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At least 1,495 records · Page 83

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NASA NTRS2022

Trends in Europe Storm Surge Extremes Match the Rate of Sea-level Rise

Coastal communities across the world are already feeling the disastrous impacts of climate change through variations in extreme sea levels1. These variations reflect the combined effect of sea-level rise and changes in storm surge activity. Understanding the relative importance of these two factors in altering the likelihood of extreme events is crucial to the success of coastal adaptation measures. Existing analyses of tide gauge records agree that sea-level rise has been a considerable driver of trends in sea-level extremes since at least 1960. However, the contribution from changes in storminess remains unclear, owing to the difficulty of inferring this contribution from sparse data and the consequent inconclusive results that have accumulated in the literature. Here we analyse tide gauge observations using spatial Bayesian methods to show that, contrary to current thought, trends in surge extremes and sea-level rise both made comparable contributions to the overall change in extreme sea levels in Europe since 1960 . We determine that the trend pattern of surge extremes reflects the contributions from a dominant north–south dipole associated with internal climate variability and a single-sign positive pattern related to anthropogenic forcing. Our results demonstrate that both external and internal influences can considerably affect the likelihood of surge extremes over periods as long as 60 years, suggesting that the current coastal planning practice of assuming stationary surge extremes might be inadequate.

Francisco M Calafat↗

NASA NTRS2022

The extended atmosphere and circumstellar environment of the cool evolved star VX Sagittarii as seen by MATISSE

Context. VX Sgr is a cool, evolved, and luminous red star whose stellar parameters are difficult to determine, which affects its classification. Aims. We aim to spatially resolve the photospheric extent as well as the circumstellar environment. Methods. We used interferometric observations obtained with the MATISSE instrument in the L (3–4 μm), M (4.5–5 μm), and N (8–13 μm) bands. We reconstructed monochromatic images using the MIRA software. We used 3D radiation-hydrodynamics simulations carried out with CO5BOLD and a uniform disc model to estimate the apparent diameter and interpret the stellar surface structures. Moreover, we employed the radiative transfer codes OPTIM3D and RADMC3D to compute the spectral energy distribution for the L, M, and N bands, respectively. Results. MATISSE observations unveil, for the first time, the morphology of VX Sgr across the L, M, and N bands. The reconstructed images show a complex morphology with brighter areas whose characteristics depend on the wavelength probed. We measured the angular diameter as a function of the wavelength and showed that the photospheric extent in the L and M bands depends on the opacity through the atmosphere. In addition to this, we also concluded that the observed photospheric inhomogeneities can be interpreted as convection-related surface structures. The comparison in the N band yielded a qualitative agreement between the N-band spectrum and simple dust radiative transfer simulations. However, it is not possible to firmly conclude on the interpretation of the current data because of the difficulty in constraing the model parameters using the limited accuracy of our absolute flux calibration. Conclusions. MATISSE observations and the derived reconstructed images unveil the appearance of VX Sgr’s stellar surface and circumstellar environment across a very large spectral domain for the first time.

stars: atmospheres↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Determining Crop Coefficients Using Remote Sensing for the Maipo River Valley Basin in Chile

Agriculture is the primary use of water in the Maipo River Valley of Central Chile, accounting for ~ 75% of the total demand. Assessment of irrigation needs for agricultural production has commonly relied on reference crop coefficients (Kc) derived from geographic and climatic conditions that differ from those of Chile. This work focused on calculating site-specific Kc values tailored to crop production in the water-stressed Maipo River Valley over consecutive growing seasons from 2019 to 2022. Two distinct approaches were implemented, each relying on remotely-sensed NASA Earth observation datasets. The first method estimated Kc values based on the linear relationship with the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) obtained from either Terra Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) or Landsat 8 Operational Land Imager (OLI) surface reflectance. The second technique leveraged information from the ISS Ecosystem Spaceborne Thermal Radiometer Experiment on Space Station (ECOSTRESS) by computing the ratio between actual crop evapotranspiration and potential evapotranspiration. The former approach best captured vegetation signals of annual crops while the latter appeared best suited for perennials. Overall, this study provides a strong basis and novel way to accurately estimate Kc using remote sensing, with the potential for improved irrigation management and reduction in water consumption.

