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NASA NTRS2021

A Phenomenon-Based Decomposition of Model-Based Estimates of Boreal Winter ENSO Variability

Climate models are now routinely being used to simulate and predict climate variability on time scales ranging from sub-seasonal to seasonal and longer. As such, there are now long histories of such simulations and predictions spanning multiple decades and multiple ensemble members, both of which are crucial for separating climate signal from climate noise. A key focus of such runs has been the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), spurred by recent improvements in our ability to predict such events, though questions remain as to how well climate models do beyond simply always predicting the “canonical” atmospheric response to an ENSO event—something simple statistical models already do reasonably well. This is a critical issue that needs addressing, given the importance of event-to-event differences for predicting regional impacts of ENSO teleconnections, and the need to justify the expense of running sophisticated climate models. Unfortunately, current diagnostic tools are not well suited for quantifying the different sources of variability associated with specific phenomena such as ENSO. More generally, while much effort has focused on addressing model bias, less has been done to address errors in second moment statistics—an issue whose importance is gaining increased attention particularly as we build climate prediction systems capable of taking advantage of forecasts of opportunity—a capability that requires reliable estimates of forecast uncertainty. In this report, we outline a phenomenon-based statistical decomposition of climate variance(in essence a detailed variance budget)that is specifically tailored to address the above questions by separating the variability (both the signal and noise) into that tied to the long-term average impact of a particular phenomenon(the composite mean) and the event-to-event(E2E) variability about the composite mean. In addition, we provide related decompositions of the correlations that allow us to quantify how much of the agreement with observations (the skill) comes from the composite mean as opposed to from the E2Evariability. As an example, we present the results of such a decomposition for ENSO based on simulations with the GEOS atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM), with a focus on the monthly mean impacts over North America during boreal winter(December –March). Here we take advantage of existing GEOS AGCM simulations that were produced as companion simulations to MERRA-2for the period 1980-2016. Comparisons are made throughout with MERRA-2.

ENSO↗

NASA NTRS2011

NASA System Safety Handbook: System Safety Framework and Concepts for Implementation - Volume 1

