the Sabatier without the need for the CO2 Management System (CMS). Ionic liquids are particularly desirable as liquid absorbents for space applications since they are non-volatile, non-odorous, and have high oxidative stability. The hollow fiber membrane contactors offer both high contact area and rigorous containment between the gas and liquid phases in a microgravity environment. Scale-up of the CDRILS technology has presented a series of fascinating challenges, since the interaction between hollow fiber properties, ionic liquid properties and performance is complex. Properties measured with lab-scale hollow fiber contactors are used to estimate the performance of contactors that are similar in scale to flight-scale demonstrations. To accomplish this, component and system models have been built to relate the key scrubber and stripper design and operating variables with performance, and experiments directed to validate the models have been performed. System size, weight and power are determined by component selection, arrangement, and operating conditions. Reliability will be extremely important for any long-range mission and depends on the stability of the ionic liquids and hollow fiber contactors. We report on our continuing long term stability experiments for the ionic liquid and contactor materials and our investigation of the physical properties of additional ionic liquids.

Yates, Stephen F.↗
NASA NTRS2019

Solar Activity Modeling: From Subgranular Dynamical Scales to the Solar Cycles

Dynamical effects of solar magnetoconvection span a wide range spatial and temporal scales that extends from the interior to the corona and from fast turbulent motions to the global-Sun magnetic activity. To study the solar activity on short temporal scales (from minutes to hours), we use 3D radiative MHD simulations that allow us to investigate complex turbulent interactions that drive various phenomena, such as plasma eruptions, spontaneous formation of magnetic structures, funnel-like structures and magnetic loops in the corona, and others. In particular, we focus on multi-scale processes of energy exchange across the different layers, which contribute to the corona heating and eruptive dynamics, as well as interlinks between different layers of the solar interior and atmosphere. For modeling the global-scale activity we use the data assimilation approach that has demonstrated great potential for building reliable long-term forecasts of solar activity. In particular, it has been shown that the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) method applied to the Parker-Kleeorin-Ruzmakin dynamo model is capable of predicting solar activity up to one sunspot cycle ahead in time, as well as estimating the properties of the next cycle a few years before it begins. In this presentation, using the available magnetogram data, we discuss development of the methodology and forecast quality criteria (including forecast uncertainties and sources of errors). We demonstrate the influence of observational limitation on the prediction accuracy. We present the EnKF predictions of the upcoming Solar Cycle 25 based on both the sunspot number series and observed magnetic fields, and discuss the uncertainties and potential of the data assimilation approach for modeling and forecasting the solar activity.

Kitiashvili, I. N.↗
NASA NTRS2019

Solar Activity Modeling: From Subgranular Dynamical Scales to the Solar Cycles

The dynamical effects of solar magnetoconvection span a wide range spatial and temporal scales that extend from the interior to the corona and from fast turbulent motions to global magnetic activity. To study the solar activity on short temporal scales (from minutes to hours), we use 3D radiative MHD simulations that allow us to investigate complex turbulent interactions that drive various phenomena, such as plasma eruptions, spontaneous formation of magnetic structures, funnel-like structures and magnetic loops in the corona, and others. In particular, we focus on multi-scale processes of energy exchange across layers of the solar interior and atmosphere, which contribute to coronal heating and eruptive dynamics. For modeling global-scale activity, we use a data assimilation approach that has demonstrated great potential for building reliable long-term forecasts of solar activity. In particular, it has been shown that the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) method applied to the Parker-Kleeorin-Ruzmakin dynamo model is capable of predicting solar activity up to one sunspot cycle ahead in time, as well as estimating the properties of the next cycle a few years before it begins. In this presentation, using the available magnetogram data, we discuss development of the methodology and forecast quality criteria (including forecast uncertainties and sources of errors). We demonstrate the influence of observational limitations on prediction accuracy, and we present the EnKF predictions of the upcoming Solar Cycle (25) based on both the sunspot number series and observed magnetic fields and discuss the uncertainties and potential of the data assimilation approach for modeling and forecasting solar activity.

