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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 1,495 records · Page 83
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2023

Measure This, Not That: Pareto Optimal Trade-Offs between Model-Based Information Content and Measurements Cost

The slides present a novel convex optimization formulation to compute the best set of measurements for multi-response dynamical systems with asynchronous time steps that maximize the Fisher information content subject to budget constraints. The trace (A-optimality) or determinant (D-optimality) of the Fisher Information Matrix (FIM) quantifies the information content. The framework supports arbitrary (positive semi-definite) variance and covariances between every pair of responses and their time steps.

Wang, Jialu↗
DOE OSTI2024

Representative Period Selection for Robust Capacity Expansion Planning in Low-carbon Grids

With the increasing urgency to decarbonize power systems, while mitigating extreme events, capacity expansion models can play a vital role in reliably planning the expansion of power systems and facilitating the integration of renewable energy sources. Optimizing capacity expansion generally involves selecting surrogate representative days from forecasts of load and the generation profiles of variable renewable energy resources. To properly select those representative days, we propose a novel input-based approach in combination with the k-means clustering algorithm that utilize three unique operational inputs: load shedding, renewable curtailment, and transmission congestion. The proposed method allows for more robust and cost-effective capacity planning. The method is validated using a capacity expansion model and a production cost model based on California Independent System Operator (CAISO)'s decarbonization goals, and results in reduced costs and drastically lower load shedding.

Anderson, Osten P.↗
DOE OSTI2019

Update on Evaluation of Steam Cycle Upgrades to Improve the Competitiveness of U.S. Coal Power Plants

Under an award issued by the U.S. Department of Energy (DE-FE0031535), the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI) is leading project to examine the technical and economic feasibility of a series of steam cycle upgrades to the two most prevalent types of U.S. coal power plants (including both subcritical and supercritical cycle configurations). The retrofit upgrade options are focused on evaluating increasing main steam and reheat steam temperatures from 1000°F (538°C) to hotter temperatures, ranging from ultra-supercritical (USC) (i.e., 1100°F or 593°C) to advanced USC (AUSC) conditions (≥1300° or 704°C) while maintaining steam pressures at their original values. By maintaining the original operating steam pressures as well as the original boiler and furnace enclosure envelopes, we aim to minimize the modifications required to the existing power plant, while still providing a significant improvement in heat rate. A unique aspect of this study is that the economic value of the heat rate improvement of each technically feasible option will be determined by detailed modeling of unit dispatch, over the remaining future plant life, in several regional power markets, using EPRI’s US-REGEN model. The capital cost estimates will be compared to the increased revenue estimated by the dispatch modeling to determine the overall economic attractiveness of each upgrade option. The results of this study have the potential to be applicable at up to 80% of the existing U.S. coal-fired power generation fleet. The project team, led by the Electric Power Research Institute, has completed the technical feasibility evaluation, and is currently executing the unit dispatch and capital cost evaluation portions of the work scope. This will describe the motivation for the project, explain the project’s structure and schedule, and provide details on the work scope and preliminary results of the technical feasibility evaluation.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗
DOE OSTI2016

Centipod WEC, Advanced Controls, Baseline LCOE

Project baseline levelized cost of energy (LCOE) model for the Centipod WEC containing annual energy production (AEP) data, a cost breakdown structure (CBS), model documentation, and the LCOE content model. This baseline was built for comparison with the resultant LCOE model, built after implementation of the model predictive control (MPC) controller.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

On the Application of an Actuator Line Model for Rotorcraft Outwash Predictions

As the next generation of Vertical Take-Off and Landing (VTOL) vehicles develops and the VTOL industry makes significant progress in utilizing them for public transportation, it is crucial to have validated and cost-effective computational models accessible to both industry professionals and academics in the rotorcraft community. This study investigates the implementation of a new actuator line model within NASA’s OVERFLOW computational fluid dynamics (CFD) solver, with a focus on predicting rotorcraft outwash. This reduced-order rotor model was developed to provide reasonably accurate outwash predictions while reducing computational costs compared to traditional blade-resolved CFD simulations. To validate the actuator line model for outwash predictions, the model was compared against existing experimental data across three validation cases: single rotor Out-of-Ground Effect (OGE), single rotor In-Ground Effect (IGE), and tandem rotor IGE. All three cases were based on the rotor geometry and configuration of the CH-47D. To evaluate the feasibility and advantages of using an actuator line model for outwash predictions the results were compared to a series of high-fidelity blade-resolved CFD simulations as well as comprehensive analyses simulations based on CHARM predictions. The results of this study demonstrate the feasibility of leveraging this new actuator line model for reasonably accurate outwash predictions. The outwash results obtained from the actuator line model closely matched those from high-fidelity blade-resolved simulations while significantly reducing the overall computational costs of the simulations. Results from this study further demonstrated the feasibility of using CHARM for efficient, and reasonably accurate time-averaged outwash predictions for multi-rotor configurations.