System safety assessment is defined in NPR 8715.3C, NASA General Safety Program Requirements as a disciplined, systematic approach to the analysis of risks resulting from hazards that can affect humans, the environment, and mission assets. Achievement of the highest practicable degree of system safety is one of NASA's highest priorities. Traditionally, system safety assessment at NASA and elsewhere has focused on the application of a set of safety analysis tools to identify safety risks and formulate effective controls.1 Familiar tools used for this purpose include various forms of hazard analyses, failure modes and effects analyses, and probabilistic safety assessment (commonly also referred to as probabilistic risk assessment (PRA)). In the past, it has been assumed that to show that a system is safe, it is sufficient to provide assurance that the process for identifying the hazards has been as comprehensive as possible and that each identified hazard has one or more associated controls. The NASA Aerospace Safety Advisory Panel (ASAP) has made several statements in its annual reports supporting a more holistic approach. In 2006, it recommended that "... a comprehensive risk assessment, communication and acceptance process be implemented to ensure that overall launch risk is considered in an integrated and consistent manner." In 2009, it advocated for "... a process for using a risk-informed design approach to produce a design that is optimally and sufficiently safe." As a rationale for the latter advocacy, it stated that "... the ASAP applauds switching to a performance-based approach because it emphasizes early risk identification to guide designs, thus enabling creative design approaches that might be more efficient, safer, or both." For purposes of this preface, it is worth mentioning three areas where the handbook emphasizes a more holistic type of thinking. First, the handbook takes the position that it is important to not just focus on risk on an individual basis but to consider measures of aggregate safety risk and to ensure wherever possible that there be quantitative measures for evaluating how effective the controls are in reducing these aggregate risks. The term aggregate risk, when used in this handbook, refers to the accumulation of risks from individual scenarios that lead to a shortfall in safety performance at a high level: e.g., an excessively high probability of loss of crew, loss of mission, planetary contamination, etc. Without aggregated quantitative measures such as these, it is not reasonable to expect that safety has been optimized with respect to other technical and programmatic objectives. At the same time, it is fully recognized that not all sources of risk are amenable to precise quantitative analysis and that the use of qualitative approaches and bounding estimates may be appropriate for those risk sources. Second, the handbook stresses the necessity of developing confidence that the controls derived for the purpose of achieving system safety not only handle risks that have been identified and properly characterized but also provide a general, more holistic means for protecting against unidentified or uncharacterized risks. For example, while it is not possible to be assured that all credible causes of risk have been identified, there are defenses that can provide protection against broad categories of risks and thereby increase the chances that individual causes are contained. Third, the handbook strives at all times to treat uncertainties as an integral aspect of risk and as a part of making decisions. The term "uncertainty" here does not refer to an actuarial type of data analysis, but rather to a characterization of our state of knowledge regarding results from logical and physical models that approximate reality. Uncertainty analysis finds how the output parameters of the models are related to plausible variations in the input parameters and in the modeling assumptions. The evaluation of unrtainties represents a method of probabilistic thinking wherein the analyst and decision makers recognize possible outcomes other than the outcome perceived to be "most likely." Without this type of analysis, it is not possible to determine the worth of an analysis product as a basis for making decisions related to safety and mission success. In line with these considerations the handbook does not take a hazard-analysis-centric approach to system safety. Hazard analysis remains a useful tool to facilitate brainstorming but does not substitute for a more holistic approach geared to a comprehensive identification and understanding of individual risk issues and their contributions to aggregate safety risks. The handbook strives to emphasize the importance of identifying the most critical scenarios that contribute to the risk of not meeting the agreed-upon safety objectives and requirements using all appropriate tools (including but not limited to hazard analysis). Thereafter, emphasis shifts to identifying the risk drivers that cause these scenarios to be critical and ensuring that there are controls directed toward preventing or mitigating the risk drivers. To address these and other areas, the handbook advocates a proactive, analytic-deliberative, risk-informed approach to system safety, enabling the integration of system safety activities with systems engineering and risk management processes. It emphasizes how one can systematically provide the necessary evidence to substantiate the claim that a system is safe to within an acceptable risk tolerance, and that safety has been achieved in a cost-effective manner. The methodology discussed in this handbook is part of a systems engineering process and is intended to be integral to the system safety practices being conducted by the NASA safety and mission assurance and systems engineering organizations. The handbook posits that to conclude that a system is adequately safe, it is necessary to consider a set of safety claims that derive from the safety objectives of the organization. The safety claims are developed from a hierarchy of safety objectives and are therefore hierarchical themselves. Assurance that all the claims are true within acceptable risk tolerance limits implies that all of the safety objectives have been satisfied, and therefore that the system is safe. The acceptable risk tolerance limits are provided by the authority who must make the decision whether or not to proceed to the next step in the life cycle. These tolerances are therefore referred to as the decision maker's risk tolerances. In general, the safety claims address two fundamental facets of safety: 1) whether required safety thresholds or goals have been achieved, and 2) whether the safety risk is as low as possible within reasonable impacts on cost, schedule, and performance. The latter facet includes consideration of controls that are collective in nature (i.e., apply generically to broad categories of risks) and thereby provide protection against unidentified or uncharacterized risks.

Dezfuli, Homayoon↗

NASA NTRS2008

"Built-In" Action/Issues Tracking and Post-Ops Analysis Tool for Realtime Console Operations

Marshall Space Flight Center's (MSFC) Payload Operations Integration Center (POIC) for the International Space Station (ISS) uses a number of formal databases to manage and track flight plan changes, onboard and ground equipment anomalies, and other events. However, individual console positions encounter many action items and/or occurrences that don't fit neatly into the databases, and while console logs are comprehensive, manual or automated searches do not always yield consistent results. The Payload Communications Manager (PAYCOM) team, whose members speak directly with the ISS onboard crew with respect to NASA payload operations, has found a creative way to reformat a mandatory Daily Report to organize action items, standing reminders, significant events, and other comments. While the report keeps others appraised of PAYCOMs activities and issues of the moment, the format makes it easy to capture very brief summaries of the items in a "Roll Off Matrix", including start and stop dates, resolution, and possible applicability to future ops. The matrix provides accountability for all action items, gives direct insight into the issues surrounding various payloads and methods of dealing with them, yields indirect information on PAYCOM priorities and processes, and provides a roadmap that makes it easier to get back to extensive details if needed. This paper describes how the ISS PAYCOM Daily Report and Roll Off Matrix are organized, used, and inter-related to each other and the PAYCOM operations log. While the application is for a manned vehicle, the concepts could apply in a wide spectrum of operational settings.