Rishudh Thadur↗

NASA NTRS2022

Remote Sensing of Aerosol Water Fraction, Dry Size Distribution and Soluble Fraction Using Multi-Angle, Multi-Spectral Polarimetry

A framework to infer volume water fraction, soluble fraction and dry size distributions of fine-mode aerosol from multi-angle, multi-spectral polarimetry retrievals of column-averaged ambient aerosol properties is presented. The method is applied to observations of the Research Scanning Polarimeter (RSP) obtained during two NASA aircraft campaigns, namely the Aerosol Cloud meTeorology Interactions oVer the western ATlantic Experiment (ACTIVATE) and the Cloud, Aerosol, and Monsoon Processes Philippines Experiment (CAMP2Ex). All aerosol retrievals are statistically evaluated using in situ data. Volume water fraction is inferred from the retrieved ambient real part of the refractive index, assuming a dry refractive index of 1.54 and by applying a volume mixing rule to obtain the effective ambient refractive index. The uncertainties in inferred volume water fraction resulting from this simplified model are discussed and estimated to be lower than 0.2 and decreasing with increasing volume water fraction. The daily mean retrieved volume water fractions correlate well with the in situ values with a mean absolute difference of 0.09. Polarimeter-retrieved ambient effective radius for daily data is shown to increase as a function of volume water fraction as expected. Furthermore, the effective variance of the size distributions also increases with increasing effective radius, which we show is consistent with an external mixture of soluble and insoluble aerosol. The relative variations of effective radius and variance over an observation period are then used to estimate the soluble fraction of the aerosol. Daily results of soluble fraction correlate well with in situ-observed sulfate mass fraction with a correlation coefficient of 0.79. Subsequently, inferred water and soluble fractions are used to derive dry fine-mode size distributions from their ambient counterparts. While dry effective radii obtained in situ and from RSP show similar ranges, in situ values are generally substantially smaller during the ACTIVATE deployments, which may be due to biases in RSP retrievals or in the in situ observations, or both. Both RSP and in situ observations indicate the dominance of aerosol with low hygroscopicity during the ACTIVATE and CAMP2Ex campaigns. Furthermore, RSP indicates a high degree of external mixing of particles with low and high hygroscopicity. These retrievals of fine-mode water volume fraction and soluble fraction may be used for the evaluation of water uptake in atmospheric models. Furthermore, the framework allows us to estimate the variation in the concentration of fine-mode aerosol larger than a specific dry radius limit, which can be used as a proxy for the variation in cloud condensation nucleus concentrations. This framework may be applied to multi-angle, multi-spectral satellite data expected to be available in the near future.

Amount of water in particulate matter↗

NASA NTRS2022

Remote Sensing of Aerosol Water Fraction, Dry Size Distribution and Soluble Fraction Using Multi-Angle, Multi-Spectral Polarimetry

A framework to infer volume water fraction, soluble fraction and dry size distributions of fine mode aerosol from multi-angle, multi-spectral polarimetry retrievals of column-averaged ambient aerosol properties is presented. The method is applied to observations of the Research Scanning Polarimeter (RSP) obtained during two NASA aircraft campaigns, namely the Aerosol Cloud meTeorology Interactions oVer the western ATlantic Experiment (ACTIVATE) and the Cloud, Aerosol, and Monsoon Processes-Philippines Experiment (CAMP2Ex). All aerosol retrievals are statistically evaluated using in situ data. Volume water fraction is inferred from the retrieved ambient real part of the refractive index, assuming a dry refractive index of 1.54 and by applying a volume mixing rule to obtain the effective ambient refractive index. The uncertainties in inferred volume water fraction resulting from this simplified model are discussed and estimated to be lower than 0.2 and decreasing with increasing volume water fraction. The daily mean retrieved volume water fractions correlate well with the in situ values with a mean absolute difference of 0.09. Polarimeter-retrieved ambient effective radius for daily data is shown to increase as a function of volume water fraction as expected. Furthermore, the effective variance of the size distributions also increases with increasing effective radius, which we show is consistent with an external mixture of soluble and insoluble aerosol. The relative variations of effective radius and variance over an observation period are then used to estimate the soluble fraction of the aerosol. Daily results of soluble fraction correlate well with in situ observed sulfate mass fraction with a correlation coefficient of 0.79. Subsequently, inferred water and soluble fractions are used to derive dry fine-mode size distributions from their ambient counterparts. While dry effective radii obtained in situ and from RSP show similar ranges, in situ values are generally substantially smaller during the ACTIVATE deployments, which may be due to biases in RSP retrievals or in the in situ observations, or both. Both RSP and in situ observations indicate the dominance of aerosol with low hygroscopicity during the ACTIVATE and CAMP2Ex campaigns. Furthermore, RSP indicates a high degree of external mixing of particles with low and high hygroscopicity. These retrievals of fine mode water volume fraction and soluble fraction may be used for the evaluation of water uptake in atmospheric models. Furthermore, the framework allows to estimate the variation in the concentration of fine-mode aerosol larger than a specific dry radius limit, which can be used as a proxy for the variation in cloud condensation nucleus concentrations. This framework may be applied to multi-angle, multi-spectral satellite data expected to be available in the near future.

