Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “model fitting”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 1,477 records · Page 82

Dark matter cores and cusps in spiral galaxies and their explanations

We compare proposed solutions to the core vs cusp issue of spiral galaxies, which has also been framed as a diversity problem, and demonstrate that the cuspiness of dark matter halos is correlated with the stellar surface brightness. We compare the rotation curve fits to the SPARC sample from a self-interacting dark matter (SIDM) model, which self-consistently includes the impact of baryons on the halo profile, and hydrodynamical N-body simulations with cold dark matter (CDM). The SIDM model predicts a strong correlation between the core size and the stellar surface density, and it provides the best global fit to the data. The CDM simulations without strong baryonic feedback effects fail to explain the large dark matter cores seen in low surface brightness galaxies. On the other hand, with strong feedback, CDM simulations do not produce galaxy analogs with high stellar and dark matter densities, and therefore they have trouble in explaining the rotation curves of high surface brightness galaxies. This implies that current feedback implementations need to be modified. We also explicitly show how the concentration-mass and stellar-to-halo mass relations together lead to a radial acceleration relation (RAR) in an averaged sense, and reiterate the point that the RAR does not capture the diversity of galaxy rotation curves in the inner regions. These results make a strong case for SIDM as the explanation for the cores and cusps of field galaxies.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Misinterpreting modified gravity as dark energy: a quantitative study

Standard cosmological data analyses typically constrain simple phenomenological dark-energy parameters, for example the present-day value of the equation of state parameter, w 0 , and its variation with scale factor, w a . However, results from such an analysis cannot easily indicate the presence of modified gravity. Even if general relativity does not hold, experimental data could still be fit sufficiently well by a phenomenological w 0 w a CDM, unmodified-gravity model. Hence, it would be very useful to know if there are generic signatures of modified gravity in standard analyses. Here we present, for the first time to our knowledge, a quantitative mapping showing how modified gravity models look when (mis)interpreted within the standard unmodified-gravity analysis. Scanning through a broad space of modified-gravity (Horndeski) models, and assuming a near-future survey consisting of CMB, BAO, and SNIa observations, we report values of the best-fit set of cosmological parameters including (w 0 , w a ) that would be inferred if modified gravity were at work. We find that modified gravity models that can masquerade as standard gravity lead to very specific biases in standard-parameter spaces. Here, we also comment on implications for measurements of the amplitude of mass fluctuations described by the parameter S 8 .

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Accurate calculation of many-body energies in water clusters using a classical geometry-dependent induction model

We incorporate geometry-dependent distributed multipole and polarizability surfaces into an induction model that is used to describe the 3- and 4-body terms of the interaction between water molecules. The expansion is carried out up to hexadecapole with the multipoles distributed on the atom sites. Dipole-dipole, dipole-quadrupole, and quadrupole-quadrupole distributed polarizabilities are used to represent the response of the multipoles to an electric field. We compare the model against two large databases consisting of 43,844 3-body terms and 3,603 4-body terms obtained from high level ab initio calculations previously used to fit the MB-pol and q-AQUA interaction potentials. The classical induction model with no adjustable parameters reproduces the ab-initio 3- and 4-body terms contained in these teo Databases with a Root-Mean-Square-Error (RMSE) of 0.104/0.058 and a Mean-Absolute-Error (MAE) of 0.054/0.026 kcal/mol, respectively, results that are on a par with those obtained 1 by fitting the same data using tens of thousands of Permutationally Invariant Polynomials (PIPs). This demonstrates the accuracy of this physically motivated model in describing the 3- and 4-body terms in the interactions between water molecules with no adjustable parameters. The triple-dipole-dispersion energy was included in the 3-body energy and was found to be small but not quite negligible. The model represents a practical, efficient and transferable approach for obtaining accurate non-additive interactions for multi-component systems without the need of performing tens of thousands of high level electronic structure calculations and fitting them with tens of thousands of PIPs.

molecular analysis water, aqueous↗

Improving Computational Efficiency of Mechanical Finite Element Method Simulations for PV Modules: Preprint

In this work we have elucidated the trade off between structural mechanics FEM model accuracy and computation time by employing lower fidelity viscoelastic models. Results indicate that computation time can easily be cut in half while only expecting a potential maximum error of 10 % by considering lower fidelity models. A novel approach to produce the Prony Series fit for viscoelastic characterization has also been presented. Employing this approach, we were able to achieve a further 10 % reduction in computation time without further sacrificing simulation accuracy.

