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The geology, geochemistry, and geographic distribution of southern Idaho obsidian

The Snake River Plain Volcanic Province of Southern Idaho is host to an abundance of pyroclastic obsidian deposits that constitute the principal lithic raw material utilized by Native Americans of the region throughout the Precontact Period. Archaeologists have long looked to obsidian as a source of information on past patterns of raw material selection, landscape use, and mobility through geochemical analysis of obsidian artifacts and lithic raw materials. Formation of the Snake River Plain through cataclysmic “super-eruptions” of the Yellowstone hotspot, however, presents one of the most complex and poorly understood obsidian source-scapes of North America. To clarify the geographic distribution of Southern Idaho obsidian source groups, the INL CRMO has compiled a comprehensive reference library of geologic obsidian from 138 source locales distributed across the southern half of the state. In this report, we define 28 geochemically distinct obsidian source groups that occur at these deposits through X-ray Fluorescence spectrometry and contextualize the geographic distribution of each source group relative to the history of silicic magmatism on the Snake River Plain. This research facilitates ongoing investigations at the INL CRMO into patterns of obsidian procurement, conveyance, and exchange in Southern Idaho throughout the Precontact Period.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Air Pollution Inputs to the Mojave Desert By Fusing Surface Mobile and Airborne in Situ and Airborne and Satellite Remote Sensing: A Case Study of Interbasin Transport With Numerical Model Validation

Deserts are fragile and highly sensitive ecosystems that increasingly are affected by upwind urban areas and industrial activities. The Los Angeles Basin (LAB) contributes to poor air quality in downwind deserts including the Mojave Desert. Few studies have investigated potential air pollution inputs to the Mojave, whose fragile ecosystem includes endangered plant and animal species. Data were collected on 19 August 2015 by a mobile air quality laboratory, AMOG (AutoMObile trace Gas) Surveyor, that observed inputs can arise from the LAB as well as the San Joaquin Valley (SJV), California. The campaign used a strong methane (CH4) plume as a tracer for the downwind fate of emissions from Bakersfield area petroleum production and also measured ozone (O3). Additional in situ concurrent airborne GHG and O3 data were collected by AJAX - Alpha Jet Atmospheric eXperiment. Both AMOG and AJAX measure winds. Mojave Desert air quality was very poor (visibility ~4 km). Based on the winds, an additional source was inferred beyond the LAB and SJV Basins. Numerical transport modeling and analysis of aerosol lidar data collected the same day by the Cloud Profiling LiDAR onboard the Earth Research-2 stratospheric airplane demonstrated that fires in Northern California were responsible, with prevailing winds transporting air southwards along the eastern Sierra Nevada Range (Bishop Valley) to the Mojave. Whereas the southern and eastern Mojave are impacted by SJV and LAB outflow, the north Mojave generally avoids these inputs. This study shows it can be affected by even distant wildfires, which likely will increase in occurrence and intensity from climate change. Thus, regulatory efforts to reduce air quality impacts on the endangered Mojave ecosystem must include wildfires and also account for the significant differences between different regions of the Mojave. Currently, there is a paucity of studies, highlighting the critical need for field research.

Ira Leifer↗

Unravelling Magnetic Nanochain Formation in Dispersion for In Vivo Applications

Self-assembly of iron oxide nanoparticles (IONPs) into 1D chains is appealing, because of their biocompatibility and higher mobility compared to 2D/3D assemblies while traversing the circulatory passages and blood vessels for in vivo biomedical applications. In this work, parameters such as size, concentration, composition, and magnetic field, responsible for chain formation of IONPs in a dispersion as opposed to spatially confining substrates, are examined. In particular, the monodisperse 27 nm IONPs synthesized by an extended LaMer mechanism are shown to form chains at 4 mT, which are lengthened with applied field reaching 270 nm at 2.2 T. The chain lengths are completely reversible in field. Using a combination of scattering methods and reverse Monte Carlo simulations the formation of chains is directly visualized. The visualization of real-space IONPs assemblies formed in dispersions presents a novel tool for biomedical researchers. This allows for rapid exploration of the behavior of IONPs in solution in a broad parameter space and unambiguous extraction of the parameters of the equilibrium structures. Additionally, it can be extended to study novel assemblies formed by more complex geometries of IONPs.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Transportation Hub Infrastructure Expansion: Decision Support Under Uncertainty