Kitiashvili, I. N.↗
NASA NTRS2020

Jet Noise Prediction Comparisons with Scale Model Tests and Learjet Flyover Data

Recent interest in commercial supersonic flight has highlighted the need to accurately predict Effective Perceived Noise Levels (EPNL) for aircraft and, since the dominant noise source at takeoff will likely be jet noise, specifically jet noise contributions. The current study compares predictions from historical jet-noise models within NASA’s Aircraft Noise Prediction Program and scale-model data to measurements made in a Learjet 25 flight test. The noise levels from the predictions and scale-model data were below those for the flight data by 2.5 – 3.5, 1 – 2, and 3 – 5 EPNdB for the SAE model, the Stone Jet model, and the scale-model data, respectively. Tones and broadband haystacks were identified in the flight spectra that are not associated with jet noise which increased the flight EPNL by at least 0.5 EPNdB over that computed from spectra with the tones and haystacks removed. The study highlights the need for accurate exhaust temperature measurements, aircraft flight position information, and averaging data across a line of microphones in flight tests. For example, a 100° F to 200° F difference in jet exhaust temperature is enough to explain the differences between flight, model scale, and prediction comparisons.

Henderson, Brenda↗
NASA NTRS2020

Scaling and Similitude in Single Nozzle Supersonic Retropropulsion Aerodynamics Interference

Retropropulsion, or the firing of rocket engines or motors into the direction of flight, is a method of spacecraft deceleration and soft landing that dates back to the early 1960s. Current conceptual designs for landing humans on the surface of Mars require supersonic retropropulsion, or initiation of retropropulsion at supersonic freestream conditions, as part of an extended powered descent phase of flight. The objective of this work is to identify the design parameters and flow condition bounds for self-similar behavior of powered descent aerodynamic interference in relevant flight environments. In applications of sub-scale test data, an “unknown” uncertainty lies in scaling to and from full-scale environments and systems. The issue of scaling for the opposing flows characteristic of powered descent is the focus of the following analysis, using data from wind tunnel testing of figurations with a single, central nozzle as a point of departure.

Korzun, Ashley M.↗
NASA NTRS2020

Occupant Response Analysis of a Full-Scale Crash Test of a Fokker F28 Fellowship Aircraft

In this report, the capability of component fuselage testing and finite element models (FEMs) to predict occupant injury risk when applied to full-scale aircraft crash testing was evaluated. Component level and full-scale crash tests of a Fokker-F28 aircraft were performed in conjunction with representative FEM simulations. Lumbar spine injury risk, calculated through Anthropomorphic Test Device (ATD) outputs measured in the full-scale test, was compared with predictions made by component level testing and simulations. A quantitative assessment of FEM prediction accuracy was made using the International Organization for Standardization (ISO) Technical Report (TR) 16250 curve comparison methodology. Lumbar load injury risk measured in the full-scale test configuration was found to be significantly higher than in the component tests performed. The FEM provided a closer prediction of occupant injury risk than component testing but exhibited limitations in the multi-axis load environment. This work will help inform the application of component testing and FEM simulation when used to evaluate aircraft crashworthiness.

Jacob B Putnam↗
NASA NTRS2020

Natural Hazard Risk Assessments at the Global Scale

Since 1990, natural hazards have led to over 1.6 million fatalities globally, and economic losses are estimated at an average of around USD 260–310 billion per year. The scientific and policy communities recognise the need to reduce these risks. As a result, the last decade has seen a rapid development of global models for assessing risk from natural hazards at the global scale. In this paper, we review the scientific literature on natural hazard risk assessments at the global scale, and we specifically examine whether and how they have examined future projections of hazard, exposure, and/or vulnerability. In doing so, we examine similarities and differences between the approaches taken across the different hazards, and we identify potential ways in which different hazard communities can learn from each other. For example, there are a number of global risk studies focusing on hydrological, climatological, and meteorological hazards that have included future projections and disaster risk reduction measures (in the case of floods), whereas fewer exist in the peer-reviewed literature for global studies related to geological hazards. On the other hand, studies of earthquake and tsunami risk are now using stochastic modelling approaches to allow for a fully probabilistic assessment of risk, which could benefit the modelling of risk from other hazards. Finally, we discuss opportunities for learning from methods and approaches being developed and applied to assess natural hazard risks at more continental or regional scales. Through this paper, we hope to encourage further dialogue on knowledge sharing between disciplines and communities working on different hazards and risk and at different spatial scales.

