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At least 1,477 records · Page 82

Basin-wide variation in tree hydraulic safety margins predicts the carbon balance of Amazon forests

Abstract Tropical forests face increasing climate risk 1,2 , yet our ability to predict their response to climate change is limited by poor understanding of their resistance to water stress. Although xylem embolism resistance thresholds (for example, $$\varPsi $$ Ψ 50 ) and hydraulic safety margins (for example, HSM 50 ) are important predictors of drought-induced mortality risk 3–5 , little is known about how these vary across Earth’s largest tropical forest. Here, we present a pan-Amazon, fully standardized hydraulic traits dataset and use it to assess regional variation in drought sensitivity and hydraulic trait ability to predict species distributions and long-term forest biomass accumulation. Parameters $$\varPsi $$ Ψ 50 and HSM 50 vary markedly across the Amazon and are related to average long-term rainfall characteristics. Both $$\varPsi $$ Ψ 50 and HSM 50 influence the biogeographical distribution of Amazon tree species. However, HSM 50 was the only significant predictor of observed decadal-scale changes in forest biomass. Old-growth forests with wide HSM 50 are gaining more biomass than are low HSM 50 forests. We propose that this may be associated with a growth–mortality trade-off whereby trees in forests consisting of fast-growing species take greater hydraulic risks and face greater mortality risk. Moreover, in regions of more pronounced climatic change, we find evidence that forests are losing biomass, suggesting that species in these regions may be operating beyond their hydraulic limits. Continued climate change is likely to further reduce HSM 50 in the Amazon 6,7 , with strong implications for the Amazon carbon sink.

Science & Technology - Other Topics↗

Intercomparison of sensible and latent heat flux measurements from combined eddy covariance, energy balance, and Bowen ratio methods above a grassland prairie

We present a comparison of four different methods of measuring sensible (H) and latent (LE) heat fluxes for a year over a mixed grass prairie ecosystem in the Nebraska SandHills [eddy covariance (EC), energy balance/Bowen ratio (EBBR), residual energy (RES), modified Bowen ratio (MBR) methods]. Additionally, we developed a set of quality control criteria for each method and present a simplification to the traditional EBBR setup. Using EC as reference, all methods yielded similar estimates of yearly H (regression slopes (m) ~ 2% from unity; H EC > H EBBR , H RES , and H MBR ). For yearly LE, EBBR and RES yielded similar estimates with EC (m ~ 2% from unity; LE EC < LE EBBR and LE RES ), while a larger bias was found from MBR (m ~ 8% from unity; LE EC > LE MBR ). At shorter time scales (~ hourly), moderate scatter was found about linear regression fits for H between EBBR and EC (R 2 = 0.81), with smaller scatter between RES and MBR, and EC (R 2 = 0.91). For LE, smaller scatter was also measured between EC, and EBBR and RES (R 2 = 0.89 and 0.87, respectively), with the larger scatter between EC and MBR (R 2 = 0.65). This suggests methods other than EC may be well suited to longer-term applications (≥ yearly), but have larger uncertainty on individual measurements.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Balancing moisture and oxygen can match the crystallization dynamics of inert halide perovskite processing

Understanding crystallization in ambient environments is essential for scaling the fabrication of halide perovskite solar cells. Antisolvent-free perovskite deposition offers improved compatibility with high-throughput processing but introduces distinct crystallization dynamics relative to the more ubiquitous use of antisolvents in lab-scale perovskite fabrication. These dynamics are driven by interactions between solutes, solvent and the deposition environment. Using in situ wide-angle X-ray scattering during spin-coating and annealing, we demonstrate how relative humidity (RH) and oxygen, can be tuned to drive polytype evolution during ambient crystallization of formamidinium lead iodide to match that of inert synthesis and achieve comparable film and device quality. In an inert (N 2 ) environment, we find that perovskite films follow a well-established 2H → 3C phase transformation with a short period of coexistence of the 4H and 6H phase during heating. During crystallization in dry air (RH 0%), the added presence of oxygen leads to the dominance of 4H intermediate for an extended duration, establishing a 2H → 4H → 3C pathway. Introducing low humidity (RH 10%) suppresses the 4H phase to a short-lived intermediate above 100 °C, facilitating a more direct transition to the desired 3C phase and almost replicating the crystallization behavior observed under inert conditions. Interestingly, films crystallized under RH 10% show a lower onset temperature for the perovskite 3C phase than under N 2 . At higher humidity (RH 40%), the strong interaction of oxygen and moisture with iodoplumbates appears to stabilize higher order polytypes (4H and 6H). Devices fabricated under RH 10% achieve higher efficiency and enhanced stability compared to those produced under inert atmosphere. These findings provide mechanistic insight into crystallization pathways in different environments and provide a framework to transfer processes from inert to ambient conditions. The results highlight the critical role of controlled humidity in tuning antisolvent-free perovskite crystallization for scalable processing.

