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At least 1,513 records · Page 84

Enhancing Power Grid Resilience with Causal Loops Diagram and Bayesian Networks

Enhancing power grid resilience through improved analysis and planning of Distributed Energy Resources is a key for power system planner. This paper explores the integration of Causal Loop Diagrams (CLDs) and Bayesian Networks (BNs) for enhancing resilience in power systems, focusing on Distributed Energy Resources (DER) planning. By automating CLD analysis in Python's matplotlib, we present a tool for rapid model validation and structural accuracy, crucial for power system planners. This hybrid approach utilizes BNs for inferential depth and CLDs for dynamic system modeling, offering a comprehensive framework for policy formulation and collaborative strategy development against disruptions. Here, we highlight the tool's capability to identify and analyze interconnected feedback loops, facilitating a deeper understanding of DER integration's impact on network resilience. This work aims to bridge quantitative analysis and qualitative insights, addressing the limitations of each method while providing a robust model for power system resilience assessment.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Convolutional neural networks on the HEALPix sphere: a pixel-based algorithm and its application to CMB data analysis

We describe a novel method for the application of convolutional neural networks (CNNs) to fields defined on the sphere, using the Hierarchical Equal Area Latitude Pixelization scheme (HEALPix). Specifically, we have developed a pixel-based approach to implement convolutional and pooling layers on the spherical surface, similarly to what is commonly done for CNNs applied to Euclidean space. The main advantage of our algorithm is to be fully integrable with existing, highly optimized libraries for NNs (e.g., PyTorch, TensorFlow, etc.). We present two applications of our method: (i) recognition of handwritten digits projected on the sphere; (ii) estimation of cosmological parameter from simulated maps of the cosmic microwave background (CMB). The latter represents the main target of this exploratory work, whose goal is to show the applicability of our CNN to CMB parameter estimation. We have built a simple NN architecture, consisting of four convolutional and pooling layers, and we have used it for all the applications explored herein. Concerning the recognition of handwritten digits, our CNN reaches an accuracy of ~95%, comparable with other existing spherical CNNs, and this is true regardless of the position and orientation of the image on the sphere. For CMB-related applications, we tested the CNN on the estimation of a mock cosmological parameter, defining the angular scale at which the power spectrum of a Gaussian field projected on the sphere peaks. We estimated the value of this parameter directly from simulated maps, in several cases: temperature and polarization maps, presence of white noise, and partially covered maps. For temperature maps, the NN performances are comparable with those from standard spectrum-based Bayesian methods. For polarization, CNNs perform about a factor four worse than standard algorithms. Nonetheless, our results demonstrate, for the first time, that CNNs are able to extract information from polarization fields, both in full-sky and masked maps, and to distinguish between E and B -modes in pixel space. Lastly, we have applied our CNN to the estimation of the Thomson scattering optical depth at reionization ( τ ) from simulated CMB maps. Even without any specific optimization of the NN architecture, we reach an accuracy comparable with standard Bayesian methods. This work represents a first step towards the exploitation of NNs in CMB parameter estimation and demonstrates the feasibility of our approach.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Quantitative Analysis of Ca, Mg, and K in the Roots of Angelica pubescens f. biserrata by Laser-Induced Breakdown Spectroscopy Combined with Artificial Neural Networks

Laser-induced breakdown spectroscopy has been applied for the quantitative analysis of Ca, Mg, and K in the roots of Angelica pubescens Maxim. f. biserrata Shan et Yuan used in traditional Chinese medicine. Ca II 317.993 nm, Mg I 517.268 nm, and K I 769.896 nm spectral lines have been chosen to set up calibration models for the analysis using the external standard and artificial neural network methods. The linear correlation coefficients of the predicted concentrations versus the standard concentrations of six samples determined by the artificial neural network method are 0.9896, 0.9945, and 0.9911 for Ca, Mg, and K, respectively, which are better than for the external standard method. The artificial neural network method also gives better performance comparing with the external standard method for the average and maximum relative errors, average relative standard deviations, and most maximum relative standard deviations of the predicted concentrations of Ca, Mg, and K in the six samples. Finally, it is proved that the artificial neural network method gives better performance compared to the external standard method for the quantitative analysis of Ca, Mg, and K in the roots of Angelica pubescens.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