41 EE - Solar Energy Technologies Office (EE-4S)↗

Temporal Error Correlations in a Terrestrial Carbon Cycle Model Derived by Comparison to Carbon Dioxide Eddy Covariance Flux Tower Measurements

Abstract Atmospheric CO 2 flux inversions require as input an estimate of spatial and temporal correlations of errors in their estimate of the prior mean. Some previous studies have used the differences in CO 2 daily average flux estimates produced by terrestrial carbon cycle models and eddy covariance measurements to constrain the flux error correlations. Since inversions are starting to resolve the daily cycle, we set out to examine the correlations at sub‐daily time scales, as well as the correlations across years. To this end, we examine the autocorrelations in the difference between net ecosystem‐atmosphere exchange measurements from 75 AmeriFlux towers and temporally downscaled high‐spatial‐resolution flux estimates from the Carnegie‐Ames‐Stanford Approach (CASA) terrestrial carbon cycle model. We find that the daily cycle is prominent in these hourly autocorrelations and that these autocorrelations persist across years. We propose a family of functions to model these temporal correlations in atmospheric inversions, and use cross validation to determine which of the correlation functions best fits autocorrelation data from towers not in the training set. Correlation functions with a component that attempts to model the daily cycle in the differences match correlations from other towers better than those without. Those models that reproduce the same correlation structures at 1‐year intervals while modulating the amplitudes of the correlations between those intervals improve the fit still further.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Calibration and uncertainty quantification for Davis Equation of State models for the High Explosive PBX 9501 products

Abstract This paper investigates the uncertainty in the parameters used in the calibration of an Davis Equation Of State (EOS) for the detonation products of the High Explosive PBX 9501. The procedure sought to make use of all available information about this HE to inform the best set of calibration parameters as well as the uncertainty in these parameters. The procedure made use of historical experimental data, the results from thermo‐chemical modeling as well as data on the best isentrope function fit to cylinder test experimental data. Combining all these heterogeneous data sources together in a Bayesian calibration, yielded a posterior mean and covariance. Sampling from the posterior distribution and evaluating an important Quantity Of Interest (QOI) in the EOS model, the detonation speed of a one‐inch rate stick, produced a distribution which showed variations which were in agreement with experiments. The uncertainty in the EOS was reported as eleven sets of model calibrations which spanned the range of this QOI.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Predicting Kyasanur forest disease in resource-limited settings using event-based surveillance and transfer learning

In recent years, the reports of Kyasanur forest disease (KFD) breaking endemic barriers by spreading to new regions and crossing state boundaries is alarming. Effective disease surveillance and reporting systems are lacking for this emerging zoonosis, hence hindering control and prevention efforts. We compared time-series models using weather data with and without Event-Based Surveillance (EBS) information, i.e., news media reports and internet search trends, to predict monthly KFD cases in humans. We fitted Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGB) and Long Short-Term Memory models at the national and regional levels. We utilized the rich epidemiological data from endemic regions by applying Transfer Learning (TL) techniques to predict KFD cases in new outbreak regions where disease surveillance information was scarce. Overall, the inclusion of EBS data, in addition to the weather data, substantially increased the prediction performance across all models. The XGB method produced the best predictions at the national and regional levels. The TL techniques outperformed baseline models in predicting KFD in new outbreak regions. Novel sources of data and advanced machine-learning approaches, e.g., EBS and TL, show great potential towards increasing disease prediction capabilities in data-scarce scenarios and/or resource-limited settings, for better-informed decisions in the face of emerging zoonotic threats.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Structure- and Interaction-Based Design of Anti-SARS-CoV-2 Aptamers

Aptamer selection against novel infections is a complicated and time-consuming approach. Synergy can be achieved by using computational methods together with experimental procedures. In this study, we aim to develop a reliable methodology for a rational aptamer in silico et vitro design. The new approach combines multiple steps: (1) Molecular design, based on screening in a DNA aptamer library and directed mutagenesis to fit the protein tertiary structure; (2) 3D molecular modeling of the target; (3) Molecular docking of an aptamer with the protein; (4) Molecular dynamics (MD) simulations of the complexes; (5) Quantum-mechanical (QM) evaluation of the interactions between aptamer and target with further analysis; (6) Experimental verification at each cycle for structure and binding affinity by using small-angle X-ray scattering, cytometry, and fluorescence polarization. By using a new iterative design procedure, structure- and interaction-based drug design (SIBDD), a highly specific aptamer to the receptor-binding domain of the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein, was developed and validated. The SIBDD approach enhances speed of the high-affinity aptamers development from scratch, using a target protein structure. The method could be used to improve existing aptamers for stronger binding. This approach brings to an advanced level the development of novel affinity probes, functional nucleic acids. It offers a blueprint for the straightforward design of targeting molecules for new pathogen agents and emerging variants.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Multicomponent gas mixture parametric CFD study of condensation heat transfer in small modular reactor system safety

