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Selenization of CIS and CIGS layers deposited by chemical spray pyrolysis

Cu(In1-xGax)Se2 (CIGS) thin films with x=0 (CIS) and x=0.3 (CIGS) were prepared on Mo-coated glass substrate by using chemical spray pyrolysis at a substrate temperature of 350 degrees C, followed by selenization treatment at 550 degrees C in selenium environment under N2 gas flow. X-ray diffraction patterns of as-deposited CIGS layers on Mo showed polycrystalline chalcopyrite phase with an intense (112) plane. Splitting of (204)/(220) and (116)/(312) planes for the film with x=0.3 reveals deviation of tetragonal nature. Field emission scanning electron microscopy cross-sectional images of selenized films showed clear re-crystallization of grains. During the selenization process of the CIGS absorber, a thin interface layer of MoSe2 is formed. Line mapping of Mo/CIGS layer showed more gallium segregation at the interface of back contact resulting in band gap grading. Chemical composition and mapping of the as-deposited and selenized samples were determined by energy dispersive analysis of X-rays. This work leads to fabrication of low cost and large scale Mo/CIGS/CdS/ZnO/ZnO:Al device structure.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Remarkable enhancement of photocatalytic performance via constructing a novel Z-scheme KNbO{sub 3}/Bi{sub 2}O{sub 3} hybrid material

Highlights: • A series of KNbO{sub 3}/Bi{sub 2}O{sub 3} composite materials with different percentage of KNbO{sub 3} have been prepared by simple methods using Bismuth oxide, niobium pentoxide and potassium hydroxide as precursors. • The rate constants of the best photocatalyst (30 wt.% KNbO{sub 3}/Bi{sub 2}O{sub 3}) for the RhB and MO degradation are about 3.7 times and 4.1 times faster than those of pure Bi{sub 2}O{sub 3} and approximately 6.9 times and 7.1 times faster than those of pure KNbO{sub 3}, respectively. • The composite photocatalyst exhibits a good physical and chemical stability during the photocatalytic reaction process. • Results demonstrat that the migration of photogenerated carriers adopts a direct Z-scheme mechanism and ·O{sup 2−}, ·OH, and h{sup +} are the main reactive species in the photocatalytic process. - Abstract: KNbO{sub 3}/Bi{sub 2}O{sub 3} composite materials with different percentage of KNbO{sub 3} have been prepared by simple methods The structural and optical properties of the resulting samples are thoroughly characterized by XRD, UV–vis DRS, SEM, TEM, and N{sub 2}-sorption analysis. The photocatalytic activities of the as-prepared materials for the degradation of rhodamine B (RhB) and methyl orange (MO) are evaluated under UV-light irradiation. The results indicate that the optimal loading amount of KNbO{sub 3} is 30 wt.% (i. e., 30 wt.% KNbO{sub 3}/Bi{sub 2}O{sub 3}), The rate constants of which for the RhB and MO degradation are about 3.7 times and 4.1 times faster than those of pure Bi{sub 2}O{sub 3} and approximately 6.9 times and 7.1 times faster than those of pure KNbO{sub 3}, respectively. Based on a series of characterizations, it can be concluded that the migration of photogenerated carriers adopts a direct Z-scheme mechanism and ·O{sup 2−}, ·OH, and h{sup +} are the main reactive species in the photocatalytic reactions.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Method for the in-situ measurement of pH and alteration extent for aluminoborosilicate glasses using Raman spectroscopy.