Bastiaan Van Diedenhoven↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Emergence of Complex Modes in Lightly Damped Structural Systems

In this short presentation format, we will provide a set of useful equations, relationships, and physical interpretations direct from the damped two-mode interaction problem. We will demonstrate that the results from the two-mode interaction problem are in direct agreement with observed test data. Practical methods for estimating the parameters driving the relations direct from modal test data are provided. We finalize with two examples demonstrating weak and strong interactions.

spaceflight hardware↗

NASA NTRS2019

Assessing the Iterative Finite Difference Mass Balance and 4D‐Var Methods to Derive Ammonia Emissions Over North America Using Synthetic Observations

Explore the source record for details and available documents.

Chi Li↗

DOE OSTI2018

Emulating Baryonic Effects in Weak Lensing Measurements

Baryonic effects are one of the most serious systematics to the tomographic analysis of weak lensing statistical measurements. We are working on a novel method for correcting cosmological observations for baryonic effects - a term used to label the fact that we observe galaxies, while theoretical modeling at present is only accurate enough for the dynamics of dark matter. Although modern cosmological simulations of dark matter (the “dark matter only", or DMO simulations) consistently reach the required 1% level of precision, the effect of baryonic physics on cosmological scales is expected to be a source of a much more severe systematic error in weak lensing measurements. In this analysis we apply a general framework to consistently include systematic effects into a likelihood analysis for cosmological surveys, such as the Dark Energy Survey (DES), and future Large Synoptic Survey Telescope survey (LSST).

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2022

Methods and systems for evaluating and improving distribution-grid observability

This document describes systems and techniques for evaluating and improving distribution-grid observability. These systems and techniques allow engineers to quantify the observability of a distribution grid, which represents an ability to combine actual measurements and various types of computations (e.g., analytics, estimators, forecasters), from a system model. Distribution engineers can also identify islands of observability where operating parameters, including voltages, currents, and power flows, can be determined from available sensor readings. By exclusion, distribution engineers can similarly identify areas of the distribution grid with observability deficiencies that may require additional instrumentation to maintain proper operation. Distribution engineers, using an iterative or automated process, can determine the observability of the system model with new or relocated sensors to generate a sensor allocation plan. The sensor allocation plan can indicate the number and location of sensors to either maximize observability for a fixed sensor cost or minimize sensor cost for predetermined observability.

Reiman, Anthony P.↗

DOE OSTI2015

Hanford single-shell tank sidewall coring Project - 15548

As part of an enhanced Single-Shell Tank (SST) integrity project, Washington River Protection Solutions, the US DOE Hanford site Tank Operations Contractor, established an expert panel to provide recommendations for implementation of the project. In one of the main areas of interest, structural integrity, the panel recommended obtaining and testing a vertical core from the entire depth of the sidewall for SSTs that have leaked and have been operated at high temperatures for extended periods. Due to concerns over handling contaminated samples, the panel later recommended that the evaluation focus only on thermal degradation. SST 241-A-106 was selected as the best choice for sidewall coring based on heat exposure and other factors. During site preparation activities, nondestructive testing and evaluation of the exposed tank dome and sidewall was performed using impact echo, spectral analysis of surface waves, and sonic echo/impulse response acoustic wave test methods. Good results were observed in the tests performed on the dome, but results were inconclusive for the full wall height due to signal damping. Results indicated that no cracking was predicted in the upper wall. Sidewall coring of tank A-106 was completed over two weeks in May 2014. Over 38 feet of concrete core was successfully removed, to a depth approximately halfway through the tank footing. Nondestructive and destructive physical testing of the concrete core specimens was successfully performed and included visual examination and determination of transverse and longitudinal resonant frequency and dynamic modulus of elasticity; pulse velocity; static modulus of elasticity; Poisson's ratio; and compressive strength. The testing indicated favorable results with values generally greater, and in many cases significantly greater, than expected in comparison with the values originally specified and those used in the current structural analysis of record. Petrographic analysis was performed to assess the quality and condition of the concrete and the extent of any deterioration or deleterious reactions occurring within the concrete, and determined that the concrete within the examined core segments is in overall good condition, with a minor amount of microcracking and minor evidence of deleterious mechanisms that do not appear to have significantly affected the overall quality and integrity of the concrete. The results of the testing performed on the concrete core removed from the sidewall of SST 241-A-106 do not reveal any deficiencies with the structural integrity of the tank. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2025