Safety is always the primary concern for designing and analyzing nuclear reactor systems. The requirements for the safety margin for advanced small modular reactor (SMR) systems are targeted even higher than the conventional commercial large-scale nuclear reactors incorporating the passive and inherent safety systems. The SMR systems are designed with the condensation passive containment cooling system (PCCS), which plays a critical role in removing reactor heat during a steam release accident case. However, the presence of non-condensable gas (NCG), like air, reduces the heat transfer performance. This physics phenomenon becomes multifactorial for nuclear reactor containment during a fuel failure accident case that releases hydrogen gas. Besides, the mixture component of steam-air-hydrogen varies in reactor accident cases, which need simulation and validation keeping parameters of importance. Reviews showed that previous studies for SMR’s PCCCS did not cover the condensation heat transfer (CHT) in the presence of multicomponent NCG mixture parametric computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulation and validation, making a research gap in the SMR design safety. A comprehensive CHT parametric CFD study was performed for SMR PCCS to fill this research gap. This study used experimental data as simulation 3D physics domain inlet and outlet boundary conditions. However, the wall boundary conditions were constant temperature, curve-fit, and annular coolant for verifying the turbulence models. Parametric simulations were performed, verified, and optimized for steam-NCGs mixtures. The multicomponent gases, multiphase mixtures, and fluid film condensation models were applied with associated turbulence models. The results of the parametric study were evaluated for realistic reactor conditions. Results showed that parametric study provided critical insight about the dependency of multicomponent gas mixture parameters that supports reactor safety design, analysis, and licensing.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

In-situ irradiation-induced studies of grain growth kinetics of nanocrystalline UO 2

The thermal conductivity of UO 2 fuel needs to be high enough to dissipate the heat generated from the fission reaction. Since grain size affects thermal conductivity and grain size can evolve with irradiation, it is critical to understand in-reactor UO 2 grain growth. Most studies of grain growth in UO 2 are based on thermally driven processes at elevated temperatures. However, studies have shown that grain growth can occur even at cryogenic temperatures by ballistic processes. Such irradiation-induced grain growth in UO 2 is yet to be studied. Advanced in-situ Kr ion irradiation and transmission electron microscopy were systematically performed on nanocrystalline UO 2 thin films at temperatures ranging from 50 K to 1073 K; grain growth was observed at all temperatures. A combination of manual and machine learning techniques was used to measure and plot grain size evolution against irradiation fluence at various irradiation temperatures. The machine learning method has significantly improved the analysis efficiency and reduced human labors. The grain diameter data were fitted using classical grain growth and thermal spike models to describe grain growth kinetics with and without irradiation effect. Grain growth during low temperature irradiation (≤ 475 K) can be well described by the thermal spike model. Above 475 K, there were additional thermally assisted processes that further accelerate the grain growth. At the highest irradiation temperature about 1075 K, both irradiation-induced dislocation loops and cavities/bubbles were observed to form in the UO 2 . In this report, the effects of irradiation-induced defects on grain growth kinetics are discussed.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

NO x adsorption with CO and C 2 H 4 on Pd/SSZ-13: Experiments and modeling

A transient monolith model containing microkinetic schemes for NO uptake and release over Pd/SSZ-13 without and with reductants CO or C2H4 is presented. The scheme involves three cationic Pd species (Z – [PdOH] + , Z – Pd 2+ Z – , Z – Pd + ) as the active sites during uptake of NO, CO and C 2 H 4 , and their desorption and conversion at higher temperature. Kinetic parameters are estimated through a combination of density functional theory (DFT) estimates and a fit of uptake, desorption and conversion data. The tuned model is validated at different uptake temperatures, ramp rates, and flowrates. A “degree of uptake control” parameter is defined that helps to identify the step(s) that are uptake controlling. The model helps to interpret the data features and is used to identify operating conditions to meet application-relevant performance metrics, including NO trapping efficiency and NO release temperature. Furthermore, the model demonstrates higher NO uptake on Pd/SSZ-13 compared to Pd/ZSM-5.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Processing and mechanical characterization of short carbon fiber-reinforced epoxy composites for material extrusion additive manufacturing