The Athena project (www.athena-mobility.org) has worked to investigate the relationship between the Dallas-Fort Worth Airport (DFW) and the greater Dallas area in order to better understand and therefore better inform future decision-making regarding the critical infrastructure that influence mobility between the airport and the city. Through this work, infrastructure related to curbside pickup and drop-off, parking, public transit, and the road network congestion were identified as critical to the operation of the DFW transportation hub. The infrastructure analysis and expansion aspect of the Athena project is focused on the restructuring of the CTA curb as a hierarchical curb and the building or repurposing of parking infrastructure as the interplay between these two areas. Many sources of uncertainty exist that may impact future airport and transportation hub operations, such as passenger volume growth, population demographic changes over time, electric vehicle (EV) adoption rates, and autonomous vehicle (AV) adoption rates. Due to these sources of uncertainty, we have selected for our research a modeling framework that can capture various types of uncertainty and hedge against those uncertainties in the optimization process. We analyze road network and curb congestion, the rise of transportation networking companies, trends in parking usage, existing policies around this infrastructure, airport revenue streams, and other contributing factors to enable infrastructure decision making with less uncertainty. To accomplish this wholistic analysis, we have developed a novel multi-stage, multi-period stochastic optimization model which considers the airport's decisions from 2025-2045 under different possible future macro trajectories and day-to-day variations in operational conditions captured as "annual representation of operations" scenarios with respective probabilities. This model has also been designed to leverage the outputs of various efforts under the Athena project to create a combined decision framework for infrastructure decisions. These various efforts include the route optimization model, the ASPIRES simulation, the mode choice model, and the SUMO traffic simulation. Our computational experiments of this system at scale have resulted in a working version of our infrastructure model which enables the explicit representation and consideration of various sources of uncertainty in the decision process to enable robust, flexible decision-making. This model has been effectively run on NREL's HPC system, Eagle, with large numbers of stochastic scenarios and shows promise as a scalable tool for robust consideration of uncertainties in airport planning. We have tested our model using 30,240 operational circumstances in total, resulting in a problem with more 200 million variables. This model was solved in several different configurations, and a workflow to simulate the performance of the infrastructure model results was developed and deployed. In general, our results indicate that a combination of remote parking, remote curb infrastructure, and dynamic pricing can generate revenue, reduce emissions, accommodate emerging technologies such as AVs and EVs, and manage airport passenger growth over time. We note the success of the proposed strategy depends on the data collection and forecasting abilities of DFW. We have also seen that the AV adoption by TNCs might necessitate larger amounts of remote curb. The results of this work inform strategies for airport infrastructure decision making, as well as demonstrate the value of an adaptable model, but also indicate that there are avenues remaining where further research would be of value.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Expanding standards in viromics: in silico evaluation of dsDNA viral genome identification, classification, and auxiliary metabolic gene curation