Time correlations from steady-state expectation values

Recovering properties of correlation functions is typically challenging. On one hand, experimentally, it requires measurements with a temporal resolution finer than the system's dynamics. On the other hand, analytical or numerical analysis requires solving the system evolution. Here, we use recent results of quantum metrology with continuous measurements to derive general lower bounds on the relaxation and second-order correlation times that are both easy to calculate and measure. These bounds are based solely on steady-state expectation values and their derivatives with respect to a control parameter, and can be readily extended to the autocorrelation of arbitrary observables. We validate our method on two examples of critical quantum systems: a critical driven-dissipative resonator, where the bound matches analytical results for the dynamics, and the infinite-range Ising model, where only the steady state is solvable and thus the bound provides information beyond the reach of existing analytical approaches. Our results can be applied to experimentally characterize ultrafast systems, and to theoretically analyze many-body models with dynamics that are analytically or numerically hard.

Górecki, Wojciech [INFN, Pavia]↗

DOE OSTI2025

Time correlations from steady-state expectation values

Górecki, Wojciech [INFN, Pavia]↗

NASA NTRS1971

Lunar rilles: A catalog and method of classification

A representative sample of lunar rilles observed on Lunar Orbiter 4 and 5 photographs is presented. A method of classification of rilles is described which will provide a means of quantitatively grouping rilles of similar planemetric shape. The method is based on a finite Fourier approximation of the edge of the rille. It provides an adequate approximation to all planemetric characteristics of the rille except rille recurvature.

Oberbeck, V. R.↗

NASA NTRS1996

Model Insensitive and Calibration Independent Method for Determination of the Downstream Neutral Hydrogen Density Through Ly-alpha Glow Observations

Our knowledge of the various heliospheric phenomena (location of the solar wind termination shock, heliopause configuration and very local interstellar medium parameters) is limited by uncertainties in the available heliospheric plasma models and by calibration uncertainties in the observing instruments. There is, thus, a strong motivation to develop model insensitive and calibration independent methods to reduce the uncertainties in the relevant heliospheric parameters. We have developed such a method to constrain the downstream neutral hydrogen density inside the heliospheric tail. In our approach we have taken advantage of the relative insensitivity of the downstream neutral hydrogen density profile to the specific plasma model adopted. We have also used the fact that the presence of an asymmetric neutral hydrogen cavity surrounding the sun, characteristic of all neutral densities models, results in a higher multiple scattering contribution to the observed glow in the downstream region than in the upstream region. This allows us to approximate the actual density profile with one which is spatially uniform for the purpose of calculating the downstream backscattered glow. Using different spatially constant density profiles, radiative transfer calculations are performed, and the radial dependence of the predicted glow is compared with the observed I/R dependence of Pioneer 10 UV data. Such a comparison bounds the large distance heliospheric neutral hydrogen density in the downstream direction to a value between 0.05 and 0.1/cc.

Gangopadhyay, P.↗

NASA NTRS1982

On the detection of other planetary systems by astrometric techniques

A quantitative method for astrometrically detecting perturbations induced in a star's motion by the presence of a planetary object is described. A periodogram is defined, wherein signals observed from a star show exactly periodic variations, which can be extracted from observational data using purely statistical methods. A detection threshold is defined for the frequency of occurrence of some detectable signal, e.g., the Nyquist frequency. Possible effects of a stellar orbital eccentricity and multiple companions are discussed, noting that assumption of a circular orbit assures the spectral purity of the signal described. The periodogram technique was applied to 12 yr of astrometric data from the U.S. Naval Observatory for three stars with low mass stellar companions. Periodic perturbations were confirmed. A comparison of the accuracy of different astrometric systems shows that the detection accuracy of a system is determined by the measurement accuracy and the number of observations, although the detection efficiency can be maximized by minimizing the number of data points for the case when observational errors are proportional to the square root of the number of data points. It is suggested that a space-based astrometric telescope is best suited to take advantage of the method.