An Online Joint Optimization–Estimation Architecture for Distribution Networks

Here in this article, we propose an optimal joint optimization-estimation architecture for distribution networks, which jointly solves the optimal power flow (OPF) problem and static state estimation (SE) problem through an online gradient-based feedback algorithm. The main objective is to enable a fast and timely interaction between the OPF decisions and state estimators with limited sensor measurements. First, convergence and optimality of the proposed algorithm are analytically established. Then, the proposed gradient-based algorithm is modified by introducing statistical information of the inherent estimation and linearization errors for an improved and robust performance of the online OPF decisions. Overall, the proposed method eliminates the traditional separation of operation and monitoring, where optimization and estimation usually operate at distinct layers and different time scales. Hence, it enables a computationally affordable, efficient, and robust online operational framework for distribution networks under time-varying settings.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Design and optimization of Artificial Neural Networks for the modelling of superconducting magnets operation in tokamak fusion reactors

In superconducting tokamaks, the cryoplant provides the helium needed to cool different clients, among which by far the most important one is the superconducting magnet system. The evaluation of the transient heat load from the magnets to the cryoplant is fundamental for the design of the latter and the assessment of suitable strategies to smooth the heat load pulses, induced by the intrinsically pulsed plasma scenarios characteristic of today's tokamaks, is crucial for both suitable sizing and stable operation of the cryoplant. For that evaluation, accurate but expensive system-level models, as implemented in e.g. the validated state-of-the-art 4C code, were developed in the past, including both the magnets and the respective external cryogenic cooling circuits. Here we show how these models can be successfully substituted with cheaper ones, where the magnets are described by suitably trained Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) for the evaluation of the heat load to the cryoplant. First, two simplified thermal-hydraulic models for an ITER Toroidal Field (TF) magnet and for the ITER Central Solenoid (CS) are developed, based on ANNs, and a detailed analysis of the chosen networks' topology and parameters is presented and discussed. The ANNs are then inserted into the 4C model of the ITER TF and CS cooling circuits, which also includes active controls to achieve a smoothing of the variation of the heat load to the cryoplant. The training of the ANNs is achieved using the results of full 4C simulations (including detailed models of the magnets) for conventional sigmoid-like waveforms of the drivers and the predictive capabilities of the ANN-based models in the case of actual ITER operating scenarios are demonstrated by comparison with the results of full 4C runs, both with and without active smoothing, in terms of both accuracy and computational time. Exploiting the low computational effort requested by the ANN-based models, a demonstrative optimization study has been finally carried out, with the aim of choosing among different smoothing strategies for the standard ITER plasma operation.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Data-driven integration of genome-scale regulatory and metabolic network models

Microbes are diverse and extremely versatile organisms that play vital roles in all ecological niches. Understanding and harnessing microbial systems will be key to the sustainability of our planet. One approach to improving our knowledge of microbial processes is through data-driven and mechanism-informed computational modeling. Individual models of biological networks (such as metabolism, transcription, and signaling) have played pivotal roles in driving microbial research through the years. These networks, however, are highly interconnected and function in concert a fact that has led to the development of a variety of approaches aimed at simulating the integrated functions of two or more network types. Though the task of integrating these different models is fraught with new challenges, the large amounts of high-throughput data sets being generated, and algorithms being developed, means that the time is at hand for concerted efforts to build integrated regulatory-metabolic networks in a data-driven fashion. Lastly, in this perspective, we review current approaches for constructing integrated regulatory-metabolic models and outline new strategies for future development of these network models for any microbial system.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Let’s Unleash the Network Judgment: A Self-Supervised Approach for Cloud Image Analysis

Accurate cloud type identification and coverage analysis are crucial in understanding the Earth’s radiative budget. Traditional computer vision methods rely on low-level visual features of clouds for estimating cloud coverage or sky conditions. Several handcrafted approaches have been proposed; however, scope for improvement still exists. Newer deep neural networks (DNNs) have demonstrated superior performance for cloud segmentation and categorization. These methods, however, need expert engineering intervention in the preprocessing steps—in the traditional methods—or human assistance in assigning cloud or clear sky labels to a pixel for training DNNs. Such human mediation imposes considerable time and labor costs. We present the application of a new self-supervised learning approach to autonomously extract relevant features from sky images captured by ground-based cameras, for the classification and segmentation of clouds. We evaluate a joint embedding architecture that uses self-knowledge distillation plus regularization. We use two datasets to demonstrate the network’s ability to classify and segment sky images—one with ~85,000 images collected from our ground-based camera and another with 400 labeled images from the WSISEG database. We find that this approach can discriminate full-sky images based on cloud coverage, diurnal variation, and cloud base height. Additionally, it semantically segments the cloud areas without labels. The approach shows competitive performance in all tested tasks, suggesting a new alternative for cloud characterization.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Generating Co-expression Networks for Three Cyanobacteria: Synechococcus sp. PCC 7942, Synechococcus sp. PCC 7002, Synechocystis sp. PCC 6803

