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At least 1,513 records · Page 84

Subsurface Characterization and Machine Learning Predictions at Brady Hot Springs: Preprint

Subsurface data analysis, reservoir modeling, and machine learning (ML) techniques have been applied to the Brady Hot Springs (BHS) geothermal field in Nevada, USA to further characterize the subsurface and assist with optimizing reservoir management. Hundreds of reservoir simulations have been conducted in TETRAD-G and CMG STARS to explore different injection and production fluid flow rates and allocations and to develop a training data set for ML. This process included simulating the historical injection and production since 1979 and prediction of future performance through 2040. ML networks were created and trained using TensorFlow based on multilayer perceptron (MLP), long short-term memory (LSTM), and convolutional neural network (CNN) architectures. These networks took as input selected flow rates, injection temperatures, and historical field operation data and produced estimates of future production temperatures. This approach was first successfully tested on a simplified single fracture doublet system, followed by the application to the BHS reservoir. Using an initial BHS dataset with 37 simulated scenarios, the trained and validated network predicted the production temperature for 6 production wells with the mean absolute percentage error of less than 8%. In a complementary analysis effort, the principal component analysis applied to 13 BHS geological parameters revealed that vertical fracture permeability shows the strongest correlation with fault density and fault intersection density. A new BHS reservoir model was developed considering the fault intersection density as proxy for permeability. This new reservoir model helps to explore under-exploited zones in the reservoir. A data gathering plan to obtain additional subsurface data was developed; it includes temperature surveying for three idle injection wells, at which the reservoir simulations indicate high bottom-hole temperatures. The collected data assist with calibrating the reservoir model and may lead to converting these wells to producers to access under-exploited zones in the reservoir. Data gathering activities are planned for the first quarter of 2021.

40 EE - Geothermal Technologies Office (EE-4G)↗

Towards Learning-Based Architectures for Sensor Impact Evaluation in Building Controls

Advanced control algorithms for building systems are known to have significant potential in reducing energy consumption while optimizing thermal comfort. The success of such algorithms is critically contingent on several different types of sensor systems, which are in turn, used for continuous monitoring, identification and estimation of several important building states, such as temperatures, humidity, air quality, power consumption and occupancy status. Nonidealities in any of these sensors can lead to significant performance degradation of the control functionalities, and may lead to unwanted sub-optimal building operation. In this paper, we provide a simulation example with a high-fidelity building model, for a particular use-case of advanced optimization-based control in buildings, i.e., occupancy-based controls. We show how imperfections in occupancy sensing can offset performance. Subsequently, we discuss a novel learning-based architecture to efficiently evaluate the impact of sensor nonidealities for building systems, in context of advanced control algorithms.

Bhattacharya, Saptarshi↗

Operations research modeling in support of the Hanford direct feed low activity waste program - 15538

Operations Research (OR) modeling is a supplemental system planning tool for the Hanford Tank Farm Contractor. OR models are designed to quantify the impact of equipment failures and other constraints on mission duration; to determine overall system performance; and to identify any potential bottleneck areas and identify any potential improvement areas. OR models are being developed to provide critical insights into the expected operational performance of current and planned facilities and to help identify any operational risks which impact performance of plant and equipment. This information is used to aid decision making on facility design and operations. A new OR model is being developed in support of the Direct Feed Low Activity Waste (DFLAW) Program and will be a valuable tool in the development of overall operational and management strategies as well as providing input to facility design. The OR model will identify predicted system availability, process bottlenecks, and key equipment influencing system performance. The OR model will also test proposed solutions to improve system availability by resolving process bottlenecks and provide this information to the design agent for incorporation into the DFLAW process design. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Second-order adjoint sensitivity analysis methodology (2ND-ASAM) for computing exactly and efficiently first- and second-order sensitivities in large-scale systems - 14356