Characterization of long-term processes occurring during alteration of aluminoborosilicate glasses is relevant for natural as well as man-made materials. Static dissolution tests are a common setup for such studies, but the obtained results and related errors are impacted by the frequency and protocol of samplings performed to determine release via solution analysis, e.g. ICP-OES. A non-invasive method was developed to continuously monitor glass alteration based on in-situ Raman spectrometry of the solution contained in the alteration vessel. The alteration of a benchmark glass, the environment assessment (EA) glass, for 7 days at 90 °C showed the pH and boron concentration results obtained from solution monitoring and ICP-OES quantification were similar to the pH and boron results obtained from chemometric modelling of the Raman spectra and within error of previously published results in similar conditions. The errors on altered amounts of glass based on B release were similar for both in-situ Raman and ICP-OES. The new Raman method provides a more detailed picture of real time monitoring of an alteration experiment, with intervals between monitoring times as short as dozens of seconds. The in-situ Raman method also helps to reduce perturbation to experiments caused by the physical sampling of aliquots (including temperature excursions, re-equilibration with atmosphere, volume variation, and potential chemical contamination) by limiting their number and frequency.

Parruzot, Benjamin PG↗

Numerical investigation on transverse heat transfer properties in cross section of full size Nb{sub 3}Sn CICC ITER conductor

The contact mechanical characteristics in the cross section of the Nb{sub 3}Sn cable are sensitive to the cryogenic cooling and cyclic transverse electromagnetic loads, which may affect the cable’s performance. In this paper, based on a proposed discrete dynamic model (DEM), where the contact heat transfer among strands and the convective heat transfer in liquid helium are taken into account, the cooling process under two heat transfer mechanisms is performed. Simulation results show that the temperature variation of Poloidal Field Insert Sample (PFIS) cable with time agrees well with the existing experimental results, and the role of contact heat transfer cannot be neglected during cryogenic cooling. It is obtained from the further analysis that the effect of contact heat transfer becomes more prominent with the decrease of mass flow rate of liquid helium, which leads to the stress status within cable changed significantly. With the temperature boundary condition imposed on the cable radial direction, the effective thermal conductivity (ETC) of cable can be obtained. It can be found that the ETC increases with increasing the transverse loads and is sensitive to the low temperature environment, while it is not affected by load cycles basically. These results may provide the guide for the design and application of the future CICC conductors.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Factors underlying a latitudinal gradient in the S/G lignin monomer ratio in natural poplar variants

The chemical composition of wood plays a pivotal role in the adaptability and structural integrity of trees. However, few studies have investigated the environmental factors that determine lignin composition and its biological significance in plants. Here, we examined the lignin syringyl-to-guaiacyl (S/G) ratio in members of a Populus trichocarpa population sourced from their native habitat and conducted a genome wide association study to identify genes linked to lignin formation. Our results revealed many significant associations, suggesting that lignin biosynthesis is a complex polygenic trait. Additionally, we found an increase in the S/G ratio from northern to southern geographic origin of the trees sampled, along with a corresponding metabolic and transcriptional reprogramming of xylem cell wall biosynthesis. Further molecular analysis identified a mutation in a cell wall laccase genetically associated with higher S/G ratios that predominate in trees from warmer lower latitudes. Collectively, our findings suggest that lignin heterogeneity arises from an evolutionary process enabling poplar adaptation to different climatic challenges.

