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At least 1,495 records · Page 83

Updraft Dynamics and Microphysics: On the Added Value of The Cumulus Thermal Reference Frame in Simulations of Aerosol–Deep Convection Interactions

One fundamental question about atmospheric moist convection processes that remains debated is whether, or under which conditions, a relevant variability in background aerosol concentrations may have a significant dynamical impact on convective clouds and their associated precipitation. Furthermore, current climate models must parameterize both the microphysical and the cumulus convection processes, but this is usually implemented separately, whereas in nature there is a strong coupling between them. As a first step to improve our understanding of these two problems, we investigate how aerosol concentrations modify key properties of updrafts in eight large-eddy-permitting regional simulations of a case study of scattered convection over Houston, Texas, in which convection is explicitly simulated and microphysical processes are parameterized. Dynamical and liquid-phase microphysical responses are investigated using the following two different reference frames: static cloudy updraft grid cells versus tracked cumulus thermals. In both frameworks, we observe the expected microphysical responses to higher aerosol concentrations, such as higher cloud number concentrations and lower rain number concentrations. In terms of the dynamical responses, both frameworks indicate weak impacts of varying aerosol concentrations relative to the noise between simulations over the observationally derived range of aerosol variability for this case study. On the other hand, results suggest that thermals are more selective than cloudy updraft grid cells in terms of sampling the most active convective air masses. For instance, vertical velocity from thermals is significantly higher at upper levels than when sampled from cloudy updraft grid points, and several microphysical variables have higher average values in the cumulus thermal framework than in the cloudy updraft framework. In addition, the thermal analysis is seen to add rich quantitative information about the rates and covariability of microphysical processes spatially and throughout tracked thermal lifecycles, which can serve as a stronger foundation for improving subgrid-scale parameterizations.

aerosols↗

Updraft Dynamics and Microphysics: On the Added Value of the Cumulus Thermal Reference Frame in Simulations of Aerosol–Deep Convection Interactions

One fundamental question about atmospheric moist convection processes that remains debated is whether or under what conditions a relevant variability in background aerosol concentrations may have a significant dynamical impact on convective clouds and their associated precipitation. Furthermore, current climate models must parameterize both the microphysical and the cumulus convection processes, but this is usually implemented separately, whereas in nature there is a strong coupling between them. As a first step to improve our understanding of these two problems, we investigate how aerosol concentrations modify key properties of updrafts in eight large-eddy permitting regional simulations of a case study of scattered convection over Houston, Texas, in which convection is explicitly simulated and microphysical processes are parameterized. Dynamical and liquid-phase microphysical responses are investigated using two different reference frames: static cloudy-updraft grid cells versus tracked cumulus thermals. In both frameworks we observe the expected microphysical responses to higher aerosol concentrations, such as higher cloud number concentrations and lower rain number concentrations. In terms of the dynamical responses, both frameworks indicate weak impacts of varying aerosol concentrations relative to the noise between simulations over the observationally derived range of aerosol variability for this case study. On the other hand, results suggest that thermals are more selective than cloudy-updraft grid cells in terms of sampling the most active convective air masses. For instance, vertical velocity from thermals is significantly higher at upper levels than when sampled from cloudy-updraft grid points, and several microphysical variables have higher average values in the cumulus thermal framework than in the cloudy-updraft framework. In addition, the thermal analysis is seen to add rich quantitative information about the rates and covariability of microphysical processes spatially and throughout tracked thermal lifecycles, which can serve as a stronger foundation for improving subgrid-scale parameterizations.

Daniel Hernandez-Deckers↗

Solar flare and galactic cosmic ray studies of Apollo 14 and 15 samples.

Thermoluminescence (TL) measurements in rock 14310 show a strong depth dependence consistent with that expected from solar flares. This effect should prove useful in studying solar flare fluctuations in the time interval of 100 to 100,000 years. Rare gas spallation ages for rock 14301, 14306, and 14311 are respectively 102 plus or minus 30, 25 plus or minus 2, and 661 plus or minus 72 m.y. The 14306 value supports the idea that Cone Crater was formed 25 million years ago. Groupings of exposure ages suggest the dates of other major cratering events. Galactic track data in 14310 show little depth dependence.