This work presents the second-order adjoint sensitivity analysis methodology (2.-ASAM) for computing exactly and efficiently the second-order functional derivatives ('sensitivities') of system responses to the system's model parameters. For a physical system comprising N{sub α} parameters and N{sub r} responses, forward methods require a total of at least (N{sup 2}{sub α}/2+3N{sub α}/2) large-scale computations for obtaining all of the first- and second-order sensitivities, for all N{sub r} system responses. On the other hand, for one functional-type system response, the 2.-ASAM requires one large-scale computation using the first-level adjoint sensitivity system (1.-LASS) for obtaining all of the first-order sensitivities, followed by at most (2N{sub α}+1) large-scale computations using the second-level adjoint sensitivity systems (2.-LASS) for obtaining all of the second-order sensitivities. The second-order sensitivities contribute decisively to causing asymmetries in the response distribution, since they are the leading contributors to the third-order response correlations (skewness). They also cause the 'expected value of the response' to differ from the 'computed nominal value of the response'. The implementation of the 2.-ASAM requires very little additional effort beyond the construction of the adjoint sensitivity system needed for computing the first-order sensitivities. Only the sources on the right-sides of the diffusion (differential) operator needed to be modified; the left-side of the differential equations (and hence the 'solver' in large-scale practical applications) remain unchanged. The application of the 2.-ASAM is illustrated on a benchmark heat conduction/convection problem, which makes transparent the underlying mathematical derivations. For this illustrative problem, 4 'large-scale' adjoint computations suffice for computing exactly all of the 6 first- and 21 distinct second-order derivatives. The 2.-ASAM presented in this work should enable the hitherto very difficult, if not intractable, exact computation of all of the second-order response sensitivities for large-systems involving many parameters, which is expected to affect significantly other fields that need efficiently computed second-order response sensitivities, such as optimization, data assimilation/adjustment, model calibration, and predictive modeling. (author)

42 ENGINEERING↗

Advanced modeling and simulation of research reactors using dynamic mode decomposition

Full text of publication follows. Due to the ever-increasing safety requirements, the current trend of nuclear reactor analysis is shifting towards high-fidelity multi-physics models, which have a very high computational cost and modelling complexity. As the cost of even a single model run makes it impossible to analyse the behaviour and performance of these models on large-scale commercial plants, it has become even more significant to provide suitable benchmarks to validate and test them extensively. In this sense, research reactors offer a promising solution for the initial validation of high-fidelity models, as they are significantly smaller than commercial reactors and their characteristics are well known. In particular, the reactors of the TRIGA family have been used to assess and validate models and methods for Generation-IV designs, as they have some similar features (such as the dominance of natural convection as cooling mechanism and the difficulties in performing sub-channel analysis using standard codes). Still, the computational requirements of high-fidelity models make them unsuitable for real-time analysis, even following their assessment on research reactors. In this sense, Model Order Reduction (MOR) techniques give an additional strategy to reduce the computational cost of high-fidelity models (whilst preserving sufficient accuracy). In particular, this work focuses on Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD), a non-intrusive MOR technique that aims at representing models with explicit temporal dynamics by extracting the time-varying characteristics and the governing structures based only on a set of available data, thus without needing any underlying knowledge of the governing equations. In addition, DMD also computes a low-dimensional surrogate of the dynamic matrix of the system, making it suited for stability analysis and real-time evaluations. This work focuses on the application and validation of the DMD method on the Computational Fluid-Dynamics (CFD) model TRIGA Mark II reactor, also discussing in detail the potentiality of this algorithm as an advanced modelling tool for nuclear reactor analysis. (author)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Noise-induced transition in optimal solutions of variational quantum algorithms

Variational quantum algorithms are promising candidates for delivering practical quantum advantage on noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) hardware. However, optimizing the noisy cost functions associated with these algorithms is challenging for system sizes relevant to quantum advantage. In this work, we investigate the effect of noise on optimization by studying a variational quantum eigensolver (VQE) algorithm calculating the ground state of a spin chain model, and we observe an abrupt transition induced by noise to the optimal solutions. We will present numerical simulations, a demonstration using an IBM quantum processor unit (QPU), and a theoretical analysis indicating the origin of this transition. Our findings suggest that careful analysis is crucial to avoid misinterpreting the noise-induced features as genuine algorithm results.

Li, Andy C.Y.↗

Initial steady-state core simulation capability or thermal and pool-type molten salt reactors, coupling reactor physics, thermal-hydraulics, and evolving chemistry