Scott, David W.↗

NASA NTRS1985

Development and validation of a general purpose linearization program for rigid aircraft models

A FORTRAN program that provides the user with a powerful and flexible tool for the linearization of aircraft models is discussed. The program LINEAR numerically determines a linear systems model using nonlinear equations of motion and a user-supplied, nonlinear aerodynamic model. The system model determined by LINEAR consists of matrices for both the state and observation equations. The program has been designed to allow easy selection and definition of the state, control, and observation variables to be used in a particular model. Also, included in the report is a comparison of linear and nonlinear models for a high performance aircraft.

Duke, E. L.↗

NASA NTRS1988

Development of an integrated BEM approach for hot fluid structure interaction

In the present work, the boundary element method (BEM) is chosen as the basic analysis tool, principally because the definition of temperature, flux, displacement and traction are very precise on a boundary-based discretization scheme. One fundamental difficulty is, of course, that a BEM formulation requires a considerable amount of analytical work, which is not needed in the other numerical methods. Progress made toward the development of a boundary element formulation for the study of hot fluid-structure interaction in Earth-to-Orbit engine hot section components is reported. The primary thrust of the program to date has been directed quite naturally toward the examination of fluid flow, since boundary element methods for fluids are at a much less developed state.

Dargush, Gary F.↗

NASA NTRS1993

Time-dependent Computational Studies of Premixed Flames in Microgravity

This report describes the research performed at the Center for Reactive Flow and Dynamical Systems in the Laboratory for Computational Physics and Fluid Dynamics, at the Naval Research Laboratory, in support of NASA Microgravity Science and Applications Program. The primary focus of this research is on investigating fundamental questions concerning the propagation and extinction of premixed flames in earth gravity and in microgravity environments. Our approach is to use detailed time-dependent, multispecies, numerical models as tools to simulate flames in different gravity environments. The models include a detailed chemical kinetics mechanism consisting of elementary reactions among the eight reactive species involved in hydrogen combustion, coupled to algorithms for convection, thermal conduction, viscosity, molecular and thermal diffusion, and external forces. The external force, gravity, can be put in any direction relative to flame propagation and can have a range of values. Recently more advanced wall boundary conditions such as isothermal and no-slip have been added to the model. This enables the simulation of flames propagating in more practical systems than before. We have used the numerical simulations to investigate the effects of heat losses and buoyancy forces on the structure and stability of flames, to help resolve fundamental questions on the existence of flammability limits when there are no external losses or buoyancy forces in the system, to understand the interaction between the various processes leading to flame instabilities and extinguishment, and to study the dynamics of cell formation and splitting. Our studies have been able to bring out the differences between upward- and downward-propagating flames and predict the zero-gravity behavior of these flames. The simulations have also highlighted the dominant role of wall heat losses in the case of downward-propagating flames. The simulations have been able to qualitatively predict the formation of multiple cells and the cessation of cell-splitting. Our studies have also shown that some flames in a microgravity environment can be extinguished due to a chemical instability and without any external losses. However, further simulations are needed to more completely understand upward-propagating and zero-gravity flames as well as to understand the potential effect of radiative heat losses.

Kailasanath, K.↗

NASA NTRS1993

Angular diameters as a probe of a cosmological constant and Omega

The lensing effect of curved space, which can cause the angular diameter of a fixed reference length seen on the sky to reach a minimum and then increase with redshift, has recently been claimed to provide evidence, using compact radio sources, for a q sub 0 = 1/2 expansion. We show here that this relation, in particular the position of the observed minimum, depends sensitively on the value of the cosmological constant, Lambda, in a flat universe. The sensitivity to a nonzero Lambda in a flat universe is compared to the sensitivity to q sub 0 in an open universe without a cosmological constant. The reported results could provide the strongest available limit on the cosmological constant in a flat universe (and on Omega in an open universe) and so we explore how uncertainties in distance measures and evolution of the sources can affect the results. Evolution of less than 30 percent in source size for z of less than 2 can completely alter the results, and so must be convincingly ruled out if this technique is to provide a new tool for cosmology.