Crozaz, G.↗

Isolated Stroemgren spheres as a source of galactic H alpha emission

The isolated H alpha emission features reported by Reynolds et al. are identified with Stroemgren spheres surrounding observed O stars; the root mean square electron densities and Stroemgren radii are calculated from the observed emission measure and stellar type. The density has an average value of 2 per cu cm but increases to 3.3 per cu cm for stars within 200 pc of the galactic plane. An analysis of the Catalogue of Galactic O Stars shows that enhanced H alpha emission is observed around all known O stars. The diffuse component of H alpha emission is what one would expect from the line-of-sight overlapping of isolated Stroemgren spheres surrounding B stars and appears to correlate with features on extinction maps, as derived. There is no compelling reason to suggest any large-scale intercloud ionization from H alpha data alone.

Elmergreen, B. G.↗

The abundance of atomic carbon near the ionization fronts in M17 and S140

The 492 GHz ground-state line of atomic carbon in the edge-on ionization fronts in M17 and S140 were observed. It was found that, contrary to expectation, the C I emission peaks farther into the molecular cloud from the ionization front than does the CO. In fact the peak C I abundance in M17 occurs more than 60 mag of visual extinction into the cloud from the ionization front. Calculations of the ratio of C I to CO column densities yield values of 0.1-0.2. These observations do not support chemical models which predict that neutral atomic carbon should be found only near the edges of molelcular clouds. Other models are discussed which may explain the observations.

Keene, J.↗

The dependence of UV extinction properties on dust environment

UV extinction data, derived from the Savage et al. (1985) ANS extinction catalog, are analyzed. The data include the normalized extinction at 1550 A, the strength of the 2175 A bump, and a crude estimate of the bump width. The results confirm the systematic increase of far-UV extinction with galactic altitude first uncovered by Kiszkurno-Koziej and Lequeux (1987) and verify that this effect is in fact a result of the dust being away from the plane, and not a generalized density dependence. It is also shown that the width of the 2175 A bump is systematically broader in denser regions (defined by large values of E(B-V) per Kpc), implying that a similar galactic altitude effect seen in this parameter may only be a reflection of the lower densities encountered away from the plane. The dependence of bump width upon bump strength is also examined. It is shown that a relationship between these two parameters is expected for certain models of the bump, but none is found. However, two factors which could be complicating a straightforward interpretation of the observations are identified and discussed.

Massa, Derck↗

Panel flutter in a low-density atmosphere

The problem of panel flutter is considered in the case of a free-molecule flow, the effect of the aerodynamic shear stress being incorporated into the structural model through distributed longitudinal and bending moment loads. This kind of analysis is relevant in the case of hypersonic flight vehicles, like the NASP, especially because in these conditions the shear stress can be expected to be considerably larger that the pressure at a given point. The aerodynamic loading is derived assuming a quasi-steady approximation. Two important parameters are given by alpha-m, the 'momentum accommodation coefficient', and Theta, the temperature ratio between the panel temperature and the temperature of the undisturbed flow. For high enough values of Theta the variation of the linear flutter parameter with alpha-m is close to linear. Comparison with continuum theory, given by linear piston theory, depends on the values of Theta and alpha-m considered. Finally, it is shown that buckling with respect to a uniform distributed longitudinal load is stabilizing.

Resende, Hugo B.↗

Ozone depletion and chlorine loading potentials

The recognition of the roles of chlorine and bromine compounds in ozone depletion has led to the regulation or their source gases. Some source gases are expected to be more damaging to the ozone layer than others, so that scientific guidance regarding their relative impacts is needed for regulatory purposes. Parameters used for this purpose include the steady-state and time-dependent chlorine loading potential (CLP) and the ozone depletion potential (ODP). Chlorine loading potentials depend upon the estimated value and accuracy of atmospheric lifetimes and are subject to significant (approximately 20-50 percent) uncertainties for many gases. Ozone depletion potentials depend on the same factors, as well as the evaluation of the release of reactive chlorine and bromine from each source gas and corresponding ozone destruction within the stratosphere.

Pyle, John A.↗

Cosmic-ray gradients in the outer heliosphere

We report on a study of the expected spatial variation of the galactic cosmic-ray intensity in the vicinity of the solar-wind termination shock. Model simulations predict that the radial gradients change abruptly at the shock, and that the nature of the effect varies significantly with particle energy. At low energies, the radial gradient changes abruptly from a lower value inside the shock to a higher value outside, whereas at high energies, the higher value of the gradient is inside the shock. This effect, which is a consequence of the matching conditions at the shock and is closely related to diffusive shock acceleration, is qualitatively the same for both heliospheric magnetic polarity states and remains much the same in one-dimensional, two-dimensional and three-dimensional models. Hence drifts do not change the nature of this phenomenon, although they change it quantitatively. The effect may prove to be an important diagnostic tool for the study of the termination of the solar wind.