This report presents the development and validation of an initial steady-state multiphysics capability for molten salt reactors (MSRs) under the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program in Fiscal Year 2025. The framework integrates neutronics, thermal-hydraulics, species transport, and thermochemistry to capture the coupled dynamics of liquid-fueled systems. Implementation and testing were performed on two representative designs: the Molten Salt Reactor Experiment (MSRE), a thermal-spectrum, channeled-flow reactor, and the Lotus Molten Salt Reactor (L-MSR), a fast-spectrum, pool-type reactor. The modeling suite employs Griffin for reactor physics and depletion, Pronghorn and SAM for thermal-hydraulics, Thermochimica for chemistry, and Saline for thermophysical properties, with benchmarking and validation carried out against historical MSRE data, experimental flow-loop measurements, and reference depletion calculations from Monte Carlo codes. The framework demonstrated the ability to reproduce key reactor behaviors including temperature feedback, reactivity losses, delayed neutron precursor transport, xenon poisoning, and redox potential evolution. The results confirm the feasibility and accuracy of the coupled models in predicting steady-state and selected transient MSR behaviors. This latter ones are used in this report as a proxy indicating that the steady-state models from which the transient starts are accurate. For MSRE, validation showed good agreement with pump start-up and natural circulation tests, while for the L-MSR, benchmarking confirmed hydraulic calibration and consistency of neutronics–thermal coupling. The tools also provided new insights into species transport, noble metal deposition, and salt solidification dynamics. On the Xenon transport front, the code is validated against the steady state Xenon poisoining measurement and showed good agreement with the experimental value. Identified areas for future work include advanced void transport modeling, three-dimensional simulations, improved alloy corrosion models, and tighter integration with high-fidelity Monte Carlo codes. These developments provide a foundation for high-fidelity MSR simulations that can support reactor design optimization, safety assessments, and long-term operational strategies.

42 - ENGINEERING↗

STEPs-SOL, a Peptoid Force Field Parameterization to Include Solvent Effects

As peptoids (N-substituted glycines) continue to gain popularity as a class of biomimetic polymers, the importance and demand for accurate force fields in molecular simulations also grow. Building on the vacuum-optimized Systematic and Extensible Force Field for Peptoids (STEPs) force field, here we present STEPs-SOL, a novel peptoid force field parametrization that effectively incorporates solvent effects to enhance the accuracy of peptoid simulations. The development of STEPs-SOL is based on the need for precise electrostatic modeling achieved through solvent-specific partial charge optimization. Here, our systematic approach significantly improves agreement with experimental measurements, reducing the mean absolute error in cis/trans ratio predictions (ΔG c/t ) by an average of 38% across multiple peptoid residues and solvent environments. This improved parametrization addresses computational challenges associated with nonbonded energies while maintaining a workflow that relies on high-level quantum mechanical data rather than depending solely on limited experimental equilibrium properties. By evaluating the effects of conformational bias in restrained electrostatic potential (RESP) charge generation and examining their impact on peptoid conformations in various solvents, we enhance our understanding of peptoid structural dynamics while providing a more accurate modeling framework.

force field↗

Calibrating the Classical Hardness of the Quantum Approximate Optimization Algorithm

The trading of fidelity for scale enables approximate classical simulators such as matrix product states (MPSs) to run quantum circuits beyond exact methods. A control parameter, the so-called bond dimension $\mathcal{χ}$ for MPSs, governs the allocated computational resources and the output fidelity. Here, we characterize the fidelity for the quantum approximate optimization algorithm by the expectation value of the cost function that it seeks to minimize and find that it follows a scaling law $\mathscr{F}$(ln $\mathcal{χ}$/N), where N is the number of qubits. With ln $\mathcal{χ}$ amounting to the entanglement that a MPS can encode, we show that the relevant variable for investigating the fidelity is the entanglement per qubit. Importantly, our results calibrate the classical computational power required to achieve the desired fidelity and benchmark the performance of quantum hardware in a realistic setup. For instance, we quantify the hardness of performing better classically than a noisy superconducting quantum processor by readily matching its output to the scaling function. Moreover, we relate the global fidelity to that of individual operations and establish its relationship with $\mathcal{χ}$ and N. We sharpen the requirements for noisy quantum computers to outperform classical techniques at running a quantum optimization algorithm in speed, size, and fidelity.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Verification of a solvent optimization approach for postcombustion CO 2 capture using commercial alkanolamines

This work verified a phase equilibrium approach for optimization of conceptual solvents by using process simulations of commercial solvents N-methyl-diethanolamine (MDEA) and 2-amino-2-methyl-1-propanol (AMP) aqueous solution, for a conventional absorption/desorption based postcombustion CO 2 capture process. The simulated total heat/total equivalent work for the investigated tertiary/hindered amines has the same trends as those based on the phase equilibrium approach for conceptual solvents with the same heat of reactions. Moreover, the simulated CO 2 working capacities for the commercial solvents agree well with those obtained with the phase equilibrium approach for the corresponding conceptual solvents, verifying the phase equilibrium approach. Finally, results of parametric tests using the AMP aqueous solution illustrate that there is an optimal lean loading for the lean solution and an optimal temperature for the stripper inlet solvent to achieve the least total equivalent work/total heat.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Benchmarking Adaptive Variational Quantum Eigensolvers