Krauss, Lawrence M.↗

NASA NTRS1994

The 1992-1993 NASA Space Biology Accomplishments

This report consists of individual technical summaries of research projects of NASA's Space Biology Program, for research conducted during the calendar years of 1992 and 1993. This program includes both plant and animal research, and is dedicated to understanding the role of gravity and the effects of microgravity on biological processes; determining the effects of the interaction of gravity and other environmental factors on biological systems; and using the microgravity of the space environment as a tool to advance fundamental scientific knowledge in the biological sciences to improve the quality of life on Earth and contribute to NASA's goal of manned exploration of space. The summaries for each project include a description of the research, a list of the accomplishments, an explanation of the significance of the accomplishments, and a list of publications.

Halstead, Thora W.↗

NASA NTRS2005

Multi-Scale Sizing of Lightweight Multifunctional Spacecraft Structural Components

This document is the final report for the project entitled, "Multi-Scale Sizing of Lightweight Multifunctional Spacecraft Structural Components," funded under the NRA entitled "Cross-Enterprise Technology Development Program" issued by the NASA Office of Space Science in 2000. The project was funded in 2001, and spanned a four year period from March, 2001 to February, 2005. Through enhancements to and synthesis of unique, state of the art structural mechanics and micromechanics analysis software, a new multi-scale tool has been developed that enables design, analysis, and sizing of advance lightweight composite and smart materials and structures from the full vehicle, to the stiffened structure, to the micro (fiber and matrix) scales. The new software tool has broad, cross-cutting value to current and future NASA missions that will rely on advanced composite and smart materials and structures.

Bednarcyk, Brett A.↗

NASA NTRS2011

Resilient and Corrosion-Proof Rolling Element Bearings Made from Superelastic Ni-Ti Alloys for Aerospace Mechanism Applications

Mechanical components (bearings, gears, mechanisms) typically utilize hard materials to minimize wear and attain long life. In such components, heavily loaded contact points (e.g., meshing gear teeth, bearing ball-raceway contacts) experience high contact stresses. The combination of high hardness, heavy loads and high elastic modulus often leads to damaging contact stress. In addition, mechanical component materials, such as tool steel or silicon nitride exhibit limited recoverable strain (typically less than 1 percent). These material attributes can lead to Brinell damage (e.g., denting) particularly during transient overload events such as shock impacts that occur during the launching of space vehicles or the landing of aircraft. In this paper, a superelastic alloy, 60NiTi, is considered for rolling element bearing applications. A series of Rockwell and Brinell hardness, compressive strength, fatigue and tribology tests are conducted and reported. The combination of high hardness, moderate elastic modulus, large recoverable strain, low density, and intrinsic corrosion immunity provide a path to bearings largely impervious to shock load damage. It is anticipated that bearings and components made from alloys with such attributes can alleviate many problems encountered in advanced aerospace applications.

DellaCorte, Christopher↗

NASA NTRS2017

Assessment of the State-of-the-Art of System-Wide Safety and Assurance Technologies

Since its initiation, the System-wide Safety Assurance Technologies (SSAT) Project has been focused on developing multidisciplinary tools and techniques that are verified and validated to ensure prevention of loss of property and life in NextGen and enable proactive risk management through predictive methods. To this end, four technical challenges have been listed to help realize the goals of SSAT, namely (i) assurance of flight critical systems, (ii) discovery of precursors to safety incidents, (iii) assuring safe human-systems integration, and (iv) prognostic algorithm design for safety assurance. The objective of this report is to provide an extensive survey of SSAT-related research accomplishments by researchers within and outside NASA to get an understanding of what the state-of-the-art is for technologies enabling each of the four technical challenges. We hope that this report will serve as a good resource for anyone interested in gaining an understanding of the SSAT technical challenges, and also be useful in the future for project planning and resource allocation for related research.

Roychoudhury, Indranil↗

NASA NTRS2024

Assessing Flash Characteristics in Lightning-Initiated Wildfire Events Between 1995 and 2020 Within the Contiguous United States

Twenty-six years of lightning data were paired with over 68,000 lightning-initiated wildfire (LIW) reports to understand lightning flash characteristics responsible for ignition in between 1995 and 2020. Results indicate that 92% of LIW were started by negative cloud-to-ground (CG) lightning flashes and 57% were single stroke flashes. Moreover, 62% of LIW reports did not have a positive CG within 10 km of the start location, contrary to the science literature’s suggestion that positive CG flashes are a dominant fire-starting mechanism. Nearly 1/3rd of wildfire events were holdovers, meaning one or more days elapsed between lightning occurrence and fire report. However, fires that were reported less than a day after lightning occurrence statistically burned more acreage. Peak current was not found to be a statistically significant delineator between fire starters and non-fire starters for -CGs but was for positive CGs. Results highlighted the need for reassessing the role of positive CG lightning and subsequently long continuing current in wildfire ignition started by lightning. One potential outcome of this study’s results is the development of real-time tools to identify ignition potential during lightning events to aid in fire mitigation efforts.