CFD↗
DOE OSTI2026

Uncertainty quantification and reliability assessment for intermodal freight transportation

Intermodal freight optimization models support cost-effective, low-emission, and timely goods movement by coordinating trucks, rail, and barges. These models determine optimal flows, routing, and modal switches while respecting infrastructure and operational constraints. However, their real-world utility is often undermined by pervasive uncertainties-such as fluctuating transportation costs and emissions, variable terminal capacities, and uncertain freight demand-that distort key performance outcomes, including total system cost, carbon footprint, and transit time reliability. This study presents a structured framework for quantifying uncertainty in intermodal freight transportation (IFT) optimization. The framework evaluates how input uncertainty affects system performance and reliability, a critical need for ensuring that model-based decisions remain robust under real-world variability, especially amid volatile fuel prices, shifting demand, and growing disruptions. It integrates three complementary methods: (1) Sobol-based global sensitivity analysis to identify influential parameters affecting cost, emissions, and transit time, (2) Monte Carlo-based capacity perturbation analysis to assess robustness under probabilistic facility disruptions, and (3) Monte Carlo filtering with Bayesian inference to detect threshold-based performance vulnerabilities. The results highlight diesel truck unit cost as the dominant driver of variability. To improve system resilience, planners should prioritize uncertainty in fuel-related parameters when designing intermodal strategies.

Intermodal freight transportation↗
NASA NTRS2018

Hybrid Reduced Order Model for N2-N2 Interactions for Application to Dissociation and Energy Transfer Processes

Recent work in the aerothermodynamics community has focused on the development of reduced-order models for thermo-chemical non-equilibrium which avoid the restrictive assumptions of multi-temperature models and the prohibitive cost associated with State-to-State (StS) models. In the present work, this is accomplished by lumping energy states together and assuming groups of states are roughly in equilibrium. As a result, the non-equilibrium behavior of a gas can be captured at a reduced computational cost from a full StS simulation. In this work, we present a hybrid grouping model for studying energy transfer and dissociation in a mixture of nitrogen molecules due to N2-N2 reactions. This is accomplished by making use of a grouping strategy informed by data from the N2-N StS kinetic data. However, due to the massive computational cost associated with constructing StS data for the N2-N2 system, the kinetic data for the hybrid grouping model are calculated using the quasi-classical trajectory (QCT) method by sampling states for trajectory within the groups. This general framework is called the Maximum-Entropy Quasi-Classical Trajectory (ME-QCT) method. The primary challenge associated with this method is that rates for reverse grouped reactions cannot be obtained through detailed balance at a group level, due to the variation of group internal temperatures. To construct the full model for N2-N2 grouped kinetics using the ME-QCT method, detailed balance is invoked at the microscopic level, allowing for the calculation of the full kinetic data from QCT. Results will be presented using the full ME-QCT model for the N2-N2 system in an isothermal and isochoric reactor simulation. In addition, simple CFD test cases for a one-dimensional standing shock and for a quasi-one-dimensional nozzle will be used for demonstration of the ME-QCT method. This method allows for the calculation of non-equilibrium behavior for the N2-N2 system without the prohibitive cost of a full StS simulation. Moreover, it enables the construction of a unified model for the dissociating and recombining non-equilibrium flows.

nonequilibrium modeling↗
DOE OSTI2025

Incorporating corrosion design constraints in desalination process optimization: A case study in mechanical vapor compression

Corrosion is an expensive and complex challenge for desalination, yet current design approaches do not explicitly account for corrosion mechanisms in process modeling and technoeconomic analysis. Here, to address this gap, we present a workflow for incorporating corrosion design constraints directly into desalination process optimization models. We develop surrogate models for general and localized corrosion metrics as functions of temperature, pH, salinity, dissolved oxygen, and material using data from OLI Systems’ Corrosion Analyzer. We then integrate these surrogates as corrosion design constraints in a cost-optimization MVC model that minimizes the levelized cost of water (LCOW). For a case study of mechanical vapor compression (MVC) treating seawater across a range of recoveries, we find dissolved oxygen (DO) is the dominant driver of localized corrosion, and thus of cost-optimal material choice and operating conditions. Reducing the DO from 8 mg/L to 0.5 mg/L reduces the LCOW by 15-35%, informing the breakeven costs for implementing DO removal or selecting highly corrosion-resistant alloys. This framework is broadly applicable across corrosion types, materials, and components and enables desalination process design that minimizes capital costs.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2019