By design, the variational quantum eigensolver (VQE) strives to recover the lowest-energy eigenvalue of a given Hamiltonian by preparing quantum states guided by the variational principle. In practice, the prepared quantum state is indirectly assessed by the value of the associated energy. Novel adaptive derivative-assembled pseudo-trotter (ADAPT) ansatz approaches and recent formal advances now establish a clear connection between the theory of quantum chemistry and the quantum state ansatz used to solve the electronic structure problem. Here we benchmark the accuracy of VQE and ADAPT-VQE to calculate the electronic ground states and potential energy curves for a few selected diatomic molecules, namely H 2 , NaH, and KH. Using numerical simulation, we find both methods provide good estimates of the energy and ground state, but only ADAPT-VQE proves to be robust to particularities in optimization methods. Another relevant finding is that gradient-based optimization is overall more economical and delivers superior performance than analogous simulations carried out with gradient-free optimizers. The results also identify small errors in the prepared state fidelity which show an increasing trend with molecular size.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Machine learning–assisted prediction of heat fluxes through thermally anisotropic building envelopes

Thermally anisotropic building envelope (TABE) is a novel active building envelope that can save energy use to maintain thermal comfort in buildings by redirecting heat and coolness from building envelopes to thermal loops. Finite element models (FEMs) can be used to compute the heat fluxes through TABEs, but the high computational cost of finite element simulations has prevented parametric studies and design optimizations. This paper proposes a domain knowledge–informed, finite element–based machine learning framework to reduce the computation cost for the energy management of buildings installed with TABE that uses a ground thermal loop. First, the training heat flux data set was generated by FEM simulations with different thermal loop schedules. Then, both shallow learning models (i.e., multivariate linear regression and eXtreme Gradient Boost, or XGBoost) and a deep learning model (i.e., deep neural network, or DNN) were trained to predict the heat fluxes. Domain knowledge was used for data preprocessing and feature selection. Finally, the suitability of the selected machine learning model was tested under different thermal loop schedules. Herein, the case study results showed that: (1) XGBoost can be as accurate as DNN (coefficient of determination equal to 0.81) with much less training time; (2) the annual energy cost savings for different thermal loop schedules obtained by the XGBoost-predicted and FEM-calculated heat fluxes are consistent, having a difference of only 4%; and (3) XGBoost can reduce the computation time for the annual energy analysis of the case study building with a given thermal loop schedule from around 12 h by using FEM to less than 1 min.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

The Cloud-resolving model Radar SIMulator (CR-SIM) Version 3.3: description and applications of a virtual observatory

Ground-based observatories use multi-sensor observations to characterize cloud and precipitation properties. One of the challenges is how to design strategies to best use these observations to understand these properties and evaluate weather and climate models. This paper introduces the Cloud resolving model Radar SIMulator (CR-SIM), which uses output from high-resolution cloud resolving models (CRMs) to emulate multi-wavelength, zenith-pointing, and scanning radar observables and multi-sensor (radar and lidar) products. CR-SIM allows direct comparison between an atmospheric model simulation and remote-sensing products using a forward-modeling framework consistent with the microphysical assumptions used in the atmospheric model. CR-SIM has the flexibility to easily incorporate additional microphysical modules, such as microphysical schemes and scattering calculations, and expand the applications to simulate multi-sensor retrieval products. In this paper, we present several applications of CR-SIM for evaluating the representativeness of cloud microphysics and dynamics in a CRM, quantifying uncertainties in radar-lidar integrated cloud products and multi-Doppler wind retrievals, and optimizing radar sampling strategy using observing system simulation experiments. These applications demonstrate the application of CR-SIM as a virtual observatory operator on high-resolution model output for a consistent comparison between model results and observations to aid interpretation of the differences and improve understanding of the representativeness errors due to the sampling limitations of the ground-based measurements. CR-SIM is licensed under the GNU GPL package and both the software and the user guide are publicly available to the scientific community.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Dakota A Multilevel Parallel Object-Oriented Framework for Design Optimization Parameter Estimation Uncertainty Quantification and Sensitivity Analysis: Version 6.12 Theory Manual