Christopher J Schultz↗

NASA NTRS2022

22” ADP Fan Rig Liners Design Report

A liner design study was conducted as part of a cooperative effort between five (5) government/industry teams that together seek to demonstrate the technology for designing and manufacturing acoustic liners that are twenty five percent (25%) more efficient than 1992 technology liners. The study emphasized teaming collaboration. The improved liners were designed by Pratt & Whitney and Boeing Airplane Company and built by Rohr Inc, and will be tested in the NASA/P& W 22-inch ADP fan rig at NASA Lewis Research Center's 9' x 15' wind tunnel. Design guidelines and decisions were made collectively during monthly design review telecons and at the formal final design review. The tools that were used to design the new improved liners were not new, but the process that was developed as part of this study that led into the evaluation and selection of the final and best liner designs is new. Until now, the liner design process as practiced by different industry teams varied greatly. Some procedures were based on empirical liner attenuation databases which could not adequately account for engine-to-engine hardwall fan noise spectral differences, while others were entirely theoretical. And regardless of which method one chose, the major difficulty was still the lack of understanding and knowledge of the actual hardwall fan source noise modal structure and farfield SPL spectra. The NASA-led effort to attempt actual measurements of the fan source noise modal structure by means of the rotating microphone array is expected to contribute significantly to the understanding of the nature of the fan tone noise modes, but the application to broadband noise is still a long way off. The new design process included consideration of the measured fan tone modes, but for the majority of the spectra a separate, systematic process was used. It is a common practice in the engine/nacelle industry that acoustic liners for new products are designed before actual measured hardwall engine far-field noise spectra are available. Target noise spectra are normally derived from existing engine noise databases with some adjustments to absolute SPLs and frequencies. This practice has been acceptable as long as the new engine was a derivative of the base engine. However, in the case of the ADP, the transition from a current engine base is too - great, and the adjustments could not adequately account for the quantum changes in SPL spectral differences. Examples were the 1992 single degree of freedom (SDOF) inlet and aft liners (designed by P&W) that would be used as the baseline liners against which the new improved liners' efficien¬cies would -be measured. As will be shown, these baseline liners have been found to be deeper than the desire optimum depths. The new liner design process begins with the selection of the target hard wall fan noise spectra. These spectra were obtained by scaling up (5.91 scale factor) the measured hardwall fan spectral data from the 22” ADP fan rig. Next, the modal energy contents for each 1/3-octave band center frequency of these hardwall fan noise spectra are estimated. (Within each 1/3-octave band center frequency, the model energy distribution approximation is for both tone and broadband noise). For the inlet noise, P&W uses a derivative of the NASA Lewis (Ed Rice's) method of classifying; and grouping propagating modes by their cutoff ratios. The next step is to assign energy level to each group of modes having the same cutoff ratio. In Ed Rice's model, the modes were grouped according to ten (10) cutoff ratio intervals with center values located at 1.026, 1.085, 1.155, 1.24, 1.35, 1.49, 1.69, 2.0, and 4.47 (with equal number of modes in each interval). The modes were assumed to have equal energy. P&W’s model expands the cutoff ratio-mode grouping into two hundred (200) smaller cutoff ratio intervals with center values located f1".'m 1.003 to 11.5 in 199 increasing incremental intervals. Next, P&W's model uses a "2-parameter" normal distribution as a template to assign energy levels to these 200 pre-determined cutoff ratio values (for each 1/3-octave band center frequency). In the past, P&W had conducted an extensive study to determine what "2-parameter" values are appropriate for fullscale inlet liners, and had developed a set of twenty-four (24) "2-pararneter" values (i.e. one for each 1/3-octave frequency band) that when used in Ed Rice's Inlet Attenuation Prediction Method