adaptation↗

INDIRECT EVIDENCE FOR ESCAPING IONIZING PHOTONS IN LOCAL LYMAN BREAK GALAXY ANALOGS

A population of early star-forming galaxies is the leading candidate for the re-ionization of the universe. It is still unclear, however, what conditions and physical processes would enable a significant fraction of the ionizing (Lyman continuum) photons to escape from these gas-rich galaxies. In this paper we present the results of the analysis of Hubble Space Telescope Cosmic Origins Spectrograph far-UV (FUV) spectroscopy plus ancillary multi-waveband data of a sample of 22 low-redshift galaxies that are good analogs to typical star-forming galaxies at high redshift. We measure three parameters that provide indirect evidence of the escape of ionizing radiation (leakiness): (1) the residual intensity in the cores of saturated interstellar low-ionization absorption lines, which indicates incomplete covering by that gas in the galaxy; (2) the relative amount of blueshifted Lyα line emission, which can indicate the existence of holes in the neutral hydrogen on the front-side of the galaxy outflow, and (3) the relative weakness of the [S ii] optical emission lines that trace matter-bounded H ii regions. We show that our residual intensity measures are only negligibly affected by infilling from resonance emission lines. We find all three diagnostics agree well with one another. We use these diagnostics to rank-order our sample in terms of likely leakiness, noting that a direct measure of escaping Lyman continuum has recently been made for one of the leakiest members of our sample. We then examine the correlations between our ranking and other proposed diagnostics of leakiness. We find a good correlation with the equivalent width of the Lyα emission line, but no significant correlations with either the flux ratio of the [O iii]/[O ii] emission lines or the ratio of star-formation rates derived from the (dust-corrected) FUV and Hα luminosities. Turning to galaxy properties, we find the strongest correlations with leakiness are with the compactness of the star-forming region (Star formation rate/area) and the speed of the galactic outflow. This suggests that extreme feedback—a high intensity of ionizing radiation and strong pressure from both radiation and a hot galactic wind—combines to create significant holes in the neutral gas. These results not only shed new light on the physical mechanisms that can allow ionizing radiation to escape from intensely star-forming galaxies, they also provide indirect observational indicators that can be used at high redshift where direct measurements of escaping Lyman continuum radiation are impossible.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Autonomous x-ray scattering

Autonomous experimentation (AE) is an emerging paradigm that seeks to automate the entire workflow of an experiment, including—crucially—the decision-making step. Beyond mere automation and efficiency, AE aims to liberate scientists to tackle more challenging and complex problems. We describe our recent progress in the application of this concept at synchrotron x-ray scattering beamlines. We automate the measurement instrument, data analysis, and decision-making, and couple them into an autonomous loop. We exploit Gaussian process modeling to compute a surrogate model and associated uncertainty for the experimental problem, and define an objective function exploiting these. We provide example applications of AE to x-ray scattering, including imaging of samples, exploration of physical spaces through combinatorial methods, and coupling to in situ processing platforms These uses demonstrate how autonomous x-ray scattering can enhance efficiency, and discover new materials.

77 NANOSCIENCE AND NANOTECHNOLOGY↗

TU-AB-303-11: Predict Parotids Deformation Applying SIS Epidemiological Model in H&N Adaptive RT

Purpose: The aim is to investigate the use of epidemiological models to predict morphological variations in patients undergoing radiation therapy (RT). The susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) deterministic model was applied to simulate warping within a focused region of interest (ROI). Hypothesis is to consider each voxel like a single subject of the whole sample and to treat displacement vector fields like an infection. Methods: Using Raystation hybrid deformation algorithms and automatic re-contouring based on mesh grid, we post-processed 360 MVCT images of 12 H&N patients treated with Tomotherapy. Study focused on parotid glands, identified by literature and previous analysis, as ROI more susceptible to warping in H&N region. Susceptible (S) and infectious (I) cases were identified in voxels with inter-fraction movement respectively under and over a set threshold. IronPython scripting allowed to export positions and displacement data of surface voxels for every fraction. A MATLAB homemade toolbox was developed to model the SIS. Results: SIS model was validated simulating organ motion on QUASAR phantom. Applying model in patients, within a [0–1cm] range, a single voxel movement of 0.4cm was selected as displacement threshold. SIS indexes were evaluated by MATLAB simulations. Dynamic time warping algorithm was used to assess matching between model and parotids behavior days of treatments. The best fit of the model was obtained with contact rate of 7.89±0.94 and recovery rate of 2.36±0.21. Conclusion: SIS model can follow daily structures evolutions, making possible to compare warping conditions and highlighting challenges due to abnormal variation and set-up errors. By epidemiology approach, organ motion could be assessed and predicted not in terms of average of the whole ROI, but in a voxel-by-voxel deterministic trend. Identifying anatomical region subjected to variations, would be possible to focus clinic controls within a cohort of pre-selected patients eligible for adaptive RT. The research is partially co-funded by the Italian Research Grant: Dose warping methods for IGRT and Adaptive RT: dose accumulation based on organ motion and anatomical variations of the patients during radiation therapy treatments,MoH (GR-2010-2318757) and Tecnologie Avanzate S.r.l.(Italy)