Cyanobacteria are photosynthetic organisms capable of high growth rate and represent a promising bioplatform for harnessing the sun’s energy to make biofuel. Additionally, the process of photosynthesis absorbs CO2 from the environment. Understanding the metabolic processes involved in photosynthesis could lead to solutions to the recent rise of CO2 concentration in Earth’s atmosphere and the associated climate change. More research on the transcriptional regulation of these cells is needed to learn how to harness the untapped potential of cyanobacteria for these applications. Transcriptional analysis via RNA-seq provides an understanding of how gene expression changes at the mRNA level under diverse growing conditions. I systematically collected and analyzed RNA-Seq data obtained under a variety of conditions and available on the NCBI database for three cyanobacteria model organisms: Synechococcus elongatus sp. PCC 7942, Synechococcus sp. PCC 7002, and Synechocystis sp. PCC 6803. For each organism, the data was mapped to a reference genome to characterize the RNA expression profile. Samples were checked for quality based on the number of reads and the correlation of the expression profile between labeled replicates. All samples were transformed into transcripts per million reads, followed by a log transformation to account for the wide range of sample sizes. Gene co-expression networks were generated and analyzed for each species using Cytoscape. These networks provide a base level of gene expression for each species. The network topology and high-betweeness nodes of these networks need to be analyzed further to provide insight on potential ways to harness cyanobacteria genetics. Additionally, these datasets can be used together to form a core genome network analysis- one that includes only the genes that are homologous between the three species. This project has prepared the way for a more in-depth study on photosynthetic microbes on a genetic level.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

EGBTER: Capturing Degree Distribution, Clustering Coefficients, and Community Structure in a Single Random Graph Model

Random graph models are important constructs for data analytic applications as well as pure mathematical developments, as they provide capabilities for network synthesis and principled analysis. Several models have been developed with the aim of faithfully preserving important graph metrics and substructures. With the goal of capturing degree distribution, clustering coefficient, and communities in a single random graph model, we propose a new model to address shortcomings in a progression of network modeling capabilities. The Block Two-Level Erdos-Rényi (BTER) model of Seshadhri et aI., designed to allow prescription of expected degree and clustering coefficient distributions, neglects community modeling, while the Generalized BTER (GBTER) model of Bridges et aI., designed to add community modeling capabilities to BTER, struggles to faithfully represent all three characteristics simultaneously. In this work, we fit BTER and two GBTER configurations to several real-world networks and compare the results with that of our new model, the Extended GBTER (EGBTER) model. Our results support that EBGTER adds a community-modeling flexibility to BTER, while retaining a satisfactory level of accuracy in terms of degree and clustering coefficient. Our insights and empirical testing of previous models as well as the new model are novel contributions to the literature.

El-Daghar, Omar↗

Less Is More: Oligomer Extraction and Hydrothermal Annealing Increase PDMS Adhesion Forces for Materials Studies and for Biology-Focused Microfluidic Applications

Cues in the micro-environment are key determinants in the emergence of complex cellular morphologies and functions. Primary among these is the presence of neighboring cells that form networks. For high-resolution analysis, it is crucial to develop micro-environments that permit exquisite control of network formation. This is especially true in cell science, tissue engineering, and clinical biology. We introduce a new approach for assembling polydimethylsiloxane (PDMS)-based microfluidic environments that enhances cell network formation and analyses. We report that the combined processes of PDMS solvent-extraction and hydrothermal annealing create unique conditions that produce high-strength bonds between solvent-extracted PDMS (E-PDMS) and glass—properties not associated with conventional PDMS. Extraction followed by hydrothermal annealing removes unbound oligomers, promotes polymer cross-linking, facilitates covalent bond formation with glass, and retains the highest biocompatibility. Herein, our extraction protocol accelerates oligomer removal from 5 to 2 days. Resulting microfluidic platforms are uniquely suited for cell-network studies owing to high adhesion forces, effectively corralling cellular extensions and eliminating harmful oligomers. We demonstrate the simple, simultaneous actuation of multiple microfluidic domains for invoking ATP- and glutamate-induced Ca 2+ signaling in glial-cell networks. These E-PDMS modifications and flow manipulations further enable microfluidic technologies for cell-signaling and network studies as well as novel applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Dynamics of Multilayer Complex Infrastructure Networks

Our research effort models critical infrastructure systems as complex and interdependent networks, allowing for dynamic analysis of the resilience and robustness of these connected systems.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Biochemical Control With Radiotherapy Improves Overall Survival in Intermediate and High-Risk Prostate Cancer Patients Who Have an Estimated 10-Year Overall Survival of >90%