Philip J. Ward↗
NASA NTRS2017

Large-scale product of forest height using a new approach from spaceborne repeat-pass SAR interferometry and LIDAR

Spaceborne SAR interferometry (InSAR) has the potential of mapping the forest height on a global scale and a monthly/weekly basis under all weather conditions, which can improve our understanding of the global carbon dynamics. In previous work, repeatpass SAR interferometry from spaceborne sensors is utilized to create large-scale forest height maps (that are particularly interested for large-scale ecological research) based on a newly developed approach. This paper thus serves as a summary paper and also sheds light on the future directions with improved results. In particular, it will be shown that repeat-pass SAR interferometry is able to create a large-scale forest height mosaic product with RMSE 4 m for forest stands on the order of 20 hectares through using the past spaceborne repeat-pass InSAR observations (i.e. JAXA’s ALOS-1 and ALOS-2) combined with sparse airborne lidar training samples over the forested areas in New England, US. Moreover, the results and performance of this approach can be remarkably improved with several enhancement techniques that can be easily satisfied with use of future spaceborne repeat-pass InSAR and lidar missions (e.g. NASA-ISRO’s NISAR and NASA’s GEDI). The methodology described in this paper can be considered as a complimentary tool to the existing PolInSAR technique and also serves as an observing prototype for the future spaceborne missions of repeatpass InSAR in fusion with lidar (e.g. NISAR and GEDI).

Treuhaft, Robert↗
NASA NTRS2019

The X-Ray Halo Scaling Relations of Supermassive Black Holes

We carry out a comprehensive Bayesian correlation analysis between hot halos and direct masses of supermassive black holes (SMBHs), by retrieving the X-ray plasma properties (temperature, luminosity, density, pressure, and masses) over galactic to cluster scales for 85 diverse systems. We find new key scalings, with the tightest relation being −, followed by −. The tighter scatter (down to 0.2 dex) and stronger correlation coefficient of all the X-ray halo scalings compared with the optical counterparts (as the −) suggest that plasma halos play a more central role than stars in tracing and growing SMBHs (especially those that are ultramassive). Moreover, correlates better with the gas mass than dark matter mass. We show the important role of the environment, morphology, and relic galaxies/coronae, as well as the main departures from virialization/self-similarity via the optical/X-ray fundamental planes. We test the three major channels for SMBH growth: hot/Bondi-like models have inconsistent anticorrelation with X-ray halos and too low feeding; cosmological simulations find SMBH mergers as subdominant over most of cosmic time and too rare to induce a central-limit-theorem effect; the scalings are consistent with chaotic cold accretion, the rain of matter condensing out of the turbulent X-ray halos that sustains a long-term self-regulated feedback loop. The new correlations are major observational constraints for models of SMBH feeding/feedback in galaxies, groups, and clusters (e.g., to test cosmological hydrodynamical simulations), and enable the study of SMBHs not only through X-rays, but also via the Sunyaev–Zel'dovich effect (Compton parameter), lensing (total masses), and cosmology (gas fractions).

Supermassive black holes↗
NASA NTRS2021

Parsec-scale Properties of Steep- and Flat-spectrum Extragalactic Radio Sources from a VLBA Survey of a Complete North Polar Cap Sample

We observed with the Very Long Baseline Array (VLBA) at 2.3 and 8.6 GHz a complete flux-density-limited sample of 482 radio sources with decl. > +75° brighter than 200 mJy at 1.4 GHz drawn from the NVSS catalog. A total of 34% of the sources show parsec-scale emission above the flux density detection limit of 30 mJy; their accurate positions and parsec-scale structure parameters are determined. Among all the sources detected at least at the shortest VLBA baselines, the majority, or 72%, have a steep single-dish spectrum. The fraction of the sources with a detectable parsec-scale structure is above 95% among the flat-spectrum objects and close to 25% among the steep-spectrum objects. We identified 82 compact steep-spectrum source candidates, which make up 17% of the sample; most of them are reported for the first time. The compactness and the brightness temperature of the sources in our sample show a positive correlation with single-dish and VLBA spectral indices. All the sources with a significant 8 GHz variability were detected by the VLBA snapshot observations, which independently confirmed their compactness. We demonstrated that 54% of the sources detected by the VLBA at 2.3 GHz in our sample have a steep VLBA spectrum. The compact radio emission of these sources is likely dominated by optically thin jets or mini-lobes, not by an opaque jet core. These results show that future VLBI surveys aimed at searching for new sources with parsec-scale structure should include not only flat-spectrum sources but also steep-spectrum ones in order to reach an acceptable level of completeness.

A V Popkov↗