produced predicted liner attenuations that closely matched measured liner attenuations from several P&W's engines. In the absence of actual measured tone and broadband modal data from the 22" ADP rig, the process will use P&W's proprietary set of "2-parameter" values for this liner design study. For the aft noise, Boeing uses a modal energy approximation that the "transport energy" of each propagating mode is equal. This approximation is almost the same as the equal energy per mode approximation, except for modes that are near cutoff. Boeing's model forces these modes to have lower energy levels. Both P&W and Boeing agreed that the "transport energy" approximation should work well for the ADP aft fan noise which appears to be dominated by broadband noise. The design process then proceeds to calculate the optimum liner impedances for each frequency in both the inlet and the aft. These optimum impedances represent the target impedances that the designed liners should have. Liners with impedances matching the optimum impedances at all frequencies are "ideal" liners. These ideal liners are theoretically the best liners. Unfortunately, it has been showed that it is impossible to design and build such ideal liners. The next best liners are ones that have impedances matching the optimum impedances over some frequency range (not all frequencies as for the ideal). This is accomplished by the use of "frequency weightings". Several of P&W's and Boeing's existing computer decks were used for optimizing and matching the designed liner impedances to the target optimum values (with the various frequency weightings specified). The optimization produces liner candidates with predicted liner impedances and descriptions of their physical liner characteristics. These candidate liner impedances are then used to predict their spectral attenuation characteristics which are then used together with the target hardwall fan noise spectra to determine the resulting treated noise spectra and PNLT values. Further optimization around the selected candidate designs yield final designs that are best in PNLT attenuations. Use of the optimization decks allowed a large number of liner candidates to be screened in a relatively short period of time. This design process is systematic and is efficient. The new inlet SDOF liner design obtained from the improved process was predicted to be 34% more effective (per unit area) than the 1992 baseline inlet liner. This inlet liner design is a 112 rayl wovenwiremesh facesheet over a 0.312-inch deep honeycomb core. The new aft SDOF liner design was predicted to be 52% more efficient than the aft baseline liner. The new aft SDOF liner is "segmented" with a shallower liner on the core cowl (inner duct wall) and a deeper liner on the fan cowl (outer duct wall). The shallower liner is a 70.6 rayl woven-wiremesh facesheet over a 0.141-inch deep honeycomb core. The deeper liner is a 68 rayl woven-wiremesh facesheet over a 0.309-inch deep honeycomb core. All liner dimensions are for the 22-inch model-scale ADP fan rig liners. The selected advanced liners are "segmented" double-layer (DDOF) liners for the inlet and aft locations. Also, for the inlet, a bulk liner with ceramic foam for wider broadband noise absorption was also selected. Triple-layer liner designs were not considered since the model scaled liners ( 1/5. 91) were dimensionally too small to be built correctly, and irrin earlier concept study, Boeing found a triple-layer to have only very small benefits over a double-layer. The inlet DDOF liner was predicted to be 83% more effective than the baseline. The inlet DDOF design is a 78 rayl facesheet over a 0.080 top cavity depth, a 68 rayl septum and a 0.227-inch bottom cavity depth. The inlet bulk liner is a 60 rayl facesheet over a 0.33-inch deep honeycomb filled with high temperature (HTP) ceramic foam with a density of 4.8 lb/cu.ft and a flow resistivity of 167 rayl/cm. The inlet bulk liner was predicted to be 83% more effective than the baseline liner. The aft DDOF liners are segmented with a shallower liner on the core cowl and a deeper liner on the fan cowl. The shallow DDOF liner is a 49.8 rayl facesheet over a 0.093-inch top cavity depth, a septum of 88.2 rayls over a 0.181-inch bottom cavity depth. The deep DDOF liner is a 12.9 rayl facesheet over a 0.140-inch top cavity depth, a septum of 53.1 ray ls over a 0.258-inch botom cavity depth. The segmented aft DDOF liners were predicted to be 86% more efficient than the baseline liner.