Viruses influence global patterns of microbial diversity and nutrient cycles. Though viral metagenomics (viromics), specifically targeting dsDNA viruses, has been critical for revealing viral roles across diverse ecosystems, its analyses differ in many ways from those used for microbes. To date, viromics benchmarking has covered read pre-processing, assembly, relative abundance, read mapping thresholds and diversity estimation, but other steps would benefit from benchmarking and standardization. Here we use in silico-generated datasets and an extensive literature survey to evaluate and highlight how dataset composition (i.e., viromes vs bulk metagenomes) and assembly fragmentation impact (i) viral contig identification tool, (ii) virus taxonomic classification, and (iii) identification and curation of auxiliary metabolic genes (AMGs). The in silico benchmarking of five commonly used virus identification tools show that gene-content-based tools consistently performed well for long (≥3 kbp) contigs, while k -mer- and blast-based tools were uniquely able to detect viruses from short (≤3 kbp) contigs. Notably, however, the performance increase of k -mer- and blast-based tools for short contigs was obtained at the cost of increased false positives (sometimes up to ~5% for virome and ~75% bulk samples), particularly when eukaryotic or mobile genetic element sequences were included in the test datasets. Furthermore, for viral classification, variously sized genome fragments were assessed using gene-sharing network analytics to quantify drop-offs in taxonomic assignments, which revealed correct assignations ranging from ~95% (whole genomes) down to ~80% (3 kbp sized genome fragments). A similar trend was also observed for other viral classification tools such as VPF-class, ViPTree and VIRIDIC, suggesting that caution is warranted when classifying short genome fragments and not full genomes. Finally, we highlight how fragmented assemblies can lead to erroneous identification of AMGs and outline a best-practices workflow to curate candidate AMGs in viral genomes assembled from metagenomes. Together, these benchmarking experiments and annotation guidelines should aid researchers seeking to best detect, classify, and characterize the myriad viruses ‘hidden’ in diverse sequence datasets.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Preferred Negative Geotactic Orientation in Mobile Cells: Tetrahymena Results

For the protozoan species Tetrahymena a series of airplane experiments are reported, which varied gravity as an active laboratory parameter and tested for corresponding changes in geotaxic orientation of single cells. The airplane achieved altemating periods of low (0.01 g) and high (1.8 g, g = 980 cm/s) gravity by flying repeated Keplerian parabolas. The experimental design was undertaken to clearly distinguish gravity from competing aerodynamic and chemical gradients. In this way, each culture served as its own control, with gravity level alone determining the orientational changes. On average, 6.3% of the Tetrahymena oriented vertically in low gravity, while 27% oriented vertically in high-gravity phases. Simplified physical models are explored for describing these cell trajectores as a function of gravity, aerodynamic drag, and lift. The notable effect of gravity on turning behavior is emphasized as the biophysical cause of the observed negative geotaxis in Tetrahymena. A fundamental investigation of the biological gravity receptor (it it exists) and improved modeling for vertical migration in important types of ocean plankton motivate the present research.

Noever, David A.↗

Toxicology and Biodegradability of Blendstocks for Mixing Controlled Compression Ignition Combustion: Literature Review of Available Data

The goal of the U.S. Department of Energy’s Co-Optima project is to develop an understanding of potential biomass-derived blendstocks for use in the transportation sector. This report documents the estimated environmental and toxicological impact of potential bioblendstocks for mixing controlled compression ignition (MCCI) engines. The candidate molecules were: 2-nonanol; n-undecane; 2,6,10-trimethyldodecane; 5-ethyl-4-propylnonane; hexylhexanoate; methyldecanoate; dibutoxymethane; 4-butoxyheptane; dipentylether; renewable diesel; and soy biodiesel. To provide a robust comparison, diesel surrogate molecules were also considered: α-methylnaphthalene; decahydronaphthalene; 2,2,4,4,6,8,8-heptamethylnonane; n-butylcyclohexane; n-hexadecane; tetralin; and n-dodecylbenzene. The intent of this work was not to provide absolute answers and remove any molecules from consideration, but to provide more robust data for each molecule that can be used in subsequent evaluations. Little literature data was available for many of the molecules, both potential blendstocks and diesel surrogates, so a quantitative structural activity relationship (QSAR) approach was used to provide input into the relevant models. This assessment included an evaluation of compartment partitioning in the event of an accidental chemical spill, fate and transport indicators, estimated biodegradability, and human and environmental toxicology. The higher molecular weight and longer hydrocarbon chain lengths of these MCCI molecules reduce water solubility and mobility. Generally, the oxygenated molecules improved biodegradability metrics. The hydrocarbons farnesane and 5-Et-4-PrNonane are not predicted to be biodegradable. Human acute toxicity was found to be slightly to non-toxic for the MCCI blendstocks and the diesel surrogates. 2-Nonanol, undecane, MeDecanoate, dibutoxymethane, and dipentylether were likely developmental toxicants. Although poorly water soluble, all the compounds, whether Co-Optima blendstocks or diesel surrogates, showed significant toxicity to D. magna. The oxygenated blendstocks were less likely to bioaccumulate than the non-oxygenated blendstocks, which behaved similar to the diesel surrogates. Overall, this predicted analysis showed that the MCCI blendstocks are very similar to their diesel counterparts. No significant showstoppers were found that would indicate concern moving forward with additional research into these potential fuels. The results presented were based solely on predictive models and serve to provide information going forward for continued evaluation of these molecules.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Assessing subtle variations in the actinyl oxo reactivity through characterization of neptunyl complexes. Final Report