The Dakota toolkit provides a flexible and extensible interface between simulation codes and iterative analysis methods. Dakota contains algorithms for optimization with gradient and nongradient-based methods; uncertainty quantification with sampling, reliability, and stochastic expansion methods; parameter estimation with nonlinear least squares methods; and sensitivity/variance analysis with design of experiments and parameter study methods. These capabilities may be used on their own or as components within advanced strategies such as surrogate-based optimization, mixed integer nonlinear programming, or optimization under uncertainty. By employing object-oriented design to implement abstractions of the key components required for iterative systems analyses, the Dakota toolkit provides a flexible and extensible problem-solving environment for design and performance analysis of computational models on high performance computers. This report serves as a theoretical manual for selected algorithms implemented within the Dakota software. It is not intended as a comprehensive theoretical treatment, since a number of existing texts cover general optimization theory, statistical analysis, and other introductory topics. Rather, this manual is intended to summarize a set of Dakota-related research publications in the areas of surrogate-based optimization, uncertainty quantification, and optimization under uncertainty that provide the foundation for many of Dakota's iterative analysis capabilities.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Dakota A Multilevel Parallel Object-Oriented Framework for Design Optimization Parameter Estimation Uncertainty Quantification and Sensitivity Analysis (V.6.14) (User's Manual)

The Dakota toolkit provides a flexible and extensible interface between simulation codes and iterative analysis methods. Dakota contains algorithms for optimization with gradient and nongradient-based methods; uncertainty quantification with sampling, reliability, and stochastic expansion methods; parameter estimation with nonlinear least squares methods; and sensitivity/variance analysis with design of experiments and parameter study methods. These capabilities may be used on their own or as components within advanced strategies such as surrogate-based optimization, mixed integer nonlinear programming, or optimization under uncertainty. By employing object-oriented design to implement abstractions of the key components required for iterative systems analyses, the Dakota toolkit provides a flexible and extensible problem-solving environment for design and performance analysis of computational models on high performance computers. This report serves as a users manual for the Dakota software and provides capability overviews and procedures for software execution, as well as a variety of example studies.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Dakota, A Multilevel Parallel Object-Oriented Framework for Design Optimization, Parameter Estimation, Uncertainty Quantification, and Sensitivity Analysis: Version 6.13 Theory Manual

The Dakota toolkit provides a flexible and extensible interface between simulation codes and iterative analysis methods. Dakota contains algorithms for optimization with gradient and nongradient-based methods; uncertainty quantification with sampling, reliability, and stochastic expansion methods; parameter estimation with nonlinear least squares methods; and sensitivity/variance analysis with design of experiments and parameter study methods. These capabilities may be used on their own or as components within advanced strategies such as surrogate-based optimization, mixed integer nonlinear programming, or optimization under uncertainty. By employing object-oriented design to implement abstractions of the key components required for iterative systems analyses, the Dakota toolkit provides a flexible and extensible problem-solving environment for design and performance analysis of computational models on high performance computers. This report serves as a theoretical manual for selected algorithms implemented within the Dakota software. It is not intended as a comprehensive theoretical treatment, since a number of existing texts cover general optimization theory, statistical analysis, and other introductory topics. Rather, this manual is intended to summarize a set of Dakota-related research publications in the areas of surrogate-based optimization, uncertainty quantification, and optimization under uncertainty that provide the foundation for many of Dakota's iterative analysis capabilities.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Dakota, A Multilevel Parallel Object-Oriented Framework for Design Optimization, Parameter Estimation, Uncertainty Quantification, and Sensitivity Analysis (V.6.16 User's Manual)

The Dakota toolkit provides a flexible and extensible interface between simulation codes and iterative analysis methods. Dakota contains algorithms for optimization with gradient and nongradient-based methods; uncertainty quantification with sampling, reliability, and stochastic expansion methods; parameter estimation with nonlinear least squares methods; and sensitivity/variance analysis with design of experiments and parameter study methods. These capabilities may be used on their own or as components within advanced strategies such as surrogate-based optimization, mixed integer nonlinear programming, or optimization under uncertainty. By employing object-oriented design to implement abstractions of the key components required for iterative systems analyses, the Dakota toolkit provides a flexible and extensible problem-solving environment for design and performance analysis of computational models on high performance computers. This report serves as a user's manual for the Dakota software and provides capability overviews and procedures for software execution, as well as a variety of example studies.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