Fiber-reinforced polymer composites have been extensively utilized in recent years as feedstock materials for material extrusion additive manufacturing (AM) processes to improve strength, stiffness, and functionality of printed parts over unfilled printed polymers. However, the widespread adoption of AM of fiber-reinforced polymer composites requires a deeper understanding of the process-structure-property relationships in printed components, and such relationships are not well understood yet. Fiber length is critically important to the mechanical performance of short fiber composites, but very few studies to-date have focused on how the fiber length distribution (FLD) evolves during processing of composite feedstocks and how this evolution affects printing behavior and mechanical properties in 3D-printed composites. Here, FLD is measured for carbon fiber reinforced epoxy composites over a wide range of ink compositions and shear mixing times, and the distributions are fit with a Weibull-type distribution function. The effects of FLD on the tradeoff between ink processability, ink rheology, printing behavior and mechanical properties are investigated. Furthermore, the effects of printing parameters (nozzle size and print speed) on mechanical anisotropy and fiber orientation distribution (FOD) in printed composites are explored. Mechanical properties of printed composites are characterized via 3 pt-flexural testing, and microstructure is investigated using optical and scanning electron microscopy (SEM), and x-ray computed tomography. Finally, the fitted Weibull parameters are fed into a composite model that incorporates FLD and FOD, and model predictions are found to be in excellent agreement with experimental observations.

3D printing↗

Energy migration and scintillation kinetics in compositionally complex (Gd 1/4 Y 1/4 Tb 1/4 Lu 1/4 ) 3 Al 5 O 12 :Ce single crystal scintillator

It is well-established that compositional tuning through binary admixture can improve scintillation performance in several materials systems, including Ce-activated garnets. Although recent work on ternary or quaternary cation admixture shows promise, the impact of this increased compositional complexity on thermal stability and carrier-defect dynamics has not been addressed. Here, we investigate a compositionally complex garnet, (Gd 1/4 Y 1/4 Tb 1/4 Lu 1/4 ) 3 Al 5 O 12 :Ce (GYTLAG), grown by the Czochralski method using temperature-dependent photoluminescence (PL), PL decay, and thermoluminescence (TL). PL and PL decay measurements support a thermally activated Tb 3+ -Ce 3+ energy transfer, where Tb 3+ emission dominates below 60 K, but Ce 3+ emission increases from 20-300 K. Thermal quenching of Ce 3+ emission occurs around T 50 = 508 K, with an activation energy of 0.6 eV. TL and wavelength-resolved TL spectra from 20–500 K show that GYTLAG contains similar trap groups to LuAG but with a broader distribution of glow peaks below room temperature, possibly caused by quaternary cation mixing. A combination of dose dependence, partial cleaning and initial rise, and glow curve fitting to a first order continuous Gaussian distribution model are used to understand the contribution of electronic point defects to scintillation decay and afterglow at room temperature. Furthermore, these results inform how increased compositional complexity influences recombination dynamics in garnet scintillators.

Compositionally complex↗

Dual-pace transient heat conduction in vertically aligned carbon nanotube arrays induced by structure separation

Vertically aligned arrays of carbon nanotubes (CNTs) are attractive for a wide range of macroscopic applications which can exploit the remarkable properties of individual nanotubes. In this work, an abnormal behavior of CNT bundles in heat conduction is discovered under the transient electro-thermal characterization. The measured voltage change over the sample shows a dual-pace thermal response (DTR), which could not be fitted using a single thermal diffusivity heat transfer model. Instead, two thermal diffusivities are determined from the DTR phenomenon. Three rounds of cryogenic experiments are conducted to investigate the physics behind DTR phenomenon. It starts to emerge when the temperature is reduced to a certain level. After two rounds of cryogenic experiments, the DTR phenomenon becomes permanent from 295 K to 10 K. The nano-scale structure separation induced by the increased thermal strain leads to macroscale structure separation, which results in two parallel heat conduction paths responsible for the DTR phenomenon. By building a new parallel heat transfer model taking both the transient and steady-state electrical and thermal response into consideration, the area ratio of separated CNTs is determined. Furthermore, this result uncovers the existence of coiled morphology and nano-structure evolution of CNTs under cryogenic state and its effect on thermal and electrical transport, especially on their transient behaviors. Knowledge of the thermal transport in these CNTs arrays is important considering the fact that transient thermal response strongly affects their mechanical, optical, and electrical behaviors.