Formation of the actinyl cation, [An(V,VI)O 2 ] n+ (n = 1,2), imparts unique chemical properties to the lighter actinide elements (U, Np, and Pu) that has yet to be fully understood. The axial O atoms (oxo) of the [An(VI)O 2 ] 2+ are considered weak Lewis bases that exhibit only meager interact with other metal cations and regarded as poor hydrogen acceptors for nearby water molecules. Oxo atoms of [An(V)O 2 ] + should engage in stronger bonding interactions due to a higher degree of Lewis basicity, but the actual interactions have yet to be fully explored. Intermolecular interactions can impact radionuclide separations, corrosion of spent fuel, and mobility of actinides in environmental systems; there is, therefore, a critical need to understand how the subtle difference in electronic properties of the An(V) and An(VI) metal center influence actinyl chemistry. The objective of this proposal was to determine the chemical components that influence the intermolecular interactions occurring between neptunyl ([Np(V)O 2 ] + and [Np(VI)O 2 ] 2+ ) cations and neighboring species. My overall hypothesis was that the intermolecular attraction that occurs between the neptunyl oxo atoms and neighboring species (H atoms, low-valent cations, actinyl cations) is primarily controlled by the electronic properties of the actinyl cation, but can be further influenced by the electron donating properties of the equatorial ligands. The hypothesis was tested through the following research objectives: (1) Determine the fundamental differences in H-bonding between Np(V)O 2+ and Np(VI)O 2 2+ and neighboring donor molecules; (2) Identify the major differences in bonding between low-valence metal cations and neptunyl oxo groups, and (3) Assess the impact of the equatorial ligand on the formation of cation-cation interactions within molecular species. Major outcomes of the research include: (1) More precisely identifying oxo interactions (actinyl-cation; actinyl-actinyl, actinyl-hydrogen) and the factors that impact the vibrational modes for actinyl cation; (2) Identification of H-bonding modes for the [An(V,VI)O 2 ] n+ (n = 1,2), with direct H-bonding interactions to the oxo group of the Np(V)O 2+ cation more prevalent than in hexavalent species and recognition of the importance of H-bonding networks, that can impart bond asymmetry and activation of vibrational modes with the actinyl moiety; (3) Delineation of the importance of charge density for engaging the cation-oxo interaction for both pentavalent and hexavalent species; (4) Determining the importance of sterics and ligand binding in formation of specific actinyl-actinyl interactions and the resulting vibrational modes associated with this bonding motify and (5) Understanding how the functionalization of the ligand can impact redox stability of neptunyl cations. Deliverables from this work include 11 peer-reviewed manuscripts and 13 (including six by graduate students) oral/poster presentations.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

MERRA Analytic Services: Meeting the Big Data Challenges of Climate Science Through Cloud-enabled Climate Analytics-as-a-service