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Synthesis and properties of SiN coatings as stable fluorescent markers on vertically aligned carbon nanofibers

The growth of vertically aligned carbon nanofibers (VACNFs) in a catalytic dc ammonia/acetylene plasma process on silicon substrates is often accompanied by sidewall deposition of material that contains mostly Si and N. In fluorescent microscopy experiments, imaging VACNF interfacing to live cell cultures it turned out that this material is broadly fluorescent, which made VACNFs useful as spatial markers, or created nuisance when DNA-labeling got masked. In this paper we provide insight into nature of this silicon/nitrogen in situ coatings. Here we have proposed a potential mechanism for deposition of SiNx coating on the sidewalls of VACNFs during PECVD synthesis in addition to exploring the origin of the coatings fluorescence. It seems most likely that the substrate reacts with the process gases through both processes similar to reactive sputtering and CVD to form silane and other silicon bearing compounds before being deposited isotropically as a SiNx coating onto the VACNFs. The case for the presence of Si-NCs is made strong through a combination of the strong fluorescence and elemental analysis of the samples. These broadly luminescent fibers can prove useful as registry markers in fluorescent cellular studies.

Pearce, Ryan↗

TRACER-Tethersonde VOC data

One objective of TRACER-Tethersonde campaign was to deploy a volatile organic compound (VOC) sampler on the Tethered Balloon System (TBS) to create vertical profiles and characterize VOC composition. Volatile organic compounds (VOCs) are highly reactive precursor species that undergo atmospheric processing to form secondary products, including aerosol. VOC emissions are influenced by many factors that include but are not limited to temperature, time of day, local anthropogenic activities, and local vegetation, which result in large spatiotemporal variability. The vertical distribution of volatile species is crucial for understanding gas-phase processing for particle production but challenging to accomplish using currently available sampling devices. The standalone sampler built during the campaign enabled the execution of robust experimental designs, including sample collection using resin tubes at multiple altitudes on subsequent flights. Following field sampling, resin tubes were transported back to Baylor University for chemical analysis using a Markes International thermal desorption unit coupled with a gas chromatograph-tandem mass spectrometer (Thermo Scientific). The target analyte list includes biogenic and anthropogenic VOCs.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Accelerated Aging of BKC 44306-10 Rigid Polyurethane Foam: FT-IR Spectroscopy, Dimensional Analysis, and Micro Computed Tomography

An accelerated aging study of BKC 44306-10 rigid polyurethane foam was carried out. Foam samples were aged in a nitrogen atmosphere at three different temperatures: 50 °C, 65 °C, and 80 °C. Foam samples were periodically removed from the aging canisters at 1, 3, 6, 9, 12, and 15 month intervals when FT-IR spectroscopy, dimensional analysis, and mechanical testing experiments were performed. Micro Computed Tomography imaging was also employed to study the morphology of the foams. Over the course of the aging study the foams the decreased in size by a magnitude of 0.001 inches per inch of foam. Micro CT showed the heterogeneous nature of the foam structure likely resulting from flow effects during the molding process. The effect of aging on the compression and tensile strength of the foam was minor and no cause for concern. FT-IR spectroscopy was used to follow the foam chemistry. However, it was difficult to draw definitive conclusions about the changes in chemical nature of the materials due to large variability throughout the samples.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Sol–Gel Synthesis and Distinctive Structural Features of Ce{sub x}Zr{sub 1–x}O{sub 2} Solid Solutions

We have synthesized Ce{sub x}Zr{sub 1–x}O{sub 2} solid solutions via the thermal decomposition of xerogels of different compositions prepared by drying appropriate hydrosols. The synthesized materials have been characterized by thermal analysis, X-ray diffraction, and Raman spectroscopy. The results demonstrate that the solid solutions are formed at relatively low temperatures (450–600°C). The Ce{sub x}Zr{sub 1–x}O{sub 2} samples with x = 0.5–0.9 consist of a cubic solid solution. At a lower CeO{sub 2} content (x = 0.2), the material consists of a mixture of cubic and tetragonal phases.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Final Report – Cooperative Research and Development Agreement between National Energy Technology Laboratory and Solar Turbines Incorporated