turbofan acoustic treatment↗

NASA NTRS2020

Costa Rica & Panama Ecological Forecasting II: Identifying Current and Future Areas of Environmental Concern in La Amistad International Park to Inform Resource Management

Seven percent of all scientifically known life forms lie within the 202,230 square miles of Central America, making this area ecologically unique and increasing the need for environmental management. The Mesoamerican Biological Corridor forms a conservation partnership throughout Central America to establish a forested corridor of over 600 protected areas. Although conservation programs exist, deforestation still afflicts the area, putting strain on these diverse ecosystems. La Amistad International Park in southern Costa Rica and northern Panama in particular faces conflicting land use changes. Expanding agricultural development and urbanization, combined with concern over indigenous land rights, have raised questions about the implementation of sustainability goals and communication strategies within the region. To help address these issues, the NASA DEVELOP Costa Rica & Panama Ecological Forecasting II team continued a partnership with the Ministry of Environment and Energy in Costa Rica and the National Environmental Authority in Panama. The team created a Land Use Conflict Identification Strategy (LUCIS) model based on land cover maps for 2019 and 2029 that were created in term I using imagery from Landsat 8 Operational Land Imager (OLI). With partner input, the team applied weights to different objectives and combined suitability maps to identify areas of potential biodiversity conflict. Additionally, the team created a Short-term Forest Change (SFTC) Tool using Terra Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer, Landsat 8 OLI, and Sentinel-2 Multispectral Instrument to help the partners identify areas of immediate, major forest changes. The LUCIS model indicated higher agricultural growth when compared to the ecological category.

Ecological Forecasting↗

NASA NTRS1972

Composite overwrapped metallic tanks

Work is reported for fabricating and testing the fiberglass overwrapped titanium pressure vessel for cryogenic service. Difficulties encountered in the tank liner fabrication phase involved explosive forming, vacuum annealing, chemical milling and electron beam welding. While each of these processes and the nondestructive test methods employed are normally considered to be individually reliable, the combination of poor material together with fabrication and development reversals prevented the full achievement of the desired end results. Eight tanks plus a prototype and tool proofing article were produced. Six of the vessels failed during the hydrostatic sizing operation. One of the remaining tanks was hydrostatically pressurized to burst and the other was pressurized repeatedly at 75 F from 100 psi to the operating pressure until failure occurred. As a result, it is not possible to draw firm conclusions as to the true value of the design concept due to the problems encountered in the program.

Caudill, C. L.↗

NASA NTRS1993

Arcjet space thrusters

Electrically powered arc jets which produce thrust at high specific impulse could provide a substantial cost reduction for orbital transfer and station keeping missions. There is currently a limited understanding of the complex, nonlinear interactions in the plasma propellant which has hindered the development of high efficiency arc jet thrusters by making it difficult to predict the effect of design changes and to interpret experimental results. A computational model developed at the University of Tennessee Space Institute (UTSI) to study laser powered thrusters and radio frequency gas heaters has been adapted to provide a tool to help understand the physical processes in arc jet thrusters. The approach is to include in the model those physical and chemical processes which appear to be important, and then to evaluate our judgement by the comparison of numerical simulations with experimental data. The results of this study have been presented at four technical conferences. The details of the work accomplished in this project are covered in the individual papers included in the appendix of this report. We present a brief description of the model covering its most important features followed by a summary of the effort.

Keefer, Dennis↗

NASA NTRS1997

Computer Aided Grid Interface: An Interactive CFD Pre-Processor

NASA maintains an applications oriented computational fluid dynamics (CFD) efforts complementary to and in support of the aerodynamic-propulsion design and test activities. This is especially true at NASA/MSFC where the goal is to advance and optimize present and future liquid-fueled rocket engines. Numerical grid generation plays a significant role in the fluid flow simulations utilizing CFD. An overall goal of the current project was to develop a geometry-grid generation tool that will help engineers, scientists and CFD practitioners to analyze design problems involving complex geometries in a timely fashion. This goal is accomplished by developing the CAGI: Computer Aided Grid Interface system. The CAGI system is developed by integrating CAD/CAM (Computer Aided Design/Computer Aided Manufacturing) geometric system output and/or Initial Graphics Exchange Specification (IGES) files (including all the NASA-IGES entities), geometry manipulations and generations associated with grid constructions, and robust grid generation methodologies. This report describes the development process of the CAGI system.

Soni, Bharat K.↗

NASA NTRS2015

Unsteady Loss in the Stator Due to the Incoming Rotor Wake in a Highly-Loaded Transonic Compressor

The present paper reports an investigation of unsteady loss generation in the stator due to the incoming rotor wake in an advanced GE transonic compressor design with a high-fidelity numerical method. This advanced compressor with high reaction and high stage loading has been investigated both experimentally and analytically in the past. The measured efficiency in this advanced compressor is significantly lower than the design intention goal. The general understanding is that the current generation of compressor design analysis tools miss some important flow physics in this modern compressor design. To pinpoint the source of the efficiency miss, an advanced test with a detailed flow traverse was performed for the front one and a half stage at the NASA Glenn Research Center.

Compressor↗