Black, D. C.↗

DOE OSTI2025

A direct detection method of galaxy intrinsic ellipticity-gravitational shear correlation in non-linear regimes using self-calibration

Intrinsic alignment (IA) of galaxies is a challenging source of contamination in the Cosmic shear (GG) signals. The galaxy intrinsic ellipticity-gravitational shear (IG) correlation is generally the most dominant component of such contamination for cross-correlating redshift bins. One of the most effective techniques to mitigate such contamination is the self-calibration (SC) method which extracts the IG correlation and allows for its removal from the GG signal. In a photometric survey, the SC method first extracts the galaxy number density-galaxy intrinsic ellipticity (gI) correlation from the observed galaxy-galaxy lensing correlation using the redshift dependence of lens-source pairs. The IG correlation is computed through a scaling relation using the gI correlation and other lensing observables. The applicability of the SC method has so far been focused on the linear IA scales and the linear galaxy bias. We extend the SC method beyond the linear regime by modifying its scaling relation which can account for the non-linear galaxy bias model and various IA models. In this study, we provide a framework to detect the IG correlation for the redshift bins for source galaxies for the proposed year 1 survey of the Rubin Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST Y1). We tested the method for the tidal alignment and tidal torquing (TATT) model of IA and we found that the scaling relation is accurate within 10% and 20% for cross-correlating and auto-correlating redshift bins, respectively. Hence the suppression of IG contamination in observed GG correlation can be accomplished with a factor of 10 and 5, for cross-correlating and auto-correlating redshift bins, respectively. We tested the method's robustness and found that the suppression of IG contamination by a factor of 5 is still achievable for all combinations of cross-correlating bins even with the inclusion of a moderate amount of uncertainties on IA and bias parameters, respectively. We also make available, a branch of the code FAST-PT to provide gI correlations up to 1-loop order term used by the new SC method.

gravitational lensing↗

NASA NTRS2002

In-Situ Measurements of HCN and CH3CN In the Pacific Troposphere: Sources, Sinks, and Comparisons with Satellite Observations

A new capillary gas chromatographic method using a Reduction Gas Detector was developed to measure HCN and CH3CN in the remote troposphere. This instrumental configuration was deployed for the very first time in the Trace-P field mission performed during the spring of 2001. The NASA DC-8 aircraft afforded an opportunity to measure HCN and CH3CN in polluted and pristine environments over the Pacific to a maximum altitude of 12 km. These are some of the first in situ measurements of the distribution of HCN and CH3CN over the Pacific. Large background concentrations of both nitriles were found to be present and significant variability was observed. The abundance of HCN and CH3CN was strongly impacted by outflow of pollution from Asia. In general there appeared to be a direct but nonlinear relationship between the mixing ratios of HCN and CH3CN. The vertical structure of these chemicals shows direct evidence of the presence of a significant oceanic sink. These observations will be compared with the column content HCN data from satellites and other available measurements. A large body of data have been collected and are being analyzed, both statistically and with the help of models, to better understand the sources and sinks of these nitriles. These results will be presented.

Singh, Hanwant B.↗

DOE OSTI2017

Quasi-periodic Pulse Amplitude Modulation in the Accreting Millisecond Pulsar IGR J00291+5934

We introduce a new method for analyzing the aperiodic variability of coherent pulsations in accreting millisecond X-ray pulsars (AMXPs). Our method involves applying a complex frequency correction to the time-domain light curve, allowing for the aperiodic modulation of the pulse amplitude to be robustly extracted in the frequency domain. We discuss the statistical properties of the resulting modulation spectrum and show how it can be correlated with the non-pulsed emission to determine if the periodic and aperiodic variability are coupled processes. Using this method, we study the 598.88 Hz coherent pulsations of the AMXP IGR J00291+5934 as observed with the Rossi X-ray Timing Explorer and XMM-Newton . We demonstrate that our method easily confirms the known coupling between the pulsations and a strong 8 mHz quasi-periodic oscillation (QPO) in XMM-Newton observations. Applying our method to the RXTE observations, we further show, for the first time, that the much weaker 20 mHz QPO and its harmonic are also coupled with the pulsations. We discuss the implications of this coupling and indicate how it may be used to extract new information on the underlying accretion process.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