Hossain, Maimur [Univ. of California, San Diego, C↗

Solving the problem of overdetermination of quasisymmetric equilibrium solutions by near-axis expansions. I. Generalized force balance

It is well known that the process of construction of quasisymmetric magnetic fields in magnetostatic equilibrium with isotropic pressure suffers from the problem of overdetermination. This has led to the widespread belief that global quasisymmetric solutions are likely not to exist. Here we develop a general near-axis expansion procedure that does not rely on the assumption of magnetostatic equilibria with isotropic pressure. We then demonstrate that in equilibria with anisotropic pressure, it is possible to circumvent the problem of overdetermination and carry out the power-series solutions to higher order. This suggests, contrary to current belief, that the existence of globally quasisymmetric fields is likely if one relaxes the assumption of magnetostatic equilibria with isotropic pressure.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Understanding how minority relativistic electron populations may dominate charge state balance and radiative cooling of a post-thermal quench tokamak plasma

Minority relativistic electron populations can occur in a range of complex plasmas. Of specific interest is when runaway electrons form among the presence of high-atomic-number ion species in a tokamak plasma discharge. It has been recently demonstrated that ion charge state distributions and radiation losses at low bulk electron temperatures can be dominated by relativistic electrons, even though their density is orders of magnitude lower. Furthermore, this was attributed to the relativistic enhancement of electron impact inelastic cross sections. In this work, we provide a closer inspection of the atomic physics underpinning this effect. We also demonstrate the consequences of runaway enhanced scattering on post-disruption tokamak fusion discharges with neon and argon impurities present. Effects on charge state distributions, radiation and spectral characteristics, and reduced-order modeling considerations are discussed.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

The Strategic Implications of the Evolving US-China Nuclear Balance

China is significantly expanding the size and sophistication of its nuclear forces. Over the summer of 2021, researchers using satellite imagery discovered three separate fields of intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) silos under construction in the deserts of north-central China. If each silo is eventually equipped with a missile, the Chinese nuclear arsenal capable of striking the continental US could triple in size. Furthermore, the US government estimates that China’s nuclear arsenal could number 1000 warheads by 2030, with at least 200 deployed on long-range platforms.

98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL P↗

Ensuring planetary survival: the centrality of organic carbon in balancing the multifunctional nature of soils

Not only do soils provide 98.7% of the calories consumed by humans, they also provide numerous other functions upon which planetary survivability closely depends. However, our continuously increasing focus on soils for biomass provision (food, fiber, and energy) through intensive agriculture is rapidly degrading soils and diminishing their capacity to deliver other vital functions. These tradeoffs in soil functionality – the increased provision of one function at the expense of other critical planetary functions – are the focus of this review. Here, we examine how land-use change for biomass provision has decreased the ability of soils to regulate the carbon pool and thereby contribute profoundly to climate change, to cycle the nutrients that sustain plant growth and ecosystem health, to protect the soil biodiversity upon which many other functions depend, and to cycle the Earth’s freshwater supplies. We also examine how this decreasing ability of soil to provide these other functions can be halted and reversed. Despite the complexity and the interconnectedness of soil functions, we show that soil organic carbon plays a central role and is a master indicator for soil functioning and that we require a better understanding of the factors controlling the behavior and persistence of C in soils. Given the threats facing humanity and their economies, it is imperative that we recognize that Soil Security is itself an existential challenge and that we need to increase our focus on the multiple functions of soils for long-term human welfare and survivability of the planet.

Carboncarbon sequestration↗

Divertor plasma detachment: roles of plasma momentum, energy, and particle balances

Abstract Contrary to statements from some recent papers, the bifurcation of the scrape-off layer and divertor plasma parameters, as described within a 1D model, does exist. The analysis of both numerical simulations and experimental data shows that the real physical reasons that can cause a strong reduction of the plasma particle flux to the target j d are impurity radiation loss and volumetric plasma recombination. Fitting the parameter describing the ‘plasma momentum removal’, based on the results of 2D numerical simulations, then using this fit in subsequent analytic expressions for j d , and finally interpreting the evolution of j d as the result of elastic plasma-neutral interactions break the causality principle and lead to a wrong physical picture of divertor plasma detachment.

Physics↗

The role of plasma–atom and molecule interactions on power & particle balance during detachment on the MAST Upgrade Super-X divertor

This paper shows first quantitative analysis of the detachment processes in the MAST Upgrade Super-X divertor (SXD). We identify an unprecedented impact of plasma-molecular interactions involving molecular ions (likely $D^+_2$), resulting in strong ion sinks (Molecular Activated Recombination—MAR), leading to a reduction of ion target flux. The MAR ion sinks exceed the divertor ion sources before electron-ion recombination (EIR) starts to occur, suggesting that significant ionisation occurs outside of the divertor chamber. In the EIR region, $T_e \ll 0.2$ eV is observed and MAR remains significant in these deep detached phases. The total ion sink strength demonstrates the capability for particle (ion) exhaust in the Super-X Configuration. Molecular Activated Dissociation is the dominant volumetric neutral atom creation process can lead to an electron cooling of 20% of $P_\mathrm{SOL}$. The measured total radiative power losses in the divertor chamber are consistent with inferred hydrogenic radiative power losses. This suggests that intrinsic divertor impurity radiation, despite the carbon walls, is minor in the divertor chamber. This contrasts previous TCV results, which may be associated with enhanced plasma-neutral interactions and reduced chemical erosion in the detached, tightly baffled SXD. The above observations have also been observed in higher heat flux (narrower SOL width) type I ELMy H-mode discharges. This provides evidence that the characterisation in this paper may be general.