The National Energy Technology Laboratory is developing the Raman Gas Analyzer (RGA) to be a fast, non-destructive instrument for on-line measurement of gas composition. The RGA prototype has been demonstrated to have an extremely fast response (<1 second) multi-gas analysis capability. All but the noble gases are Raman active, but Raman interaction is weak with gas phase substances. The RGA uses a reflectively lined capillary as the optical cell in a patented configuration, providing both a small sample volume for fast gas exchange, and a much greater Raman signal collection than traditional instrument configurations. This allows very fast measurement of fuel gases (hydrogen, methane, ethane, propane) as well as other common industrial gases (including CO, CO2, N2, O2, H2O). The RGA provides a new enabling technology for faster, smarter process control based on the chemical composition of the gases in the process, such as improving fuel flexibility and efficiency for power generation systems. NETL has constructed a field prototype of the RGA to test the instrument performance in various applications in fossil energy. Through this CRADA, the RGA prototype operation was tested using hydrocarbon mixtures and hydrogen on a combustor test rig for potential use in gas turbine engine testing. The testing was performed at the Solar Turbines Incorporated Harbor Drive facility in downtown San Diego, CA on December 3-7, 2018. The RGA was installed outside a combustor test bay, with a ¼" sample line connected from a point shortly upstream of the test combustor. The combustion test building online gas chromatograph reported analysis of a sample every 6 minutes. During testing, seven test conditions of pure gas or gas mixtures were supplied to a pressurized combustion test rig. A sample of the fuel gas was continuously analyzed using the RGA with a 1 second measurement and reporting time. For each test condition, once the steady condition was reached, the composition of the gas from the RGA measurements is reported, along with the expected composition from the flow meters, and the composition reported by the online gas chromatograph (GC). During this testing, the real-time measurement capability of the RGA was readily apparent. The composition changes occurring in real-time could be followed and observed to correspond to combustion behavior changes on the video monitor at the operator station. The largest concentration species were tracked well through the tests; however, from comparison of the RGA one-second data with the GC steady-state points, it appears the RGA had some difficulty with quantifying hydrocarbon mixtures, especially when some of the hydrocarbons were at low concentration. The difficulty was particularly noted for ethane and butane in these tests. The NETL team intends to address this in 2019. Moderate concentrations of nitrogen, carbon dioxide, and hydrogen (>10%) were readily observed in the spectral data and quantified closely to the GC measurements. While calibration data for propylene was collected in preparation for this testing, it was not observed during the testing, even when the test conditions had high concentrations of propane.

Source record↗

Management of HL deposits for the D and D of UP1 reprocessing plant - retrieval and treatment scenarios - 15295