Climate science is a Big Data domain that is experiencing unprecedented growth. In our efforts to address the Big Data challenges of climate science, we are moving toward a notion of Climate Analytics-as-a-Service (CAaaS). We focus on analytics, because it is the knowledge gained from our interactions with Big Data that ultimately produce societal benefits. We focus on CAaaS because we believe it provides a useful way of thinking about the problem: a specialization of the concept of business process-as-a-service, which is an evolving extension of IaaS, PaaS, and SaaS enabled by Cloud Computing. Within this framework, Cloud Computing plays an important role; however, we it see it as only one element in a constellation of capabilities that are essential to delivering climate analytics as a service. These elements are essential because in the aggregate they lead to generativity, a capacity for self-assembly that we feel is the key to solving many of the Big Data challenges in this domain. MERRA Analytic Services (MERRAAS) is an example of cloud-enabled CAaaS built on this principle. MERRAAS enables MapReduce analytics over NASAs Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications (MERRA) data collection. The MERRA reanalysis integrates observational data with numerical models to produce a global temporally and spatially consistent synthesis of 26 key climate variables. It represents a type of data product that is of growing importance to scientists doing climate change research and a wide range of decision support applications. MERRAAS brings together the following generative elements in a full, end-to-end demonstration of CAaaS capabilities: (1) high-performance, data proximal analytics, (2) scalable data management, (3) software appliance virtualization, (4) adaptive analytics, and (5) a domain-harmonized API. The effectiveness of MERRAAS has been demonstrated in several applications. In our experience, Cloud Computing lowers the barriers and risk to organizational change, fosters innovation and experimentation, facilitates technology transfer, and provides the agility required to meet our customers' increasing and changing needs. Cloud Computing is providing a new tier in the data services stack that helps connect earthbound, enterprise-level data and computational resources to new customers and new mobility-driven applications and modes of work. For climate science, Cloud Computing's capacity to engage communities in the construction of new capabilies is perhaps the most important link between Cloud Computing and Big Data.

Data Analytics↗

Nasa GeneLab Computomics Reveal Horizontal Gene Transfer on International Space Station Environmental Metagenomes

Prokaryotic lifeforms can be observed to demonstrate many keen adaptive advantages, perhaps facilitated by a nature simplistic relative to divergent domains of life. In particular, decompartmentalized gene expression facilitates adaptation by allowing free exchange of genetic material, albeit at the cost of increased susceptibility to genetic damage. Thus, these lifeforms must compensate by embracing diverse investment strategies in an attempt to “brute force” the evolvability equation through precipitous genesis, lean metabolic efficiency, and sheer population. This prokaryotic archetype also enables symbiotic relationships with secondary mobile genetic elements known as plasmids, which have been shown to drive evolution on rapid temporal scales through processes such as conjugation and transformation. This study attempts to decipher whether these mechanisms of horizontal gene transfer (HGT) are major factors in determining prokaryote fitness within a unique isolated environment, the International Space Station (ISS). The ISS Microbial Tracking (MT) project has generated a wealth of data concerning the successive reigns of microbial genera that appear to thrive amidst harsh conditions for life. Despite relatively higher doses of ionizing radiation as compared to Earth, complications associated with microgravity, and the anti-microbial mélange deployed, microbial life still persists in this environment. The NASA GeneLab serves as a data repository and analysis platform to enable researchers to access space flight factor related data. With the use of GeneLab’s modern computational suites (computomics), phylogenetic and functional genomic investigations of HGT events were conducted on the data generated from the MT-1 project. The putative data concerning the plasmid population (plasmidome) of the ISS was algorithmically derived and compared to those of habitats with similar environmental dynamics- such as living quarters and hospitals- to investigate whether these HGT elements may play crucial role(s) in shaping the microbiome of this closed habitat that serves as the only inhabited structure in space.

Bense, Nicholas↗

A Ground-Delay-Based Approach to Reduce Impedance-Based Airspace Complexity

This paper introduces a ground-delay-based traffic management approach to reduce the impedance-based airspace complexity for a given scenario. This work extends our prior research on developing an impedance-based complexity metric for unmanned aircraft system traffic scenario classification. Impedance-based metric was evaluated for 1045 randomly generated scenarios. Scenarios with overall impedance above a certain threshold were declared as not feasible. A ground-delay-based approach was developed to be applied to the rest of the scenarios so as to remediate any scenarios with small areas of high impedance on their impedance maps. A sample application is shown for a scenario with sixty flights. The detailed trade-offs between overall accrued system delay, the number of delayed flights, the total number of conflicts and the highest impedance observed as a function of the delay tolerance for each aircraft are provided. Potential applications to Urban Air Mobility traffic scenarios are also discussed.