Kota, J.↗

Radial velocities of stars in the globular cluster M4 and the cluster distance

The internal stellar velocity distribution of the globular cluster M4 is evaluated from nearly 200 new radial velocity measurements good to 1 km/s and a rederivation of existing proper motions. The mean radial velocity of the cluster is 70.9 +/- 0.6 km/s. The velocity dispersion is 3.5 +/- 0.3 km/s at the core, dropping marginally towards the outskirts. Such a low internal dispersion is somewhat at odds with the cluster's orbit, for which the perigalacticon is sufficiently close to the galactic center that the probability of cluster disruption is high; a tidal radius two-thirds the currently accepted value would eliminate the discrepancy. The cluster mass-to-light ratio is also small, M/L(sub V) = 1.0 +/- 0.4 in solar units. M4 thus joins M22 as a cluster of moderate and concentration with a mass-to-light ratio among the lowest known. The astrometric distance to the cluster is also smaller than expected, 1.72 +/- 0.14 kpc. This is only consistent with conventional estimates of the luminosity of horizontal branch stars provided an extinction law R = A(sub V)/E(B-V) approximately 4 is adopted, as has been suggested recently by several authors.

Peterson, R. C.↗

Penetration Electric Fields and Inner Magnetosphere Dynamics: A Model and Data Comparison

The initial substorm interval to be studied has been selected to be the magnetic storm of June 4, 1991, and following. The CRRES electric and magnetic field data has been processed. We have added DMSP ion drift and energetic particle data and further refined the CRRES data for intercomparison. The DMSP data increase the frequency of monitoring of the temporal response of the penetration electric fields to every 100 min. Energy is seen to flow between the ionosphere and magnetosphere at low L values during the main phase of the magnetic storm in the form of field-aligned Poynting flux. This indicates electrodynamic coupling of the regions with Alfven waves. The first comparisons of the data with outputs of the Rice Magnetospheric Specification Model (MSM) were made. Both positive and negative correlation were seen as might be expected. Differences were especially evident in the time constants of the processes. Comparisons with the more physically self-consistent Rice Convection Model (RCM) with both electric fields and particle data are in progress to suggest physical constraints for our understanding of the phenomena.

Maynard, Nelson C.↗

Modeling Ablation of Fibrous Materials from Bulk to Knudsen Regime

Material-environment interactions are analyzed at microscopic scale to explain the lower than expected density observed by post-flight analysis of the char layer on the Stardust shield. Mass transfer, ablation (oxidation), and surface recession of fibrous material is simulated in 3D using a Monte-Carlo simulation tool. Ablation is found to occur either at the surface or in volume depending on Knudsen and Thiele number values. This study supports the idea of volume ablation followed by possible carbon fiber spallation that may explain post-flight analyses.

Lachaud, Jean↗

The Martian Dust Devil Electron Avalanche: Laboratory Measurements of the E-Field Fortifying Effects of Dust-Electron Absorption

Analogous to terrestrial dust devils, charged dust in Mars dust devils should become vertically stratified in the convective features, creating large scale E-fields. This E-field in a Martian-like atmosphere has been shown to stimulate the development of a Townsend discharge (electron avalanche) that acts to dissipate charge in regions where charge build-up occurs. While the stratification of the charged dust is a source of the electrical energy, the uncharged particulates in the dust population may absorb a portion of these avalanching electrons, thereby inhibiting dissipation and leading to the development of anomalously large E-field values. We performed a laboratory study that does indeed show the presence of enhanced E-field strengths between an anode and cathode when dust-absorbing filaments (acting as particulates) are placed in the avalanching electron flow. Further, the E-field threshold condition to create an impulsive spark discharge increases to larger values as more filaments are placed between the anode and cathode. We conclude that the spatially separated charged dust creates the charge centers and E-fields in a dust devil, but the under-charged portion of the population acts to reduce Townsend electron dissipation currents, further fortifying the development of larger-than-expected E-fields.

Farrell, W. M.↗

An Early Prediction of the Amplitude of Solar Cycle 25

A “Solar Dynamo” (SODA) Index prediction of the amplitude of Solar Cycle 25 is described. The SODA Index combines values of the solar polar magnetic field and the solar spectral irradiance at 10.7 cm to create a precursor of future solar activity. The result is an envelope of solar activity that minimizes the 11-year period of the sunspot cycle. We show that the variation in time of the SODA Index is similar to several wavelet transforms of the solar spectral irradiance at 10.7 cm. Polar field predictions for Solar Cycles 21 – 24 are used to show the success of the polar field precursor in previous sunspot cycles. Using the present value of the SODA index, we estimate that the next cycle’s smoothed peak activity will be about 140 ± 30 solar flux units for the 10.7 cm radio flux and a Version 2 sunspot number of 135 ± 25. This suggests that Solar Cycle 25 will be comparable to Solar Cycle 24. The estimated peak is expected to occur near 2025.2 ± 1.5 year. Because the current approach uses data prior to solar minimum, these estimates may improve as the upcoming solar minimum draws closer.