Built in 1958 on the Marcoule CEA site, the UP1 facility, was the 1. French industrial (500 t U / year) reprocessing plant based on the PUREX process. The plant, which has stopped operation in 1997, constitutes with its auxiliary workshop (vitrification workshop, glass canister storage), one of the largest and most challenging decommissioning project in France. In about 40 years of operation, various type of fuels elements such as metallic uranium, U-Al fuel rods, Phenix breeder elements or PWR fuel have been reprocessed, thereby requiring several plant and process adaptations. Resulting from these complex process chemistry and operation history, significant fouling of the chemical plant circuits and components has occurred. The fission product (FP) concentration process is particularly concerned. Preliminary investigation performed in 2010 in the evaporator's feeding tanks revealed the presence of significant amounts of sludge and dose rates as high as 250 Gy/h. Therefore a thorough investigation campaign, including visual inspection, volume quantification, deposits sampling, and radiological characterization of the components of this workshop has been initiated in 2013. Chemical analysis performed so far show that the solids are mainly composed of zirconium phosphates, 'MoZr' compounds and nitrate salt precipitates. But the presence of insoluble fines arising from the dissolution workshop and organic residues resulting from the TBP decomposition has also been evidenced in some of the tanks. The numerous constraints associated with the management of such highly active sludge, with Cs-137 specific activity ranging from 1 to 10 GBq/g, and a complex physico-chemical composition, lead CEA to investigate the implementation of an in situ conditioning treatment able to produce a waste package complying with existing evacuation routes and/or on-site storage facilities. The full paper presents an overview of the UP1 D and D project and then focuses on the possible dismantling scenarios for the FP concentration workshop, including the evaluation of different strategies for the highly active deposits management. The investigations and deposits characterization program will be developed so as the sampling methodologies that has been specifically tuned. In the light of the best actual knowledge of the deposits properties, the recovery and conditioning treatment scenarios will be exposed, considering, as a case study, the development of a specific vitrification tool to be implemented In Situ and specifically designed to match the requirements and constraints of the D and D project: adequately dimensioned, compact, flexible with respect to the feed composition, for a limited duration of use and designed to be dismantled. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Commercial, industrial, and institutional discount rate estimation for efficiency standards analysis: Sector-level data 1998–2021

Underlying each of the Department of Energy’s (DOE’s) federal appliance and equipment energy conservation standards are a set of complex analyses of the projected costs and benefits of regulation. Any new or amended standard must be designed to achieve significant additional energy conservation, provided that it is technologically feasible and economically justified (42 U.S.C. 6295(o)(2)(A)). DOE determines economic justification based on whether the benefits exceed the burdens, considering a variety of factors, including the economic impact of the standard on consumers of the product and the savings in lifetime operating cost compared to any increase in price or maintenance expenses (42 U.S.C. 6295(o)(2)(B)). As part of this determination, DOE conducts a Life-Cycle Cost (LCC) analysis, which models the combined impact of appliance first cost and operating cost changes on a representative commercial building sample in order to identify the fraction of customers achieving LCC savings or incurring net cost at the considered efficiency levels. Thus, the commercial discount rate value(s) used to calculate the present value of energy cost savings within the LCC model implicitly plays a role in estimating the economic impact of potential standard levels. This report provides an in-depth discussion of the commercial discount rate estimation process. It is an update to previous reports on estimating commercial discount rates from firm-level financial data (Fujita, 2016). Major topics covered in this report include: Discount rate estimation methods and rationale; -Data sources used and data limitations; -Discount rate distributions for use in standards analysis; -Discount rate estimation methods and distributions specific to the small business subgroup analysis. Going forward, this report will be updated as data allow and analyses necessitate.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Low soil phosphorus availability triggers maize growth stage specific rhizosphere processes leading to mineralization of organic P

Phosphorus (P) is one of the essential nutrients for all living organisms. High-quality mineral P fertilizer is a finite resource with only an estimated 80-100 years of reserves remaining globally. Both plants and microbes have developed several mechanisms such as secretion of organic acids, acidification of the rhizosphere, and production of extracellular enzymes to enhance the acquisition of P from soils. Increased activity of phosphatase occurs in response to P deficiency as part of P starvation responses which catalyze the hydrolysis of P o from soil organic matter (SOM) and release inorganic P (P i ). However, the specific interactions between plants and microbial communities in the rhizosphere soil triggered by P deficiency are largely unknown. In a greenhouse study we grew maize plants in low and high P containing soils and examined the role of rhizosphere processes on mineralization of organic P (P o ) in soils with low and high P availability and different P speciation 23 (Po dominated versus P i dominated) and determine its effect on plant growth. Plant biomass was determined and rhizosphere soils, and soil samples from pots with and without plants were collected at key vegetative growth stages (VGS). A variety of biogeochemical parameters (e.g. microbial biomass C and P, potential phosphatase activities, plant biomass P, soil P species etc.) were determined using both conventional (sequential chemical extraction) and advanced (e.g. high resolution mass spectrometry (FTICR-MS) and 3129 P solution NMR) techniques. Here, we used phospholipid fatty acid (PLFA) and DNA based microbial community analysis to track changes in microbial community structure and diversity. Low P availability induced changes in biogeochemical processes and microbial community composition in the rhizosphere soils of plants grown in low P containing soil. At early VGS, the plants in low P soil were visually struggling which correlated with greater rhizosphere potential acid phosphatase activity and a reduction in P o fractions. At late VGS, the plants appeared to recover which correlated with a decrease in Meh (III) extractable P, an increase in microbial biomass C and P and greater total P in the plant biomass (roots, shoots and leaves). In high P containing soil, on the other hand, greater P availability masked these rhizosphere processes. Our results confirmed the degradation of SOM and Po mineralization in rhizosphere soils driven by microbe and plant need for P. P deficiency may have favored the abundance of fungi which utilized easily degradable root exudates for the production of extracellular enzymes responsible for the mineralize of SOM P o . This study highlights the intertwined mechanisms involved, and emphasizes the importance of, P o sources for plant nutrition and survival in marginal soils.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Investigation of uncertainty in CO 2 reservoir models: A sensitivity analysis of relative permeability parameter values