42 ENGINEERING↗

A country-scale green energy-water-hydrogen nexus: Jordan as a case study

Many developing countries suffer from a shortage of clean energy-water production, causing significant dependency on imported fossil fuel to meet the local energy and freshwater demands. Furthermore, when planning a 100 % renewable energy system (RES) to match the energy demand on an hourly basis, the RES is usually oversized. Hence, unavoidable large amounts of excess energy would be generated during hours of high production, low demand, and fully charged energy storage systems (ESSs). Hence, using Jordan as a case study, this work proposes a novel integrated system of wind, solar photovoltaic (PV), and lithium-ion ESS to match 100 % of the country's energy demand while using the excess generated power to drive reverse osmosis water desalination plants to match the demand of freshwater as well. Furthermore, the remaining excess energy is used for producing green hydrogen. A techno-economic optimizer was developed to show that this concept is indeed feasible. Here, the model was used to scan Jordan for the fitting sites of the highest demand-supply matching and the lowest levelized cost of electricity (LCOE), simultaneously. Three different integration scenarios are presented, namely PV-ESS, wind-ESS, and hybrid PV-wind-ESS RESs. The hybrid system showed the best performance, especially compared to the wind-ESS RES, in terms of total installed capacity (33.37 GW), LCOE (0.0492 USD/kWh), specific water cost (0.3629 USD/m 3 ), and energy and water demand-supply fractions (99.47 and 96.16 %, respectively). Storing desalinated water in natural aquifers was found to be a favorable option to enhance the performance of the three systems, where stored water by the end of the year was sufficient to cover the freshwater requirements for several following years. Finally, the remaining excess energy is used to produce green hydrogen with an annual production of up to 1.37 million tons and a specific cost down to 1.08 USD/kg.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Trion Formation Resolves Observed Peak Shifts in the Optical Spectra of Transition-Metal Dichalcogenides

Monolayer transition-metal dichalcogenides (ML-TMDs) have the potential to unlock novel photonic and chemical technologies if their optoelectronic properties can be understood and controlled. Yet, recent work has offered contradictory explanations for how TMD absorption spectra change with carrier concentration, fluence, and time. Here, we test our hypothesis that the large broadening and shifting of the strong band-edge features observed in optical spectra arise from the formation of negative trions. We do this by fitting an ab initio based, many-body model to our experimental electrochemical data. Our approach provides an excellent, global description of the potential-dependent linear absorption data. We further leverage our model to demonstrate that trion formation explains the nonmonotonic potential dependence of the transient absorption spectra, including through photoinduced derivative line shapes for the trion peak. Our results motivate the continued development of theoretical methods to describe cutting-edge experiments in a physically transparent way.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Rapid custom prototyping of soft poroelastic biosensor for simultaneous epicardial recording and imaging

Abstract The growing need for the implementation of stretchable biosensors in the body has driven rapid prototyping schemes through the direct ink writing of multidimensional functional architectures. Recent approaches employ biocompatible inks that are dispensable through an automated nozzle injection system. However, their application in medical practices remains challenged in reliable recording due to their viscoelastic nature that yields mechanical and electrical hysteresis under periodic large strains. Herein, we report sponge-like poroelastic silicone composites adaptable for high-precision direct writing of custom-designed stretchable biosensors, which are soft and insensitive to strains. Their unique structural properties yield a robust coupling to living tissues, enabling high-fidelity recording of spatiotemporal electrophysiological activity and real-time ultrasound imaging for visual feedback. In vivo evaluations of custom-fit biosensors in a murine acute myocardial infarction model demonstrate a potential clinical utility in the simultaneous intraoperative recording and imaging on the epicardium, which may guide definitive surgical treatments.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Theoretical foundations of waste factor and waste figure with applications to fixed wireless access and relay systems

The growing energy demands of next-generation wireless systems call for unified, system-level metrics to evaluate and optimize energy efficiency. This paper advances the concept of the Waste Factor (W), or Waste Figure (WF) in decibel scale, as a general framework for modeling power loss across cascaded communication components. By integrating W into the Consumption Factor (CF)–the ratio of data rate to consumed power–we reveal how component inefficiencies influence the minimum achievable energy per bit. Closed-form expressions are derived for energy-per-bit consumption in both direct and relay-assisted links, along with a decision rule for selecting the more energy-efficient path. While not explicitly modeled, Reflective Intelligent Surfaces (RIS) are shown to fit naturally within this framework. The analysis is further applied to a Fixed Wireless Access (FWA) scenario, where asymmetries in traffic direction and hardware inefficiencies are jointly considered, demonstrating the utility of the Waste Factor in guiding energy-aware system design.

Sevim, Nurullah [Texas A&M University, College Sta↗