ground-delay based traffic management↗

2020 Exascale Computing Project Annual Meeting (Executive Summary Report)

The Exascale Computing Project (ECP) delivers specific applications, software products, and outcomes on DOE computing facilities. Integration across these elements for specific hardware technologies for exascale system instantiations is fundamental to ECP success. The outcome of the ECP is the delivery of a capable exascale computing ecosystem to provide breakthrough solutions addressing our most critical challenges in scientific discovery, energy assurance, economic competitiveness, and national security. This outcome is not a matter of ensuring more powerful computing systems. The ECP is designed to create more valuable and rapid insights from a wide variety of applications (“capable”), which requires a much higher level of inherent efficacy in all methods, software tools, and ECP-enabled computing technologies to be acquired by DOE laboratories (“ecosystem”). The ECP annual meeting provides a unique opportunity for the core technical expertise in the United States focused on achieving this next plateau of computational science and computing performance to engage in direct discussions on project execution. Face-to-face gatherings in technical communities like this are common and needed for the exchange of scientific ideas and technical performance. The ECP annual meeting stands apart from other technical conferences and meetings in the computing community as it is uniquely and solely focused on the execution of the ECP and the integration of technical activities leading to the creation of the exascale computing ecosystem for the future. The direct interaction of key critical technical staff, who are leaders in their respective fields, and the resulting give-and-take between software, applications, and hardware and the technical co-design therein, is unique and essential to the effective execution of the ECP. The first annual meeting was held in Knoxville, Tennessee, January 31 – February 2, 2017 and brought together, for the first time, a diverse collection of researchers from 16 DOE national laboratories as well as university computer and computational science researchers to discuss shared problems and joint solutions for the development of a capable exascale computing ecosystem. These interactions resulted in focused technical plans and an energized community centered on advances for ECP. The second annual meeting was held in Knoxville, Tennessee, February 5–9, 2018. It included 643 individual thought leaders and performers in application development, software research and deployment, and hardware research and integrators, all of whom are part of the multifaceted, billion dollar HPC community. This meeting provided a platform to discuss and disseminate numerous examples where researchers with common goals and synergistic solutions came together for the first time to deliver tangible results. Additionally, at the 2018 meeting, ECP researchers had the opportunity to digest all US HPC vendor R&D product roadmaps pointing to exascale – not only to learn how their research can play a role, but, more importantly, to influence those roadmaps to ensure successful delivery on DOE applications that will contribute to (if not solve) problems of national interest in national security, science, energy, and health, as well as growing security threats. The third annual meeting was held in Houston, Texas, January 14–17, 2019. With a 19% increase in the number of registrations (768 people), and the change in location, the third annual meeting was considered the most impactful of the three at the time. The new website provided a better platform for the dissemination of the content, the new venue as a meeting hotel instead of a conference center facilitated interactions and discussions after event hours, and the addition of an award-winning mobile event conference app (Whova) transformed dramatically the attendee experience at the event. This fourth annual meeting was held in Houston, Texas, February 3-7, 2020. This meeting had an increase in the number of attendees for a total of 824 people registered (782 attendees) and included numerous enhancements based on feedback and lessons learned from previous meetings, some of which are listed here: Improved quality of the sessions, their material and the whole program.; Had more industry participation and addition of external collaborators from overseas.; Published the full agenda earlier to better accommodate attendance and travel plans based on schedule.; Centralized all sessions in one venue.; Provided additional hotels and room blocks for the attendees.; Improved communication with the audience (links, material, directions, notifications, etc.) to go paperless.; Enhanced side meeting scheduling, management and user experience.; Made available additional space and tables for impromptu meetings and side discussions.; Improved IT and A/V solutions for speakers. In addition, our final survey captured the following points as opportunities for improvement in future meetings: consider a different meeting location that is more pedestrian friendly, reduce talks during working meals to allow more collaboration and informal time, adapt the agenda to acknowledge attendees from different timezones, consider recording some of the tutorials and/or sessions to share broadly with the HPC community, have a larger poster room, provide additional power strips, and improve the WiFi.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Exploration Health Risks: Probabilistic Risk Assessment