Learning-Based Inversion-Free Model-Data Integration to Advance Ecosystem Model Prediction

Ecosystem model prediction is important for understanding ecosystem responses to climate change and for management support. Model prediction and quantification of predictive uncertainty of ecosystems have long been investigated. The traditional workflow, which calibrates models to match observations and then uses the calibrated models for predictions, relies heavily on inverse modeling to constrain uncertain parameters in complex forward models. This inversion-based prediction approach is infeasible for complex models with heterogeneous parameter uncertainties and incapable of rapid integration of streaming and multiple sources of data because of the difficulty and computational cost in the model inversion, which is typically ill-posed and can require hundreds of thousands of expensive forward simulations to be performed iteratively. We propose to circumvent inverse modeling by precomputing an ensemble of unconstrained forward simulations and then using machine learning (ML) methods to learn the statistical relationship between simulated observation and prediction quantities. Once the ML model has learned the relationship, it can be used to make predictions of future system behavior with uncertainty quantification based on observations. The proposed learningbased inversion-free model prediction (LIMP) framework is computationally efficient which only requires a few thousands of fully parallelizable forward simulations. Additionally, LIMP can continually update predictions based on streaming observations from multiple locations and sources without necessarily requiring extra model simulations. In this study, we apply LIMP to a regional terrestrial ecosystem model with 47 parameters for testing, refining, and evaluating the approach. We demonstrate that LIMP can be used for efficient model prediction, rapid data assimilation, and cost-effective experimental design for improving robust predictive understanding of ecosystems.

Lu, Dan↗
NASA NTRS1986

New reflective symmetry design capability in the JPL-IDEAS Structure Optimization Program

The JPL-IDEAS antenna structure analysis and design optimization computer program was modified to process half structure models of symmetric structures subjected to arbitrary external static loads, synthesize the performance, and optimize the design of the full structure. Significant savings in computation time and cost (more than 50%) were achieved compared to the cost of full model computer runs. The addition of the new reflective symmetry analysis design capabilities to the IDEAS program allows processing of structure models whose size would otherwise prevent automated design optimization. The new program produced synthesized full model iterative design results identical to those of actual full model program executions at substantially reduced cost, time, and computer storage.

Strain, D.↗
NASA NTRS2012

System-of-Systems Technology-Portfolio-Analysis Tool

Advanced Technology Life-cycle Analysis System (ATLAS) is a system-of-systems technology-portfolio-analysis software tool. ATLAS affords capabilities to (1) compare estimates of the mass and cost of an engineering system based on competing technological concepts; (2) estimate life-cycle costs of an outer-space-exploration architecture for a specified technology portfolio; (3) collect data on state-of-the-art and forecasted technology performance, and on operations and programs; and (4) calculate an index of the relative programmatic value of a technology portfolio. ATLAS facilitates analysis by providing a library of analytical spreadsheet models for a variety of systems. A single analyst can assemble a representation of a system of systems from the models and build a technology portfolio. Each system model estimates mass, and life-cycle costs are estimated by a common set of cost models. Other components of ATLAS include graphical-user-interface (GUI) software, algorithms for calculating the aforementioned index, a technology database, a report generator, and a form generator for creating the GUI for the system models. At the time of this reporting, ATLAS is a prototype, embodied in Microsoft Excel and several thousand lines of Visual Basic for Applications that run on both Windows and Macintosh computers.

O'Neil, Daniel↗
NASA NTRS1992

Strategic approaches to planetary base development

The evolutionary development of a planetary expansionary outpost is considered in the light of both technical and economic issues. The outline of a partnering taxonomy is set forth which encompasses both institutional and temporal issues related to establishing shared interests and investments. The purely technical issues are discussed in terms of the program components which include nonaerospace technologies such as construction engineering. Five models are proposed in which partnership and autonomy for participants are approached in different ways including: (1) the standard customer/provider relationship; (2) a service-provider scenario; (3) the joint venture; (4) a technology joint-development model; and (5) a redundancy model for reduced costs. Based on the assumed characteristics of planetary surface systems the cooperative private/public models are championed with coordinated design by NASA to facilitate outside cooperation.

Roberts, Barney B.↗