Purpose: To identify subgroups of patients with carcinoma of the prostate treated with radical radiotherapy that have improved overall survival when disease is biochemically controlled. Methods and Materials: A cohort of 1,060 prostate cancer patients treated with radical radiotherapy was divided into nine subgroups based on National Comprehensive Cancer Network risk category and estimated 10-year overall survival (eOS 10y) derived from the age adjusted Charlson Comorbidity Index. Patients with and without biochemical control were compared with respect to overall survival. Actuarial estimates of overall survival were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards models were used for analysis of overall survival. Results: Median follow-up was 125 months (range, 51-176 months). Only the subgroups with high or intermediate risk disease and an eOS 10y of >90% had a statistically significantly improved overall survival when prostate cancer was biochemically controlled. In all other groups, biochemical control made no significant difference to overall survival. In the subgroup with high-risk disease and eOS 10y >90%, actuarial overall survival was 86.3% (95% confidence interval [CI] 78.5%-94.1%) and 62.1% (95% CI 52.9%-71.3%) for patients with biochemical control and biochemical relapse respectively (p = 0.002). In the intermediate risk group with eOS >90%, actuarial overall survival was 95.3% (95% CI 89.0%-100%) and 79.8% (95% CI 68.0%-91.6%) for biochemically controlled and biochemically relapsed patients (p = 0.033). On multivariate analysis, National Comprehensive Cancer Network risk group (p = 0.005), biochemical control (p = 0.033) and eOS 10y (p < 0.001) were statistically significant. Conclusion: Biochemical control translates into improved overall survival in patients with high or intermediate risk disease and an estimated 10-year overall survival of >90%.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗

Moment Tensor Source-Type Analysis for the Democratic People's Republic of Korea-Declared Nuclear Explosions (2006-2017) and 3 September 2017 Collapse Event

The Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK) conducted its sixth announced nuclear test on 3 September 2017 03:30 UTC (mb 6.1). There was an aftershock 8.5 min later (mb 4.1). Such aftershocks were noteworthy and often associated with post–nuclear explosion collapses. We performed moment tensor (MT) and network sensitivity solution (NSS) analysis using regional long-period surface-wave and first-motion (FM) polarities. We also extended this analysis to the previous five DPRK nuclear tests. The NSS results, which include MT solution uncertainties, show large isotropic components for the events and are within the population of other U.S. nuclear and collapse events on the fundamental lune. The FM data improved the NNS source-type resolution. The agreement between MT seismic moments and independent coda-envelope amplitudes indicated no biases with the Earth model error or poorly constrained seismic moment for shallow seismic sources. The MT for the collapse is not a pure implosion and consistent with an equivalent tensional closing crack mechanism and two-sided vertical point force.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

A strategy for reducing turnaround time in design optimization using a distributed computer system

There is a need to explore methods for reducing lengthly computer turnaround or clock time associated with engineering design problems. Different strategies can be employed to reduce this turnaround time. One strategy is to run validated analysis software on a network of existing smaller computers so that portions of the computation can be done in parallel. This paper focuses on the implementation of this method using two types of problems. The first type is a traditional structural design optimization problem, which is characterized by a simple data flow and a complicated analysis. The second type of problem uses an existing computer program designed to study multilevel optimization techniques. This problem is characterized by complicated data flow and a simple analysis. The paper shows that distributed computing can be a viable means for reducing computational turnaround time for engineering design problems that lend themselves to decomposition. Parallel computing can be accomplished with a minimal cost in terms of hardware and software.

Young, Katherine C.↗

Improved $b$-jet Energy Correction for $H \to b\bar{b}$ Searches at CDF

We present a method for improving the $b$-jet energy resolution in order to improve the signal sensitivity in searches for particles decaying to a $b$ quark and anti-$b$ quark. A correction function is computed for individual jets, which combines information from the secondary vertex tagger, the offline tracking and standard calorimeter-based jet-energy reconstruction algorithm in order to provide a more accurate measurement of the true $b$-quark energy. We apply the correction to Monte-Carlo-simulated jets in the process $WH \rightarrow \ell \nu b\bar b$ and find an improvement in both the mean and the resolution of the $b$-jet energy with respect to the $b$-quark energy. The correction improves the measured Higgs dijet invariant mass resolution from $\sim$ 15%(standard jet corrections) to $\sim$ 11%(improved jet corrections) in the Higgs mass range from 100 GeV/$c^2$ - 150 GeV/$c^2$. Using the corrected $b$-jet energies instead of the standard calorimeter-based $b$-jet energies results in a $\sim$ 9% improvement in the expected sensitivity for Higgs boson production cross section in the most sensitive search region of the $WH \rightarrow \ell \nu b\bar b$ analysis, which is two tagged jets and one charged central lepton.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Classification of Notices to Airmen using Natural Language Processing