Maintenance of human health on long-duration exploration missions is a primary challenge to mission designers. Indeed, human health risks are currently the largest risk contributors to the risks of evacuation or loss of the crew on long-duration International Space Station missions. We describe a quantitative assessment of the relative probabilities of occurrence of the individual risks to human safety and efficiency during space flight to augment qualitative assessments used in this field to date. Quantitative probabilistic risk assessments will allow program managers to focus resources on those human health risks most likely to occur with undesirable consequences. Truly quantitative assessments are common, even expected, in the engineering and actuarial spheres, but that capability is just emerging in some arenas of life sciences research, such as identifying and minimize the hazards to astronauts during future space exploration missions. Our expectation is that these results can be used to inform NASA mission design trade studies in the near future with the objective of preventing the higher among the human health risks. We identify and discuss statistical techniques to provide this risk quantification based on relevant sets of astronaut biomedical data from short and long duration space flights as well as relevant analog populations. We outline critical assumptions made in the calculations and discuss the rationale for these. Our efforts to date have focussed on quantifying the probabilities of medical risks that are qualitatively perceived as relatively high risks of radiation sickness, cardiac dysrhythmias, medically significant renal stone formation due to increased calcium mobilization, decompression sickness as a result of EVA (extravehicular activity), and bone fracture due to loss of bone mineral density. We present these quantitative probabilities in order-of-magnitude comparison format so that relative risk can be gauged. We address the effects of conservative and nonconservative assumptions on the probability results. We discuss the methods necessary to assess mission risks once exploration mission scenarios are characterized. Preliminary efforts have produced results that are commensurate with earlier qualitative estimates of risk probabilities in this and other operational contexts, indicating that our approach may be usefully applied in support of the development of human health and performance standards for long-duration space exploration missions. This approach will also enable mission-specific probabilistic risk assessments for space exploration missions.

Rhatigan, Jennifer↗

eVTOL Passenger Acceptance

With the expected introduction of electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft for urban air mobility (UAM) services, passenger acceptance has become an issue of interest to manufacturers and operators. This study took an initial look at what passengers expect from an eVTOL UAM flight experience – what aspects matter most, what might be acceptable, and where there are gaps in our understanding. The analysis included a literature search and interviews with experts from the aviation community to identify passenger concerns and potential mitigations. Passenger concerns were found to fall into six general categories: perceived safety, noise and vibration, availability and access, passenger well-being, concern for the environment, and vehicle motion. The study used a modified quality function deployment approach to correlate these passenger concerns with design and operational variables, highlighting how design and operational parameters can mitigate the passenger concerns. NASA research can address the passenger concerns by developing simulation capabilities and noise models, characterizing propulsion system performance, taking direct measurem and conducting further studies of market demand and design methods.

Edwards, Thomas↗

Analysis of Traffic Flow in Structured Urban Airspace Networks with MFD-based Feedback Control

This research delves into applying the Macroscopic Fundamental Diagram (MFD) concept to structured airspace networks for comprehensive aggregate modeling and introduces a feedback-based departure function aimed at optimizing traffic flow. Previous studies have rarely examined structured airspace networks featuring non-stationary vehicles through the MFD perspective. We devised a scenario grounded in practical applications, featuring a multi-lane network with explicit lane-changing behavior. The MFD effectively captured the open-loop response, displaying a low-scatter, unimodal curve on the flow versus occupancy plot. Drawing inspiration from the ground transportation ramp-metering strategies, a proportional-integral-based controller was developed. Extensive simulation outcomes suggest that feedback control, informed by MFD, holds significant potential for managing traffic flow in Urban Air Mobility (UAM) environments; a reduction of 80% in the peak number of vehicles in a holding pattern was observed for a slight reduction in throughput in this study.