Numerical reservoir models of CO 2 injection in saline formations rely on parameterization of laboratory-measured pore-scale processes. Here, we have performed a parameter sensitivity study and Monte Carlo simulations to determine the normalized change in total CO 2 injected using the finite element heat and mass-transfer code (FEHM) numerical reservoir simulator. Experimentally measured relative permeability parameter values were used to generate distribution functions for parameter sampling. The parameter sensitivity study analyzed five different levels for each of the relative permeability model parameters. All but one of the parameters changed the CO 2 injectivity by <10%, less than the geostatistical uncertainty that applies to all large subsurface systems due to natural geophysical variability and inherently small sample sizes. The exception was the end-point CO 2 relative permeability, k$0\atop{r}$ CO2 , the maximum attainable effective CO 2 permeability during CO 2 invasion, which changed CO2 injectivity by as much as 80%. Similarly, Monte Carlo simulation using 1000 realizations of relative permeability parameters showed no relationship between CO 2 injectivity and any of the parameters but k$0\atop{r}$ CO2 , which had a very strong (R 2 = 0.9685) power law relationship with total CO 2 injected. Model sensitivity to k$0\atop{r}$ CO2 points to the importance of accurate core flood and wettability measurements.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Commercial, industrial, and institutional discount rate estimation for efficiency standards analysis: Sector-level data 1998–2022

Underlying each of the U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE’s) federal appliance and equipment energy conservation standards are a set of complex analyses of the projected costs and benefits of regulation. Any new or amended standard must be designed to achieve significant additional energy conservation, provided that it is technologically feasible and economically justified (42 U.S.C. 6295(o)(2)(A)). DOE determines economic justification based on whether the benefits exceed the burdens, considering a variety of factors, including the economic impact of the standard on consumers of the product and the savings in lifetime operating cost compared to any increase in price or maintenance expenses (42 U.S.C. 6295(o)(2)(B)). As part of this determination, DOE conducts a life-cycle cost (LCC) analysis, which models the combined impact of appliance first cost and operating cost changes on a representative commercial building sample to identify the fraction of customers achieving LCC savings or incurring net cost at the considered efficiency levels. Thus, the commercial discount rate value(s) used to calculate the present value of energy cost savings within the LCC model implicitly plays a role in estimating the economic impact of potential standard levels. This report provides an in-depth discussion of the commercial discount rate estimation process. It is an update to previous reports on estimating commercial discount rates from firm-level and sector-level financial data (e.g., Fujita, 2021, 2016). Major topics covered in this report include the following: -Discount rate estimation methods and rationale -Data sources used and data limitations -Discount rate distributions for use in standards analysis -Discount rate estimation methods and distributions specific to the small business subgroup analysis A version of this analysis was most recently released in 2022. Going forward, this report will be updated as data allow and analyses necessitate.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