This paper establishes the feasibility of using Natural Language Processing (NLP) to classify NOTAMs or Notices to Airmen – a pilot messaging framework to gather real-time situational awareness. Present day air mobility operations heavily rely on NOTAMs. However, pilots often have difficulty interpreting NOTAMs due to the sheer volume of inapplicable messages and unclear abbreviations. Using NLP, the presented study analyzes the accuracy of classifying NOTAMs and, thereby, the efficiency of generating actionable interpretations in real time. To this effect, efficacies of four NLP neural network architectures were analyzed, including three Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) with GloVe, Word2Vec, and FastText word embeddings, and one trained Bi-Directional Encoder Representations from Transformers (BERT) model. The four neural networks were trained and evaluated on three open-source datasets of varying text lengths, vocabularies, and grammars, taken from e-commerce product descriptions, social media tweets, and unstructured descriptions for data and analytics services on open data marketplaces such as NASA’s Data and Reasoning Fabric (DRF) platform. This provided cross-analysis of each neural network architecture’s performance per text type. The best performing architecture, BERT, was then fine-tuned on a collection of open-source NOTAM data. Post-training, a real-time NOTAM classification service was implemented to draw inference on new NOTAMs using the trained model, which demonstrated close to 99% accuracy in classification. This modular classification service is envisioned to be integrated with a data and analytics delivery platform, such as the DRF, thus availing real-time contextualization of NOTAMs to air mobility clients, humans, and machines for enhanced decision making.

Aiden C. Szeto↗

Classification of Notices to Airmen using Natural Language Processing

This paper establishes the feasibility of using Natural Language Processing (NLP) to classify NOTAMs or Notices to Airmen – a pilot messaging framework to gather real-time situational awareness. Present day air mobility operations heavily rely on NOTAMs. However, pilots often have difficulty interpreting NOTAMs due to the sheer volume of inapplicable messages and unclear abbreviations. Using NLP, the presented study analyzes the accuracy of classifying NOTAMs and, thereby, the efficiency of generating actionable interpretations in real time. To this effect, efficacies of four NLP neural network architectures were analyzed, including three Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) with GloVe, Word2Vec, and FastText word embeddings, and one trained Bi-Directional Encoder Representations from Transformers (BERT) model. The four neural networks were trained and evaluated on three open-source datasets of varying text lengths, vocabularies, and grammars, taken from e-commerce product descriptions, social media tweets, and unstructured descriptions for data and analytics services on open data marketplaces such as NASA’s Data and Reasoning Fabric (DRF) platform. This provided cross-analysis of each neural network architecture’s performance per text type. The best performing architecture, BERT, was then fine-tuned on a collection of open-source NOTAM data. Post-training, a real-time NOTAM classification service was implemented to draw inference on new NOTAMs using the trained model, which demonstrated close to 99% accuracy in classification. This modular classification service is envisioned to be integrated with a data and analytics delivery platform, such as the DRF, thus availing real-time contextualization of NOTAMs to air mobility clients, humans, and machines for enhanced decision making.

Aiden Szeto↗

SNPeffect: identifying functional roles of SNPs using metabolic networks

Genetic sources of phenotypic variation have been a focus of plant studies aimed at improving agricultural yield and understanding adaptive processes. Genome-wide association studies identify the genetic background behind a trait by examining associations between phenotypes and single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). Although such studies are common, biological interpretation of the results remains a challenge; especially due to the confounding nature of population structure and the systematic biases thus introduced. Here, we propose a complementary analysis (SNPeffect) that offers putative genotype-to-phenotype mechanistic interpretations by integrating biochemical knowledge encoded in metabolic models. SNPeffect is used to explain differential growth rate and metabolite accumulation in A. thaliana and P. trichocarpa accessions as the outcome of SNPs in enzyme-coding genes. To this end, we also constructed a genome-scale metabolic model for Populus trichocarpa, the first for a perennial woody tree. As expected, our results indicate that growth is a complex polygenic trait governed by carbon and energy partitioning. The predicted set of functional SNPs in both species are associated with experimentally characterized growth-determining genes and also suggest putative ones. Functional SNPs were found in pathways such as amino acid metabolism, nucleotide biosynthesis, and cellulose and lignin biosynthesis, in line with breeding strategies that target pathways governing carbon and energy partition.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