MFD↗

Analysis of Traffic Flow in Structured Urban Airspace Networks with MFD-based Feedback Control

This research delves into applying the Macroscopic Fundamental Diagram (MFD) concept to structured airspace networks for comprehensive aggregate modeling and introduces a feedback-based departure function aimed at optimizing traffic flow. Previous studies have rarely examined structured airspace networks featuring non-stationary vehicles through the MFD perspective. We devised a scenario grounded in practical applications, featuring a multi-lane network with explicit lane-changing behavior. The MFD effectively captured the open-loop response, displaying a low-scatter, unimodal curve on the flow versus occupancy plot. Drawing inspiration from the ground transportation ramp-metering strategies, a proportional-integral-based controller was developed. Extensive simulation outcomes suggest that feedback control, informed by MFD, holds significant potential for managing traffic flow in Urban Air Mobility (UAM) environments; a reduction of 80% in the peak number of vehicles in a holding pattern was observed for a slight reduction in throughput in this study.

MFD↗

Command and Control Concepts for an Lift Plus Cruise Electric Vertical Takeoff and Landing Vehicle

Electric Vertical Takeoff and Landing (eVTOL) vehicles have the potential to enable cost effective Urban Air Mobility (UAM) applications. Many of these vehicle concepts will takeoff vertically like a helicopter, transition to fly like an airplane, and then transition back to land vertically like a helicopter. However, these concepts may also pose several challenging handling and control problems, which must be addressed prior to safe and reliable urban operations. This study investigates some of these challenges by evaluating different command and control concepts for a conceptual Lift Plus Cruise vehicle designed by NASA’s Revolutionary Vertical Lift Technology (RVLT) project. Four different command concepts with increasing levels of automation are developed. The command and control architecture for these concepts is presented along with findings from the evaluation of these concepts in a series of three piloted studies in the Vertical Motion Simulator at NASA Ames Research Center, where pilots flew operationally relevant flight test maneuvers specifically designed to expose potential deficiencies. The higher-level control systems and the associated pilot interfaces were shown to improve performance and handling in many cases, especially for higher precision and lower to moderate aggression maneuvers. The benefits were limited for higher aggression tasks in environmentally stressing conditions, due to the slower response of the automation and inherent limitations of the vehicle design, which highlights the potential need for tradeoffs between concept of operations and vehicle capabilities

Thomas Lombaerts↗

Powering the Blue Economy: Progress Exploring Marine Renewable Energy Integration With Ocean Observations

The blue economy is a dynamic and rapidly growing movement that captures the interplay between economic, social, and ecological sustainability of the ocean and encompasses numerous maritime sectors and activities (e.g., commerce and trade; living resources; renewable energy; minerals, materials, and freshwater; and ocean health and data). The demand for ocean data to inform scientific, risk reduction, and national security needs is leading to a large increase in the number of deployed ocean observation and monitoring systems, most of which require increased power. Because ocean observation systems are often placed in remote locations, they primarily rely on energy storage (or in some cases in situ energy generation) to power instruments and equipment, which imposes limits on sampling rates, deployment times, and spatiotemporal resolution of data. The U.S. Department of Energy Water Power Technologies Office is exploring the potential for marine renewable energy (MRE) devices (largely wave and tidal energy converters) to provide power to support multiple blue economy opportunities. A portion of these opportunities focus on power at sea markets for providing power in off-grid and offshore locations to support a variety of ocean-based activities, including ocean observation and navigation, underwater vehicle charging, marine aquaculture, marine algae farming, and seawater mining. Initially, research has focused on better understanding how and where MRE can provide a consistent source of reliable power to extend ocean observing missions, including operation of autonomous underwater vehicles. Online surveys as well as phone and inperson interviews were conducted with experts in the field of ocean observing systems and observatories to gather end-user requirements, determine energy needs, identify opportunities for codevelopment, and pinpoint constraints for MRE to meet those needs. The surveys and interviews provided feedback on the potential for powering devices and vehicles using MRE, including identifying common themes and challenges that will inform foundational research and development steps needed to advance the integration of MRE with ocean observing systems. In most cases, additional power generation on the order of watts was identified as significantly beneficial to enhancing ocean observations capabilities.

marine renewable energy, powering the blue economy↗