Solar Cycle Predictions↗

Reduced Dimensionality Analysis of TEMPO Ozone Profile Retrievals Using the Compact Phase Space (CPSR) Algorithm

TEMPO ozone (O 3 ) profile retrievals are expected to have fidelity in the troposphere due the sensitivities of the associated averaging kernels. However, those averaging kernels are severely rank deficiency meaning that a visual inspection of the vertical structure of the averaging kernel profile sensitivities is misleading due linear dependencies in the profile. The Compact Phase Space Retrieval (CPSR) algorithm use singular value decompositions of the averaging kernels and the ‘compressed’ retrieval solution error covariance to project the transformed averaging kernels into a space that removes the linear dependencies and accounts for the solution error uncertainties. In this oral presentation and poster, we apply the CPSR dimensional reduction analysis to TEMPO and TROPOMI O 3 profile retrievals for 13:45 UTC March 29, 2024 to study the phase space characteristics of the transformed averaging kernels as a function of latitude for North America. Our results show that TEMPO generally has more phase space vertical structure in the troposphere than TROPOMI. TEMPO has four to five dominant modes, and TROPOMI has five to six dominant modes. That means that dimensional reduction can reduce the TEMPO resource requirements by ~77% and the TROPOMI requirements by ~81%. Finally, we found that after removing linear dependences and after accounting for solution uncertainties TEMPO still has sensitivities throughout the troposphere.

TEMPO↗

Coarsening in binary solid-liquid mixtures

A theory of Ostwald ripening has been developed for a solid-liquid mixture cosisting of a low volume fraction array of spherical solid particles in a liquid wherein the coarsening process proceeds via the transport of both heat and mass. It is found that the simultaneous transport of heat and mass during ripening does not alter the exponents of the temporal power laws governing the ripening process from their classical values but does alter the amplitudes of these power laws. The growth rate of the cube of the average particle radius, the rate constant, is found to depend both on the alloy solute concentration and the ratio of the thermal to solutal diffusivities. In most metallic systems, a large decrease in the rate constant can be expected with small additions of solute to a pure metal. Possible extensions of this theory to the analogous problem of ripening in isothermal ternary alloys are also discussed.

Voorhees, P. W.↗

Meteorological radar methods for validating space observations of precipitation

Meteorological approaches to verification of space measurements of rainfall are examined; validation of Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) observations is expected to depend significantly on ground-based radars. Two methods of comparison are initially contemplated. TRMM rainfall data over time periods of a month for large areas (500 x 500 km) are averaged and compared with similarly averaged ground truth measurements. Both the rainfall and height distribution data from TRMM are compared with the instantaneous values observed at one or more 'ground truth' stations and from airborne radar and radiometers as available.

Thiele, Otto W.↗

On the Relationship of Multiple Solutions in Tropospheric Photochemistry to Observable Phenomena

Multiple steady-state solutions are a fairly robust feature of simplified models of tropospheric photochemistry and have been reported for a range of different modeling assumptions. Multiple solutions occur through a bifurcation as changes in a control parameter induce a transition from low to high NO(x) conditions. The usual control parameters are the sources of NO and of CO, CH4 or non-methane hydrocarbons. Typically, with increasing NO source, bifurcations occur at NO(x). concentrations that are higher than would be expected of even heavily polluted conditions. However, there are other ways of inducing a low NO(x) - high NO(x) transition. In this paper the primary control parameter is solar zenith angle. This is varied throughout the year by computing noontime steady states on successive days. Background NO(x), varied by assuming different NO(x) sources values, is used as a secondary control parameter. It is found that bifurcations can occur from high to low NO(x) conditions, for reasonable background NO(x) levels, as the model progresses through spring and then from low to high NO,, during the progression through fall. A time dependent version of this model has been run for the same parameter values as in the steady state runs. This shows rapid spring and fall transitions between high and low NO(x) states. H2O2, for example, rises from sub-ppb levels to about 2 ppb over a five day period in spring and declines quickly, but less precipitously, in fall. This study supports the suggestions that the rapid change in peroxide concentrations between summer and winter conditions may be understood as a manifestation of different underlying steady-state behavior.

Stewart, Richard W.↗