plasma-molecular interactions↗

Machine learning models inaccurately predict current and future high-latitude C balances

The high-latitude carbon (C) cycle is a key feedback to the global climate system, yet because of system complexity and data limitations, there is currently disagreement over whether the region is a source or sink of C. Recent advances in big data analytics and computing power have popularized the use of machine learning (ML) algorithms to upscale site measurements of ecosystem processes, and in some cases forecast the response of these processes to climate change. Due to data limitations, however, ML model predictions of these processes are almost never validated with independent datasets. To better understand and characterize the limitations of these methods, we develop an approach to independently evaluate ML upscaling and forecasting. We mimic data-driven upscaling and forecasting efforts by applying ML algorithms to different subsets of regional process-model simulation gridcells, and then test ML performance using the remaining gridcells. In this study, we simulate C fluxes and environmental data across Alaska using ecosys, a process-rich terrestrial ecosystem model, and then apply boosted regression tree ML algorithms to training data configurations that mirror and expand upon existing AmeriFLUX eddy-covariance data availability. We first show that a ML model trained using ecosys outputs from currently-available Alaska AmeriFLUX sites incorrectly predicts that Alaska is presently a modeled net C source. Increased spatial coverage of the training dataset improves ML predictions, halving the bias when 240 modeled sites are used instead of 15. However, even this more accurate ML model incorrectly predicts Alaska C fluxes under 21st century climate change because of changes in atmospheric CO 2 , litter inputs, and vegetation composition that have impacts on C fluxes which cannot be inferred from the training data. Our results provide key insights to future C flux upscaling efforts and expose the potential for inaccurate ML upscaling and forecasting of high-latitude C cycle dynamics.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Persistent trade-offs balance competition and colonization across centuries

When a microbe colonizes a host, it must both establish infection and outcompete other organisms. Short-term experiments show that gains in competitive ability can reduce colonization, creating trade-offs, but whether microbes resolve these conflicts over long evolutionary timescales is unknown. We show that a trade-off between competitive killing and host colonization has been stably maintained for centuries in natural Pseudomonas populations infecting Arabidopsis thaliana. Tailocins—phage-derived weapons—provide strong competitive advantages, yet their production reduces colonization success, explaining why the most broadly lethal variants remain rare. Genomic surveys and historical genomes spanning two centuries reveal that the polymorphisms underlying this trade-off have persisted across 10⁵-10⁶ generations. Understanding such long-lived constraints can inform antimicrobial strategies that exploit evolutionary trade-offs.

Backman, Talia↗

Understanding the nature of mean-field semiclassical light-matter dynamics: An investigation of energy transfer, electron-electron correlations, external driving, and long-time detailed balance

Semiclassical electrodynamics (with quantum matter plus classical electrodynamics fields) is an appealing approach for studying light-matter interactions, especially for realistic molecular systems. However, there is no unique semiclassical scheme. On the one hand, intermolecular interactions can be described instantaneously by static two-body interactions connecting two different molecules, while a classical transverse E field acts as a spectator at short distance; we will call this Hamiltonian no. I. On the other hand, intermolecular interactions can also be described as effects that are mediated exclusively through a classical one-body Ε field without any quantum effects at all (assuming we ignore electronic exchange); we will call this Hamiltonian no. II. Moreover, one can also mix these two different Hamiltonians into a third, hybrid Hamiltonian, which preserves quantum electron-electron correlations for lower excitations but describes higher excitations in a mean-field way. To investigate which semiclassical scheme is most reliable for practical use, here we study the real-time dynamics of a minimalistic many-site model—a pair of identical two-level systems (TLSs)—undergoing either resonance energy transfer (RET) or collectively driven dynamics. While both approaches (no. 1 and no. 2) perform reasonably well when there is no strong external excitation, we find that no single approach is perfect for all conditions (and all methods fail when a strong external field is applied). Each method has its own distinct problems: Hamiltonian no. I performs best for RET but behaves in a complicated manner for driven dynamics; Hamiltonian no. II is always stable, but obviously fails for RET at short distances. One key finding is that, for externally driven dynamics, a full configuration-interaction description of Hamiltonian no. I strongly overestimates the long-time electronic energy, highlighting the not obvious fact that, if one plans to merge quantum molecules with classical light, a full, exact treatment of electron-electron correlations can actually lead to worse results than a simple mean-field electronic structure treatment. Future work will need to investigate (i) how these algorithms behave in the context of more than a pair of TLSs and (ii) whether or not these algorithms can be improved in general by including crucial aspects of spontaneous emission.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